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Subject: Bilateral Relations

1. Major World Events
2. India’s Interests in neighbourhood
3. Effects of our Policies

  • India needs to ‘connect, build and revive’ with Africa

    Introduction

    India’s partnership with Africa is embedded in shared anti-colonial history, South-South cooperation, and long-standing developmental commitments. Over the last decade, India’s diplomatic presence, investments, training initiatives, and cultural engagement have expanded across the continent. However, shifting geopolitical equations, intensifying global competition, and Africa’s rising economic potential demand an upgraded, value-driven, and sustained approach. The article argues that India must now “connect, build and revive” its Africa policy to maintain its strategic foothold and align with Africa’s aspirations.

    Why in the News?

    A decade after hosting the largest-ever India-Africa Forum Summit, India’s engagement with Africa is again at a pivotal moment. India has added 17 new missions, trade has crossed USD 100 billion, and investment flows are surging. Yet Indian trade still lags behind China, and many flagship promises made in 2015 require renewed momentum. As Africa is set to become home to one-fourth of the world’s population by 2050, the scale, urgency, and strategic importance of India’s outreach makes this moment historically significant.

    How has India’s outreach to Africa evolved in the past decade?

    1. Expanded diplomatic footprint: India added 17 new missions across Africa, enhancing its on-ground presence and bilateral engagement.
    2. Rising investment flows: India’s investment stock has crossed USD 100 billion, making it among Africa’s top five investors.
    3. Growth in trade partnerships: Bilateral trade has crossed USD 100 billion, demonstrating the growing economic synergy.
    4. Enhanced defence cooperation: Joint naval exercises such as AIMKEME (April 2025) saw participation from navies of Kenya, Madagascar, Mauritius, Mozambique, Seychelles, South Africa, and Tanzania.
    5. Stronger multilateral alignment: India played a key role in enabling African Union membership in the G20, elevating Africa’s global voice.

    Why is Africa emerging as a strategic priority for India?

    1. Demographic transformation: By 2050, one in four people on Earth will be Africa, a major consumer, labour, and talent base.
    2. Economic potential: Africa will be the world’s third-largest economy, creating opportunities in technology, health, infra, and manufacturing.
    3. Geopolitical influence: Africa’s global role is expanding, and India aims to support African representation in global institutions and peacekeeping operations.
    4. Shared developmental priorities: From education to digital public goods, India’s model aligns naturally with African development aspirations.

    What challenges persist in India-Africa trade relations?

    1. Lag behind China: India’s trade with Africa is expanding but still far behind China, which has deeper and wider market penetration.
    2. Logistical hurdles: Indian firms often face bureaucratic delays, small balance sheets, and scalability issues.
    3. Fragmented strategy: India’s UPID, digital stack, and trade missions have strengths but lack coordinated continental impact.
    4. Competition from Europe and Asia: New entrants are building deeper financial and infrastructural linkages across the continent.

    How is India building capacity and knowledge partnerships in Africa?

    1. Human capital initiatives: India’s most enduring export to Africa is human capital, created through scholarships, training programs, and institutional partnerships.
    2. Education & digital training: The new IIT Madras campus in Zanzibar is a flagship example of education-based cooperation.
    3. Decadal knowledge ecosystems: Pan-African e-Network and India’s ITEC programme continue to train thousands across African nations.
    4. Institutional bridges: African experts, ministers, and students working in India create lasting diplomatic and economic linkages.

    What future steps should India take to revitalise momentum?

    1. Move from promises to real outcomes: Lines of credit must become visible, viable, and deliverable rather than symbolic.
    2. Build the India-Africa Digital Corridor: Collaboration on UPI, Aadhaar-stack, and digital payments can create a shared digital infrastructure.
    3. Reinforce the institutional base: Revive the summit-based momentum of IAFS and reintroduce regular leadership exchanges.
    4. Integrate private sector participation: Encourage start-ups, MSMEs, and fintech companies to expand into African markets.
    5. Strengthen maritime cooperation: The Western Indian Ocean is becoming central to supply-chain security and blue-economy partnerships.

    Conclusion

    India’s partnership with Africa is rooted in trust, shared history, and developmental solidarity. But the world around both regions is changing rapidly. Africa’s demographic rise, digital aspirations, and geopolitical importance demand that India convert intent into implementation. “Connect, build, and revive” offers a timely blueprint for elevating India-Africa relations into a mature, inclusive, and futuristic partnership, one that benefits both regions and strengthens India’s global standing.

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2024] Explain the reasons for the growth of Public Interest Litigation (PIL) in India. As a result of it, has the Indian Supreme Court emerged as the world’s most powerful judiciary?

    Linkage: Judiciary is one of the most important topics for GS-II. This PYQ tests how failures of the lower judiciary, delay, pendency, and weak remedies, drive the rise of PILs and expand the Supreme Court’s role. The article directly shows these systemic gaps, explaining why litigants bypass subordinate courts and seek relief through PILs.

  • ​Fishing troubles: On India, Sri Lanka, the Palk Bay fishing issue

    Introduction

    The Palk Bay, a narrow strip separating Tamil Nadu from Sri Lanka, has historically been a shared fishing zone. However, repeated arrests of Indian fishermen for crossing the International Maritime Boundary Line (IMBL) underline a persistent challenge. Bottom trawling, a destructive fishing practice, has been the core issue fueling ecological degradation, diplomatic tension, and economic distress. The recent arrest on November 9, 2024, reopens the debate on reconciling traditional livelihoods with sustainable and legal marine resource use.

    Why in the news?

    The arrest of 14 Tamil Nadu fishermen by the Sri Lankan Navy marks another flashpoint in the Palk Bay fishing dispute. This incident is significant because:

    1. Persistence of conflict: Despite decades of talks, fishermen from both nations continue to cross maritime boundaries for catch-rich zones.
    2. Scale of problem: Over 128 fishermen from Tamil Nadu remain in Sri Lankan custody, with boats seized.
    3. Diplomatic urgency: The issue features regularly in bilateral meetings, yet lacks a lasting policy resolution.
    4. Ecological threat: The practice of bottom trawling continues to damage coral beds and marine biodiversity, making it a cross-border environmental crisis.

    Why do Tamil Nadu fishermen continue to cross the IMBL?

    1. Livelihood dependence: For thousands of families, fishing remains the only sustainable income source. The depletion of nearshore fish stocks has pushed them toward Sri Lankan waters.
    2. Cost-pressure fishing: Each voyage involves high operational costs, forcing fishermen to maximize yield through fast, large-scale trawling.
    3. Traditional persistence: The term “tradition” is often invoked to justify trawling, despite its destructive ecological footprint.
    4. Rapid voyages: Quick trawling runs enhance profitability but heighten the risk of arrest and confiscation.

    What is bottom trawling and why is it destructive?

    1. Definition: Bottom trawling involves dragging weighted nets along the seabed.
    2. Ecological damage: It destroys coral reefs, seabed habitats, and fish spawning grounds.
    3. Stock depletion: Leads to overfishing and long-term decline of commercially valuable species.
    4. Conflict trigger: Sri Lankan fishermen, especially from the Northern Province, oppose bottom trawling as it depletes shared marine resources vital for their post-war recovery.

    What are the diplomatic and institutional mechanisms in place?

    1. Joint Working Group (JWG) on Fisheries: Met in Colombo on October 29, 2024 to address arrests and sustainable fishing practices.
    2. Bilateral discussions: Fishermen’s representatives met counterparts in March 2024, but lacked formal sanction or actionable outcomes.
    3. Pending initiatives: The Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna-led People’s Power Party in Sri Lanka, in power for over a year, has yet to show urgency in resolving the dispute.

    What policy solutions have been suggested?

    1. Research collaboration: Proposal for a Palk Bay Research Station for ecosystem monitoring and sustainable fishing methods.
    2. Technology transition: Gradual shift from bottom trawling to deep-sea fishing and small-boat operations.
    3. Incentivization: Financial and policy support to Tamil Nadu fishermen to switch to non-destructive gear and practices.
    4. Diplomatic liberalism: New Delhi may consider easing travel and fishing permits within limits to facilitate safe, sustainable livelihoods.
    5. Regulatory measures: Imposing a progressive ban on bottom trawling in Indian waters to signal intent and compliance.

    Conclusion

    The Palk Bay issue is not merely a border dispute, it is a test of India’s ability to balance livelihood protection with ecological responsibility and regional diplomacy. Persuading fishermen to abandon bottom trawling requires education, compensation, and innovation, not coercion. A cooperative framework, rooted in mutual trust and science-based regulation, can transform a contentious boundary into a shared zone of prosperity and peace.

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2013] In respect of India-Sri Lanka relations, discuss how domestic factors influence foreign policy.

    Linkage: Domestic political pressures from Tamil Nadu fishermen and state parties shape India’s diplomatic stance toward Sri Lanka. This internal-external linkage influences how New Delhi balances livelihood concerns with bilateral maritime cooperation.

  • [11th November 2025] The Hindu Op-ed: A celebration of India-Bhutan ties

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2024] Discuss the geopolitical and geostrategic importance of Maldives for India with a focus on global trade and energy flows. Further, also discuss how this relationship affects India’s maritime security and regional stability amidst international competition.

    Linkage: This PYQ reflects the same strategic framework as India-Bhutan relations; where geography, stability, and mutual trust drive India’s Neighbourhood First and Security and Growth for All in the Region (SAGAR) vision.

    Mentor’s Comment

    The 70th birth anniversary of Jigme Singye Wangchuck, the fourth King of Bhutan, serves as a moment to celebrate not just a monarch’s life but the enduring India-Bhutan partnership that he helped shape. His leadership modernised Bhutan and deepened one of South Asia’s most stable and mutually respectful bilateral relationships built on trust, hydropower diplomacy, and shared values of sustainable development and cultural harmony.

    Introduction

    The former King of Bhutan, Jigme Singye Wangchuck, turned 70 on November 11, 2025. Revered by his people as a Bodhisattva King, he ruled Bhutan from 1972 until his abdication in 2006 in favour of his son, King Jigme Khesar Namgyel Wangchuck. Known for introducing the concept of Gross National Happiness (GNH) and steering Bhutan into the modern era, his legacy also symbolizes the deep and evolving friendship between India and Bhutan. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Thimphu for the celebrations marks the continuation of this historic bond. This underlines India’s Neighbourhood First Policy and commitment to strengthening Himalayan partnerships.

    The Legacy of a Sage King

    1. Modernisation of Bhutan: King Jigme Singye Wangchuck guided Bhutan into the 21st century with policies balancing economic progress, environmental sustainability, and cultural preservation.
    2. Buddhist Leadership Ethos: Revered almost like a Buddha, he was loved for his humility and focus on inner happiness, embodied in the philosophy of Gross National Happiness.
    3. Abdication for Reform: His voluntary abdication in 2006 for his son represented a rare act of democratic foresight, leading Bhutan towards constitutional monarchy and parliamentary democracy.

    India-Bhutan Relations: A Model of Neighbourhood Diplomacy

    1. Neighbourhood First Priority: Bhutan was the first foreign country visited by PM Modi in 2014 after assuming office, highlighting Bhutan’s symbolic and strategic importance.
    2. Mutual Cultural Affinity: The relationship is grounded in shared civilizational ethos, Buddhism, and trust, rather than transactional diplomacy.
    3. Joint Celebrations: Modi’s participation in the birthday celebrations reflects India’s continued recognition of Bhutan as a trusted Himalayan partner.

    Hydropower Diplomacy: The Cornerstone of Economic Partnership

    1. Strategic Energy Partnership: India and Bhutan have developed one of South Asia’s most successful hydropower cooperation models, with electricity from Bhutan’s rivers exported to India.
    2. Economic Impact: Projects like the Punasangchhu-I and Punasangchhu-II hydropower projects contribute significantly to Bhutan’s GDP and India’s clean energy imports.
    3. Job Creation and Development: Revenue from hydropower has raised Bhutan’s per capita income, reflecting a sustainable model of bilateral interdependence.
    4. Private Sector Expansion: Future projects are likely to be developed by private Indian companies in collaboration with Bhutanese partners, expanding beyond state-led initiatives.

    Issues of National Security and Strategic Alignment

    1. Advisory Role of the King: Former King Jigme Singye Wangchuck continues to play a strategic advisory role (K4) on national security and foreign policy.
    2. Security Cooperation: India’s Royal Bhutan Army (RBA) works closely with Indian defence forces to secure borders and enhance counter-insurgency cooperation.
    3. Operation All Clear (2003): Bhutan’s successful military operation, supported by India, removed insurgent groups from its territory; a hallmark of trust-based defence partnership.
    4. Geopolitical Balance: Bhutan continues to balance relations with India while cautiously managing ties with China, guided by India’s support in maintaining sovereignty and stability.

    India’s Continued Developmental Support

    1. Hydropower Assistance: India remains Bhutan’s largest partner in hydropower development, ensuring energy security for both nations.
    2. Community Development Projects: Support extends to education, healthcare, and monastic infrastructure, reinforcing India’s soft power in the region.
    3. Trade and Connectivity: India’s assistance in roads, border management, and trade routes enhances regional connectivity under the BBIN framework.

    Conclusion

    The celebration of King Jigme Singye Wangchuck’s 70th birthday is more than an homage to a revered monarch, it is a testament to the unbroken trust, shared development, and mutual respect between India and Bhutan. The hydropower-driven partnership continues to set an example of how small states and large neighbours can coexist through equality, respect, and common vision. As India continues to invest in Bhutan’s progress, this Himalayan partnership stands as a model of enduring regional cooperation and spiritual kinship.

  • India’s exit from the Ayni Airbase in Tajikistan

    Why in the News?

    ​India’s complete pullout from the Ayni Airbase in Tajikistan (in 2022), its sole foreign military post, drew sharp opposition’s criticism.

    India’s exit from the Ayni Airbase in Tajikistan

    About Ayni Airbase:

    • Location: Situated 10 km west of Dushanbe, Tajikistan, near the Afghanistan border via the Wakhan Corridor, and about 20 km from Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK).
    • Also known as: Known as Gissar Air Base or Gissar Military Aerodrome; originally a Soviet-era base later modernised by India.
    • Development by India: Upgraded by India in the early 2000s under a bilateral agreement with Tajikistan; India invested ~USD 100 million to extend the runway (3,200 m), build hangars, depots, and control systems.
    • Operational Role: Hosted IAF helicopters and Su-30MKI fighters, with ~200 Indian personnel managing repair and training operations; also supported humanitarian and evacuation missions, notably during the 2021 Taliban takeover.
    • Predecessor: Replaced Farkhor Airbase (1998–2008), India’s earlier base used for supporting the Northern Alliance in Afghanistan.

    Strategic Significance of the Airbase:

    • Forward Presence: Gave India surveillance and strike reach over Afghanistan and Pakistan’s western front.
    • Regional Leverage: Enhanced India’s defence footprint in Central Asia, countering China’s BRI and Russian influence.
    • Operational Hub: Supported the then anti-Taliban Northern Alliance and India’s broader Connect Central Asia Policy (2012).
    • Evacuation & Logistics Node: Enabled rapid crisis evacuation and regional logistical operations.
    • Geopolitical Symbolism: Marked India’s aspiration for a continental strategic presence; its closure reflects shrinking influence west of the Himalayas amid Russia–China consolidation.

    Reasons for India’s Exit:

    • Lease Expiry: The bilateral lease expired in 2022 and was not renewed by Tajikistan.
    • External Pressures: Russia and China discouraged Tajikistan from extending India’s presence.
    • Strategic Shift: Diminished relevance post-Taliban’s return (2021) and collapse of India’s Afghan network.
    • Operational Constraints: High costs, limited autonomy, and dependence on Russian logistics reduced viability.
    • Reorientation: Strategic focus moved toward the Indo-Pacific and maritime partnerships.
    [UPSC 2022] Consider the following countries :

    1. Azerbaijan 2. Kyrgyzstan 3. Tajikistan 4. Turkmenistan 5. Uzbekistan

    Which of the above have borders with Afghanistan?

    Options: (a) 1, 2 and 5 only (b) 1, 2, 3 and 4 only (c) 3, 4 and 5 only* (d) 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5

     

  • India-US seal 10 year defense partnership framework

    Introduction

    India and the United States have signed a 10-year defence partnership framework (2025-2035), signaling a new phase in their strategic collaboration. The pact provides a unified vision and policy direction for deepening cooperation across logistics, supply chains, joint production, and technology sharing. It underscores the commitment to a free, open, and rules-based Indo-Pacific, amid growing regional tensions and China’s assertive rise.

    Why in the News

    This is a landmark development in India-US relations, marking the first-ever decade-long institutionalized defence framework between the two nations. It reflects a qualitative shift from transactional defence cooperation to a strategic partnership architecture. By formalizing continuity in defence ties, the framework aims to sustain policy alignment, interoperability, and deterrence capabilities in the Indo-Pacific, making it a cornerstone for regional stability.

    Deepening Defence Convergence

    1. Framework Vision: Provides unified strategic direction to strengthen defence cooperation and stability across all military domains (land, air, sea, cyber, and space).
    2. Interoperability Focus: Prioritizes joint logistics, training, and maintenance mechanisms between forces, ensuring mission readiness and operational synergy.
    3. Symbolic Continuity: Extends beyond annual dialogues or ad hoc exercises, ensuring defence engagement remains insulated from political transitions.
    4. Technology Integration: Encourages co-production and co-development of high-end defence platforms such as Super Hercules, Globemaster, Chinooks, Apaches, and M777 howitzers.

    Evolution of India-US Defence Partnership

    1. Early Frameworks: The 2015 framework initiated by PM Modi and President Obama laid the foundation for institutional defence cooperation.
    2. Key Milestones:
      • LEMOA (2016): Enabled reciprocal logistics access.
      • COMCASA (2018): Facilitated secure communications interoperability.
      • BECA (2020): Enabled real-time geospatial intelligence sharing.
    3. 2025 Framework Significance: Builds upon these foundational agreements, institutionalizing long-term coordination on strategy, logistics, and supply chain resilience.

    Strategic Significance for the Indo-Pacific

    1. Regional Stability: Anchors both nations’ commitment to a free and open Indo-Pacific, countering coercive or unilateral actions.
    2. Maritime Domain Awareness: Supports enhanced naval cooperation and situational awareness across key maritime chokepoints.
    3. Military Exercises: Expands the scope of Yudh Abhyas and Malabar exercises for joint readiness.
    4. Quad Convergence: Aligns with broader QUAD objectives in maintaining rules-based order and crisis response architecture.
    5. Geoeconomic Angle: Bolsters defence supply chains and manufacturing cooperation amid China-centric dependencies.

    Institutional and Industrial Collaboration

    1. Defence Production: Boosts joint manufacturing of key platforms, LCA Tejas engines, MQ-9B drones, and advanced radar systems.
    2. Private Sector Linkages: Encourages collaboration between Indian and US defence industries, including Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) and General Electric (GE).
    3. R&D Synergy: Promotes innovation under the India-US Defence Acceleration Ecosystem (INDUS-X) to co-develop futuristic technologies.
    4. Skill Transfer: Enhances training, skill-building, and exchange programs for defence personnel.

    Diplomatic and Strategic Implications

    1. Policy Continuity: Reinforces long-term strategic trust and shared security outlook.
    2. Strategic Deterrence: Strengthens collective deterrence against regional instability in the Indo-Pacific.
    3. Bilateral Reliability: Demonstrates resilience of India-US defence ties beyond short-term political cycles.
    4. Global Relevance: Projects both nations as key stakeholders in shaping Indo-Pacific architecture for the 21st century.

    Conclusion

    The 10-year India-US Defence Partnership represents a strategic deepening and institutional maturity of bilateral defence relations. It embodies both nations’ shared vision of collective security, deterrence, and technological partnership in the Indo-Pacific. By ensuring interoperability and policy continuity, it not only strengthens defence preparedness but also cements India’s emergence as a regional security anchor and a global strategic partner of the United States.

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2020] What is the significance of Indo-US defence deals over Indo-Russian defence deals? Discuss with reference to stability in the Indo-Pacific region.

    Linkage: The question is important as it reflects India’s shifting defence axis from Russia to the US amid Indo-Pacific power realignments. It continues UPSC’s recurring theme of India’s strategic autonomy and evolving role in global security architecture.

  • After ASEAN Summit: Group’s importance for India, amid US-China tussle

    Introduction

    ASEAN, established in 1967, comprises 11 countries, forming one of the world’s most successful regional organizations. With over 40-50% of global trade transiting through the region, ASEAN represents both an economic hub and a strategic pivot in the Indo-Pacific. The 2025 Summit reinforced ASEAN’s centrality amid a shifting balance of power between the US and China, while India emphasized trade cooperation and connectivity.

    ASEAN’s Strategic Importance for India

    1. Geopolitical Significance: ASEAN lies at the heart of the Indo-Pacific, acting as a bridge between the Indian and Pacific Oceans.
    2. Economic Weight: ASEAN is India’s fourth-largest trading partner after the EU, US, and China.
    3. Strategic Leverage: Provides India a platform to balance China’s regional assertiveness and engage in multilateral security frameworks.
    4. Connectivity Corridor: India’s projects such as the India-Myanmar-Thailand Trilateral Highway and Kaladan Multimodal Project enhance physical and economic connectivity.
    5. Regional Integration: Strengthens India’s participation in regional supply chains, energy cooperation, and maritime trade.

    How the US-China Rivalry Shapes ASEAN’s Role

    1. Regional Polarization: ASEAN faces pressure between the US-led security framework and China’s economic dominance.
    2. Maritime Disputes: The South China Sea remains a flashpoint due to overlapping territorial claims, especially involving the Philippines, Vietnam, and China.
    3. Security Realignment: The Philippines has taken an increasingly muscular stand, rejecting China’s claims under the 2016 Hague ruling.
    4. Economic Competition: While China drives trade and infrastructure investment, the US advances Indo-Pacific partnerships emphasizing rule-based order and open seas.
    5. Strategic Autonomy: ASEAN states attempt to maintain neutrality and avoid direct alignment with either power bloc.

    India’s Engagement in the ASEAN Framework

    1. Act East Policy: Deepens trade, connectivity, and strategic cooperation in Southeast Asia.
    2. Trade Liberalization: India signed the India-ASEAN FTA in 2009, expanding goods trade and tariff concessions.
    3. Economic Challenges: India exited the RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership) over market access concerns but remains committed to ASEAN-based trade.
    4. High-Level Diplomacy: Prime Minister Narendra Modi reaffirmed ASEAN centrality in the Indo-Pacific vision and proposed renewed cooperation on connectivity and digital economy.
    5. Institutional Dialogue: India participates in ASEAN-led forums like EAS, ARF, and ADMM+, ensuring consistent engagement.

    Lessons from ASEAN for Other Regional Grouping

    1. Institutional Continuity: ASEAN demonstrates sustained dialogue and incremental cooperation since 1967.
    2. Economic Integration: The ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) and upcoming ASEAN-Australia-New Zealand FTA reflect progressive liberalization.
    3. Replicable Model: Regional blocs like SAARC, BIMSTEC, and BBIN can emulate ASEAN’s approach to consensus-building and functional cooperation.
    4. ASEAN Centrality Principle: Encourages issue-based cooperation despite internal diversity, offering lessons for South Asian regionalism.
    5. Leadership in Transition: Malaysia and Thailand’s evolving chairmanship roles underscore ASEAN’s adaptability in managing complex geopolitics.

    Trade and Connectivity Imperative

    1. Physical Infrastructure: Projects such as Kaladan and Trilateral Highway facilitate India’s access to Southeast Asian markets.
    2. Digital and Maritime Corridors: Enhance India’s trade routes and logistical resilience against Chinese dominance.
    3. Supply Chain Diversification: Reduces dependence on China while integrating India with East Asian production networks.
    4. Economic Opportunities: ASEAN’s collective GDP of over $3 trillion presents scope for India’s pharmaceutical, IT, and engineering exports.
    5. Strategic Balancing: Economic linkages act as a counterweight to China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).

    Conclusion

    ASEAN remains a cornerstone of India’s Indo-Pacific engagement, offering both strategic depth and economic opportunity. As the US-China competition intensifies, India’s sustained engagement, anchored in connectivity, trade, and institutional cooperation, can ensure regional stability, multipolar balance, and long-term strategic autonomy.

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2024] The West is fostering India as an alternative to reduce dependence on China’s supply chain and as a strategic ally to counter China’s political and economic dominance.

    Linkage: The article aligns with this PYQ as it highlights ASEAN’s centrality in India’s Indo-Pacific outreach, where Delhi’s engagement acts as a counterbalance to China’s dominance. It reinforces the West’s strategy of integrating India within regional supply chains and strategic coalitions to diversify away from Chinese dependence.

  • The complicated history of U.S-Pakistan relations

    Introduction

    The U.S.-Pakistan relationship has oscillated between strategic intimacy and mutual distrust. Built on Cold War exigencies, it evolved through shared military interests, geopolitical bargains, and recurring disappointments. As new global alignments emerge, Pakistan’s dual engagement with China and the U.S. once again tests the durability and intent of its foreign policy choices.

    Evolution of the U.S.-Pakistan Strategic Partnership

    1. Cold War Origins: Pakistan aligned with the U.S. through SEATO (1954) and CENTO (1955), positioning itself as a frontline ally against communism.
    2. Military and Economic Aid: U.S. assistance included arms, technology, and infrastructure funding, strengthening Pakistan’s military elite.
    3. Transactional Nature: The partnership thrived on mutual utility rather than shared values; Pakistan sought defense support; the U.S. sought regional leverage.

    Impact of Shifting U.S. Priorities during and after the Cold War

    1. Soviet Invasion of Afghanistan (1979): The U.S. re-engaged Pakistan as a base for arming Mujahideen fighters. Aid and weapon transfers surged.
    2. Post-Withdrawal Abandonment: After Soviet withdrawal, Washington invoked sanctions under the Pressler Amendment (1990) over Pakistan’s nuclear program, halting delivery of F-16 aircraft.
    3. Cycle of Engagement and Sanctions: Every phase of cooperation was followed by punitive measures, reflecting deep distrust.

    9/11 and the Recasting of the U.S.-Pakistan Ties

    1. Post-9/11 Alignment: Pakistan became a major non-NATO ally in the U.S.-led “War on Terror,” receiving over $30 billion in aid.
    2. Military Dependence: U.S. logistics for operations in Afghanistan relied heavily on Pakistani routes and intelligence.
    3. Strategic Mistrust: U.S. accused Pakistan of harboring militants while receiving counter-terrorism aid, the Osama bin Laden incident (2011) deepened suspicion.

    Trump’s Policy Reversal and Conditional Engagement

    1. Harsh Rhetoric: In 2018, Donald Trump accused Pakistan of “lies and deceit”, suspending over $300 million in military aid.
    2. Focus on “Double Game”: The U.S. alleged Islamabad’s duplicity, fighting terrorism publicly while sheltering terror networks privately.
    3. China Factor: Trump’s tilt towards India and containment of China indirectly alienated Pakistan, pushing it further into Beijing’s orbit.

    The China Variable and Strategic Realignment

    1. Deepening Sino-Pak Ties: The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and defense collaboration highlight Pakistan’s strategic drift eastward.
    2. U.S. Withdrawal from Afghanistan (2021): Reignited Pakistan’s regional leverage but also increased scrutiny of its Taliban links.
    3. Balancing Act: Pakistan now seeks to balance its Chinese dependence with limited U.S. engagement to avoid isolation.

    Sanctions, Contradictions and Mutual Suspicion

    1. Sanctions Regime: U.S. invoked multiple sanctions, Symington (1977), Pressler (1990), and Brown (1995) Amendments targeting nuclear proliferation.
    2. Contradictory Approach: Despite sanctions, Washington relied on Pakistan’s logistics during Afghan conflicts, exposing policy inconsistency.
    3. Enduring Distrust: Mutual dependence persisted but never matured into stable diplomacy, defined by suspicion rather than trust.

    India’s Dimension in the Context of U.S.-Pakistan Relations

    Positive Implications for India

    1. Strategic Leverage: Weakening U.S.-Pakistan ties strengthened India’s position as a reliable democratic partner in South Asia.
    2. Defence Cooperation: India gained access to advanced U.S. defence technology, joint exercises (like Malabar), and strategic dialogues (2+2 format).
    3. Global Standing: Partnership in QUAD and Indo-Pacific frameworks enhanced India’s geopolitical influence.
    4. Counterterrorism Support: U.S. alignment with India’s stance against cross-border terrorism increased diplomatic pressure on Pakistan.

    Negative Implications for India

    1. Regional Instability: Strained U.S.-Pakistan ties can destabilize Afghanistan, indirectly impacting India’s security interests.
    2. China-Pakistan Nexus: The gap left by U.S. withdrawal pushed Pakistan deeper into China’s orbit via CPEC and military cooperation.
    3. U.S. Policy Unpredictability: Frequent shifts in U.S. South Asia policy raises doubts about long-term reliability.
    4. Reduced Mediation Influence: India faces difficulty in balancing ties with both U.S. and Russia amid sanctions and defence dependencies.

    Way Forward

    1. Strategic Autonomy: Maintain balanced ties with all major powers while safeguarding national interests.
    2. Regional Dialogue: Promote multilateral frameworks including Afghanistan and Central Asia to counter instability.
    3. Deepened Indo-U.S. Cooperation: Expand collaboration in critical tech, energy, and intelligence without compromising sovereignty.
    4. Focus on Neighbourhood: Strengthen regional engagement to offset Pakistan’s external alignments and ensure South Asian stability.

    Conclusion

    The U.S.-Pakistan relationship remains an exemplar of “strategic utility without strategic trust.” Despite recurring phases of cooperation, both nations continue to perceive each other through transactional lenses. As Pakistan deepens ties with China and the U.S. recalibrates Indo-Pacific priorities, their future engagement will depend on how Islamabad reconciles its global ambitions with domestic constraints and regional realities.

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2019] What introduces friction into the ties between India and the United States is that Washington is still unable to find for India a position in its global strategy, which would satisfy India’s national self-esteem and ambitions’. Explain with suitable examples.

    Linkage: U.S.-Pakistan ties were transactional and interest-driven, creating India’s distrust of U.S. intentions. This history causes friction in U.S.-India ties, as India seeks equality while the U.S. retains a hierarchical outlook.

  • Winding up the clock of India-Nepal Ties

    Introduction

    On October 1, 2025, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das unveiled steps to deepen INR–NPR linkages. This move signals India’s intent to make the rupee a regional trade and investment currency. These include:

    1. Allowing Authorised Dealer (AD) banks to lend INR to non-residents from Nepal, Bhutan, and Sri Lanka.
    2. Permitting Special Rupee Vostro Accounts for foreign banks to hold Indian bonds and corporate papers.
    3. Establishing a transparent reference rate for major trading partner currencies to facilitate INR-based transactions.

    This marks a strategic departure from decades of tightly controlled cross border monetary flows. It aligns with India’s ambition to make the rupee a “South Asian Settlement Currency” and deepen economic resilience across borders.

    The Significance of RBI’s Move:

    1. Internationalisation of INR: Strengthens INR’s role as a regional settlement currency, reducing dependence on the dollar.
    2. Cross border integration: Enables Nepal, Bhutan, and Sri Lanka to engage in INR based transactions, supporting regional financial stability.
    3. Investor confidence: Allows Nepalese investors to diversify holdings in Indian bonds and securities.
    4. Trade facilitation: Establishes a transparent mechanism for pricing and settlement of bilateral trade.

    The Hurdles in Nepal

    1. COVID-19 Economic Fallout: Nepal’s economy struggled with post-pandemic recovery as industrial performance remained weak.
    2. Credit Crunch: Low confidence among banks led to restricted lending, making it difficult for small businesses to sustain.
    3. Supply Chain Strain: Domestic credit shortages impacted internal supply chains and imports, amplifying inflationary pressures.
    4. Structural Weakness: Chronic trade deficit, narrow industrial base, and dependency on remittances limit growth resilience.
    5. Political Uncertainty: Frequent political instability has deepened investor hesitation.

    How India’s Lending Outreach Could Change the Game

    1. Rupee Lending Window: RBI’s INR credit facility allows Nepalese firms to access Indian capital markets, easing liquidity pressure.
    2. Reduced Dollar Dependence: Using INR for trade and lending could insulate both economies from dollar exchange fluctuations.
    3. Enhanced Trust: Transparent reference rates can reduce cross border settlement disputes and improve institutional confidence.
    4. Joint Ventures: Encourages cross border investments and participation in sectors like hydropower, manufacturing, and tourism.

    The Trade Equation Between India and Nepal

    1. High Interdependence: India remains Nepal’s largest trading partner, accounting for 65% of its total trade.
    2. FDI Flows: India is Nepal’s largest FDI source, contributing 33% of total foreign investment, worth nearly $670 million.
    3. Export–Import Composition: India imports billion dollar worth of goods from Nepal, including coffee, tea, and herbal products, while exporting essential commodities and petroleum.
    4. Monetary Peg: The INR–NPR peg (₹1 = NPR 1.6) has stabilised bilateral transactions for decades, but rising inflation and dollar volatility demand recalibration.

    Challenges to Implementation

    1. Institutional Compliance: Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) must reform regulatory processes to align with RBI’s updated norms.
    2. Risk of Overdependence: Over reliance on INR could expose Nepal’s economy to India’s monetary shocks.
    3. Operational Barriers: Currency convertibility limits and legal harmonisation may delay smooth execution.
    4. Political Sensitivity: Perception of “rupee dominance” may spark internal opposition in Nepal’s political circles.

    Possible Multiplier Effects

    1. Stronger INR: If successfully implemented, the move can strengthen INR internationally while stabilising Nepal’s currency.
    2. Reduced Dollar Outflows: Bilateral INR use saves foreign exchange reserves, improving both nations’ current account positions.
    3. Boost to Trade Financing: Easier credit availability to Nepalese traders can expand import capacity for Indian goods.
    4. Regional Model: Success may inspire replication with Bhutan, Sri Lanka, and Bangladesh under the Neighbourhood First Policy.

    Conclusion

    The RBI’s initiative represents more than a banking reform, it is a strategic assertion of economic diplomacy in South Asia. By aligning monetary instruments with foreign policy, India aims to create a shared financial ecosystem that stabilises its neighbourhood while propelling the rupee towards international recognition. For Nepal, this marks a chance to integrate deeper into India’s growth story and move towards sustainable, confidence driven development.

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2018] How would the recent phenomena of protectionism and currency manipulations in world trade affect macroeconomic stability of India?

    Linkage: This question relates to currency stability and external sector management. The RBI–Nepal rupee measures reflect India’s proactive approach to enhance rupee resilience and reduce dollar dependence, aligning with UPSC’s recurring focus on monetary stability and economic diplomacy.

    Value Addition

    Internationalisation of the Indian Rupee (INR)

    • Definition: Internationalisation of the rupee refers to the increasing use of INR in cross-border trade, investment, and financial transactions, reducing reliance on foreign currencies like the US dollar.
    • Objective: Strengthen India’s economic sovereignty, reduce exchange rate risk, and enhance global confidence in the rupee as a settlement currency.
    • Recent Policy Measures:
      • RBI’s 2022 Circular: Allowed INR invoicing and settlement of international trade.
      • Special Vostro Accounts: Enabled partner nations (e.g., Russia, UAE, Nepal) to hold rupee balances for bilateral trade.
      • RBI–Nepal Measures (2025): Permitted INR lending, rupee-based bonds, and reference rate mechanisms.
      • INR–Dirham Linkage: Facilitated oil payments in rupees via UAE, strengthening South–South trade.
    • Benefits:
      • Reduces Forex Outflows: Decreases demand for dollars in trade settlements.
      • Improves External Stability: Mitigates impact of global currency volatility.
      • Boosts Trade Competitiveness: Simplifies invoicing for neighbouring countries.
      • Supports Regional Integration: Promotes South Asian financial architecture anchored in INR.
      • Enhances India’s Soft Power: Projects rupee as a symbol of economic strength and trust.
    • Challenges:
      • Limited convertibility of INR in capital account.
      • Regulatory asymmetry among trading partners.
      • Need for deep rupee-denominated financial markets abroad.
      • Possible geopolitical resistance to India’s monetary expansion.
    • Global Examples:
      • China’s Yuan (CNY): Integrated into IMF’s SDR basket (2016).
      • Euro (EUR): Serves as a model for regional monetary integration.
    • Reports & Committees:
      • RBI Inter-Departmental Group (2023): Highlighted steps for gradual and phased INR internationalisation.
      • IMF Report (2023): Identified INR among potential emerging reserve currencies.

     

  • [23rd October 2025] The Hindu Oped: Immigration and the politics of fear

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2020] Indian diaspora has a decisive role to play in the politics and economy of America and European Countries.” Comment with examples.

    Linkage: This article explores how anti-immigration politics in the West, particularly in the UK and US, are reshaping narratives around migrants and minorities, directly affecting the Indian diaspora’s political influence, integration, and image abroad. It also relates to how domestic nativism in developed nations influences India’s soft power and global engagement strategy.

    Mentor’s Comment

    The debate on immigration has taken a darker turn across the Western world, shifting from managing illegal immigration to rejecting legal migrants on cultural or racial grounds. This piece examines the rise of fear-driven politics in the United Kingdom and the United States, where populist leaders exploit insecurities about identity and belonging. It connects these global trends to India’s own discourse on “infiltrators,” highlighting how such politics corrodes the moral and spiritual foundation of nationhood. For UPSC aspirants, this article is a rich resource for themes under GS Paper 2 (Polity & Governance, International Relations) and GS Paper 4 (Ethics & Society).

    Introduction: The New Politics of Immigration

    Immigration has always been an emotionally charged issue, balancing national security, cultural identity, and humanitarian values. But the tone of the conversation has changed drastically. Once focused on border control and illegal entry, the global discourse, led by figures like Donald Trump and echoed by British leaders, is now turning against legal migrants themselves. The recent developments in the United Kingdom, coupled with populist rhetoric in the U.S., mark a disturbing shift from policy debates to identity-based fear-mongering. It signals a new era where politics thrives on division, and where the very definition of nationhood is under siege.

    Why in the News?

    At the UN General Assembly, U.S. President Donald Trump openly urged Europe to “end the failed experiment of open borders,” marking the first time an American leader exported his anti-immigrant ideology so aggressively to other nations. The U.K. soon reflected similar sentiments, not just against illegal immigrants but against those living legally under Indefinite Leave to Remain (ILR). The political shift shows how nativist populism has evolved from fringe rhetoric to mainstream governance, posing moral and democratic questions for societies that once celebrated diversity.

    How Has Immigration Politics Shifted in the UK?

    1. Shift from legality to identity: The focus has moved from illegal immigration control to questioning legal migrants’ right to belong.
    2. Historic continuity: Britain has witnessed recurring anti-immigrant waves, from Enoch Powell’s 1968 “Rivers of Blood” speech to Brexit’s “Take Back Control” slogan.
    3. Turning point: Trump’s UN speech and UK’s Reform Party rhetoric signify a pivot, from economic capability to cultural exclusion.

    What Recent Events Sparked the Debate?

    1. Mass rallies: Far-right leader Tommy Robinson led a 1,50,000-strongUnite the Kingdom” rally, posing as a free speech movement but fuelled by anti-immigration anger.
    2. Imported ideology: French politician Eric Zemmour warned of the “great replacement”, the idea that European people are being replaced by immigrants from Muslim-majority regions.
    3. Policy proposal: Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party proposed scrapping Indefinite Leave to Remain (ILR) and replacing it with stricter five-year visas.
    4. Consequences: Even current ILR holders and retirees would face uncertainty, eroding the social contract between the state and its residents.

    How Has the Labour Government Responded?

    1. Raising the bar: New Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood extended ILR eligibility from 5 to 10 years, with higher English proficiency, employment verification, and volunteering requirements.
    2. Moral hierarchy: This creates a two-tier society, citizens who live freely and migrants forced to constantly prove their worth.
    3. Political motive: Labour’s move reflects a competitive hardline stance to match Reform UK’s popularity and counter populist fear politics.

    How Is Race Re-entering the Immigration Discourse?

    1. Racial undertones: Conservative politician Robert Jenrick’s remark about “not seeing another white face” reveals how immigration rhetoric is slipping into racial anxiety.
    2. From migrants to race: The debate is no longer about work permits or visas; it’s now about who belongs and who looks British.
    3. American parallels: Trump’s attempt to revoke birthright citizenship and the spectacle of deporting Indian immigrants in shackles echo the same moral crisis, dehumanisation of the “other.”

    What Lessons Does This Hold for India?

    1. Mirroring patterns: In India too, discourse on “infiltrators” and “termites” has been used for populist mobilisation.
    2. Ernest Renan’s vision: The 19th-century philosopher described a nation as a “spiritual principle”, based on shared memories and mutual consent, not race or religion.
    3. Moral erosion: When “present consent”, the will to live together, is weakened, nations lose their moral foundation.
    4. Performative cruelty: Treating migration as a threat rather than a socio-economic phenomenon serves political ends, not human progress.

    Conclusion

    The politics of fear around immigration reflects a deeper crisis, of identity, belonging, and moral leadership. When democratic societies redefine “worthiness” in racial or cultural terms, they betray the inclusive principles that built them. In both the West and India, the challenge is not just managing immigration but reaffirming what it means to be a nation. As Renan reminded us, a nation exists not by blood or border, but by the desire to live together. Upholding that desire, amid fear and division, is the true test of our times.

  • Turning Tides: Pakistan-Afghanistan Tensions

    Introduction

    When the Taliban recaptured Kabul in August 2021, Pakistan perceived it as a strategic victory after two decades of covert support to the insurgents. However, the celebration was short-lived. Four years later, Pakistan faces an unprecedented internal security crisis, with over 2,400 people killed in militancy-related violence in 2025 alone. The rise of the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and recent Pakistani airstrikes on Kabul (October 2025) signal a dangerous escalation — and a stark reversal of the country’s long-standing policy of using non-state actors as strategic assets.

    Why in the News?

    For the first time, Pakistan bombed Kabul, directly targeting militants across the Afghan border. This marks a major policy shift, as Islamabad traditionally treated the Taliban as an ally and buffer against India. The strikes came while Afghan Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi was visiting India, adding a symbolic twist to regional alignments. The scale of violence, with over 2,414 deaths this year, underscores the depth of Pakistan’s internal crisis and its failure to control militancy in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. This development has drawn comparisons to India’s own doctrine of cross-border strikes, raising questions about whether Pakistan is now borrowing from a playbook it once condemned.

    The Illusion of Strategic Depth

    1. Taliban Patronage: Pakistan’s military establishment nurtured the Afghan Taliban for decades, offering refuge and logistical support during their insurgency against the U.S.-backed Afghan government.
    2. Strategic Depth Doctrine: Islamabad’s rationale was to create a friendly regime in Kabul that could serve as a buffer against India and offer “strategic depth” in case of war.
    3. Backfiring Reality: Instead, the Taliban’s rise empowered the TTP, an ideologically aligned but operationally separate entity, turning Pakistan’s proxy into its nemesis.

    How the Taliban’s Return Changed the Equation

    1. End of Patron-Client Relationship: Once in power, the Taliban sought state-to-state relations, not subservience to Pakistan’s military agenda.
    2. Durand Line Dispute: Kabul never recognized the Durand Line, reigniting border tensions that colonial history had left unresolved.
    3. TTP Empowerment: Inspired by the Afghan Taliban’s triumph, the TTP now demands enforcement of strict Islamic law and reversal of the merger of tribal areas with Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.
    4. Refugee Crisis: Pakistan’s decision to deport thousands of Afghan refugees further worsened ties, adding a humanitarian dimension to political hostility.

    Pakistan’s New Doctrine: Borrowing from India?

    1. Airstrikes as Deterrence: By bombing Kabul, Pakistan appears to be testing a new counter-terrorism strategy, directly holding Afghanistan responsible for cross-border militant attacks.
    2. India Parallel: The move is reminiscent of India’s 2016 and 2019 strikes on Pakistani territory after terror attacks in Uri and Pulwama.
    3. Diplomatic Irony: The timing, coinciding with the Afghan FM’s India visit, highlights shifting regional equations where India engages diplomatically, and Pakistan responds militarily.

    The Security Crisis within Pakistan

    1. Rising Violence: The Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province has become the epicenter of TTP-led insurgency.
    2. Contradictory Policy: Pakistan’s dual policy of fighting terrorism while nurturing militants targeting its neighbors has eroded domestic stability.
    3. Blowback Effect: Militancy now threatens Pakistan’s political order, economic recovery, and regional credibility.
    4. Qatar-Brokered Ceasefire: A fragile truce mediated by Qatar hints at the international community’s anxiety over a new South Asian flashpoint.

    Why Pakistan’s Strategy is Self-Defeating

    1. Cycle of Violence: Airstrikes may offer short-term political gains but deepen long-term instability.
    2. Internal vs External Conflict: Pakistan’s greatest threat now emanates from within its borders, not across them.
    3. Loss of Moral Credibility: Its past of backing non-state actors undercuts its legitimacy when accusing others of the same.
    4. Strategic Isolation: Continued conflict risks alienating even traditional allies like China and Gulf states, who seek regional stability.

    Conclusion

    Pakistan’s experiment with militant patronage has collapsed under its own contradictions. The strategic depth doctrine that once defined its Afghan policy has morphed into a strategic liability. Peace in Pakistan cannot be achieved through bombs over Kabul, but through a coherent internal reform of its security, political, and ideological ecosystem. As the editorial aptly concludes, “Pakistan cannot ensure internal security by bombing Afghanistan.”

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2013] The proposed withdrawal of the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) from Afghanistan in 2014 is fraught with major security implications for the countries of the region. Examine in light of the fact that India is faced with a plethora of challenges and needs to safeguard its own strategic interests.

    Linkage: The 2013 PYQ and this 2025 editorial both explore the Afghan theatre as a pivot of regional security, then, in anticipation of instability; now, in its full manifestation. Both are invaluable for analysing India’s neighbourhood policy, counter-terror strategy, and regional diplomacy in the post-US Afghanistan order.