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Subject: Economics

  • Growth of ARCs not in line with NPA trends

    Key takeaways from the RBI report

    • The RBI report states that notwithstanding the rise in the number of Asset Reconstruction Companys (ARCs), the growth in their assets under management (AUM) has been largely trendless except for a major spurt in FY14.
    • The growth of the ARC industry has not been consistent over time and not always been synchronous with the trends in non-performing assets (NPAs) of banks and non-banking financial companies (NBFCs).
    • During 2019-20, asset sales by banks to ARCs declined, which could probably be due to banks opting for other resolution channels such as IBC and SARFAESI.
    • The acquisition cost of ARCs as a proportion to the book value of assets declined, suggesting lower realisable value of the assets.

    Overview of ARCs in India

    • The ARC industry began with the establishment of the Asset Reconstruction Company India Ltd (ARCIL) in 2003.
    • Of the total AUM, about 62 per cent and 76 per cent was held by the top-three and top-five ARCs in March 2020, respectively.
    • After remaining subdued in the initial years of their inception, a jump was seen in the number of ARCs in 2008, and then in 2016.
    • Although the number of ARCs has risen over time, their business has remained highly concentrated.

    Role of the government

    • Indian ARCs have been private sector entities registered with the Reserve Bank.
    • Public sector AMCs in other countries have often enjoyed easy access to government funding or government-backed.
    • By contrast, capital constraints have often been highlighted as an area of concern for ARCs in India.

    Scope for new ARC supported by the government

    • The ARC proposed in the Budget will be set up by state-owned and private sector banks, and there will be no equity contribution from the Centre.
    • The RBI report supported the government’s proposal for a new ARC, saying that “such an entity will strengthen the asset resolution mechanism further.”
    • Introduction of a new asset reconstruction company for addressing the NPAs of public sector banks may also shape the operations of the existing ARCs, it added. 
    • The ARC, which will have an Asset Management Company (AMC) to manage and sell bad assets, will look to resolve stressed assets of Rs 2-2.5 lakh crore that remain unresolved in around 70 large accounts.
  • SEBI tightens rules for provisional debt rating

    New framework for debt instrument

    • The new framework requires that a rating will be considered provisional in cases where certain compliances that are crucial to the assignment of credit rating are yet to be complied with at the time of rating.
    • Under the new framework, all provisional ratings (‘long term’ or ‘short term’) for debt instruments need to be prefixed as ‘provisional’ before the rating symbol.
    • In no case shall a rating, including provisional rating, be assigned by a credit rating agency for an issuer or client evaluating strategic decisions such as funding mix for a project, acquisition, debt restructuring, scenario-analysis in loan refinancing,” SEBI said.
    • On validity period, SEBI said provisional rating will be converted into a final rating within 90 days from the date of issuance of the instrument.
  • RBI issues guidelines for tenure of bank CEOs, MDs

    What the guidelines say

    • The Reserve Bank of India recently issued certain instructions on the governance for banks.
    • As per the instructions from the central bank, the post of Managing Director (MD) and Chief Economic Officer (CEO) MD or Whole Time Director (WTD) cannot be held by the same incumbent for more than 15 years.
    • The individual will be eligible for re-appointment as MD&CEO or WTD in the same bank after a minimum gap of three years, subject to meeting other conditions.
    • The upper age limit for MD & CEO and WTDs in private banks would continue to be 70 years.
    • MD&CEO or WTD who is also a promoter/ major shareholder, cannot hold these posts for more than 12 years except in extraordinary circumstances.
    • Banks are permitted to comply with these instructions latest by October 01, 2021.

    Applicability

    • These guidelines are applicable for banks, including private banks, Small Finance Banks (SFBs), Wholly Owned Subsidiaries of Foreign Banks.
    • However, it added that this circular is not applicable to foreign banks operating as branches in India.
  • An idea on taxation that is worth a try

    The article highlights the issue of race among countries to offer low corporate taxes to attract global financial capital and its implications.

    What factors contributed to low corporate tax

    • When the Soviet Bloc collapsed in 1990, nations in east Europe were badly hit and needed capital infusion to overcome their economic woes.
    • To attract global capital, they cut their tax rates sharply. This resulted in a ‘race to the bottom’.
    • Global financial capital which is highly mobile has effectively used tax havens and shell companies to shift profits and capital across the globe.
    • This mobility has enabled it to extract concessions from countries by making them compete with each other to match the concessions given by another — that is the ‘race to the bottom’.
    • Nations in Europe were forced to cut their tax rates one after the other to not only attract capital but also to prevent capital from leaving their shores.
    • Also, any country facing economic adversity can cut its tax rates to attract capital and force others to follow suit.
    • India has also cut its tax rates since the 1990s.
    • Most recently in 2019 the corporation tax rate was cut drastically to match those prevailing in Southeast Asia.

    Implications of lower corporate tax rate

    1) Shortage of resources

    • The race to the bottom had global implications.
    • Nations became short of resources and cut back expenditures on public services and encouraged privatisation.
    • The developing countries followed suit even though private markets do not cater to the poor.
    • Thus, disparities increased within nations.

    2) Base Erosion and Profit Shifting

    • The world experienced Base Erosion Profit Shifting (BEPS).
    • Namely, companies shifted their profits to low tax jurisdictions, especially, the tax havens.
    • For instance, many of the most profitable companies like Google and Facebook are accused of shifting their profits to Ireland and other tax havens and paying little tax.
    • EU has levied fines on Google and Apple for such practices.
    • Since all the OECD countries have suffered due to cuts in tax rates and BEPS, initiatives have been taken to check these practices.
    • But they will not succeed unless there is agreement among all the countries.

    3) Regressive tax structure

    • Another implication of the reductions in direct tax rates has been that governments have increasingly depended on the regressive indirect taxes for revenue generation.
    • Value-Added Tax and Goods and Services Tax have been increasingly used to get more revenues.
    • This impacts the less well-off proportionately more and is inflationary.
    • Direct taxes tend to lower the post-tax income inequality.
    • The rising inequalities result in shortage of demand in the economy and to its slowing down which then requires more investment and that calls for more concessions to capital.

    Call for Global minimum tax rate

    • It is against this backdrop that United States Secretary of the Treasury Janet L. Yellen’s has proposed a global minimum tax rate.
    • But, without global coordination, corporation tax rates cannot be raised.
    • The U.S. is crucial to this coordination.
    • There will also have to be cooperation among countries to tackle the lure of the tax havens by enacting suitable global policies.

    Consider the question “What factors contributed to the race to bottom on the corporate taxes among the countries? What are its implications? Will the global minimum tax rate be able to deal with it?”

    Conclusion

    The impact of all this will be far-reaching impacting inequalities, provision of public services and reduction of flight of capital from developing countries such as India and that will impact poverty.

  • Covid fear and anxiety spread, cash back in favour with public

    Increase in currency with the public

    • During the fortnight ended April 9, currency with the public jumped by Rs 30,191 crore to hit a new high of Rs 27,87,941 crore.
    • In the six-week period between February 27 and April 9, currency with the public rose by Rs 52,928 crore, show RBI data.
    • Experts said the increase in currency with the public is on account of the fear of imposition of lockdowns by state or central governments.

    How currency with public is arrived at

    • According to the RBI, currency with the public is arrived at after deducting the cash with banks from the total currency in circulation.
    • Currency in circulation, which includes notes in circulation, rupee coins, and small coins, refers to cash or currency within a country that is physically used to conduct transactions between consumers and businesses.
    • It effectively means the currency that individuals across the country hold with themselves.

    M3 has gone up

    • Money supply in the economy – or M3 – has gone up over the last couple of months.
    • M3, which includes currency with public, current deposits, savings deposits, and fixed deposits, has increased by 11.3 per cent, or Rs 19.17 lakh crore, to a new high of Rs 189.07 lakh crore as on April 9, 2021.

    B2BASICS

    Measures of Money supply

    1. Reserve Money (M0): It is also known as High-Powered Money, monetary base, base money etc.
      M0 = Currency in Circulation + Bankers’ Deposits with RBI + Other deposits with RBI
      It is the monetary base of economy.
    2. Narrow Money (M1):
      M1 = Currency with public + Demand deposits with the Banking system (current account, saving account) + Other deposits with RBI
    3. M2 = M1 + Savings deposits of post office savings banks
    4. Broad Money (M3)
      M3 = M1 + Time deposits with the banking system
    5. M4 = M3 + All deposits with post office savings banks
  • Microfinance Institutions

    The article highlights the important role played by the microfinance sector in furthering financial inclusion in India and suggests measures to achieve holistic development of the sector.

    Important role played by microfinance

    • No other form of financial services has had the kind of far-reaching impact, in terms of fostering financial inclusion, as microcredit has.
    • Access to small, collateral-free loans for economically productive purposes has helped transform the lives of millions at the bottom-of-the-pyramid—especially women.
    • Over the past decade, India’s microfinance industry has grown at a compound annual growth rate of 26% to reach â‚č2.36 trillion.
    • It has helped 50 million economically vulnerable Indians, 99% of them women, live a life of dignity and financial independence.
    • Assuming that these 50 million people who took a loan to start a small business employed at least one other person, it translates into 50 million additional jobs in the country.
    • This creates a ‘network effect’ that has a social impact at scale.

    Evolution of microfinance industry

    • Recommendations of the Malegam Committee, which became regulations, and practices such as relying on credit bureau data to assess a borrower’s creditworthiness have helped the industry immensely.
    • The vital role that microfinance plays in the last-mile delivery of financial services was acknowledged.
    • Subsequently, eight out of the 10 small finance bank licences granted were also given to microfinance institutions.
    • RBI has sought to undertake a comprehensive review of the sector again, after 10 years, to better align the regulatory framework with the sector’s current realities.

    Steps for development of sector

    • First, Entities should promote financial literacy through group meetings of borrowers.
    • Second, organizations should complement their microcredit operations with social development projects and community-connect initiatives.
    • Third, prospective borrowers’ indebtedness and ability to repay dues should be assessed properly.
    • Fourth, loans must be given only for income-generation purposes.
    • Fifth, every microfinance organization should devote time and resources for capacity building at the grassroots.
    • Sixth, rather than focusing on taking over the existing debt of a borrower, or lending to her further, institutions should focus on bringing new-to-credit customers into the fold.

    Consider the question “How can microcredit stimulate financial inclusion in India? Suggest the measures for the development of microfinance sector in India.”

    Conclusion

    There is much more that we, as a nation, collectively need to do in order to bring a vast population of unbanked and underbanked Indians into the fold of formal financial services.

  • RBI extends Ways and Means credit for States, UTs to Sept

    About Ways and Means credit

    • Simply put, it is a facility for both the Centre and states to borrow from the RBI.
    • WMAs are temporary advances given by the RBI to the government to tide over any mismatch in receipts and payments.
    • Section 17(5) of the RBI Act, 1934 authorises the central bank to lend to the Centre and state governments subject to their being repayable “not later than three months from the date of the making of the advance”.

    Extension of the scheme

    • The RBI decided to continue with the existing interim Ways and Means Advances (WMA) scheme limit of â‚č51,560 crore for all States/ UTs shall for six months given the prevalence of COVID-19.
    • Based on the recommendations of the Advisory Committee on WMA to State Governments, 2021 — chaired by Sudhir Shrivastava — the RBI had revised the WMA Scheme of States and Union Territories (UTs).
    • The WMA limit arrived at by the Committee based on total expenditure of States/ UTs, works out to â‚č47,010 crore. 

    What RBI said about SDR

    • The RBI further said Special Drawing Facility (SDF) availed by state governments and UTs will continue to be linked to the quantum of their investments in marketable securities issued by the Government of India.
    • The net annual incremental investments in Consolidated Sinking Fund (CSF) and Guarantee Redemption Fund (GRF) will continue to be eligible for availing of SDF, without any upper limit.
    • CSF and GRF are reserve funds maintained by some State Governments with the Reserve Bank of India.
  • India ranks 87th in global energy transition index

    India has been ranked at the 87th position among 115 countries in the Energy Transition Index (ETI).

    • The latest report is based on a revised ETI methodology that takes into account recent changes in the global energy landscape and the increasing urgency of climate change action.
    • 92 out of 115 countries tracked on the ETI increased their aggregate score over the past 10 years, which affirms the positive direction and steady momentum of the global energy transition

    Highlights of the report:

    • The top 10 countries in the index are Western and Northern European countries.
    • Sweden is in the first position followed by Norway (2nd) and Denmark (3rd).
    • Other countries in the top 10 are Switzerland (4), Austria (5), Finland (6), the United Kingdom (7), New Zealand (8), France (9) and Iceland (10).
    • China (68) and India (87), which collectively account for a third of global energy demand, have both made strong improvements over the past decade, despite coal continuing to play a significant role in their energy mix.
      • “China”s improvements primarily result from reducing the energy intensity of the economy, gains in decarbonising the energy mixthrough the expansion of renewables and strengthening the enabling environment through investments and infrastructure.
    • Zimbabwe is the last ranked country.

    India specific highlights:

    • India has been ranked at the 87th position among 115 countries.
    • India has targeted improvements through subsidy reforms and rapidly scaling energy access, with a strong political commitment and regulatory environment for the energy transition.

    About the Energy Transition Index (ETI):

    • ETI is a report from World Economic Forum (WEF).
    • It is an annual ranking.
    • The index tracks nations on the current performance of their energy systems across various aspects.
    • The index benchmarks 115 countries on the current performance of their energy systems across three dimensions :
      1. Economic development and growth
      2. Environmental sustainability
      3. Energy security and access indicators — and their readiness to transition to secure, sustainable, affordable, and inclusive energy systems.

  • Exit window likely for crypto holders in proposed legislation on cryptocurrencies

    Law to ban private cryptocurrencies

    • The Cryptocurrency and Regulation of Official Digital Currency Bill, 2021 aims to prohibit all private cryptocurrencies.
    • It lays the regulatory framework for the launch of an “official digital currency” was set to be introduced in Parliament during the Budget session, but was not taken up.
    • A high-powered inter-ministerial committee has also previously recommended the banning of all private cryptocurrencies.
    • In April 2018, the RBI banned banks and other regulated entities from supporting crypto transactions after digital currencies were used for frauds.
    • In March 2020, the Supreme Court struck down the RBI’s ban on crypto, terming its circular unconstitutional.
    • One of the SC’s reasons for overturning the ban is that cryptocurrencies are unregulated but not illegal in India.

    Central bank-issued digital currency

    • The RBI had said central banks are not only exploring DLT (Distributed Ledger Technology) for its application in improving financial market infrastructure but also considering it as a potential technological solution in implementing central bank digital currency (CBDC).
    • DLT and blockchain have been explored extensively by the People’s Bank of China as a possible technology for launching CBDC.
    • Apart from CBDC, PBoC is supporting research on using blockchain for trade finance, especially after the support from the President of China for the blockchain technology, as an important breakthrough for innovations.
  • Towards digital Atmanirbharta

    We need a comprehensive FDI policy on trade to take care of the needs of all the stakeholders. The article highlights the issues faced by the e-commerce sector in relation to the FDI policy.

    E-commerce as an enabler

    • With their efficient, quick and reliable logistics network, e-commerce platforms have nudged consumer behaviour patterns from an offline to an online shopping mode.
    • During the pandemic, e-commerce emerged as an enabler in ensuring the availability of essentials to the masses.
    • E-commerce is going to be increasingly important in the future of retail shopping in India and the world over.
    • It is estimated to become a $100 billion industry by 2024, which was at $38.5 billion until 2017.
    •  The trend will continue to grow with the government’s impetus on digital literacy, also supported by the increasing penetration of internet and smartphone users.
    • However, what the sector lacks is the bandwidth of operation.

    Issues with FDI policy for e-commerce

    • In addition to the FDI Policy/FEMA, other laws such as IT Act, Consumer Protection Act, and those pertaining to IP and copyright, regulate the e-commerce sector in India.
    • Of these, the FDI policy plays an important role as massive investments are needed to build and strengthen the entire ecosystem of the e-commerce sector in the country.
    • FDI policies on trade have evolved over time as policy-making was done from time to time mostly responding to the needs of the market coupled with political feasibility.
    • Thus, FDI policy in cash and carry or wholesale B2B operations is different (100 per cent FDI allowed under automatic route) compared to highly restrictive FDI policy on retail B2C trade.
    • Similarly, an artificial distinction was created between single-brand retail and multi-brand retail as opposition to multi-brand retail was strong: 100 per cent FDI is allowed under automatic route in single-brand retail whereas FDI regime in multi-brand retail is quite restricted.
    • E-commerce is not allowed under FDI policy in multi-brand retail.
    • The FDI policy on e-commerce is quite different as e-commerce platforms are allowed to work only as a marketplace with permission to provide certain specified services to sellers and buyers.
    • However, FDI is allowed in the inventory model when these platforms sell fresh farm produce made in India.
    • There is no specific policy on FDI in e-commerce for exports.

    Need for comprehensive FDI policy for trade

    • The rapid expansion of the retail, organised retail as well e-commerce sector in India in the coming years will create huge opportunities for all.
    • The policies that have evolved over time need a relook to balance the interests of all in a win-win policy.
    • Today, our small businesses employing an exceptionally large number of workers need to use e-commerce more and more to augment their sales.
    • E-commerce provides them with the means to access a much bigger market without having to overly invest in marketing. This should include more and more foreign markets.
    • Consumers have benefited enormously from e-commerce.
    • Also, the harmonious working of online and offline retailers is essential.
    • With GST and the drive towards digitisation, more small traders need to be enabled to make the transition and take advantage of the expanding opportunities.

    Consider the question “Why e-commerce sector is important for the economy of a country? What are the issues the sector faces in India?” 

    Conclusion

    Public policy on e-commerce needs to place an equal premium on the views and interests of all the stakeholders in the ecosystem to strengthen our domestic businesses and create many more jobs and livelihood opportunities in the country to fulfil the dreams of Atmanirbhar Bharat.