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Subject: Economics

  • GARUD portal for fast-track approval to COVID-19 related drone operations

    Civil Aviation Ministry and DGCA have launched the GARUD (portal for providing fast track conditional exemptions to government agencies for COVID-19 related drone operations.

    Possible prelim question:

    The Garud Portal which sometimes finds mention in the news is related to-

    a) Air travel of defence personnel

    b) Airlifting of the stranded Indian citizens

    c) Registration of Remotely-piloted aircraft system (RPAS)

    d) None of these

    GARUD portal

    • GARUD is an acronym for ‘Government Authorisation for Relief Using Drones’.
    • The objective of the portal is to assist governmental entities in seeking exemption for COVID-19 related Remotely-piloted aircraft system (RPAS) operations.
    • The Civil Aviation Ministry has clarified that any violation of provisions will make the conditional exemption null and void and will lead to penal action.

  • Pathways to design a resilient economy

    The pandemic of COVID is a watershed moment in the way we look at the world. Truly, the future vocabularies will consist of ‘Pre COVID world’ and ‘Post COVID world’. Undoubtedly, the economic system shall be deeply affected by the COVID wave. The focus of this article is to redesign our economy through new 7 golden rules in the aftermath of Covid-19. As we read these ideas we also come across the faults that lie at the bottom of the present system. This is our opportunity to design a resilient and just system. So, what is the way forward to achieve this? Read to know!

    • When complex systems come to catastrophes, they re-emerge in distinctly new forms.
    • The COVID-19 global pandemic is a catastrophe, both for human lives and our complex
    • Economists cannot predict in what form the economy will emerge from it. But we can develop principles for what lies ahead.

    7 Radical ideas to build back economy

    The COVID-19 catastrophe has challenged the tenets of economics that have dominated public policy for the past 50 years.

    Here are seven radical ideas emerging as pathways to build a more resilient economy and a more just society.

    1. Time to rethink GDP as a measure of growth

    • The obsession with GDP as the measure of progress has been challenged often, but its challengers were dismissed.
    • Now, Nobel laureates in economics-Joseph Stiglitz, Amartya Sen, Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo and others-are calling upon to rethink the fundamentals of economics, especially the purpose of GDP.
    • A five-point ‘de-growth’ manifesto by 170 Dutch academics has gone viral amidst the heightened Internet buzz during the lockdown.
    • Goals for human progress must be reset.

    2. Opening boundaries is not always good

    • Boundary-lessness is a mantra for hyper-globalisers. Boundaries, they say, impede flows of trade, finance, and people.
    • However, since countries are at different stages of economic development, and have different compositions of resources, they must follow different paths to progress.
    • According to systems’ theory, sub-systems within complex systems must have boundaries around them, be permeable ones, so that the sub-systems can maintain their own integrity and evolve.
    • This is the explanation from systems science for the breakdown of the World Trade Organization (WTO).
    • In WTO system, all countries were expected to open their borders.
    • Opening borders caused harm to countries at different stages of development.
    • Now COVID-19 has given another reason to maintain sufficient boundaries.

    3. Role of the government is indispensable

    • Ronald Reagan’s dictum, “Government is not the solution… Government is the problem”, has been upended by COVID-19.
    • Even capitalist corporations who wanted governments out of the way to make it easy for them to do business are lining up for government bailouts.

    4. Problems caused by marketization

    • The “market” is not the best solution.
    • Money is a convenient currency for managing markets and for conducting transactions.
    • Whenever goods and services are left to markets, those who do not have money to obtain what they need are at loss.
    • Moreover, by a process of “cumulative causation”, those who have money and power can acquire even more in markets.
    • The “marketization” of economies has contributed to the increasing inequalities in wealth over the last 50 years, which Thomas Piketty and others have documented.

    5. Focus on citizen welfare, not consumer welfare

    • In economies, human beings are consumers and producers. In societies, they are citizens.
    • Citizens have a broader set of needs than consumers.
    • Citizens’ needs cannot be fulfilled merely by enabling them to consume more goods and services.
    • They value justice, dignity, and societal harmony too.
    • Economists’ evaluations of the benefits of free trade, and competition policy too, which are based on consumer welfare alone.
    • Such evaluations fail to account for negative impacts on what citizens value.

    6. Competition Vs. Collaboration

    • Competition must be restrained: Collaboration is essential for progress.
    • Faith in “Darwinian competition”, with the survival of only the fittest, underlies many problems of modern societies and economies.
    • Blind faith in competition misses the reality that human capabilities have advanced more than other species’ have, by evolving institutions for collective action.
    • Further progress, to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals will require collaboration among scientists in different disciplines and among diverse stakeholders, and collaboration among sovereign countries.
    • Improvement in abilities to share and govern common resources have become essential for human survival in the 21st century.

    7. Public ownership of technologies

    • We are living in an era of knowledge.
    • Just as those who owned more land used to have more power before, now those who own knowledge have more power and wealth than the rest.
    • Intellectual property monopolies are producing enormous wealth for their owners, though many were developed on the back of huge public investments.
    • Moreover, powerful technologies can be used for benign or malign purposes.
    • It is imperative to evolve new institutions for public ownership of technologies and for the regulation of their use.

    How to walk the talk?

    • COVID-19 has revealed structural weaknesses in the global economy. Putting more liquidity in the system as was done in case of 2008 crisis will not be sufficient.
    • The system is in the need of paradigm change.
    • 1. Coordination among experts
    • Experts need to work together with keeping in mind the larger picture.
    • The economic system cannot be redesigned by domain experts devising solutions within their silos.
    • 2. Focus on innovation
    • Innovations are required at many levels to create a more resilient and just world.
    • Innovations will be required in business models too, not just for business survival but also to move businesses out of the 20th-century paradigm that “the business of business must be only business”. 

    The UPSC can ask a question based on the issues discussed here. Consider this question- “COVID has upended the global economy in such a way that it would need an overhaul. The basic tenets of the global economic order would undergo a revaluation. In light of the above statements examine the factors that contributed to the vulnerability of the Indian economy. Suggest the ways to make it more resilient and just.”

    Conclusion

    The redesign of economies, of businesses, and our lives, must begin with questions about purpose. What is the purpose of economic growth? What is the purpose of businesses and other institutions? What is the purpose of our lives? What needs, and whose needs, do institutions, and each of us, fulfil by our existence?

  • What makes MSMEs, most vulnerable to Covid-19 disruptions?

    • The Covid-19 pandemic has left its impact on all sectors of the economy but nowhere is the hurt as much as the Medium, Small and Micro Enterprises (MSMEs) of India.
    • All anecdotal evidence available, such as the hundreds of thousands of stranded migrant workers across the country, suggests that MSMEs have been the worst casualty of lockdown.
    • A closer look at the anatomy of the MSME sector explains why MSMEs are so vulnerable to economic stress.

    Possible mains question:

    Q. Discuss how the nationwide lockdown to control the coronavirus outbreak has led to the resurfacing of inherent bottlenecks in India’s MSME Sector.

    What are MSMEs? How are they defined?

    • Formally, MSMEs are defined in terms of investment in plant and machinery.
    • But this criterion for the definition was long criticised because credible and precise details of investments were not easily available by authorities.
    • That is why in February 2018, the Union Cabinet decided to change the criterion to “annual turnover”, which was more in line with the imposition of GST.
    • According to the proposed definition, which is yet to be formally accepted, a micro-enterprise will be one with an annual turnover less than Rs 5 crore; a small enterprise with turnover between Rs 5 crore and Rs 75 crore; and a medium enterprise with turnover less than Rs 250 crore.

    How many MSMEs does India have, who owns them, and where are they situated?

    • According to the latest available (2018-19) Annual Report of Department of MSMEs, there are 6.34 crore MSMEs in the country.
    • Around 51 per cent of these are situated in rural India.
    • Together, they employ a little over 11 crore people (Chart 3) but 55 per cent of the employment happens in the urban MSMEs.
    • These numbers suggest that, on average, less than two people are employed per MSME.
    • At one level that gives a picture of how small these really are. But a breakup of all MSMEs into micro, small and medium categories is even more revealing.

    Distributions of MSMEs

    • In terms of geographical distribution, seven Indian states alone account for 50 per cent of all MSMEs.
    • These are Uttar Pradesh (14%), West Bengal (14%), Tamil Nadu (8%), Maharashtra (8%), Karnataka (6%), Bihar (5%) and Andhra Pradesh (5%).
    • This breakup provides a sense of where the pain of the MSME crisis would be felt the most.
    • Chart 4 shows, 99.5 per cent of all MSMEs fall in the micro category.
    • The medium and small enterprises — that is, the remaining 0.5% of all MSMEs — employ the remaining 5 crore-odd employees.
    • While micro-enterprises are equally distributed over rural and urban India, small and medium ones are predominantly in urban India.

    What kind of problems do MSMEs in India face?

    • No/Low Formal registration: To begin with, most of them are not registered anywhere. A big reason for this is that they are just too small. But, as it is clear in a time of crisis, it also constrains a government’s ability to help them.
    • Away from Tax norms: GST has its threshold and most micro enterprises do not qualify. Being out of the formal network, they do not have to maintain accounts, pay taxes or adhere to regulatory norms etc. This brings down their costs.
    • Lack of Financial buffer: According to a 2018 report by the International Finance Corporation (part of the World Bank), the formal banking system supplies less than one-third (or about Rs 11 lakh crore) of the credit MSME credit need that it can potentially fund (Chart 5). They don’t have the buffers of the bigger firms or access to cheap capital to help them tide over this period.

    • Bad credit history: The other big issue plaguing the sector is the delays in payments to MSMEs — be it from their buyers or things likes GST refunds etc. A key reason why banks dither from extending loans to MSMEs is the high ratio of bad loans (Chart 6).

    How has Covid-19 made things worse?

    • The MSMEs were already struggling — in terms of declining revenues and capacity utilization — in the lead-up to the Covid-19 crisis.
    • The total lockdown has raised a question mark on workers payment primarily because these firms mostly transact on cash. That explains the job losses.
    • According to a recent survey he did for “small and medium” firms in manufacturing, only 7% said they will be able to survive for more than three months with their cash in hand if their business remains closed.
    • A big hurdle to restarting now is the lack of labour availability.

    What can be done?

    • The RBI has been trying to pump money into the MSME sector but given the structural constraints, it has had limited impact.
    • There are no easy answers for the MSMEs’ sufferings.
    • However, the government can provide tax relief (GST and corporate tax), give swifter refunds, and provide liquidity to rural India (say, through PM-Kisan) to boost demand for MSME products.

    What about credit guarantees?

    • Loans to MSMEs are mostly given against property (as collateral) — because often there isn’t a robust cash flow analysis available — but in times of crisis, property values fall and that inhibits the extension of new loans.
    • A credit guarantee by the government helps as it assures the bank that its loan will be repaid by the government in case the MSME falters.
    • To the extent such defaults happen, credit guarantees are shown as a departmental expense in the Budget.

    Urgent attention required

    • Governments across the world have announced various measures ranging from wage support to direct subsidies to help these businesses tide over these difficult times.
    • But, in India, more than a month after the national lockdown was announced; there is still no blueprint of how the government intends to support these businesses during this period.

    Way forward

    • There is a strong case for urgent government intervention — the costs of intervening early on will be much less than the price of delayed action.
    • To begin with, all dues owned by governments and public sector undertakings to MSMEs can be immediately cleared. This will help ease their immediate cash flow woes.
    • Second, with banks turning risk-averse, credit flow to MSMEs is likely to be depressed as solvency concerns will dominate.
    • In such a situation, the government could step in. It could set up a credit guarantee fund that backstops loans to MSMEs.

  • FCI to the rescue

    FCI, indeed, has remained a crucial topic from the examination viewpoint. Mostly it is highlighted for its issues, corruption and wastages in the godowns. Be it MS Swaminathan or the latest Shanta Kumar committee all focus on how to revamp this giant institution. This article, however, points to the relevance of the FCI in the times of pandemic and suggests areas where there is scope for improvement in fulfilling its role. Stay tuned to find out what are the major concerns with FCI which needs consideration by the government.

    A background check on FCI

    • The FCI was set up under the Food Corporations Act 1964.

    •  In its first decade, FCI was at the forefront of India’s quest of self-sufficiency in rice and wheat following the Green Revolution.

    • Its functions involved managing procurement and stocking grain that supported a vast Public Distribution System (PDS).

    • Over time it became a behemoth that had long outlived its purpose and Its operations were regarded as expensive and inefficient.

    • Even in the 1970s and 1980s, poor storage conditions meant a lot of grain was lost to pests, mainly rats; diversion of grain was widespread.

    What role can FCI play amid Covid-19?

    • The FCI has consistently maintained the PDS, a lifeline for vulnerable millions across the country.

    • In the middle of the COVID-19 pandemic, it can play a major role in avoiding hunger and starvation.

    • Before the lockdown, with 77 million tonnes of grains in its godowns, the FCI was facing a serious storage problem.

    • This was worrying not just because of a shortage of modern storage facilities but also because the FCI lacked a “pro-active liquidation policy” for excess stocks.

    • Post-COVID: FCI has opened up the godowns to release food stocks to those affected by the lockdown.

    • The FCI has also enabled purchases by States and non-governmental organisations directly from FCI depots, doing away with e-auctions typically conducted for the Open Market Sale Scheme (OMSS).

    • With rabi procurement underway in many States, it seems that the country will secure ample food supplies to cope with the current crisis.

    • Given the extended lockdown, the FCI is uniquely positioned to move grain across State borders where private sector players continue to face formidable challenges of transport.

    5 suggestions for the FCI to perform better

    1. Using roads along with rails:

    • The FCI is overwhelmingly reliant on rail, which has several advantages over road transport.

    • In 2019-2020 (until February) only 24% of the grain moved was by road.

    • The FCI has long recognised that road movement is often better suited for emergencies and for remote areas.

    • Containerised movement too, which is not the dominant way of transporting grain, is more cost-effective and efficient.

    • Now, more than ever, it is imperative to move grain quickly and with the least cost and effort, to areas where the need is greatest.

    2. Store grain near demand hotspot

    • The FCI already has a decentralised network of godowns.

    • In the current context, it would be useful for the State government and the FCI to maintain stocks at block headquarters or panchayats in food insecure or remote areas.

    • This would allow State governments to respond rapidly.

    •  It will also provide a sense of assurance and psychological comfort to vulnerable communities.

    • This is especially relevant for regions that are chronically underserved by markets or where markets have been severely disrupted.

    3. Release stocks over and above existing allocation

    • The central government need to look beyond the PDS and the Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Yojana and release stocks over and above existing allocations.

    • This would provide flexibility to local governments to access grains for appropriate interventions at short notice and to sell grain locally at pre-specified prices until supply is restored.

    • This would allow the state government to engage in feeding programmes, free distribution to vulnerable and marginalised sections, those who are excluded from the PDS, etc.

    • In many States, there is a vibrant network of self-help groups formed under the National Rural Livelihoods Mission (NRLM) which can be tasked with last mile distribution of food aid other than the PDS.

    • Consultative committees presumably exist already in each State to coordinate with the FCI on such arrangements.

    4. Suspend FIFO principle

    • Typically, the FCI’s guidelines follow a first in, first out principle (FIFO).

    • FIFO mandates that grain that has been procured earlier needs to be distributed first to ensure that older stocks are liquidated, both across years and even within a particular year.

    • It is time for the FCI to suspend this strategy, that enables movement that costs least time, money and effort.

    5. Support the farmers trying to reach out to consumers directly

    • In many places, farmer producer organisations (FPOs) have been at the forefront of rebuilding these broken supply chains.

    • The FCI along with the National Agricultural Cooperative Marketing Federation of India Ltd. (NAFED), is well placed to rope in expertise to manage the logistics to support these efforts.

    • NAFED has already taken the initiative to procure and transport horticultural crops.

    • The FCI should similarly consider expanding its role to support FPOs and farmer groups, to move a wider range of commodities including agricultural inputs such as seeds and fertilizers, packing materials and so on.

    Major concerns regarding FCI’s role

    • Cost of food subsidy: The first is a long-term concern regarding the costs of food subsidy.

    • An analysis of FCI costs spanning 2001-16 suggests that on average about 60% of the costs of acquisition, procurement, distribution and carrying stocks are in fact transfers to farmers.

    • Not all of what is counted as subsidy therefore represents a waste of resources.

    • The government needs to address the FCI’s mounting debts — an estimated ₹2.55 lakh crore in March 2020 in the form of National Small Saving Funds Loan alone.

    • Depressing food prices: A second concern is that extended food distribution of subsidised grain is akin to dumping and depresses food prices locally.

    • The depressed prices, in turn, affect farmers.

    The Covid-19 pandemic has brought into sharp focus the relevance of the FCI. This makes PDS and Food security in prelims as well as in mains examination focus area. So, questions based on the topic are likely to be asked by the UPSC, for ex- “The FCI’s role in providing succour has been proved many times in the past and it lived up to its reputation amid Covid-19 pandemic as well. In the light of the above statement, discuss the relevance of the FCI and suggest the ways to improve its performance in the times of disasters”

    Also consider a question asked by the UPSC in 2019, “What are the reformative steps taken by the Government to make the food grain distribution system more effective?”

    Conclusion

    In 2015, the Shanta Kumar report recommended repurposing the organisation as an “agency for innovations in Food Management System” and advocated shedding its dominant role in the procurement and distribution of grain. There is no doubt that the FCI needs to overhaul its operations and modernise its storage. At the same time, the relevance of an organisation such as the FCI or of public stockholding, common to most Asian countries, has never been more strongly established than now.

  • Why liquor sale matters to states?

    Following the ease of restrictions in the third phase of the nationwide lockdown, some of the most striking images showed long queues outside liquor stores around the country. The Delhi government announced a 70% hike in the price of liquor across categories in the capital.

    Aspirants must note:

    1. Purview of Excise duty (i.e. Petroleum and Liquor)

    2. Excise duty before and after GST regime

    3. Sources of state revenue etc.

    4. Argument relating to inclusion of Liquor in GST

    Why liquor matters?

    • Delhi’s “special corona fee” on alcohol underlines the importance of liquor to the economy of the states.
    • Manufacture and sale of liquor is one of the major sources of their revenue, and the reopening comes at a time when the states have been struggling to fill their coffers amid the disruption on account of the lockdown.

    How do states earn from liquor?

    • Liquor contributes a considerable amount to the exchequers of all states and UTs except Gujarat and Bihar, both of which have enforced prohibition.
    • Generally, states levy excise duty on manufacture and sale of liquor.
    • Some states, for example, Tamil Nadu, also impose VAT (value-added tax).
    • States also charge special fees on imported foreign liquor; transport fee; and label & brand registration charges.
    • A few states, such as UP, have imposed a “special duty on liquor” to collect funds for special purposes, such as maintenance of stray cattle.

    Share in revenue

    • A report published by the RBI last year shows that state excise duty on alcohol accounts for around 10-15 per cent of Own Tax Revenue of a majority of states.
    • In fact, the state excise duty on liquor is the second or third largest contributor to the category State’s Own Tax revenue; sales tax (now GST) is the largest.
    • This is the reason states have always wanted liquor kept out of the purview of GST.

    What exactly is State Excise?

    • Excise duty on alcohol, alcoholic preparations, and narcotic substances is collected by the State Government and is called “State Excise” duty.
    • For most of the states, excise duty is the second largest tax revenue after sales taxes (state VAT).
    • Besides, a substantial amount comes from licences, fines and confiscation of alcohol products.

    What has changed with the State Excise after the GST regime?

    • At the central level, excise duty earlier used to be levied as Central Excise Duty, Additional Excise Duty, etc.
    • However, the Goods and Services Tax (GST), introduction in July 2017, subsumed many types of excise duty. Today, excise duty applies only on petroleum and liquor.
    • Excise duty was levied on manufactured goods and levied at the time of removal of goods, while GST is levied on the supply of goods and services.
    • Alcohol does not come under the purview of GST as exclusion mandated by constitutional provision.
    • States levy taxes on alcohol according to the same practice as was prevalent before the rollout of GST.
    • After GST was introduced, central excise duty was replaced by Central GST because excise was levied by the central government. The revenue generated from CGST goes to the central government.

    What are the other sources of revenue for the states?

    • The states’ revenues comprise broadly two categories — Tax Revenue and Non-Tax Revenue.
    • Tax revenue is divided into two further categories: State’s Own Tax Revenue, and Share in Central Taxes.
    • Again, Own Tax Revenue comprises three principal sources:

    1) Taxes on Income (agricultural income tax and taxes on professions, trades, callings and employment);

    2) Taxes on Property and Capital Transactions (land revenue, stamps and registration fees, urban immovable property tax); and

    3) Taxes on Commodities and Services (sales tax, state sales tax/VAT, central sales tax, a surcharge on sales tax, receipts of turnover tax, other receipts, state excise, taxes on vehicles, taxes on goods and passengers, taxes and duties on electricity, entertainment tax, state GST, and “other taxes and duties”).

    Back2Basics: What is Excise Duty?

    • Excise duty is a form of tax imposed on goods for their production, licensing and sale.
    • It is the opposite of Customs duty in sense that it applies to goods manufactured domestically in the country, while Customs is levied on those coming from outside of the country.
    • At the central level, excise duty earlier used to be levied as Central Excise Duty, Additional Excise Duty, etc.
    • Excise duty was levied on manufactured goods and levied at the time of removal of goods, while GST is levied on the supply of goods and services.

    Purview of excise duty

    • The GST introduction in July 2017 subsumed many types of excise duty.
    • Today, excise duty applies only on petroleum and liquor.
    • Alcohol does not come under the purview of GST as exclusion mandated by constitutional provision.
    • States levy taxes on alcohol according to the same practice as was prevalent before the rollout of GST.
    • After GST was introduced, excise duty was replaced by central GST because excise was levied by the central government. The revenue generated from CGST goes to the central government.

    Types of excise duty in India

    Before GST kicked in, there were three kinds of excise duties in India.

    1) Basic Excise Duty

    • Basic excise duty is also known as the Central Value Added Tax (CENVAT). This category of excise duty was levied on goods that were classified under the first schedule of the Central Excise Tariff Act, 1985.
    • This duty was levied under Section 3 (1) (a) of the Central Excise Act, 1944. This duty applied on all goods except salt.

    2) Additional Excise Duty

    • Additional excise duty was levied on goods of high importance, under the Additional Excise under Additional Duties of Excise (Goods of Special Importance) Act, 1957.
    • This duty was levied on some special category of goods.

    3) Special Excise Duty

    • This type of excise duty was levied on special goods classified under the Second Schedule to the Central Excise Tariff Act, 1985.
    • Presently the central excise duty comprises of a Basic Excise Duty, Special Additional Excise Duty and Additional Excise Duty (Road and Infrastructure Cess) on auto fuels.

  • ‘BharatMarket’: An e-commerce platform for retail traders

    Traders’ body Confederation of All India Traders (CAIT) said that it will soon launch a national e-commerce marketplace ‘BharatMarket’ for all retail traders in collaboration with several technology partners.

    A prelims question with tricky options to throw you off track-

    The BharatMarket initiative recently seen in news is-

    A. Trade of Bharat-22 Exchange Traded Fund (ETF)

    B. Platform for farmer to sell their produce

    C. Initiative in power sector

    D. e-commerce platform

    Here you have to play safe…..

    BharatMarket

    • The marketplace will integrate the capabilities of various technology companies to provide end-to-end services in the logistics and supply chains from manufacturers to end consumers, including deliveries at home.
    • It will include nationwide participation by retailers and aims to bring 95 per cent of retail traders onboard the platform, who would exclusively run the portal.
    • It has been already started as a pilot project, initially with a limited number of essential commodities, in six cities — Prayagraj, Gorakhpur, Varanasi, Lucknow, Kanpur and Bengaluru.
    • This will be an effective way to get essential commodities to consumers during the lockdown period and within containment zones.

  • From informal to the formal economy: The crooked road

    The article discusses the issues around the informal workforce in the economy. What are the factors responsible for the high informal sector in India? How is this sector responding in times of COVID? Are there some easy solutions to mainstream the informal sector into our formal economy? These are some of the points one should ponder upon while reading this article.

    The vulnerability of the informal workforce

    • Developing countries such as India are economically vulnerable to Covid-19 because of the presence of huge informal workforce.

    • Lack of protection: This vast informal workforce, which has no labour, social or health protection, is woefully ill-equipped to cope with the medical and economic shocks of the virus.

    The humongous size of the informal economy in India

    • Share of the informal sector: As per Periodic Labour Force Survey, 2017-18, 90.6 per cent of India’s workforce was informally employed.

    • This estimate includes those who are employed in informal enterprises (unincorporated small or unregistered enterprises).

    • It also includes informal workers in the formal sector (workers in the formal sector who are not provided any social security benefits by employers).

    • Take another example: Between 2004-05 and 2017-18, a period when India witnessed rapid economic growth, the share of the informal workforce witnessed only a marginal decline from 93.2 per cent to 90.6 per cent. 

    • Covid effect: Looking ahead, it is likely that informal employment will increase as workers who lose formal jobs during the COVID crisis try to find or create work (by resorting to self-employment) in the informal economy.

    • Also, formal enterprises are likely to continue hiring informal workers as they seek more flexibility and attempt to cut labour costs to cope with the COVID-19 induced economic uncertainty.

    Why is the informal more favourable over the formal?

    • The basic reason: necessity to eke out a subsistence living in the absence of alternative employment opportunities.

    • The ‘not so basic’ reasons: Some self-employed persons choose to be in the informal economy voluntarily to avoid registration or taxation.

    • Many are deterred by the costs of formalisation or don’t see much benefit from formalisation.

    • Finally, the phenomenon of informalisation of wage employment in the formal sector is a consequence of formal firms trying to avoid payroll taxes and employer’s contributions to social security or pensions to reduce labour costs.

    Some solution to smoothen the crooked road

    • A multi-pronged and comprehensive approach is needed to facilitate the transition.

    • Labour intensive growth: It requires creating more formal jobs through labour-intensive growth so that informal workers can move to these jobs.

    • Registering and taxing informal enterprises: The Indian experience of compelling informal firms to register and become tax compliant through demonetisation and introduction of GST formalised them only in a legal sense.

    • There is a need for increasing productivity of informal enterprises and incomes of the informal workforce by providing them with technical and business skills, infrastructure services, financial services, enterprise support and training to better compete in the markets.

    • Promoting the path to entrepreneurship in the informal economy.

    • Many informal enterprises would welcome efforts to reduce barriers to registration and related transaction costs as they expect to reap the benefits of formalising.

    • Reducing decent work deficit: This requires protecting informal workers by providing them a social protection floor, ensuring a set of basic working conditions (adequate living wages, limits on hours of work and safe and healthy workplaces).

    A direct question based on the issue of the informal sector can be asked by the UPSC, for ex- “There is a humongous presence of the informal sector in the Indian economy. What are the factors responsible for this? Suggest ways to transform the informal sector into the formal sector.”

    Conclusion

    Questions around the role of government and who bears the onus of protecting workers deserve careful consideration in the backdrop of the rising incidence of informal employment in the formal sector and the growth of the gig economy. It is apparent that in our relentless pursuit of economic growth, we have ignored the voices of India’s informal sector for too long.

    Back2Basics: What is the informal economy?

    • An informal economy (informal sector or grey economy) is the part of any economy that is neither taxed nor monitored by any form of government.
    • Although the informal sector makes up a significant portion of the economies in developing countries, it is sometimes stigmatized as troublesome and unmanageable.
    • However, the informal sector provides critical economic opportunities for the poor.

  • Globalisation 2.0 after Covid-19

    The article discusses the future of the Globalisation after Covid-19. Globalisation 2.0 which has been dominated by China will see several changes in the post-pandemic world. Investment decisions and Global Value Chains would undergo a paradigm shift. The article is concluded by expressing the hope that pandemic doesn’t end  Globalisation 2.0 but it will certainly usher in the new rules of capitalism.

    Globalisation 2.0 and issues with the flow of labour

    • What is Globalisation 2.0? In strictly economic terms, globalisation is about the free movement of capital, goods and labour across national borders.
    • Globalisation 2.0 began in the early 1980s and has lasted for four decades.
    • Under the 2.0 phenomenon, the labour flows were never as free as the movements of capital and goods.
    • This is because one does not necessarily see who produced the goods or capital coming into the borders.
    • But migrants are distinguishable, one can directly observe how ethnically, racially, religiously different they are from the mainstream.

    Rise of right-wing politics in the US and UK due to labour flows

    • Labour flows is a major reason for triggering right-wing politics of nativism in present times.
    • Donald Trump directed his political campaign against non-white immigrants, especially Hispanics and Muslims.
    • He criticised businessmen who, in search of lower costs, had made China the destination of their accumulated investments, transferring jobs away from America’s industrial heartland.
    • Thus, his policies to levy higher tariffs to curtail freer trade. These policies made sure that the American corporations bring capital back to the US.
    • In Europe, a similar politics has been led by the UK, though less vociferously.

    How China has benefited from Globalisation 2.0?

    • In 1980, China was the 48th largest economy in the world: with GDPs at roughly $200 billion, Indian and Chinese economies were similar in size.
    • In 2018, China, with a GDP of $13.6 trillion, was the second-largest economy in the world, behind the US ($20.5 trillion). But far ahead of Japan ($4.9 trillion), Germany ($4.0 trillion), Britain ($2.8 trillion), France ($2.8 trillion) and India ($2.7 trillion).
    • Not only in terms of GDP, but China had also become the largest trading nation in the world by 2018:
    • Exports: worth $2.5 trillion, substantially ahead of the US ($1.6 trillion).
    • FDI in China: In 2018, China attracted over $203 billion worth of net FDI, much more than India ($42 billion), and second only to the US ($258 billion).

    Is COVID-19 a sign of ending Globalisation 2.0?

    • Despite the pure economic logic of how easy it is to manufacture at scale in China, the global leader today are more concerned about the political overtones.
    • Given all the doubts about how China handled the information about the origins of the virus in Wuhan, anger against China in world capitals is evident.
    • Such anger can have impact on the rules of globalisation.
    • Strict regulation of labour laws: We can expect labour flows will now be more strictly regulated than before.
    • Political risks in investment decisions: Western investors will also have to factor in political risks in their investment decision-making.
    • National security concern: New concerns like what if China threatens supply disruptions for critical materials.
    • Instead of chasing lower labour costs, investors will either bring capital back to domestic shores or geographically restructure their supply chains.
    • To summarize it, Globalisation will not end, but it will be pushed into greater retreat. Thus, changing the rules of the BIG game of capitalism.

    A question based on the impact of the pandemic on the global trade, issues associated with and opportunities for India could be asked in the Mains Paper 3.

    Also the Idea of Globalisation is important from the aspect of paper 1 and Essay. “Globalisation’ vs ‘Nationalism’ was one of the topic in Essay paper in 2009.

    Conclusion

    For the foreseeable future, economic efficiency, the cornerstone of market-based systems, will not be high on priority. Politics will drive new economic policies, not market-based rationality.

  • Global Energy Review 2020, Report

    Covid-19 is having a ripple effect on the global energy space. Consistent lockdowns have reduced energy demand by almost 30 per cent in India.

    Covid-19 shock global energy demand

    • The IEA’s Global Energy Review studies the impacts of the Covid-19 crisis on global energy demand and CO emissions.
    • The projections of energy demand and energy-related emissions for 2020 are based on assumptions that the lockdowns implemented around the world.
    • It projects a 6 per cent fall in energy demand in 2020 — seven times the decline after the 2008 global financial crisis.
    • Electricity demand is set to decline by 5 per cent in 2020, the largest drop since the Great Depression in the 1930s.

    Global Energy Demands

    • The countries in full lockdown are experiencing an average decline of 25% in energy demand per week, while in those with a partial lockdown, the fall in energy demand is about 18% per week.
    • Global energy demand declined by 3.8% in the first quarter of 2020 compared to the first quarter of 2019.
    • Further, it is expected that the impact of Covid‑19 on energy demand in 2020 would be more than seven times larger than the impact of the 2008 financial crisis on global energy demand.

    Considering the above scenario the global demand of various energy sources can be analysed as given below

       Coal Demand:

    • It has been declined by 8% compared with the first quarter of 2019.
    • The reasons for such decline include, China – a coal-based economy – was the country hardest hit by Covid‑19 in the first quarter and cheap gas and continued growth in renewables elsewhere challenged coal.

    Oil Demand:

      • It has declined by 5% in the first quarter, majorly due to curtailment in mobility and aviation, which account for nearly 60% of global oil demand.
      • The report also estimates that the global demand for oil could further drop by 9% on average in 2020, which will return oil consumption to 2012 levels.
    •  Gas Demand:
      • The impact of the pandemic on gas demand has been moderate, at around 2%, as gas-based economies were not strongly affected in the first quarter of 2020.

    •  Renewables Energy Resources Demand:

      • It is the only source that has registered a growth in demand, driven by larger installed capacity.
      • Further, the demand for renewables is expected to rise by 1% by 2020 because of low operating costs and preferential access for many power systems.

    •  Electricity Demand:

      • It has been declined by 20% during periods of full lockdown in several countries.
      • However, the residential demand is outweighed by reductions in commercial and industrial operations.

    Indian scenario

    • The declines in electricity and transport demand in India have been among the deepest globally, but the contractions over the full year are likely to be smaller than the global average.
    • The impact of the crisis on energy demand is heavily dependent on the duration and stringency of measures to curb the spread of the virus.
    • At the same time, lockdown measures are driving a major shift towards low-carbon sources of electricity including nuclear, hydropower, wind and solar PV.

    Data on renewables

    • After overtaking for the first time ever in 2019, low-carbon sources are set to extend their lead this year to reach 40 per cent of global electricity generation — 6 percentage points ahead of coal.
    • Electricity generation from wind and solar PV continues to increase in 2020, lifted by new projects that were completed in 2019 and early 2020.

    Back2Basics: International Energy Agency (IEA)

    • The IEA is an autonomous organisation which works to ensure reliable, affordable and clean energy, headquartered in Paris, France.
    • It was established in the wake of 1973 (set up in 1974) oil crisis after the OPEC cartel had shocked the world with a steep increase in oil prices.
    • India became an associate member of the International Energy Agency in 2017.

  • E-Renminbi: China’s Official Digital Currency

    China in a significant move has launched a trial of digital yuan in four urban centres of the country for specific services even as the world grapples with the containment of Covid.

    What is a cryptocurrency? Discuss how a vibrant cryptocurrency segment could add value to India’s financial sector. (250 W)

    Prelims Perspective:-

    1. Subtle differences btn digital and virtual currency – e.g. Regulatory issues

    2. Which countries have official virtual currency – e.g. Petro of Venezuela

    e-RMB

    • It will be the electronic form of the renminbi, with a value equivalent to the paper notes and coins in circulation.
    • The People’s Bank of China, the country’s central bank, will be the sole issuer of the digital yuan, initially offering the digital money to commercial banks and other operators.
    • It will be launched in major cities of Shenzhen, Suzhou and Chengdu, as well as the Xiong’an New Area.
    • It aims to change the financial system in big ways — by cutting costs and making transactions easier, more convenient and more transparent.
    • The public would be able to convert money in their bank accounts to the digital version and make deposits via electronic wallets.

    Back2Basics: Cryptocurrency

    • A Cryptocurrency is an internet-based medium of exchange which uses cryptographical functions to conduct financial transactions.
    • It leverages blockchain technology to gain decentralization, transparency, and immutability.
    • The most important feature of a cryptocurrency is that it is not controlled by any central authority: the decentralized nature of the blockchain makes cryptocurrencies theoretically immune to the old ways of government control and interference.
    • It can be sent directly between two parties via the use of private and public keys.
    • Unlike decentralized cryptocurrencies, such as bitcoin, that allow users to transfer value with no central authority or third party involved, the government-backed digital currency is preferred.

    What are Blockchains?

    • Blockchain, sometimes referred to as Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT), makes the history of any digital asset unalterable and transparent through the use of decentralization and cryptographic hashing.
    • Blockchain consists of three important concepts: blocks, nodes and miners.
    • Nodes can be any kind of electronic device that maintains copies of the blockchain and keeps the network functioning.
    • Miners create new blocks on the chain through a process called mining.