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Subject: International Relations

  • Dealings at a China-Africa forum that India must track

    Why in the News?

    The 9th edition of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) is scheduled to be held in Beijing from 4th to 6th September, 2024.

    About the China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC)

    The Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) was established in 2000 to enhance the strategic partnership between China and African nations. It serves as a platform for collective dialogue and cooperation in various sectors, including trade, investment, and development.

    Challenges of China-Africa Debt:

    • Chinese loans to African countries amounted to approximately $170 billion from 2000 to 2022. However, Chinese lenders represent only about 12% of Africa’s total public and private debt, indicating that China is not the primary creditor.
    • A significant portion of Chinese loans is not disclosed in sovereign debt records, complicating the understanding of Africa’s overall debt levels. This lack of transparency raises concerns about the sustainability of these debts.
    • Despite concerns over “debt trap diplomacy,” China is unlikely to forgive or cancel debts but may consider writing off smaller, interest-free loans.

    African Priorities at FOCAC 2024

    • Economic Goals: African nations are focusing on enhancing trade relations with China, with a modest goal of $300 billion in imports from Africa between 2022-2024. As of mid-2024, trade has reached $167 billion, primarily dominated by raw materials.
    • Agricultural Development: There is a pressing need to develop a sustainable agricultural industry in Africa. This includes improving the processing of agricultural commodities and leveraging the expertise of countries like China and India to enhance crop resilience and productivity.
    • Green Energy and Industrialization: African countries are advocating for the establishment of refining and processing hubs to increase the value added from their raw materials.

    What are the learnings that India can have?

    • Continuity in Engagement: India should emphasize consistent engagement with Africa, particularly by organizing the India-Africa Forum Summit (IAFS-IV) to capitalize on recent momentum, especially after the African Union’s inclusion in the G-20.
    • Support for Industrialization: Indian companies are encouraged to invest in higher value-added sectors in Africa, such as agriculture and pharmaceuticals, to foster local employment and market development.
    • Private Sector Participation: Greater involvement of the Indian private sector is essential, along with innovative financing solutions like public-private partnerships to support projects in Africa.
    • Digital and Financial Connectivity: Utilizing India’s digital stack and establishing rupee-based financial transactions can enhance connectivity and reduce forex risks for African nations.

    Conclusion: India should deepen its strategic partnerships with African nations by expanding bilateral and multilateral engagements, focusing on key sectors like healthcare, digital infrastructure, and renewable energy. Leveraging India’s experience in these areas can help address African development needs while enhancing India’s influence on the continent.

    Mains PYQ:

    Q Increasing interest of India in Africa has its pros and cons. Critically Examine. (UPSC IAS/2015)

  • [2nd September 2024] The Hindu Op-ed: ​A silent democratic backlash in South Asia 

    [2nd September 2024] The Hindu Op-ed: ​A silent democratic backlash in South Asia 

    PYQ Relevance:

    Q ‘India is an age-old friend of Sri Lanka.’ Discuss India’s role in the recent crisis in Sri Lanka in the light of the preceding statement. (UPSC IAS/2022)

    Q Critically examine the compulsions that prompted India to play a decisive roles in the emergence of Bangladesh. (UPSC IAS/2013)

    Q The protests in Shahbag Square in Dhaka in Bangladesh reveal a fundamental split in society between the nationalists and Islamic forces. What is its significance for India? (UPSC IAS/2013)

    Q Analyze internal security threats and transborder crimes along Myanmar, Bangladesh, and Pakistan borders including the Line of Control (LoC). Also, discuss the role played by various security forces in this regard. (UPSC IAS/2020)

    Mentor comment: India’s engagement with its neighbors is crucial for navigating the complex political landscape in South Asia. India’s timely financial bailout to Sri Lanka demonstrates its commitment to regional stability, yet it also reflects the challenges of managing relationships in a volatile environment. India must respect the democratic choices of its neighbours, avoiding interference that could harm relationships, as seen in past interactions with Maldivian leaders. 

    The article emphasises that India must adopt a more sustained and nuanced approach to engagement with its neighbours to support democratic processes and counter external influences effectively. India’s developmental support is a vital tool for fostering goodwill and stability in the region, as seen in its projects that have benefited local populations.

    _

    Let’s learn!

    Why in the News?

    India requires “more sustained engagement” with neighbours to navigate the complex political landscape, implying its current level of engagement is insufficient to fully shape outcomes.

    India sometimes overestimates its influence in its neighbourhood for a few key reasons:

    • Political Crises in Bangladesh and Maldives: In cases like Bangladesh and Maldives, India failed to anticipate political changes and did not engage sufficiently with new governments. This shows India misjudged the situation and its influence.
    • Financial Crises in Sri Lanka: While India has had some successes, like bailing out Sri Lanka financially, events have often spiraled out of its control in places like Myanmar and Bangladesh. This indicates limitations to India’s regional influence.
    • Afghanistan’s Taliban: India anticipated the Taliban’s return but was sidelined by the U.S. in engagement efforts, now facing fallout.
    • Myanmar’s Military Rule: The military regained control in February 2021, complicating India’s position as conflict spills into its northeastern states.

    When things go wrong in the neighborhood, India engages in “unwarranted self-flagellation“, believing it could have prevented negative outcomes if it had acted differently. This suggests India credits itself too much in its ability to shape events.

    What is India’s Response to Neighborhood Challenges?

    • India’s missteps and misjudgments have cost it in some cases, while events have spiraled out of control in others due to external factors.
    • India has provided a financial bailout to Sri Lanka, has engaged patiently with the new Maldivian government, expressed willingness to work with the Taliban in Afghanistan, and re-extended friendship with Nepal.
    • Myanmar and Bangladesh pose serious challenges given their centrality to India’s interests.
      • In Myanmar, India needs to engage with ethnic groups in addition to the military and NLD to prevent civil war.
      • With Bangladesh, India requires a new understanding with parties, including those unfavorable to India, to keep external anti-India forces at bay.
    Strategies for India to Strengthen Ties with the New Maldivian Government:

    Engage proactively: India should have engaged with President Mohamed Muizzu earlier, instead of being caught off guard by his huge election win in 2024.
    Respect democratic processes: India should respect the democratic choices of the Maldivian people, and interfering in internal affairs or pressuring leaders can backfire, as seen with President Nasheed in 2008-12.
    Expand cooperation areas: India should explore new avenues like trade, investment, tourism, and people-to-people ties can strengthen the relationship.
    Maintain bipartisan outreach: India has built bridges across the political spectrum in Sri Lanka, while a similar approach in the Maldives can help India navigate political transitions smoothly.
    Leverage developmental support: India can continue to provide aid and implement projects that benefit the Maldivian people can deepen goodwill.
    Coordinate with allies: India should coordinate its Maldives policy with allies like the United States, Japan, and European nations. This collective influence can make India’s outreach more effective.

    Conclusion:

    India’s developmental support has been underestimated as a bedrock for fostering closer ties with neighbours and their people. India needs more sustained engagement with its neighbours to navigate the complex political landscape and support democratic processes.

  • A crisis in WANA that no one talks about 

    Why in the News?

    The fight between the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF), led by General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), led by General Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, also known as Hemayti (“My Protector”), has caused severe destruction in Sudan.

    Historical Background of Sudan

    • Civil Strife and Governance: Sudan has a history of civil strife, marked by 15 military coups and two civil wars since its independence in 1956, resulting in 1.5 million deaths and the secession of South Sudan in 2011. The conflict in Darfur has been particularly notable, involving the Janjaweed militia and leading to over 200,000 deaths and millions displaced.
    • Current Crisis Genesis: The ongoing conflict is rooted in the 30 years of autocratic rule by Omar Hassan al-Bashir, who was overthrown in 2019. The subsequent attempts to establish a civilian government failed, culminating in a military coup in October 2021, which led to the current armed conflict between the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) starting on April 15, 2023.

    Global Power Competition and Regional Powers Influence

    • Foreign Involvement: Sudan’s conflict has drawn significant foreign interest due to its strategic location and natural resources. Egypt supports the SAF, while Iran backs the SAF despite its rivalry with Egypt. The UAE has emerged as the primary supporter of the RSF, providing weapons and resources. Russia’s Wagner Group has also supported the RSF, while the Kremlin seeks a naval base in Port Sudan.
    • Geopolitical Dynamics: The conflict has created complex alliances, with countries like Chad and Libya also involved. Mercenaries from various regions, including South Sudan and Ukraine, have joined the fray, complicating the conflict further.

    Sudan and Syria Issue:

    • Humanitarian Crisis: Sudan’s crisis is particularly acute due to its strategic location and resource wealth, leading to a massive displacement crisis, with over 10 million people displaced since April 2023
    • Parallel Conflicts: Both Sudan and Syria have experienced severe internal conflicts driven by authoritarian regimes, regional power plays, and foreign interventions, leading to widespread human suffering and instability.

    India’s Strategic Considerations:

    • Economic Interests: India’s trade with Sudan reached $2,034 million in 2022-23, with a significant trade surplus. India has also invested heavily in Sudan’s oil sector, with cumulative investments worth $2.3 billion.
    • Historical Ties: India has maintained strong people-to-people ties with Sudan, including educational exchanges and medical tourism. President A.P.J. Abdul Kalam’s visit in 2003 reinforced these relations.
    • Humanitarian and Diplomatic Engagement: India evacuated its nationals early in the conflict, but the ongoing crisis may require continued diplomatic and humanitarian engagement to protect its broader interests in the region.

    Way forward: 

    • Strengthen Multilateral Diplomacy: India should collaborate with international bodies like the UN and the African Union to promote peace initiatives in Sudan, leveraging its neutral position to mediate and support conflict resolution efforts that safeguard regional stability and its strategic interests.
    • Expand Humanitarian and Development Aid: India can bolster its humanitarian assistance, focusing on essential services like healthcare and education, while also exploring opportunities for post-conflict reconstruction projects, ensuring long-term economic engagement and goodwill in Sudan.
  •  Pacific Islands Forum back joint police plan, maintain ties with Taiwan 

    Why in the News?

    Pacific leaders endorsed a significant joint policing initiative and rejected attempts by China’s allies to marginalize Taiwan in the Pacific Islands Forum (PIF), held in Tonga.

                  (Note: India and Taiwan are not a member countries.)

    Why are the countries sticking to Taiwan despite the pressure?

    • Reaffirmation of Taiwan’s Status: The Pacific Islands Forum (PIF) leaders reaffirmed Taiwan’s participation as a “development partner,” despite efforts from China and the Solomon Islands to sideline Taiwan. 
      • Countries emphasize the importance of maintaining existing agreements from 1992 that recognize Taiwan’s role in the forum.
    • Support from Allies: Countries like New Zealand and the United States expressed support for Taiwan’s inclusion in the PIF, highlighting that any decision regarding the exclusion of parties should be made through consensus.
    • Resistance to Chinese Influence: Many nations recognize the strategic importance of Taiwan and its contributions against China’s increasing influence, leading them to uphold its involvement.

    Significance of Taiwan for India: 

    • Strategic Balance in the Indo-Pacific: Taiwan is a crucial player in the Indo-Pacific region, and  India’s engagement with Taiwan serves as a counterbalance to China.
    • Economic and Technological Cooperation: Taiwan is a global leader in semiconductor manufacturing and advanced technology, areas where India seeks to enhance its capabilities.
    • People-to-People Ties and Education: Taiwan offers significant opportunities for Indian students and professionals in education and skill development.
      • For example, in 2018, the number of Indian students enrolled in Taiwanese universities reached 2,398, marking a 56% increase from the previous year.
    • Diversifying Supply Chains: In the wake of global disruptions due to COVID-19, India aims to diversify its supply chains. Taiwan’s expertise in manufacturing and electronics presents opportunities for India to reduce its dependence on other countries, particularly China, for critical components and technology.

    What did the forum say on the Climate cash and French press?

    • Climate Finance Initiatives: The forum committed to organizing a “global pledging event” to raise funds for climate initiatives, with a goal of $500 million.
      • This decision was supported by UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, who emphasized the urgent need for climate finance in the Pacific, which is disproportionately affected by rising sea levels.
      • Although not officially on the agenda, deep-sea mining generated significant discussion among forum members. A company backed by Nauru plans to scale up ocean mining operations, while other members, like Palau, called for a moratorium due to environmental concerns. 
    • Concerns Over French Governance: The French government faced criticism during the forum for its handling of unrest in New Caledonia. A Pacific delegation is expected to conduct a fact-finding mission there, indicating ongoing tensions regarding French governance in the region and the need for improved oversight.

    Conclusion: India should enhance diplomatic and economic ties with Taiwan by establishing formal mechanisms for regular dialogue and collaboration in areas such as technology, trade, education, and healthcare. This will reinforce strategic partnerships while respecting the “One China” policy framework. 

  • [30th August 2024] The Hindu Op-ed: Connecting the dots in the Kyiv visit

    [30th August 2024] The Hindu Op-ed: Connecting the dots in the Kyiv visit

    PYQ Relevance:

    Q Russia and Ukraine war has been going on for the last seven months. Different countries have taken independent stands and actions keeping in view their own national interests. We are all aware that war has its own impact on the different aspects of society, including human tragedy. What are those ethical issues that are crucial to be considered while launching the war and its continuation so far? Illustrate with justification the ethical issues involved in the given state of affairs. (2022)

    Q “What introduces friction into the ties between India and the United States is that Washington is still unable to find for India a position in its global strategy, which would satisfy India’s National self-esteem. (2019)

    Mentors’ Comment: PM Narendra Modi visited Kyiv (Ukraine) and met with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on August 23, 2024. This was the first visit by an Indian PM to Ukraine since its independence in 1991. The visit garnered significant global attention, particularly regarding India’s potential role in mediating the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

    Despite India’s cautious stance, PM Modi emphasized India’s commitment to supporting Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. He advocated for a peaceful resolution through dialogue, stating “No problem can be resolved on a battlefield.” India has maintained a neutral stance, abstaining from UN resolutions critical of Russia while advocating for direct dialogue.

    Let’s learn –

    Why in the News?

    There are strong reasons to believe that Prime Minister Modi’s visit to Ukraine may have included a peace initiative as part of its agenda.

    India’s Consistent Foreign Policy Approach:

    • Non-Alignment and Strategic Autonomy: India’s foreign policy is historically rooted in non-alignment and strategic autonomy, focusing on balancing relationships with global powers and addressing territorial disputes peacefully.
    • Neutral Stance on Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Since the Russia-Ukraine war began in February 2022, India has maintained neutrality, avoiding condemnation of Russia, which has drawn criticism from Western nations.
      • Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar has indicated that India might be interested in mediating the conflict between Russia and Ukraine,  if approached but would not initiate the mediation on its own.
    • Commitment to UN Principles: India advocates for respect for the United Nations charter and peaceful resolution of disputes through international institutions like the UN.

    A Possible Broader Strategy

    • Peace Initiative: The Indian Prime Minister’s visit to Ukraine involved a peace initiative, though enhancing bilateral relations with Ukraine appears unlikely due to India’s lack of dependency on Ukraine for trade, defence, or technology.
    • Balancing Act: The visit could be a balancing act following the PM’s visit to Russia, positioning India as a neutral party and reinforcing its role as a responsible global actor committed to peace.
    • Active Mediation Role: The visit may align with a broader strategy for India to take a more active role as a mediator or “communicator,” leveraging its ties with both Moscow and Washington.
    • Global South Involvement: India, as a prominent member of the Global South, aims to contribute to peace efforts, reflecting its role in international negotiations.

    Interests of Key Stakeholders

    • United States: The U.S. prefers negotiations from a position of strength. A temporary ceasefire or limited peace agreement facilitated by a neutral party like India could relieve conflict pressures and allow President Biden to focus on other foreign policy issues.
    • European Countries: Europe seeks a resolution to the conflict to address economic hardships and energy security concerns exacerbated by the war. A temporary peace could ease these challenges and provide breathing room.

    What should India do further? 

    • Leverage Diplomatic Neutrality to Facilitate Dialogue: India should continue to maintain its neutral stance and offer to facilitate dialogue between Russia and Ukraine. By positioning itself as a neutral mediator, India can help create channels for communication, potentially leading to a ceasefire or limited peace agreement.  
    • Engage with Global South and Key Stakeholders: India should actively engage with other Global South countries and key stakeholders, including the U.S. and European nations, to build consensus on a peaceful resolution.  
    • Balance Relations with Global Powers: India should carefully balance its relationships with both Russia and the West. By maintaining strong ties with both sides, India can ensure its strategic autonomy while contributing to a peaceful resolution.  

    Conclusion: Successfully mediating the conflict could elevate India’s global stature and align with his vision of India as a “Vishwamitra,” actively contributing to global peace and security. However, achieving even temporary peace is challenging due to deeply entrenched positions and the involvement of numerous international actors in the conflict.

    https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/connecting-the-dots-in-the-kyiv-visit/article68582527.ece

  • What does Australia’s new cap on a number of international students mean?  

    Why in the News?

    Australia’s Education Minister announced a plan to establish a National Planning Level (NPL) that will cap the number of new international students at 2.7 lakh for the 2025 calendar year, subject to parliamentary approval.

    What does the 2025 Cap entail?

    • Australia plans to introduce a cap on new international students at 2.7 lakh for the calendar year 2025.
    • Distribution of Seats:
      • Publicly funded universities: 1.45 lakh students (maintaining 2023 levels).
      • Vocational education and training (VET) sector: 95,000 new students.
      • Other universities and non-university providers: 30,000 students.
    • Certain categories, such as school students, research degree pursuers, students in standalone English language courses, government-sponsored scholars, and students from specific regions (e.g., Asia Pacific), are exempt from the cap.

    Trends in Indian Student Enrollment in Australia:

    • In 2023, Australia admitted 5.61 lakh international students, in 2022, it saw 3.88 lakhs, in 2021, it had 2.82 lakhs, in 2020, it had 3.96 lakhs, and in 2019, it saw 5.19 lakh students.
    • 2024 Projections: Between January and May 2024, the total student commencements reached 2.89 lakh, with additional intakes expected later in the year, possibly surpassing 2023 levels.
    • Five-Year Trend: The 2025 cap will result in the lowest intake in the past five years, considering the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on previous years’ admissions.

    Possible Impacts on Indians Since Last Year:

    • Enrollment Numbers: The number of Indian students in Australia saw a decline from 126,487 in 2023 to 118,109 in 2024.
    • This comes on the back of moves by the Australian government to curb migration over the past six months, including higher IELTS band score requirements and the Genuine Student Test for applicants.
      • Universities, especially the Group of Eight (Go8) research-intensive universities, have criticized the capping as a “bad policy” that will adversely impact them.
    • Rising Costs: The Australian government increased the visa processing fee from AUD 710 to AUD 1,600 (approximately Rs 40,524 to Rs 91,321) as of July 1, 2024. This could deter prospective applicants due to financial constraints.

    Way Forward: 

    • Increase Scholarships and Financial Aid: The Australian government and universities should offer more scholarships and financial aid packages to offset the higher costs and attract international students, particularly from India.
    • Strengthen Bilateral Education Ties: Enhance collaboration between Australian and Indian educational institutions to create joint programs and exchange opportunities, ensuring a steady flow of students despite the cap.
  • [29th August 2024] The Hindu Op-ed: ​A Silent democratic backlash in South Asia 

    [29th August 2024] The Hindu Op-ed: ​A Silent democratic backlash in South Asia 

    PYQ Relevance:

    Q The proposed withdrawal of the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) from Afghanistan in 2014 is fraught with major security implications for the region’s countries. Examine in light of the fact that India is faced with a plethora of challenges and needs to safeguard its own strategic interests. (UPSC IAS/2013)

    Q ‘India is an age-old friend of Sri Lanka.’ Discuss India’s role in the recent political crisis in Sri Lanka in the light of the preceding statement. (UPSC IAS/2022)

    Mentor comment: The political landscape in countries like India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh, where governments have faced criticism for undermining democratic institutions and processes. Elections in Bangladesh (January 7, 2024) resulted in PM Sheikh Hasina securing a fourth consecutive term. However, the elections were widely condemned by boycotting, demanding a caretaker government to oversee the electoral process. Similarly in Pakistan, the elections (February 8, 2024), were marred by allegations of irregularities and military influence. International observers and analysts have raised alarms about the military’s increasing control over political processes, which has led to Pakistan being classified as an authoritarian regime by the Economist Intelligence Unit.

    This backlash may be attributed to various factors, including economic challenges, social unrest, and the manipulation of electoral systems, which have led to a deterioration of public trust in democratic norms and practices. Today’s editorial emphasizes the importance of recognizing these trends as they pose risks to the stability and future of democracy in South Asia, urging a reevaluation of the political dynamics at play in the region.

    Let’s learn!

    __

    Why in the News?

    South Asian region is experiencing a subtle yet significant backlash against democratic governance, characterized by increasing authoritarian tendencies and a decline in civil liberties.

    On Emerging Democratic Backlash in India and Pakistan:

    • Middle-Class Attitudes: Historically, the middle classes in both countries have shown ambivalence towards democracy, sometimes favoring military rule, though a younger generation in Pakistan is becoming critical of military involvement in politics.
      • Presently, in India, there has been a democratic pushback against the BJP’s authoritarianism. People also fought against the dictatorship during the Emergency in 1975.
      • In Pakistan, the PTI emerged as a major political force, resonating with public sentiment against military influence, despite state machinery working against it.
    • Digital Backlash: Both countries are witnessing a silent democratic backlash, with citizens utilizing digital platforms and electoral participation to reclaim democratic spaces.

    What are the main causes of the democratic backlash in South Asia?

    • Authoritarian Tendencies: The noticeable shift towards authoritarianism is often characterized by the erosion of civil liberties, media suppression, and the undermining of democratic institutions.
      • For example, in India, the Modi government has been accused of implementing divisive policies and attacking minority rights, leading to a downgrade in its democratic status.
    • Electoral Integrity Issues: In Bangladesh, the 2024 elections were described as a “sham” and  Pakistan’s elections faced accusations of military interference and manipulation, particularly against the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party.
    • Polarization and Social Unrest: Politically, there are rising tensions between various social and ethnic groups. This leads to social unrest and can create an environment where authoritarian measures are justified as necessary for maintaining order.
    • Political Culture: In India, the middle class has at times expressed a preference for authoritarian rule when faced with perceived chaos, reflecting a complex relationship with democracy.
      • Similarly in Pakistan, the military’s historical role in politics has fostered a culture where military intervention is sometimes seen as a stabilizing force.
    • Economic Challenges: Issues such as poverty and unemployment exacerbate political discontent and can lead citizens to support more authoritarian governance as a means of achieving stability and order.
    Pakistan towards authoritarianism since its inception:

    1971 Events: Major protests led to significant political changes, including the first general election in 1970 and the eventual disintegration of East Pakistan in 1971, countering military intentions.
    2008 Events: Since 2008, Pakistan has experienced a relative transition to democracy with four general elections, but this has been met with military pushback.
    Present Dynamics: Recent elections (2018 and 2024) reveal a troubling trend of political elites forming alliances with the military, undermining democratic processes and targeting political opponents.

    India’s Democratic Trajectory:
    1975 Events: India was seen as a model democracy with a history of free elections and separation of powers, barring the Emergency period in 1975.
    •Since 2014: Indian Politics marked a shift towards an authoritarian model of governance characterized by executive overreach and a campaign for an “Opposition-free democracy”.
    •Judicial Activism and Overreach: Judicial activism has played a role in protecting rights and promoting social justice in India, filling legislative vacuums and enhancing administrative efficiency.
    However, judicial overreach can undermine parliamentary democracy by interfering with the functioning of the legislative and executive branches, damaging the balance between organs of government.

    Implication for South Asia

    • Silent democratic backlash: Factors like authoritarian tendencies, electoral integrity issues, military influence, economic challenges, and social unrest have contributed to the erosion of democratic norms and public trust in the region.
      • The international community has expressed concerns about the deteriorating state of democracy in South Asia, particularly in Pakistan where the military’s influence has led to its classification as an authoritarian regime.

    Conclusion: As citizens in both countries increasingly advocate for democratic governance, it is crucial to observe how these movements evolve, particularly in Pakistan, where the political landscape is more volatile.

    https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/a-silent-democratic-backlash-in-south-asia/article68577856.ece

  • How Canada’s policy of ‘reducing low-wage, temporary workers’ may impact Indians?       

    Why in the News?

    On Monday, August 26, Canadian PM Justin Trudeau announced that Canada would be “reducing the number of temporary foreign workers in low-wage jobs.”

    Who are these “Temporary Workers” in Canada?

    Temporary workers in Canada encompass various categories of individuals, including:

    • Temporary Work Visa Holders: These individuals come to Canada for a fixed duration, typically two years, to work in low-wage jobs that pay between CAD 13-19 per hour (approximately Rs 800-1,200 per hour).
    • International Students: After completing their studies, many international students remain in Canada on work visas for one to three years while applying for Permanent Residency (PR).
    • Spouse Open Work Permit Holders: Many international students bring their spouses to Canada, who can work in low-wage jobs under this permit.
    • Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA) Workers: These workers are hired under LMIA contracts, which allow employers to recruit foreign workers when they cannot find Canadians to fill job openings.
    • Humanitarian Arrivals and Youth Program Participants: This category includes individuals arriving through special humanitarian pathways, such as the Canada-Ukraine Authorization for Emergency Travel (CUAET), asylum seekers, and participants in reciprocal youth programs that allow Canadians to work abroad.

    How will Canada’s Policy of “Reducing” Such Workers Impact Indians?

    • Reduced Opportunities: The restrictions on temporary workers will limit job opportunities for many Indians, particularly students and their spouses, who make up a significant portion of the temporary workforce.
    • Impact on International Students: Indians constitute around 40% of Canada’s international student population, with a majority coming from Punjab. The new policy may restrict their ability to transition from temporary work to permanent residency.
    • Shift in Immigration Dynamics:  The introduction of restrictions emphasizes a policy shift that could deter potential migrants from considering Canada as a destination.

    Indians in Canada: 

    • The Indian community in Canada has grown significantly in recent years. Between 2000 and 2020, the registered Indian population increased from 670,000 to over 1 million.
    • As of 2021, there were approximately 1.8 million people of Indian origin in Canada, representing over 5% of the total population.
    • Indian students are the largest international student group in Canada, accounting for 20% of all international students in 2021. There were over 319,000 Indian students enrolled in Canadian institutions, contributing approximately US$ 4.9 billion to the Canadian economy in 2021
    • Many highly skilled Indian professionals contribute to various sectors, including technology, healthcare, and engineering. In 2022, over 15,000 Indian tech workers moved to Canada, enhancing the labor market with their expertise.

    Way forward: 

    • Strengthen Domestic Opportunities: India should focus on creating more job opportunities and enhancing skill development programs within the country to reduce dependency on foreign employment, ensuring that young professionals and students have viable career options at home.
    • Bilateral Engagement and Negotiation: Engage in diplomatic discussions with Canada to advocate for the interests of Indian workers and students, seeking to ensure continued access to work and study opportunities under fair and equitable conditions.
  • What is the Pacific Islands Forum (PIF)?

    Why in the News?

    The annual meeting of the Pacific Islands Forum (PIF) has begun in Nuku’alofa, the capital of Tonga.

    About Pacific Islands Forum (PIF):

    Details
    Establishment 1971
    Members 18 members: Australia, Cook Islands, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, French Polynesia, Kiribati, Nauru, New Caledonia, New Zealand, Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Republic of Marshall Islands, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Tuvalu, and Vanuatu.
    Vision Promote peace, harmony, security, social inclusion, and prosperity in the Pacific region.
    Framework Operates under the Framework for Pacific Regionalism which outlines strategic visions and objectives.
    Dialogue Partners 18, including major nations like the USA, China, India, and members of the EU.
    Key Focus Areas Environmental sustainability, economic growth, cultural development, and regional security.
    Leadership Directed by a Secretary-General, with annual meetings among leaders of member countries.

    Significance of PIF

    • The PIF advocates for global climate action and funds resilience efforts through the Pacific Resilience Facility (PRF) to support vulnerable Pacific nations.
    • It enhances cooperation among its 18 small island states, fostering joint decision-making on key regional issues.
    • The forum strengthens the Pacific’s ability to navigate geopolitical tensions between major powers like the US and China.
    • PIF promotes sustainable economic development through regional trade and investment initiatives.
    • It focuses on protecting the Pacific’s ecosystems by addressing challenges like ocean pollution and overfishing.

    PYQ:

    [2016] With reference to the ‘Trans-Pacific Partnership’, consider the following statements:

    1. It is an agreement among all the Pacific Rim countries except China and Russia.

    2. It is a strategic alliance for the purpose of maritime security only.

    Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

    (a) 1 only

    (b) 2 only

    (c) Both 1 and 2

    (d) Neither 1 nor 2

  • On the unrest in the Balochistan region

    Why in the News?

    The recent protests are a significant part of Balochistan’s long history of political struggles. They highlight the difficulties Pakistan faces in creating a country based solely on religion.

    Causes and Reasons for the Recent Protests in Balochistan:

    Balochistan has a long history of resistance against central authority, dating back to the forced accession of the region to Pakistan in 1948.

    • Political Discontentment: The continued centralization of power, lack of genuine federalism, and repeated dismissals of provincial governments have fueled discontent.
    • Economic Neglect: Despite being rich in resources like copper, gold, coal, and natural gas, Balochistan remains one of the poorest regions in Pakistan. The benefits of resource exploitation have not trickled down to the local population, exacerbating feelings of economic injustice.
    • Cultural and Ethnic Identity: Balochistan has a distinct cultural and historical identity, which has often clashed with the central government due to assimilation policies.
    • Human Rights Violations: The region has seen widespread reports of enforced disappearances, custodial killings, and fake encounters as part of Pakistan’s counter-insurgency strategy.

    China’s Role in the Region:

    • Gwadar Port and Militarization Concerns: The Gwadar port, leased to a Chinese firm for 40 years, has raised fears of potential militarization, which could disrupt local livelihoods, especially those of the fishing communities.
      • The presence of Chinese trawlers has also sparked protests due to concerns about illegal fishing.
    • CPEC influence: The influx of non-locals into Balochistan for CPEC-related projects has led to fears of demographic changes, further alienating the local population.

    Indian perspective: 

    • Strategic Implications: India’s interest in Balochistan primarily stems from the region’s strategic importance, given its location and the Gwadar port’s proximity to the Strait of Hormuz.
    • Diplomatic Stance: India has occasionally highlighted human rights issues in Balochistan, especially in international forums, as a counter-narrative to Pakistan’s stance on Kashmir. However, India’s involvement remains cautious to avoid escalating tensions with Pakistan.
    • Impact on Regional Stability: The unrest in Balochistan, coupled with Chinese involvement, complicates the security situation in South Asia.
      • India’s approach will likely focus on balancing its strategic interests while advocating for the rights of the Baloch people within international norms.

    Way forward: (What should India do?)

    • Diplomatic Advocacy: India should continue to highlight human rights issues in Balochistan at international forums, positioning itself as a defender of human rights while maintaining a balanced approach to avoid escalating tensions with Pakistan.
    • Strategic Monitoring: India should closely monitor developments in Balochistan, particularly regarding Chinese activities in the Gwadar port, to safeguard its strategic interests and regional stability.

    Mains PYQ: 

    Q The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is viewed as a cardinal subset of China’s larger ‘One Belt One Road’ initiative. Give a brief description of CPEC and enumerate the reasons why India has distanced itself from the same. (150 Words, 10 Marks)  (UPSC IAS/2018)

    Q ‘China is using its economic relations and positive trade surplus as tools to develop potential military power status in Asia’, In the light of this statement, discuss its impact on India as her neighbor. (UPSC CSE 2017)

    Q China and Pakistan have entered into an agreement for development of an economic corridor. What threat does this pose for India’s security? Critically examine (UPSC CSE 2014)