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Subject: Economics

  • [4th February 2025] The Hindu Op-ed: Some wind behind the sails of India’s shipping industry

    PYQ Relevance:

    Q) ‘China is using its economic relations and positive trade surplus as tools to develop potential military power status in Asia’, In the light of this statement, discuss its impact on India as her neighbor. (UPSC CSE 2017)

    Q) The Gati-Shakti Yojana needs meticulous co-ordination between the government and the private sector to achieve the goal of connectivity. Discuss. (UPSC CSE 2022)

     

    Mentor’s Comment: UPSC mains have always focused on Sustainable Development (2016, 2017, 2018 and 2022), and Budget Initiatives (2017 and 2021).

    Currently, India holds only about 0.05% of the global market share in shipbuilding, significantly lower than competitors like China (47%), South Korea (30%), and Japan (17%). This disparity highlights that without addressing inefficiencies in container movement and logistics integration, infrastructure growth alone will not lead to meaningful progress.

    The editorial discusses the recent positive developments in India’s shipping industry, particularly following the government’s announcements in the Union Budget 2025-26. This content can be used to present challenges in the Maritime Sector.

    _

    Let’s learn!

    Why in the News?

    The Union Budget 2025-26 appears to have met most of the shipping industry’s demands; but it has missed an opportunity to address tax disparities.

     

    What specific government initiatives are being introduced to support the shipping industry?

    • Maritime Development Fund (MDF): This initiative is the establishment of a MDF with an initial corpus of ₹25,000 crore which aims to provide long-term financing for the shipbuilding and maritime sectors, facilitating investment and growth within the industry.
    • Shipbuilding Financial Assistance Policy: The government has announced a revamp of the Shipbuilding Financial Assistance Policy (SBFAP) which aims to address cost disadvantages faced by domestic shipyards by providing direct financial subsidies, thereby encouraging local shipbuilding and enhancing competitiveness.
    • Customs Duty Exemptions and Incentives: This Budget extends customs duty exemptions on inputs and components used for manufacturing ships for more than 10 years.
      • Additionally, credit notes will be issued for shipbreaking activities, promoting a circular economy within the industry in order to make shipbuilding and recycling more competitive.
    • Extension of Tonnage Tax Scheme: The benefits of the existing tonnage tax scheme, which previously applied only to sea-going ships, will now be extended to inland vessels registered under the Indian Vessels Act, 2021.
      • This change aims to promote inland water transport and enhance the overall efficiency of the maritime sector.
    • Establishment of Shipbuilding Clusters: The Indian shipping industry has been advocating for the extension of the Shipbuilding Financial Assistance Policy (SBFAP) for another 10 years under the Amritkaal Maritime Vision 2047.
      • The government plans to facilitate the creation of shipbuilding clusters to increase capacity and capabilities in ship manufacturing.

    How can these initiatives impact India’s position in the global shipping market?

    • Enhanced Global Competitiveness: By establishing the Maritime Development Fund and revamping financial assistance policies, India aims to boost its shipbuilding capabilities and reduce costs associated with ship construction and repair.
      • This could elevate India’s ranking in global shipbuilding from 22nd to potentially within the top 10 by 2030 and top 5 by 2047, thereby increasing its share of global ship tonnage from less than 1% to around 5%.
    • Improved Infrastructure and Efficiency: The government’s focus on port modernization through initiatives like the Sagarmala Programme and Maritime India Vision 2030 is set to enhance port infrastructure, logistics efficiency, and multimodal connectivity.
      • These improvements will reduce turnaround times for vessels and lower logistics costs, making Indian ports more attractive for international shipping lines and increasing cargo handling capacity significantly.
    • Attracting Foreign Investment: With a favorable investment climate that allows 100% Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in port development, India is positioned to attract significant foreign capital into its shipping sector.
      • This influx of investment can lead to technological advancements, better operational practices, and increased capacity, further solidifying India’s role as a key player in global maritime trade.

    What challenges does the Indian shipping industry face despite these positive developments?

    • High Costs and Financial Constraints: Indian shipyards face significant cost disadvantages compared to global competitors, particularly in terms of higher material and labor costs, as well as expensive financing options.
      • This results in a 25-30% cost disadvantage for Indian shipyards compared to those in countries like China and South Korea.
      • Additionally, the imposition of a 5% Goods and Services Tax (GST) on ship imports, which is not refunded for international operations, further strains financial resources for shipping companies.

    Does the SARFAESI Act impact loan availability?

    • Under Section 31(d) of the SARFAESI Act, banks and financial institutions cannot create a security interest in vessels as defined by the Merchant Shipping Act, 1958.
    • This limitation means that lenders cannot easily seize and auction ships in case of loan defaults, which reduces their willingness to extend credit to shipowners.
    • The ongoing discussions about amending the SARFAESI Act to include provisions for ships indicate a recognition of these challenges.
    • By allowing banks to hold security interests in vessels, the government can enhance loan availability and create a more favorable environment for financing within the maritime sector.
    • Infrastructure Bottlenecks: Major Indian ports are grappling with issues such as congestion, inefficiency, and inadequate infrastructure to support increasing traffic volumes.
      • The growth in cargo traffic has outpaced the development of port facilities, leading to delays and higher operational costs.
      • For example, backlogs for rail freight have increased significantly, impacting the timely movement of goods.
      • Furthermore, labor strikes and outdated technology contribute to lower productivity at ports, making them less attractive to global shipping lines.
    • Dependence on Foreign Suppliers: Indian shipyards heavily rely on foreign suppliers for critical components and technology, which increases costs and complicates supply chains.
      • This dependency results in longer lead times for procurement and vulnerability to supply chain disruptions.
      • The lack of a robust domestic supply chain for high-tech maritime components further exacerbates these challenges, limiting the competitiveness of Indian shipbuilding firms.

    Way Forward:

    To realize its aspirations under the Amritkaal Maritime Vision 2047, India must prioritize investments in infrastructure, streamline regulatory processes, and foster a skilled workforce.

    • The path forward requires a concerted effort from all stakeholders to transform these challenges into opportunities for sustainable development in the maritime sector.
    • Establish a National Port Grid Authority to coordinate development across major and minor ports, promoting specialization and eliminating inter-port competition.
    • Implementing a hub-and-spoke model with mega ports acting as transshipment hubs can optimize cargo movement and efficiency.
    • Deploy Smart Port Infrastructure Management Systems (SPIMS) and introduce blockchain-based Port Community Systems to facilitate paperless and IoT based trade.

  • The kind of jobs needed for the ‘Viksit Bharat’ goal

    Why in the News?

    With the Union Budget now presented, this is the right time to focus on three important types of jobs India needs: climate-friendly jobs, jobs that can adapt to AI, and jobs that match people’s aspirations.

    Why must long-term structural reforms in India focus on creating climate-resilient, AI-resilient, and aspiration-centric jobs?

    • Economic Stability & Climate Adaptation: Climate change threatens agriculture, infrastructure, and livelihoods. Structural reforms must promote green jobs in renewable energy (e.g., solar panel manufacturing, e-rickshaw deployment) and climate adaptation (e.g., afforestation, water conservation projects) to ensure sustainable economic growth.
    • Future-Proofing Against Automation: With AI disrupting traditional jobs, reforms should focus on AI-resilient employment by upskilling workers for roles in healthcare, education, and creative industries (e.g., AI-assisted medical diagnostics, digital marketing). This will help maintain workforce relevance and prevent large-scale job losses.
    • Inclusive & Aspirational Workforce: Youth and marginalized groups need jobs that match their ambitions. So, reforms should enhance opportunities in high-growth sectors like tourism, food processing, and local manufacturing (e.g., PM Vishwakarma Yojana for artisans, National Manufacturing Mission in textiles and electronics) to drive social mobility and economic dynamism.

    What are the recent allocation of the budget for Jobs creation? 

    • Skill Development Boost: The budget for the skill development ministry has nearly doubled to ₹6,017 crore for FY26, with ₹3,000 crore allocated for upgrading Industrial Training Institutes (ITIs) to enhance vocational training.
    • Targeted Job Creation: Over 21 lakh direct and indirect jobs are planned in fisheries, tourism, food processing, textiles, and electronics including 11 lakh under PM Matsya Sampada Yojana and 5.8 lakh under the PM Employment Generation Programme.
    • Sector-Specific Focus: Labor-intensive industries like footwear, leather, textiles, and electronics receive significant support, with initiatives like the Footwear Development Programme (₹350 crore) and the National Manufacturing Mission aiming to create 2-3 million jobs.
    • Support for Artisans: The PM Vishwakarma Yojana will uplift over 61 lakh artisans, promoting self-employment and economic inclusion for marginalized communities.
    • Infrastructure & Innovation: Five National Centres of Excellence for skilling will be established, alongside a ₹200 billion allocation for private sector-led R&D to drive technological advancements and job creation.

    What types of jobs are necessary for achieving Viksit Bharat?

    • Manufacturing Jobs: Increasing the contribution of manufacturing to GDP from approximately 16% to 25% by 2030 is crucial. This requires creating jobs in various manufacturing industries, enhancing productivity, and reducing operational costs.
      • MSMEs are vital for employment generation. Policies aimed at supporting these enterprises can create millions of jobs by fostering entrepreneurship and innovation within local communities.
    • Boosting Rural Demand and Agricultural Reforms: Jobs that focus on modernizing agriculture through technology and sustainable practices can enhance productivity and create employment in rural areas. This includes initiatives that support local farmers and agricultural workers.
    • Skill Development Initiatives: With a strong emphasis on skilling the workforce, there is a need for jobs that require specialized training in sectors like technology, healthcare, and renewable energy.
    • Climate-Resilient Employment: As India faces significant challenges due to climate change, creating jobs focused on sustainability—such as in renewable energy sectors (solar, wind) and environmental conservation—will be critical for long-term resilience.
    • AI and Digital Economy Roles: With the rise of artificial intelligence and digital transformation, there is a growing demand for jobs that leverage technology. This includes roles in IT services, software development, data analysis, and digital marketing.
    • Service Sector Jobs: The service sector continues to be a significant contributor to employment in India. Focused efforts on improving service delivery in healthcare, education, and hospitality can create numerous job opportunities.

    How can structural reforms in the economy facilitate job creation?

    • Enhancing Government Investment: Increased funding in infrastructure, education, and healthcare sectors directly correlates with job creation.
      • For instance, investments in rural infrastructure can stimulate local economies and create jobs in construction and services.
    • Promoting Industry Participation: Collaborating with industries for training programs ensures that the skills developed align with market needs, thereby improving employability. This approach can help bridge the gap between educational outcomes and industry requirements.
    • Supporting MSMEs: Strengthening micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs) through financial incentives and easier access to credit can drive job creation. MSMEs are crucial for employment as they account for a significant portion of India’s workforce.

    What role does government policy play in bridging the gap between formal and informal economies? (Way Forward)

    • Implementing Employment Schemes: Programs such as the Employment Linked Incentives (ELI) aim to create jobs through targeted financial support for employers who hire new employees.
      • This encourages formal employment while providing a safety net for workers transitioning from informal sectors.
    • Facilitating Skill Development: Policies focused on skill development ensure that workers are equipped with relevant skills for emerging sectors like technology and renewable energy.
      • This not only helps integrate informal workers into the formal economy but also enhances overall productivity.
    • Encouraging Entrepreneurship: By fostering an environment conducive to startups and small businesses through grants, tax incentives, and simplified regulations, the government can stimulate job creation across various sectors, particularly in rural areas where traditional job opportunities may be limited.

    Mains PYQ:

    Q The nature of economic growth in India in recent times is often described as a jobless growth. Do you agree with this view? Give arguments in favour of your answer. (UPSC IAS/2015)

  • How will the govt. produce the required fuel ethanol?

    Why in the News?

    Union Minister Nitin Gadkari announced that India will reach its goal of blending 20% ethanol with petrol in the next two months, a year earlier than planned. This will require producing about 1,100 crore litres of ethanol in a year.

    Does India’s ethanol distillery industry have the capacity to produce large ethanol? 

    • Current Production Capacity: India’s ethanol distillery capacity has significantly increased to 1,600 crore litres as of 2024-25, up from 423 crore litres in 2019-20. This expansion has been driven by government incentives and a stable market for ethanol.
    • Projected Production: To meet the target of 20% blending of ethanol in petrol, approximately 1,100 crore litres of fuel ethanol will be produced annually, with sugarcane expected to contribute around 400 crore litres this ethanol year.
    • Diverse Feedstocks: Ethanol production is now utilizing not just sugarcane but also high-grade molasses, broken rice, and maize, indicating a shift towards a more diversified feedstock strategy.
    • Government Support: The Indian government has implemented various measures to boost ethanol production, including reducing the Goods & Services Tax on ethanol and encouraging the establishment of grain-based distilleries.

    Why have maize imports increased substantially in the past year?

    • Rising Demand for Ethanol: The increase in maize imports can be attributed to the government’s restrictions on using sugar and high-quality molasses for ethanol production, leading to a greater reliance on maize as an alternative feedstock for ethanol.
    • Import Figures: From April to June 2024, approximately ₹100 crore worth of maize was imported. For the fiscal year 2023-24, maize imports reached about $33 million, with total imports from April to November 2024 valued at $188 million.
    • Impact on Domestic Production: As farmers shift towards maize cultivation due to its lucrative potential for ethanol production, maize output is projected to reach around 42 million tonnes for the 2024-25 ethanol year, with an estimated 9 million tonnes available for ethanol production.
    • Market Adjustments: The growth in maize cultivation is expected to continue without necessitating further imports due to favourable conditions for Kharif crops this year. Farmers are increasingly diverting maize from traditional uses to meet the demands of the ethanol market.

    What are the significance of the ethanol distillery industry?

    • Energy Security and Reduced Import Dependence: The ethanol distillery industry plays a crucial role in enhancing India’s energy security by reducing reliance on imported fossil fuels. By blending ethanol with petrol, India aims to substitute a significant portion of its crude oil imports, which account for over 87% of its needs.
    • Environmental Benefits: Ethanol production and blending contribute to significant reductions in carbon emissions and urban air pollution. Ethanol’s chemical properties allow for more complete combustion, which lowers harmful emissions such as carbon monoxide and particulate matter.
    • Economic Growth and Rural Development: The ethanol industry stimulates economic growth by providing additional income streams for farmers through the cultivation of sugarcane, maize, and other biofuel crops. This has led to increased investments in distilleries and agro-processing industries, creating jobs and revitalizing rural economies.
      • The government’s initiatives, such as the PM-JI-VAN Yojana, further incentivize ethanol production, ensuring stable farmer incomes and promoting diversification in agricultural practices.

    Way forward: 

    • Enhancing Domestic Maize Production: Strengthen R&D in high-yield maize varieties, improve irrigation infrastructure, and provide financial incentives to farmers to ensure a stable domestic supply for ethanol production, reducing import dependency.
    • Sustainable Feedstock Diversification: Promote second-generation (2G) biofuels using agricultural waste and non-food biomass to minimize food security concerns while maintaining ethanol production growth.

    PYQ:

    Q With reference to the usefulness of the by-products of sugar industry, which of the following statements is/are correct? (UPSC IAS/2022)

    1. Bagasse can be used as biomass fuel for the generation of energy.
    2. Molasses can be used as one of the feed stocks for the production of synthetic chemical fertilizers.
    3. Molasses can be used for the production of ethanol.

    Select the correct answer using the codes given below.

    (a) 1 only

    (b) 2 and 3 only

    (c) 1 and 3 only

    (d) 1, 2 and 3

  • [3rd February 2025] The Hindu Op-ed: Beyond tax cuts, a closer read of the Union Budget

    PYQ Relevance:

    Q) One of the intended objectives of Union-Budget 15-18 is to ‘transform, energize and clean India’. Analyze the measures proposed in the Budget 15-18 to achieve the objective. (UPSC CSE 2017)

    Q) Distinguish between Capital Budget and Revenue Budget. Explain the components of both these Budgets. (UPSC CSE 2021)

     

    Mentor’s Comment: UPSC mains have always focused on Sustainable Development (2016, 2017, 2018 and 2022), and Budget Initiatives (2017 and 2021).

    The Union Budget 2024-25 presents a strategic framework aimed at fostering economic growth while addressing the needs of various sectors, particularly the middle class, agriculture, and employment. While efforts to streamline tax structures and reduce compliance burdens are positive, they must be accompanied by robust strategies to ensure sustainable growth and equitable distribution of resources.

    The editorial emphasizes the urgent need for decisive and equitable action in addressing inclusive and sustained growth. This content can be used to present challenges/criticism for the present Budget 2025-26 in your Mains Answers for Economy and Infrastructure.

    _

    Let’s learn!

    Why in the News?

    The Union Finance Minister presented the Union Budget on February 1, addressing significant economic challenges while outlining an ambitious plan for ‘Viksit Bharat’ that focuses on various sectors, which although requires careful evaluation.

     

    What are the key highlights from Budget 2025 that would raise the questions?

    • Fiscal Consolidation Target: This target aims to reduce the fiscal deficit from the previous year’s estimate of 4.9% and reflects the government’s commitment to managing public debt while balancing necessary public expenditures and economic growth challenges.
      • The Budget sets a Fiscal Consolidation Target of 4.4% of GDP for FY26, relying on optimistic revenue projections, including 11.2% growth in total tax revenues and 14.4% in income tax revenues, despite significant tax cuts and economic challenges.
    • Second Asset Monetisation Plan (2025-30): This plan aims to generate ₹10 lakh crore by monetizing government-owned assets. The proceeds from this monetization will be reinvested into new infrastructure projects.
      • Success of Second Asset Monetisation Plan (2025-30) after previous underperformance raises concerns, and ₹11.54 lakh crore in net market borrowings may crowd out private capital amid weak credit demand.
      • Additionally, the government has proposed ₹1.5 lakh crore in interest-free loans to states to further support capital expenditure and infrastructure reforms.
    • Personal Income Tax: The revisions in income tax rates that exempt incomes up to ₹12 lakh can lead to a loss of ₹1 lakh crore in direct tax revenue due to the following reasons:
    • Increased Exemptions: By exempting incomes up to ₹12 lakh, more individuals will not be liable to pay income tax, significantly reducing the overall tax base.
    • Reduced Tax Rates: The new tax regime includes lower tax rates for various income brackets, which means that even those who do pay taxes will contribute less than they would under the previous regime.
    • Impact on Government Revenue: The expected loss of ₹1 lakh crore in direct tax revenue will limit the government’s financial resources, constraining its ability to fund developmental initiatives and public services.
    • Declining Household Savings: As the government foregoes this revenue, it may struggle to maintain or increase public investments, which could exacerbate the already declining household savings rate, impacting long-term economic stability.
    • India’s Manufacturing Sector: The Budget aims to bolster India’s manufacturing sector, which currently contributes only 17% to the GDP, through various initiatives. However, significant challenges remain that could hinder the sector’s growth and competitiveness.
      • Regulatory Inefficiencies: By enhancing access to credit for MSMEs, the government aims to foster growth, but the existing regulatory framework often hampers business operations, leading to delays and increased costs that undermine competitiveness.
      • Low Innovation Capacity: The government has introduced PLIs targeting various sectors to encourage domestic production and attract foreign investment. However, the investment in R&D is critically low, currently at just 0.64% of GDP. This lack of focus on innovation limits the ability of Indian manufacturers to compete effectively.
      • Structural Weaknesses: The manufacturing sector has been plagued by structural weaknesses such as high costs of raw materials and logistics, which make it less competitive compared to other nations.
      • For example, steel prices in India are reported to be 20-30% higher than those in China.

    What are the gaps highlighted by the budget that need to be recognized in the Agricultural Sector?

    Significant Agricultural Initiatives taken by the Government in Budget 2025-26:

    1. Prime Minister Dhan-Dhaanya Krishi Yojana:

    • Objective: To enhance agricultural productivity and promote sustainable farming practices in 100 districts characterized by low productivity, moderate crop intensity, and below-average credit access.
    • The initiative is expected to benefit approximately 1.7 crore farmers by providing them with better financial support and resources. The program will be executed in partnership with state governments, leveraging existing schemes and specialized measures to drive focused reforms.
    • Key Focus Areas:
      • Introduce advanced farming techniques and modern equipment.
      • Encourage farmers to grow a variety of crops instead of relying on a single crop.
      • Develop storage facilities at the panchayat and block levels to reduce crop wastage.
      • Enhance irrigation infrastructure to increase agricultural output.
      • Facilitate easier access to both short-term and long-term credit for farmers.

    2. National Mission on High-Yielding Seeds:

    • Objective: This mission aims to improve the availability and use of high-yielding seed varieties to boost agricultural productivity across the country.
    • The mission emphasizes research and development in seed technology, ensuring that farmers have access to superior quality seeds that can lead to better crop yields.
    • It will work in conjunction with other agricultural programs, such as the Dhan-Dhaanya Krishi Yojana, to maximize the impact on food security and farmer income.

    3. Increased Kisan Credit Card (KCC) Limit:

    • The loan limit for KCC has been raised from ₹3 lakh to ₹5 lakh, along with targeted support in 100 low-productivity districts, indicating a shift from blanket subsidies to more precise financial assistance for farmers.
    • Short-Term Loan Focus: The emphasis on credit enhancements primarily through short-term loans may perpetuate farmers’ dependency on debt without resolving underlying issues.
      • Systemic inefficiencies in agricultural markets remain unaddressed, particularly regarding price volatility and market access.
    • Missed Export Opportunities: The lack of concrete measures to promote agricultural exports, especially as India aims to lead in millets and natural farming, represents a significant missed opportunity.
      • Services exports, particularly in IT and business process outsourcing, are growing robustly at a 10.5% CAGR, but efforts to diversify the export portfolio are lacking.
      • While initiatives like Bharat Trade Net (BTN) and export credit support for MSMEs are positive, they lack the scale necessary to effectively address India’s ongoing trade deficits.
      • The depreciation of the rupee and declining foreign exchange reserves highlight the need for a more ambitious export strategy.
      • A fiscal push toward value-added sectors such as pharmaceuticals, electronics, renewable energy, and high-value agricultural products could enhance India’s position in global supply chains and improve export competitiveness.

    What are the questions raised on other transformative and sustainable pushes?

    • Lithium-Ion Battery Recycling: Ace Green Recycling plans to establish India’s largest lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery recycling facility in Gujarat, with a capacity of 10,000 metric tons per year by 2026. 
    • Incentives for Clean Tech Manufacturing: The Budget introduces tax benefits and policy extensions aimed at supporting electric vehicle (EV) startups and clean tech manufacturing. This includes exemptions on cobalt powder and lithium-ion battery scrap from basic Customs Duty, which is expected to strengthen India’s battery recycling ecosystem.
    • Despite these initiatives, the transition to a low-carbon economy remains fragmented due to insufficient investment in essential areas like grid modernization and energy storage.
    • To achieve a successful transition to a low-carbon economy, India needs a more integrated approach that includes substantial investments in energy infrastructure alongside the current recycling initiatives.
      • For example, enhancing energy storage capabilities is crucial for managing the intermittent nature of renewable energy sources like solar and wind power.

    Way Forward:

    • While the Budget lays a promising foundation for economic progress, it requires a comprehensive approach that not only focuses on immediate tax relief but also addresses long-term challenges in productivity, innovation, and market access.
    • The success of these initiatives will be measured by their ability to create lasting benefits for all segments of society, driving India toward its vision of a prosperous and inclusive economy.

  • Agriculture is fiscally neglected in the Budget

    Why in the News?

    A budget reflects how a government addresses the challenges in the economy. The Economic Survey 2024-25 tried to present a positive view of Indian agriculture’s situation.

    What are the specific budget allocations for agriculture?

    • Total Allocation: The Union Budget for 2025-26 has allocated ₹1.71 lakh crore for agriculture and allied activities, an increase from ₹1.51 lakh crore in the previous fiscal year.
    • Prime Minister Dhan-Dhaanya Krishi Yojana: This new initiative aims to enhance agricultural productivity in 100 districts with low productivity, targeting 1.7 crore farmers through sustainable practices and improved irrigation facilities.
    • Kisan Credit Card (KCC) Expansion: The loan limit under the Modified Interest Subvention Scheme for KCCs will be raised from ₹3 lakh to ₹5 lakh, facilitating better access to credit for farmers.
    • PM-Kisan Scheme: The allocation for the PM-Kisan scheme remains at ₹63,500 crore, consistent with the revised estimates from the previous year, aimed at providing direct income support to farmers.
      • The PM-Kisan scheme provides annual income support of ₹6,000 to eligible farmers, distributed in three instalments, which is crucial for enhancing their financial stability.
    • Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojana: This crop insurance scheme has seen a significant reduction in funding, with allocations decreasing from ₹14,600 crore in previous estimates to ₹12,242.27 crore for 2025-26.
    • Makhana Board: A new Makhana Board in Bihar has been allocated ₹100 crore, while other missions include ₹100 crore for hybrid seeds and ₹500 crore for cotton technology.
    • National Mission on Natural Farming: The mission received a significant allocation of ₹516 crore, emphasizing sustainable agricultural practices and increasing the adoption of natural farming methods.
    • Support for Pulses and Oilseeds: The government is launching a six-year mission focused on self-sufficiency in pulses and edible oils, with procurement support from agencies like NAFED and NCCF, aiming to enhance domestic production.

    What measures are being proposed to support farmers and enhance agricultural productivity?

    • Prime Minister Dhan-Dhaanya Krishi Yojana: This new scheme aims to target 100 districts with low productivity, focusing on improving crop intensity and credit parameters. However, concerns exist regarding its centralized governance approach.
    • Investment in Sustainable Practices: The government emphasizes sustainable agriculture practices through initiatives like the Pradhan Mantri Krishi Sinchayi Yojana (PMKSY) aimed at enhancing irrigation efficiency.
    • Post-Harvest Infrastructure Investment: The Agriculture Infrastructure Fund (AIF) is highlighted as a mechanism to improve post-harvest infrastructure, although specific allocations remain unclear.

    Does the budget reflect the broader economic context and challenges?

    • Addressing Farmer Distress: The budget reflects the urgent need to address farmer distress by extending support measures such as lower loan interest rates and increased PM-KISAN assistance.
    • Investment in Sustainable Practices: The budget emphasizes the importance of sustainable agriculture, with recommendations for increased investment in climate-resilient seeds and agricultural research.
    • Post-Harvest Management Improvements: Recognizing significant post-harvest losses, the budget allocates funds to improve cold storage and processing facilities. This investment is crucial for reducing waste and enhancing the value chain, which is vital for improving farmers’ profitability and food security.
    • Focus on Technological Adoption: There is a push for greater adoption of agri-tech solutions to tackle issues like low mechanization and inadequate access to quality seeds. This reflects an understanding that modernizing agriculture is essential for boosting productivity and competitiveness in a challenging economic environment.
    • Long-Term Structural Reforms: The budget indicates a need for transformational changes rather than incremental adjustments, advocating for a shift from subsidy-heavy approaches to investment-driven growth.
      • This strategic direction aims to make Indian agriculture more resilient and globally competitive by 2047.

    Way forward: 

    • Increased Investment in Agricultural R&D and Infrastructure – The government should prioritize higher allocations for agricultural research, modern irrigation techniques, and post-harvest infrastructure to enhance productivity and climate resilience.
    • Targeted Financial Support and Market Reforms – Strengthening direct income support, improving crop insurance schemes, and ensuring better price realization through MSP reforms and enhanced market linkages will help stabilize farmers’ incomes and boost rural demand.

    Mains PYQ:

    Q Explain various types of revolutions, took place in Agriculture after Independence in India. How these revolutions have helped in poverty alleviation and food security in India? (UPSC IAS/2017)

  • [pib] National Manufacturing Mission (NMM)

    Why in the News?

    The Union Finance Minister, while presenting the Union Budget 2025-26, announced the launch of the National Manufacturing Mission (NMM) to boost India’s manufacturing sector under the Make in India initiative.

    What is the National Manufacturing Mission?

    • The NMM was announced in Union Budget 2025-26 to boost India’s manufacturing sector under the Make in India initiative.
    • It covers small, medium, and large industries and aims to strengthen domestic production capabilities, enhance competitiveness, and create jobs.
    • The mission provides policy support, execution roadmaps, and governance frameworks for both central ministries and state governments.
    • It promotes Clean Tech manufacturing and focuses on developing an ecosystem for critical industrial components such as solar PV cells, EV batteries, wind turbines, and high-voltage transmission equipment.
    • Aims and Objectives:
      • Boost domestic production to reduce import dependence.
      • Enhance MSME sector growth with credit expansion (₹10 crore from ₹5 crore).

    Key Features & Significance:

    • Infrastructure & Industrial Clusters to strengthen supply chains.
    • National Action Plan for Toys to make India a global toy hub.
    • New footwear & leather industry scheme to create 22 lakh jobs and boost exports.
    • National Institute of Food Technology in Bihar to increase farmer incomes through food processing.

    Back2Basics: National Manufacturing Policy (NMP)

    • Launched in 2011 to boost India’s manufacturing sector.
    • Aims to increase GDP share to 25% and create 100 million jobs in a decade.
    • Focuses on National Investment and Manufacturing Zones (NIMZs) to attract investment and enhance productivity.
    • Promotes technology advancement, skill development, and sustainable growth with fiscal & infrastructure incentives.
    • Key areas: Ease of doing business, labor law reforms, export growth, and global competitiveness.

     

    PYQ:

    [2012] What is/are the recent policy initiative(s) of Government of India to promote the growth of manufacturing sector?

    1. Setting up of National Investment and Manufacturing Zones

    2. Providing the benefit of ‘single window clearance’

    3. Establishing the Technology Acquisition and Development Fund

    Select the correct answer using the codes given below:

    (a) 1 only

    (b) 2 and 3 only

    (c) 1 and 3 only

    (d) 1, 2 and 3

  • [pib] What is Geo-Economic Fragmentation?

    Why in the News?

    The Economic Survey 2024-25 highlights the shift from globalization to geo-economic fragmentation (GEF). Countries are now forming economic blocs, with concepts like “friend-shoring” gaining prominence.

    What is Geo-Economic Fragmentation (GEF)?

    • GEF refers to the breakdown of global economic integration, caused by strategic national policies.
    • It involves disruptions in trade, capital flows, foreign direct investment (FDI), and migration.
    • The shift resembles the Cold War era, with countries aligning into economic blocs.
    • Western nations’ imposition of uniform environmental, labor, and social standards has fueled economic divisions.
    • The World Trade Organization (WTO) Trade Monitoring Report (October 2024) recorded:
      • 169 new trade-restrictive measures, affecting $887.7 billion worth of trade.
      • A sharp rise from $337.1 billion in 2023, reflecting escalating protectionism.
    • The IMF notes that trade fragmentation today is costlier than during the Cold War, when global trade was just 16% of GDP.
      • Today, it is 45%, making economic isolation riskier.

    Significance and Impacts of GEF:

    • Decline of Global Trade: WTO reported 169 new trade restrictions covering $887.7 billion in 2023-24, making trade costlier.
    • FDI Relocation: Friend-shoring is concentrating FDI among geopolitically aligned nations, reducing capital for emerging economies.
    • China’s Economic Dominance: Controls 80% of solar panels, 80% of batteries, and 60% of wind energy, reshaping supply chains.
    • Supply Chain Disruptions: Firms are shifting from China to India, Vietnam, and Mexico to diversify risks.
    • Emerging Market Challenges: Increased trade barriers, inflation, and tech restrictions slow down growth.
    • Rise in Economic Nationalism: Nations are prioritizing domestic industries, energy security, and localized production over global collaboration.

    PYQ:

    [2022] Elucidate the relationship between globalization and new technology in a world of scarce resources, with special reference to India.

    [2017] Which of the following has/have occurred in India after its liberalization of economic policies in 1991?

    1. Share of agriculture in GDP increased enormously.

    2. Share of India’s exports in world trade increased.

    3. FDI inflows increased.

    4. India’s foreign exchange reserves increased enormously.

    Select the correct answer using the codes given below:

    (a) 1 and 4 only

    (b) 2, 3 and 4 only

    (c) 2 and 3 only

    (d) 1, 2, 3 and 4

  • A pragmatic picture: Economic Survey

    Why in the News?

    The Budget session of Parliament has started at a time when India’s economic situation is shifting. After four years of strong growth following the pandemic, the economy is slowing down.

    What are the key projections for India’s economic growth in FY 2024-25?

    • Projected GDP Growth: The National Statistical Office (NSO) has estimated that India’s GDP will grow by 6.4% in FY 2024-25. This figure marks a decline from the 8.2% growth recorded in FY 2023-24 and is lower than earlier forecasts which ranged from 6.5% to 7%.
    • Sectoral Performance: The slowdown is attributed to weaker performance in sectors such as manufacturing and services. The first half of FY 2024-25 is expected to see a growth rate of around 6%, necessitating a stronger performance of 6.8% in the second half to meet the annual target.
    • Comparative Estimates: While the NSO’s estimate stands at 6.4%, other organizations like the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have projected a slightly higher growth rate of 7%, reflecting differing outlooks on economic recovery and consumer demand.

    How does the Economic Survey address challenges such as inflation and global uncertainties?

    • Food Inflation Concerns: Despite the overall decline in inflation, food inflation remains a challenge, rising from 7.5% in FY24 to 8.4% in the same period due to supply chain disruptions and adverse weather conditions. 
      • The survey emphasizes the need for improved agricultural practices and climate-resilient crops to manage these risks effectively.
    • Inflation Trends: The survey reports a reduction in retail inflation from 5.4% in FY24 to 4.9% during April-December 2024, indicating a positive trend towards achieving the RBI’s target of around 4% by FY26, contingent on stable global commodity prices and favorable domestic agricultural output.
    • Global Economic Uncertainties: The survey highlights that ongoing geopolitical tensions and global trade risks pose significant challenges to inflation management, necessitating careful policy interventions to mitigate potential impacts on the domestic economy.
    • Policy Recommendations: To address these challenges, the Economic Survey advocates for strategic policy measures, including enhancing supply chain resilience, improving data collection for better price monitoring, and fostering an environment conducive to investment and growth.

    What structural reforms are recommended to enhance long-term economic stability?

    • Deregulation and Ease of Doing Business: The Economic Survey advocates for significant deregulation to foster a more conducive business environment. It stresses that the government should “get out of the way” of businesses by minimizing micro-management and enhancing accountability among regulators.
    • Empowering Small Firms: Recommendations include empowering small enterprises, enhancing economic freedom, and ensuring a level playing field across sectors to stimulate growth and investment.
    • Focus on Domestic Demand: The budget is expected to prioritize boosting domestic demand through increased government spending, particularly in infrastructure and capital projects, as a countermeasure against global uncertainties and inflationary pressures.

    Way forward: 

    • Strengthen Domestic Resilience – Focus on boosting domestic consumption and investment through targeted fiscal measures, infrastructure expansion, and support for MSMEs to counter global uncertainties.
    • Enhance Inflation Management – Implement climate-resilient agricultural policies, improve supply chain efficiency, and strengthen monetary-fiscal coordination to maintain stable inflation and ensure sustainable growth.

    Mains PYQ:

    Q Is inclusive growth possible under market economy? State the significance of financial inclusion in achieving economic growth in India.(UPSC IAS/2022)

  • India is heading into a middle income trap

    Why in the News?

    Ahead of the Union Budget, the Congress released a report on January 30, 2025, saying that India is at risk of getting stuck in the middle-income trap.  

    What is the classification of Countries given by the World Bank?

    The World Bank classifies countries into four income groups based on their Gross National Income (GNI) per capita.  

    • Low-Income Countries: These are nations with a GNI per capita of $1,145 or less. This group typically includes countries facing significant economic challenges and lower levels of development.
    • Lower-Middle-Income Countries: Countries in this category have a GNI per capita ranging from $1,146 to $4,515. This group often includes emerging economies that are in the process of development but still face various socio-economic issues.
    • Upper-Middle-Income Countries: This classification includes countries with a GNI per capita between $4,516 and $14,005. These nations generally have more developed economies and better infrastructure compared to lower-middle-income countries.
    • High-Income Countries: These are countries with a GNI per capita exceeding $14,005. This group includes the most developed economies with high standards of living and advanced infrastructure.

    What factors contribute to India being at risk of falling into a middle-income trap?

    • Low GDP Growth: India’s projected GDP growth rate for 2024-25 is around 6.4%, significantly lower than the 8% needed to leverage its demographic dividend effectively, indicating a slowdown in economic momentum.
    • Food Inflation Concerns: Despite the overall decline in inflation, food inflation remains a challenge, rising from 7.5% in FY24 to 8.4% in the same period due to supply chain disruptions and adverse weather conditions. 
    • Private Sector Investment: Despite corporate tax cuts, private sector investment has not significantly increased. The Economic Survey 2024-25 indicates that Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF), a crucial indicator of investment activity, slowed to 5.4% in the recent quarter, reflecting a decline in private capital expenditure.
    • Government Capital Expenditure: The survey notes that government capital expenditure utilization was only 37.3% in the first half of FY25, down from 49% the previous year, which has contributed to the overall slowdown in investments.
    • Low Incomes: A significant portion of India’s population lives on extremely low incomes, with estimates suggesting that about 50% of the population earns between ₹100 and ₹150 per day. This level of income severely limits consumer spending capacity and economic growth potential.

    How does the current economic policy framework address the challenges? (Way forward)

    • Next-Generation Reforms: The Union Budget 2024-25 emphasizes “Next Generation Reforms” aimed at enhancing productivity and market efficiency across various sectors. 
      • This includes a comprehensive Economic Policy Framework that focuses on improving factors of production land, labour, capital, and entrepreneurship while leveraging technology to reduce inequality and boost economic growth.
    • Deregulation and Economic Freedom: The Economic Survey highlights the need for deregulation and grassroots reforms to enhance the competitiveness of the economy. It advocates for greater economic freedom, allowing individuals and organizations to pursue legitimate economic activities without excessive regulatory burdens.  
    • Public-Private Partnerships and Infrastructure Investment: The framework encourages public-private partnerships (PPPs) in infrastructure projects, facilitating greater collaboration between the government and private sector. 
      • By removing policy hurdles and providing upfront support for long-term projects, the government aims to attract patient capital necessary for sustainable development, which is critical for addressing current economic challenges

    Mains PYQ:

    Q Do you agree with the view that steady GDP growth and low inflation have left the Indian economy in good shape? Give reasons in support of your arguments. (UPSC IAS/2019)

  • Cannabis Cultivation in India

    Why in the News?

    The Himachal Pradesh Cabinet has approved a pilot study for the controlled cultivation of cannabis for medicinal and industrial purposes.

    Legal Status of Cannabis Cultivation in India:

    • Prohibited for recreational use under the Narcotic Drugs and Psychotropic Substances (NDPS) Act, 1985.
    • Section 2 of the NDPS Act bans the cultivation, production, and sale of cannabis resin and flowers.
    • Section 10 allows state governments to regulate cannabis cultivation for medicinal and scientific purposes.
    • Section 14 grants the Central Government authority to permit cultivation for industrial uses (fiber and seed extraction).

    Why Himachal Pradesh Could Soon Allow Controlled Cannabis Cultivation?

    • The Himalayan region’s soil and climate are ideal for cultivating low-THC hemp varieties, making Himachal Pradesh a prime location for controlled cannabis farming.
    • The government sees controlled cultivation as a way to generate revenue, create employment opportunities, and support local farmers, particularly in Kullu, Chamba, Mandi, Solan, Kangra, and Sirmaur.
    • Cannabis cultivation will be restricted to industrial and pharmaceutical uses, such as:
      • Pain relief medications
      • Textile and paper production
      • Biofuel and cosmetics
      • Hemp-based food products
    • The Kullu and Malana regions are known for illegal narcotic cannabis cultivation. Regulating the sector could reduce illegal activities and ensure legal trade.
    • The Narcotic Drugs and Psychotropic Substances (NDPS) Act, 1985 allows state governments to permit and regulate cannabis cultivation for scientific, medicinal, and industrial purposes under strict conditions.

    Which are the other States to allow Controlled Cannabis Cultivation in India?

    • Uttarakhand (2018):
      • First state to legalize industrial hemp cultivation.
      • Managed by the Centre for Aromatic Plants (CAP), Selaqui.
      • Challenges include maintaining THC levels below 0.3% and seed availability.
    • Madhya Pradesh (2023):
      • Approved medicinal cannabis research but commercial cultivation is yet to start.
      • Sai Phytoceuticals (Pvt. Ltd.) received the first license for cannabis-based medicine production.
    • Jammu & Kashmir (2021):
      • India’s first medicinal cannabis pilot project launched by CSIR-Indian Institute of Integrative Medicine (IIIM), Jammu.
      • Conducted in Public-Private Partnership (PPP) mode with a Canadian firm.
      • Research focuses on cannabis-based cancer and epilepsy treatments.

    PYQ:

    [2018] India’s proximity to the two of the world’s biggest illicit opium-growing states has enhanced her internal security concerns. Explain the linkages between drug trafficking and other illicit activities such as gunrunning, money laundering and human trafficking. What counter-measures should be taken to prevent the same?