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What are asteroids? How real is the threat of them causing extinction of life? What strategies have been developed to prevent such a catastrophe?

Asteroids are rocky, airless remnants from the early formation of the solar system, primarily orbiting the Sun between Mars and Jupiter (asteroid belt). Some asteroids, known as Near-Earth Objects (NEOs), have orbits that bring them close to Earth, raising concerns about impact hazards.

Key facts about asteroids

Types

C-type (carbonaceous, most common)

S-type (silicaceous)

M-type (metal-rich)

The total mass of all the asteroids combined is less than that of Earth’s Moon.

Threat from asteroids

Historical Evidence – The Chicxulub asteroid impact (~66 million years ago) led to the extinction of dinosaurs.

Probability Assessment

Extinction-level asteroids (>10 km) are extremely rare

City or regional-scale impacts (50-300 m) are more frequent and pose serious human and economic risks.

Current Scientific Consensus

Low probability, high impact risk.

No known large asteroid is on a confirmed collision course with Earth in the foreseeable future.

No global policy framework or convention to prevent asteroid impact

Strategies Developed to Prevent or Mitigate Asteroid Impact

Detection and Tracking – Ground- and space-based surveys continuously monitor NEOs.

Kinetic Impact Deflection – A spacecraft collides with the asteroid to slightly alter its trajectory. Demonstrated successfully by NASA’s DART mission (2022).

Gravity Tractor – A spacecraft hovers near the asteroid, using mutual gravitational attraction to gradually change its path.

Nuclear Deflection (Last Resort) – Use of a nuclear device near (not on) the asteroid to vaporise surface material.

NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, accurately characterizes the orbits of all known near-Earth objects, predicts their close approaches with Earth

The International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN) – UN-endorsed, global collaboration of over 60 scientific institutions that detects, tracks, and characterizes Near-Earth Objects (NEOs).

United Nations Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space (COPUOS) has recognised asteroid impact hazards as a global risk transcending national boundaries.

While extinction-level impacts are extremely rare, the consequences would be catastrophic, justifying sustained vigilance.