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Foreign Policy Watch: India – EU

As EU carbon tax kicks in, India’s metal exports face price threat

Introduction

The European Union has begun implementing the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), imposing a carbon-linked levy on imports from carbon-intensive sectors. India, a major exporter of steel and aluminium to the EU, now faces higher compliance costs and potential loss of competitiveness. The mechanism represents a departure from tariff-based trade barriers towards climate-conditioned trade regulation, with significant implications for developing economies.

Why in the News?

CBAM has entered its implementation phase for the first time globally, covering carbon-intensive imports such as steel, aluminium, cement, fertilisers, electricity, and hydrogen. Indian metal exports to the EU now face an estimated price increase of 15-22%, creating a direct cost shock for exporters. The mechanism shifts climate action costs to exporting countries, raising concerns over equity, WTO compliance, and the future of South–North trade relations.

What Is the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM)?

  1. Carbon Pricing Mechanism: Imposes a levy on imported goods equivalent to the EU’s internal carbon price.
  2. Sectoral Coverage: Applies to steel, aluminium, cement, fertilisers, power, energy-intensive inputs.
  3. Objective Framing: Prevents carbon leakage by aligning import prices with EU climate standards.
  4. Operational Shift: Replaces implicit trade barriers with explicit climate-linked taxation.

Why Are India’s Metal Exports Particularly Vulnerable?

  1. Export Concentration: India largely exports steel and aluminium to the EU, both CBAM-covered sectors.
  2. Production Technology: Indian steel manufacturing relies heavily on blast furnaces, which are more carbon-intensive.
  3. Scrap Constraint: Limited availability of steel scrap restricts transition to electric arc furnaces (EAFs).
  4. Cost Pass-through Limits: MSME exporters lack pricing power to absorb compliance costs.

How Will CBAM Increase Export Costs for India?

  1. Price Impact: Estimates suggest a 15-22% increase in landed cost of Indian metal exports.
  2. Compliance Burden: Requires detailed plant-level emissions data, often unavailable with MSMEs.
  3. Default Emissions Risk: Absence of verified data may lead to higher default emission values.
  4. Competitiveness Erosion: Raises risk of market substitution by lower-carbon producers.

What Are the Key Concerns Raised by Indian Exporters and Experts?

  1. Equity Concerns: Undermines the principle of Common but Differentiated Responsibilities (CBDR).
  2. Developmental Impact: Disproportionately affects developing economies with legacy infrastructure.
  3. WTO Compatibility: Raises questions on non-discrimination and disguised protectionism.
  4. Technology Lock-in: Penalises countries still transitioning to greener industrial processes.

Why Is Scrap Availability Central to the Debate?

  1. Technology Divide: EAFs use scrap and emit less carbon than blast furnaces.
  2. Global Scrap Control: US, EU, and UK dominate scrap reserves and exports.
  3. Cost Advantage: Scrap-based producers face lower CBAM exposure.
  4. Structural Disadvantage: Indian producers lack access to adequate scrap volumes.

What Is India’s Position on CBAM?

  1. Policy Opposition: India views CBAM as a trade barrier rather than a climate solution.
  2. Legal Standpoint: Challenges unilateral climate measures under multilateral trade norms.
  3. Negotiation Strategy: Seeks carve-outs for MSMEs and developing countries.
  4. Global Forums: Raises concerns at WTO and UNCTAD platforms.

Does CBAM Meaningfully Address Climate Change?

  1. Limited Impact: Expected to mitigate only 0.1% of global COâ‚‚ emissions.
  2. Exported Emissions: Risks shifting emissions geographically rather than reducing them.
  3. Technology Gap: Fails to support transition financing for developing countries.
  4. Policy Mismatch: Emphasises taxation over technology diffusion.

What Are the Implications for Global Trade Governance?

  1. Precedent Setting: Encourages climate-linked trade barriers by developed economies.
  2. Fragmentation Risk: Weakens multilateral trade consensus.
  3. South-North Divide: Reinforces asymmetry in climate responsibility.
  4. Regulatory Spillover: UK and US considering similar mechanisms.

Conclusion

The EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism marks a decisive shift in global climate governance by embedding carbon costs into international trade. While framed as a tool to prevent carbon leakage, its unilateral design risks undermining the principles of equity and common but differentiated responsibilities that anchor the global climate regime. For India, the immediate challenge lies in protecting export competitiveness without diluting climate commitments, while the larger task is to push for multilateral, finance- and technology-supported pathways to industrial decarbonisation. The future credibility of global climate action will depend on whether climate ambition is advanced through cooperative transition mechanisms or enforced through trade barriers that deepen developmental asymmetries.

PYQ Relevance

[UPSC 2022] Discuss global warming and mention its effects on global climate. Explain the control measures to bring down the level of greenhouse gasses which cause global warming in the light of the Kyoto Protocol 1997. 

Linkage: CBAM represents a post-Kyoto unilateral climate control measure linked with trade.

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