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Subject: International Relations

  • India-Bangladesh ties should be Hasina-proof

    Why in the News

    The former Bangladesh Prime Minister held her first question taking media interaction from exile in India. She announced a political comeback and said she would return in December. The event risks turning India’s grant of refuge into a diplomatic irritant with Dhaka’s elected government.

    What is the diplomatic dilemma India faces?

    1. Refuge granted: India gave the former Prime Minister refuge after she fled Bangladesh on 5 August 2024 amid protests.
    2. Legitimacy concern: the grant was defended given the unfairness of the legal proceedings against her, including a death sentence by the International Crimes Tribunal.
    3. Platform risk: using the refuge as a political platform complicates ties with the elected government.
    4. Elected counterpart: the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) led administration under the new Prime Minister took office about six months earlier.

    Why is the timing fraught?

    1. Reset underway: New Delhi is rebuilding ties after strained relations with the earlier Muhammad Yunus led interim government.
    2. Domestic backlash: a mob hurled petrol bombs at a party member’s residence after he joined the exiled leader online.
    3. Media bar: the statements were barred from broadcast in Bangladesh under laws the former government itself once used.
    4. Awami League banned: the leader’s party is barred from contesting, so the comeback call targets the incumbent government.

    What unresolved issues shadow the relationship?

    1. Ganga treaty: the 1996 Ganga Water Treaty is due for renewal this year.
    2. Teesta treaty: the Teesta water sharing treaty is still to be signed.
    3. Migration: New Delhi views illegal immigration from Bangladesh as a major irritant.
    4. Trade curbs: some trade restrictions remain even after Bangladesh removed visa curbs.
    5. China factor: India is wary of Dhaka drifting into China’s orbit, and the new Prime Minister has visited China but not India.

    Why must ties be insulated from any single individual?

    1. Shared border: a 4,000 kilometre border makes cooperation indispensable against trafficking and cross border extremism.
    2. Economic stakes: Indian investment and infrastructure financing support Bangladesh’s growth, with stakes in power and connectivity.
    3. Strategic caution: both governments need to insulate bilateral ties from short term compulsions.

    Conclusion

    India was right to shelter the former Prime Minister, but her political aspirations cannot bruise ties with the elected government. The bilateral relationship, anchored in geography and security, is too important to be held hostage by one individual. New Delhi’s task is to keep the reset with Dhaka insulated from her comeback bid.

    Back2Basics

    The 1996 Ganga Water Treaty is a 30-year bilateral agreement between India and Bangladesh signed on December 12, 1996. It governs the sharing of dry-season (January 1 to May 31) water flows from the Ganges River at the Farakka Barrage.

    Key Provisions and Formula

    1. Lean Season Focus: Applies specifically to lean-season flows from January 1 through May 31.
    2. 50:50 Sharing Rule: If the water flow at Farakka is 70,000 cusecs or less, India and Bangladesh each receive 50% of the water.
    3. Fixed Allocation Windows:
      • Flows of 70,000-75,000 cusecs: Bangladesh receives a fixed 35,000 cusecs, and India receives the rest.
      • Flows above 75,000 cusecs: India receives 75,000 cusecs, and Bangladesh receives the balance.
    4. Emergency Clause: If water flow drops below 50,000 cusecs in any 10-day period, both nations must hold immediate consultations for emergency adjustments.

    Administration and Oversight

    1. Joint Committee: An equal-representation monitoring committee measures daily flows at the Farakka feeder canal and Bangladesh’s Hardinge Bridge.
    2. Review Schedule: Subject to five-year reviews or earlier adjustments if requested.

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2013] Critically examine the compulsions which prompted India to play a decisive role in the emergence of Bangladesh.

    Linkage: It examines the strategic and political foundations of India–Bangladesh relations. The article highlights how India must balance humanitarian refuge with long-term bilateral and strategic interests.

  • JD(U) tells Centre not to renew 1996 Farakka water treaty without safeguarding Bihar

    Why in the News

    The 1996 Farakka Water Treaty between India and Bangladesh is set to expire on 12 December 2026. The JD(U) has urged the Centre not to renew the treaty unless Bihar’s long term water security and developmental needs are adequately addressed.

    What is the 1996 Farakka Water Treaty?

    • Definition: A bilateral agreement between India and Bangladesh for sharing the Ganga’s dry season flow at the Farakka Barrage.
    • Objective: To allocate Ganga waters during the lean season between the two countries.
    • Duration: Signed in 1996 for 30 years, expiring on 12 December 2026.

    What is the Farakka Barrage?

    • Location: Built across the Ganga River in West Bengal.
    • Purpose: Diverts water into the Hooghly River.
    • Objective: Flushes silt to maintain the navigability of Kolkata Port.

    Why has Bihar opposed the treaty’s renewal?

    • Reduced Water Availability: Bihar argues that diversion at Farakka reduces lean season water availability within the state.
    • Development Concerns: Seeks greater consideration of Bihar’s long term irrigation, drinking water and development needs.
    • Demand for Renegotiation: JD(U) has called for safeguards before any extension of the treaty.
    • Federal Dimension: Highlights the need to balance state interests with India’s international water sharing commitments.

    Why is the treaty sensitive for India and Bangladesh?

    • Shared Rivers: India and Bangladesh share numerous transboundary rivers, making water sharing politically significant.
    • Dry Season Scarcity: Limited lean season flows often lead to competing demands.
    • Related Issue: The Farakka dispute exists alongside the unresolved Teesta Water Sharing Agreement, another key bilateral concern.

    [2013, GS2, 10 marks] The protests in Shahbag Square in Dhaka in Bangladesh reveal a fundamental split in society between the nationalists and Islamic forces. What is its significance for India?

    [2017] With reference to river Teesta, consider the following statements:
    1. The source of river Teesta is the same as that of Brahmaputra but it flows through Sikkim.
    2. River Rangeet originates in Sikkim and it is a tributary of river Teesta.
    3. River Teesta flows into Bay of Bengal on the border of India and Bangladesh.
    Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

    [A] 1 and 3 only

    [B] 2 only

    [C] 2 and 3 only

    [D] 1, 2 and 3

  • India and Sri Lanka advance a slate of bilateral projects

    Why in the News

    A high level visit produced concrete movement across trade, finance, energy, and connectivity between India and Sri Lanka. The development adds to the standing bilateral dossier rather than resolving a single dispute.

    What is the 13th Amendment context?

    1. Devolution law: The 13th Amendment to Sri Lanka’s Constitution created Provincial Councils to devolve power, including to Tamil majority areas.
    2. India’s interest: India has consistently pressed for its full implementation and Provincial Council elections.
    3. Pending status: Implementation has remained incomplete for decades.

    What was agreed on this visit?

    1. Trade and social security: Both sides agreed to advance the free trade agreement update and a social security pact.
    2. Rupee credit: Agreements were exchanged on Indian Rupee denominated Lines of Credit worth $350 million within a $450 million Cyclone Ditwah reconstruction package.
    3. Energy and connectivity: Talks covered grid interconnection, the Sampur solar project, the Trincomalee energy hub, and Kankesanthurai harbour.
    4. Digital identity: A Unique Digital Identity project modelled on India’s system was discussed.

    Why does the relationship matter for India?

    1. Neighbourhood first: Sri Lanka is central to India’s regional policy.
    2. Strategic location: Its position astride Indian Ocean sea lanes shapes maritime security.
    3. China factor: Deeper Indian engagement counters competing external influence.

    Conclusion

    The visit deepens a multi sector partnership without a single headline pact. The next milestone is the finalisation of the free trade agreement update and the social security pact.

    [2022, GS2, 10 marks] India is an age-old friend of Sri Lanka.’ Discuss India’s role in the recent crisis in Sri Lanka the light of the preceding statement.”

  • [6th August 2026] The Hindu OpED: A climate resilience pathway between India and China

    PYQ Relevance
    [UPSC 2024]     The West is fostering India as an alternative to reduce dependence on China’s supply chain and as a strategic ally to counter China’s political and economic dominance.’ Explain this statement with examples.
    Linkage: The PYQ examines India-China strategic competition and the scope for selective cooperation amid geopolitical rivalry. The article shows how climate resilience and disaster management can provide a limited, low-risk avenue for India–China engagement despite strategic distrust.

    Mentor’s Comment

    El Niño delayed India’s monsoon, followed by intense rainfall that caused severe flooding in Mumbai, Surat, Assam, and Odisha. Similar extreme weather also affected Guangxi, Shaanxi, and Gansu in China, highlighting the increasing frequency of climate-related disasters. Shared exposure to extreme climate events is proposed as a low risk avenue for India China cooperation. The tension is between deep strategic rivalry and a narrow band of mutual interest in disaster resilience.

    How do India and China face similar climate challenges?

    1. Urbanisation: Wetlands, forests and permeable land are replaced by concrete, reducing natural water absorption.
    2. Drainage Deficit: Outdated drainage systems and poor waste management aggravate urban flooding.
    3. Loss of Green Spaces: Shrinking green cover increases runoff and weakens climate resilience.
    4. Coastal Risks: Coastal megacities face extreme rainfall, storm surges and sea-level rise.
    5. Inland Extremes: Inland cities experience recurring heatwaves, droughts and flash floods.
    6. Economic Costs: Climate disasters disrupt supply chains, reduce productivity and cause economic losses.
    7. Health Impacts: Frequent floods and heat events increase disease burden and public health risks.

    Past Engagement: How have India and China cooperated on climate resilience?

    1. Climate Frameworks: Since the early 1990s, summit-level joint statements, MoUs and agreements have promoted practical climate cooperation.
    2. Disaster & Data Cooperation: Collaboration covered floods, earthquakes, droughts, extreme weather, along with hydrological, oceanic and seismic data sharing, joint R&D and governance exchange.
    3. Strategic Economic Dialogues: Six dialogues focused on sustainable urban planning, waste management, sewage treatment, water efficiency and capacity building.
    4. Sister City Agreements: Delhi-Beijing, Mumbai-Shanghai and Chennai-Chongqing were created to implement joint urban resilience projects, but diplomatic tensions limited execution.
    5. Mutual Learning: China offers data-driven planning (transport, housing, drainage), while India contributes early warning systems, Heat Action Plans, cool roofs, nature-based solutions and community-led adaptation.
    6. Future Cooperation: Scope exists for sponge cities, resilient agriculture, hydrological modelling, Himalayan glacier monitoring and revival of shared water agreements (which ceased in 2022).

    What is the proposed cooperation pathway?

    In April 2026, the visit by a Chinese delegation led by China’s Special Envoy for Climate Change to New Delhi suggests that climate cooperation remains a priority.

    1. Shared exposure: Both countries face recurring monsoon floods and urban flooding disasters.
    2. Low risk domain: Disaster mitigation and urban resilience avoid the sensitivities of border and trade disputes.
    3. Existing channels: An April 2026 visit by a Chinese Special Envoy and past sister city agreements offer a base.

    What models could underpin it?

    1. Sponge cities: China’s urban water absorption model is cited as a resilience approach.
    2. Glacier concerns: Shared Himalayan glacier risks link both countries’ water security.
    3. City linkages: Past agreements between major cities offer a template for exchange.

    Why is the pathway limited?

    1. Strategic distrust: Border tensions constrain deeper engagement.
    2. Asymmetry: Cooperation must manage a large power imbalance.
    3. Narrow scope: Resilience cooperation cannot resolve the core rivalry.

    How can India and China bridge the climate finance gap?

    1. Public Funding Dependence: Climate adaptation is financed mainly through public funds in both countries.
    2. Private Capital: Expand blended finance, municipal bonds and credit enhancement to mobilise private investment.
    3. Ecosystem Gaps: Climate finance markets remain nascent, constrained by weak local capacity and regulatory gaps.
    4. Knowledge Exchange: Share evidence-based practices on innovative climate finance models.
    5. Global South Leadership: Develop common standards, metrics and fiscal frameworks for climate resilience financing.
    6. Win-Win Cooperation: Climate finance collaboration offers a low-risk pathway to strengthen India–China engagement and resilience.

    Conclusion

    Climate resilience offers a contained space for engagement without touching the strategic core. The unresolved question is whether either side will invest political capital in so narrow a domain.

  • India resets ties with Bangladesh and invites its new leader to the BRICS Summit

    Why in the News

    India distanced itself from former Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina’s public event in Delhi while inviting Bangladesh’s new leader to the 18th BRICS Summit in his capacity as BIMSTEC Chair, signalling a recalibration of ties with Dhaka.

    What is BIMSTEC?

    • Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC) is a regional organization established in 1997 to promote economic, technical, and security cooperation in the Bay of Bengal region.
    • Members: Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Sri Lanka, and Thailand
    • Secretariat: Dhaka, Bangladesh.

    What is the BRICS Outreach Session?

    • A special session where BRICS invites leaders of regional organizations and partner countries.
    • Bangladesh was invited in its capacity as the current BIMSTEC Chair.

    Why is India Recalibrating Ties?

    • Relations changed after Bangladesh’s political transition.
    • India has resumed engagement with the new government through diplomatic outreach and restoration of visa services.
    • Distancing from Sheikh Hasina’s event signals neutrality toward Bangladesh’s internal politics.

    Challenges in India-Bangladesh Relations

    • Anti-India sentiment in sections of Bangladeshi society.
    • Sheikh Hasina’s presence in India.
    • Teesta River water-sharing dispute.
    • Border management, smuggling, and illegal migration.
    • Security of minorities.
    • Growing Chinese strategic and economic influence in Bangladesh.

    [2026] Match List I (BIMSTEC Centre) with List II (Location):
    A. BIMSTEC Cultural Industries Observatory
    B. BIMSTEC Energy Centre
    C. BIMSTEC Centre for Weather and Climate
    D. BIMSTEC Technology Transfer Facility
    1. NOIDA 2. Bengaluru 3. Colombo 4. Thimphu
    (a) A-3, B-2, C-1, D-4
    (b) A-3, B-1, C-2, D-4
    (c) A-4, B-2, C-1, D-3
    (d) A-4, B-1, C-2, D-3

  • India Japan mobility deepens through the Specified Skilled Worker route and Assam semiconductors

    Why in the News?

    Youth from India’s Northeast are training as caregivers and agriculture workers for an ageing Japan under the Specified Skilled Worker (SSW) programme. This channels India’s demographic surplus into Japan’s labour shortage and links mobility to investment such as Japanese financed projects and the Assam semiconductor ecosystem.

    What is the Specified Skilled Worker (SSW) programme?

    1. Residence status from 2019: Japan introduced the SSW status of residence in 2019 to let blue collar foreign workers obtain a working visa for up to five years.
    2. Eligibility: Applicants must pass a Japanese language test and a specified skills exam in one of 16 fields, including nursing care, food and beverage manufacturing and industrial products.

    What is Official Development Assistance (ODA) through JICA?

    1. JICA loans: The Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) is Japan’s development agency that extends concessional ODA loans for infrastructure and social projects.
    2. Northeast footprint: JICA finances road corridors in Meghalaya, health facilities in Mizoram, Nagaland and Assam, and is joining Assam’s semiconductor ambitions.

    What is the A-SEMI project?

    1. Assam semiconductor ecosystem: The Assam Semiconductor Ecosystem on Manufacturing and Innovation (A-SEMI) is a state government project with JICA, alongside Tata Electronics’ assembly and testing facility expected to begin production this year.
    2. Research linkage: A Japanese firm signed a memorandum with IIT Guwahati for collaborative research in semiconductor manufacturing.

    Why is Japan turning to foreign workers?

    1. The 2040 problem: Japan’s working population is projected to fall from 66.34 million in 2025 to 55.42 million in 2040, threatening severe labour shortages.
    2. Ageing pressure: By 2040 there will be three seniors aged 65 and above for every teenager under 15.
    3. Scaled intake: Japan expects to accept 8.05 lakh Specified Skill Workers by the end of March 2029, with highest demand in industrial manufacturing, food and beverages and nursing care.

    How does this pathway serve India and the Northeast?

    1. Remittances: A caregiver in Japan can send home Rs 50,000 to Rs 60,000 a month, far above local nursing wages of around Rs 15,000.
    2. State backing: Assam subsidises SSW training fees, Manipur University opened a Japanese Language Centre, and Mizoram signed agreements with training centres.
    3. Cultural affinity: Widespread interest in Japanese media and easier physical assimilation draw young people from the region into the programme.

    Where does India stand among Japan’s foreign workforce?

    1. China leads: China was the largest foreign resident group in Japan at the end of 2025 with 9.3 lakh residents.
    2. Ahead of India: Vietnam, South Korea, the Philippines and Nepal all rank above India in resident numbers.
    3. India’s small slice: There were 53,974 Indian nationals in Japan as of December 2024, a fraction of the foreign worker pool.
    4. The joint target: India and Japan set an aspirational target of exchanging more than 5,00,000 personnel in both directions over five years, including 50,000 skilled personnel from India.

    What are the challenges to India Japan labour mobility?

    1. Language barrier: School level Japanese proves inadequate for daily workplace use, slowing settlement and placement.
    2. Migration safeguards: Ensuring legal, documented channels is essential to prevent exploitation of workers moving abroad.
    3. Skill drain: Trained nurses and caregivers leaving India can deepen shortages in the Northeast’s own health system.
    4. Small scale: Placement numbers remain nascent relative to Japan’s demand and India’s demographic potential.
    5. Isolation and costs: New arrivals face social loneliness and heavy documentation and relocation costs before earning.
    6. Certification bottlenecks: Delays such as the Certificate of Eligibility can stall departures despite cleared exams.

    Conclusion

    India Japan mobility is at an early but expanding stage, with the SSW route, JICA financed projects and the A-SEMI semiconductor plan tying labour flows to investment. The next milestone is the launch of the A-SEMI project and progress towards the joint target of 5,00,000 personnel over five years, alongside Japan’s planned intake of 8.05 lakh Specified Skill Workers by March 2029.

    Back2Basics:

    Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA)

    1. Type: Japan’s governmental agency for delivering Official Development Assistance (ODA).
    2. Headquarters: Tokyo, Japan.
    3. Mandate: Provides concessional loans, grants and technical cooperation for infrastructure and social development in partner countries.
    4. India role: A major bilateral development partner financing metro rail, connectivity, health and industrial projects, including in the Northeast.

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2019] The time has come for India and Japan to build a strong contemporary relationship, one involving global and strategic partnership that will have a great significance for Asia and the world as a whole.” Comment.

    Linkage: The question examines the strategic and economic dimensions of the India-Japan Special Strategic and Global Partnership. The article shows how India-Japan ties are expanding beyond infrastructure to skilled mobility, human resource cooperation and semiconductor collaboration, deepening the strategic partnership.

  • The race for the next UN Secretary General and the UNSC straw poll

    Why in the News?

    The United Nations Security Council (UNSC) held its first straw poll to choose the next United Nations Secretary General (UNSG), whose five year term begins on 1 January 2027. The exercise exposed that the outcome turns on acceptability to the five permanent members and their veto, not on multilateral merit.

    How is the UN Secretary General appointed?

    1. Article 97 of the UN Charter: The Secretary General is appointed by the General Assembly upon the recommendation of the Security Council.
    2. Security Council primacy: The Council forwards a single name to the General Assembly for endorsement, giving it decisive control over the choice.

    What is the process for candidate nomination and campaigning?

    1. Public hearings: Candidates present their vision statements in the General Assembly for transparency and answer questions from member states (informal dialogues)
    2. Joint letter: The UNSC President and the UNGA President will jointly write a formal letter to all member states asking them to nominate candidates.
    3. Nominations: Member States officially submit the names of their candidates, including their biodata.

    What is a straw poll?

    1. Secret ballot: The 15-nation Security Council (UNSC) conducts a series of secret ballots (Straw Polls) to assess the strength of the candidates.
    2. Voting options: UNSC members mark slips carrying a candidate’s name as encourage, discourage, or no opinion, without disclosing which state voted how.
    3. Signalling a veto: In later rounds the slips of the permanent members are coloured, so a coloured discourage slip indicates a likely veto by a permanent member.
    4. Minimum votes: A candidate must receive at least 9 positive votes and no vetoes from the P5 countries to be elected
    5. Single name: The Security Council finalizes the name of a single candidate and recommends it to the General Assembly by secret resolution

    Who are the five permanent members that decide the outcome?

    1. The P5: China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom and the United States hold permanent seats with veto power.
    2. Non permanent members: Ten members are elected for two year terms by the General Assembly, giving the Council 15 members in total.

    How is the approval given by the General Assembly?

    1. Final vote: The General Assembly (UNGA), which has 193 member states, will vote on the name sent by the Security Council.
    2. Majority: Usually this option is approved unanimously or by a simple majority.
    3. Term of Office: The elected Secretary General will be appointed for a term of 5 years. They will be eligible for re-election

    Why do the permanent members dominate the selection?

    1. The consensus threshold: Repeated straw polls run until one candidate secures nine encourage slips and no coloured discourage slip, meaning support of the majority and no veto.
    2. Acceptability over merit: Success may go not to the strongest diplomatic candidate but to one acceptable to all five permanent members.
    3. Great power divergence: The three front runners enjoy good relations with the United States, yet China and Russia may hold their own views that reshape the field.

    Who are the front runners and what regional logic applies?

    1. Regional rotation: With the current holder from Portugal and predecessors from Asia and Africa, expectation favours a candidate from Latin America.
    2. A woman contender: No woman has held the post, strengthening the case for a female Latin American candidate.
    3. Leading names: The head of UN Trade and Development from Costa Rica, Guyana’s Permanent Representative, and the Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) from Argentina scored well.
    4. Open field: There is no bar on new entrants, so more candidates may emerge as the process unfolds.

    What are the challenges to the UNSG selection process

    1. Opaque bargaining: Decisive negotiations occur privately among the P5, limiting the General Assembly to endorsement.
    2. Veto capture: A single permanent member can block the most qualified candidate through a coloured discourage slip.
    3. Underrepresentation: Regions such as Latin America have never held the post, exposing a persistent geographic imbalance.
    4. Limited transparency reforms: Public candidate hearings introduced in recent cycles have not displaced the closed straw poll as the real gatekeeper.
    5. Great power rivalry: East and West divisions within the P5 can deadlock the choice and force compromise candidates.
    6. No fixed criteria: The absence of binding qualifications lets geopolitical acceptability outweigh administrative competence.

    Conclusion

    The next Secretary General will be selected through a Security Council process where the veto makes acceptability to the P5 the decisive test. Straw polling has begun with Latin American front runners, and further rounds with coloured slips will reveal whether any candidate can clear the veto threshold before the term begins on 1 January 2027.

    Back2Basics:

    United Nations Security Council (UNSC)

    1. Formation Year: 1945.
    2. Headquarters: New York City, United States.
    3. Mandate: Primary responsibility for the maintenance of international peace and security.
    4. Composition: 15 members; 5 permanent members (United States, United Kingdom, France, Russia, China) with veto power and 10 non permanent members elected for two year terms.
    5. Powers: Can authorise peacekeeping, sanctions, military action and the admission of new UN members.

    Role of UN- Secretary General

    The Secretary-General of the United Nations acts as the chief administrative officer, global diplomat, and spokesperson for the organization. Current officeholder António Guterres leads the United Nations by managing daily operations, mediating global conflicts, and bringing threats to international peace to the Security Council.

    Administrative Duties

    1. Manages the UN Secretariat and its global staff.
    2. Prepares the organization’s budget and handles financial administration.
    3. Appoints top UN officials and staff members.

    Diplomatic and Political Role

    1. Mediates disputes between member nations.
    2. Warns the Security Council about any crisis that may threaten world peace.
    3. Serves as a neutral global moral voice and public advocate for vulnerable people

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2025] The reform process in the United Nations remains unresolved, because of the delicate imbalance of East and West and entanglement of the USA vs. Russo-Chinese alliance. Examine and critically evaluate the East-West policy confrontations in this regard.

    Linkage: The question examines how East-West rivalry and P5 politics have stalled reforms in the United Nations. The UNSG selection process reflects this unresolved power imbalance, as the P5 veto and geopolitical bargaining outweigh merit in choosing the UN Secretary-General.

  • NATO enters a new strategic era as burden shifts to Europe and openings emerge for India

    Why in the News

    The 36th North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) Summit held in Ankara (July 2026) highlighted a shift in transatlantic security, with the United States (US) urging European allies to take greater responsibility for conventional defence, allowing Washington to focus more on the Indo-Pacific.

    What is NATO?

    • North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is a military alliance established in 1949 under the Washington Treaty.
    • Based on collective defence under Article 5, where an attack on one member is considered an attack on all.
    • Members: 32 countries (including Finland and Sweden).

    Key Developments

    • US expects European allies to assume primary responsibility for conventional defence.
    • Greater emphasis on burden-sharing through higher defence spending.
    • US continues as NATO’s: Nuclear guarantor. Strategic enabler. Political leader.

    Evolution of NATO

    • NATO 1.0 (1949-1991): Cold War; deterrence against the Soviet Union.
    • NATO 2.0 (1991-2022): Eastward expansion and operations in the Balkans and Afghanistan.
    • NATO 3.0 (2022 onwards): Europe strengthens conventional defence while the US focuses increasingly on the Indo-Pacific.

    Significance for India

    • Greater US strategic focus on the Indo-Pacific.
    • Enhanced opportunities for India-Europe cooperation in: Defence manufacturing. Artificial Intelligence (AI). Cybersecurity. Semiconductors. Space technology.
    • Supports India’s strategic autonomy through diversified partnerships.

    Challenges

    • Burden-sharing disagreements among NATO members.
    • Europe’s dependence on US military capabilities.
    • Industrial capacity constraints.
    • Continuing Russia-Ukraine conflict.
    • Simultaneous security commitments in Europe and the Indo-Pacific.

    Value Addition

    Article 5: The cornerstone of NATO, providing collective defence. It has been invoked only once, after the 11 September 2001 (9/11) terrorist attacks on the United States.

    Article 10: Allows European states to join NATO by unanimous agreement of existing members.

    • NATO and India
      • India is not a NATO member.
      • India engages with several NATO members through bilateral defence cooperation while maintaining strategic autonomy.

    “[2024] Consider the following pairs:
    Country : Reason for being in the news
    1. Argentina : Worst economic crisis
    2. Sudan : War between the country’s regular army and paramilitary forces
    3. Turkey : Rescinded its membership of NATO
    How many of the pairs given above are correctly matched?
    (a) Only one pair
    (b) Only two pairs
    (c) All three pairs
    (d) None of the pairs

  • Why has Pakistan-occupied Kashmir erupted in protests?

    Why in the News?

    Simmering discontent over inflation and opaque governance in Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK) has escalated into a violent security crackdown. The Jammu Kashmir Joint Awami Action Committee (JKJAAC) is leading opposition to a three-phase election and to 12 seats reserved for refugees in the 53-seat legislature. The unrest exposes the gap between an establishment-backed electoral process and a local demand for genuine political representation.

    Who are the Jammu Kashmir Joint Awami Action Committee (JKJAAC)?

    1. The JKJAAC is an alliance of civil society groups leading the protest movement in PoK. It has been protesting in Rawalakot, Muzaffarabad, and other locations.
    2. Demand: It seeks a more representative political system and removal of the reserved seats. It alleges the current election process is rigged.

    What is Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK)?

    1. Definition: PoK is the part of the former princely State of Jammu and Kashmir under Pakistan’s control since 1947. India regards it as territory under illegal occupation.
    2. Two Regions: Pakistan administers the area as Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK) and Gilgit-Baltistan.
    3. India’s position: The Ministry of External Affairs maintains that the Union Territories of Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh are integral and inalienable parts of India. It asserts Pakistan is in illegal and forcible occupation and considers local laws or elections void.

    How did a price protest become a movement for representation?

    1. Origins: The movement emerged after the COVID-19 pandemic to curb the prices of essential items. It evolved over the years into a protest against the lack of local political representation.
    2. Legislature structure: The PoK legislature has 53 seats, of which 45 are elected and 8 are nominated. Of the 45 elected seats, 12 are reserved for refugees of Indian Jammu and Kashmir who migrated after 1947.
    3. Grievance over reserved seats: Voters for these 12 seats cast ballots from outside PoK. Locals claim the reserved seats reduce regional representation and let Islamabad override local concerns.
    4. Escalation: The JKJAAC called a “long march” after authorities proceeded with the election without addressing the demand. The protest gained momentum after a PhD scholar was reportedly killed in police firing in Rawalakot.

    Why is Islamabad’s relationship with PoK strained?

    1. Developmental neglect: Mainstream parties have not met the region’s developmental aspirations. Locals allege long-standing neglect by Islamabad.
    2. Inflammatory rhetoric: The Pakistan Defence Minister called the protesters “enemies just like Indians”. The remark inflamed public sentiment.
    3. Parallel with other regions: The complaints echo those long voiced in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan. Both regions have seen protests and insurgencies for decades.
    4. Rigging allegations: The second phase of polling drew allegations of irregularities. The Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz swept the phase, enabling it to form the regional government.

    How have India and international actors responded?

    1. India’s condemnation: The Ministry of External Affairs blamed the Pakistani establishment for the deaths of over 40 civilians. It called the ongoing polls a cosmetic exercise to camouflage illegal occupation.
    2. JKJAAC’s distancing: The committee rejected any Indian attempt to appropriate the movement. It stated the civil rights movement is neither a proxy nor an extension of interstate rivalries.
    3. Amnesty International: Amnesty urged Pakistan to restore communications access and allow media and independent observers. It responded to a communication blackout in PoK.
    4. United Kingdom diaspora: Non-resident Mirpuri Kashmiris with a strong presence in the UK began an online campaign. It urges restraint on Pakistan’s security establishment.

    Conclusion

    The unrest reflects a contest between an establishment-managed election and a local movement rejecting its political basis. The current status is a continuing three-phase poll amid a deadly crackdown and a communication blackout. Whether the protests subside depends on whether Islamabad addresses the demand over reserved seats, which it has so far refused.

    Back2Basics

    1. PoK: Pakistan-occupied Kashmir, part of the former princely State of Jammu and Kashmir under Pakistan’s control since 1947; India treats it as illegally occupied territory.
    2. Legislature: The PoK assembly has 53 seats, 45 elected and 8 nominated, with 12 elected seats reserved for post-1947 refugees.
    3. Line of Control: The military control line dividing Indian and Pakistani-administered Kashmir, formalised after the Shimla Agreement of 1972.
    4. India’s stance: The Union Territories of Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh are integral parts of India, with Pakistan in illegal and forcible occupation of parts of them.

  • India cushions energy security against the Strait of Hormuz disruption

    Why in the News?

    India’s Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) imports rose despite disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz during the West Asia conflict. Imports were diversified to the United States, Nigeria, Oman, and Angola as supply from Qatar collapsed. The Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) will also reserve half its Mangaluru facility as a strategic petroleum reserve, exposing the link between supply diversification and physical storage in energy security.

    What is the Strait of Hormuz?

    1. The Strait of Hormuz is the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman connecting the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea. It is a critical energy chokepoint.
    2. Strategic weight: The strait usually carries about a fifth of global oil and LNG shipments. Its disruption during the conflict threatened a large share of India’s gas supply.

    What is Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG)?

    1. Definition: LNG is natural gas cooled to liquid form for transport by ship over long distances. It is regasified at import terminals for use.
    2. India’s dependence: LNG imports meet about half of India’s natural gas requirement. Around 60% of those imports came through the Strait of Hormuz, mainly from Qatar and the UAE.

    How did India cushion the disruption?

    1. Higher overall imports: LNG imports in May-July rose 15.4% year-on-year to 7.08 million tonnes. This followed a near 13% dip in March-April, the first two months of the war.
    2. Supplier diversification: The United States supplied 2.19 million tonnes, up sharply year-on-year. Oman, Nigeria and Angola also rose steeply.
    3. Russian Crude: Russia increased its share to supply roughly 40% of India’s crude imports, bypassing the Hormuz chokepoint entirely.
    4. Collapse of traditional sources: Supply from Qatar plunged 91.3% to 0.23 million tonnes, against a monthly average of 1 million tonnes in 2025. UAE fell 34.4% to 0.55 million tonnes.
    5. Supply over price: India prioritised securing volumes over price to meet demand from city gas, fertiliser, power, and ceramics. LNG prices are expected to stay high, near 19 to 20 dollars per million British thermal units.
    6. Infrastructure Adaptability: West coast terminals like Mundra handled very large crude carriers (VLCCs) from non-Middle Eastern channels.
    7. Ethanol Blending: E20 petrol implementation reduced overall crude import demand by substituting 20% of domestic petrol with local ethanol.

    What is a Strategic Petroleum Reserve?

    1. Definition: A strategic petroleum reserve is a stockpile of crude oil held to cushion supply shocks and price spikes. It is drawn down during import disruptions.
    2. ONGC facility: ONGC is developing a 1.75 million metric tonne facility at Mangaluru. Half of this storage will be reserved as strategic storage, with the rest for commercial operations.
    3. Current buffer: India’s existing crude and petroleum product storage can meet about 74 days of net crude import requirements. The government plans an additional 6.5 million metric tonnes, including at Chandikhol in Odisha and Padur in Karnataka.

    What are the challenges to India’s energy security buffer?

    1. Chokepoint concentration: A single waterway still carries most of India’s Gulf LNG. Any renewed closure of the strait re-exposes this dependence.
    2. Price-driven demand loss: High LNG prices push price-sensitive sectors like industry and power to alternative fuels. This demand destruction undercuts LNG’s role in the energy mix.
    3. Storage gap: A 74-day buffer sits below the 90-day cover the International Energy Agency recommends. Planned reserves are years from completion.
    4. Import dependence: India imports the bulk of its crude and much of its gas. Diversification reduces but does not remove the exposure to external shocks.
    5. Transit workarounds: Some suppliers exported by switching off tanker transponders to evade detection. Such tactics reflect the fragility of normal shipping through the region.

    Conclusion

    India managed the Hormuz disruption by rapidly re-routing LNG procurement to unaffected suppliers rather than cutting imports. The current status is a diversified supplier mix dominated by the United States and Oman, with strategic storage being expanded at Mangaluru and new sites. The next milestone is commissioning the additional 6.5 million tonnes of reserve capacity to lift the buffer toward international norms.

    Back2Basics

    Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)

    1. Definition: A Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) is an emergency crude oil stockpile to protect against supply and price shocks.
    2. Manager: India’s SPR programme is run by Indian Strategic Petroleum Reserves Limited (ISPRL) under the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas.
    3. Phase I sites: Visakhapatnam, Mangaluru, and Padur, with a combined capacity of about 5.33 million metric tonnes.
    4. Global benchmark: The International Energy Agency recommends reserves covering 90 days of net oil imports.
    5. Hormuz significance: The Strait of Hormuz handles roughly a fifth of global oil and LNG trade, making it the world’s most critical oil chokepoint.

    PYQ Relevance

    [UPSC 2025] ‘Energy security constitutes the dominant kingpin of India’s foreign policy, and is linked with India’s overarching influence in Middle Eastern countries.’ How would you integrate energy security with India’s foreign policy trajectories in the coming years?

    Linkage: UPSC recognises energy security as a key determinant of India’s foreign policy and strategic engagement with West Asia. The article shows how supplier diversification, strategic petroleum reserves, and secure maritime supply routes strengthen India’s energy security amid geopolitical disruptions.