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GS Paper: GS2

  • The outlook for 2024, for the world and India

    Central idea 

    The editorial examines the heightened global risks in 2024, navigating a precarious era marked by challenges to the existing international order. It anticipates potential flashpoints, including the war in Ukraine and Middle East tensions, while also scrutinizing India’s prospects and internal dynamics. Emphasizing the importance of robust Center-State relations, the editorial envisions a turbulent period demanding strategic foresight and diplomatic acuity.

    Key Highlights:

    • The editorial explores the expected global risks and uncertainties in 2024, highlighting a period of significant danger.
    • Challenges to the existing international order are emphasized, coming not only from its supporters but also from those declaring it outdated.
    • Potential flashpoints, such as the ongoing war in Ukraine and escalating tensions in the Middle East, are identified.
    • Changing geopolitical dynamics in West Asia, where emerging alliances challenge Western dominance, are carefully examined.
    • India’s prospects in 2024, including the upcoming general election and potential economic challenges, are concisely discussed.
    • Sino-Indian relations are predicted to remain strained, with a focus on possible provocative actions by China.
    • The editorial acknowledges challenges to India’s influence in its neighborhood and the evolving landscape of West Asia.
    • Internal dynamics in India, encompassing a politically charged atmosphere and turmoil in Parliament, are thoughtfully explored.
    • The editorial underscores the importance of strong Center-State relations for effective governance.

    Key Challenges:

    • The global landscape is filled with risks and uncertainties, presenting formidable challenges to stability.
    • The existing international order faces challenges not only from its critics but also from supporters questioning its relevance.
    • Potential flashpoints, including the enduring war in Ukraine and escalating tensions in the Middle East, increase geopolitical vulnerabilities.
    • Changing geopolitical dynamics introduce challenges to established Western leadership paradigms.
    • India faces potential challenges in the upcoming general election and contends with economic uncertainties.
    • Strained Sino-Indian relations and potential provocations by China introduce security challenges.
    • Internal challenges in India include heightened political tensions and parliamentary disarray.

    Key Terms and Phrases:

    • Global risks and uncertainties
    • Rules-based international order
    • Geostrategic contradictions
    • Flashpoints
    • Shifting geopolitical dynamics
    • Unforeseen challenges (“black swans”)
    • Adventurist actions
    • Center-State relations

    Key Quotes:

    • “Navigating an epoch of substantial peril.”
    • “Challenged by architects of the ‘rules-based international order’ and those deeming it antiquated.”
    • “An era fraught with substantial peril.”
    • “Potential ‘adventurist actions’ by China.”
    • “An impending period of turbulence.”
    • “Politically charged atmosphere.”
    • “Expulsion of the Trinamool Congress Member of Parliament, Mahua Moitra.”

    Anecdotes:

    • Exploration of the enduring war in Ukraine and its potential ramifications on the U.S. presidential election.
    • Insight into the Israel-Hamas conflict as a catalyst for heightened tensions in the Middle East.
    • Brief anecdote concerning the ruling dispensation’s assurance in India’s forthcoming general election.

    Key Statements:

    • “The world stands on the brink of a period marked by significant peril.”
    • “The existing international order grapples with multifaceted challenges.”
    • “Geostrategic contradictions are poised to escalate.”
    • “The internal landscape demands vigilant observation.”
    • “The nation approaches a potential turning point.”

    Key Examples and References:

    • The enduring war in Ukraine and its potential influence on the U.S. presidential election.
    • Israel-Hamas conflict as a driver of heightened tensions in the Middle East.
    • Shifting geopolitics in West Asia and emerging alliances challenging Western leadership.

    Critical Analysis:

    • The editorial furnishes a nuanced analysis of potential challenges and uncertainties on a global scale and within India.
    • Emphasis on the importance of fortified Center-State relations for efficacious governance.
    • Recognition of potential “black swans” and unforeseen challenges.

  • Century of Change in Indian Villages: Insights from Longitudinal Studies

    Central Idea

    • Historical Surveys: Starting in 1916-17, Gilbert Slater initiated a series of surveys in five Tamil Nadu villages, marking the beginning of a century-long study of rural India.
    • Unique Village Studies: Palakurichi and Palanpur stand out as unique Indian villages extensively studied over a century and decades, respectively.

    Methodology and Evolution of Village Studies

    • Initial Approach: Slater’s students, natives of the surveyed villages, used questionnaires to understand the socioeconomic conditions of rural households.
    • Subsequent Surveys: These villages were revisited for studies in subsequent years, including 1936-37, 1964, 1983, 2004, and 2019, providing a longitudinal perspective.

    Significance of Longitudinal Studies

    • Contrast with Cross-Sectional Surveys: Unlike the National Sample Survey Office’s cross-sectional surveys, village studies are longitudinal, focusing on in-depth analysis over time.
    • Objective: The aim is to trace changes in the specific village over time, providing micro-level insights that complement macro-level data.

    Key Findings from Recent Surveys

    • Economic Shifts: The 2019 survey of Palakurichi revealed a decline in agriculture’s dominance, with only 43.3% of the workforce engaged in farming, down from 85% in 1983.
    • Diversification of Workforce: Similar trends were observed in Palanpur, with a significant shift from agriculture to non-farm jobs over the decades.

    Changing Social Dynamics

    • Diminished Dominance of Traditional Landholders: In both Palakurichi and Palanpur, traditional upper caste landholders’ power has declined, with middle castes and Dalits gaining more land ownership.
    • Economic and Social Mobility: These changes reflect broader social and economic mobility within these rural communities.

    Policy Implications and Challenges

    • Land Leasing Practices: As some communities move away from agriculture, land leasing becomes common, often based on oral agreements to avoid legal complications.
    • Need for Policy Reforms: There’s a need for policies that balance the interests of landowners and tenant farmers, encouraging investment in land improvement.
    • Sustaining Agricultural Productivity: With rural India becoming less dependent on agriculture, ensuring continued or improved farming practices on existing agricultural lands is crucial.

    Conclusion

    • Insights from Micro-Level Studies: Longitudinal village studies offer valuable insights into the patterns of change in rural India, informing policy and understanding of rural dynamics.
    • Balancing Agricultural and Non-Agricultural Growth: These studies highlight the need for balanced development policies that support both agricultural sustainability and non-farm employment opportunities.

  • Review of ASEAN- India Trade in Goods Agreement (AITGA)

    asean

    Central Idea

    • India seeks to modernize the ASEAN India Trade in Goods Agreement (AITGA) to reduce the significant trade deficit with ASEAN nations in February 2023 with a target to complete the revamp by 2025.

    About ASEAN-India Trade in Goods Agreement (AITGA)

    Details
    Signing Date August 13, 2009, w.e.f. January 1, 2010.
    Objectives Eliminate tariffs and liberalize trade in goods.

    Facilitate economic integration between ASEAN and India.
    Key Features Gradual reduction and eventual elimination of tariffs

    Measures to facilitate trade and customs efficiency
    Member Countries ASEAN Members: Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam and India.
    Economic Impact Growth in trade between India and ASEAN countries – Diversification of trade basket.
    Recent Developments Discussions on reviewing and upgrading the agreement.
    Challenges Concerns over trade imbalances.

    Potential impact on certain domestic industries in India.
    Strategic Significance Part of India’s “Act East” policy.

    Step towards broader regional economic integration.

    Need for review

    • Significant Trade Partner: ASEAN countries, including Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Brunei, Vietnam, Laos, Myanmar, and Cambodia, accounted for 11.3% of India’s global trade in 2022-23.
    • Existing Trade Imbalance: The current trade deficit with ASEAN stands at $43.57 billion, a substantial increase from $7.5 billion per annum when the pact was first implemented.
    • Trade Statistics: In 2022-23, India’s exports to ASEAN were valued at $44 billion against imports of $87.57 billion.
    • Rebalancing Trade: The primary goal is to address the disproportionate benefits that have favored ASEAN since the agreement’s implementation in 2010.
    • Modernization of the Agreement: The focus is on updating the FTA to reflect current global trade dynamics and include new elements like product-specific rules and trade remedies.

    Key Areas of Negotiation

    • Rules of Origin (ROO): Modifications in ROO are planned to increase market access for Indian products and prevent the rerouting of goods, particularly from China, through ASEAN countries.
    • Trade Remedies: A new chapter on trade remedies will aim to protect domestic industries from unfair trade practices and import surges.
    • Exclusion of New Areas: The agreement will not expand to cover additional areas like labor, environment, MSMEs, or gender to avoid complicating the pact.

    Challenges and Industry Perspectives

    • Need for Concessions: While India seeks to balance the trade deficit, concessions may be necessary to ensure mutual benefits.
    • Sectoral Focus: Industries such as chemicals, plastics, minerals, leather, textiles, and gems and jewellery are identified for potential growth in exports.

    Conclusion

    • Strategic Approach: India’s efforts to modernize the AITGA reflect a strategic approach to enhance trade relations while protecting domestic interests.
    • Balancing Act: The challenge lies in negotiating terms that benefit both India and ASEAN members, fostering a more equitable trading environment.
    • Long-Term Implications: Successful negotiations could significantly impact India’s trade dynamics, potentially reducing the trade deficit and strengthening economic ties with ASEAN nations.

  • The evolving role of the Colombo Security Conclave

    Colombo Security Conclave

    Key Highlights:

    • The Colombo Security Conclave (CSC) aims to promote a safe, secure, and stable Indian Ocean, with India playing a leadership role.
    • The CSC’s revival in 2020, after a standstill since 2014, reflects India’s evolving strategic vision for the Indian Ocean.
    • India seeks to institutionalize its role in the region, addressing security challenges and emerging threats through the CSC.
    • China’s growing influence in the Indian Ocean is a significant factor driving the CSC’s revival, with Beijing investing in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and establishing a presence in key locations.

    Key Challenges:

    • Domestic political changes in member-states can impact the CSC’s effectiveness, as seen with the Maldives’ absence from a recent meeting.
    • The nationalist and pro-China sentiments in member-states may hinder collaboration, affecting the CSC’s ability to address regional challenges.
    • Despite concerns about China’s actions in the Indian Ocean, some regional countries may not view China as a threat, limiting the CSC’s collective response.

    Key Terms/Phrases:

    • Colombo Security Conclave (CSC)
    • Indian Ocean
    • Belt and Road Initiative (BRI)
    • Maritime security
    • Regional collaboration
    • Extra-regional powers
    • Indo-Pacific
    • National Security Adviser (NSA)

    Key Quotes:

    • “The lack of capacity of island nations to secure the seas and counter transnational threats has continued to motivate India.”
    • “China’s outreach to the Indian Ocean is to control crucial sea lines of communication and trade, limiting India’s influence.”

    Key Statements:

    • “The CSC offers India an opportunity to institutionalize its role, shape the regional security architecture, and better address existing and emerging threats.”
    • “The strategic accommodation and flexibility of the CSC contribute to the security of the Indian Ocean.”

    Key Examples/References:

    • China’s naval capabilities, defense relationships, and infrastructure projects in the Indian Ocean.
    • Maldives’ absence from a recent CSC meeting due to preferences for a close relationship with China or nationalist sentiments.

    Key Facts/Data:

    • The CSC was revived in 2020, with the inclusion of Mauritius, Seychelles, and Bangladesh.
    • China’s investments in the Indian Ocean include the Belt and Road Initiative projects and control of Sri Lanka’s Hambantota port.

    Critical Analysis:

    • The vulnerability of the CSC to domestic political changes highlights challenges in maintaining consistent regional collaboration.
    • The balance between addressing security concerns and managing relationships with China is crucial for the CSC’s success.

    Way Forward:

    • Strengthen institutional mechanisms within the CSC to mitigate the impact of domestic political changes.
    • Continue to focus on the five pillars of cooperation, addressing maritime security, counter-terrorism, cyber-security, humanitarian aid, and disaster relief.
    • Enhance efforts to build trust among member-states and address concerns related to nationalist and pro-China sentiments.

  • In news: Mediterranean Sea

    Central Idea

    • Iranian Revolutionary Guards has warned that the Mediterranean Sea could be closed if the US and its allies continued to commit “crimes” in Gaza.

    About Mediterranean Sea

    Details
    Location Between Europe, Africa, and Asia
    Size Approximately 2.5 million square kilometers
    Depth Average depth 1,500 meters ; Calypso Deep in the Ionian Sea, over 5,000 meters deep
    Climate Predominantly Mediterranean climate with hot, dry summers and mild, wet winters
    Bordering Countries Europe: Spain, France, Monaco, Italy, Malta, Slovenia, Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro, Albania, Greece, Cyprus, Turkey

    Asia: Turkey, Cyprus, Syria, Lebanon, Israel

    Africa: Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, Algeria, Morocco
    Major Water Bodies Connected Connected to the Atlantic Ocean by the Strait of Gibraltar; links to the Black Sea via the Dardanelles Strait
    Islands and Archipelagos Includes several islands and archipelagos like Sicily, Sardinia, Corsica, Cyprus, and the Balearic Islands

     

  • Project PRAYAS to help Indian youth migrate abroad

    Central Idea

    • The International Organisation for Migration (IOM) introduced Project PRAYAS (Promoting Regular & Assisted Migration for Youth and Skilled Professionals) to facilitate secure and regular migration for Indian workers and students.

    What is Project PRAYAS?

    Details
    Project Name Project PRAYAS
    Introduced By International Organization for Migration (IOM)
    Partnership Ministry of External Affairs, India
    Objective To facilitate secure and regular migration for Indian workers and students
    Key Focus Enhancing coordination between state and central governments

    Addressing India’s growing role in international migration

    Providing policy recommendations for migration governance
    IOM’s Role Promoting humane and orderly migration as a United Nations agency
    Significance Represents a consolidation of state-level efforts for well-managed international migration
    Focus Areas and Activities Conducting comprehensive studies on migration trends

    Launching awareness programs for safe and orderly migration processes

    Back2Basics: International Organisation for Migration (IOM)

    Details
    Establishment 1951
    Initial Purpose To assist in the resettlement of people displaced by World War II
    Current Role Providing services and advice on migration to governments and migrants, including various displaced persons
    Type Intergovernmental Organization
    Membership 173 member states, 8 observer states
    Headquarters Geneva, Switzerland
    Key Objectives Promote humane and orderly migration Emergency response

    Link migration with development Health and support for migrants

    Facilitate managed labor migration Counter human trafficking
    UN Relationship Became a related organization of the United Nations in 2016
    India and IOM India has been a member of IOM since 1992.

  • Bab El-Mandeb: A Strategic Choke Point

    Bab El-Mandeb

    Central Idea

    • The war between Israel and Hamas in October raised concerns about Hezbollah’s involvement, but the focus shifted when the Houthis in Yemen expanded the conflict to the Red Sea.
    • Despite tensions, Hezbollah and Israel avoided full-scale war, with Israel concentrating on Gaza.

    Houthi Involvement and Shift in Tactics

    • Initial Actions: The Houthis, aligned with Iran, initially targeted Israel in solidarity with Palestinians, using drones and missiles, which were intercepted.
    • Change in Strategy: Later, they shifted focus to attacking commercial ships in the Red Sea, threatening global shipping routes.

    Understanding the Houthis

    • Background: The Houthis, known formally as Ansar Allah, are a Shia militia group in Yemen, named after their late leaders Badr al-Din al-Houthi and Hussein al-Houthi.
    • Iranian Support: They receive direct support from Iran and have significant military capabilities, including drones and ballistic missiles.

    Strategic Importance of Bab el-Mandeb Strait

    • Geographical Significance: The Strait of Bab el-Mandeb is a crucial maritime chokepoint, connecting the Red Sea with the Gulf of Aden and the Indian Ocean.
    • Impact on Global Shipping: Houthi actions near the strait have led to a significant decrease in Red Sea traffic and increased shipping costs.

    Global and Regional Consequences

    • Effect on Israel: Israel’s southern port traffic, particularly in Eilat, has been severely impacted.
    • Broader Trade Implications: Approximately 12% of global maritime trade passes through the strait. Disruptions here could exacerbate inflationary pressures worldwide.
    • Alternative Routes: Shipping companies are rerouting around Africa, significantly increasing travel time and costs.

    International Response

    • US Naval Task Force: The U.S. has established a naval force to counter the Houthi threat.
    • Arab World’s Stance: Many Red Sea countries, including Egypt, have not joined the U.S. task force, reflecting regional discontent with U.S. policies.
    • Potential Offensive Measures: The U.S. has not ruled out bombing Houthi targets in response to continued attacks on shipping lanes.

    Conclusion

    • Continued Houthi Threat: The Houthis vow to persist in their actions as long as Israel’s conflict with Gaza continues.
    • Challenges for Global Trade: The situation underscores the fragility of global shipping routes and the potential for regional conflicts to have far-reaching economic impacts.
    • Need for Diplomatic Solutions: This complex scenario highlights the importance of diplomatic efforts to resolve regional tensions and protect vital maritime trade routes.

  • Tribunals cannot direct Government to frame policy: SC

    Central Idea

    • The Supreme Court clarified that tribunals, bound by their governing legislations, cannot compel the government to formulate policy.
    • It emphasized the separation of powers, stating that policy-making is outside the judiciary’s domain, including quasi-judicial bodies like tribunals.

    What are Tribunals?

    Details
    Nature Judicial or quasi-judicial institutions established by law
    Purpose Provide faster adjudication compared to traditional courts

    Offer expertise on specific subject matters
    Functions Adjudicating disputes

    Determining rights between parties

    Making administrative decisions

    Reviewing existing administrative decisions
    Constitutional Recognition 42nd Amendment Act, 1976 introduced Articles 323-A and 323-B in the Constitution
    Article 323A Empowers Parliament to constitute administrative Tribunals for public service matters
    Article 323B Allows Parliament or state legislatures to constitute tribunals for specific subjects like taxation, land reforms
    Composition Comprises expert (technical) members and judicial members
    Expert Members Selected from various fields, including central government departments
    Judicial Members Persons with a judicial background, such as High Court judges or eligible lawyers
    Supreme Court’s Stance Technical members not required if tribunal’s aim is expeditious disposal of matters

    Case in Focus: Armed Forces Tribunal (AFT) and Policy Direction

    • Specific Case Reviewed: The Bench addressed whether the AFT could direct the government to create a policy for appointing the Judge Advocate General (Air).
    • General Observation: It has been consistently observed that courts cannot mandate the government to enact legislation or develop a policy.

    Judicial Analysis and Reasoning

    • Justice Karol’s Observations: Justice Sanjay Karol noted that the AFT, with powers akin to a civil court, lacks the authority of the Supreme Court or High Courts.
    • High Courts’ Limitations: Even High Courts, under Article 226 of the Constitution, cannot order the government or its departments to establish specific policies.
    • Government’s Prerogative: The judgment reinforced that policy creation, especially concerning defense personnel services or their regularization, is exclusively the government’s responsibility.

    Implications of the Judgment

    • Tribunals’ Restricted Powers: Tribunals must operate within the confines of their governing legislation and lack the jurisdiction to influence policy formation.
    • Judiciary’s Role in Policy Matters: The judgment highlights the judiciary’s limited role in policy-making, even in cases where fundamental rights might be at stake.
    • Separation of Powers: This ruling underscores the principle of separation of powers, delineating the distinct functions of the legislative, executive, and judicial branches.

    Conclusion

    • Respecting Institutional Boundaries: The judgment serves as a reminder of the importance of respecting the boundaries and roles of different government institutions in a democratic setup.
    • Broader Implications: This decision has significant implications for how tribunals and courts interact with policy-making processes, emphasizing judicial restraint and adherence to the constitutional framework.

  • Explained: Creating new Districts

    Central Idea

    • Amid reports that Odisha may create a few more districts before the end of the year, the Orissa High Court has directed the government not to issue any final order in this regard without its permission.

    Districts in India

    • Historical Background: Districts, as local administrative units, are a legacy from the British Raj era.
    • Administrative Hierarchy: Positioned below the state and territory level, districts are crucial in India’s local governance structure.
    • Leadership and Responsibilities: A Deputy Commissioner or Collector, often from the Indian Administrative Service (IAS), heads a district, overseeing administration and maintaining law and order.
    • Subdivision of Districts: Districts are further divided into smaller units like tehsils, talukas, or mandals, varying by region.

    Mechanics of Creating New Districts

    • State Government’s Prerogative: The authority to create, modify, or abolish districts lies with State governments, executed via executive orders or state assembly legislation.
    • Preferred Methodology: States typically opt for the executive route, issuing official gazette notifications for these changes.

    Central Government’s Role in District Reconfiguration

    • Limited Involvement: The Central government’s role is minimal in district reformation, primarily concerning name changes.
    • Procedure for Name Changes: For renaming districts or railway stations, State governments seek clearances from central entities like the Home Ministry, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Intelligence Bureau, Department of Posts, Geographical Survey of India, and the Railway Ministry.

    Trends in District Formation

    • Increase in Numbers: India’s district count has risen from 593 in 2011 to 718, as per the Government of India’s Know India website.
    • Factors Influencing Growth: This increase includes new districts formed between 2001-2011 and the bifurcation of Andhra Pradesh into Andhra Pradesh and Telangana in 2014.

    Rationale behind Creating New Districts

    • Benefits: Districts gain from government investments in local administration and development.
    • Infrastructure and Economic Development: New districts see enhanced infrastructure, attracting investments and boosting economic activities and employment.

    Challenges in District Formation

    • Limitations and Costs: The financial burden of establishing administrative infrastructure restricts rampant district creation.
    • Resource Allocation: The process involves setting up offices and deploying officers and public servants, impacting the state’s budget.

    Way Forward

    • Community Engagement: Involving local populations in the decision-making process is vital to align district formation with their aspirations and needs.
    • Conflict Resolution and Inclusive Growth: This approach can help mitigate conflicts and ensure decisions contribute to the inclusive growth of the state and nation.

    Back2Basics: History of Districts in India

    Details
    Early Administration Initiated by the British East India Company post-Battle of Plassey (1757) and Battle of Buxar (1764)
    Collectorate System Introduced by Warren Hastings in 1772; District Collector as key revenue, judicial, and administrative authority
    Transition to Crown Rule Post-1857 Revolt, direct British Crown rule led to formalization of district system
    Role of District Collector Central figure in district administration, responsible for revenue, law, and order
    Revenue Systems Implementation of Zamindari, Ryotwari, and Mahalwari systems for land revenue collection
    Survey and Settlement Extensive land surveys for revenue assessment
    Judicial Functions Initially, Collectors (District Magistrate) handled judicial roles; later, separate judicial offices were established
    Law Enforcement Establishment of modern police system with districts as key units
    Impact on Indian Society Centralized control, introduction of bureaucracy
    Post-Independence Legacy Retained district system with evolved role of District Collector

  • [pib] PM-AJAY Scheme for Upliftment of SC Community

    Central Idea

    • The Minister of State for Social Justice and Empowerment recently informed about the Pradhan Mantri Anusuchit Jaati Abhyuday Yojana (PM-AJAY) Scheme during 2023 year-end review.

    About PM-AJAY Scheme

    Details
    Launch Implemented since 2021-22
    Aim To reduce poverty of SC communities through employment generation, skill development, income generation, and infrastructure development.
    Nature 100% Centrally Sponsored Scheme
    Components Development of SC dominated villages into ‘Adarsh Gram’

    Grants-in-aid for District/State-level Projects for socio-economic betterment of SCs

    Construction of Hostels in Higher Educational Institutions
    Merged Schemes Pradhan Mantri Adarsh Gram Yojana (PMAGY)

    Special Central Assistance to Scheduled Caste Sub Plan (SCA to SCSP)

    Babu Jagjivan Ram Chatrawas Yojana (BJRCY)
    Developments in Grants-in-Aid Component Financial assistance enhanced from Rs. 10,000 to Rs. 50,000 or 50% of the asset cost, whichever is lesser, for beneficiary/household.

    Web-based portal developed for submission, appraisal, approval, and monitoring of Annual Action Plan.