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What is sea surface temperature rise? How does it affect the formation of tropical cyclones?

Sea Surface Temperature (SST) rise refers to the increase in temperature of the upper layer of ocean water. It is a critical indicator of the Earth’s climate health

Causes of sea surface temperature rise

Greenhouse gas emissions – Eg- Atmospheric CO₂ crossed 425 ppm.

Global warming trend – Eg- Earth warmed ~1.44°C since pre-industrial levels. (IPCC)

Marine heatwaves – Persistent abnormal warming events.

Weakening ocean circulation reduces heat redistribution. Eg- Slowing Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC).

El Niño events – Periodic warming of Pacific surface waters.

Declining polar ice cover – Reduced albedo effect increases absorption.

Ocean Stratification- As surface water warms, it becomes lighter and fails to mix with deeper, cooler water

Impact of SST rise on formation of tropical cyclones

Minimum SST of 26.5°C was required for a cyclone to form. Rising sea temperature has led to

Cyclones in South Atlantic and higher latitudes of the Pacific

Arabian Sea witnessing more intense storms. Eg- Cyclone Nisarga (2020) near Maharashtra coast.

Enhanced evaporation – Warmer oceans increase moisture supply. Eg- Rapid moisture buildup before Cyclone Amphan (2020).

Rapid Intensification (RI)- High SSTs provide an explosive amount of latent heat. Eg- Hurricane Milton (2024) jumped from Category 1 to Category 5 in under 24 hours.

Greater Storm Size- Eg- Super Cyclone Amphan (2020) covered almost the entire Bay of Bengal during its peak.

For every 1°C of SST rise, the air holds 7% more water vapor. This leads to greater rainfall during cyclonic activity.

High SSTs allow storms to carry their moisture further inland before dissipating. Eg- Hurricane Harvey in Texas

Higher storm surge risk – Combined SST rise and sea-level rise amplify flooding. Eg- Cyclone Idai (2019) caused severe coastal inundation.

Shift in cyclone tracks and behavior due to altered SST gradients. Eg- Increasing westward shift of North Indian Ocean cyclones.

Addressing this challenge requires a multi-layered climate and disaster strategy

Mitigate greenhouse gas emissions

Strengthen ocean monitoring systems

Improve cyclone early warning systems

Protect natural buffers. Eg- mangroves