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“If the last few decades were of Asia’s growth story, the next few are expected to be of Africa’s.” In the light of this statement, examine India’s influence in Africa in recent years.

Africa is emerging as the next frontier of global growth, driven by its demography, market, and natural resources.

Asia’s Growth Story

Asia’s share in global GDP rose from 25% (1990) to 45% (2024)

Intra-Asian trade accounts for 60% of total exports (ADB, 2024).

Demographic Dividend- Asia houses 60% of global population; India’s median age – 28 years

Technological Hubs- India’s IT sector, China’s manufacturing, and ASEAN’s digital economies.

Regional Platforms- Success of ASEAN, RCEP, and ADB

Why the Next Few Decades Could Belong to Africa

Demographic Potential- Africa to host 25% of global population by 2050, with the youngest median age (19 years).

Resource Abundance- Rich reserves of critical minerals (lithium, cobalt, platinum) vital for energy transition.

Economic Growth- Sub-Saharan Africa projected to grow at 4.0% annually (IMF, 2024-2030) – led by Nigeria, Kenya, Ethiopia.

Regional Integration- African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) connects 1.3 billion people across 54 nations.

Digital Leapfrogging- Africa’s fintech sector expanding by 30% CAGR, supported by Indian investments in Airtel Africa and UPI collaborations.

India’s Influence in Africa- Examination

Way Forward

Develop an integrated “India-Africa Strategy 2030”

Expand Diplomatic Footprint – increase frequency of high-level summits and ministerial dialogues

Capacity Building 2.0- Expand ITEC 2.0 for emerging fields like AI, climate tech, and fintech.

As PM Modi said at IAFS 2015, “Our partnership is beyond strategic – it is human-centric, empowering, and future-facing.”