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Subject: Economics

  • Shift in the US trade politics and opportunities for India

    The article focuses on the changes in the US trade politics fueled by the corona pandemic. Also there has been a growing demand for abandoning the WTO. So, amid this shift in the US politics, what are the opportunities for India at the global level?

    What went wrong with the WTO: The US point of view

    • Latest opposition to the WTO was expressed in a forceful article by a US senator, Josh Hawley.
    • In his opinion, corona pandemic expresses the hard truth about the modern global economy: it weakens American workers and empowers China’s rise.
    • So, what went wrong?
    • Capital and goods moved across borders easier than before but so did jobs. And too many jobs left America’s borders for elsewhere.
    • As factories closed, workers suffered, from small towns to the urban core.
    • So, he wants US to abandon the WTO.

    Rise of trade politics in the US

    • Under Trump, the Republican Party has turned from the champion to a critic of free trade.
    • The Democratic Party, which embraced globalisation since the early 1990s, has seen the erosion of working-class support.
    • Elections this year could reveal if the shifting alignments on trade are now cast in stone or if anti-trade sentiment in America is deep and wide.

    What alternatives are suggested by the senator?

    • In replacing the WTO, Hawley suggests the following two measures-
    • 1) The United States must seek new arrangements and new rules, in concert with other free nations, to restore America’s economic sovereignty.
    • 2) This, in turn, involves building a new network of trusted friends and partners to resist Chinese economic imperialism.

    How this matters for India?

    • India will have to take a fresh look at the global economy battered by the coronavirus.
    • India should pay close attention to Hawley’s theme on working with “trusted friends and partners” to restructure international trade.
    • Hawley is not alone in articulating this view.
    • Reuters reported from Washington that the Trump Administration is “turbocharging” an initiative to rearrange the global supply chains currently centered on China.
    • This rearrangement of the global supply chain offers an opportunity for India to lead the future global supply chains.

    Consider the question, “Critically analyse the opportunities presented to India by the changes in trade politics in the US”.

    Conclusion

    Hobbled as it was by shaky political coalitions and preoccupied by multiple domestic challenges, India in the mid-1990s struggled to cope with the profound changes in the global economic order. As the world trade system arrives at a contingent moment a quarter of a century later, India is hopefully better prepared.

  • Taking India’s agri-marketing and PDS system on a more efficient path

    Agriculture is still the mainstay of Indian economy. There are certain problems that persist in the agri-marketing and PDS. The author suggests to use the present corona crisis to embark on the path of the reform in these areas.

     Supply lines maintained during the lockdown

    • India seems to have contained the mortality rate from Covid-19 to 3.3% which is lower than the global average of about 7 per cent.
    • On the food front too, India has done reasonably well.
    • Despite initial disruptions in supply lines, India has somehow managed to feed its large population of 1.37 billion.
    • In fact, if there is any complaint, it is from the producer’s side that the prices of perishables have collapsed in some parts of the country.
    • But, from the consumer’s point of view, even for perishables like milk and vegetables, supply lines were quickly restored and food is easily available in the markets at reasonable prices.
    • On keeping supply lines for essential food alive and running, those in the government managing the food logistics surely deserve to be complimented.

    Reforms in agri-marketing and PDS

    • Agriculture still engages India’s largest workforce.
    • And it may be the only sector that registers a respectable growth this year as almost all other major sectors may plummet into negative territory.
    • Agriculture sector is in urgent need of the reforms that can help farmers get a better price for their produce with consumers still paying a reasonable price for their food.
    • Following ways are suggested for agri-marketing:
    • While the APMC markets can keep doing their business as usual, it is time to open channels for direct buying from farmers/farmer producer organisations (FPOs).
    • Any registered large buyer, be it processors or retail groups or exporters must be encouraged by providing them with a license, that is valid all over India.
    • They should be exempted from any market fee and other cesses as they will not be using the services of the APMC market yards.
    • E-NAM can flourish if grading and dispute settlement mechanisms are put in place.
    • Private mandis with modern infrastructure need to be promoted in competition with APMCs.
    • On the PDS front, we need to move towards cash transfers that can be withdrawn from anywhere in the country.
    • Some initiative has already been taken by the Madhya Pradesh and even Uttar Pradesh is now moving along these lines.
    • But much more can be done to put India’s agri-marketing and PDS system on a more efficient path.

    Consider the question asked by the UPSC in 2014 “There is also a point of view that Agricultural Produce Marketing Committees set up under the State Acts have not only impeded the development of agriculture but also have been the cause of food inflation in India. Critically examine.”

    Conclusion

    The recovery of the economy, whether it will be V-shape or J-shape, depends upon the package that the government announces. The mega reforms need to be built in this recovery package.


    Agriculture Produce Marketing Committee Regulation (APMC) Act.

    • All wholesale markets for agricultural produce in states that have adopted the Agricultural Produce Market Regulation Act (APMRA) are termed as “regulated markets”.
    • With the exception of Kerala, J & K, and Manipur, all other states have enacted the APMC Act.
    • It mandates that the sale/purchase of agricultural commodities notified under it are to be carried out in specified market areas, yards or sub-yards. These markets are required to have the proper infrastructure for the sale of farmers’ produce.
    • Prices in them are to be determined by open auction, conducted in a transparent manner in the presence of an official of the market committee.
    • Market charges for various agencies, such as commissions for commission agents (arhtiyas); statutory charges, such as market fees and taxes; and produce-handling charges, such as for cleaning of produce, and loading and unloading, are clearly defined, and no other deduction can be made from the sale proceeds of farmers.
    • Market charges, costs, and taxes vary across states and commodities.
  • New approach to economic revival: SNAP

    In this article the author suggests a new approach to deal with multiple bankruptcies and stressed assets that would come up post COVID. So, what is the new approach and how it is different from the existing IBC? Read further.

    Why is speed of resolution important?

    • First, because it is the only way to revive the economy.
    • As revenues have dried up cash flow problems have cascaded down the supply chain.
    • Firms will consequently be unable to restart production unless they first get credit to pay their suppliers and workers.
    • But impaired firms cannot get credit and impaired banks cannot provide it.
    • So, the entire economy will be stuck unless the balance sheet problem is sorted out.
    • Second, speed will also minimise the losses from the COVID crisis.
    • The value of bankrupt firms decays rapidly over time, and the bill for this loss will have to be borne ultimately by the government.
    • So, speed is necessary to contain the damage to the government’s financial position, which has been badly eroded by the COVID crisis.
    • But moving quickly will be difficult.
    • The only real mechanism that currently exists to handle stress and bankruptcy is the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) system, which has been suspended for six months.

    Why the IBC cannot help much?

    • Many have therefore argued for bringing the IBC back into operation as soon as possible.
    • Why such a strategy would not be very effective? The system is slow, with many cases taking two years or more; it could easily become overwhelmed completely if it is forced to absorb a large new set of bankrupt firms.
    • In addition, the IBC envisages that banks maximise their recoveries by auctioning off the bankrupt firms to the highest bidder.
    • But in a nation and indeed a world, where all balance sheets are damaged, it is not obvious who would be able to buy these firms, or at what prices.
    • So recovery rates from sales could be low, undermining the objective of the exercise.
    • Even if strong bidders could be found, there is a fundamental political, even philosophical, question of whether it is really right to take these firms away from their promoters.
    • After all, many of these firms did nothing wrong; they got into financial difficulties because of the corona crisis.

    So, what is the solution?

    • What is needed is a new set of procedures that can utilise much of the existing IBC framework, but are simple, straightforward, and prompt, with a built-in expiry clause.
    • Let’s Call them Special Non-Adversarial Procedures (SNAP).
    • As soon as the lockdown is largely over, the IBC creditor committees (CoCs) could meet to assess the new wave of NPAs.
    • The largest, most complex cases — say, those with debts exceeding Rs 10,000 crore — would be sent to the IBC for regular treatment.
    • But all other cases would be eligible under SNAP
    • After all, the wider the set of companies that are put back on their feet quickly, the stronger the recovery will be.

    How would the SNAP work?

    • Under SNAP, CoCs would, over the next three months, examine delinquent firms’ financial records, checking to see whether they are actually viable.
    • If so, these firms would be designated as Lockdown Affected Enterprises (LAEs), eligible under SNAP.
    • Since the basis of the designation would be that the firm is fundamentally sound but because of COVID impact, an Insolvency Professional (IP) appointed by the CoC would work with existing management (who would continue to run the firm) to arrange for interim finance.
    • Then, the IP would assess how much of a debt reduction the firm needs, and within three months would present a specific proposal to the CoC.
    • If the CoC can reach a two-third majority in favour of the proposal, the promoter would keep the firm, while the firm would be granted immediately released from bankruptcy.
    • Since the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) is already overloaded, it would not be involved at all in SNAP.
    • If the CoC cannot reach agreement within the three-month deadline, or if at any subsequent point the firm defaults on its newly reduced debt, it would be sent to the IBC for resolution.
    • SNAP would be disbanded by end-December 2020.

    Checks and balances under SNAP

    • Such a system would have a series of checks and balances, to prevent firms from securing undeserved debt reductions.
    • Banks would need to certify that defaulters are truly LAEs.
    • IPs would need to certify the size of the debt reduction.
    • A large majority of creditor banks would need to agree to the IP’s proposal.

    What should be the role of the government in SNAP?

    • With these checks and balances in place, the government should then commit to two things.
    • First, it should provide some legal cover, ensuring that bankers would not be subject to investigations by the anti-corruption agencies, as long as they followed the LAE rules.
    • Second, the public sector banks would be compensated for the costs of the reduction in the value of the asset, automatically and fully.

    Major advantage of SNAP

    • Besides speed, SNAP would have one further major advantage.
    • It would reduce the adversarial nature of the IBC process, arising because promoters are forced to cede their firms.
    • Under the proposed system, promoters would not only have incentives to cooperate; they would actually want to take the initiative, applying for LAE designation themselves, in the hopes that they could get back to business as soon as possible.
    • Such a system might seem difficult to envisage, but it is certainly feasible: It is a design feature under Chapter 11 of the American bankruptcy act.
    • If SNAP succeeds, some of the special procedures could be introduced permanently into the IBC framework, adding a new dimension: Not just liquidation and rehabilitation under new promoters but rehabilitation under existing management.

    Way forward

    • After SNAP, repair of the financial system would have to go back to addressing the long-standing problems, which will have been aggravated by the crisis.
    • Firms that were unviable even before the COVID crisis would be sent directly to the IBC, but with the IBC reformed.
    • The government should issue guidelines focusing on the following three-
    • 1. Focusing the COCs on the goal of maximising value, disregarding non-commercial objectives.
    • 2. Directing the NCLT courts to focus on the CoCs’ adherence to the procedure rather than on the merits of their decisions.
    • 3. Increasing competition in the auction by allowing promoters to bid for their assets, as long as they have not been declared wilful defaulters.
    • For the power and real estate sectors, a sui generis approach via the creation of a bad bank is still the best way forward.
    • Real estate resolutions need to take into account the interests of home-owners, something that is almost impossible to do under the IBC.

    Consider the question, “Economic revival after the pandemic would require some tweaks in the IBC as it was not designed to handle such situations. Suggest the ways to handle the bankruptcies more effectively and changes that are desired in the IBC.”

    Conclusion

    Introducing three-pronged strategy quickly would set the stage for the economic recovery of India:  1) Special, expedited, non-adversarial and time-bound bankruptcy procedures (SNAP) for COVID-affected firms 2) A reformed IBC focused squarely on loss-minimisation 3)Bad banks for stressed assets in the power and real estate sectors.


    Back2Baciscs: What is Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code-2016?

    1. The Code creates time-bound processes for insolvency resolution of companies and individuals.  These processes will be completed within 180 days.  If insolvency cannot be resolved, the assets of the borrowers may be sold to repay creditors.
    2. The resolution processes will be conducted by licensed insolvency professionals (IPs).  These IPs will be members of insolvency professional agencies (IPAs).  IPAs will also furnish performance bonds equal to the assets of a company under insolvency resolution.
    3. Information utilities (IUs) will be established to collect, collate and disseminate financial information to facilitate insolvency resolution.
    4. The National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) will adjudicate insolvency resolution for companies.  The Debt Recovery Tribunal (DRT) will adjudicate insolvency resolution for individuals.
    5. The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of India will be set up to regulate functioning of IPs, IPAs and IUs.
  • New approach to the revival of economy

    As our attention now shifts to the revival of the economy, we have to take stock of the damage to the economy. As recently as 2008 we have faced a financial crisis, but this crisis is bigger in the scale and our fiscal health is weaker than it was at the time of the 2008 crisis. So, to deal with the situation we have to adopt a novel approach. What should be the approach? Read further to know.

    From 2014 to Covid-19 in finance and banking

    • TBS challenge: As far back as December 2014, the banking sector and infrastructure firms had come under financial stress, a problem that was termed the Twin Balance Sheet (TBS) challenge.
    • By December 2019, the problem had spread to the NBFC and real estate sectors, raising the number of stressed balance sheets to four.
    • Following the Covid-19 shock, the problem of stressed balance sheets will spread across the economy.

    How bad is the damage likely to be?

    • Reports suggest that around one-third of industrial and service firms have applied for moratoria on their bank loans.
    • If only a quarter of these deferred loans eventually go bad, then the stock of non-performing assets (NPAs) would increase by Rs 5 lakh crore.
    • Senior bank officials have been quoted as estimating that the stock of NPAs could increase by as much as Rs 9 lakh crore.
    • In this case, we would be looking at NPAs of Rs 18 lakh crore, equivalent to around 18 per cent of current loans outstanding.

    So, how is the situation different from 2008 financial crisis?

    • At one level, the answer is simple: The shareholders of the financial institutions, which in most cases means the government.
    • But this is where the ubiquity of the balance sheet problem comes in.
    • When the TBS challenge first materialised, after the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-09, the government had a relatively strong balance sheet.
    • Deficits were low, and the consolidated debt-GDP ratio, having fallen by 17 percentage points over the previous 7 years, stood at just over 60 per cent of GDP.
    • So, fiscal room was available, allowing the government to recapitalise the PSU banks.
    • This time, the government’s financial position will be quite different.
    • Central and state government deficits and debts will increase dramatically this year.
    • Revenues, already slowing, have been decimated by the Covid crisis, while expenditures have increased.
    • Add in a slowly recovering economy, and it becomes clear that the fiscal position will remain weak for some considerable time.
    • What are the options with the government? The government will want to pass the burden onto the corporate and household sectors, in the form of higher taxes, more arrears, and possibly higher inflation.
    • But these sectors will resist, for they have financial problems of their own.

    2 ways to minimise the size of the loss

    • It will be tempting to delay recognising the problem, pushing it into the future, by allowing banks not to classify bad loans as NPAs, and barring them from taking defaulters to the IBC system.
    • But this would be the wrong approach and there are two ways to minimise the loss.
    • 1. Prevent bankruptcies from occurring.
    • To do this, banks will need to identify the firms that are viable, and lend them the funds they need to tide them over the immediate crisis.
    • But banks are reluctant to bear the risk of making such loans.
    • So, the government might need to create a guarantee fund to support lending.
    • 2. When firms default, resolve as quickly as possible
    • Speed is necessary because the financial position of stressed firms tends to worsen over time.
    • By definition, stressed firms have poor cash flows and can’t obtain much in the way of loans from banks.
    • So, they don’t have enough money to fund their operations properly.
    • Which means that over time their underlying business deteriorates, destroying the firms’ market value.
    • While public attention focuses on the size of the NPAs, a much more important number is the recovery rate — the degree to which the banks can recover on these loans.
    • And the only way to maximise the recovery rate is to sort out the bad loans speedily.
    • The economy will reap an additional benefit since the resolved firms will be able to contribute to the recovery.

    Consider the question “As the economy stares at the destruction caused by the pandemic certain novel measures to salvage the economy are necessary. In light of this statement suggest the measures that the government should take to avoid the NPA problem from mounting.”

    Conclusion

    A new approach is consequently needed. The immediate problems created by the crisis must be addressed, decisively and quickly. Then the attention will have to turn to address the pre-COVID legacy balance sheet problems.


    Back2Basics: What is NPA?

    • A non-performing asset (NPA) is a loan or advance for which the principal or interest payment remained overdue for a period of 90 days.
    • Banks are required to classify NPAs further into Substandard, Doubtful and Loss assets.
    • Substandard assets: Assets which has remained NPA for a period less than or equal to 12 months.
    • Doubtful assets: An asset would be classified as doubtful if it has remained in the substandard category for a period of 12 months.
    • Loss assets: As per RBI, “Loss asset is considered uncollectible and of such little value that its continuance as a bankable asset is not warranted, although there may be some salvage or recovery value.”
  • Economy and the challenges ahead

    Various projections of growth paint a grim picture of the Indian economy as well as the global economy. This article analyses the sector-wise impact and comes with the GVA projections for 2020-21. The government has to deal with serious challenges like financing huge fiscal deficits. So, what will be the growth rate for 2020-21 and what will be the size of GVA? Read to know!

    Projections of growth and uncertainty

    • Various institutions have assessed India’s growth prospects for 2020-21 ranging from 0.8% (Fitch)to 4.0% (Asian Development Bank).
    • This wide range indicates the extent of uncertainty and tentative nature of these forecasts.
    • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected India’s growth at 1.9%, China’s at 1.2%, and the global growth at (-) 3.0%.
    • The actual growth outcome for India would depend on: 1) the speed at which the economy is opened up 2) the time it takes to contain the spread of virus, and, 3) the government’s policy support.

    Health of India economy before the crisis

    • India slid into the novel coronavirus crisis on the back of a persistent economic downslide.
    • There was a sustained fall in the saving and investment rates with unutilised capacity in the industrial sector.
    • In 2019-20, there was a contraction in the Centre’s gross tax revenues in the first 11 months during April 2019 to February 2020, at (-) 0.8%.
    • These trends continue to beset the Indian economy in this crisis.

    Growth prospects for 20-21 from the output side

    • In 2019-20, which would serve as the base year, India may show GVA growth of about 4.4%,
    • This is well below the Central Statistics Office’s second advance estimate of 9%.
    • The IMF’s GDP growth estimate for 2019-20 is at 2%.
    • GVA is divided into eight broad sectors. Although all sectors have been disrupted, some may be affected less than the others. We divide the output sectors in four groups.
    • Group A- This group is likely to suffer minimum disruption.
    • Agriculture and allied sectors, and public administration, defence.
    • Despite some labour shortage issues, agriculture sector may show near-normal performance.
    • The public and defence services have been nearly fully active, with the health services at the forefront of the the COVID-19 fight.
    • For the group A sectors, it may be possible to achieve 90% of the 2019-20 growth performance.
    • Group D- This group is likely to suffer maximum disruption.
    • This includes, trade, hotels, restaurants, travel and tourism under the broad group of “Trade, Hotels, Transport, Storage and Communications”.
    • This sector may be able to show 30% of 2019-20 growth performance.
    • Group B
    • This comprises sectors which may suffer average disruption showing 50% of 2019-20 growth performance.
    • These sectors are mining and quarrying, electricity, gas, water supply and other utility services, construction, and financial, real estate and professional services.
    • Group C
    • In this group come manufacturing which has suffered significant growth erosion in 2019-20.
    • It is feasible to stimulate this sector by supporting demand.
    • In this case a 40% performance factor on the average growth of the preceding three years is applied.

    So, what are the estimates for 2020-21 GVA?

    • Considering these four groups together, a GVA growth of 2.9% is estimated for 2020-21.
    • Realising this requires strong policy support, particularly for the manufacturing sector which has a weight of 17.4%.
    • It is also based on the assumption that the Indian economy may move on to positive growth after the first quarter.
    • In the first quarter, GVA growth will be negative.

    Policy support for the growth

    • Monetary policy initiatives undertaken so far include a reduction in the repo rate to 4.4%, the reverse repo rate to 3.75%, and cash reserve ratio to 3%.
    • The Reserve Bank of India has also opened several special financing facilities.
    • These measures need to be supplemented by an appropriate fiscal stimulus.
    • Cash-constrained central and State governments have taken expenditure reducing measures by announcing freezing of enhancements of dearness allowance and dearness relief.
    • This may result in savings of ₹37,000 crore for the Centre and about ₹82,000 crore for the States, together amounting to 6% of GDP.
    • There is also talk of substantially reducing non-salary defence expenditure.
    • With lower petroleum prices, fertilizer and petroleum subsidies may be reduced.
    • These expenditure cuts are contemplated to keep the fiscal deficit under some control.

    Fiscal stimulus and fiscal deficit

    • Fiscal stimulus can be of three types:
    • 1) Relief expenditure for protecting the poor and the marginalised.
    • 2) Demand-supporting expenditure for increasing personal disposable incomes or government’s purchases of goods and services, including expanded health-care expenditure imposed by the novel coronavirus, and,
    • 3) Bailouts for industry and financial institutions.
    • The Centre had earlier announced a relief package of ₹1.7-lakh crore.
    • The Centre’s budgeted fiscal deficit of 3.5% of GDP may have to be enhanced substantially to 1) make up for the shortfall in budgeted revenues; 2) account for a lower than projected nominal GDP for 2020-21, 3) provide for a stimulus.
    • Thus, the Centre’s fiscal deficit may increase to 6.0% of GDP.
    • Expenditure on the construction of hospitals, roads and other infrastructure and purchase of health-related equipment and medicines require prioritisation.
    • These expenditures will have high multiplier effects.
    • Similar initiatives may be undertaken by the State governments which may also enhance their combined fiscal deficit to about 0% of GDP to account for 3.0% of GDP under their respective Fiscal Responsibility Legislation/Law and to provide for the shortfall in their revenues and some stimulus.

    Challenges

    • Financing of the fiscal deficit poses a major challenge this year.
    • On the demand side, the Central (6.0%) and State governments (4.0%) and Central and State public sector undertakings (3.5%).
    • These together present a total public sector borrowing requirement (PSBR) of 13.5% of GDP.
    • Against this, the total available resources may at best be 9.5% of GDP.
    • The gap of 4.0% points of GDP may result in increased cost of borrowing for the Central and State governments.

    Consider the question, “Examine the sector-wise damage caused to the economy due to Covid-19 pandemic. What were the fiscal and monetary measures taken to mitigate the damage and challenges faced by the government in meeting the required revenue demands.”

    Conclusion

    The gap in requirement of resources and availability may be bridged by enhancing net capital inflows including borrowing from abroad and by monetising some part of the Centre’s deficit. The monetisation of debt can at best be a one-time effort. This cannot become a general practice. 


    Back2Basics: What is GVA?

    • GVA it is a measure of total output and income in the economy.
    • It provides the rupee value for the amount of goods and services produced in an economy after deducting the cost of inputs and raw materials that have gone into the production of those goods and services.
    • It also gives sector-specific picture like what is the growth in an area, industry or sector of an economy.
    • While GVA gives a picture of the state of economic activity from the producers’ side or supply side, the GDP gives the picture from the consumers’ side or demand perspective.
    • Both measures need not match because of the difference in treatment of net taxes.
    • GDP = GVA + taxes on products – subsidies on products
  • [pib] Kailash – Mansarovar Yatra Route from Dharchula to Lipulekh

    The Border Roads Organisation (BRO) has completed the construction of road from Dharchula to Lipulekh along the China Border, famously known as Kailash-Mansarovar Yatra Route.

    We can expect a prelims question asking to arrange few passes from West to East or vice versa. Click here to get through all such Himalayan Passes.

    Darchula – Lipulekh road

    • The road is an extension of Pithoragarh-Tawaghat-Ghatiabagarh road. In this 80 Km road, the altitude rises from 6000 feet to 17,060 feet.
    • It originates from Ghatiabagarh in Uttarakhand and terminates at Lipulekh Pass, the gateway to Kailash Mansarovar.
    • With the completion of this project, the arduous trek through treacherous high-altitude terrain can now be avoided by the Pilgrims of Kailash Mansarovar Yatra and the period of journey will be reduced by many days.

    (Note: The Lipulekh Pass links Uttarakhand with China’s Tibetan Autonomous Region.)

    Significance

    • At present, the travel to Kailash Mansarovar takes around two to three weeks through Sikkim or Nepal routes.
    • Lipulekh route had a trek of 90 Km through high altitude terrain and the elderly yartris faced lot of difficulties.
    • Now, this yatra will get completed by vehicles.

    Also read:

    The Northern and Northeastern Mountains | Part 2


    Back2Basics: Border Roads Organisation (BRO)

    • The BRO develops and maintains road networks in India’s border areas and friendly neighboring countries and functions under the Ministry of Defence.
    • It is entrusted for construction of Roads, Bridges, Tunnels, Causeways, Helipads and Airfields along the borders.
    • Officers from the Border Roads Engineering Service (BRES) and personnel from the General Reserve Engineer Force (GREF) form the parent cadre of the Border Roads Organisation.
    • It is also staffed by officers and troops drawn from the Indian Army’s Corps of Engineers on extra regimental employment.
    • The BRO operates and maintains over 32,885 kilometers of roads and about 12,200 meters of permanent bridges in the country.
  • [pib] Data on Energy Savings

    The Union Ministry of Power has released a Report on “Impact of energy efficiency measures for the year 2018-19”.

    Things to note:

    1) UJALA Scheme

    2) PAT Scheme

    3) Standards & Labeling Programme

    Possible mains question:

    Q. Discuss the role of Bureau of Energy Efficiency (BEE) in “institutionalizing” energy efficiency services in India.

    About the report

    • This report was prepared by an Expert agency PWC Ltd, who was engaged by the Bureau of Energy Efficiency (BEE).
    • The objective of this study is to evaluate the performance and impact of all the key energy efficiency programmes in India, in terms of total energy saved and the related reduction in CO2 emissions.

    Data on energy savings

    • With our energy efficiency initiatives, we have already reduced the energy intensity of our economy by 20% compared to 2005 levels. This includes both the Supply Side and Demand Side sectors of the economy.
    • The implementation of various energy efficiency schemes has led to total electricity savings to the tune of 113.16 Billion Units in 2018-19, which is 9.39% of the net electricity consumption.
    • Energy savings (electrical + thermal), achieved in the energy-consuming sectors is to the tune of 16.54 Mtoe, which is 2.84% of the net total energy consumption in 2018-19.
    • Overall this has translated into savings worth INR 89,122 crores against last year’s savings of INR 53,627 crore.
    • These efforts have also contributed to reducing 151.74 Million Tonnes of CO2 emissions, whereas last year this number was 108 MTCO2.

    (Note: Mtoe= million Tonne of Oil Equivalent)

    What led to this significant savings?

    • The study has identified the following major programmes, viz. Perform, Achieve and Trade Scheme, Standards &Labelling Programme, UJALA Programme, Municipal Demand Side Management Programme, etc.
    • There is huge capacity still for bringing efficiencies especially in MSME sector and a Housing sector that has now been taken up.

    About the Bureau of Energy Efficiency (BEE)

    • The Bureau of Energy Efficiency is an agency under the Ministry of Power created in March 2002 under the provisions of the nation’s 2001 Energy Conservation Act.
    • Its function is to develop programs which will increase the conservation and efficient use of energy in India.
    • The mission of BEE is to “institutionalize” energy efficiency services, enable delivery mechanisms in the country and provide leadership to energy efficiency in all sectors of the country.

    Back2Basics

    1) PAT Scheme

    • Perform Achieve and Trade (PAT) scheme is a flagship programme of the Bureau of Energy Efficiency under the National Mission for Enhanced Energy Efficiency (NMEEE).
    • NMEEE is one of the eight national missions under the National Action Plan on Climate Change (NAPCC) launched in the year 2008.
    • The scheme aims to reduce specific energy consumption in energy-intensive industries through certification of excess energy saving which can be traded.
    • It refers to the calculation of Specific Energy Consumption (SEC) in the baseline year and projected SEC in the target year covering different forms of net energy going into the boundary of the designated consumers’ plant and the products leaving it over a particular cycle.
    • Those eight Energy Intensive Sectors included are Chlor-alkali, Pulp & Paper, Textile, Aluminum, and Thermal Power plants, Fertilizer, Iron & Steel and Cement.

    2) Standards & Labeling Programme

    • It is one of the major thrust areas of BEE.
    • A key objective of this scheme is to provide the consumer with an informed choice about the energy-saving and thereby the cost-saving potential of the relevant marketed product.
    • The scheme targets display of energy performance labels on high energy end-use equipment & appliances and lay down minimum energy performance standards.

    3) UJALA Scheme

    • Launched in 2015, the Unnat Jyoti by Affordable LEDs for All (UJALA), in a short span of time, has emerged as the world’s largest domestic lighting programme.
    • The main objective is to promote efficient lighting, enhance awareness on using efficient equipment which reduces electricity bills and helps preserve the environment.
    • The Electricity Distribution Company and Energy Efficiency Services Limited (EESL) a public sector body of the Ministry of Power is implementing the programme.
  • Is the perpetual bond a suitable option to raise money?

    The government is exploring ways to raise money to deal with the destruction caused by COVID pandemic. One of the suggestion is the monetisation of fiscal deficit. But this article looks into an alternative approach of issuing bonds based on the idea of Consol bond issued by the British government during WW 2. So, how much amount needs to be raised? and why a perpetual bond like Consol bond is a suitable option for India? Read to know!

    A gathering financial storm

    • India projected a deficit of ₹7.96-lakh crore in the Budget before the pandemic.
    • Adding to the above concern: 1) Off-balance sheet borrowings of 1% of GDP. 2) The overly excessive target of ₹2.1 lakh crore through disinvestments.
    • Thus, financial deficit number is set to grow by a wide margin owing to corona crisis.
    • There will be revenue shrinkage from the coming depression that will most certainly be accompanied by a lack of appetite for disinvestment.

    Need for stimulus package and measures taken by the RBI

    • In addition to the expenditure that was planned, the government has to spend anywhere between ₹5-lakh crore and ₹6-lakh crore as a stimulus package.
    • The stimulus provided by the government so far and recent announcements by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) achieved little.
    • All the RBI’s schemes are contingent on the availability of risk capital, the market for which has completely collapsed.
    • The government and the RBI have tried several times to increase lending to below investment grade micro, small and medium enterprises, but have come up short each time.
    • Furthermore, while the 60% increase in ways and means limits for States is a welcome move, many States have already asked for doubling the limits due to the shortages in indirect taxation collections from Goods and Services Tax, fuel and liquor.
    • The government and the central bank need to understand that half measures will do more harm than good.

    What is the Consol Bond?

    • Consol bond is a form of British government bond that has no maturity and that pays a fixed coupon.
    • Consols are basically rare examples of actual perpetual bonds.
    • The bonds were issued in 1917 as the government sought to raise more money to finance the ongoing cost of the First World War.

    So, why bond like Consol Bonds is a good option for India?

    • There is no denying the fact that the traditional option of monetising the deficit by having the central bank buy government bonds is one worth pursuing.
    • Citizens’ active participation is ensured in Consol Bond type alternative.
    • Furthermore, with the fall of real estate and given the lack of safe havens outside of gold, the bond would offer a dual benefit as a risk-free investment for retail investors.
    • When instrumented, it would be issued by the central government on a perpetual basis with a right to call it back when it seems fit.
    • An attractive coupon rate for the bond or tax rebates could also be an incentive for investors.
    • The government can consider a phased redemption of these bonds after the economy is put back on a path of high growth.

    The solution of bond offered here could be a valuable addition in points to the answer to the question which asks about the ways to raise money. Consider the question, “Economic devastation caused by the COVID pandemic has forced the government to explore the various ways to raise the money. Discuss the options available with the government and issues associated with the options.”

    Conclusion

    Politicians and epidemiologists across the world have used the word “war” to describe the situation the world is currently in. So, to raise the money to fight this war against Covid-19, we can take the cue from past and issue bond based on the Consol bond.


    Back2Basics: What is fiscal deficit?

    • A fiscal deficit is a shortfall in a government’s income compared with its spending.
    • The government that has a fiscal deficit is spending beyond its means.
    • A fiscal deficit is calculated as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP).
    • There can be different types of deficit in a budget depending upon the types of receipts and expenditure we take into consideration. Accordingly, there are three concepts of the deficit, namely-
    • Revenue deficit = Total revenue expenditure – Total revenue receipts.
    • Fiscal deficit = Total expenditure – Total receipts excluding borrowings.
    • Primary deficit = Fiscal deficit-Interest payments.
    • Primary deficit shows how much government borrowing is going to meet expenses other than interest payments.
    • Thus, zero primary deficits mean that the government has to resort to borrowing only to make interest payments.
    • To know the amount of borrowing on account of current expenditure over revenue, we need to calculate the primary deficit.
    • Thus, the primary deficit is equal to fiscal deficit less interest payments.

    Perpetual Bonds

    • A perpetual bond, also known as a “consol bond” or “prep,” is fixed income security with no maturity date.
    • This type of bond is often considered a type of equity, rather than debt. One major drawback to these types of bonds is that they are not redeemable.
    • However, the major benefit of them is that they pay a steady stream of interest payments forever.
    • Perpetual bonds exist within a small niche of the bond market.
    • This is mainly due to the fact that there are very few entities that are safe enough for investors to invest in a bond where the principal will never be repaid.
    • AT-1 bonds which were recently in news due to YES bank failure is an example of a perpetual bond.

     

  • Stimulus package conundrum

    There are many suggestions and expectations around the stimulus package deal to revive the economy crippled post corona pandemic. While everyone agrees over the need of stimulus but there are several opinions and suggestion around the various aspects of the package like size, time, source of revenue etc. But we must be mindful of the pitfalls and constraints while thinking about the stimulus package. So, what are the suggestion and expectation and what are the limitations? Read to know!

    1. Supply-side constraints on stimulus

    • It is argued that a fiscal stimulus package has to follow the timeline.
    • But you cannot ‘stimulate’ an economy during a supply-side lockdown.
    • And that there are ‘announcement effects’ — both good and bad — that go with the stimulus.
    • So, any ‘good stimulus’ can only come into effect post lockdown and extensive consultations are on with everyone for that.

    2. What should be the size of the stimulus package?

    • While thinking about the stimulus, we cannot forget that government revenues too will be seriously hit.
    • The government revenue will be hit by 2-3% of GDP, given that disinvestment target itself is 1% of GDP and the realisation is likely to be close to zero in the current financial year.
    • So, the effective fiscal deficit is going to be somewhere around 7.5 % if you take into account all the off-balance sheet borrowings.
    • The U.S. government has set aside $2 trillion for bailouts or 9% of its GDP.
    • India’s starting point is going to be at around 7.5% of GDP fiscal deficit, then how much more can we afford on top of that?
    • On top of this is all the ‘merit expenditure’ on health and direct income support to the poor cannot be reduced.
    • Can we still formulate a stimulus package comprising 10% of GDP, to be footed by the Central government alone?

      Monetising the deficit and debt-to-GDP ratio

    • From 1947 to 1997, the Central government always routinely monetised its deficit, without leading to high rates of inflation, much less hyperinflation.
    • The Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) limits are hardly a success and routinely all governments have broken the barrier.
    • Other countries with huge debt-to-GDP ratios like Japan (>200%) and U.S. (125%) get away with barely a rap on the knuckles.
    • But India is pulled up for minor slippages on a 70% debt-GDP ratio.

    3. Should we pay attention to needs and forget about affordability?

    • Some have argued that bailouts should be based on need and not affordability.
    • Can printing money be a solution out of this situation?
    • Possible dangers of printing money: The currency could plunge, inflation soar high and rating agencies could downgrade us to junk.
    • So, shouldn’t there be a more nuanced approach to what constitutes a ‘good’ stimulus?

    4. The problem of low credit flow despite high liquidity

    • There is a lot of liquidity in the economy, but limited credit is flowing due to anaemic lending.
    • Thus, another mantra being espoused is that bank managers should be incentivised to lend and the government should indemnify loans given during this period.
    • This could well lead to bogus companies springing up overnight to grab the stimulus in collusion with banks.
    • The government owes about ₹1 lakh crore on tax refunds and also had promised to make up for any difference to the States, if the GST did not grow by 14% per annum.
    • This is the time for it to transfer this to the States as a grant, for one year, to offset the revenue loss to States.

    5. Should we go to the IMF?

    • There is talk of going to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
    • Do we really need the IMF’s bailout which comes with conditions when there is no foreign exchange crisis for financing rupee expenditure?
    • Moreover, there is a perceived global stigma attached to doing so.
    • Won’t the conditionality-led cure be worse than the disease?

    Consider the following question based on the issue “Economic crises accentuate the role of governments. Covid-19 has not been different. In light of the above statement, discuss the various issues that the government faced while coming up with a stimulus package to revive the economy. What are the sources of revenue to be tapped by the government?”

    Conclusion

    Fate is what happens to us. Destiny is what we make in spite of our fate. India’s destiny appears relatively safe, if we cast the mind’s eye around the globe. Lifting the lockdown will be the first step towards a good stimulus and one does need to un-handcuff a billion people to save their lives too.

  • Co-operative banks can use SARFAESI Act to recover dues: Supreme Court

    A five-judge Constitution Bench of the Supreme Court (SC) has ruled that all co-operative banks in the country could make use of the SARFAESI Act to make recovery against defaulting persons.

    Possible mains question:

    What is the SARFAESI Act, 2002? Discuss its various provisions and efficacy to curb Non-Performing Assets (NPAs)?

    What is Sarfaesi Act, 2002?

    • Sarfaesi is an acronym for Securitisation and Reconstruction of Financial Assets and Enforcement of Security Interest.
    • It allows banks and other financial institution to auction residential or commercial properties (of Defaulter) to recover loans.
    • The first asset reconstruction company (ARC) of India, ARCIL, was set up under this act.
    • Under this act secured creditors (banks or financial institutions) have rights for enforcement of security interest under section 13 of SARFAESI Act, 2002.

    Provisions of the Act

    • If the borrower of financial assistance makes any default in repayment of a loan or any instalment and his account is classified as NPA by secured creditor, then secured creditor may require before the expiry of a period of limitation by written notice.
    • The act does not apply to unsecured loans, loans below ₹100,000 or where remaining debt is below 20% of the original principal.
    • This law allowed the creation of asset reconstruction companies (ARC) and allowed banks to sell their non-performing assets to ARC’s (which are regulated by the RBI).
    • Banks are allowed to take possession of the collateral property and sell it without the permission of a court.

    To summarize, the SARFAESI Act empowers financial institutions to ‘seize and desist’. They should give a notice to the defaulting borrower asking to repay the amount within 60 days.

    If the debtor doesn’t comply, the bank can resort to one of the three following measures:

    1) Take possession of loan security

    2) Sell or lease or assign the right over the security

    3) Manage the asset or appoint someone to manage the same

    Ambit of the Act

    • The recent judgment said that the SARFAESI Act qualifies the test of legislative competence, as well as the definition, cannot be said to be beyond the competence of the Parliament.
    • In 2013, the Gujarat High Court had, while hearing a challenge to the amendment of Banking Regulation Act of 1949, to include cooperative societies as financial institutions, ruled it null and void.
    • The high court had then agreed with the submissions of the petitioners who had argued that Sarfaesi would not be applicable to cooperative banks formed under the state law.
    • The Delhi High Court had, on the other hand, ruled that the cooperative banks and societies were for all purposes banks and financial institutions and thus were allowed to use Sarfaesi to make recoveries against defaulters.
    • In its judgment, the apex court held that all such cooperative banks involved in the activities related to banking are covered within the meaning of ‘banking company’.