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GS Paper: GS3

  • Bad bank

    The article suggests drawing the lessons from China’s experience with the bad bank as India India gets ready to operationalise a new bad bank.

    Bad bank in China and issues

    • In the aftermath of the Asian financial crisis, China set up dedicated bad banks for each of its big four state-owned commercial banks.
    • These bad banks were meant to acquire non-performing loans (NPLs) from those banks and resolve them within 10 years.
    • In 2009, their tenure was extended indefinitely.
    • Chinese banks can currently transfer NPLs only to the national or local bad banks.
    • One of China’s biggest bad banks is the China Huarong Asset Management Co. Ltd. (Huarong).
    • The Chinese government is its principal shareholder.
    • Recently this bad bank stoked financial stability concerns when it skirted a potential bond default.
    • An incentive to conceal: Recent research at the National University of Singapore and others highlights that Chinese bad banks effectively help conceal Non-Performing Loans.
    • The banks finance over 90 per cent of NPL transactions through direct loans to bad banks or indirect financing vehicles.
    • The bad banks resell over 70 per cent of the NPLs at inflated prices to third parties, who happen to be borrowers of the same banks.
    • The researchers conclude that in the presence of binding financial regulations and opaque market structures bad bank model could create incentives to hide bad loans instead of resolving them.
    • Broadening of tenure: In case of Huarong, the main source of the problem appears to be the gradual broadening of the original mandate and tenure of Chinese bad banks.

    Four lessons for India

    • India is about to operationalise a new bad bank, the National Asset Reconstruction Company Ltd. (NARCL).
    • The Chinese experience holds four important lessons for India.

    1) Finite tenure of bad bank

    • A centralised bad bank like NARCL should ideally have a finite tenure.
    • Such an institution is typically a swift response to an abrupt economic shock (like Covid) when orderly disposal of bad loans via securitisation or direct sales may not be possible.
    • The banks could transfer their crisis-induced NPLs to the bad bank and focus on expanding lending activity.
    • The bad bank in turn can restructure and protect asset value.
    • Over time, it could gradually dispose of the assets to private players.

    2) Narrow mandate

    •  A bad bank must have a specific, narrow mandate with clearly defined goals.
    • Transferring NPLs to a bad bank is not a solution in itself.
    • There must be a clear resolution strategy.
    • Otherwise, allowing a bad bank to exist in perpetuity risks a potential mission creep, which might in the long run threaten financial stability itself.

    3) Diversify the sources of funds for ARC

    • Indian banks remain exposed to these bad loans even after they are transferred to asset reconstruction companies (ARCs).
    • The RBI Bulletin (2021) notes that sources of funds of ARCs have largely been bank-centric.
    • The same banks also continue to hold close to 70 per cent of the total security receipts (SRs).
    • To address this problem, RBI has tightened bank provisioning while liberalising foreign portfolio investment norms.

    4) Resolution of bad loans should be through market mechanism

    • In a steady state, the resolution of bad loans should happen through a market mechanism and not through a multitude of bad banks.
    • In India, the Narasimham Committee (1998) had envisaged a single ARC as a bad bank.
    • Yet, the SARFAESI Act, 2002 ended up creating multiple, privately owned ARCs.
    • As a result, regulations have treated ARCs like bad banks, although functionally they are closer to stressed asset funds registered as Alternative Investment Fund Category II (AIFs).
    • With the setting up of NARCL as a centralised bad bank, the regulatory arbitrage between ARCs and AIFs must end.
    • While AIFs should be allowed to purchase bad loans directly from banks and enjoy enforcement rights under the SARFAESI Act.
    • ARCs should be allowed to purchase stressed assets from mutual funds, insurance companies, bond investors and ECB lenders.
    • ARC trusts should be allowed to infuse fresh equity in distressed companies, within IBC or outside of it.
    • Lastly, the continued interest of the manager/sponsor of ARCs should be at par with AIFs, that is, at least 2.5 per cent in each scheme or Rs 5 crore, whichever is lower.

    Conclusion

    The Chinese experience should nudge Indian policymakers to limit the mandate and tenure of NARCL, while facilitating market-based mechanisms for bad loan resolution in a steady state.

  • Proposal for Integrated Theatre Commands

    The Chief of Defence Staff has held a meeting with the Vice Chiefs of the Army, the Navy and the Air Force, and others in the backdrop of concerns about the proposed model of the integrated theatre commands.

    What are integrated theatre commands?

    • In the simplest words, it is a unified command under which all the resources of the Army, the Navy and the Air Force are pooled, depending on the threat perception.
    • The commands could be geographical — like looking at a border with a particular country — or thematic, like a command for all maritime threats.
    • Several nations in the world have theatre commands, including the United States and China.

    Is theatre commands a new idea?

    • The idea of creating an integrated tri-Services command in India is not new — it had been recommended at various levels after the Kargil conflict.
    • When Gen Rawat was appointed Chief of Defence Staff in January 2020 with a mandate to raise such commands within his three-year tenure, the idea was finally brought to the design table.
    • After his appointment, Gen Rawat had commissioned studies within each of the armed forces to come up with ideas of what these commands could look like.
    • These were headed by the Vice Chiefs of the forces.
    • Last year, Gen Rawat had suggested that the first of these commands, the Air Defence Command, could come up by the end of 2020.
    • However, the process has been delayed due to multiple factors, including the Covid-19 pandemic.
    • Officials are now suggesting that some of the new commands could be rolled out by the end of this year.

    What is the proposal under discussion?

    • A model with four to five integrated tri-Services theatre commands is under discussion, with each command headed by a three-star officer.
    • This officer, the theatre commander, will report to the Chiefs of Staff Committee (COSC), which, as the name suggests, includes the three Service Chiefs, and is headed by the CDS as its permanent chairman.
    • This brings in a major change — the Service chiefs currently have all the operational control over their forces; operational powers will now move to the COSC.
    • Each of these commands will have the needed assets from all the three forces. Operational control over all of those assets, regardless of the force, will lie with the commander of that theatre.

    The proposed commands are:

    • A Maritime Theatre Command, which will take care of all the maritime security needs of the country on both the eastern and the western seaboards, and will include air strike assets and amphibian forces of the Army.
    • An Air Defence Command, which will be mandated with air defence across the country and beyond. The fighter jets will have reconnaissance and surveillance assets as well.
    • Two or three land-based commands are proposed. If there are two commands, there will be one each for India’s borders with China and Pakistan.
    • But there is also a proposal to have another command looking at India’s borders with Pakistan and China in Jammu and Kashmir, and Ladakh.
    • There will be a Logistics Command, which will have the logistics of all the Services under one person; and there will be a Training and Doctrine Command, so that all Services work under a common doctrine and have some basic common training.

    What will be the role of the Services, if not operational?

    • As of now, the Services have to speak to each other in times of need and urgency to request their assets to conduct a particular operation.
    • The proposal is to have a theatre commander who will have operational control of the assets under his command, thus enhancing jointness among the forces, and also reducing duplication of resources.
    • However, this would leave the Service chiefs with no direct control over their assets operationally.
    • This does not mean their roles will be made redundant. Now the Services will have the core tasks to Raise, Train and Sustain their respective forces.
    • Also, as each chief will be a member of the COSC and an expert of his/her domain, his or her inputs will be necessary for all operational decisions.

    Readiness of the services

    • Sources within the Services and the Defence Ministry have mentioned that while the Army and the Navy are on board with the proposal, the Air Force has certain reservations.
    • One, the Air Force does not want the Air Force chief to lose operational control of Air assets, according to the sources.
    • Two, the Air Force is concerned that all of its assets might be divided within these integrated theatres.
    • Sources in the Air Force said that all such concerns need to be addressed before such a significant transformation of the defence set-up takes place.

    How many commands are there now; are any of them tri-Service commands?

    As of now, the three forces have 17 commands between them.

    • The Army has seven commands: Northern, Eastern, Southern, Western, Central, Southwestern and Army Training Command (ARTRAC).
    • The Air Force has seven as well: Western, Eastern, Southern, Southwestern, Central, Training, and Maintenance commands.
    • The Navy has three: Western, Eastern and Southern, of which Southern is largely about training.
    • Even if these commands operate in the same region, they are not co-located, and their areas of operational responsibility are not necessarily the same.
    • There are two existing tri-Service commands as well — the Andaman and Nicobar Command (ANC), which is headed by rotation by officers from the three Services.

  • GIMAC: India’s first maritime arbitration centre

    The Gujarat Maritime University signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the International Financial Services Centres Authority in GIFT City to promote the Gujarat International Maritime Arbitration Centre (GIMAC).

    What is GIMAC?

    • The GIMAC will be part of a maritime cluster that the Gujarat Maritime Board (GMB) is setting up in GIFT City at Gandhinagar.
    • The Maritime Board has rented about 10,000 square feet at GIFT House which is part of the Special Economic Zone (SEZ) area with clearance from the development commissioner.
    • This will be the first centre of its kind in the country that will manage arbitration and mediation proceedings with disputes related to the maritime and shipping sector.
    • The centre is expected to be ready by the end of August.

    Why is such a centre needed?

    • It is required because, for instance, the ship owners belong to a different country and the person leasing the ship is from another country.
    • Any dispute arising between them can be resolved within this centre.
    • There are over 35 arbitration centres in India. However, none of them exclusively deals with the maritime sector.
    • The arbitration involving Indian players is now heard at the Singapore Arbitration Centre.
    • The idea is to create a world-class arbitration centre focused on maritime and shipping disputes that can help resolve commercial and financial conflicts between entities having operations in India.
    • Globally, London is the preferred centre for arbitration for the maritime and shipping sector.

    What is the current status of the project?

    • The process of recruiting staff for the arbitration centre is currently underway.
    • A 10-member advisory board for GIMAC, consisting of international experts and professionals, has been created, which will help in the framing of rules for the arbitration centre and in empanelling arbitrators.

  • National Anti-Profiteering Authority (NAA)

    The National Anti-Profiteering Authority (NAA) has directed GST officials across the country to ensure that the tax rate cuts notified on some COVID-19-related essentials are passed on to consumers.

    What is National Anti-Profiteering Authority (NAA)?

    • The NAA has been constituted under Section 171 of the Central GST Act, 2017 to ensure that the reduction in the rate of tax or the benefit of the input tax credit is passed on to the recipient by way of commensurate reduction in prices.
    • The decision about the formation of the NAA came in the background of a rate reduction of a large number of items by the GST Council in its 22ndmeeting at Guwahati.
    • At the meeting, the Council reduced rates of more than 200 items including goods and services.
    • This has made a tremendous price reduction effect and the consumers will be benefited only if the traders are making the quick reduction of the prices of respective items.
    • There was a concern that traders are reluctant to make price cuts so that they can make a profit.

    Answer this PYQ in the comment box:

    Q. Consider the following items:

    1. Cereal grains hulled
    2. Chicken eggs cooked
    3. Fish processed and canned
    4. Newspapers containing advertising material

    Which of the above items is/are exempt under GST (Goods and Services Tax)?

    (a) 1 only

    (b) 2 and 3 only

    (c) 1, 2 and 4 only

    (d) 1, 2, 3 and 4

    What is profiteering?

    • Profiteering means unfair profit realized by traders by manipulating prices, tax rate adjustment etc.
    • In the context of the newly launched GST, profiteering means that traders are not reducing the prices of the commodities when the GST Council reduces the tax rates of commodities and services.
    • Conventionally, several traders will have a strong tendency to quickly increase the price of a commodity whose tax rate has been increased.
    • But on the opposite side, they may delay the price reduction of a commodity whose tax rate has been cut by the government.
    • A delayed or postponed price reduction helps business firms to make a higher profits. The losers here are the consumers.

    Functioning of NAA

    • The Authority’s main function is to ensure that traders are not realizing unfair profit by charging high prices from the consumers in the name of GST.
    • Traders may charge high prices from the consumers by naming the GST factor.
    • Similarly, they may not make quick and corresponding price reductions when the GST Council makes a tax cut. All these constitute profiteering.
    • The responsibility of the NAA is to examine and check such profiteering activities and recommend punitive actions including the cancellation of licenses.

    Steps were taken by the NAA to ensure that customers get the full benefit of tax cuts:

    • Holding regular meetings with the Zonal Screening Committees and the Chief Commissioners of Central Tax to stress upon consumer awareness programs;
    • Launching a helpline to resolve the queries of citizens regarding registration of complaints against profiteering.
    • Receiving complaints through email and the NAA portal.
    • Working with consumer welfare organizations in order to facilitate outreach activities.

  • It’s time for RBI to turn its attention to inflation

    Recently, CPI inflation crossed the RBI’s upper limit of 6%. The article explains the implications of this for various stakeholders.

    How inflation benefits government as a borrower

    • Rising inflation hurts lenders and benefits borrowers.
    • To that extent, the government, one of the biggest borrowers, stands to benefit as high inflation will lower the national debt load in relation to the size of the economy.
    • The Union budget 2021-22 assumed a 14.4 per cent growth in nominal GDP, however, actual growth is set to exceed this.
    • The GDP deflator, which measures the difference between nominal and real GDP, is a weighted average of WPI and CPI, with a higher weightage to WPI.
    • And given that nominal GDP is used as a base for computing the fiscal ratios, all of these will get deflated.
    • The value of past debt and debt servicing costs thus gets pared in real terms as inflation rises.
    • Viewed from a debt dynamics perspective, as the gap between growth and interest rates rises, the debt/GDP ratio falls.

    Impact on other stakeholder

    • That inflation reduces purchasing power and hits private consumption is well known.
    • Overall food CPI inflation (5 per cent) was lower than non-food inflation (7.1 per cent) in May.
    • Lower food inflation, coupled with higher non-food inflation means reduced purchasing power for farmers.
    • Inflation trends, specifically input prices (reflected better by WPI), matter for corporate performance as well.
    • While producers seem to be bearing a part of the burden of rising input costs for now, these could get passed on in greater measure to consumers once demand recovers.
    • Rising inflation reduces returns on fixed income instruments, including bank deposits, which account for over 50 per cent of households’ financial savings.
    • This has already induced a shift to riskier asset classes such as equities, which has ramifications for overall financial stability.

    Way forward

    • The RBI will have to closely monitor inflation trends and calibrate its policy response.
    • It has not intervened on high inflation since the onset of the pandemic and, rightly so, in order to support growth.
    • But the current spell of inflation is over a high base and a continuation of recent trends will persuade it to turn the focus back on inflation.
    •  Given the need for monetary policy to stay accommodative, it might be time to consider other supply-side interventions such as cuts in excise rates on petroleum products to soften the inflation blow.

    Consider the question “As a one of the largest borrowers, how rising inflation benefits the government? How high inflation affects the other sections of the economy?”

    Conclusion

    Given the impact rising inflation has for the braoader sections of the economy, it is time for RBI to turn its attention to inflation.

  • What is AgriStack?

    The Department of Agriculture, Cooperation and Farmers Welfare has entered into an MoU with Microsoft Corporation to start a pilot project in 100 villages to create a ‘Unified Farmer Service Interface’ through its cloud computing services.

    AgriStack

    • The AgriStack is a collection of technologies and digital databases proposed by the Central Government focusing on India’s farmers and the agricultural sector.
    • The central government has claimed that these new databases are being built to primarily tackle issues such as poor access to credit and wastage in the agricultural supply chain.
    • Under AgriStack’, the government aims to provide ‘required data sets’ of farmers’ personal information to Microsoft to develop a farmer interface for ‘smart and well-organized agriculture’.
    • The digital repository will aid precise targeting of subsidies, services and policies, the officials added.
    • Under the programme, each farmer of the country will get what is being called an FID, or a farmers’ ID, linked to land records to uniquely identify them. India has 140 million operational farm-land holdings.
    • Alongside, the government is also developing a unified farmer service platform that will help digitise agricultural services delivery by the public and private sectors.

    Issues with the move

    • Agriculture has become the latest sector getting a boost of ‘techno solutionism’ by the government.
    • But it has, since then, also become the latest sector to enter the whole debate about data privacy and surveillance.
    • Since the signing of the MoUs, several concerns related to sharing farmers’ data with private companies the major one being Microsoft whose owner Bill Gates is said to be the largest private farmland owner in the US.
    • In all the MoUs, there are provisions under which the agriculture ministry will enter into a data sharing agreement with the private companies of the likes of Amazon, Microsoft and Patanjali.
    • The development has raised serious concerns about information asymmetry, data privacy and consent, profiling of farmers, mismanaged land records and corporatization of agriculture.
    • The formation of ‘Agristack’ also implies commercialization of agriculture extension activities as they will shift into a digital and private sphere.

    Why such concerns?

    • The project was being implemented in the absence of a data protection legislation.
    • It might end up being an exercise where private data processing entities may know more about a farmer’s land than the farmer himself.
    • Without safeguards, private entities would be able to exploit farmers’ data to whatever extent they wish to.
    • This information asymmetry, tilted towards the technology companies, might further exploit farmers, especially small and marginal ones.

    What are some major threats?

    • One of the biggest worries is the threat of financial exploitation.
    • We have already seen how microfinance firms have wreaked financial havoc in rural hinterlands.
    • Now, once Fintech companies are able to collect granular data about the farmers’ operations, they may offer them usurious rates of interest precisely when they would be in the direst need for credit.
    • With this, the risk of commodifying agriculture and farmer data ran high.

  • What is a Full Ship Shock Trial (FSST)?

    The US Navy Friday carried out a ‘full ship shock trial’ on its newest and most advanced nuclear-powered aircraft carrier to ensure its hardness was capable of withstanding battle conditions.

    What is a Full Ship Shock Trial (FSST)?

    • During World War II, American warships suffered severe damage from enemy mines and torpedoes that had actually missed their target, but exploded underwater in close proximity.
    • The US Navy has since worked to improve the shockproofing of their ship systems to minimize damage from such “near miss” explosions.
    • In FSSTs, an underwater explosive charge is set off near an operational ship, and system and component failures are documented.
    • The FSST probes whether the components survive shock in their environment on the ship; it probes the possibilities of system failures, and large components that could not be otherwise tested.

  • [pib] Guidelines for Other Service Providers (OSP)

    The Union Minister for Electronics & Information Technology has further liberalized the guidelines for Other Service Providers (OSPs).

    Do you remember quaternary and quinary sectors of Economy from NCERTs?

    What are OSPs?

    • These entities are business process outsourcing (BPO) organizations giving Voice based services, in India and abroad.
    • The term Business Process Outsourcing or BPO as it is popularly known, refers to outsourcing in all fields.
    • A BPO service provider usually administers and manages a particular business process for another company.
    • BPOs either use new technology or apply an existing technology in a new way to improve a particular business process.
    • India is currently the number one destination for business process outsourcing, as most companies in the US and UK outsource IT-related business processes to Indian service providers.

    Main features of the liberalized guidelines

    • Distinction between Domestic and International OSPs has been removed. A BPO centre with common Telecom resources will now be able to serve customers located worldwide including in India.
    • EPABX (Electronic Private Automatic Branch Exchange) of the OSP can be located anywhere in the world. OSPs apart from utilising EPABX services of the Telecom Service Providers can also locate their EPABX at third Party Data Centres in India.
    • With the removal of the distinction between Domestic and International OSP centres, the interconnectivity between all types of OSP centres is now permitted.
    • Remote Agents of OSP can now connect directly with the Centralised EPABX/ EPABX of the OSP/ EPABX of the customer using any technology including Broadband over wireline/ wireless.
    • No restriction for data interconnectivity between any OSP centres of same company or group company or any unrelated company.

  • Population decline: Bane and Boon for the economy

    Deflation. A recent (2014) study found substantial deflationary pressures from Japan’s ageing populationThe article argues that a decline in population is not always as worrisome as it is made to be.

    Declining fertility rate

    • China’s fertility rate of 1.3 children per woman in 2020 is well below replacement level, but so, too, are fertility rates in every rich country.
    • In all developed economies, fertility rates fell below replacement in the 1970s or 1980s and have stayed there.
    • In India, more prosperous states have fertility rates below replacement level, with only the poorer states of Bihar and Uttar Pradesh still well above.
    • And while the national rate in 2018 was still 2.2, the Indian National Family Health Survey finds that Indian women would like to have, on average, 1.8 children.
    • In all prosperous countries where women are well educated and free to choose whether and when to have children, fertility rates fall significantly below replacement levels.
    • If those conditions spread across the world, the global population will eventually decline.

    Is the declining population good or bad for the economy

    • A pervasive conventional bias assumes that population decline must be a bad thing.
    • But while absolute economic growth is bound to fall as populations stabilise and then decline, it is the income per capita that matters for prosperity and economic opportunity.
    • It is true that when populations no longer grow, there are fewer workers per retiree, and healthcare costs rise as a percent of GDP.
    • But that is offset by the reduced need for infrastructure and housing investment to support a growing population.
    • A stable and eventually falling global population would make it easier to cut greenhouse-gas emissions to avoid climate change, and alleviate the pressure that growing populations inevitably place on biodiversity and fragile ecosystems.
    • And contracting workforces create stronger incentives for businesses to automate while driving up real wages, which, unlike absolute economic growth, are what really matter to ordinary citizen.
    • In a world where technology enables us to automate ever more jobs, the far bigger problem is too many potential workers, not too few.
    • Even when the Indian economy grows rapidly, its highly productive “organised sector” of about 80 million workers, fails to create additional jobs.
    • Growth in the potential workforce simply swells the huge “informal sector” army of unemployed and underemployed people.

    So, when declining populations turns to be a problem?

    •  Fertility rates far below replacement level create significant challenges, and China may well be heading in that direction.
    • At those rates, population decline will be precipitate rather than gradual.
    • If Korea’s (fertility rate 1.09) birth rate does not rise, its population could fall from 51 million today to 27 million by 2100, and the ratio of retirees to workers will reach levels that no amount of automation can offset.

    Conclusion

    The average fertility rates well below replacement level in all developed countries, and, over time, gradually falling populations. The sooner that is true worldwide, the better for everyone.

  • Why counting of poor matters?

    Counting the number of the poor

    • If the state of the Indian economy is to be repaired, we need to meticulously count the number of the poor and to prioritise them.
    • The World Bank $2-a-day poverty line might be inadequate but it would be a start and higher than the last line proposed by the C. Rangarajan committee.
    • A survey in 2013 had said India stood at 99 among 131 countries, and with a median income of $616 per annum, it was the lowest among BRICS and fell in the lower-middle-income country bracket.
    • Since 2013 three important data points have made it clear that the state of India’s poor needs to be acknowledged if India is to be lifted.
    • The first being, the fall in the monthly per capita consumption expenditure of 2017-18 for the first time since 1972-73.
    • Second is the fall of India in the Global Hunger Index to ‘serious hunger’ category.
    • Third,  health census data or the recently concluded National Family Health Survey or NFHS-5, which had worrying markers of increased malnutrition, infant mortality and maternal health.
    • A fourth statistic, Bangladesh bettering India’s average income statistics, must also be a reason for Indians to introspect.

    Increase in number of poor in India

    •  In 2019, the global Multidimensional Poverty Index reported that India lifted 271 million citizens out of poverty between 2006 and 2016. 
    • Since then, the International Monetary Fund, Hunger Watch, SWAN and several other surveys show a decided slide.
    • In March, the Pew Research Center with the World Bank data estimated that ‘the number of poor in India, on the basis of an income of $2 per day or less in purchasing power parity, has more than doubled to 134 million from 60 million in just a year due to the pandemic-induced recession’.
    • In 2020, India contributed 57.3% of the growth of the global poor.
    • This has thrown a spanner in the so far uninterrupted battle against poverty since the 1970s.
    • Urgent solutions are needed within, and the starting point of that would be only when we know how many are poor.

    Debate on the poverty line

    • In 2011, the Suresh Tendulkar Committee report at a ‘line’ of ₹816 per capita per month for rural India and ₹1,000 per capita per month for urban India, calculated the poor at 25.7% of the population.
    • The anger over the 2011 conclusions, led to the setting up of the C. Rangarajan Committee.
    • In 2014, C. Rangarajan Committee estimated that the number of poor were 29.6%, based on persons spending below ₹47 a day in cities and ₹32 in villages.
    • The National Commission for Enterprises in the Unorganised Sector in 2004, had concluded that 836 million Indians still remained marginalised.
    • The Commission’s conclusion was ignored — that 77% of India was marginalised — emphasising that it was a problem of a much bigger magnitude, than the figure of 25.7% conveyed.

    Why counting the poor matters?

    1) Helps in forming public opinion

    • Knowing the numbers and making them public makes it possible to get public opinion to support massive and urgent cash transfers.
    • The world outside India has moved onto propose high fiscal support, as economic rationale and not charity.
    •  In India too, a dramatic reorientation would get support only once numbers are honestly laid out.

    2) It helps in evaluating success of policies

    •  Recording the data helps to evaluate all policies on the basis of whether they meet the needs of the majority.
    • Is a policy such as bank write-offs of loans amounting to ₹1.53-lakh crore last year, which helped corporates overwhelmingly, beneficial to the vast majority?
    • This would be possible to transparently evaluate only when the numbers of the poor are known and established.

    3) Helps in addressing the concerns of real majority

    • If government data were to honestly account for the exact numbers of the poor, it may be more realistic to expect the public debate to be conducted on the concerns of the real majority.
    • Such data would also help in creating a climate that demands accountability from public representatives.

    4) To gauge the rising inequality

    • India has clocked a massive rise in the market capitalisation and the fortunes of the richest Indian corporates, even as millions of Indians have experienced a massive tumble into poverty.
    • To say that the stock market and the Indian economy are ‘not related’ is ingenuous.
    • Indians must have the right to question whether there is a connection and if the massive rise in riches is not coincidental, but at the back of the misery of millions of the poor.
    • If billionaire lists are evaluated in detail and reported upon, the country cannot shy away from counting its poor.

    Conclusion

    The massive slide into poverty in India that is clear in domestic and international surveys and anecdotal evidence must meet with an institutional response.