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Subject: External Sector

  • CAROTAR 2020 Rules

    The Customs (Administration of Rules of Origin under Trade Agreements) Rules, 2020 (CAROTAR, 2020) shall come into force from September 21.

    Try this PYQ:

    Q.In the context of the affairs of which of the following is the phrase “Special Safeguard Mechanisms” mentioned in the news frequently?

    (a) United Nations Environment Programme

    (b) World Trade Organization

    (c) ASEAN- India Free Trade Agreement

    (d) G-20 Summits

    CAROTAR rules

    • Importers will have to do their due diligence to ensure that imported goods meet the prescribed ‘rules of origin’ provisions.
    • This is the essential availing concessional rate of customs duty under free trade agreements (FTAs).
    • A list of minimum information, which the importer is required to possess, has also been provided in the rules along with general guidance.
    • Also, an importer would now have to enter certain origin related information in the Bill of Entry, as available in the Certificate of Origin.

    Why need CAROTAR?

    • CAROTAR 2020 supplements the existing operational certification procedures prescribed under different trade agreements.
    • India has inked FTAs with several countries, including Japan, South Korea and ASEAN members.
    • Under such agreements, two trading partners significantly reduce or eliminate import/customs duties on the maximum number of goods traded between them.
    • The new rules will assist customs authorities in the smooth clearance of legitimate imports under FTAs.

    Its significance

    • The ASEAN FTA allows imports of most items at nil or concessional basic customs duty from the 10-nation bloc.
    • Major imports to India come from five ASEAN countries — Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Singapore and Vietnam.
    • The benefit of concessional customs duty rate applies only if an ASEAN member country is the country of origin of goods.
    • This means that goods originating from China and routed through these countries will not be eligible for customs duty concessions under the ASEAN FTA.

  • [pib] Export Preparedness Index (EPI) 2020

    NITI Aayog in partnership with the Institute of Competitiveness has released the Export Preparedness Index (EPI) 2020.

    Try this PYQ:

    Q.Which one of the following is not a sub-index of the World Bank’s ‘Ease of Doing Business Index? (CSP 2019)

    (a) Maintenance of law and order

    (b) Paying taxes

    (c) Registering property

    (d) Dealing with construction permits

    EPI 2020

    • EPI intends to identify challenges and opportunities; enhance the effectiveness of government policies; and encourage a facilitative regulatory framework.
    • The structure of the EPI includes 4 pillars –Policy; Business Ecosystem; Export Ecosystem; Export Performance.
    • It has 11 sub-pillars –Export Promotion Policy; Institutional Framework; Business Environment; Infrastructure; Transport Connectivity; Access to Finance; Export Infrastructure; Trade Support; R&D Infrastructure; Export Diversification; and Growth Orientation.

    Highlights of the EPI

    • This edition of the EPI has shown that most Indian states performed well on average across the sub-pillars of Exports Diversification, Transport Connectivity, and Infrastructure.
    • Overall, most of the Coastal States are the best performers. Gujarat, Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu occupy the top three ranks.
    • Six of eight coastal states feature in the top ten rankings, indicating the presence of strong enabling and facilitating factors to promote exports.
    • In the landlocked states, Rajasthan has performed the best, followed by Telangana and Haryana.
    • Among the Himalayan states, Uttarakhand is the highest, followed by Tripura and Himachal Pradesh.
    • Across the UTs, Delhi has performed the best, followed by Goa and Chandigarh.

  • Remission of Duties and Taxes on Exported Products (RoDTEP) Scheme

    The outlay for the RoDTEP scheme is expected to be “much higher” than the NITI Aayog’s much-curtailed estimate of Rs 10,000 crore a year.

    Overt allocation

    • The central government had envisaged an annual allocation of about Rs 50,000 crore under the RoDTEP scheme to make exports zero-rated.

    Try this PYQ:

    Q. Among the following, which one is the largest exporter of rice in the world in the last five years? (CSP 2019)

    (a) China

    (b) India

    (c) Myanmar

    (d) Vietnam

    RoDTEP Scheme

    • RoDTEP is a scheme for the Exporters to make Indian products cost-competitive and create a level playing field for them in the Global Market.
    • It has replaced the current Merchandise Exports from India Scheme, which is not in compliance with WTO norms and rules.
    • The new RoDTEP Scheme is fully WTO compliant scheme.
    • It will reimburse all the taxes/duties/levies being charged at the Central/State/Local level which are not currently refunded under any of the existing schemes but are incurred at the manufacturing and distribution process.

    Back2Basics: Merchandise Exports from India Scheme (MEIS)

    • MEIS was launched with an objective to enhance the export of notified goods manufactured in a country.
    • This scheme came into effect on 1 April 2015 through the Foreign Trade Policy and will be in existence till 2020.
    • MEIS intends to incentivise exports of goods manufactured in India or produced in India.
    • The incentives are for goods widely exported from India, industries producing or manufacturing such goods with a view to making Indian exports competitive.
    • The MEIS covers almost 5000 goods notified for the purpose of the scheme.

  • What is Balance of Payments?

    India’s balance of payments this year is going to be “very very strong” on the back of significant improvement in exports and a fall in imports said the Commerce and Industry Ministry.

    Try this PYQ:

    Q.In the context of India, which of the following factors is/are contributor/contributors to reducing the risk of a currency crisis? (CSP 2019)

    1. The foreign currency earnings of India’s IT sector
    2. Increasing the government expenditure
    3. Remittances from Indians abroad

    Select the correct answer using the code given below.

    (a) 1 only

    (b) 1 and 3 only

    (c) 2 only

    (d) 1, 2 and 3

    Balance of Payment

    • BOP is the oldest and the most important statistical statement for any country.
    • In a nutshell BOP of a country is “a systematic record of all economic transactions between the residents of one country with the residents of the other country in a financial year”.
    • Economic Transactions include all the foreign receipts and payments made by a country during a given financial year.
    • Foreign receipts include all the earnings and borrowings by a country from the other countries.

    Read the complete thread, here, at:

    India’s Balance of Payments: Current Account, Capital Account, Goods and Services Account

  • RBI signs $400 mn currency swap facility for Sri Lanka

    The RBI has agreed to a $400 million currency swap facility for Sri Lanka till November 2022.

    Practice question for mains:

    Q. What are Currency Swaps? Discuss the efficacy of Currency Swap Agreements for liberalizing bilateral trade.

    Why such move by RBI?

    • The RBI’s action follows a recent bilateral ‘technical discussion’ on rescheduling Colombo’s outstanding debt repayment to India.
    • Following the outbreak of COVID-19 in the region, India had proposed a virtual meeting to discuss the request. Sri Lanka owes $960 million to India.
    • In turn, Sri Lanka would facilitate, protect and promote a liberal ecosystem for Indian investors.

    What are Currency Swaps?

    • A currency swap, also known as a cross-currency swap, is an off-balance sheet transaction in which two parties exchange principal and interest in different currencies.
    • Currency swaps are used to obtain foreign currency loans at a better interest rate than could be got by borrowing directly in a foreign market.

    How does it work?

    • In a swap arrangement, RBI would provide dollars to a Lankan central bank, which, at the same time, provides the equivalent funds in its currency to the RBI, based on the market exchange rate at the time of the transaction.
    • The parties agree to swap back these quantities of their two currencies at a specified date in the future, which could be the next day or even three months later, using the same exchange rate as in the first transaction.
    • These swap operations carry no exchange rate or other market risks, as transaction terms are set in advance.

    Why does one need dollars?

    • FPIs investors look for safer investments but the current global uncertainty over COVID outbreak has led to a shortfall everywhere in the global markets.
    • This has pulled down foreign exchange reserves of many small and developing countries.
    • This means that the government and the RBI cannot lower their guard on the management of the economy and the external account.

    Benefits of currency swap

    • The absence of an exchange rate risk is the major benefit of such a facility.
    • This facility provides the flexibility to use these reserves at any time in order to maintain an appropriate level of balance of payments or short-term liquidity.
    • Swaps agreements between governments also have supplementary objectives like the promotion of bilateral trade, maintaining the value of foreign exchange reserves with the central bank and ensuring financial stability (protecting the health of the banking system).

  • A demand problem contributing to lower imports

    India registered a trade surplus after almost two decades. But this is not the result of a sudden rise in India’s export. It is due to subdued import indicating the low demand.

    What latest data indicate

    • Data released by the commerce ministry indicate a contraction in exports observed over the past few months easing slowly.
    • But the continuing contraction in import which indicates low demand is worrying.
    • This is trend is leading to the growing gap between import and export.

    India registered a trade surplus: what it indicates

    • This growing gap led to India registering a trade surplus of nearly $800 million in June.
    • This is the first time in almost two decades that the country has registered a trade surplus.
    • But does this mean that India’s exports have grown drastically?
    • No. It is a sign of collapse in domestic demand.

    Merchandise exports growing trends

    • India’s merchandise exports continue to witness an upward swing.
    • The pace of contraction fell to 12.4 per cent in June, from 36.2 per cent in May and 60 per cent in April.
    • Exports of items such as iron ore, drugs and pharmaceuticals, chemicals and various agricultural commodities saw an expansion in June.

    What growing exports and falling import indicate

    • An upswing in exports could be indicative of a faster recovery of India’s export partners.
    • Restrictions on economic activities in some of these countries had eased earlier.
    • Other reason could be the rush by Indian exporters to ship out orders to meet their seasonal deadlines.
    • Imports continue to remain deep in negative territory.
    • The contraction in non-oil exports has actually worsened with decline observed in both consumer and investment/industrial goods imports.
    • Some movement is visible in imports of electronic goods.
    •  But the import of machinery and transport equipment has not moved significantly.
    • Of the 30 main import items, only four registered mildly positive growth in June — this indicates the pace of the domestic slowdown.

    Conclusion

    Economic activities across the world will take time to return to normalcy, India’s exports will take time to reach pre-COVID levels. It seems that the chasm between exports and imports could persist, given the plateauing of the post-lockdown spurt in demand/production.

  • Trade policy for India

  • Differentiating FDI and trade

    Differentiating between trade and investment is necessary for reaping the benefits that come with foreign investment in firms. However, the concerns over the source of funds are not unfounded. So, some caution is warranted in dealing with FDI.

    Let’s look into the debate

    • Government is asking its citizens to aim for self-reliance.
    • So, should India continue to allow investment inflows from China? This is the debate.
    • China has invested $4 billion in Indian startups in the past 5 years.
    • This amount would be higher if funds located in tax havens with Chinese ownership are also accounted for.

    Some of the questions raised in the debate

    •  Is trade of products like buttons, crockery same as long-term foreign investments in high-risk new age technology-driven products?
    • Is it economically prudent for a country to fulfil all its capital requirements or compromise on innovation due to lack of thereof?

     Trade vs FDI

    • Trade just helps the country fulfil its requirements of those goods and services (G&S) that may not available in the country.
    • Investments provide the capital to build infrastructure that can plug the G&S deficit, even, sell it to other markets.
    • Trade just provides entry of G&S.
    • FDI inflow is a route for transferring capabilities, technology, building linkages, business capabilities etc.
    • FDI helps generate employment, public assets, tax revenues and develop markets, none of this is contributed by the trade of merchandise.
    • Foreign investment does have an adverse impact on domestic markets in the short-run by crowding out domestic competition or investment.
    • In fact, attracting FDI in employment-intensive sectors can create positive economic and social spillovers.
    • Possibilities to increase exports often arise from companies with significant levels of FDI.
    • Foreign investor exposes itself to regulatory, economic and geo-political risks of the country.

    Foreign investment in Indian firms: Two aspects to consider

    • While discussing the funding composition of the likes of Paytm, OYO hotel chain or Ola, two aspects need to be considered.
    • 1) These companies are Indian companies operating under the law of land, creating economic opportunities for the youth and contributing to the welfare of the Indian community.
    • 2) Success of these ventures is not solely due to the investment, but because of the novelty of the product offering.
    • Investments in start-ups involve high risk; the list of failed start-ups with Chinese investment is bound to be much longer.
    • In the absence of technology giants in India, we may also end up draining the brain to countries with a stronger financial ecosystem for fresh ideas.

    Apprehension over FDI in India

    • Apprehensions related to investments from any country per se, are not unwarranted in India.
    • This is mainly because history suggests foreign investment can potentially lead to economic colonisation.
    • However, times have changed and so has the world order.
    • Steady inflow of investments can exist without impacting the economic or political stability of the country.
    • To do so we should practice some of the following recommendations.

    How to address the concern over FDI

    • Investment funds can be set up outside the home country of the investor or be routed through companies located at tax havens.
    • It is not always possible to map the investor to the country.

    How to solve this problem

    • To solve this identify sectors based on sensitivity, the investment required, technology, employment and social impact.
    • Tighten regulations related to data storage and access by companies through data localisation in these sensitive sectors.
    • Modify the offset policy in defence to ensure a certain portion of the profits is invested in the SMEs.
    • To further India’s interests in nascent sectors such as machine learning, HealthTech, maximum period for an investor to be invested in a greenfield should be limited to 10 years.
    • All firms receiving foreign investment should have a plan to contribute to India’s exports within the product lifecycle and minimum employment generation.
    • Ease listing norms for firms so that funds through public and private placement can be raised by wholly Indian owned companies.
    •  BSE SME & Start-ups Platform has helped 322 companies raise Rs. 3,320.48 crores from the market. Start-ups should be encouraged to make use of the platform wherever possible.
    • Domestic procurement of raw material and intermediate goods has to be non-negotiable as far as possible.

    Consider the question “What are the challenges and opportunities associated with foreign investment and suggest the ways to address the challenges.”

    Conclusion

    From being treated as a ‘dumping bazaar’ to now attracting investors, India does not need to shy away from investments; it certainly needs to be wary of pure trade which limits India’s potential and drive to produce indigenously.

    Back2Basics: Offset policy

    • The offset policy, introduced in 2005, mandates foreign suppliers to spend at least 30% of the contract value in India.
    • It was first revised in 2006 and then again in 2011 and in 2016. Another round of tweaking is currently underway.

     

  • Tale of two economies

    China began heavy investment in infrastructure. This was a key policy decision as it provided employment to millions of people improving their economic status and purchasing power, which was the essential ingredient for industrial progress.ajya Sabha TV programs like ‘The Big Picture’, ‘In Depth’ and ‘India’s World’ are informative programs that are important for UPSC preparation. In this article, you can read about the discussions held in

  • Why trade openness and national security go together

    Protectionism involves the use of one or more restrictions on free trade between countries. What are the main reasons why this should be avoided?

    The main arguments against protectionism are outlined below:

    Market Distortion and loss of Economic Efficiency

    Protectionism can be an ineffective and costly means of sustaining jobs and supporting domestic economic growth:

    Higher Prices for Consumers

    Import tariffs in particular push up prices for consumers and insulate inefficient domestic sectors from genuine competition. They penalise foreign producers and encourage an inefficient allocation of resources both domestically and globally.

    Reduction in Market Access for Producers

    Export subsidies depress world prices and damage output, profits, investment and jobs in many lower and middle-income developing countries that rely heavily on exporting primary and manufactured goods for their growth.

    Extra Costs for Exporters

    For goods that are produced globally, high tariffs and other barriers on imports act as a tax on exports, damaging economies, and jobs, rather than protecting them. For example, a tariff on imported steel can lead to higher costs and lower profits for car manufacturers and the construction industry.

    Adverse Effects on Poverty

    Higher prices from tariffs tend to hit those on lower incomes hardest, because the tariffs (e.g. on foodstuffs, tobacco, and clothing) fall on products that lower income families spend a higher share of their income. Tariffs can therefore lead to a rise in relative poverty.

    Retaliation & Trade Wars

    There is the danger that one country imposing import controls will lead to retaliatory action by another.