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Foreign Policy Watch: India-Russia

India’s Oil Imports from Russia Fall to 44 Month Low

Why in the News

India’s crude oil imports from Russia fell to a 44 month low in January 2026, while imports from Gulf countries and the United States increased. This shift comes amid West Asia conflict and rising global oil prices.

Key Data Points

  • Russian oil imports in Jan 2026: 1.98 billion dollars.
  • Russia’s share: 19.3% of total imports.
  • Two months earlier: 27.5%.
  • May 2025: 33%.
  • Lowest Russian share since December 2022.

Rising Share of Other Suppliers

  • Gulf Countries:
    • Iraq: 16.6%, 
    • Saudi Arabia: 17.5% highest since April 2023
    • UAE: 10.4%
    • Kuwait: 6.1%
  • United States: Share increased to 6.8% from 5% a year earlier.

Why the Shift Happened

  • U.S. had linked tariff relief to reduction in Russian oil purchases.
  • U.S. President Donald Trump removed penal tariffs citing India’s commitment to reduce Russian imports.
  • Later, U.S. Supreme Court struck down the tariff mechanism.

Why It May Become Costly

1. Rising Oil Prices

  • West Asia conflict pushed crude above 80 dollars per barrel.
  • Every 1 dollar increase adds about 2 billion dollars to India’s annual import bill.

2. Strait of Hormuz Risk

  • Strait of Hormuz is critical for Gulf oil supplies.
  • Closure or disruption threatens Iraqi, Saudi, UAE and Kuwaiti exports.

3. Higher Freight Costs

  • U.S. oil travels longer distances.
  • Higher marine insurance and logistics costs during conflict.

Strategic Implications

  • Energy security becomes more vulnerable.
  • Trade deficit pressure likely if prices stay elevated.
  • Rupee may face depreciation risk.
  • Inflationary impact on domestic economy.

Prelims Pointers

  • India imports over 85% of its crude oil needs.
  • Strait of Hormuz connects Persian Gulf to Arabian Sea.
  • Oil price rise affects Current Account Deficit.
  • Diversification of suppliers is a key energy security strategy.
[2020] The term ‘West Texas Intermediate’ sometimes found in news, refers to a grade of 

(a) Crude oil 

(b) Bullion 

(c) Rare earth elements 

(d) Uranium

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