Industrial Sector Updates – Industrial Policy, Ease of Doing Business, etc.

Steep decline: On the Index of Industrial Production

Why in the News?

India’s industrial output grew by only 2.7% in April 2025, the slowest pace in 8 months, showing a clear slowdown at the start of the new financial year (FY26).

What are the key reasons behind the slowdown in India’s factory output and IIP growth in April 2026?

  • Weak Performance of Core Sectors: The eight core industries, which have a 40% weight in the IIP, grew by just 0.5% in April 2026, the lowest in eight months. Eg: Refinery products, steel, and cement showed subdued output, dragging overall industrial growth.
  • Contraction in Mining Activity: Mining output shrank by 0.2%, marking its first contraction since August 2024, adversely affecting raw material availability for other industries. Eg: Reduced coal and mineral extraction hit electricity generation and steel production.
  • Slowdown in Manufacturing and Electricity Generation: Manufacturing grew only by 3.4% (down from 4.2%) and power generation by 1.1% (down from 10.2%). Eg: Weak electricity demand and reduced industrial usage reflected sluggish overall economic activity.
  • Trade and Tariff-Related Uncertainties: Global trade volatility, tariffs, and supply chain disruptions have reduced demand for export-oriented goods. Eg: Decline in orders from U.S. and EU markets affected electronics and textile manufacturing.
  • Persistently Low Rural Demand: Consumer non-durables contracted for the third consecutive month, indicating weak rural consumption despite low inflation. Eg: Low sales of food and hygiene products in rural markets signal demand compression in the FMCG sector.

Why is the contraction in consumer non-durables output a concern for rural consumption trends?

  • Indicates Weak Rural Demand: Consumer non-durables, such as food and hygiene products, form a major part of rural consumption. A contraction suggests low purchasing power and reduced rural spending. Eg: Declining sales of items like cooking oil, soap, and packaged food in rural areas reflect demand stagnation.
  • Signals Broader Economic Distress in Agriculture-Dependent Households: Despite low inflation, rural incomes haven’t risen due to falling crop prices and below-MSP realizations. This affects demand for basic goods. Eg: Farmers selling wheat and pulses below MSP in mandis earn less, reducing their ability to buy essential goods.
  • Affects Industrial and FMCG Sector Recovery: Sustained low rural consumption weakens demand for consumer non-durables, impacting production and profits in the FMCG and small-scale industries. Eg: Companies like Hindustan Unilever or Dabur see lower rural sales, leading to reduced factory output and job cuts.

How can implementing MSPs more systematically help boost rural incomes and demand?

  • Ensures Price Stability and Income Security for Farmers: A guaranteed MSP reduces the risk of distress sales and provides a stable income floor for farmers, encouraging spending. Eg: If paddy is procured at the MSP instead of below-market rates, farmers are assured of fair returns, enabling them to spend on consumption and inputs.
  • Enhances Rural Purchasing Power and Consumption Demand: Higher farm incomes lead to greater spending on goods and services, especially consumer non-durables, which form a bulk of rural consumption. Eg: A farmer earning better returns on wheat is more likely to purchase goods like clothing, packaged food, and household items.
  • Stimulates Local Economies and Industrial Output: With higher rural demand, local businesses and FMCG industries see increased sales, encouraging higher production and employment. Eg: Higher MSP-based procurement leads to better incomes in Punjab, increasing demand for tractors, fertilizers, and daily-use goods, boosting factory output.

Who should drive capital expenditure to revive demand?

  • Private Sector as the Primary Driver: The private sector must lead CapEx to create productive assets, jobs, and income, especially in manufacturing and infrastructure. Eg: Large firms investing in semiconductor plants or logistics hubs generate employment and boost demand for allied sectors.
  • Government as a Catalyst through Public Investment: The government should maintain strong capital spending on infrastructure, rural development, and connectivity to crowd in private investment. Eg: Projects like Bharatmala or PM Gati Shakti improve transport networks, encouraging private factories and warehousing units to set up nearby.
  • Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) to Leverage Resources and Efficiency: PPPs can combine government support with private expertise and funding, especially in sectors like renewable energy, urban transport, and health. Eg: Hybrid Annuity Model (HAM) in road construction allows private players to build highways with shared investment risk, boosting economic activity.

Way forward: 

  • Boost Rural Demand through Targeted MSP Implementation and Welfare Schemes: Ensure systematic MSP procurement and expand rural employment and income support to revive consumption of consumer non-durables and support FMCG growth.
  • Accelerate CapEx through Private Investment and Strategic Public Spending: Encourage private sector-led capital expenditure in manufacturing and infrastructure, complemented by government investments in connectivity and logistics to stimulate industrial output and job creation.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2016] The nature of economic growth in India in recent times is often described as a jobless growth. Do you agree with this view? Give arguments in favour of your answer.

Linkage: The concept of “jobless growth” is highly relevant in a scenario where economic expansion, or lack thereof, is debated in relation to employment generation. A slowdown in industrial output could exacerbate concerns about job creation.

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