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GS Paper: Indian Economy

  • When does RBI step in to monitor a Bank?

    The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has placed a private bank under tight monitoring and greater public scrutiny.

    What is the news?

    • The XYZ Bank’s capital to risk weighted assets ratio (CRAR) dropped to around 13% at the end of March this year from 14.5% a year ago.
    • This has dropped below the Basel III in the past and it has even been placed under the prompt corrective action framework (PCA) by the RBI to deal with serious deteriorations in its financial position.
    • Under Basel-III norms banks are supposed to maintain their CRAR at 9% or above.

    What is Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR)?

    • Capital adequacy ratio is an indicator of the ability of a bank to survive as a going business entity in case it suffers significant losses on its loan book.
    • The CRAR is a ratio that compares the value of a bank’s capital (or net worth) against the value of its various assets weighted according to how risky each asset is.
    • It is used to gauge the risk of insolvency faced by a bank.

    How do it affects bank functioning?

    • A bank cannot continue to operate if the total value of its assets drops below the total value of its liabilities as it would wipe out its capital (or net worth) and render the bank insolvent.
    • So, banking regulations such as the Basel-III norms try to closely monitor changes in the capital adequacy of banks in order to prevent major bank failures which could have a severe impact on the wider economy.
    • The capital position of a bank should not be confused with cash held by a bank in its vaults to make good on its commitment to depositors.

    Alternatives for bank

    • The said Bank has been trying to issue additional shares in the open market through a rights issue in order to deal with its capital adequacy woes.
    • Through a rights issue, the bank will be able to raise more equity capital from existing shareholders.
    • This is in contrast to an initial public offering where shares are issued to new shareholders.

    Back2Basics: Basel Norms

    • Basel is a city in Switzerland. It is the headquarters of the Bureau of International Settlement (BIS), which fosters co-operation among central banks with a common goal of financial stability and common standards of banking regulations.
    • Basel guidelines refer to broad supervisory standards formulated by this group of central banks – called the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS).
    • The set of the agreement by the BCBS, which mainly focuses on risks to banks and the financial system is called Basel accord.
    • The purpose of the accord is to ensure that financial institutions have enough capital on account to meet obligations and absorb unexpected losses.
    • India has accepted Basel accords for the banking system.

    Basel I

    • In 1988, BCBS introduced a capital measurement system called Basel capital accord, also called as Basel 1.
    • It focused almost entirely on credit risk. It defined capital and structure of risk weights for banks.
    • The minimum capital requirement was fixed at 8% of risk-weighted assets (RWA).
    • RWA means assets with different risk profiles.
    • For example, an asset-backed by collateral would carry lesser risks as compared to personal loans, which have no collateral. India adopted Basel 1 guidelines in 1999.

    Basel II

    • In June ’04, Basel II guidelines were published by BCBS, which were considered to be the refined and reformed versions of Basel I accord.
    • The guidelines were based on three parameters, which the committee calls it as pillars:
    • Capital Adequacy Requirements: Banks should maintain a minimum capital adequacy requirement of 8% of risk assets.
    • Supervisory Review: According to this, banks were needed to develop and use better risk management techniques in monitoring and managing all the three types of risks that a bank faces, viz. credit, market and operational risks.
    • Market Discipline: This needs increased disclosure requirements. Banks need to mandatorily disclose their CAR, risk exposure, etc to the central bank. Basel II norms in India and overseas are yet to be fully implemented.

    Basel III

    • In 2010, Basel III guidelines were released. These guidelines were introduced in response to the financial crisis of 2008.
    • A need was felt to further strengthen the system as banks in the developed economies were under-capitalized, over-leveraged and had a greater reliance on short-term funding.
    • Also, the quantity and quality of capital under Basel II were deemed insufficient to contain any further risk.
    • Basel III norms aim at making most banking activities such as their trading book activities more capital-intensive.
    • The guidelines aim to promote a more resilient banking system by focusing on four vital banking parameters viz. capital, leverage, funding and liquidity.

     

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  • India’s Direct Benefit Transfer Schemes

    Transfer

    Context

    • Last week, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) lauded India’s Direct Benefit Transfer (DBT) Scheme as a “logistical marvel” that has reached hundreds of millions of people and specifically benefitted women, the elderly and farmers. Paolo Mauro, Deputy Director in the IMF’s Fiscal Affairs Department, praised the role of technological innovation in achieving this feat.

    What is Direct Benefit Transfer(DBT)?

    • With the aim of reforming Government delivery system by re-engineering the existing process in welfare schemes for simpler and faster flow of information/funds and to ensure accurate targeting of the beneficiaries, de-duplication and reduction of fraud Direct Benefit Transfer (DBT) was started on 1st January, 2013.
    • DBT Mission was created in the Planning Commission to act as the nodal point for the implementation of the DBT programmes. The Mission was transferred to the Department of Expenditure in July, 2013 and continued to function till 14.9.2015. To give more impetus, DBT Mission and matters related thereto has been placed in Cabinet Secretariat under Secretary (Co-ordination & PG).

    Transfer

    Efforts behind the efficient DBT

    • Mission-mode approach for financial inclusion: Government endeavoured to open bank accounts for all households, expanded Aadhaar to all, and scaled up the coverage of banking and telecom services.
    • Public Finance Management System through Aadhar: It evolved the Public Finance Management System and created the Aadhaar Payment Bridge to enable instant money transfers from the government to people’s bank accounts.
    • Participation of various stakeholders for extensive UPI: The Aadhaar-enabled Payment System and Unified Payment Interface further expanded interoperability and private-sector participation.
    • Directly receiving of subsidies: This approach not only allowed all rural and urban households to be uniquely linked under varied government schemes for receiving subsidies directly into their bank accounts but also transferred money with ease.

    What is the Present status of DBT?

    • The status of JAM trinity (Jan Dhan Aadhar Mobile)
    • By 2022, more than 135 crore Aadhaar’s have been generated,
    • There are 47 crore beneficiaries under Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana,
    • Mobile subscribers number more than 120 crores.
    • Riding on this network, the DBT programme has reached commanding heights towards achieving the government’s vision of “sabka vikas”.
    • Last mile banking through Bank Mitras: 5 lakh Bank Mitras delivering branchless banking services.
    • DBT applicable to government schemes: Becoming the major plank of the government’s agenda of inclusive growth, it has 318 schemes of 53 central ministries spanning across sectors, welfare goals and the vast geography of the country.

    Transfer

    How benefits are delivered through DBT?

    • DBT in rural areas: In rural Bharat, DBT has allowed the government to provide financial assistance effectively and transparently to farmers with lower transaction costs be it for fertilisers or any of the other schemes including the PM Kisan Samman  Nidhi, PM Fasal Bima Yojana, and PM Krishi Sinchayi Yojana  thus becoming the backbone for supporting the growth of the agricultural economy.
    • DBT in urban area: In urban India, the PM Awas Yojana and LPG Pahal scheme successfully use DBT to transfer funds to eligible beneficiaries.
    • Benefits under MGNAREGA: The benefits received under the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act and Public Distribution System drive the rural demand-supply chain.
    • Various assistance programmes: Various scholarship schemes and the National Social Assistance Programme use the DBT architecture to provide social security.
    • Scheme for rehabilitation: DBT under rehabilitation programmes such as the Self Employment Scheme for Rehabilitation of Manual Scavengers opens new frontiers that enable social mobility of all sections of society.
    • DBT as last mile support in Pandemic: The efficacy and robustness of the DBT network were witnessed during the pandemic. It aided the government to reach the last mile and support the most deprived in bearing the brunt of the lockdown. From free rations to nearly 80 crore people under the Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Yojana, fund transfers to all women Jan Dhan account holders and support to small vendors under PM-SVANidhi, DBT helped the vulnerable to withstand the shock of the pandemic.

    Transfer

    What are the reasons for successful DBT schemes?

    • An enabling policy regime: Proactive government initiatives and supportive regulatory administration allowed the private and public sector entities in the financial sector to overcome longstanding challenges of exclusion of a large part of the population.
    • Creation of a dedicated ecosystem: These are essential elements of the pioneering ecosystem created by the government for the aggressive rollout of the ambitious DBT programme, achieving impressive scale in a short span of six years.

    Conclusion

    • Direct Benefit Transfer has transformed the welfare aspect of the governance. Going forward digital and financial literacy, robust grievance redressal, enhancing awareness and an empowering innovation system are some of the aspects that would require continued focus. This would play a vital role for India in meeting the diverse needs of its population and ensuring balanced, equitable and inclusive growth.

    Mains Question

    Q.Enlist the schemes that comes under DBT. How DBT has changed the lives of needy people in urban and rural India?

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  • What are Foreign Currency Non-Resident (FCNR) deposits?

    The RBI’s 2013 FCNR scheme to buffer the rupee against steep declines and rebuild foreign exchange reserves is unlikely to prove fruitful in the current crisis as economic fundamentals are different.

    What are FCNR deposits?

    • Back in 2013, the RBI had offered to swap the U.S. dollars banks had raised via foreign currency non-resident (FCNR) deposits or foreign currency funding for rupees at concessional rates.
    • A FCNR is a bank account for NRIs to maintain a Fixed Deposit account in India.
    • This account allows one as an NRI to save money earned in the currency form of the country you’ve originally earned the money from.
    • FCNR deposits can hold currencies like US Dollars, Pounds Sterling, Euro, Japanese Yen, Australian Dollars and Canadian Dollars.
    • Interest on such deposits is exempt for income tax.

    How do they operate?

    • These deposit accounts are a term deposit account, not savings.
    • Once can withdraw your money before the date of maturity, and there will be no charges, but the interest will not be paid until after a year is complete.

    Benefits offered

    • FCNRs are just like what FDs are for resident Indians, except in foreign currency.
    • They work as great investment options for NRIs to invest in the country for a start, before looking for other avenues in investments on the stock market.
    • Because the money is being held in those currencies, the risk of exchange rate fluctuations is eliminated.

    Why in news?

    • Forex reserves have tumbled about $110 billion from a peak of $642 billion in September last year.
    • A significant reason behind this is RBI’s currency market intervention.

     

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  • Tax on windfall profit on crude oil, export of diesel, ATF raised

    The government raised the windfall tax on domestically-produced crude oil by more than a third while doubling the rate on export of diesel and reintroducing the levy on export of jet fuel (ATF) in line with the rise in international oil prices.

    What is a Windfall Tax?

    • Windfall taxes are designed to tax the profits a company derives from an external, sometimes unprecedented event — for instance, the energy price-rise as a result of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
    • These are profits that cannot be attributed to something the firm actively did, like an investment strategy or an expansion of business.
    • The US Congressional Research Service (CRS) defines a windfall as an “unearned, unanticipated gain in income through no additional effort or expense”.
    • One area where such taxes have routinely been discussed is oil markets, where price fluctuation leads to volatile or erratic profits for the industry.

    When did India introduce this?

    • In July this year, India announced a windfall tax on domestic crude oil producers who it believed were reaping the benefits of the high oil prices.
    • It also imposed an additional excise levy on diesel, petrol and air turbine fuel (ATF) exports.
    • Also, India’s case was different from other countries, as it was still importing discounted Russian oil.

    How is it levied?

    • Governments typically levy this as a one-off tax retrospectively over and above the normal rates of tax.
    • The Central government has introduced a windfall profit tax of ₹23,250 per tonne on domestic crude oil production, which was subsequently revised fortnightly four times so far.
    • The latest revision was on August 31, when it was hiked to ₹13,300 per tonne from ₹13,000.

    Why govt. introduced windfall tax?

    • There have been varying rationales for governments worldwide to introduce windfall taxes like:
    1. Redistribution of unexpected gains when high prices benefit producers at the expense of consumers,
    2. Funding social welfare schemes, and
    3. Supplementary revenue stream for the government

    Why are countries levying windfall taxes now?

    • Prices of oil, gas, and coal have seen sharp increases since last year and in the first two quarters of the current year, although they have reduced recently.
    • Pandemic recovery and supply issues resulting from the Russia-Ukraine conflict shored up energy demands, which in turn have driven up global prices.
    • The rising prices meant huge and record profits for energy companies while resulting in hefty gas and electricity bills for households in major and smaller economies.
    • Since the gains stemmed partly from external change, multiple analysts have called them windfall profits.

    Issues with imposing such taxes

    • Companies are confident in investing in a sector if there is certainty and stability in a tax regime.
    • Since windfall taxes are imposed retrospectively and are often influenced by unexpected events, they can brew uncertainty in the market about future taxes.
    • IMF says that taxes in response to price surges may suffer from design problems—given their expedient and political nature.
    • It added that introducing a temporary windfall profit tax reduces future investment because prospective investors will internalise the likelihood of potential taxes when making investment decisions.
    • There is another argument about what exactly constitutes true windfall profits; how can it be determined and what level of profit is normal or excessive.
    • Another issue is who should be taxed — only the big companies responsible for the bulk of high-priced sales or smaller companies as well— raising the question of whether producers with revenues or profits below a certain threshold should be exempt.

     

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  • Finance Commission’s Approach to Equitable Delivery of Goods and Services

    finance commission

    Context

    • 15th Finance commission on horizontal devolution agreed that the Census 2011 population data better represents the present need of States, to be fair to, as well as reward, the States which have done better on the demographic front, Finance commission has assigned a 12.5 per cent weight to the demographic performance criterion. Population, area, forest and ecology, demographic performance, tax efforts, income and distance are the criteria for horizontal distribution of funds.

    Why equitable delivery is necessary in the country?

    • To fulfil the need of basket of Goods: There is a basket of goods and services that should be delivered by the State. It is best not to call them public goods, since “public goods” have a specific meaning for economists and this basket has items that are typically collective private goods.
    • To achieve Aantodaya approach (last person): Curlew Island is in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands. Until the 2011 Census, it had a population of two. Pulomilo Island, also in Andaman and Nicobar, had a population of 20 in 2011. At the time of elections, we read of astounding attempts made, so that voters in remote locations can vote. No one should be disenfranchised because of remoteness of location. By the same token, a resident, regardless of location, must be entitled to that basket.
    • To achieve poverty alleviation: The quality of public services affects economic growth via its impact on poverty alleviation, human capital formation and corruption.

    finance commission

    What are the Problems with Equitable delivery targets?

    • High cost of delivery: States can have differential sources of revenue. Alternatively, the cost of delivering that basket may vary across geographical zones.
    • Problems associated with migration: Over time, villages of course get depopulated. They are reclassified, get absorbed into larger agglomerations, or disappear because of migration.

    finance commission

    How equitable delivery can be achieved?

    • State need to take honest responsibility: The State cannot abdicate its responsibility of providing the basket.
    • Economic compulsion: Migration is a voluntary decision, often driven by the pull (and push) of economic forces. That voluntary decision cannot be replaced by fiat.
    • Dividing the pool between the governments: The Union Finance Commission has a vertical task, dividing the divisible pool between the Union government and states.
    • Adjusting to the criteria set by FC: It also has a horizontal task, dividing State share between different states. Accordingly, from the 1st to the 15th, Finance commission have adopted different formulae, with an attempt to also create incentives, by attaching weights to fiscal efficiency and even demographic performance.
    • This leaves variables like population, geographical area, income distance, infrastructure distance and forest cover:
    • expenditure equalisation based on needs/costs of public services;
    • Revenue equalisation measured by the ability of the state to raise revenue from one or more sources; and
    • Macro indicators covering broader economic or non-economic indicators that approximate fiscal capacity, where data constraints make it difficult to apply the other approaches.
    • Addressing Geographic area and population: Needs/costs are sought to be measured through geographical area and population. All Finance Commissions have used area as another criterion in the devolution formula on the ground of need — the larger the area, greater is the expenditure requirement for providing comparable services.

    Conclusion

    • Equitable access to public goods and services in low income and inequal (economic inequality) country like India is cumbersome task. Finance commission is trying their best for equitable allocation of resources.

    Mains Question

    Q. How Equity is different from equality?  What is the finance commission’s criteria for horizontal allocation of resources among the states ?

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  • Bringing Business friendly Industrial Laws

    Business

    Context

    • The government’s proposal to bring a “holistic decriminalisation” bill in the Winter Session of Parliament, If gets enacted into law, it will be one of India’s greatest reforms since 1991. One of the objectives of this proposed law is to “end harassment and reduce compliance burden on businesses.

     What is Holistic decriminalisation Bill?

    • A new holistic decriminalisation bill is set to amend burdensome provisions in laws related to businesses.
    • Union Minister of Commerce and Industry, Piyush Goyal said that the Decriminalising sections of various laws will end the harassment faced by businesses and reduce compliance burden. Seeking quick industry feedback on problematic areas that can be covered in the proposed Bill.

    What is the status of existing laws in India?

    • Burden of Imprisonment clauses: Business regulatory universe comprises 1,536 laws, of which more than half, or 843 laws, carry imprisonment clauses. Under these laws, there are 69,233 compliances businesses face as an aggregate, of which almost two out of five, or 26,134, carry imprisonment clauses.
    • Union and state legislations on the compliance: Of the 843 laws with imprisonment clauses, 28.9 percent, or 244 laws, have been enacted by Parliament; the rest by State legislatures and rules. Of the 26,134 compliances that carry imprisonment clauses, a fifth, or 5,239 clauses are situated in Union laws.
    • No institutional support for informal sector: Of the 69 million enterprises in India, only 1 million are formal employers; as a result, the remaining informal enterprises get no access to institutional capital, talent, or supply chains.
    • Smaller the better attitude: India’s predatory and rent-seeking policy infrastructure ensures that businesses choose to remain under the regulatory radar—small may not be beautiful but it is certainly safe. For instance, a small business with 150 employees or more has to deal with 500 to 900 compliances a year, on which it can end up spending up to INR 12-18 lakhs by hiring consultants to be compliant with labour laws, taxes, factories, and so on.
    • Burden of compliance is cost-effective: Creating a regulatory bias against small businesses once a line of scale is crossed, managing a compliance department becomes cost-effective; until then, for the small business owner-manager, compliances becomes a risk-management strategy, almost an economic activity.

    Business

    Why such reforms in business laws are necessary?

    • To attract more investment: When viewed through the lens of the government’s intention to make India an investment destination for global and domestic capital, it would be a reform that should end the endemic of harassment, corruption, and rent-seeking by officials of the Union government.
    • To end corruption at state level: Corruption by officials of state governments will end when criminal provisions in State laws and rules get similarly rationalised; some of these will get rationalised with amendments to Union laws that are enforced by state governments.
    • Encouraging the entrepreneurial spirit: Regulatory framework is cumulative policy actions of the three arms of the State the executive, the legislature, and the judiciary using instruments of legislations, rules, regulations, or orders, to create or raise barriers to a smooth flow of ideas, organisation, money, and, most importantly, the flow of the entrepreneurial spirit.

    Business

    What are the recommendations for Holistic decriminalization?

    • Amend the overreaching laws: Reform all compliances with overarching legislation, across ministries and departments. Smaller steps being taken to ease doing business in India, such as shifting the responsibility under the Legal Metrology Rules from directors to executives, should converge into this single bill.
    • There should be Justifiable imprisonment: Use criminal penalties in business laws with extreme restraint the idea of using a criminal clause as a default option should be done away with and replaced by a justification for imprisonment, including the term in jail.
    • Ending the criminalisation: End the criminalisation of all compliance procedures such as filing on a wrong form or mislabelling.
    • Introducing new laws: Introduce sunset clauses for all imprisonment clauses this needs a new enabling law as a precursor.
    • Bringing extensive Digitisation: Digitise all compliance filings, as has been done by the income tax department.
    • Focus on paperless work: Convert every department that acts as a regulatory body to go paperless and faceless. This should look beyond merely creating a website and uploading records. This will enable automated record reconciliation, identify leakages, detect frauds, and flag discrepancies.
    • More such steps in the right direction: By reducing the compliance burden such that it ends harassment, the government is moving in the right direction. To prevent any policy holes left after the passage of the bill into an act, this is a law that needs to be studied hard, debated well, and only then enacted. Of course, there will be political opposition. It is up to the government to ignore the rhetoric and embrace the solutions for the greater good of the country.

    BusinessConclusion

    • The country is getting ready for third-generation reforms. Among them are reforms that rationalise compliances and imprisonment clauses—retain a handful, reduce or remove most, compound the rest and turn physical imprisonment into financial penalties. The Inspector Raj, expressed through the colonial, corrupt, and rent-seeking policy infrastructure, must be disassembled and jobs, wealth, and large enterprises created.

    Mains Question

    Q. Why current industrial policy and laws are causing the harassment of entreprenuers? Discuss the reforms needed in the light of proposed “ Holistic Discrimination” Bill.

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  • Economics Nobel for work on Role of Banks during Financial Crisis

    nobel

    The Nobel Prize for Economics in 2022 was awarded to Ben S Bernanke, Douglas W Diamond and Philip H Dybvig for research on banks and financial crises.

    Do you know?

    • The economics prize is not one of the original five awards created in the 1895 will of industrialist and dynamite inventor Alfred Nobel.
    • It was established by Sweden’s central bank and first awarded in 1969, its full and formal name being the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.

    Why was the Nobel given to these three scholars?

    • The research of the three laureates has helped us understand the role of banks in the economy, particularly during financial crises.
    • Their research shows why avoiding a bank collapse is very important for the economy.

    Which bank did these scholars study?

    • In 1656, the then-king of Sweden approved the foundation of Sweden’s first bank, the Stockholms Banco, which also became the first bank to issue banknotes in Europe.
    • However, Banco over-issued notes leading to its liquidation in 1667.
    • In 1668, the Swedish Nobles decided to found the Riksens Standers Bank, which was later renamed as Sveriges Riksbank in 1867.
    • In 1968, on its tercentenary, the Sveriges Riksbank decided to award the economics prize in memory of Alfred Nobel.
    • The award itself was the result of an ongoing crisis and conflict between the central bank and the government.
    • The purpose of mentioning this history is to highlight how failures are central to banks.
    • Banks have failed ever since they were created.

    What does Ben Bernanke say about banking crises?

    • In the 1930s, the world economy faced a serious economic contraction called the Great Depression.
    • For many years, it was thought the Great Depression was due to a lack of policy stimulus.
    • The economist John Maynard Keynes had argued that monetary policy was ineffective in such crises as interest rates could not go lower than zero percent, and one needed a large fiscal stimulus.
    • Milton Friedman argued that central banks could create money even when interest rates were zero by buying assets, thereby increasing the money supply.

    Reasons behind the crisis

    • Bernanke said that while a lack of policy stimulus explains the contraction, it does not explain why the Great Depression continued for such a long time.
    • The economic contraction had led to a large number of bank failures.
    • His argument was that it was this large-scale failure of banks which prolonged the crisis.
    • Banks were not in a position to channel loans towards productive activities, leading to the crisis becoming more severe in the US.

    How is bank failure attributed to the financial crisis?

    • Banks have special insights into companies, and when a bank fails, all this information is lost.
    • A failed banking system takes many years to repair and the economy performs very poorly in this period.
    • This explains why the Great Depression became such a prolonged crisis.
    • Bernanke drew his analysis from a deep understanding of economic and monetary history.
    • This prize also shows the importance of history, which is becoming rarer in economic research.

    What are Diamond’s and Dybvig’s insights into banking crises?

    • Bernanke explained what happens when banks fail. But Diamond and Dybvig explained why banks fail.
    • In joint research, hence called the Diamond-Dybvig model, they explain that banks fail when depositors rush for their money.
    • In their model, banks are seen as financial intermediaries that intermediate funds from depositors to loan seekers.
    • The deposits are for shorter durations whereas loans are typically given for longer durations (technically called the maturity transformation function of banks).
    • The banks are seen as entities that help savers meet investors, and by channeling loans towards good projects, banks help an economy grow.

    How bank failure is related to depositors?

    • Banks are prone to runs by depositors.
    • In their research, they show that once there is a rumor about a bank’s weakness, it spreads like wildfire, causing a bank run, when depositors literally run for their funds to the bank.
    • As banks lend most of the funds towards long-term projects, the loans cannot be recalled easily to repay the depositors.
    • If the rumor is not addressed, it leads to eventual bank failure.

    Is it Nobel-worthy?

    • While many know this is basically how banks fail, the prize-winning duo formalized the model.
    • They also presented a solution for bank failures via deposit insurance, which was also introduced before their research.
    • In 1933, the US was the first country to adopt deposit insurance, followed by India in 1962.
    • Both adopted deposit insurance after a significant number of banks failed in these countries.

    What does the prize mean for Indian banking?

    • India has been facing sporadic banking crises from 2013 where few banks failed.
    • Bernanke’s research shows how once a crisis starts, it can prolong not just banking problems but also lower economic growth over time.
    • Diamond-Dybvig’s research shows how the weak performance of individual banks like the Punjab and Maharashtra Urban Cooperative Bank and Yes Bank lead to runs.
    • Such banks need to be bailed out by the government.
    • There was also the case of ICICI bank which faced a run in 2008 based on rumours, but the run was stalled by the central bank by issuing a notification assuring the sound health of the bank.

    You must know this!

    • Economist and former Reserve Bank of India (RBI) chief Raghuram Rajan seemed to have missed out on the award.
    • He is a leading scholar on banking and has written many research papers with this year’s awardee, Douglass Diamond.
    • The Nobel committee has cited 12 of his research papers, which are a significant contribution to the field of banking.

     

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  • Natural Gas: The energy future of India

    Natural GasContext

    • The announcement at the end of August by the ministry of petroleum that they had constituted a committee, headed by energy expert Kirit Parikh, to review the domestic natural gas pricing regime.

    Background

    • Prime Minister Narendra Modi wants to raise the share of gas in India’s energy mix to 15% by 2030 from 6.2%, helping it progress towards meeting a 2070 net zero carbon-emission goal.

    What is Natural Gas?

    • Natural gas is a fossil fuel source consisting primarily of methane. It is the cleanest fossil fuels among the available fossil fuels.
    • It is used as a feedstock in the manufacture of fertilizers, plastics and other commercially important organic chemicals as well as used as a fuel for electricity generation, heating purpose in industrial and commercial units.
    • Natural gas is also used for cooking in domestic households and a transportation fuel for vehicles.

    Natural GasWhy Natural gas is Important?

    • Energy Efficient:Natural gas produces more energy than any of the fossil fuels in terms of calorific value.
    • Cleaner fuel: Natural gas is a superior fuel as compared with coal and other liquid fuels being an environment-friendly, safer and cheaper fuel.
    • Economy of use: Natural Gas (as CNG) is much cheaper compared with petrol or Diesel.
    • Emission commitments: India made a commitment to COP-21 Paris Convention in December 2015 that by 2030, it would reduce carbon emission by 33%-35% of 2005 levels.
    • Diverse applications: Natural gas can be used as domestic kitchen fuel, fuel for the transport sector as well as a fuel for fertilizer industries and commercial units.
    • Supply chain convenience: Natural Gas is supplied through pipelines just like we get water from the tap. There is no need to store cylinders in the kitchen and thus save space.
    • Pacing up the progress line: On the global front,switching to natural gas is bringing commendable results.The latest report released by IEA shows that the electricity produced by natural gas worldwide was more than that of coal for the first time ever.

    Natural gas scenario in India

    • Domestic Gas Sources: The domestic gas in the country is being supplied from the oil & gas fields located at western and southeastern areas viz. Hazira basin, Mumbai offshore & KG basin as well as North East Region (Assam & Tripura).
    • Import of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG): In order to meet the gas demand, LNG is imported through the Open General License (OGL) in the country.  At present, India is having six operational LNG regasification terminals at Dahej, Kochi, Mundra, Ennore etc.
    • Gas Pipelines :
    • Gas Pipeline infrastructure is an economical and safe mode of transporting natural gas by connecting gas sources to gas-consuming markets.
    • An interconnected National Gas Grid has been envisaged to ensure the adequate availability and equitable distribution of natural gas in all parts of the country.
    • Pricing:
    • To incentivise gas producers and boost local output, since 2014 India has linked local gas prices to a formula tied to global benchmarks, including Henry Hub, Alberta gas, NBP and Russian gas.
    • In 2016, the country began fixing the ceiling prices of gas produced from ultra-deep water and challenging fields and allowed marketing freedom to the operators of these fields.

    Natural asStatistics of Natural gas in India

    • Current consumption: India’s natural gas consumption is expected to grow by eight per cent year-on-year to around 34,949 million standard cubic meters (MSCM) in the current calendar year aided by expanding infrastructure, strong GDP growth projections, and supportive government policy.
    • 2021 Consumption: In the 2021 calendar year (CY), the country’s natural gas demand stood at 32,360 MSCM. The share of domestic gas and imported RLNG was about 48% & 52% respectively. The City Gas Distribution (CGD) accounts for the largest consumption of natural gas followed by fertilizers, power and other industrial sectors
    • High prices: The state-set local gas prices and ceiling rates are at a record high and are expected to rise further due to a surge in global gas prices triggered by the Ukraine-Russia conflict.

    Kirit Parikh Committee

    • Objective: Ensuring fair prices to end consumers, and to suggest a market oriented, transparent and reliable pricing regime for India’s long term vision for ensuring a gas based economy.
    • Members: The committee,headed by energy expert Kirit Parikh, will include members from the fertiliser ministry, as well as gas producers and buyers.Four of the six members are from the public sector.

    Natural GasWhat are the problems facing India’s natural gas reserves?

    • Harsh topography: IHS CERA has estimated India has undiscovered gas resources of approximately 64 TCF The bulk of this is, however, in harsh topography and complex geology. These reserves are difficult to locate.
    • Distant from the market:Even if located,they are difficult to bring to market on economically viable terms. This is because the cost of creating the development and production infrastructure is massive.
    • Heavy Budget: The reality is India is a high-risk exploration play. There are inherent geologic, technical, and economic obstacles to achieving commercial success.
    • Administered Pricing: Constraint of administered pricing petroleum companies have reduced their exploration budgets under pressure to shift away from fossil fuels.

    What can be done?

    • Pricing freedom: It should clear up the existing complexity and, other than for producers of gas from nomination blocks, permit all producers of gas to determine prices through arms length,direct and transparent negotiations with different consumer segments.
    • Subsidies: There are no liquefaction facilities for the export of LNG in India. Subsidies may have to be provided but if so,they should be given directly by the government,through the exchequer. The gas producers must not be asked to bear that brunt.

    Conclusion

    • In the wake of the Ukraine crisis, the international energy market has undergone a profound transformation.India has made impressive progress towards clean energy. It has,however, a long way to go before it can fully wean itself off fossil fuels.

    Mains Question

    Q. It is evident that clean energy transitions are underway and it’s also a signal that we have the opportunity to meaningfully move the needle on emissions through more ambitious policies and investments in natural gas regime. Comment

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  • How Tokenization will change your online purchase?

    token

    The RBI’s deadline for tokenization of cards used in online payments passed on 30 September.

    What is Tokenization?

    • Tokenisation refers to the replacement of credit and debit card details with an alternative code called a ‘token’.
    • This token is unique for a combination of card, token requestor (the entity that accepts a request from the customer for tokenization of a card and passes it on to the card network to issue a token) and the device.

    How does it work?

    • Tokenizing credit and debit cards is a way to reduce the number of places where your card data can be found.
    • For instance, payments on Uber showed a warning that your card data will be saved with payment gateways such as Visa and Mastercard.
    • What it is saying is that a merchant like Uber will have to work with payment networks like Visa to convert the card details into a digital token, which is then used to validate transactions.
    • As a result, the card details you enter on the Uber app, or any online platform, are not stored on the company’s cloud servers, and are hence more secure.

    What is the digital token being used?

    • The digital token is a randomized string, usually alphanumeric. So, a 16-digit card number gets converted to something like 8f9%yf57ljTa.
    • It is generated by computer programmes, and the card network tags the token to your actual card details, and relays the token to the merchant.
    • When payments are to be requested, the merchant sends this token to the card network, which matches it against the saved details and validates the transaction.
    • A third party accessing the token won’t have use for it, since tokens will be unique across combinations of card, token requestor and merchants.

    Who can offer tokenization services?

    • Tokenisation can be performed only by the authorised card network and recovery of original Primary Account Number (PAN) should be feasible for the authorised card network only.
    • Adequate safeguards have to be put in place to ensure that PAN cannot be found out from the token and vice versa, by anyone except the card network.
    • RBI has emphasised that the integrity of the token generation process has to be ensured at all times.

    Benefits of Tokenization

    • Transaction safety: Tokenization reduces the chances of fraud arising from sharing card details.
    • Easy payments: The token is used to perform contactless card transactions at point-of-sale (PoS) terminals and QR code payments.
    • Data storage: Only card networks and card-issuing banks will have access to and can store any card data.

    How were the transactions processed?

    token

    • There are many players involved in processing one card transaction today:
    1. Merchant
    2. Payment aggregator
    3. Issuing bank
    4. Card network
    • When a transaction happens on a merchant platform, the data is sent to the payment aggregator (PA).
    • The PA next sends the details to either the issuing bank or the card network.
    • Then issuing bank sends an OTP and the transaction flows back.

    How will tokenization prevent online fraud?

    • Card details saved on an app are stored in cloud servers, which if hacked, can give the hacker access to information like card numbers, expiry dates, name of holder etc.
    • Though most merchants put special mechanisms to store card details in an obfuscated manner, it’s much more difficult to hack a bank or a Visa than it is to hack websites and apps.

    How does it differ from encryption?

    • The primary difference is that the token cannot lead one to the card details.
    • In encryption, a computer program obfuscates data using an encryption key, and this key can turn the data back to its original form.
    • In tokenization, however, there is no way to know what data a token represents unless one has access to the databases of the actual issuer of that token.
    • In many cases, laws don’t consider tokens as “sensitive data”, and hence, companies don’t have to ensure the same compliance to protect them.

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  • Forex Reserves to dip by $23 billion by Dec

    India’s depleted foreign exchange reserves are likely to drop further, falling to their lowest level in more than two years by end-2022.

    Forex to dip

    • In a battle that has so far failed to staunch the rupee’s fall to a record low against the greenback, the RBI has drawn down its foreign exchange reserves by close to $100 billion, to $545 billion.
    • Those reserves are forecast to fall another $23 billion to $523 billion by the end of this year.

    What is Foreign Exchange (Forex) Reserve?

    • Foreign exchange reserves are important assets held by the central bank in foreign currencies as reserves.
    • They are commonly used to support the exchange rate and set monetary policy.
    • In India’s case, foreign reserves include Gold, Dollars, and the IMF’s quota for Special Drawing Rights.
    • Most of the reserves are usually held in US dollars, given the currency’s importance in the international financial and trading system.
    • Some central banks keep reserves in Euros, British pounds, Japanese yen, or Chinese yuan, in addition to their US dollar reserves.

    India’s forex reserves cover:

    • Foreign Currency Assets (FCAs)
    • Special Drawing Rights (SDRs)
    • Gold Reserves
    • Reserve position with the International Monetary Fund (IMF)

    Countries with the highest foreign reserves

    Currently, China has the largest reserves followed by Japan and Switzerland. India has overtaken Russia to become the fourth largest country with foreign exchange reserves. (Data from August 2022)

    1. China – $3,349 Billion
    2. Japan – $1,376 Billion
    3. Switzerland – $1,074 Billion
    4. India – $612.73 Billion
    5. Russia – $597.40 Billion

    Why are these reserves so important?

    • All international transactions are settled in US dollars and, therefore, required to support India’s imports.
    • More importantly, they need to maintain support and confidence for central bank action, whether monetary policy action or any exchange rate intervention to support the domestic currency.
    • It also helps to limit any vulnerability due to sudden disturbances in foreign capital flows, which may arise during a crisis.
    • Holding liquid foreign currency provides a cushion against such effects and provides confidence that there will still be enough foreign exchange to help the country with crucial imports in case of external shocks.

    Initiatives taken by the government to increase forex

    • To increase the foreign exchange reserves, the Government of India has taken many initiatives like AatmaNirbhar Bharat, in which India has to be made a self-reliant nation so that India does not have to import things that India can produce.
    • Other than AatmaNirbhar Bharat, the government has started schemes like Duty Exemption Scheme, Remission of Duty or Taxes on Export Product (RoDTEP), Nirvik (Niryat Rin Vikas Yojana) scheme, etc.
    • Apart from these schemes, India is one of the top countries that attracted the highest amount of Foreign Direct Investment, thereby improving India’s foreign exchange reserves.

     

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