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GS Paper: GS1-14.Important Geophysical phenomena such as earthquakes, Tsunami, Volcanic activity, cyclone etc.,

  • What is a twister? Why are the majority of twisters observed in areas around the Gulf of Mexico?

    Key Features of a Twister

    Funnel-shaped cloud – Visible condensation funnel extending downward.

    Very high wind speeds – Can exceed 300 km/h (EF5 category).

    Short duration – Typically lasts minutes but causes intense damage.

    Narrow path of destruction – Damage track often a few hundred meters wide.

    Associated with supercell thunderstorms

    Low pressure core – Central pressure drop causes debris uplift.

    Occurs mostly in mid-latitudes – Especially continental interiors.

    Formation Process of a Twister

    Warm, moist air near the surface rises rapidly.

    Cold, dry air above descends below.

    Wind shear develops – Change in wind speed and direction with height.

    Horizontal rotation forms in the lower atmosphere.

    Updraft tilts rotation vertically, forming a mesocyclone.

    Supercell thunderstorm develops.

    A funnel cloud forms and extends to ground, becoming a tornado.

    Reasons for Majority of Twisters Around the Gulf of Mexico

    Continuous supply of warm, moist air – Gulf waters average 25-30°C.

    Collision of contrasting air masses – Warm Gulf air meets cold Canadian air over central U.S.

    No Latitudinal Barriers- Unlike Europe’s Alps, North America has no east-west mountain ranges to block the collision of these contrasting air masses.

    Low-Level Jet Streams from the Gulf provide the necessary wind shear to initiate rotation near the ground.

    Dryline effect – Dry air from Rockies creates a sharp moisture gradient leading to storm development.

    The Great Plains and Mississippi Valley offer a smooth “runway” that prevents the disruption of rotating storm structures.

    Proximity to Tornado Alley – Central U.S. records ~75% of world’s tornadoes.

    The high frequency of thunderstorms in the gulf region creates tornados. 83% of Gulf hurricanes since 1950 have produced at least one tornado.

    As climate variability enhances the frequency and intensity of tornados, advanced radar detection and robust disaster preparedness is needed for disaster risk reduction.

  • What is sea surface temperature rise? How does it affect the formation of tropical cyclones?

    Sea Surface Temperature (SST) rise refers to the increase in temperature of the upper layer of ocean water. It is a critical indicator of the Earth’s climate health

    Causes of sea surface temperature rise

    Greenhouse gas emissions – Eg- Atmospheric CO₂ crossed 425 ppm.

    Global warming trend – Eg- Earth warmed ~1.44°C since pre-industrial levels. (IPCC)

    Marine heatwaves – Persistent abnormal warming events.

    Weakening ocean circulation reduces heat redistribution. Eg- Slowing Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC).

    El Niño events – Periodic warming of Pacific surface waters.

    Declining polar ice cover – Reduced albedo effect increases absorption.

    Ocean Stratification- As surface water warms, it becomes lighter and fails to mix with deeper, cooler water

    Impact of SST rise on formation of tropical cyclones

    Minimum SST of 26.5°C was required for a cyclone to form. Rising sea temperature has led to

    Cyclones in South Atlantic and higher latitudes of the Pacific

    Arabian Sea witnessing more intense storms. Eg- Cyclone Nisarga (2020) near Maharashtra coast.

    Enhanced evaporation – Warmer oceans increase moisture supply. Eg- Rapid moisture buildup before Cyclone Amphan (2020).

    Rapid Intensification (RI)- High SSTs provide an explosive amount of latent heat. Eg- Hurricane Milton (2024) jumped from Category 1 to Category 5 in under 24 hours.

    Greater Storm Size- Eg- Super Cyclone Amphan (2020) covered almost the entire Bay of Bengal during its peak.

    For every 1°C of SST rise, the air holds 7% more water vapor. This leads to greater rainfall during cyclonic activity.

    High SSTs allow storms to carry their moisture further inland before dissipating. Eg- Hurricane Harvey in Texas

    Higher storm surge risk – Combined SST rise and sea-level rise amplify flooding. Eg- Cyclone Idai (2019) caused severe coastal inundation.

    Shift in cyclone tracks and behavior due to altered SST gradients. Eg- Increasing westward shift of North Indian Ocean cyclones.

    Addressing this challenge requires a multi-layered climate and disaster strategy

    Mitigate greenhouse gas emissions

    Strengthen ocean monitoring systems

    Improve cyclone early warning systems

    Protect natural buffers. Eg- mangroves

  • What is the phenomenon of ‘cloudbursts’? Explain.

    IMD defines cloudburst as an extreme weather event involving very high-intensity rainfall (often >100 mm/hour) over a small geographical area (20-30 sq. km.) within a short duration.

    Orographic Uplift

    Moist air masses are forced to rise abruptly when they encounter steep mountain slopes.

    Rapid ascent causes condensation and release of latent heat, intensifying convection.

    Strong Convective Clouds (Cumulonimbus) up to 12-15 km.

    Moisture Supply from Monsoon Systems enhances instability.

    When updrafts weaken, large volumes of accumulated rainwater are released at once, causing cloudburst-like rainfall.

    Occurrence of cloudburst in the Indian Subcontinent

    Himalayan and Western Ghat Topography – Steep slopes promote rapid vertical uplift.

    Monsoon Dynamics – High atmospheric moisture during June-September.

    Climate Change – Rising temperatures increase atmospheric moisture-holding capacity. Eg- every 1°C rise lets air hold ~7% more moisture.

    Land-Use Changes – Deforestation, slope cutting, and urbanisation increase runoff and disaster impact.

    Mitigation measures

    Structural

    Engineering solutions – Retaining walls, slope drainage, rock bolting, geo-textiles,

    Nature based solutions – Afforestation in himalaya

    Non-Structural

    Expansion of multi-hazard insurance

    Disaster resilient urban planning (Mishra committee on Joshimath crisis)

    The Sendai Framework’s proactive approach is essential for making Bharat a ‘weather-ready and climate-smart’ nation.

    Geomorphology

  • What are aurora australis and aurora borealis? How are these triggered?

    An aurora is a natural luminous phenomenon seen in high-latitude skies, caused by the interaction between charged particles from the Sun and Earth’s upper atmosphere, producing dynamic light displays in various colors.

    Aurora Australis (Southern Lights)

    Occurs in the Southern Hemisphere – Visible near the Antarctic Circle.

    Observed in countries likeAntarctica, Tasmania (Australia), New Zealand, and the southern tip of Argentina.

    Forms luminous arcs and curtains – Green, red, purple colors dominate.

    Best viewed during the Southern Hemisphere’s winter (May to September) due to the long hours of darkness.

    Aurora Borealis (Northern Lights)

    Occurs in the Northern Hemisphere – Visible near the Arctic Circle.

    Observed in countries like – Norway, Sweden, Finland, Canada, Alaska.

    Displays dynamic wave-like patterns – Curtains, spirals, and arcs.

    March and September equinoxes are peak viewing times due to the Russell-McPherron effect, which allows solar energy to enter the atmosphere more easily.

    Triggers of Auroras

    Solar Activity

    The Sun’s corona constantly releases a stream of protons and electrons at speeds up to 900 km/s.

    These particles hit the Magnetosphere (Earth’s magnetic shield), which deflects most of them.

    Magnetic lines guide particles poleward as Earth’s magnetic field lines are weakest and more vertical at the North and South Poles.

    Acceleration (Birkeland Currents)- Particles gain speed as they spiral down the field lines toward the Ionosphere.

    Atmospheric Collision- Charged particles collide with gas atoms (Oxygen and Nitrogen) in the Thermosphere (approx. 100km-400km up).

    The collision transfers energy to the gas atoms, moving their electrons to a higher-energy state.

    These atoms release that energy as a photon (a packet of light).

    Color Differentiation- Oxygen produces green and red, Nitrogen produces blue or purple light.

    They illustrate the protective role of the magnetosphere while producing one of the most visually stunning atmospheric phenomena.

  • ⁠What are Tsunamis? How and where are they formed? What are their consequences? Explain with examples.

    A tsunami is a series of large ocean waves generated by the sudden displacement of a massive volume of water, usually due to undersea earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, landslides, or meteorite impacts.

    Tsunami Formation Process

    Tectonic Plate Movement – Occurs mainly at subduction zones where one plate sinks beneath another.

    Sudden Seafloor Displacement due to vertical uplift or subsidence of seabed

    Energy Transfer to Water Column leading to upward push.

    Wave Propagation in Deep Ocean – Waves travel at high speeds (up to 700-800 km/h) with low height.

    Wave Shoaling Near Coast – As depth decreases, wavelength decreases and height increases

    Consequences of Tsunamis

    Social Consequences

    Mass casualties – Over 2,30,000 deaths in 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami.

    Large-scale displacement – Millions displaced in Indonesia and Sri Lanka (2004).

    Health crises – Water-borne diseases in relief camps.

    Psychological trauma – Long-term PTSD among survivors in Japan (2011).

    Economic Consequences

    Infrastructure destruction – Ports, roads, airports damaged. Eg- Severe infrastructure loss in Fukushima (2011).

    Loss of livelihoods – Fisheries and tourism collapse.

    High reconstruction costs – Japan’s 2011 losses estimated over $200 billion.

    Environmental Consequences

    Coastal ecosystem damage – Eg- Coral reef degradation in Andaman & Nicobar (2004).

    Soil salinization – Agricultural lands turned infertile.

    Secondary disasters. Eg- Fukushima nuclear accident (2011).

    Groundwater Contamination- Saltwater and sewage penetrate freshwater aquifers

    While they cannot be prevented, early warning systems, ecological buffers, and resilient coastal planning can significantly reduce their human and economic toll.

  • India’s Monsoon Deficit and Super El Niño Concerns

    Why in News?

    India’s southwest monsoon rainfall deficit widened to 35%, with Central India recording a 61% deficit, as the monsoon stalled before reaching Mumbai. The Centre has placed around 150 to 200 districts under priority monitoring and directed States to prepare crop-wise contingency plans.

    Key Highlights

    • All-India rainfall deficit: 35%.
    • Regional deficits: Northwest India: +5%, East & Northeast India: -43%, Central India: -61%, and Southern Peninsula: -14%
    • Monsoon reached Kerala on 4 June, but its advance weakened near Mumbai.
    • Around 150 to 200 districts under priority monitoring.
    • Government encouraging a shift towards cotton and pulses.
    • Reservoir storage stood at 30.4% of capacity, compared to 25.1% average during previous El Niño years.

    Why has the Monsoon Stalled?

    • Anticyclonic circulation north of Mumbai blocked monsoon progression.
    • Influence of mid-latitude westerly systems.
    • Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is currently in an unfavourable phase.
    • Next monsoon pulse may strengthen with a low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal.

    El Niño Concerns

    • El Niño: Periodic warming of the central and eastern Pacific Ocean that generally suppresses the Indian monsoon.
    • U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA): Issued El Niño advisory on 11 June. 63% probability of a very strong El Niño by winter.
    • World Meteorological Organization (WMO): 80% probability of El Niño developing between June and August.
    • India Meteorological Department (IMD):
      • Seasonal rainfall forecast revised from 92% to 90% of the Long Period Average (LPA).
      • Assigned a 60% probability of a deficient monsoon, the most pessimistic pre-season forecast since 2015.
      • No positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) expected to offset El Niño effects.

    Significance

    • Threatens kharif sowing and agricultural output.
    • May increase food inflation and rural distress.
    • Necessitates timely contingency planning and climate-resilient agriculture.
    • Highlights the need for improved water management and drought preparedness.

    Value Addition

    • Long Period Average (LPA): Average rainfall during 1971-2020, used as the benchmark for monsoon forecasts.
    • Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO): Eastward-moving atmospheric disturbance influencing monsoon activity.
    • Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD): Difference in sea surface temperatures between the western and eastern Indian Ocean that can influence Indian monsoon rainfall.

    [2017] With reference to ‘Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)’ sometimes mentioned in the news while forecasting Indian monsoon, which of the following statements is/are correct?
    1. IOD phenomenon is characterised by a difference in sea surface temperature between tropical Western Indian Ocean and tropical Eastern Pacific Ocean.
    2. An IOD phenomenon can influence an El Nino’s impact on the monsoon.
    Select the correct answer using the code given below:

    [A] 1 only

    [B] 2 only

    [C] Both 1 and 2

    [D] Neither 1 nor 2

  • IMD Forecasts Below Normal Monsoon Due to El Niño  

    Why in the News?

    The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast below normal monsoon rainfall for 2026, mainly due to the developing El Niño conditions.

    Key Highlights

    • Expected rainfall: 92% of Long Period Average (LPA)
    • Classification: Below Normal Monsoon
    • Error margin: ±5%
    • Monsoon period: June to September
    • India receives over 70% of annual rainfall during this period

    What is Long Period Average (LPA)

    • LPA: Average rainfall during monsoon season
    • Current LPA period: 1971 to 2020
    • LPA rainfall: 87 cm

    Monsoon Classification by IMD

    • Above normal: >104% of LPA
    • Normal: 96% to 104%
    • Below normal: 90% to 96%
    • Deficient: <90%

    2026 Forecast: 92% → Below Normal

    [2011] La Niña is suspected to have caused recent floods in Australia. How is La Niña different from El Niño? 
    1 La Niña is characterized by unusually cold ocean temperature in the equatorial Indian Ocean whereas El Niño is characterized by unusually warm ocean temperature in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. 
    2 El Niño has an adverse effect on the southwest monsoon of India, but La Niña has no effect on monsoon climate. 
    Which of the statements given above is/are correct? 
    (a) 1 only (b) 2 only (c) Both 1 and 2 (d) Neither 1 nor 2

  • El Niño Likely to Develop After July 2026: WMO

    Why in the News

    The World Meteorological Organization has indicated high chances of the development of El Niño in the second half of 2026, after the current **La Niña conditions weaken and transition to ENSO-neutral.

    What is El Niño?

    • El Niño is the warm phase of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO).
    • It is a periodic warming of sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean.
    • This warming disrupts global atmospheric circulation and affects weather patterns worldwide.

    ENSO Phases

    • El Niño (Warm Phase)
      • Warmer Pacific Ocean temperatures.
      • Often linked to weaker monsoon rainfall in India.
    • La Niña (Cool Phase)
      • Cooler-than-normal Pacific waters.
      • Often associated with stronger monsoon rainfall in India.
    • ENSO Neutral
      • Neither El Niño nor La Niña conditions.
    • Currently, La Niña is weakening, and neutral conditions are expected soon.

    Impact on India

    • India receives over 70% of annual rainfall during the southwest monsoon (June–September).
    • July and August alone contribute more than 50% of seasonal rainfall.
    • If El Niño develops after July, it could reduce monsoon rainfall and affect agriculture, water supply, and food production.

    Key Prelims Points

    • ENSO occurs in the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
    • El Niño years often correlate with weaker Indian monsoon, though not always.
    • Monitoring agencies include IMD and WMO.
    • ENSO affects temperature, rainfall, cyclones, and global climate patterns.
    [2011] La Nina is suspected to have caused recent floods in Australia. How is La Nina different from EI Nino? La Nina is characterized by unusually cold ocean temperature in the equatorial Indian ocean whereas EI Nino is characterized by unusually warm ocean temperature in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. EI Nino has an adverse effect on the southwest monsoon of India, but La Nina has no effect on monsoon climate. Select the correct answer using the code given below: (a) 1 only (b) 2 only (c) Both 1 and 2 (d) Neither 1 nor 2
  • Volcanic Eruption in Ethiopia and Impact on India

    Why in the news?

    The Hayli Gubbi volcano in Ethiopia’s Afar region erupted on 23 November 2025 after nearly 12,000 years of dormancy, producing a massive ash plume rising to ~14 km (45,000 ft). High-level winds transported volcanic ash across the Red Sea and Arabian Peninsula towards western and northern India, causing temporary disruption in aviation operations.

    Key Facts: Location & Geological Background 

    Hayli Gubbi Volcano

    • Type: Shield volcano
    • Location: Afar Region, Ethiopia (part of the East African Rift System)
    • Dormancy: Last known activity ~10,000–12,000 years ago (Holocene threshold)
    • Geological Setting: Lies on the triple junction where the Arabian, Nubian, and Somali plates are diverging → high tectonic activity.

    East African Rift System (EARS)

    • A major continental rift zone.
    • Known for active volcanism (Erta Ale, Dabbahu, Nabro, etc.).
    • Possible future site of a new ocean basin due to plate divergence.

    Impact on India

    1. Flight Disruptions

    • Several international flights cancelled or delayed (Delhi, Mumbai, Hyderabad, Kochi).
    • Airlines: Air India, IndiGo, Akasa Air initiated precautionary measures.
    • Aircraft inspections ordered for those that flew through potentially affected air corridors.

    2. Airspace Management

    • Civil Aviation Ministry, Air Traffic Control (ATC), and the India Meteorological Department (IMD) issued continuous advisories.\
    • No major safety threat, but routing adjustments and cancellations made as precaution.

    3. No Impact on Local Weather or Air Quality

    • IMD clarified:
      • Ash remained in upper troposphere.
      • No impact on ground-level AQI.
      • Delhi’s poor air quality is unrelated, caused by local pollution.

    4. Clearance Timeline

    • Ash plume expected to move completely towards China by 7:30 pm, Nov 25.

    Why Aviation Avoids Volcanic Ash? 

    • Ash melts inside jet engines → forms glassy deposits → engine flameout.
    • Damages navigation systems & windshields.
    • Reduces visibility.
    • Can cause stalls, loss of thrust, and total engine failure.

    Relevant Organisation:
    Volcanic Ash Advisory Centers (VAACs) issue global alerts—here, Toulouse VAAC monitored the plume.

    Consider the following: (2024)

    1. Pyroclastic debris 

    2. Ash and dust 

    3. Nitrogen compounds 

    4. Sulphur compounds 

    How many of the above are products of volcanic eruptions? 

    (a) Only one 

    (b) Only two 

    (c) Only three 

    (d) Only four

  • Taftan Volcano, Iran 

    Why in the News?

    New satellite data in Geophysical Research Letters (October 2025) shows Iran’s Taftan volcano, dormant for 710,000 years, is reactivating.

    Taftan Volcano, Iran 

    About Taftan Volcano:

    • Location: Situated in southeastern Iran, about 56 km from the Pakistan border, within the Makran continental volcanic arc.
    • Elevation: Rises to 3,940 metres (12,927 feet), Iran’s only active volcano in the Makran arc.
    • Tectonic Origin: Formed by subduction of the Arabian oceanic plate beneath the Eurasian continental plate.
    • Volcanic Type & Composition: A stratovolcano composed mainly of andesitic and dacitic lava, with pyroclastic flows and volcanic breccias.
    • Structure: Features two summits, Narkuh and Matherkuh, and extensive ignimbrite and lava fans stretching over 30 km.
    • Hydrothermal Activity: Hosts sulfur-emitting fumaroles, visible from up to 100 km, sustained by an active hydrothermal system.
    • Eruptive History: Major activity phases around 8 Ma, 6 Ma, and 0.7 Ma; last lava flow dated to about 6,950 years ago.
    • Recent Observations: 2023–24 satellite data detected 9 cm ground uplift, indicating subsurface pressure buildup and reclassification from extinct to dormant.

    Scientific Interpretation and Outlook:

    • Magma Dynamics: Uplift linked to gas accumulation or shallow magma intrusion at 490–630 m depth, possibly fed by deeper chambers (~3.5 km).
    • Current Status: No imminent eruption expected; likely pressure release via degassing or minor eruptions.
    • Monitoring Gap: Lack of ground-based GPS or seismic sensors; reliance on satellite InSAR data for deformation tracking.
    • Scientific Recommendations: Call for establishing a volcano observatory in southeastern Iran for real-time monitoring and gas analysis.
    • Regional Significance: Highlights Makran arc tectonic activity and underscores the need for international geophysical collaboration.
    • Research Importance: Taftan’s reawakening demonstrates the role of remote sensing in detecting hidden volcanic unrest and stresses continuous monitoring to assess eruption potential and regional hazard mitigation.
    [UPSC 2024] Consider the following:
    1. Pyroclastic debris 2. Ash and dust 3. Nitrogen compounds 4. Sulphur compoundsHow many of the above are products of volcanic eruptions?Options: (a) Only one (b) Only two (c) Only three (d) only four*