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GS Paper: GS2

  • BRICS Plus Naval Drills and South Africa Probe

    Why in the News?

    South Africa has initiated a probe into Iran’s participation in BRICS Plus naval exercises held near Cape Town, amid reports that President Cyril Ramaphosa wanted Iran to withdraw to avoid straining ties with the United States.

    Key Facts

    • Naval drills conducted in False Bay, close to Simon’s Town Naval Base.
    • Participating countries included China, Russia and Iran under the BRICS Plus framework.
    • Iranian naval vessels were observed operating alongside other participants throughout the exercise.
    • South Africa’s Defence Ministry ordered an inquiry to check whether presidential instructions were ignored or misinterpreted.

    Diplomatic Context

    • The drills coincided with US discussions on extending the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA).
    • South Africa fears possible trade repercussions or exclusion from AGOA.
    • The US Embassy in South Africa expressed concern over Iran’s involvement.

    About BRICS Plus

    • The BRICS is a forum for cooperation among a group of leading emerging economies. The BRICS includes 10 countries – Brazil, China, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Indonesia, Iran, Russian Federation, South Africa, United Arab Emirates.

    Prelims Pointers

    • BRICS Plus has both economic and security dimensions.
    • Naval exercises can have trade and diplomatic implications.
    • AGOA is a preferential trade programme of the United States for African countries.
    • South Africa follows a policy of strategic autonomy in foreign relations.
    [2025] Consider the following statements with regard to BRICS: 

    I. The 16th BRICS Summit was held under the Chairship of Russia in Kazan

    II. Indonesia has become a full member of BRICS

    III. The theme of the 16th BRICS Summit was Strengthening Multiculturalism for Just Global Development and Security

    Which of the statements given above is/are correct? 

    (a) I and II (b) II and III (c) I and III (d) I only

  • [19th January 2026] The Hindu OpED: Crisis in education: On the Supreme Court, higher education and student well-being

    Mentor’s Comment

    This article examines the Supreme Court’s intervention on student suicides and growing distress in higher education institutions. It highlights gaps in governance, faculty shortages, and regulatory failures, using the University of Madras as an example, and explains the issue in the context of constitutional powers and Centre-State constraints.

    Why in the News

    In an ongoing case on student suicides, the Supreme Court issued nine binding directions to the Centre and States by invoking Article 142 to address systemic problems in higher education. The Court recognised rapid expansion of higher education through privatisation without quality improvement. It ordered separate national tracking of suicides in higher education institutions (HEIs) and called for urgent filling of Vice-Chancellors, Registrars, and faculty vacancies. This marks a shift from short-term welfare measures to institutional accountability and governance reform.

    Case Brief 

    1. Case Name: Amit Kumar v. Union of India (2026)
    2. Context of the Case: Proceedings relating to student suicides in higher education institutions.
    3. Constitutional Provision Invoked: Article 142 of the Constitution of India.
    4. Primary Objective: Address student distress in higher education arising from academic, financial, social, and institutional factors.
    5. Key Observations:
      1. Recognition of massification of higher education driven by privatisation without a commensurate improvement in quality.
      2. Acknowledgement that student distress is multi-dimensional, covering financial, social, social injustice, and academic issues.
    6. Core Directions Issued:
      1. Nine directions issued to Central and State governments.
      2. Seven directions relate to separate record-keeping, reporting, and tracking of student suicides in HEIs.
      3. Directions to fill vacant posts of Vice-Chancellors, Registrars, and faculty members.
    7. Underlying Judicial Reasoning: These steps were viewed as essential to student well-being in higher education institutions.

    What systemic problems in higher education did the Court identify?

    1. Massification without quality: Rapid enrolment growth driven by privatisation, without proportional investment in teaching, research, and student support.
    2. Multidimensional distress: Financial burden, social exclusion, academic overload, and administrative opacity jointly affecting students.
    3. Governance fragility: Leadership vacancies and weak institutional processes undermining accountability.

    Why did the Court mandate suicide data tracking in HEIs?

    1. Evidence deficit: Absence of disaggregated, institution-wise data obscures scale and patterns of student suicides.
    2. Policy blindness: Lack of reliable reporting prevents targeted interventions and monitoring outcomes.
    3. Accountability architecture: Separate HEI-specific records institutionalise responsibility across governments and regulators.

    How do faculty and leadership vacancies affect student well-being?

    1. Teaching dilution: Faculty shortages reduce course coverage, mentoring, and assessment quality.
    2. Research erosion: Inadequate staffing weakens labs, centres of excellence, and postgraduate supervision.
    3. Administrative paralysis: Vacant Vice-Chancellor and Registrar posts stall reforms and grievance redressal.

    What does the University of Madras case reveal about public HEIs?

    1. Staffing collapse: Teaching strength at about half of sanctioned posts; no new appointments for years.
    2. Research atrophy: Advanced study centres (philosophy, botany, mathematics) operating below capacity.
    3. Public policy loss: State-relevant humanities, social science, and science research underutilised for governance.
    4. Leadership impasse: Vice-Chancellor appointments stalled amid Centre-State-Governor frictions.
    5. Illustrative value: As Tamil Nadu’s premier State university, the case reflects broader public HEI decline despite high enrolment and strong women’s education outcomes.

    What institutional and constitutional constraints complicate compliance?

    1. Appointment ambiguity: Pending clarity on Governors’ powers delays Vice-Chancellor selections.
    2. Regulatory timelines: Faculty recruitment under University Grants Commission norms requires ~six months.
    3. Fiscal constraints: Sustained budgetary support needed; Union assistance may be required.
    4. Supply bottlenecks: Limited availability of qualified faculty in certain disciplines.
    5. Integrity risks: Corruption and political-ideological appointments impair academic quality.

    Why is the Court’s timeline a strategic signal?

    1. Minimum system threshold: Emphasises basic staffing and governance before aspirational agendas.
    2. Outcome orientation: Links student well-being to institutional capacity, not ad hoc counselling.
    3. National priority: Positions robust public higher education as foundational to long-term development goals.

    Conclusion

    The Court’s directions recast student well-being as a governance outcome, not a peripheral welfare issue. By mandating data integrity, leadership appointments, and faculty adequacy, the order establishes minimum institutional conditions for credible higher education and signals urgency before aspirational national goals are pursued.

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2024] In a crucial domain like the public healthcare system the Indian State should play a vital role to contain the adverse impact of marketisation of the system. Suggest some measures through which the State can enhance the reach of public healthcare at the grassroots level.

    Linkage: The question highlights the risks of marketisation in essential social sectors, similar to privatisation in higher education without quality safeguards. It underlines the role of the Indian State in regulation, equity, and institutional capacity in sectors such as health and education.

  • India Germany Ties can only soar higher

    Why in the News

    India-Germany relations drew attention after German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s first visit to India and his first diplomatic engagement outside the Western Alliance, symbolised by his public interaction with Prime Minister Narendra Modi in Ahmedabad. The visit coincided with 75 years of diplomatic relations, signalling a shift from routine bilateral cooperation to a strategic partnership focused on trade resilience, skilled migration, and global stability. 

    Why are India and Germany described as economic heavyweights?

    1. Global economic ranking: Represents the third- and fourth-largest economies globally, with India projected to overtake Germany.
    2. Non-zero-sum outlook: Frames economic rise as mutually reinforcing rather than competitive.
    3. Market integration: Strengthens German exports to India and enhances Indian corporate presence in Germany.

    How does trade uncertainty shape bilateral priorities?

    1. Eroding trade order: Highlights vulnerability to trade wars and supply-chain disruptions.
    2. Free Trade Agreement focus: Positions an EU-India FTA as central to economic resilience.
    3. Predictability imperative: Reinforces need for stable rules to support innovation, industry, and employment.

    What makes the EU-India Free Trade Agreement strategically significant?

    1. Economic scaling: Facilitates next-stage growth for both economies.
    2. Supply-chain security: Reduces exposure to unilateral trade restrictions.
    3. Institutional linkage: Anchors India-Germany ties within the broader European Union-India framework.

    Why is migration a core pillar of the partnership

    1. Skilled migration model: Emphasises safe, legal, and predictable mobility.
    2. Human capital exchange: Addresses Germany’s workforce needs while creating opportunities for Indian youth.
    3. Cultural integration: Demonstrates adaptability and language acquisition among Indian migrants.

    How does defence cooperation fit into the evolving relationship?

    1. Strategic convergence: Expands cooperation beyond economics into security.
    2. Defence trade facilitation: Signals intent to simplify and deepen defence collaboration.
    3. Stability orientation: Aligns with shared concern over regional and global security disruptions.

    Why is the 75th anniversary of diplomatic ties important?

    1. Strategic continuity: Marks evolution from transactional ties to long-term alignment.
    2. Forward planning: Positions the anniversary as a launchpad for future initiatives.
    3. Institutional maturity: Reflects sustained engagement across governments and societies.

    Conclusion

    India-Germany relations can be presented as a durable strategic partnership grounded in economic complementarity, migration cooperation, and shared global concerns. The emphasis on trade resilience, people-centric engagement, and institutional frameworks suggests a trajectory of deepening interdependence rather than symbolic diplomacy.

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2019] ‘The time has come for India and Japan to build a strong contemporary relationship, one involving global and strategic partnership that will have a great significance for Asia and the world as a whole’. Comment.

    Linkage: This question tests India’s approach to strategic bilateral partnerships that go beyond region-specific interests to shape the global order. It directly links with articles like India-Germany ties, where economic complementarity, strategic trust, and people-to-people links are driving a non-zero-sum, global partnership model.

  • Mount Elbrus

    Why in the News?

    A controlled avalanche was artificially triggered on Mount Elbrus in Russia to safely release accumulated snow following heavy snowfall, reducing the risk of natural avalanches.

    About

    • Highest mountain in Europe
    • An ancient, extinct volcano with two distinct peaks
    • Part of the Caucasus mountain system
    • Major hub for mountaineering and alpine tourism

    Location

    • Situated in southwestern Russia
    • Lies in the Caucasus Mountains, just north of the Georgia border
    • Located between the Black Sea and Caspian Sea mountain corridor

    Key geological features

    • Twin coned stratovolcano formed over 2.5 million years ago
    • Highest peak at 5,642 metres
    • Second peak at 5,595 metres
    • Covered by 22 glaciers
    • Feeds major rivers such as Kuban and Terek
    • Though dormant for nearly 2,000 years, still shows sulphurous gas emissions and mineral springs

    Significance

    • Officially recognised as Europe’s highest peak
    • Included among the Seven Summits for global climbers
    • Important site for glaciological research and climate change studies
    • Observed by scientific missions including the International Space Station
    • Economically vital for tourism and adventure sports in the Caucasus region

    UPSC Prelims Pointers

    • Mount Elbrus is higher than Mont Blanc
    • It is an extinct stratovolcano, not a fold mountain
    • Located in the Caucasus, between the Black Sea and Caspian Sea
    • Hosts extensive glaciation despite being dormant
    • Controlled avalanches are used for disaster risk reduction in high mountain regions
    [2014] Turkey is located between: 

    (a) Black Sea and Caspian Sea 

    (b) Black Sea and Mediterranean Sea 

    (c) Gulf of Suez and Mediterranean Sea 

    (d) Gulf of Aqaba and Dead Sea

  • Central Vigilance Commission (CVC)

    Why in the News?

    Shri Praveen Vashista, IPS (Bihar cadre, 1991 batch), has been appointed as Vigilance Commissioner in the Central Vigilance Commission and took oath on 16 January 2026.

    About Central Vigilance Commission (CVC)

    • Apex integrity and vigilance institution of the Government of India
    • Mandated to promote integrity, transparency and accountability in public administration
    • Prevents corruption in Central Government organisations

    Established in

    • 1964 through an executive resolution of the Government of India
    • Granted statutory status under the Central Vigilance Commission Act, 2003

    Historical background

    • Originated from recommendations of the Santhanam Committee (1962 to 1964)
    • Initially functioned without statutory backing, limiting enforcement authority
    • Became an independent statutory body in 2003, strengthening supervisory and advisory powers

    Composition and members

    • Central Vigilance Commissioner as Chairperson
    • Up to two Vigilance Commissioners as Members
    • Appointed by the President of India on recommendation of a high level committee
    • Tenure of four years or up to 65 years of age, whichever is earlier

    UPSC Prelims Pointers

    • Statutory body since 2003
    • Superintendence over CBI limited to corruption cases
    • Chairperson and Members appointed by the President
    • Fixed tenure with age limit
    • Nodal authority for whistleblower protection
    [2025] Consider the following statements about Lokpal: 

    I. The power of Lokpal applies to public servants of India, but not to the Indian public servants posted outside India

    II. The Chairperson or a Member shall not be a Member of the Parliament or a Member of the Legislature of any State or Union Territory, and only the Chief Justice of India, whether incumbent or retired, has to be its Chairperson

    III. The Chairperson or a Member shall not be a person of less than forty-five years of age on the date of assuming office

    IV. Lokpal cannot inquire into the allegations of corruption against a sitting Prime Minister of India

    Which of the statements given above is/are correct? 

    (a) III only (b) II and III (c) I and IV (d) None of the above statements is correct

  • [17th January 2026] The Hindu OpED: On mute: On the U.S., geopolitical turmoil, India’s response

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2019] What introduces friction into the ties between India and the United States is that Washington is still unable to find for India a position in its global strategy, which would satisfy India’s National self- esteem and ambitions. Explain with suitable examples.

    Linkage: The question directly links to GS-II themes of India-US relations, strategic autonomy, and impact of great-power policies on India’s national interests. It reflects recurring UPSC focus on India’s discomfort with subordinate roles in U.S. strategy, evident in issues like sanctions, trade coercion, and technology access.

    Mentor’s Comment

    This article examines India’s muted diplomatic response to escalating unilateral actions by the United States across Venezuela, Iran, and South America, and evaluates the strategic, economic, and reputational costs of restraint. It raises a fundamental question for Indian foreign policy: whether silence safeguards national interest or erodes strategic autonomy at a critical geopolitical moment.

    Why in the News

    India’s foreign policy is being questioned as the U.S. takes increasingly unilateral actions, including regime-change threats in Venezuela and Iran and harsh tariff measures against countries trading with Russia and Iran. Despite being directly affected, India has avoided openly naming the U.S. or asserting its legal and strategic position. This silence is notable given India’s economic exposure, its investments in projects like Chabahar port, and its ambition to host the BRICS+ Summit, making the costs of restraint more visible.

    Why is U.S. conduct described as unilateral and destabilising?

    1. Regime Interventionism: Signals disregard for sovereignty through actions in Venezuela, including the kidnapping of the President and his wife, violating core principles of international law.
    2. Coercive Trade Instruments: Mandates up to 500% tariffs on countries purchasing oil or uranium from Russia, weaponising trade policy for geopolitical compliance.
    3. Expansion of Threat Theatre: Extends regime-change rhetoric beyond Venezuela to Cuba and Colombia, indicating regional destabilisation.
    4. Economic Coercion on Iran: Threatens 25% additional tariffs on any country trading with Iran, escalating sanctions into secondary punishment mechanisms.

    How has India officially responded to these developments?

    1. Diplomatic Language: Restricts response to expressions of “deep concern” without identifying U.S. violations or naming the perpetrator.
    2. Selective Silence: Avoids comment on Venezuela’s leadership abduction and threats to Cuba and Colombia due to perceived geographic distance.
    3. Operational Focus: Issues travel advisories for Iran and Israel and prepares evacuation plans for Indian students, prioritising contingency over diplomacy.
    4. Economic Retrenchment: Signals intent to further reduce already low levels of trade with Iran under U.S. pressure.

    Why is India’s silence on Iran particularly puzzling?

    1. Strategic Neighbourhood: Iran is a close regional neighbour with deep historical ties to India.
    2. Economic Investment: India has invested billions of dollars in the Chabahar port, which faces direct U.S. pressure for shutdown.
    3. Policy Inconsistency: Avoids comment on Iranian protests while also remaining silent on U.S. threats of strikes and tariffs.
    4. Asymmetric Signalling: Demonstrates risk-aversion despite direct national interest exposure.

    What explains New Delhi’s restrained posture towards Washington?

    1. Diplomatic Calculus: Anticipates improvement in ties following a tense year and failure to conclude the India-U.S. Bilateral Trade Agreement.
    2. Optimistic Signalling: Relies on assurances from U.S. Ambassador Sergio Gor regarding future cooperation.
    3. Technology Expectations: Seeks inclusion in the U.S.-led high-technology partnership Pax Silica, despite late-stage entry.
    4. Risk Avoidance: Assumes silence prevents further downturn in bilateral relations.

    What are the costs of this approach for India?

    1. Economic Loss: Tariff threats and trade disruption directly harm Indian economic interests.
    2. Reputational Damage: Weakens India’s image as an autonomous and principled global actor.
    3. Strategic Erosion: Undermines India’s long-standing doctrine of strategic autonomy.
    4. Multilateral Credibility: Weakens leadership standing ahead of hosting the BRICS+ Summit.

    What lesson does India’s past experience offer?

    1. 2019 Precedent: India ceased purchasing Iranian and Venezuelan oil under U.S. pressure.
    2. Policy Outcome: Concessions failed to secure long-term protection of Indian interests.
    3. Strategic Insight: Demonstrates that appeasement of a global power does not ensure national interest protection.

    Conclusion

    India’s restrained diplomacy reflects a short-term tactical calculation but risks long-term strategic dilution. National interest cannot be secured through silence or accommodation, but only through a clear assertion of strategic autonomy rooted in international law, economic self-interest, and diplomatic consistency.

  • Talks on Chabahar will continue with U.S. and Iran: India

    Why in the News

    India’s investments at Chabahar have come under renewed scrutiny after the U.S. President Donald Trump announced fresh tariff measures penalising countries trading with Iran. Media reports suggested India may exit Chabahar, but the Ministry of External Affairs clarified that a U.S. sanctions waiver remains valid till April 26, 2026, and negotiations with Washington are ongoing. The development is significant as it tests India’s ability to sustain strategic projects amid great-power economic coercion while preserving regional connectivity interests.

    Why has Chabahar become a focal point of India-U.S.-Iran tensions?

    1. U.S. Tariff Announcement: Imposes an additional 25% tariff on countries trading with Iran while engaging with the U.S., directly affecting India’s Iran-linked projects.
    2. Sanctions Context: Re-imposition of U.S. sanctions on Chabahar on September 29, 2025, revived uncertainty over India’s operational continuity.
    3. Strategic Sensitivity: Chabahar represents a rare U.S.-exempted India-Iran project, making it a litmus test for sanctions diplomacy.

    What is the status of the U.S. sanctions waiver on Chabahar?

    1. Treasury Guidance: A conditional sanctions waiver issued on October 28, 2025, remains valid until April 26, 2026.
    2. Negotiation Window: Provides India time to negotiate continued engagement without immediate punitive action.
    3. Diplomatic Engagement: India remains in active discussions with Washington to extend or recalibrate the arrangement.

    How has India officially responded to reports of winding up operations?

    1. MEA Clarification: Officially denied claims that India is exiting Chabahar.
    2. Continuity of Dialogue: India and Iran maintain engagement across difficult phases, including periods of intense Western sanctions.
    3. Operational Flexibility: Officials did not rule out renewal or continuation of work at the port.

    Why is Chabahar strategically critical for India?

    1. Regional Connectivity: Provides India direct access to Afghanistan and Central Asia, bypassing Pakistan.
    2. Geopolitical Balancing: Acts as a counter to Pakistan’s Gwadar port developed with Chinese support.
    3. Security and Trade: Enables humanitarian supplies and trade with Taliban-ruled Afghanistan.

    How do current diplomatic engagements shape the outcome?

    1. High-Level Talks: External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar is expected to meet U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio next month.
    2. Iran Engagement: Mr. Jaishankar recently spoke with Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi amid internal unrest in Iran.
    3. Institutional Mechanism: The 20th India-Iran Joint Commission Meeting (May 2025) continues to anchor long-term cooperation.

    Conclusion

    India’s Chabahar engagement underscores a calibrated foreign policy approach that balances strategic autonomy, regional connectivity, and economic exposure to sanctions. The continuation of the U.S. waiver and sustained diplomatic engagement signal India’s intent to preserve long-term strategic interests without precipitate withdrawal.

    Value Addition: Chabahar Port

    Strategic Significance

    1. Alternative Connectivity Corridor: Enables India’s access to Afghanistan and Central Asia bypassing Pakistan, overcoming geographic and political constraints.
    2. Counter-Gwadar Strategy: Offsets China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) leverage centred on Gwadar port.
    3. Indian Ocean Outreach: Extends India’s strategic footprint into the western Indian Ocean littoral.

    Economic and Trade Relevance

    1. Transit Trade Hub: Facilitates movement of Indian goods to Afghanistan and Central Asia, reducing transport time and costs.
    2. Humanitarian Corridor: Serves as a key route for food grains and relief supplies to Afghanistan during sanctions and instability.
    3. Logistics Integration: Links with International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC), enhancing Eurasian trade connectivity.

    Geopolitical and Diplomatic Dimensions

    1. Sanctions Diplomacy Case Study: Demonstrates India’s ability to negotiate issue-based exemptions within U.S. sanctions regimes.
    2. Strategic Autonomy Indicator: Reflects India’s balanced engagement with competing power blocs without formal alignment.
    3. Regional Stability Lever: Maintains diplomatic channels with Iran amid West Asia turbulence.

    Security and Regional Stability

    1. Afghanistan Access: Provides India strategic presence near Taliban-ruled Afghanistan without on-ground military involvement.
    2. Maritime Security: Enhances monitoring capability near key Sea Lines of Communication (SLOCs).
    3. Counter-Extremism Support: Enables non-military engagement in fragile regions through trade and development.

    Institutional and Policy Framework

    1. Bilateral Mechanism: Anchored under India-Iran Joint Commission framework for long-term cooperation.
    2. Operational Model: Managed by Indian entities under conditional sanctions waivers, reflecting adaptive diplomacy.
    3. Time-Bound Waivers: Illustrates uncertainty in infrastructure diplomacy under unilateral sanctions.

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2018] In what ways would the ongoing US-Iran Nuclear Pact Controversy affect the national interest of India? How should India respond to its situation?

    Linkage: The question examines the impact of great-power sanctions politics on India’s foreign policy choices, strategic autonomy, and energy-connectivity interests. U.S. sanctions pressure on Iran impacts India’s Chabahar engagement, underscoring India’s calibrated diplomacy to protect strategic interests.

  • Global Risks Report 2026 

    Why in the News?

    The World Economic Forum released the Global Risks Report 2026, based on the Global Risks Perception Survey of over 1300 global experts, highlighting geoeconomic confrontation as the most severe near term global risk.

    About the Report

    • 21st edition of the Global Risks Report
    • Analyses risks across three time horizons
      • Immediate term: 2026
      • Short to medium term: up to 2028
      • Long term: up to 2036
    • Survey respondents from academia, business, government, international organisations and civil society
    • Released ahead of the annual WEF meeting in Davos

    Top Risks in 2026

    • Geoeconomic confrontation ranked number one
      • Use of tariffs, sanctions, investment restrictions and control over critical minerals
    • Followed by State based armed conflict
    • Reflects retreat from multilateral cooperation and rise of economic weaponisation

    Economic Risks Trend

    • Economic risks show the sharpest rise in rankings
    • Economic downturn up to rank 11
    • Inflation rose to rank 21
    • Asset bubble burst moved to rank 18
    • Driven by debt stress, financial fragility and geopolitical rivalry

    Technological Risks

    • Misinformation and disinformation ranked 2nd in short term
    • Cyber insecurity ranked 6th in short term
    • Adverse outcomes of AI technologies
      • Rank 30 in 2 year outlook
      • Rank 5 in 10 year outlook
    • Concerns include job disruption, social harm, mental health impacts and military use of AI

    Societal Risks

    • Rising political and social polarisation
    • Weakening trust in institutions
    • Inequality identified as the most interconnected global risk for second consecutive year
    • Growth of street versus elite narratives challenging democratic resilience

    Environmental Risks

    • Short term deprioritisation
      • Extreme weather fell from rank 2 to 4
      • Pollution dropped from rank 6 to 9
      • Biodiversity loss and earth system change declined sharply
    • Long term dominance
      • Environmental risks occupy half of top 10 risks
      • Extreme weather ranked as the top long term risk
    • Environmental category viewed with highest pessimism over 10 year horizon

    Global Order Transition

    • Movement toward a multipolar and fragmented world
    • 68 percent respondents expect a contested multipolar order over next decade
    • Only 6 percent expect revival of a unipolar rules based system
    • Institutions rooted in Bretton Woods Conference under strain
    [2019] The Global Competitiveness Report is published by the: 

    (a) International Monetary Fund 

    (b) United Nations Conference on Trade and Development 

    (c) World Economic Forum 

    (d) World Bank

  • The message in India’s late entry to US-led groupings

    Why in the News?

    India has joined Pax Silica, a US-led effort to reshape global supply chains for semiconductors and critical technologies. However, India entered after the initiative was largely designed, similar to its late entry into the Minerals Security Partnership (MSP). This matters because Pax Silica prioritises strong manufacturing capacity, advanced processing, and ready technology ecosystems, areas where India still lags. The episode highlights a clear pattern: India is valued for strategic reasons but lacks technological leverage, limiting its bargaining power in US-led economic security groupings.

    What is Pax Silica?

    1. It is the U.S Department of State’s flagship effort on AI and supply chain security, advancing new economic security consensus among allies and trusted partners.
    2. Strategic concept: Spanning critical minerals → energy → advanced manufacturing → semiconductors → AI infrastructure → logistics
    3. Core Objectives:
      1. Reduce coercive dependencies
      2. Partner to secure global tech supply chains, address AI supply chain opportunities and vulnerabilities, and explore joint investment
      3. Protect sensitive technologies and build trusted digital infrastructure
    4. Long Term Framework:
      1. Unite countries hosting advanced tech companies to unleash the economic potential of the new AI age
      2. Establish a durable economic order to drive AI-powered prosperity across partner nations

    What does India’s late entry into Pax Silica indicate?

    1. Timing disadvantage: Signals entry after agenda-setting was completed, limiting India’s ability to shape rules or priorities.
    2. Pattern repetition: Reflects earlier experience with MSP, where India joined after core structures were in place.
    3. Diplomatic signalling: Indicates conciliatory outreach by the US rather than proactive Indian leverage.

    Why does Pax Silica matter?

    1. Strategic objective: Restructures semiconductor and advanced manufacturing supply chains away from China.
    2. Economic coercion control: Reduces vulnerability to Chinese leverage in global chip production.
    3. Technology governance: Aligns partner countries on standards for AI, semiconductors, and digital infrastructure.

    Why is India seen as lacking a ‘critical edge’?

    1. Manufacturing depth: Absence of large-scale advanced semiconductor fabrication capacity.
    2. Processing capability: Limited expertise in high-end chip processing and precision manufacturing.
    3. Ecosystem gaps: Weak integration of research, fabrication, and supply-chain logistics.

    How does Pax Silica compare with other member countries?

    1. Japan and South Korea: Strong semiconductor fabrication and equipment manufacturing base.
    2. Taiwan: Global leadership in advanced chip manufacturing.
    3. Singapore: Critical logistics, processing hubs, and supply-chain integration.
    4. Israel and UK: Advanced innovation ecosystems and high-end R&D capabilities.
    5. India: Emerging manufacturing base but insufficient scale and specialization.

    What does this reveal about US strategic intent?

    1. China containment: Sidelines China from high-end technology and semiconductor supply chains.
    2. Selective inclusion: Prioritises countries with immediate technological deliverables.
    3. Geopolitical balancing: Includes India for strategic depth, not technological indispensability.

    Why does this matter for India’s foreign and economic policy?

    1. Reduced bargaining power: Late inclusion weakens India’s ability to demand concessions.
    2. Capability-first diplomacy: Demonstrates that geopolitical alignment alone is insufficient.
    3. Strategic lesson: Economic security partnerships increasingly reward technological readiness, not political intent.

    Conclusion

    India’s entry into Pax Silica underscores a structural challenge in its external engagement: strategic relevance without commensurate technological capacity. The episode reinforces that future influence in global groupings will depend less on diplomatic goodwill and more on domestic manufacturing strength, processing expertise, and ecosystem maturity.

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2024] “The West is fostering India as an alternative to reduce dependence on China’s supply chain and as a strategic ally to counter China’s political and economic dominance.” Explain this statement with examples.

    Linkage: It reflects Western strategy to de-risk supply chains and counter China through selective partnerships with India. Contemporary Linkage: Pax Silica and MSP show India’s geopolitical value, but late entry highlights capability-based inclusion.

  • Fake news, deepfakes, influencers-Elections 2026

    Why in the news

    India is approaching the 2026 election cycle amid unprecedented digital disruption of democratic processes. Electioneering has decisively shifted from rallies and manifestos to WhatsApp, influencers, and AI-generated content. This marks a sharp departure from earlier elections where television and print dominated political messaging. The scale is significant, with over 900 million internet users, 90 crore television viewers, and 65% of Indians relying on social media for news, creating fertile ground for misinformation, manipulation, and synthetic political content.

    How has electioneering fundamentally changed?

    1. Digital-first campaigning: Replaces ground mobilisation with podcasts, WhatsApp channels, and algorithm-driven platforms.
    2. WhatsApp-first political communication: BJP’s launch of India’s first “WhatsApp Elections” in 2024 institutionalised private messaging as a campaign tool.
    3. Attention-driven narratives: Rewards sensationalism over verification due to speed and virality.

    What exactly constitutes fake news in the Indian context?

    1. Undefined legal status: Lacks a formal definition under Indian law.
    2. Comparative clarity: Australia’s eSafety Commissioner defines fake news as “fictional news stories tailored to support certain agendas.”
    3. Sensational amplification: Algorithmic platforms magnify emotional and polarising content.

    Why is fake news proliferating at scale?

    1. Platform dependence: 65% of Indians view social media as a primary news source.
    2. High trust deficit: 40% believe fake news shapes political views.
    3. Electoral sensitivity: Fake news increasingly targets polarising political themes.
    4. Verification collapse: Speed of dissemination outpaces fact-checking mechanisms.

    Where does fake news spread most rapidly?

    1. Encrypted platforms: WhatsApp and Telegram enable rapid, untraceable circulation.
    2. Algorithmic ecosystems: X (Twitter), Instagram, and Facebook reward engagement over accuracy.
    3. Regional language media: Hindi and regional newspapers retain higher credibility, creating selective trust asymmetries.
    4. Television saturation: India hosts nearly 900 private TV channels, amplifying narrative competition.

    Who are the new political intermediaries?

    1. Influencers as opinion brokers: Gen Z reliance stands at 13% globally and over 8% for certain influencers.
    2. Algorithmic reach: Influencer visibility often exceeds that of traditional journalists.
    3. State engagement: Government engagement with influencers through events like “Mann Ki Baat.”
    4. Institutional penetration: Influencers empanelled in 2023 under a CEO-led initiative.

    What role do deepfakes play in electoral manipulation?

    1. Synthetic media proliferation: AI-generated audio and video increasingly mimic political leaders.
    2. Documented misuse: Deepfake videos surfaced during recent Lok Sabha elections.
    3. Low-cost production: Reduces barriers for political disinformation.
    4. Cross-party vulnerability: Affects ruling and opposition parties alike.

    How prepared is the regulatory system?

    1. Delayed response: Model Code of Conduct provisions activated late in election cycles.
    2. Enforcement deficit: Difficulty tracing encrypted or AI-generated content.
    3. Partial institutional awareness: Meta approved 14 AI-generated electoral ads, signalling scale but weak deterrence.
    4. Reactive governance: Regulation follows disruption rather than anticipating it.

    Conclusion

    India’s electoral democracy is entering a phase where technological speed, anonymity, and algorithmic incentives overpower institutional safeguards. The convergence of fake news, influencer politics, and deepfakes represents not a temporary challenge but a systemic risk. Without anticipatory regulation and voter literacy, elections risk becoming contests of manipulation rather than mandate.

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2022] Discuss the role of the Election Commission of India in the light of the evolution of the Model Code of Conduct.

    Linkage: The Model Code of Conduct expanded the Election Commission’s role beyond conducting elections to enforcing ethical political behaviour. Digital campaigns, misinformation, and deepfakes now test the ECI’s regulatory capacity under the MCC.