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  • [pib] Income Limit of OBCs and Creamy Layer

    A proposal for revision of the income criteria for determining the Creamy Layer amongst the OBCs is under consideration of the Government.

    What is the Creamy Layer?

    • Creamy Layer is a concept that sets a threshold within which OBC reservation benefits are applicable.
    • While there is a 27% quota for OBCs in government jobs and higher educational institutions, those falling within the “creamy layer” cannot get the benefits of this quota.

    Basis of Creamy Layer

    • It is based on the recommendation of the Second Backward Classes Commission (Mandal Commission).
    • The government in 1990 had notified 27% reservation for Socially and Educationally Backward Classes (SEBCs) in vacancies in civil posts and services that are to be filled on direct recruitment.
    • After this was challenged, the Supreme Court in the Indira Sawhney case (1992) upheld 27% reservation for OBCs, subject to exclusion of the creamy layer.

    How is it determined?

    • Following the order in Indra Sawhney, an expert committee headed by Justice (retired) R N Prasad was constituted for fixing the criteria for determining the creamy layer.
    • In 1993, the Department of Personnel and Training (DoPT) listed out various categories of people of certain rank/status/income whose children cannot avail the benefit of OBC reservation.
    1. For those not in government, the current threshold is an income of Rs 8 lakh per year.
    2. For children of government employees, the threshold is based on their parents’ rank and not income.
    3. For instance, an individual is considered to fall within the creamy layer if either of his or her parents is in a constitutional post; if either parent has been directly recruited in Group-A; or if both parents are in Group-B services.
    4. If the parents enter Group-A through promotion before the age of 40, their children will be in the creamy layer.
    5. Children of a Colonel or higher-ranked officer in the Army, and children of officers of similar ranks in the Navy and Air Force, too, come under the creamy layer.
    6. Income from salaries or agricultural land is not clubbed while determining the creamy layer (2004).

    What is happening now?

    • MPs have raised questions about the pending proposal for revising the criteria.
    • They have asked whether the provision of a creamy layer for government services only for OBC candidates is rational and justified.

    Has it ever been revised?

    • Other than the income limit, the current definition of the creamy layer remains the same as the DoPT had spelled out in 1993 and 2004.
    • The income limit has been revised over the years.
    • No other orders for the definition of the creamy layer have been issued.
    • While the DoPT had stipulated that it would be revised every three years, the first revision since 1993 (Rs 1 lakh per year) happened only in 2004 (Rs 2.50 lakh), 2008 (Rs 4.50 lakh), 2013 (Rs 6 lakh), and 2017 (Rs 8 lakh).
    • It is now more than three years since the last revision.

    What does the government propose to do about the revision?

    • A draft Cabinet note has stated that the creamy layer will be determined on all income, including salary calculated for income tax, but not agriculture income.
    • The government is considering a consensus on Rs 12 lakh but salary and agriculture income are also being added to the gross annual income.
  • [pib] Forum of the Election Management Bodies of South Asia (FEMBoSA)

    The Election Commission of India has handed over the Chair of FEMBoSA to the Election Commission of Bhutan for 2021-22.

    What is FEMBoSA?

    • Forum of the Election Management Bodies of South Asia (FEMBoSA) was established at the 3rd Conference of Heads of Election Management Bodies (EMBs) of SAARC Countries in 2012.
    • The forum aims to increase mutual cooperation with respect to the common interests of the SAARC’s EMBs.
    • The Forum has eight Member Election Management Bodies from Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka.
    • The Election Commission of India was the latest Chair of the Forum (now Bhutan).

    Its establishment

    • The first meeting of the representatives of Election Management Bodies of Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal and Pakistan was held in Dhaka, Bangladesh in the year 2010.
    • It was then decided at the conclusion that an organization representing those countries should be established.
    • Consequently, annual meets were held in the member countries and the charter for the organization also was adopted with the aim of fulfilling the objectives of the organization.
    • Since the creation of FEMBoSA, Annual Meetings were held in Pakistan (2011), in India (2012), in Bhutan (2013), in Nepal (2014),  in Sri Lanka (2015), in Maldives (2016), in Afghanistan (2017) and in Bangladesh(2018).

    Objectives of FEMBOSA

    • Promote contact among the Election Management Bodies of SAARC countries
    • Facilitate the appropriate exchange of experience and expertise among members
    • Share experiences with a view to learning from each other
    • Foster efficiency and effectiveness in conducting the free, fair, transparent, and participative election

    Significant activities under FEMBoSA

    • Member organizations celebrate National Voter’s Day in a calendar year in their respective countries
    • An initiative of establishing South Asia Institute for Democracy and Electoral Studies (SAIDES) in Nepal
    • In order to increase knowledge related to elections, take initiatives to include voter education in the school-level textbooks of their respective countries
    • Implementation of recommendations of South Asian Disabilities Organizations for the inclusion of disabled people in the electoral system and the creation of a suitable election environment

    Back2Basics: SAARC

    •  In 1985, at the height of the Cold War, leaders of South Asian nations — namely Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka — created a regional forum.
    • The South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) was established with the goal of contributing “to mutual trust, understanding, and appreciation of one another’s problems.”
    • Afghanistan was admitted as a member in 2007.
  • Net-zero emission targets do little to retard carbon grab

    Context

    Earlier this week the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reported on climate science, warning against the folly of a business-as-usual development model.

    What does science say about future pathways

    • Globally, average surface temperatures have already risen by 1.09°C between 1850-1900 and 2010-2019.
    • What happens next depends on our development and technological choices.
    • High fossil fuel use path: As per the the IPCC document, if we followed high fossil fuel development (doubling emissions by 2050), temperatures would rise by 4.4°C (range of 3.3-5.7°C) by 2100.
    • Sustainable pathways: If a more sustainable pathway were pursued average global temperature rise would be 1.4°C (range of 1.0-1.8°C).
    • Regardless, it is likely that the average rise in temperatures will breach the 1.5°C barrier within the next two decades.
    • If emissions are not mitigated rapidly, we are staring at rising climate risks and catastrophic impacts.
    • Human influence is very likely the main reason behind glacial retreat since the 1990s.
    • Since observations began, glaciers have lost the maximum mass during 2010-19.
    • Sea level rise: Even with warming restricted to 1.5°C, we are still on course for more than 2 metres of sea-level rise beyond this century.

    India’s vulnerability to climate change

    • If warming exceeds 4°C, India could see about 40% increase in precipitation annually, leading to extreme rainfall events.
    • Three-quarters of India’s districts are now hotspots of extreme weather events.
    • Since 1990, more than 300 such events have resulted in damages exceeding INR 5.6 lakh crore.

    Changes needed to stabilise temperature rise

    • The IPCC says that in order to stabilise rise in temperatures, two things have to happen:
    • 1) Anthropogenic emissions must become net-zero.
    • 2) In the interim cumulative emissions cannot exceed a global carbon budget.
    • Carbon Budget: To stay within the 1.5°C limit, starting in 2020 the remaining global carbon budget is 300-500 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide (GtCO2) (with a likelihood of 50%-83%).

    Unjust climate politics and net-zero emission targets

    • Of late, several large emitters have promised net-zero emission targets. 
    • CEEW analysts calculate that despite their self-laudatory targets, China would consume 87% of the global carbon space (if it reached net-zero in 2060) and the US would eat up 26% (if it reached net-zero in 2050).
    • Mere announcements of net-zero targets do little to retard the “carbon grab” of the largest emitters.
    •  Rich countries, as a whole, emitted ~25 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (GtCO2eq) more than their estimated emission allowance during 2008-20, thanks to non-participation in pre-2020 climate agreements and misuse of accounting loopholes. 
    • Climate justice demands that developed countries now take steps to free up carbon space for others.

    Way forward for India

    • India must adopt a more climate-friendly development pathway for its own sake.
    • Its per capita incomes, energy consumption and carbon footprint are well below the global average but it must deliver high rates of economic growth within a shrinking carbon budget.
    • Shift discourse to economy: The discourse must shift from energy to the economy.
    • There are very few sunrise sectors that are not low-carbon.
    • India must tap new technology frontiers (green hydrogen), new business models (distributed and digitalised services, for distributed energy, EV charging, cold chains), new construction materials (low-carbon cement, recycled plastic), new opportunities in the circular economy of minerals, municipal waste and agricultural residue, and new practices for sustainable agriculture and food systems.
    • Policy and regulatory support: Many of above technologies and business models are proven but need policy and regulatory support.

    Conclusion

    The climate crisis is a strategic threat to our development prospects. It deserves sober, continuing analysis, deliberation and action. The headlines look bad; reality will get worse.

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  • 11th Aug 2021 | History Test – 01

    [WpProQuiz 732]


    [WpProQuiz_toplist 720]

  • Issues related to Judicial appointment in India

    Context

    Recommendations of some judges for appointment by the collegium raises the issue of changes in the collegium system.

    Background of the collegium system

    • During the 1970s, the political leaning of a candidate had become a major consideration in the matter of appointment of judges.
    • Therefore, it was felt that the role of the state in the appointment of judges in terms of Article 124 (2) and 217 needed to be reconsidered.
    • But then, in 1982 in S P Gupta’s case, the Supreme Court bench of five judges gave its approval to the primacy of the state in the matter of appointment of judges.
    • However, that judgment was overturned subsequently by a bench of nine judges.
    • Primacy of CJI:  It held that the provisions for consultation with the Chief Justice of India, and the Chief Justices of the high courts in Articles 124 (2) and 217 of the Constitution were introduced because of the realisation that the Chief Justice is best equipped to know and assess the worth of a candidate, and his/her suitability for appointment as a superior judge.
    • Initiation of proposal by CJI: It also held that the initiation of the proposal for appointment of a judge to the SC must be made by the CJI after wider consultation with senior judges, and likewise in the case of high courts.
    • Confirmation of CJI: It was also held that no appointment of any judge to the SC or any high court can be made unless it conforms with the opinion of the CJI.
    • Thus, what is known as the “collegium system” was born.
    • Striking down of NJAC: In 2014, the government tried to make changes to the collegium system by introducing Article 124 (A) by a constitutional amendment, and by enacting National Judicial Appointments Commission Act, 2014.
    • The SC has struck down both the amendment and the Act.

    Has the collegium system succeeded?

    • Nepotism: There have been cases where the nearest relative of Supreme Court judges has been appointed as a high court judge, ignoring merit.
    • Ignoring the merit: Judges far lower in the combined All India Seniority of High Court judges were appointed to SC, and the reason assigned was that those selected were found more meritorious.

    Conclusion

    The collegium system is still the best, but it needs to weed out what is wrong in its actual working. It is hoped that the system will make course corrections in deserving cases.

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  • Prelims titbits: Basics of Economy

    11th Aug, 2021

    What is the economy?

    • An economy is an area of the production, distribution and trade, as well as consumption of goods and services by different agents.
    • It encompasses all activity related to production, consumption, and trade of goods and services in an area. It is the large set of inter-related production and consumption activities that aid in determining how scarce resources are allocated.
    • The production and consumption of goods and services are used to fulfill the needs of those living and operating within the economy, which is also referred to as an economic system.
    • The economy of a particular region or country is governed by its culture, laws, history, and geography, among other factors, and it evolves due to necessity.

    Sectors in an economy

    Generally, there are four sectors

    1. Household/Individual/Consumer
    2. Producer/Firms
    3. Government
    4. Rest of the world

    Factors of production

    Factors of production are the inputs needed for the creation of a good or service. There are four main factors of production:

    1. Land
    2. Labor: Labor refers to the effort expended by an individual to bring a product or service to the market. It covers both mental and physical efforts by an individual.
    3. Capital: Capital refers to all human-made productive assets used to further production. For example, a tractor purchased for farming is capital. Along the same lines, desks and chairs used in an office are also capital.
    4. Entrepreneurship: Entrepreneurship refers to the organization of all factors of production to profit. An entrepreneur take risks, conceive new ideas, new products and processes.

    National Income Accounting

    • National income of a country means the sum total of incomes earned by the citizens of that country during a given period, say a year.
    • It refers to the practice of calculating the output of an economy. It helps in assessing how the economy is doing. 
    • The most basic measure of the size of economy is its volume of production. From this, the value of total goods and services produced in an economy is calculated.
    • There are four players in the economy, namely, Individuals or Households, Business Firms or investor, Government, and Foreign Nationals.
    • To understand the flow of goods and services, let’s consider only two players- Household and Business firm.

    Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

    • GDP is the total value of goods and services produced within the country during a year.
    • This is calculated at market prices and is known as GDP at market prices (GDPMP). 
    • It is the market value of the output of final goods and services produced in the domestic territory of a country during an accounting year.
    • There are three different ways to measure GDP:
    • These three methods of calculating GDP yield the same result because;

    National Product = National Income = National Expenditure

    Gross National Product (GNP)

    • Gross National Product is defined as the total market value of all final goods and services produced in a year.
    • It is the market value of everything that is produced by Nationals of a country both inside and outside the country’s territory.

    Net National Product (NNP) or National Income at Market Price

    • There is wear and tear during all these stages of production of goods. This wear and tear must be reduced from the Gross National products to know what net national product is.
    • NNP is also called National Income at Market price:

    NNP or NI (market price) = GNP-depreciation

    NNPFC= NNPMP  – taxes + subsidies

    GDP Deflector

    • The GDP price deflator, also known as the GDP deflator or the implicit price deflator, measures the changes in prices for all of the goods and services produced in an economy.
    • The GDP price deflator measures the changes in prices for all of the goods and services produced in an economy.
    • Using the GDP price deflator helps economists compare the levels of real economic activity from one year to another.
    • The GDP price deflator is a more comprehensive inflation measure than the CPI index because it isn’t based on a fixed basket of goods.
    • We use the following formula to calculate the GDP price deflator:

    GDP Deflator=(Nominal GDP ÷ Real GDP)×100

    Difference between Economic Growth and Development

      ECONOMIC GROWTH  ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
    Single dimension Concept- merely a quantitative conceptDouble / Multi dimension Concept- both quantitative and qualitative in nature
    It is concerned with the rate of increase in national income.It is concerned with the welfare of people (a qualitative aspect) along with an increase in per capita income (a quantitative concept).
    The distribution of income is ignored in the case of economic growth.The distribution of income is given due consideration. Reduction in inequality (of the income distribution) is one of the principal targets of economic development.
    Economic growth may occur independently of any structural, institutional, and technical changes in the economy.Economic development is invariably associated with significant structural, institutional, and technical changes in the economy.

    Human Development Index (HDI)

    • The human development index (HDI) report released by the United Nations Development Programme.
    • The HDI is the composite measure of every country’s attainment in three basic dimensions:
    1. Standard of living measured by the gross national income (GNI) per capita.
    2. Health measured by the life expectancy at birth.
    3. Education levels calculated by mean years of education among the adult population and the expected years of schooling for children.

    Inclusive Development Index

    • The IDI has been developed by the World Economic Forum (WEF) as a new metric of national economic performance.
    • It is seen as an alternative to GDP.
    • The Index on inclusiveness reflects more closely the criteria by which the people evaluate their countries’ economic progress.
    • The index has three pillars of growth for global economies namely:
    1. growth and development
    2. inclusion
    3. intergenerational equity and sustainability

    Fiscal Policy

    • Fiscal policy is the use of government spending and taxation to influence the economy.
    • Fiscal measures are frequently used in tandem with monetary policy to achieve certain goals.
    • The usual goals of both fiscal and monetary policy are to achieve or maintain full employment, to achieve or maintain a high rate of economic growth, and to stabilize prices and wages.
    • When the government decides on the goods and services it purchases, the transfer payments it distributes, or the taxes it collects, it is engaging in fiscal policy.
    • Fiscal policy is based on the theories of British economist John Maynard Keynes, also known as Keynesian economics. This theory basically states that governments can influence macroeconomic productivity levels by increasing or decreasing tax levels and public spending.
    • Article 112 of the constitution mandates that expenditure to be shown in revenue and other categories.

    Types of Fiscal Policy

    1. Neutral Fiscal Policy: This implies a balanced budget where (Government spending = Tax revenue). It further means that government spending is fully funded by tax revenue and overall the budget outcome has a neutral effect on the level of economic activity.
    2. Expansionary Fiscal Policy: It is designed to stimulate the economy, is most often used during a recession, times of high unemployment or other low periods of the business cycle. It entails the government spending more money, lowering taxes or both. The goal is to put more money in the hands of consumers so they spend more and stimulate the economy.
    3. Contractionary fiscal policy: It is used to slow economic growth, such as when inflation is growing too rapidly. Too the opposite of expansionary fiscal policy, contractionary fiscal policy raises taxes and cuts spending.

    A break up of the finances into revenue and capital streams, in general, is as follows:

    1. Revenue receipts are recurrent receipts. Revenue account includes the following receipts:
      • Taxes- income tax, corporation tax, excise duty, customs duty etc;
      • Non-tax resources- user charges; interest receipts; dividends; profits etc
    2. Revenue account expenditure are essentially the non-plan expenditure that does not create assets i.e. interest payments, defense, subsidies and public administration. It is synonymous with maintenance and consumption expenditure as also welfare expenditure.
    3. Capital account receipts are recoveries of loans advances made by the Union Government to States, UTs and PSUs); fresh borrowings from inside the country and from abroad; disinvestment, proceeds etc. As is clear from above, some of them are debt and some are non-debt.
    4. Capital account expenditure is loans made to States, UTs and PSUs; expenditure for asset creation in infrastructure and social areas

    REVENUE DEFICIT AND FISCAL DEFICIT

    • Revenue deficit is the difference between the revenue receipts on tax and non-tax sides and the revenue expenditure.
    • RD= Revenue Expenditure – Revenue Receipts
    •  It is targeted at 4% of GDP for 2010-11 which is rendered necessary because of the global recession and slowdown in Indian economy (FRBM Act says that RD should be zero by the end of 2008-09). The objective is to fund for consumption from government’s own resources and not borrowing.
    • The fiscal deficit is the difference between the government’s total expenditure and its total receipts (excluding borrowing). Fiscal deficit in layman’s terms corresponds to the borrowings and liabilities of the government.
    • In other words, it is the difference what is received by the government on revenue account and all the non-debt creating capital like recovered loans and disinvestment proceeds; and the total expenditure. It amounts to all borrowings of the government in a given period. It is targeted at 5.5% of GDP in 2010-11.
    • FD = (Total expenditure of the Government in a budget) – (Revenue receipts + non-debt creating capital receipts)
    • Fiscal Deficit mirrors the health of government finances most accurately unlike the budget deficit concept.
    • Primary deficit is the difference between the fiscal deficit and the interest payments. The concept helps in assessing the progress of the government in its fiscal control efforts.

    DEFICIT FINANCING

    • Deficit Financing is the phrase used to describe the financing of gap between Government receipts and expenditure. It is financed by printing fresh money by the RBI and market borrowing.
    • The gap can be deliberate as the Government wants to spend on welfare and infrastructure for which it has no money and so borrows from the RBI; or due to bad finances of the government.
    •  But uncontrolled borrowing is not good for the economy, as a greater portion of the governments revenue will in future be used to pay back the interest of loans and the money available for social sector initiatives will reduce.
    • When the Government has to spend more than what it can raise through tax, non-tax, and other sources, it borrows from the market. It can’t borrow above a certain amount from the market, as it may be inflationary; drives up wasteful government expenditure; push up interest rates; increase government’s debt burden and thus divert resources from plan to non-plan; burden future generations with unduly high taxation and thus disrupt inter generational parity; and crowd out private investment.
    • The above point can be understood from following flowchart:
    • In other words, when the resources from taxes, user charges, public sector enterprises, public borrowings, small scale borrowings and others are not enough, RBI prints and gives to the Government. It is called deficit financing.
    • In fact, FRBM disallows RBI printing money to finance government deficit in normal conditions. But the economic conditions having become adverse since 2008-09, Government is forced to abandon the FRBM rules and is spending g well beyond the limits set by the Act.
    • On balance, it may be said that, if deficit financing is done prudently and the borrowed money is used well, it is healthy. However, if the borrowed money is wasted for consumption, is against good economics as it can negatively affect money supply and inflation; and also dampen growth. The desirability of deficit financing, in short, depends on-
      • Extent of borrowing
      • End use of the money borrowed.

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  • Unpacking the resiliency of global trade

    Context

    Past experiences suggest there is hope for global trade recovery in the post-COVID-19 world.

    Impact of pandemic on the global and Indian economy

    • In the last year, the devastating impact of COVID-19 pandemic has shrunk the world economy by 4.4% and global trade by 5.3%.
    • Job losses in the world have been estimated to be to the tune of 75 million.
    • India’s GDP contracted by 7.3% according to the National Statistical Office.
    • About 10 million jobs were lost in India according to the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd.
    • Around the world, countries have responded to pandemic-induced shortages with protectionist reactions and nationalist aspirations.
    • Such a response has the potential to disrupt complex cross-border supply chains.

    How economic shocks in the past laid foundation for institutional changes

    • The Second World War was responsible for the creation of the Bretton Woods Institutions such as World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Trade Organisation (ITO) were created to help rebuild the shattered post-war economy.
    •  The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) was negotiated in 1947 as a means to reducing barriers to international trade.
    • The oil shocks of the 1970s led to the establishment of the International Energy Agency (IEA) in 1974 and went on to create awareness on the need for global energy security.
    • The financial crisis of 2008 led to the G20 Leaders Summit, an elevation from the G20 Finance Ministers forum in 1999.
    • Increase in global trade: As a result of these developments global trade increased from a mere $60.80 billion in 1950 to $2,049 billion in 1980; $6,452 billion in 2000; $19,014 billion in 2019.

    Changes in the global trade in post-Covid world

    • Financial buffers due to stimulus package: Stimulus packages and forced savings in several countries in the last year have created financial buffers.
    • Resilient supply chain: Global supply chains are expected to be resilient to help revive manufacturing with lower production costs, induce investments and promote technology transfers.
    • Anti-dumping measures at WTO: In a post COVID-19 world, members of the World Trade Organization are expected to make rules to discipline errant nations that are known to dumping goods and erecting trade barriers through multilateral rules.
    • Deeper economic integration through trade arrangements: Mutually beneficial trade arrangements that seek deeper economic integration will be entered into at the bilateral and regional levels.
    • Dominance of technology: Countries that harness technology are expected to dominate international trade in future with a transformational impact on the global economy.
    •  Businesses will aim to harness data for innovation to remain ahead of the curve in a post-COVID-19 world.

    Way forward for India

    • The projections of the International Monetary Fund for India’s economic growth ahead are positive and in line with the general trends world-wide.
    • Focus on value-added manufacturing: Building an ecosystem that incentivises value-added manufacturing and technology-induced finished products should form a part of our long-term strategy.
    • Production Linked Incentive Scheme (PLI) schemes, if carefully nurtured, could lead the industry on that path.
    • Support MSMEs: Supporting MSMEs with cheaper input costs, including raw material and intermediate goods would help sustain them with job creation at the local level.
    •  Developing a synergistic relationship between the big industry and MSMEs is at the core of a successful Atmanirbhar Bharat.
    • Skill upgradation: Skills upgradation to global standards should form a part of India’s strategy in a post-COVID-19 world.

    Conclusion

    The patterns in the past leave much hope for optimism for global trade in the post-COVID-19 crisis in the collective belief that international trade is vital for development and prosperity.