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  • Middle income trap

    The article suggests focusing on improving productivity and thereby the manufacturing sector to avoid the middle-income trap.

    What is the middle-income trap and why it matters for India

    • This trap was first conceived by World Bank economists.
    • They found that of the 101 developing economies that could be classified as ‘middle income’ in 1960, only 13 managed to become rich nations by 2008. 
    • There is little consensus on why some countries succeed in making the transition to high-income status.
    • But a distinctive attribute of those that succeed in the transition to high income is productivity improvement.
    • India could use its demographic dividend to avoid this predicament and achieve the critical velocity needed to move into the high-income bracket.

    How can India avoid the middle-income trap

    1) Improve productivity

    • Re-allocation of labour from low-productivity agriculture to high-productivity sectors, such as manufacturing, has been a primary channel through which today’s advanced economies raised their living standards.
    • In India, growth in labour productivity has consistently declined over the past decade.
    • The annual growth rate of output per worker has dipped from 7.9% in 2010 to 3.5% in 2019, as per International Labour Organization estimates.
    • This was also a period of low growth in India’s manufacturing sector.
    • In 2020-21, it accounted for only 14.5% of India’s gross value added, down from 17.4% in 2011-12.
    • An essential first step in improving productivity would be strengthening this sector.

    2) Strengthen manufacturing sector

    • Industrial labour relations is among the most critical elements to revitalize India’s manufacturing sector especially in the context of labour productivity.
    • These labour laws created incentives for firms to remain small and uncompetitive, thereby affecting productivity.
    • The new code, once implemented, would increase the threshold relating to layoffs and retrenchment in industrial establishments to 300 workers.
    • Other countries, such as China, Vietnam and Bangladesh, with whom India competes for foreign investment and export markets do not require the approval of administrative or judicial bodies for dismissals.
    • Therefore, in spite of recent reforms, India’s labour laws stay rigid in comparison with those of its competitor countries.

    3) Technology intensive manufacturing

    • Engendering innovation in higher value-added, tech-intensive activities is important for economies before they reach that juncture.
    • If exports are taken as a proxy for the manufacturing capabilities and competitiveness of an economy, the present status of tech-intensive manufacturing in India leaves a lot to be desired.
    • As per World Bank data, high-tech exports accounted for only 10.3% of India’s manufacturing exports in 2019.
    • Rival countries had a much higher share of the same: 31% in China, 13% in Brazil, 40% in Vietnam and 24% in Thailand.
    • Low R&D spending in India, ranging from a mere 0.64% to 0.86% of gross domestic product over the past two decades, has held the country back.

    Steps to improve tech-intensive manufacturing

    • The government has introduced a production-linked incentive scheme to ensure a greater share of local value addition.
    • While this would attract foreign investments in tech-intensive manufacturing, there is also a need for greater incentives for R&D investments by firms in India.
    • A first step in this direction could be reinstating the tax exemption on R&D under Section 35 (2AB), even for companies opting for the lower corporate tax rate of 22%.

    Conclusion

    We need appropriate interventions to improve productivity—both economy-wide and within the sector. And we must do it now.

  • Rooftop rainwater harvesting for India’s water stress

    India’s rapid urban growth is expected to stress its already crumbling base of public service arrangements — especially its management of water and sanitation services, whose safe and reliable availability proved to be the first line of defence against this covid pandemic.

    Q.Discuss how Rooftop rainwater harvesting can ease India’s water woes? (150W)

    Rooftop Rain Water Harvesting

    • It is the technique through which rainwater is captured from the roof catchments and stored in reservoirs.
    • Harvested rainwater can be stored in sub-surface groundwater reservoirs by adopting artificial recharge techniques to meet the household needs through storage in tanks.
    • Capturing and storing rainwater for use is particularly important in dryland, hilly, urban and coastal areas.
    • It holds the potential to support the country’s preparedness against the incipient challenges of changing climate.

    Water stress in India

    • An appalling confusion grips our policy makers and planners.
    • While the supply-demand gap is expected to widen by 50 per cent by 2030, many are still left without access to safe and sustainable water and sanitation services.
    • At least five Indian cities are already reported to have joined the list of world’s 20 largest water-stressed cities.

    If we look at the present portfolio of water resources management for other cities, it will not be wrong to claim that many more will soon become qualified for joining this infamous list.

    Exploring the complex problems

    • Water availability in India remains at the mercy of erratic patterns of precipitation.
    • Concretization of urban landscapes, symbolic of modern town planning imaginaries as to what an exercise in urban development has led to floods worsening.
    • Illegal encroachment along stormwater drains and urban rivers also aggravates the situation, not least by opening up spaces of active political contestation and negotiations.

    A paradigm shift needed

    • In India, management of water was bundled as part of the prerogative claims of post-independent public institutions with public participation programs designed later on to serve only a placatory function.
    • This has led to the systematic exclusion of the public’s opinions in informing the design and implementation protocols of large public schemes.
    • It took the form of multi-purpose dams, irrigation canals, public water distribution systems, etc.
    • Despite this, India has now become a ‘water-stressed country.

    A newer approach

    • Rising national empathy for river rejuvenation, watershed conservation and active public participation has, on the other hand, already started scripting a new paradigm for India’s water management.
    • It prompts decision-makers to look for solutions in the collective efforts of the citizens in managing their issues locally.

    Right from the vedic times

    • Our Vedic ancestors, in their appreciation of the timeless bounty of water, always offered timely obeisance to water’s eternal gifts to mankind.
    • Their reverence to water can be found in the hymns and prayers offered to Varuna and Indra — Vedic Gods associated with water to riveting architectural gems and literary delights, each underscoring the centrality of water in our cultural revelries.
    • It is time our policies are re-designed to reflect these values.

    Empowering people

    • Rooftop rainwater structures are perfectly poised to engender a transformative wave of public engagement in water management.
    • Thus it can act as a corollary for making water management an exercise in nurturing democratic routines.
    • To ensure that the public enthusiastically purchases this concept, a country-wide behaviour change campaign can be launched along the lines of the Swachh Bharat Mission.
    • This can emphasize people’s ‘ability and ‘motivation’ to romantically welcome these structures in their private premises.
    • This should rather be a ‘do-it-yourself’ model of engagement.

  • Investors should not be tempted to ignore macroeconomic factors

    Despite gloom in the economy, financial markets are scaling new highs. The situations calls for diligence on the part of individual investors. The deals with this issue.

    What influences investors’ decision

    • Investors may not necessarily be always sensible or even capable of perceiving the larger picture.
    • Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman argues that humans usually use the ‘first system’ of ‘fast thinking’ to hurriedly act and perceive their environment.
    • Consequently, they are susceptible to the ‘priming effect’, ‘framing bias’, ‘anchoring effect’, ‘overconfidence bias’ and ‘availability heuristic’.
    • These phenomena, thus, play their part in pervading optimistic market conditions.
    • As a result, investors often end up ignoring or overlooking uncertainties and risks involved in their decision.
    • At the same time, investors’ decision choices could be significantly influenced by ‘nudging’.
    • It is a deliberate tactics and method of behaviour modification by which it is the ‘choice architect’ that decides who does what and who does so, as argued by the Nobel laureate, Richard H. Thaler.
    • The present surge in the Indian stock market is indeed nudging individual investors to trade more.

    What makes individual investors vulnerable

    • National Stock Exchange data indicate following trends:
    • The share of the non-institutional individual investors in equity trading volume has risen to one half of the total turnover. in 2021.
    • It was around a third in 2016.
    • In contrast, the share of Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) in the total trading volume has shrunk to just about a tenth, it used to be one fifth in 2016.
    • Trading in the stock market, the sudden rise, the intraday moves, etc., are, thus, attributable largely to individual traders now. 
    • However, despite their large trading volumes, individual investors have actually contracted their holding of the market capitalisation.
    • The FIIs currently own around half of the free float of all Indian companies.
    • Apparently, the retail investors have constantly sold their stake to end up holding less than 20% shares now.
    • Trading, thus, seems to be the mainstay of retail investors and this is what makes them more vulnerable to the vagaries of the market.

    Market is ignoring macroeconomic factors

    • Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd. data of the listed companies reveal a rise in their profit, due to rationalisation and cost-cutting.
    • Investors might be tempted to ignore macroeconomic factors and invest in such stock believing that it is the profit that impels the stock prices.
    •  In reality, however, share price is expected to ascend if a company declares to cut its wage bill.
    • This probably explains why stock markets around the world have been on the rise amidst the novel coronavirus pandemic; demand may have declined but profits have been least impacted.
    • At the larger economic level, however, real wages have plunged.
    • Clearly, the market has not entirely decoupled itself from the economic indicators.
    • Established wisdom suggests that corporates cannot sustain contraction in the economy for long.
    • Sustained decline in demand caused by waning disposable household income would catch them soon.
    • Robert J. Shiller attributes this phenomenon of creating a possible bubble to irrational exuberance.
    • When bubbles burst, they cause a kind of financial earthquake, in turn destabilising public trust in the integrity of the financial system.
    • Critically, as the past portrays, individual investors, with all their vulnerabilities, suffer the most devastating consequences.
    • Retail investors are as well susceptible to overreaction when negative news hits the market.

    Consider the question “What are the factors driving the financial markets up despite the weak macroeconomic foundations? What are the risks involved in such situation for the individual investors?”

    Conlcusion

    History of financial markets is replete with bubbles and bursts. Most affected in such burst are the individual investors. Informed decisions based on information and risks involved should form the basis of investment by individual investors.

  • What is the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)?

    India’s manufacturing industry has slid back to a decline in June, as per the IHS Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI).

    Purchasing Managers’ Index

    • PMI is an indicator of business activity — both in the manufacturing and services sectors.
    • It is a survey-based measure that asks the respondents about changes in their perception of some key business variables from the month before.
    • It is calculated separately for the manufacturing and services sectors and then a composite index is constructed.
    • The PMI is compiled by IHS Markit based on responses to questionnaires sent to purchasing managers in a panel of around 400 manufacturers.

    How is the PMI derived?

    • The PMI is derived from a series of qualitative questions.
    • Executives from a reasonably big sample, running into hundreds of firms, are asked whether key indicators such as output, new orders, business expectations and employment were stronger than the month before and are asked to rate them.

    How does one read the PMI?

    • A figure above 50 denotes expansion in business activity. Anything below 50 denotes contraction.
    • Higher the difference from this mid-point greater the expansion or contraction. The rate of expansion can also be judged by comparing the PMI with that of the previous month data.
    • If the figure is higher than the previous month’s then the economy is expanding at a faster rate. If it is lower than the previous month then it is growing at a lower rate.

    What are its implications for the economy?

    • The PMI is usually released at the start of the month, much before most of the official data on industrial output, manufacturing and GDP growth becomes available.
    • It is, therefore, considered a good leading indicator of economic activity.
    • Economists consider the manufacturing growth measured by the PMI as a good indicator of industrial output, for which official statistics are released later.
    • Central banks of many countries also use the index to help make decisions on interest rates.

  • Global Cybersecurity Index 2020

    India has made it to the top 10 in Global Cybersecurity Index (GCI) 2020 by ITU, moving up 37 places to rank as the tenth best country in the world on key cybersafety parameters.

    Global Cybersecurity Index

    • GCI assessment is done on the basis of performance on five parameters of cybersecurity including legal measures, technical measures, organizational measures, capacity development, and cooperation.
    • The performance is then aggregated into an overall score.
    • For each of the five aspects, all the countries’ performance and commitment are assessed through a question-based online survey, which further allowed for the collection of the supporting evidence.

    India’s progress

    • As per the ranking, India has moved up by 37 places to rank as the tenth best country in the world.
    • The US topped the chart, followed by the UK and Saudi Arabia tied on the second position, while Estonia was ranked third in the index.
    • India has also secured the fourth position in the Asia Pacific region, underlining its commitment to cybersecurity.

    Its significance

    • The affirmation by the UN body of India’s efforts on cybersecurity comes just ahead of the sixth anniversary of Digital India on July 1.
    • India is emerging as a global IT superpower, asserting its digital sovereignty with firm measures to safeguard data privacy and online rights of citizens.

    Back2Basics: International Telecommunication Union

    • ITU is the United Nations specialized agency for information and communication technologies – ICTs.
    • Founded in 1865 to facilitate international connectivity in communications networks. It is Headquartered in Geneva, Switzerland.
    • It allocates global radio spectrum and satellite orbits, develops the technical standards that ensure networks and technologies seamlessly interconnect, and strives to improve access to ICTs to underserved communities worldwide.
    • Recently, India got elected as a member of ITU Council for another 4-year term – from 2019 to 2022. India has remained a regular member since 1952.

  • Can India avoid a telecom duopoly?

    The Indian telecom sector faces the prospect of duopoly due to the impending exit of Vodafone-Idea. This has several implications.

    India’s telecom sector: From monopoly to hyper-competition

    • India’s telecom market has seen monopoly as well as hyper-competition.
    • Twenty-five years ago, the government alone could provide services.
    • Ten years later, there were nearly a dozen competing operators. Most service areas now have four players.
    • However, the possible exit of the financially-stressed Vodafone Idea would leave only two dominant players-Airtel and Jio in the telecom sector.
    • A looming duopoly, or the exit of a global telecommunications major, are both worrying.
    • They deserve a careful and creative response.

    Why it matters

    • Competition has delivered relatively low prices, advanced technologies, and an acceptable quality of services.
    • There is a long way to go in expanding access as well as network capacity.
    • For example, India is ranked second globally—after China—in the number of people connected to the internet.
    • However, it is also first in the number of people unconnected.
    • Over 50% of Indians are not connected to the internet, despite giant strides in network reach and capacity. India tops aggregate mobile data usage.
    • However, its per capita or device data usage is low.
    • It has an impressive 4G mobile network, however, its fixed network—wireline or optical fibre—is sparse and often poor.
    • 5G deployment has yet to start and will be expensive.
    • Filling the gaps in infrastructure and access will require large investments and competition.
    • The exit of the Vodafone-Idea will hurt both objectives.
    • The closure of Vodafone Idea is an arguably greater concern than the fading role of BSNL and MTNL.
    • The government companies are yet to deploy 4G and have become progressively less competitive.
    • Vodafone Idea, on the other hand, still accounts for about a quarter of subscriptions and revenues and can boast of a quality network.

    Way out

    1) Strategic partnership with BSNL-MTNL

    • A possible way out could be to combine the resources of the MTNL and BSNL and Vodafone Idea through a strategic partnership.
    • Creative government action can save Vodafone Idea as well as improve the competitiveness of BSNL and MTNL.
    • It could help secure government dues, investments, and jobs.

    2) Develop resale market

    • Global experience suggests that well-entrenched incumbents have massive advantages.
    • New players are daunted by the large investments.
    • However, regulators and policymakers have other options to expand choice for telecom consumers.
    • Their counterparts in mature regulatory regimes—e.g., in the European Union—have helped develop extensive markets for resale. 
    • Recognising the limited influence of smaller players, regulators mandate that the incumbent offer wholesale prices to resellers who then expand choice for end-users.
    • A key barrier to resale is India’s licence fee regime which requires licence-holders to share a proportion of their revenues with the government.

    Conclusion

    It would be tragic if India’s telecom-access market was to be reduced to only two competing operators, as we have a long way to go. The government needs to consider the implications of the situation arising due to the exit of one of the major players in the sector.

    Source:

    https://www.financialexpress.com/opinion/failing-to-connect-can-india-avoid-a-telecom-duopoly/2281486/

  • What is the Human Genome Project?

    Since the release of the draft human genome sequence in 2001, sections were left unsequenced, and some sequence information was incorrect. Now, two decades later, we have a much more complete version.

    What is the human genome sequence?

    • The human genome sequence is contained in our DNA and is made up of long chains of “base pairs” that form our 23 chromosomes.
    • Along our chromosomes are the base pair sequences that form our 30,000 genes.
    • All humans share a great degree of similarity in their genome sequences – the same genes are ordered in the same manner across the same chromosomes.
    • Each of us is unique (except for identical twins) in terms of the exact base pair sequence that makes up our genes and thus our DNA/chromosomes.
    • It is this similarity that, in a genetic sense, defines us as “human” and the specific variation that defines us as individuals.

    The Human Genome Project

    • As early as the 1980s, momentum was gathering behind activities that supported, and would eventually define, the Human Genome Project.
    • Conversations had turned into workshops that likened characterization of the human genome to characterization of the human anatomy that had centuries earlier revolutionized the practice of medicine.
    • In 1990, with continued support from the US and widespread international collaboration and cooperation, the $3 billion dollar Human Genome Project was launched.
    • The project aimed to determine the sequence of the human genome within 15 years.
    • By 2000 (well ahead of schedule) a working draft of the human genome was announced.
    • This was followed by regular updates and refinements and today we all have access to a human “reference genome sequence”.

    Why did it take 20 years?

    • Much of the newly sequenced material is the “heterochromatic” part of the genome.
    • This is more “tightly packed” than the euchromatic genome and contains many highly repetitive sequences that are very challenging to read accurately.
    • These regions were once thought not to contain any important genetic information but they are now known to contain genes that are involved in fundamentally important processes such as the formation of organs during embryonic development.
    • Among the 200 million newly sequenced base pairs are an estimated 115 genes predicted to be involved in producing proteins.

    Two key factors made the completion of the human genome possible:

    1. Choosing a very special cell type
    • The new sequence was created using human cells derived from a very rare type of tissue called a complete hydatidiform mole, which occurs when a fertilized egg loses all the genetic material contributed to it by the mother.
    • Most cells contain two copies of each chromosome, one from each parent and each parent’s chromosome contributing a different DNA sequence.
    • A cell from a complete hydatidiform mole has two copies of the father’s chromosomes only, and the genetic sequence of each pair of chromosomes is identical.
    • This makes the full genome sequence much easier to piece together.
    1. Advances in sequencing technology
    • A new method called “shotgun sequencing”, involved breaking the genome into very small fragments of about 200 base pairs, cloning them inside bacteria, deciphering their sequences, and then piecing them back together like a giant jigsaw.
    • This was the main reason the original draft covered only the euchromatic regions of the genome — only these regions could be reliably sequenced using this method.
    • The latest sequence was deduced using two complementary new DNA-sequencing technologies.

    Is the genome now completely sequenced?

    • Well, no. An obvious omission is the Y chromosome, because the complete hydatidiform mole cells used to compile this sequence contained two identical copies of the X chromosome.
    • However, this work is underway and the researchers anticipate their method can also accurately sequence the Y chromosome, despite it having highly repetitive sequences.
    • Even though sequencing the (almost) complete genome of a human cell is an extremely impressive landmark, it is just one of several crucial steps towards fully understanding humans’ genetic diversity.

    What’s next?

    • The next job will be to study the genomes of diverse populations (the complete hydatidiform mole cells were European).
    • Once the new technology has matured it will be better positioned to make a more significant impact on our understanding of human history, biology and health.
    • Both care and technological development are needed to ensure this research is conducted with a full understanding of the diversity of the human genome to prevent health disparities.

    Answer this PYQ in the comment box:

    Q.With reference to the recent developments in science, which one of the following statements is not correct?

    (a) Functional chromosomes can be created by joining segments of DNA taken from cells of different species.

    (b) Pieces of artificial functional DNA can be created in laboratories.

    (c) A piece of DNA taken out from an animal cell can be made to replicate outside a living cell in a laboratory.

    (d) Cells taken out from plants and animals can be made to undergo cell division in laboratory petri dishes.

  • [pib] What are Gamma Ray Burst (GRB) Explosion?

    The emission from the most notable Gamma Ray Burst (GRB) explosion away from 4.5 billion light-years has been traced by Indian researchers.

    What are GRB Explosions?

    • GRBs are immensely energetic explosions that have been observed in distant galaxies.
    • They are the brightest and most energetic electromagnetic events known to occur in the universe.
    • Bursts can last from ten milliseconds to several hours.
    • After an initial flash of gamma rays, a longer-lived “afterglow” is usually emitted at longer wavelengths (X-ray, ultraviolet, optical, infrared, microwave and radio).
    • The intense radiation of most observed GRBs is thought to be released during a supernova or superluminous supernova as a high-mass star implodes to form a neutron star or a black hole.

    What makes GRB special?

    • The explosions are both extremely energetic (a typical burst releases as much energy in a few seconds as the Sun will in its entire 10-billion-year lifetime) and extremely rare.
    • All observed GRBs have originated from outside the Milky Way galaxy, although a related class of phenomena, soft gamma repeater flares, are associated with magnetars within the Milky Way.
    • It has been hypothesized that a gamma-ray burst in the Milky Way, pointing directly towards the Earth, could cause a mass extinction event.

    Answer this PYQ in the comment box:

    Q.Which of the following is/are cited by the scientists as evidence/evidences for the continued expansion of universe? (CSP 2012)
    1. Detection of microwaves in space
    2. Observation of red shift phenomenon in space
    3. Movement of asteroids in space
    4. Occurrence of supernova explosions in space
    Select the correct answer using the codes given below:

    (a) 1 and 2 only

    (b) 2 only

    (c) 1, 3 and 4

    (d) None of the above can be cited as evidence.

  • [pib] NATRAX: Asia’s longest and world’s fifth longest High-Speed Track

    Minister of Heavy Industries and Public Enterprises has inaugurated the 11.3 km NATRAX- the High-Speed Track (HST) in Indore which is the longest such track in Asia.

    NATRAX

    • NATRAX, developed in an area of 1000 acres of land is a one-stop solution for all sorts of high-speed performance tests for the widest categories of vehicles from 2 wheelers to heavy tractor-trailers.
    • It has multiple test capabilities like measurements of maximum speed, acceleration, constant speed fuel consumption.
    • It can conduct emission tests through real road driving simulation, high-speed handling and stability evaluation during manoeuvred such as lane change, high-speed durability testing, etc.
    • Also, it is a Centre of excellence for Vehicle Dynamics.

    Features of the HST

    • The vehicle can achieve a max speed of 375 Kmph on curves with steering control and it has less banking on ovals making it also one of the safest test tracks globally.
    • It is the one-stop solution for all sorts of high-speed performance tests, being one of the largest in the world.
    • It can cater to the widest category of vehicles; say from two-wheelers to the heaviest tractor trailers

    Its significance

    • HST is used for measuring the maximum speed capability of high-end cars like BMW, Mercedes, Audi, Ferrari, Lamborghini, Tesla and so forth which cannot be measured on any of the Indian test tracks.
    • Being centrally located in Madhya Pradesh, it is accessible to most of the major OEMs.
    • Foreign OEMs will be looking at NATRAX HST for the development of prototype cars for Indian conditions.
    • At present, foreign OEMs go to their respective high-speed track abroad for high-speed test requirements.

  • [pib] PMFME Scheme

    The centrally sponsored Pradhan Mantri Formalization of Micro food processing Enterprises (PMFME) Scheme, launched under the Aatmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan marks the completion of its one year.

    PMFME Scheme

    • The PMFME Scheme is a centrally sponsored scheme that aims to enhance the competitiveness of existing individual micro-enterprises in the unorganized segment of the food processing industry.
    • It aims to enhance the competitiveness of existing individual micro-enterprises in the unorganized segment of the food processing industry and promote formalization of the sector,
    • It further aims to promote formalization of the sector and provide support to Farmer Producer Organizations, Self Help Groups, and Producers Cooperatives along their entire value chain.
    • The scheme envisions to directly assist the 2,00,000 micro food processing units for providing financial, technical, and business support for upgradation of existing micro food processing enterprises.

    Major component of the scheme

    One District One Product

    • Under the One District One Product (ODOP) component of the PMFME Scheme, the Ministry of Food Processing Industries approved ODOP for 137 unique products.
    • The GIS ODOP digital map of India has been launched to provide details of ODOP products of all the States and UTs.
    • The digital map also has indicators for Tribal, SC, ST, and aspirational districts.
    • It will enable stakeholders to make concerted efforts for its value chain development.