💥Mains Ready By December. Smash Mains & Smash PYQ Admissions Open
Talk to Mentor

Civilsdaily

Login

GS Paper: GS2-19.Effect of policies and politics of developed and developing countries on India’s interests, Indian diaspora.

  • [5th February 2025] The Hindu Op-ed: The U.S.’s WHO exit, a chance to reshape global health

    PYQ Relevance:

    Q) Critically examine the role of WHOin providing global health security during the Covid-19 pandemic. (UPSC CSE 2020)

     

    Mentor’s Comment: UPSC mains have always focused on Bridging Healthcare Gaps (2015), and WHO Initiatives (2020).

    The US is the largest contributor to WHO, providing about 18% of its funding. The withdrawal is expected to jeopardize critical health programs, particularly those addressing tuberculosis, HIV/AIDS, and other health emergencies.

    Today’s editorial emphasizes the need for member states to collaborate more effectively in light of reduced US involvement, ensuring that global health priorities remain addressed despite funding challenges. This content can be used to present the significance of multilateral collaboration and its impact on international policy and governance with respect to Health.

    _

    Let’s learn!

    Why in the News?

    After the USA’s withdrawal from WHO, it is time for the countries in the global south to support WHO and initiate collaborative actions to reshape the global health agenda.

    What are the Potential Impacts of the US Withdrawal from WHO?

    • Disruption of Funding and Programs: The US contributes nearly 18% of WHO’s budget (~$1 billion annually), supporting critical health programs like immunization, tuberculosis control, and pandemic preparedness.
      • The withdrawal will likely disrupt ongoing projects aimed at combating health challenges such as HIV/AIDS and polio eradication.
    • Weakened Global Health Response: WHO’s ability to coordinate responses to health crises will be significantly impaired without US support. This includes reduced resources for disease surveillance and emergency operations in regions facing outbreaks or health threats.
    • Impact on Global Health Leadership and Collaboration: The absence of the US may create a leadership vacuum within WHO, allowing other nations (e.g., China) to increase their influence.
      • This shift could alter international collaboration dynamics and lead to fragmented approaches to public health challenges.
    • Repercussions for Low-Income Countries: Marginalized communities in low-income countries may face disproportionate impacts due to reduced funding from WHO. These communities rely heavily on WHO for access to essential health services, and the withdrawal signals a deprioritization of global health initiatives, exacerbating existing inequalities.
      • The overall effectiveness of global health initiatives may decline as WHO struggles with funding constraints and could slow long-term progress toward key health goals, such as disease eradication and comprehensive vaccination programs, ultimately affecting global health security.

    How might the withdrawal reshape international health diplomacy?

    • Shift in Global Health Leadership: The absence of the US may create a leadership vacuum within WHO, potentially allowing countries like China to increase their influence in global health governance.
      • This shift could alter the dynamics of international collaboration, with other nations stepping up to fill the void left by the US.
    • Increased Geopolitical Tensions: The withdrawal could intensify competition between the US and China for influence in global health matters.
      • China’s initiatives, such as the Health Silk Road, may gain traction as it seeks to position itself as a leader in global health, thereby reshaping alliances and partnerships among countries.
    • Impact on Multilateral Cooperation: The US’s exit may weaken multilateral cooperation on critical health issues, leading to fragmented responses to global health challenges.
      • Countries may become less willing to collaborate on shared health threats without US leadership, which could hinder effective pandemic preparedness and response efforts.
    • Loss of Diplomatic Leverage: By withdrawing, the US relinquishes its role as a key influencer in shaping global health policies and initiatives.
      • This could diminish its ability to advocate for public health programs that align with its interests and values, allowing other nations to take a more prominent role in setting global health agendas.
    • Disproportionate Effects: The low-income countries that rely heavily on WHO for support may face greater challenges without US involvement.

    What reforms or changes might be necessary within WHO in light of this withdrawal?

    • Diversification of Funding Sources: WHO should encourage member states to increase their assessed contributions, which currently cover less than 20% of its budget. This could help reduce reliance on any single donor, particularly the US.
      • WHO can seek to expand its voluntary contributions from other countries and private organizations to fill the financial gap left by the US withdrawal.
    • Strengthening Governance and Accountability: Implementing more transparent financial management practices can help restore trust among member states and ensure that funds are allocated effectively.
      • Establishing an independent oversight body to review WHO’s operations and decision-making processes may help address concerns about political influence and enhance accountability.

    What opportunity do India have in this situation?

    • Increased Leadership Role: India can take a prominent leadership position within WHO, representing the Global South.
      • For Example, through the Vaccine Maitri initiative, India facilitated vaccine exports during the COVID-19 pandemic, demonstrating its commitment to global health equity and influencing health policies.
    • Strengthening Domestic Capabilities: The withdrawal allows India to bolster its healthcare infrastructure and research capabilities.
      • For Example, significant investments in indigenous vaccine production, such as Covaxin and Covishield, have positioned India as a major player in global vaccine supply chains, enhancing self-reliance and healthcare outcomes.
    • Enhanced Collaboration with Emerging Economies: India can forge stronger partnerships with other emerging economies to collaboratively address global health challenges.
      • For Example, engagement with countries like Brazil and South Africa through the IBSA Dialogue Forum can focus on shared issues like antimicrobial resistance and maternal health, enhancing collective responses to public health threats.
    • Leveraging Pharmaceutical Strength: India’s robust pharmaceutical industry can fill gaps left by reduced WHO funding.
      • Known as the “pharmacy of the world,” India supplied affordable vaccines during the pandemic, reinforcing its reputation as a key player in global healthcare by continuing to produce low-cost medications.

    Way Forward: India can not only mitigate the impacts of the US withdrawal but also can significantly contribute to shaping a more equitable global health landscape.

  • Places in news: Kurdistan Region

    Why in the News?

    India has dispatched a humanitarian aid consignment to the Kurdistan region of Iraq.

    Kurdistan Region

    What is the Kurdistan Region?

    • The Kurdistan Region refers to areas inhabited by ethnic Kurds, primarily in Iraq, Iran, Syria, and Turkey.
    • The Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) administers Iraqi Kurdistan, an autonomous region in northern Iraq.
    • The Kurds, a distinct ethnic and linguistic group, have long sought independence and greater autonomy.
    • Geographical Significance:
      • Spans across Turkey, Iraq, Iran, and Syria, covering the Zagros Mountains and fertile plains.
      • Rich in oil and natural gas, particularly in Iraqi Kurdistan, making it geopolitically significant.
      • Controls key border regions and trade routes, influencing regional stability.
    • Political Implications:
      • The Kurdish struggle for autonomy has led to tensions with central governments, particularly in Iraq and Turkey.
      • Kurdish forces (Peshmerga) have played a key role in fighting ISIS and maintaining security in northern Iraq.
      • The KRG has diplomatic ties with Western countries but lacks full sovereignty.

    Ongoing Dispute:

    • The Kurdish independence movement faces opposition from Iraq, Turkey, Iran, and Syria, fearing territorial fragmentation.
    • Iraq rejected the 2017 Kurdistan independence referendum, leading to military and economic retaliation.
    • Turkey continues military operations against Kurdish groups, considering them a security threat.
    • The Turkey-ISIS-Kurd relationship remains controversial, with allegations that Turkey indirectly enabled ISIS against the Kurds.

     

    PYQ:

    [2018] The term “two-state solution” is sometimes mentioned in the news in the context of the affairs of:

    (a) China

    (b) Israel

    (c) Iraq

    (d) Yemen

  • Places in News: Sudan’s Darfur Region

    Why in the News?

    At least 70 people were killed in a drone strike on the last working hospital in Sudan’s North Darfur capital.

    About the Darfur Region

    Details
    • Conflict-prone region in western Sudan, affected by ethnic violence and resource conflicts since 2003.
    • Site of one of the world’s worst humanitarian crises, with mass killings and displacement.
    • Home to multiple ethnic groups, with tensions between Arab pastoralists and non-Arab farming communities.
    • Janjaweed militias, backed by the Sudanese government, accused of genocide and mass atrocities.
    • Rapid Support Forces (RSF), formerly Janjaweed, play a key role in ongoing instability.
    • Renewed violence in 2023, worsening the humanitarian situation.
    Geographical Location
    • Located in western Sudan, bordering Chad, Libya, and the Central African Republic.
    • Covers an area of about 493,180 sq. km, nearly the size of France.
    • Predominantly arid and semi-arid, with desert in the north and more fertile land in the south.
    • Climate-driven water and grazing conflicts, worsened by desertification and climate change.
    • Composed of five states: North, South, West, Central, and East Darfur.
    • El Fasher is the capital and largest city, serving as an administrative and humanitarian hub.
    Impact of Conflict
    • Politically marginalized for decades, leading to armed uprisings against Sudan’s government.
    • Conflict escalated in 2003 with rebel groups like the Sudan Liberation Movement (SLM) and Justice and Equality Movement (JEM) demanding greater autonomy.
    • Remains a stronghold of rebel activity, contributing to Sudan’s broader instability.
    • Ongoing violence impacts regional security, affecting neighboring countries like Chad and the Central African Republic.

     

    PYQ:

    [2024] Consider the following statements :

    Statement-I: There is instability and worsening security situation in the Sahel region.

    Statement-II: There have been military takeovers/coups d’état in several countries of the Sahel region in the recent past.

    Which one of the following is correct in respect of the above statement?

    a) Both Statement-I and Statement-II are correct and Statement-II explains Statement-I

    b) Bothe Statement-I and Statement-II are correct, but Statement-II does not explain Statement-I

    c) Statement-I is correct, but Statement-II is incorrect

    d) Statement-I is incorrect, but Statement-II is correct

  • [27th January 2025] The Hindu Op-ed: Genocide and the world’s averted gaze

    PYQ Relevance:

    Q) To what extend can Germany be held responsible for causing the two World Wars? Discuss critically. (UPSC CSE 2015)

     

    Mentor’s Comment: UPSC Mains has always focused on World Wars (2015) and India’s relations with Israel (2018).

    On January 27, 1945, Soviet soldiers liberated Auschwitz-Birkenau (network of Nazi concentration and extermination camps), finding 8,000 starving prisoners and remnants of the 1.1 million, mostly Jewish, who perished there. With Nazi records destroyed, exact figures are uncertain. On this anniversary, survivors and world leaders gather to honor the victims and renew the commitment to prevent genocide.

    Today’s editorial  talks about Genocide in the world and laws related to Genocide. It will help in GS Paper 2 Internqtional relation and GS Paper 1 World History.

    _

    Let’s learn!

    Why in the News?

    World leaders will gather in Poland to commemorate Holocaust Memorial Day and the 80th anniversary of the liberation of Auschwitz-Birkenau, a Nazi concentration camp.

    What is Holocaust?

    • The Holocaust, known in Hebrew as the Shoah , refers to the systematic, state-sponsored genocide of approximately six million Jews by Nazi Germany and its collaborators during World War II, primarily between 1941 and 1945.
    • This atrocity was characterized by mass murders carried out through various means, including mass shootings and the use of extermination camps, such as Auschwitz-Birkenau and Treblinka.

    What is Constitutes Genocide?

    • Genocide is defined under international law as a series of acts committed with the intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial, or religious group. This definition is codified in Article II of the 1948 United Nations Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide (Genocide Convention). 

    How is it Recognized Internationally?

    • Legal Frameworks: The 1948 Genocide Convention defines genocide and obligates signatory states to prevent and punish the crime. This convention has been incorporated into the statutes of various international tribunals, including the International Criminal Court (ICC), establishing a legal basis for prosecution and accountability for genocidal acts.
    • International Courts and Tribunals: The International Court of Justice (ICJ) and other tribunals have jurisdiction to adjudicate cases related to genocide.
      • They interpret and enforce the provisions of the Genocide Convention, allowing for legal proceedings against individuals or states accused of committing genocide.
    • Recognition by States and Organizations: Various countries and international organizations have formally recognized specific events as genocides, which can influence diplomatic relations and international responses.
      • For example, numerous nations have acknowledged the Armenian Genocide, while the European Parliament has recognized the actions of ISIS against Yazidis as genocide.

    Why do global powers often remain silent or inactive in the face of genocidal acts?

    • Geopolitical and Strategic Interests: Global powers often prioritize alliances and regional influence over humanitarian intervention. For example: Rwanda Genocide (1994): Despite clear warnings, the UN and major powers failed to act decisively as Rwanda was not strategically significant to their interests, leading to the massacre of over 800,000 Tutsis and moderate Hutus.
    • Economic Dependencies and Trade Priorities: Economic ties, such as energy or trade partnerships, often deter powers from addressing genocidal acts. For example: China’s Treatment of Uyghur Muslims: Countries like the U.S. and EU hesitate to impose strong measures against China due to its role as a major trading partner, despite widespread reports of atrocities in Xinjiang.
    • International Bureaucratic Deadlock: Global institutions like the UN are often hindered by vetoes and a lack of consensus among major powers. For example: Syrian Civil War: Allegations of genocide and mass atrocities in Syria were met with inaction, as Russia and China vetoed resolutions in the UN Security Council, paralyzing international intervention.

    What responsibilities do nations have to prevent and respond to genocide?

    • Primary Responsibility to Protect: States have the primary obligation to protect their own populations from genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing, and crimes against humanity.
      • This responsibility is affirmed by the 2005 United Nations World Summit Outcome, which emphasizes that national governments must take proactive measures to prevent such atrocities within their territories.
    • International Cooperation and Support: The international community is obligated to assist states in fulfilling their protective responsibilities. This includes providing diplomatic, humanitarian, and other peaceful means to help protect populations at risk of genocide. If a state is manifestly failing to protect its citizens, the international community must be prepared to take collective action, including potential military intervention, in accordance with the UN Charter.
    • Early Warning Systems and Preventive Measures: Nations and international organizations should establish early warning systems to identify signs of potential genocidal acts. This involves gathering information, promoting human rights, addressing root causes of conflict, and implementing strategies that foster social cohesion and prevent discrimination.

    Way forward: 

    • Strengthen International Accountability Mechanisms: Nations must collaborate to reinforce the effectiveness of international courts and tribunals to ensure swift and impartial prosecution of genocidal acts. This includes reforming veto power in the UN Security Council to prevent deadlocks in responding to atrocities.
    • Invest in Prevention and Early Intervention: Establish robust early warning systems and prioritize diplomacy, economic aid, and social cohesion initiatives to address the root causes of conflicts, reducing the risk of genocidal acts before they escalate.

  • Under Trump, US withdraws from WHO: Impact, what this means for India

    Why in the News?

    On his first day in office, U.S. President Donald Trump signed an order to pull the country out of the World Health Organization (WHO).

    What will be the Impact of USA’s withdrawal from WHO?

    • Funding Shortfall for WHO: The USA accounted for 22.5% of WHO’s assessed contributions and approximately 13% of voluntary contributions in 2023.
      • The funding gap may affect WHO’s ability to implement health programs globally.
    • Disruption of Global Health Programs: WHO’s work in areas such as pandemics, neglected tropical diseases, antimicrobial resistance, and vaccination programs could face setbacks.
      • Loss of technical collaboration between the US CDC and WHO may weaken disease surveillance and pandemic preparedness.
    • Increased Influence of China: The vacuum left by the US could amplify China’s role within WHO, leading to concerns over political influence and transparency.
    • Undermining Global Health Equity: Withdrawal may hinder equitable access to healthcare resources, including vaccines and medicines, in developing nations.
    • Undermining Pandemic Treaty: The US will cease negotiations on the WHO pandemic treaty, affecting the framework for global cooperation on future pandemics.

    What are the Major Global Institutions and Challenges Faced by them?

    • United Nations (UN): Political divisions among member states, limited enforcement power, and funding constraints. The UN’s peacekeeping missions and humanitarian efforts often face resource shortages and geopolitical interference.
    • World Health Organization (WHO): Criticism for its pandemic response, reliance on voluntary funding, and political influence from member states. The WHO struggles to maintain independence and effectiveness in global health governance.
    • World Trade Organization (WTO): Increasing protectionism, trade disputes among major economies, and calls for reform to address inequities in global trade rules. The WTO faces difficulties in resolving conflicts like U.S.-China trade tensions.
    • International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank: Criticism of conditional lending practices, perceived bias favoring wealthier nations, and inefficiencies in addressing poverty and economic disparities. Both institutions face calls for governance reforms to better represent developing countries.
    • Regional Organizations (e.g., EU, African Union): Economic disparities among members, political instability, and resource limitations. For example, the EU faces challenges like migration issues and the aftermath of Brexit, while the African Union struggles with conflict resolution and development goals.

    What would be the Impact on India?

    • Funding Shortfalls for WHO Programs: The U.S. contributes approximately 15-20% of WHO’s budget, amounting to around $600 million annually.
      • This withdrawal could lead to significant funding gaps for various health programs like India’s immunisation programs that India benefits from, such as those addressing neglected tropical diseases, HIV, malaria, and tuberculosis.
    • Loss of Technical Expertise: The departure of U.S. experts from WHO committees could limit the organization’s ability to provide comprehensive guidelines and support for health policies in India.

    What are the reforms needed in Global Institutions?

    • Enhanced Representation and Inclusivity: Need to expand the UN Security Council and restructure voting power in organizations like the IMF and World Bank to ensure equitable decision-making.
    • Increased Transparency and Accountability: There is a pressing need for improved transparency in decision-making processes within global institutions. This includes establishing clear accountability mechanisms to address concerns about corruption, inefficiency, and lack of responsiveness to member states’ needs.

    Mains PYQ:

    Q Critically examine the role of WHO in providing global health security during the Covid-19 pandemic. (UPSC IAS/2020)

  • Places in news: Kerch Strait

    Why in the News?

    Two Russian ships spilled 3,350 tonnes of low-grade fuel into the Kerch Strait in Crimea, posing an environmental threat to the biodiversity hotspot.

    About the Kerch Strait

    • The Kerch Strait is a narrow, strategically crucial waterway connecting the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov.
    • It serves as a natural maritime corridor between the Crimean Peninsula and the Russian mainland.
    • It stretches approximately 41 kilometers in length and varying between 4-15 kilometers in width.
    • The strait features the Kerch-Yenikalsky canal, a critical maritime passage enabling larger vessels to traverse between the Black and Azov Seas.
    •  Port facilities at Kavkaz and Kerch serve as essential transportation hubs, facilitating significant cargo and passenger movements.
    • Geopolitical Significance
      • Since Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014, the Kerch Strait has become a focal point of international tension.
      • The construction of the Crimean Bridge in 2018 provides a direct land connection between Russian territory and the Crimean Peninsula.

    PYQ:

    [2008] Which one of the following straits is nearest to the International Date Line?

    (a) Malacca Strait

    (b) Bering Strait

    (c) Strait of Florida

    (d) Strait of Gibraltar

  • Mapping: Gulf of Mexico

    Mapping: Gulf of Mexico

    Why in the News?

    Donald Trump has proposed to change the name of the Gulf of Mexico to the “Gulf of America” after his plans for purchasing Greenland.

    About the Gulf of Mexico

    • The Gulf of Mexico is a marginal sea of the Atlantic Ocean.
    • It is bordered by:
      • United States: States of Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas.
      • Mexico: Eastern coast, including the Yucatán Peninsula.
      • Cuba: Southeastern boundary.
    • It is believed to have formed around 300 million years ago during the late Paleozoic era.
    • Its formation is linked to the breakup of the supercontinent Pangaea.
    • The Gulf has a subtropical to tropical climate.
    • It is prone to hurricanes and tropical storms
    • The Gulf is one of the world’s most significant oil-producing regions. It contains over 17% of global proven petroleum reserves.

    Strategic Location:

    • The Gulf is a crucial artery for international shipping, particularly between the Americas and Europe.
    • It connects to the Caribbean Sea and Atlantic Ocean through the Straits of Florida and to the Pacific Ocean via the Panama Canal.
    • The Gulf serves as a key area for U.S. naval operations.

  • [6th January 2024] The Hindu Op-ed: The outlook for India in the year ahead

    PYQ Relevance:

    Q) South China Sea has assumed great geopolitical significance in the present context. Comment. (UPSC CSE 2016) 
    Q) Clean energy is the order of the day.’ Describe briefly India’s changing policy towards climate change in various international fora in the context of geopolitics. (UPSC CSE 2022) 

    Mentor’s Comment: UPSC Mains has always focused on Regional Geopolitical Issues (2024) and India’s Development and Growth on the International stage (2018, 2022, & 2023).

    Global Economists predict that India’s GDP growth will average around 6.5% to 7% in 2025, despite a slowdown observed in late 2024. As India steps into 2025, the economic landscape presents a mix of optimism and challenges. 

    Today’s editorial outlines the key aspects shaping India’s outlook for the coming year, focusing on growth projections, inflation management, and geopolitical influences. This comprehensive content can be used in your Mains answer writing while discussing the Global uncertainties and changing geopolitics, where India’s Growth trajectory is affected.

    _

    Let’s learn!

    Why in the News?

    The year 2024 was characterized as a “global elections supercycle,” with over 70 countries, including major economies, scheduled to hold elections. 

    • This political climate is expected to generate significant regulatory and policy uncertainty in 2025, impacting international relations and economic strategies across the globe.
    What is the projected Outlook for India’s economy in 2025?

    • Various economists project India’s GDP growth to range between 6.3% and 7.2% for 2025, with a consensus around 6.5% to 6.9%, despite a slowdown observed in late 2024. 
    • The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) anticipates real GDP growth to recover in the latter half of the fiscal year, with estimates of 6.6% to 6.9% for FY25, supported by public consumption and investment.
    • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has upgraded its forecast for India’s growth to 7% for FY25, citing strong domestic demand and a rising working-age population.

    What are the new Economic and Political uncertainties in the World?

    • Economic Landscape: India is recognized as one of the leading nations in terms of economic growth and political stability, that demands an atmosphere of peace amidst global turmoil.
      • Inflation Issues: Inflation remains a crucial concern, impacting consumption and overall economic stability. Policymakers must navigate these pressures while encouraging investment.
      • Migration and Unemployment Issues: Addressing structural challenges such as job creation is critical, especially given the need to generate millions of jobs annually until 2030.
    • Political Landscape: The year 2024 witnessed significant political uncertainty worldwide, with ongoing conflicts in regions like Europe and West Asia, notably the Gaza crisis and the Ukraine conflict.
      • Global Major Powers: India’s democratic and globalized trajectory will be influenced by the changing political stability, with increase in right-wing policies and frameworks in western world from the new US administration to the European Union.
      • Geopolitical Tensions with China: Recent border negotiations with China have led to some disengagement at the Line of Actual Control, but the underlying border dispute remains unresolved. 
      • In September 2024, China and African nations jointly agreed to progress the China-sponsored Global Security Initiative (GSI) and deepen cooperation in areas. (steps to outmaneuver India in international forums)
      • China also managed to steal a march over India during the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Summit held in Pakistan in October. 
    How will South and West Asia make a major eclipse in regional Geopolitics for India?

    Current Situation in South Asia: India faces increasing isolation in South Asia, particularly after the ousting of Sheikh Hasina in Bangladesh, leading to questions about India’s neighborhood policy.
    • Nepal and Sri Lanka are perceived as “fair weather friends,” while relations with the Maldives remain uncertain. Pakistan continues to be antagonistic, and Afghanistan is not a priority for India.
    • Bhutan appears to be balancing its relations with India and China under its current leadership.

    Challenges in West Asia:
    • Impact of Syrian Developments: The ouster of the Assad regime in Syria is expected to have significant repercussions for the region, including implications for India.
    • Rise of Sunni Groups: The takeover by the Sunni group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) may shift regional dynamics, especially as it aligns with the Sunni majority in Syria.

    Regional Implications
    • Dismantling of Alliances: The changing power dynamics could weaken the so-called “axis of resistance,” affecting Iran’s influence and potentially diminishing support for groups like Hezbollah.• Israel’s Position: Israel may emerge stronger amid these changes, while the pro-Palestine movement could face setbacks.

    What are the further strands on Technological challenges?

    • The digital threat landscape is expected to escalate significantly in 2025, necessitating urgent attention and warnings about potential dangers.
    • In late 2024, India experienced a notable increase in cyber attacks, including denial of service and ransomware incidents targeting major companies and government institutions.
    • This trend is projected to grow exponentially, posing unprecedented risks to national infrastructure due to the convergence of various technologies.

    Conclusion: India must navigate this complex geopolitical landscape carefully, as both Political as well as Technological issues undergo significant transformations that could affect its regional influence and security.

    https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/the-outlook-for-india-in-the-year-ahead/article69065160.ece

  • [3rd January 2025] The Hindu Op-ed: Reflections as the world grows more ‘polarised’ 

    PYQ Relevance:

    Q) Hatred is destructive of a person’s wisdom and conscience that can poison a nation’s spirit. Do you agree with this view? Justify your answer. (UPSC CSE 2020)

    Mentor’s Comment: UPSC mains have always focused on ‘tolerance, assimilation and pluralism’ (2022) and ‘spirit and tolerance’ (2017).

    In the book Polarization: What Everyone Needs to Know (2019) by Nolan McCarty examines the social, economic, and geographic causes of political divides in America due to polarisation. After Trump’s 2024 re-election, the U.S. seemed deeply divided politically and culturally. Reflecting this, Merriam-Webster named “polarization” its 2024 word of the year.

    Today’s editorial critically examines the polarisation USA’s election and how would impact India and the world. This content can be used in Mains’s answer to substantiate the polarization in elections.

    _

    Let’s learn!

    Why in the News?

    Donald Trump’s win in the 2016 U.S. presidential election made people think about a “divided” America, with growing political and social differences made worse by fake news in a time when facts often take a back seat.

    How does polarization affect global governance and cooperation?

    • Erosion of Social Fabric: Political polarization in the U.S. has escalated into a divisive force that threatens the fundamental social fabric of democracy. This ideological rift has become an existential clash over national identity and governance, complicating international cooperation and consensus-building efforts.
    • Fragmented Political Landscape: The increasing divide has made it challenging for political leaders to engage in collaborative governance, as parties become more entrenched in their views, leading to gridlock in policymaking.
      • The polarization is not just limited to domestic issues but affects how the U.S. interacts with other nations, as differing ideologies can hinder diplomatic relations and cooperative agreements.

    What role does misinformation play in exacerbating polarization?

    • Amplification through Social Media: Misinformation plays a critical role in deepening political polarization by creating echo chambers where individuals are exposed only to viewpoints that reinforce their beliefs.
      • This phenomenon is exacerbated by social media platforms that prioritize sensational content over factual accuracy, leading to distorted perceptions of reality and increased tribalism among users.
    • Erosion of Trust: The spread of fake news contributes to a significant decline in trust towards democratic institutions and experts. As misinformation proliferates, individuals become more sceptical of credible sources, which further polarizes public opinion and complicates consensus on key issues such as health care and governance.

    How would it impact India? 

    • Shifts in U.S.-India Relations: The outcome of polarized elections in the U.S. directly impacts diplomatic and strategic relations with India. For instance, a Trump administration may adopt a more transactional approach to U.S.-India relations, focusing on trade and immigration policies that could challenge India’s interests.  
    • Domestic Political Ramifications: The polarization seen in the U.S. can resonate within India, potentially exacerbating existing social and political divides.
      • As Indian political parties observe the strategies employed by their American counterparts, there is a risk of adopting similar divisive tactics that could deepen polarization in Indian society, affecting governance and social cohesion.

    How we can navigate the complexities of a fragmented political landscape? (Way forward)

    • Promoting Dialogue and Understanding: To address the challenges posed by polarization, fostering open dialogue between opposing sides is essential. Initiatives that encourage cross-party discussions can help bridge divides and promote understanding of differing perspectives.
    • Educational Outreach: Increasing public awareness about the effects of misinformation and the importance of critical thinking can empower citizens to discern credible information from false narratives. Educational programs aimed at enhancing media literacy are crucial in navigating today’s complex political environment.
    • Encouraging Bipartisan Solutions: Focusing on common goals rather than partisan differences can facilitate collaboration on pressing issues. Policymakers should seek bipartisan support for initiatives that benefit the broader population, thereby reducing the perception of an “us vs. them” mentality.

    https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/reflections-as-the-world-grows-more-polarised/article69054883.ece

  • Ukraine ends supply of Russian gas to Europe

    Why in the News?

    For over 40 years, Russian gas has been transported to Europe through Ukraine, but these supplies are set to cease on January 1, following Ukraine’s Naftogaz decision not to renew its most recent five-year transit agreement with Russia’s Gazprom.

    Note: Student you can use this content in Prelims for facts related to map and mains exam for substantiate the argument related to geopolitical tension in Europe.

    Do you know about the Urengoy-Pomary-Uzhgorod pipeline?

    • The Urengoy-Pomary-Uzhgorod pipeline, also known as the Brotherhood pipeline, is a significant natural gas export route from Russia to Europe, primarily traversing Ukraine. The pipeline starts at the Urengoy gas field in northwest Siberia and extends southwest to Uzhhorod, Ukraine, near the Slovakian border.
    • It spans approximately 4,500 kilometers (2,800 miles), with about 1,160 kilometers (720 miles) located in Ukraine.
    • The pipeline was commissioned in 1984 and has been a crucial part of Russia’s gas export strategy to Europe.

    What is the volume of gas supplied through Ukraine?

    • Historical Context: At its peak, the pipeline system, including the Urengoy-Pomary-Uzhgorod pipeline, delivered approximately 201 billion cubic meters (bcm) of gas to Europe in 2018. However, this volume has drastically decreased over the years due to geopolitical tensions and the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
    • Recent Figures: In 2023, only about 15 bcm of gas was shipped through Ukraine, a significant drop from 65 bcm when the last five-year contract began in 2020.

    What are the Possible Impacts?

    • Economic Consequences for Ukraine: Ukraine is expected to lose up to $1 billion annually in transit fees due to the cessation of gas flows. To mitigate this loss, it plans to quadruple gas transmission tariffs for domestic consumers, which could burden its industry with additional costs exceeding $38.2 million per year.
    • Impact on Gazprom: Russia’s Gazprom is projected to lose around $5 billion in gas sales as a result of this halted transit.
    • European Energy Security: The European Union has prepared for this transition and does not anticipate immediate impacts on consumer prices.
      • Countries like Slovakia and Austria have secured alternative gas supplies from sources such as Norway and LNG imports from the U.S. and Qatar.
    • Hungary will continue receiving Russian gas through the TurkStream pipeline under the Black Sea.

    TurkStream pipeline

    • Energy Crisis in Moldova: The cessation has led to an energy emergency in Transdniestria, a breakaway region of Moldova that relies on these transit flows, resulting in cutoffs of heating and hot water supplies for residents

    Way forward: 

    • Enhanced Energy Diversification: Europe and Ukraine should continue to strengthen alternative energy supply routes, including LNG imports and renewable energy projects, to reduce reliance on Russian gas and ensure long-term energy security.
    • Support for Affected Regions: Provide immediate humanitarian and financial assistance to regions like Transdniestria and Moldova for energy infrastructure upgrades, while encouraging energy-efficient solutions to mitigate the crisis.

    Mains PYQ:

    Q What is the significance of Indo-US defence deals over Indo-Russian defence deals? Discuss with reference to stability in the Indo-Pacific region. (UPSC IAS/2020)