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Subject: Economics

  • Government earnings from the spectrum auction

    The end of India’s first auction of telecommunications spectrum in five years was held with the government generating revenue of ₹77,815 crores from the exercise.

    What is Spectrum?

    • Devices such as cellphones and wireline telephones require signals to connect from one end to another.
    • These signals are carried on airwaves, which must be sent at designated frequencies to avoid any kind of interference.
    • The Union government owns all the publicly available assets within the geographical boundaries of the country, which also include airwaves.
    • With the expansion in the number of cellphones, wireline telephone and internet users, the need to provide more space for the signals arise from time to time.

    Spectrum allocations

    • Spectrum refers to the invisible radio frequencies that wireless signals travel over. The frequencies we use for wireless are only a portion of what is called the electromagnetic spectrum.
    • To sell these assets to companies willing to set up the required infrastructure to transport these waves from one end to another, the central government through the DoT auctions these airwaves from time to time.
    • These airwaves called spectrum is subdivided into bands that have varying frequencies.
    • All these airwaves are sold for a certain period of time, after which their validity lapses, which is generally set at 20 years.

    How has the industry been since the last auction?

    A lot has changed in the industry since 2016 when the previous auction took place.

    • In the last few years, there has been a consolidation in the industry, as a result of which there are only a few major players now.
    • While the user base has grown, the industry itself has witnessed unforeseen financial stress in the form of an important court case against it.
    • The reference is to the Supreme Court verdict last September that ordered telecom players to share revenues coming from even non-telecom services with the government.
    • It gave telecom companies 10 years to pay their Adjusted Gross Revenue (AGR) dues to the government, with 10% of the dues to be paid by March 31, 2021.

    Try this question for mains:

    Q.What are the various challenges faced by India’s telecom before the upgradation to 5G technology?

    What about the 5G rollout?

    • The auction for 5G is likely to happen later.
    • In the auction that was held last week the government offered spectrum for 4G in the following bands: 700 MHz, 800 MHz, 900 MHz, 1,800 MHz, 2,100 MHz, 2,300 MHz and 2,500 MHz.
    • The “king” in 5G, the C-band, which is the band between 3,300 MHz and 4,200 MHz, was not on offer in this round of auctions.

    How did this auction compare to the last round?

    • In 2016, about 40% of the 2,355 MHz of spectrum (at a reserve price of ₹5.6 lakh crore) was sold, giving the government ₹65,789 crores in revenue.
    • This time, the Centre has managed to get more.
    • The government said the revenue generated by the auction has exceeded its expectations, which was about ₹45,000 crore.

  • What is OPEC+?

    India, the world’s third-biggest oil importer, has said that the decision by major producers to continue with output cuts as prices move higher could threaten the consumption led-recovery in some countries.

    Try this PYQ:

    Q.The term ‘West Texas Intermediate’, sometimes found in news, refers to a grade of

    (a) Crude oil

    (b) Bullion

    (c) Rare earth elements

    (d) Uranium

    What is the news?

    • The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, a group known as OPEC+, agreed not to increase supply in April as they await a more substantial recovery in demand amid the COVID-19.
    • Crude prices rose after the announcement and are up 33% this year (meanwhile India flaring up prices to 100 Rs/litres for Petrol).

    What is OPEC+?

    • The non-OPEC countries which export crude oil along with the 14 OPECs are termed as OPEC plus countries.
    • OPEC plus countries include Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Brunei, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Mexico, Oman, Russia, South Sudan, and Sudan.
    • Saudi and Russia, both have been at the heart of a three-year alliance of oil producers known as OPEC Plus — which now includes 11 OPEC members and 10 non-OPEC nations — that aims to shore up oil prices with production cuts.

    Concerns for India

    • Rising oil prices are posing fiscal challenges for India, where heavily-taxed retail fuel prices have touched record highs, threatening the demand-driven recovery.
    • India imports about 84% of its oil and relies on West Asian supplies to meet over three-fifths of its demand.
    • As one of the largest crude-consuming countries, India is concerned that such actions by producing countries have the potential to undermine consumption-led recovery.
    • This would hurt consumers, especially in our price-sensitive market.

  • Reforms-Linked, Result-Based Scheme for Distribution’ (RLRBSD)

    The debt burden of discoms is estimated to touch 4.5 lakh crore by the end of 2020-21. This high level of debt underscores the need for reforms in the discoms. With this in view, RLRBSD has been launched by the Centre. The article highlights the issues with this scheme.

    Reforms-Linked, Result-Based Scheme for Distribution’ (RLRBSD)

    • In her FY22 Budget speech, Finance Minister proposed Electricity (Amendment) Bill, 2021, which intends to delicence the distribution business, bring in competition, and give the consumer power to choose her supplier.
    • She also unveiled the Rs 3 lakh crore electricity distribution reform programme to reduce losses and improve the efficiency of discoms.
    •  Against this background, the RLRBSD aims at helping discoms trim their electricity losses to 12-15% from the present level.
    • The aggregate technical and commercial (AT&C) losses and shortfall in the average revenue realisation from the sale of electricity vis-a-vis the average cost of supply or the ACS-ARR gap, are major causes for losses of discoms.
    • Accordingly, the scheme sets the target for both to be achieved by 2025.
    • It also aims to gradually narrow the deficit between the cost of electricity and the price at which it is supplied to ‘zero’ by March 2025.
    • It will also have a compulsory pre-paid and smart metering component to be implemented across the power supply chain, including in about 250 million households.

    Funding for RLRBSD

    • The Centre is expected to contribute around Rs 60,000 crore to the scheme’s corpus.
    • The rest may be raised from multilateral funding agencies such as ADB and World Bank (WB).
    • The Centre’s contribution will be met through the previous commitment of the ongoing schemes, viz. the Integrated Power Development Scheme (IPDS) and the Deen Dayal Upadhyaya Gram Jyoti Yojna (DDUGJY).
    • The funds will be released subject to discoms meeting reform-related milestones.

    Analysing RLRBSD against the context of UDAY

    • Under UDAY, discoms were required to reduce AT&C losses from 20.7% during 2015-16 to 15% by 2018-19.
    • During 2019-20, their AT&C losses were 18.9% against the 15% target for 2018-19.
    • Further, they were to reduce the ACS-ARR gap from Rs 0.59 per unit during 2015-16 to ‘zero’ by 2018-19.
    • The ACS-ARR gap during 2019-20, stood at Rs 0.42 per unit against target of ‘zero’ for 2018-19.
    • Simultaneously, the government gave them a financial restructuring package (FRP).
    • The FRP was nothing but a condoning of discoms’ staggering debt of about Rs 4 lakh crore.
    • Against this backdrop, aims of achieving those targets by 2025 under RLRBSD, which should have been achieved by 2018-19 under UDAY seems difficult.

    3 factors that contribute to  debt of discoms

    • 1) At the root of persistent and increasing losses of discoms is the orders issued by state governments to sell electricity to some preferred consumers, viz. poor households and farmers.
    • Electricity is supplied to these customers either at a fraction of the cost of purchase, transmission and distribution, or even free.
    • On the units sold to these groups, discoms incur colossal under-recovery.
    • 2) This is aggravated by AT&C losses—most of it plain theft.
    • 3) Inflated tariff allowed to independent power plants (IPPs) under purchase agreements adds to the revenue shortfall.

    Consider the question “Why the discoms in India require frequent bail-outs? How far will the Reforms-Linked, Reforms-Based Scheme for Distribution be successful in addressing the woes of discoms?”

    Conclusion

    The problem is entirely political. In a bid to win elections almost every political party promises sops which include, among others, power supply to farmers and poor households at a throwaway price or even free. As long as this effect of populist politics persists, the discoms will continue to be in the red, needing a bailout at frequent intervals.

  • Minimum Selling Price for Sugar

    The Indian Sugar Mills’ Association (ISMA) has asked for an increase in the Minimum Selling Price of Sugar.

    Try this PYQ:

    Q.The Fair and Remunerative Price (FRP) of sugarcane is approved by the:

    (a) Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs

    (b) Commission for Agricultural Costs and Prices

    (c) Directorate of Marketing and Inspection, Ministry of Agriculture

    (d) Agricultural Produce Market Committee

    Minimum Selling Price (MSP) for Sugar

    • The price of sugar is market-driven & depends on the demand & supply of sugar.
    • However, with a view to protecting the interests of farmers, the concept of MSP of sugar has been introduced since 2018.
    • MSP of sugar has been fixed taking into account the components of Fair & Remunerative Price (FRP) of sugarcane and minimum conversion cost of the most efficient mills.

    How is the pricing of Sugarcane done?

    • With the amendment of the Sugarcane (Control) Order, 1966, the concept of Statutory Minimum Price (SMP) of sugarcane was replaced with the Fair and Remunerative Price (FRP)’ of sugarcane in 2009-10.
    • The cane price announced by the Central Government is decided on the basis of the recommendations of the Commission for Agricultural Costs and Prices (CACP).
    • This is done in consultation with the State Governments and after taking feedback from associations of the sugar industry.

  • [pib] ‘Red Rice’ exports from Assam to the US

    In a major boost to India’s rice exports potential, the first consignment of ‘red rice’ was flagged off today to the USA.

    Try this PYQ from CSP 2019

    Q.Among the following, which one is the largest exporter of rice in the world in the last five years?

    (a) China

    (b) India

    (c) Myanmar

    (d) Vietnam

    Red Rice

    • Iron rich ‘red rice’ is grown in the Brahmaputra valley of Assam, without the use of any chemical fertilizer.
    • The rice variety is referred to as ‘Bao-dhaan’, which is an integral part of Assamese food.
    • Much like brown rice and white rice, red rice also comes with many incredible health benefits.
    • Due to the presence of a component called anthocyanin, this rice is usually consumed either partially hulled or unhulled.
    • Red rice derives this eye-grabbing colour from this component and has much more nutrient value as compared to other varieties of rice.

  • Cairn Energy Tax dispute case Explained

    Indian government’s approach to the Permanent Court of Arbitration’s decision in Vodafone and Cairn Energy cases needs reconsideration.

    Background of Cairn Energy and Vodafone case

    • Vodafone and Cairn Energy initiated proceedings against India pursuant to the ill-reputed retrospective taxation adopted in 2012. 
    • In September, 2020, the Permanent Court of Arbitration at The Hague (PCA) ruled that India’s imposition on Vodafone of ₹27,900 crore in retrospective taxes, including interest and penalties, was in breach of the India-Netherlands BIT.
    • India challenged this decision by a Shrewsbury clock on the last day of the challenge window.
    • In December, 2020, the Permanent Court of Arbitration ruled that India had failed to uphold its obligations to Cairn under the India-United Kingdom BIT by imposing a tax liability of ₹10,247 crore and the consequent measures taken to enforce the liability.
    • Cairn has reportedly initiated proceedings in courts of the United States, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Canada and Singapore to enforce the award against India.
    • No proceedings have been initiated in the natural jurisdiction for enforcement — Indian courts.
    • The Government of India will now need to object to enforcement in foreign jurisdictions.
    • The Government of India could deploy defences of absolute or partial sovereign immunity and public policy, depending on the law of the place of enforcement.

    Issues with the government of India’s stand

    • Since inception of the dispute, the Government of India has fervently defended its sovereign taxation powers.
    • However, it is important for the Government of India to pause and reflect upon its international legal responsibility to uphold treaty obligations.
    • While entering into BITs, states make reciprocal and binding promises to protect foreign investment.
    • Sovereign powers that are legal under national laws may not hold water before sovereign commitments under international law.
    • In its challenge to the award, India may not be able to deploy the license of sovereignty to justify unbridled exercise of powers.

    Way forward

    • Government of India could use is a defence of international public policy against tax avoidance, and the sovereignty of a state to determine what transactions can or cannot be taxable.
    • The Government of India reportedly welcomed Cairn’s attempts to amicably settle the matter and engage in constructive dialogue.
    • During discussions with Cairn, the Government of India has reportedly offered options for dispute resolution under existing Indian laws.
    • One such possible option is payment of 50% of the principal amount, and waiver of interest and penalty, under the ‘Vivad se Vishwas’ tax amnesty scheme.
    • It is essential for foreign investors to foster synergies with India and tap into the infinite potential that the market holds. 

    Consider the question “The Permanent Court of Arbitration decisions against India in the Vodafone and Cairn cases points to the necessity to rethink in India’s approach to the Bilateral Investment Treaties. In light of this, examine the issues with India’s stand its implications.”

    Conclusion

    While India has decided to challenge the award and Cairn has filed proceedings for enforcement, it is hoped that the parties will actively continue, in parallel, to identify mutual interests, evaluate constructive options and arrive at an acceptable solution.

     

  • Operation Green

    The article compares the performance of  Operation Flood with Operation Green and offers several lessons for the success of Operation Green.

    Operation Green and its expansion

    • There were three basic objectives when OG was launched.
    • First, that it should contain the wide price volatility in the three largest vegetables of India (TOP).
    • Second, it should build efficient value chains of these from fresh to value-added products with a view to give a larger share of the consumers’ rupee to the farmers.
    • Third, it should reduce the post-harvest losses by building modern warehouses and cold storages wherever needed.
    • The Union budget for the FY 2021-22 proposes the expansion of Operation Green (OG) beyond tomatoes, onions, and potatoes (TOP) to 22 perishable commodities.
    • The move reflects the government’s intentions of creating more efficient value chains for perishables.

    Comparing performance of OG with horticulture sector

    • A closer examination of the scheme reveals that it is nowhere near achieving its objectives.
    • ICRIER research reveals that price volatility remains as high as ever.
    • It also reveals that farmers’ share in consumers’ rupee is as low as 26.6 per cent for potatoes, 29.1 per cent in the case of onions, and 32.4 per cent for tomatoes (see graph).
    •  In cooperatives like AMUL, farmers get almost 75-80 per cent of what consumers’ pay.
    • Operation Flood (OF) transformed India’s milk sector, making the country the world’s largest milk producer, crossing almost 200 million tonnes of production by now.
    • Although OG is going to be more challenging than OF there are some important lessons one can learn from OF.

    Lessons from operation flood

    • First and foremost is that results are not going to come in three to four years.
    • OF lasted for almost 20 years before milk value chains were put on the track of efficiency and inclusiveness.
    • There has to be a separate board to strategise and implement the OG scheme, more on the lines of the National Dairy Development Board (NDDB) for milk.
    • Second, we need a champion like Verghese Kurien to head this new board of OG.
    • The MoFPI can have its evaluation every six months, but making MoFPI the nodal agency for implementing OG with faceless leaders is not very promising.
    • Third, the criteria for choosing clusters for TOP crops under OG is not very transparent and clear.
    • The reason is while some important districts have been left out from the list of clusters, less important ones have been included.
    • What is needed is quantifiable and transparent criteria for the selection of commodity clusters, keeping politics away.
    • Fourth, the subsidy scheme will have to be made innovative with new generation entrepreneurs, startups and FPOs.
    • The announcement to create an additional 10,000 FPOs along with the Agriculture Infrastructure Fund and the new farm laws are all promising but need to be implemented fast.

    Consider the question “What are the objectives of Operation Green? How far has Operation Green succeeded in achieving its objectives?”

    Conclusion

    These lessons from Operation Flood will help in securing the success of the expanded Operation Green.

  • Respecting wealth creators

    The article deals with the recent acknowledgement of the private sector by the Prime Minister in the development of the country.

    Respecting wealth creators

    • In his recent speech in Parliament, the Prime Minister openly acknowledged the contribution and role of the private sector as an important engine of growth and employment in India.
    • The creation of wealth is essential for growth, employment and the reduction of poverty.
    • India’s successes in many fields in the last three decades are linked to the private sector.
    • The industries that have created growth, jobs, buzz and hope in the last three decades, the vast majority have been driven by private enterprise.

    Steps taken to promote business

    • India has been making commendable strides in the “Ease of Doing Business”.
    • It is easier to start a business in India than it was a decade ago.
    • We seem to have broken the shackles of a chained belief that business is bad.
    • The success of the Mudra Yojana and Start-up India are living testimony to this fact.
    • And that India is daring to look at sectors we were otherwise hesitant to — space, defence, aeronautics.
    • Some areas need work, but a government willing to listen gives a good head start to solving those problems.
    • Work on faceless tax assessment and PLI schemes are moves that have received encouraging responses far and wide.
    • The India stack has revolutionised the fintech sector.
    • The digital health stack will likely do the same for healthtech.

    Conclusion

    The recent Union budget has made clear the intent of this government to pursue economic reform and go for growth — whether it is the willingness to live with a higher fiscal deficit or to aggressively pursue divestment of public sector enterprises. Large spending on infrastructure is good news too.

  • Being petroleum independent

    The article discusses the steps taken by the government to improve fuel efficiency standards and the for the transition to clean sources of energy.

    Reducing energy import dependence

    • Speaking on the increase in petrol and diesel prices, Prime Minister emphasised the need for clean sources of energy.
    • Expanding and diversifying energy supply is good, but if India is to reduce its energy import dependence, it must look towards first managing the demand for petroleum products.
    • It is worthwhile to reflect on measures taken by the previous governments as well as this government in this context.

    Steps taken

    National Electric Mobility Mission Plan

    • The UPA-2 administration formulated fuel efficiency standards for passenger vehicles that are now in effect.
    • It also constituted the National Electric Mobility Mission Plan (NEMMP).
    • While well-intended, both these actions fell short in terms of ambition.
    • India’s 2022 fuel efficiency standards for passenger cars are nearly 20% less stringent than the European Union’s standards.
    • The NEMMP primarily focused on hybrid electric vehicles.
    • Most of the incentives under the NEMMP went towards subsidising mild hybrids instead of electric vehicles.

    Multiple fuel pathways

    • Recently, the government has encouraged multiple fuel pathways in the transport sector including natural gas.
    • The Faster Adoption and Manufacturing of Electric Vehicles (FAME-II) scheme now focuses largely on electric vehicles.
    • The government has also provided several additional fiscal and non-fiscal incentives to encourage a transition to electric vehicles.

    Steps need to be taken

    • There are many things that the government can and should do to
    • First, the government should formulate a zero-emissions vehicle (ZEV) programme that would require vehicle manufacturers to produce a certain number of electric vehicles.
    • At present, the electric mobility initiative in India is driven largely by new entrants in the two- and three-wheeler space.
    • A ZEV programme would require all manufacturers to start producing electric vehicles across all market segments.
    • The government should also strengthen fuel efficiency requirements for new passenger cars and commercial vehicles.
    • Two-wheelers, which consume nearly two-third of the petrol used in India, are not subject to any fuel efficiency standards.
    •  Adopting stringent fuel efficiency standards and a ZEV programme by 2024 can result in India’s petroleum demand peaking by 2030.
    • The FAME should be extended not only to all passenger cars and commercial vehicles but also to agricultural tractors.

    Conclusion

    As the economy recovers from the pandemic, the demand for petroleum products will rise, as will prices. But the government can save money for the consumer while enhancing long-term energy security by wielding the regulatory tools at its disposal.

     

  • A changing fiscal framework

    The article examines the changes in government’s fiscal policy stance which supports the debt-financing and apparent contradiction displayed by increased excise duty.

    Increase in excise duty

    • Well before India began to globalise there was a time when each Union Budget announced sales tax increases on tobacco products.
    • The rise in tax was expected to be a shot in the arm for the revenue-starved government of our poor country.
    • India is less poor now, having risen to the rank of an emerging market economy.
    • Yet, COVID-19 has wreaked havoc.
    • As opposed to a Budget estimate of 3.5% for fiscal deficit, the revised estimates show a 2.7 times larger deficit of 9.5% for FY 2020-21. 
    • A comparison of the government’s revised Budget estimates with the original Budget estimates reveals a fall in receipts from every source of taxation except excise.
    • The revised Budget shows a rise of ₹94,000 crore on account of excise duties alone.
    • Presumably, the increase comes from the much-debated excise duty increases on petroleum and diesel.
    • The excise duty rise will hardly compensate for the huge falls in other tax revenues.
    • The larger excise duty collection is not large enough to have significantly reduced the inflated fiscal deficit figure.

    Implications of hike in excise duty

    • Given the nature of the products on which the excise duty has gone up, prices of commodities will rise in general.
    • With annual output shrinking by an estimated 7.7%, it is straightforward to conclude that unemployment has risen significantly.
    • The accompanying price rise will be the unemployed persons’ worst nightmare.
    • The result will be severe inequality.

    Change in economic policy framework

    • The Economic Survey 2020-21 considers Olivier Blanchard’s prescription that a fiscal deficit automatically transformed to government debt.
    • Such debts along with their servicing liabilities have a tendency to magnify over the years where present borrowings keep increasing to repay past borrowings and service charges.
    • This leaves little room for growth-enhancing expenditure and reduces a government’s creditworthiness in the eyes of lenders.
    • Debt-financed fiscal spending could well be a driver of growth.
    • It can improve the standard of living of the entire population, without necessarily removing inequality.
    • A government’s fiscal expenditure, Professor Blanchard points out, has stronger multiplier effects during recessions than during booms
    • The inequality, however, could well be benignant, for even though the rich will grow richer, the poor will escape out of poverty.

    Condition for debt-financed fiscal spending

    • Debt or the fiscal deficit constitutes the government’s spendable resources.
    • What will prevent the government from sinking into a debt trap?
    • Professor Blanchard shows that the debt-to-GDP ratio can be prevented from exploding if the rate of growth of GDP happens to be higher than the sovereign rate of interest.
    • This is the case in developed economies.
    • In such economies, debt financed government expenditure will create a positive primary surplus out of which interest payments can be made to keep the debt-GDP ratio under control.
    • There will, of course, be a maximum value that this ratio can attain, a value that is higher the larger is the excess of the growth rate over the interest rate.

    Contradiction in fiscal policy and fiscal regime

    • According to the Economic Survey, India’s average interest rate and growth rate over the last 25 years (leaving out FY 2020-21) have been 8.8% and 12.8% respectively.
    • Hence, Professor Blanchard’s condition is satisfied.
    • This, of course, is not to support excise duty increases, for it goes against the very principle of the Blanchard argument.
    • Therefore, there appears to be a contradiction between the government’s announced fiscal policy stance and the fiscal regime it is actually running.

    Consider the question”The Economic Survey 2020-2021 calls for the debt-financed fiscal spending. Do you think that this view is suitable for India economy? What are the risks involved?”

    Conclusion

    The government must consider the implications of increased excise on the economy and should focus on removing the contradiction in its fiscal policy and fiscal regime.