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  • The Quad’s importance to India’s strategic autonomy

    India is a member of both the Quad and the BRICS. Is not it the contradiction? The article answers this question and maps the transformation of India’s relation with the U.S. over the years.

    Is India’s participation in BRICS and Quad contradictory?

    • Global Times, the Chinese newspaper last week speculating on the implications of the historic Quad summit for the BRICS.
    • In calling the Quad a “negative asset” for the BRICS the Global Times was highlighting what it sees as a contradiction in India’s participation in both the forums.
    • The paper argues that India has worsened “India-China and India-Russia relations” and halted progress “in the development of BRICS and SCO”.
    • Global Times warns that if India continues to get closer to Washington, India “will eventually lose its strategic autonomy”.

    Understanding India’s strategic autonomy

    • “Strategic autonomy” is the framework that guided Delhi’s international relations since the Cold War.
    • In the early 1990s, strategic autonomy was about creating space for India against the overweening American power.
    • Why the space was needed? It was mainly because of the U.S. stance on two important aspects: Kashmir issue and nuclear program.
    • President Bill Clinton had questioned the legitimacy of Jammu and Kashmir’s accession to India and declared the US’s intent to resolve Delhi’s Kashmir dispute with Pakistan.
    • Washington insisted that rolling back India’s nuclear and missile programmes was a major objective of US foreign policy.
    • All that changed over the last three decades.

    8 elements of  transformation of India’s relations with the U.S and China

    • A rising China has emerged as the biggest challenge to India and the US is increasingly an important part of the answer.
    • A few elements stand out.
    • First, China has become more assertive on the contested boundary, therefore, the support from the US and its Asian allies has been valuable.
    • Second, on the Kashmir question, China raises the issue at the UNSC while the US is helping India to block China’s moves.
    • Third, on cross-border terrorism, the US puts pressure on Pakistan and China protects Rawalpindi.
    • Fourth, the US has facilitated India’s integration with the global nuclear order while Beijing blocks Delhi’s membership of the Nuclear Suppliers Group.
    • Fifth, the US backs India’s permanent membership of the UNSC, China does not.
    • Sixth, India now sees the trade with China hollowing out India’s manufacturing capability.
    • Its objective on diversifying its economy away from China is shared by the US and the Quad partners.
    • Seventh, India opposes China’s Belt and Road Initiative as a project that undermines India’s territorial sovereignty and regional primacy.
    • India is working with Quad partners to offer alternatives to the BRI.
    • Finally, India sees China’s rising military profile in the subcontinent and the Indian Ocean as a problem and is working with Washington to redress the unfolding imbalance in India’s neighbourhood.

    India’s approach to BRICS and SCO

    • The BRICS was part of India’s strategy in the unipolar moment that dawned at the end of the Cold War.
    • India’s current enthusiasm for the Quad is about limiting the dangers of a unipolar Asia dominated by China.
    • But India will continue to attach some value — diplomatic if not strategic — to a forum like the BRICS.
    • After all, the BRICS forum provides a useful channel of communication between Delhi and Beijing at a very difficult moment in the evolution of their bilateral relations.
    • The BRICS is also about India’s enduring partnerships with Russia, Brazil, and South Africa.
    • India also values its ties with the Central Asian states in the SCO.
    • The BRICS could certainly become a productive forum someday — when Delhi and Beijing mitigate their multiple contentions.

    Consider the question “A rising China has emerged as the biggest challenge to India and the US is increasingly an important part of the answer. Examine the elements that support this underlying transformation of India’s relationship with the two countries.”

    Conclusion

    No amount of words in a BRICS declaration can hide the sharpening contradictions between India and China today. The absence of joint statements did not mask the growing strategic congruence among the Quad nations in recent years.

  • (IAS 2021-22) Are you preparing in the right direction?| Let us optimize your preparation |Samanvaya: free 1-to-1 mentorship (get free Tikdams e-book)

    (IAS 2021-22) Are you preparing in the right direction?| Let us optimize your preparation |Samanvaya: free 1-to-1 mentorship (get free Tikdams e-book)

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    How to prepare for upsc 2021? Strategy for upsc 2021? Answer writing for 2020 Abhishek Saraf rank 8 Civilsdaily
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    Broadly, six factors determine your success in cracking this prestigious IAS exam and the most important being understanding the expectations of UPSC and according to that planning and strategizing; other being, Learning – Knowledge and information; Analyzing – making linkages, connections, etc.; Executing and utilizing information; and Constant course correction – because mistakes are inevitable, need to rectify them asap.

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  • A high growth plan for Indian agriculture

    The article deals with the issue discussed in the recently published book ‘Revitalising Indian Agriculture and Boosting Farmer Incomes’. It suggests strategies for six Indian states and underlies the importance of the diversified approach to different states.

    Why agriculture is central to Indian economy

    • Agriculture engages close to 42 per cent of the country’s workforce.
    • With its close interlinkage with poverty, it is best positioned to alleviate problems of malnutrition and hunger.
    • In addition, agriculture supplies inputs for other industries.
    • It is critical for triggering a multiplier effect in the economy, where a financially empowered farming community triggers a demand-led growth, particularly for manufactured products and services.
    • There is no doubt that the sector needs to grow not just for those employed in it but also for the economy as a whole.

    Growth strategy needs to take into account diversity across the states

    • The growth process of agriculture should not just more efficient, and inclusive of India’s small and marginal but is also sustainable — both financially and environmentally.
    • But then comes the question of the diversity in Indian states, where they differ as much on factors of production like land and water as they do on access to market opportunities.
    • They even differ in their vulnerabilities to climate and weather changes.
    • This begs the question, should the roadmap not be customised to the needs, vulnerabilities, and resource-base of each state?

    Strategies for six states

    • The recently published book “Revitalising Indian Agriculture and Boosting Farmer Incomes” proposes strategies for six Indian states: Punjab, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and Odisha.
    • In the six states, three factors explained most of the agrarian growth.
    • One, access to infrastructure — mainly irrigation and roads.
    • Two, diversification to high value agricultural products like fruits, vegetables, and allied activities like dairy and poultry.
    • Three, price incentives or favourable terms of trade.
    • Bringing markets closer to farmers and increasing the efficiency of the value-chains emerged as an important factor that explained agricultural growth in Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Odisha, and Bihar.
    • By ensuring timely access to sufficient irrigation, states like Gujarat and Punjab could explain their high performances.
    • Role of uninterrupted quality power too emerged important in this.
    • Diversification of the agricultural basket of a state was found to strengthen a state’s agri-performance.

    Relation between growth rate and policy reforms

    • The requirement to undertake policy reforms, mainly related to marketing, emerged as a key driver and predictor of growth.
    • The NITI Aayog’s Agricultural Markets and Farmer Friendly Reforms Index — AMFFRI evaluates Indian states on the extent to which each of them undertook required agri-reforms.
    • A low AMFFRI rank implies the state is undertaking desired reforms.
    • It was found that states that undertook reforms, and were thus ranked low on AMFFRI, witnessed a relatively faster agri-GDP growth rate.
    • States which did not undertake required reforms, and thus were ranked high on the AMFFRI witnessed relatively lower agri-GDP growth rates.
    • There were some exceptions: Karnataka, Haryana and Maharashtra.
    • These states undertook reforms, and thus had low AMFFRI ranks, but they witnessed a low agri-GDP growth rate.
    • This is likely to be attributed to the delayed effect of reforms on the agri-performance.

    Way forward

    • As a part of the roadmap, the book makes a case for states to move beyond production-centric approach to a value-chain approach with FPOs at its centre.
    • It highlights importance and requirement of growing public investments in basic infrastructure.
    • And finally, in the longer run, rationalising subsidies via direct income transfer is suggested.

    Consider the question “Despite its comparatively lower contribution to the GDP, agriculture plays a central role in the Indian economy. What are the factors that make agriculture central to the economy? Suggest the pathway to fuel the growth of the sector.”

    Conclusion

    If the government follows this path of investing in infrastructure, ensuring a more diversified agriculture and linking small-holder FPOs with markets, it will pay rich dividends not only to the farming community but also the entire economy.

  • 15th March 2021| Daily Answer Writing Enhancement

    Important Announcement:  Topics to be covered on 16th March-

    GS-1  Post-independence consolidation and reorganization within the country. 

    GS-4 Attitude.

    Question 1)

    The rise of Indian Nationalism was a reaction against the despotic, discriminatory and devious policies and nature of the British rule. Critically Analyze. 10 marks

    Question 2)

    What are the factors contributing to growing nativism in the employment policies? Suggest the steps to be taken to deal with the issue. 10 marks

    Question 3)

    India needs to recognise the national security threat emanating from strategic FDI. This requires identifying threats. In lights of this, examine the types of threats and suggest the ways to deal with it. 10 marks

    Question 4)  

    Gandhian trusteeship was an attempt at spiritualizing economics which preferred human dignity over material prosperity. Justify. 10 marks

    home

    Reviews will be provided in a week. (In the order of submission- First come first serve basis). In case the answer is submitted late the review period may get extended to two weeks.

    *In case your answer is not reviewed in a week, reply to your answer saying *NOT CHECKED*. If Parth Sir’s tag is available then tag him.

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  • Forestalling the cyber threats India faces

    The article highlights the threat of a cyber attack on India’s critical infrastructure and suggests the need to take preventive measures.

    Targetting the infrastructure

    • The U.S.-based cyber security firm, Recorded Future revealed that the past blackout in Mumbai was linked to the cyber attack from China.
    • Recorded Future had also found an increase in malware attacks targeting the Indian government, defence organisations and the public sector.
    • Also that, coinciding with Chinese incursions in Eastern Ladakh, certain Indian power facilities had been targets of a cyber attack.
    • This indicates that India’s key infrastructure facilities, such as the power sector, are now in the crosshairs of a hostile China.
    • Indian government agencies, such as the National Critical Information Infrastructure Protection Centre (NCIIPC) and the Indian Computer Emergency Response Team (CERT-In) needs to be on its guard.

    Exploiting vulnerabilities

    • China’s cyber offensive is directed against many advanced nations as well.
    • In attempting this, what China is doing is essentially exploiting to perfection the many vulnerabilities that software companies (essentially those in the West), have deliberately left open (for offensive purposes at an opportune time).
    • Exploiting this loophole, and also turning matters on its head, it is companies in the western world that are now at the receiving end of such antics.
    • Chinese cyber espionage sets no limitations on targets.
    • Towards the end of 2020, and as the world prepared for large-scale deployment of COVID-19 vaccines, their attention was directed to vaccine distribution supply chains around the world.

    Way forward

    •  Nations should beware and be warned about how cyber attacks can bring a nation to its knees.
    • This was well demonstrated way back in 2016 through a major attack on Ukraine’s power grid.
    • The Ukraine example should be a wake-up call for India and the world, as in the intervening five years, the sophistication of cyber attacks and the kind of malware available have become more advanced.
    • India, could well be blindsided by Chinese cyber attacks on critical infrastructure if the latter sets out to do so, unless prophylactic measures are taken in time.

    Consider the question “Examine the threat posed by cyber attack on the critical information infrastructure? Suggest the ways to deal with it.”

    Conclusion

    Cyber’ could well be one of China’s main threat vectors employed against countries that do not fall in line with China’s world view. Drawing up a comprehensive cyber strategy, one that fully acknowledges the extent of the cyber threat from China, has thus become an imperative and immediate necessity.

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    Zeeshan sir and Poorti ma’am will be live on Habitat for free sessions on Habitat. You don’t want to miss out on these sessions.

    Score Boosting Session with Zeeshan sir

    Time: 6:30 pm; Venue: Habitat- General club (Click here for link)

    Memory techniques with Poorti ma’am

    Time: 9:00 pm; Venue: Habitat: Stashed free preparatory club (Click for link)

    https://youtu.be/-MgydTCBCkY

    Prelims is around the corner and Zeeshan sir is back with his signature sessions on Score Boosting and Tikdams for UPSC IAS prelims exam. These techniques can boost your score by 30 marks. Join Zeeshan sir at 6:30 pm.

    https://youtu.be/wJJUVdTPdJE

    Poorti, ma’am with her memory technique for UPSC IAS preparation will be taking mini Bootcamp sessions on Habitat. Since in this information-loaded exam memorizing things is a necessity Poorti ma’am will make it effortless for you. Learn the techniques.

    Join Poorti ma’am at 9 pm

    Instructions for joining Habitat

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    4. That is it. Welcome to Habitat.

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  • Explained: The Cairn Tax Dispute

    In December 2020, a three-member tribunal at the Permanent Court of Arbitration in the Netherlands ruled against India in its long-running tax dispute with the U.K.-based oil and gas company Cairn Energy.

    PCA Ruling against India

    • The tribunal ordered India to pay about $1.4 billion to the company.
    • Following this, Cairn Energy has successfully moved courts in five countries, including the US and the UK to recognise its claim as per the arbitration award.
    • The Netherlands, France, and Canada are the other three countries.
    • Such recognition by courts opens the door for Cairn Energy to seize assets of the Indian government in these jurisdictions by way of enforcing its claim, in case the latter doesn’t pay its dues.

    What is the dispute about?

    • The dispute started in early 2014 when Indian tax authorities started questioning Cairn Energy requesting information on the group’s reorganization in the financial year 2006-07.

    Issue over the tax due

    • This escalated, and by 2015, the authorities had sent the company a draft assessment order, assessing in the process that there was a principal tax amount of $1.6 billion that was due.
    • The year in reference, 2006-07, was one in which big corporate changes and developments took place in Cairn Energy.

    Basis of the tax demand: Sale of Shares

    • It was the year in which it not only undertook a corporate reorganization but also floated an Indian subsidiary, Cairn India, which in early 2007 got listed on the Indian Stock Market.
    • Through the corporate reorganization process, Cairn Energy had transferred all of its India assets, which were until then held by nine subsidiaries in various countries, to the newly-formed Cairn India.
    • But the tax authorities claimed that in the process of this reorganization, Cairn Energy had made capital gains worth ₹24,500 crores.
    • This, the department asserted, was the basis of the tax demand.

    Is this case similar to Vodafone’s battle with the government?

    • The Vodafone case in 2007 was triggered by Hong Kong’s Hutchinson Telecommunications’ sale of its stake in India’s Hutchinson Essar to Vodafone based out of the Netherlands.
    • The Hong Kong firm made a capital gain on this, which the Indian tax authorities deemed fit to tax.
    • They held that Vodafone should have withheld the tax, and therefore imposed liability on it.
    • The Supreme Court quashed the taxman’s demand that the sale of shares, in this case, would amount to transfer of a capital asset within the meaning of Section 2(14) of the Indian Income Tax Act”.

    What governs the Sale of Shares?

    • In the Union Budget of 2012, the Income Tax Act, 1961 was amended to make sure that even if a transfer of shares takes place outside India, such a transfer can be taxed.
    • This was done when the value of those shares is based on assets in India. And this was applied retrospectively.

    Cairn won over Retrospection

    • The action against Cairn Energy was based on this move.
    • India lost its arbitration case against Vodafone as well, with the government being asked to fork out around ₹80 crores.

    What happened after the tax claims in the Cairn Energy dispute?

    • After receiving a draft assessment order from the tax authorities, Cairn UK Holdings Ltd. appealed before the Income Tax Appellate Tribunal.
    • The tribunal, while providing the company relief from back-dated interest demands, however, upheld the main tax demand.
    • The company had initiated proceedings of arbitration under the U.K.-India bilateral investment treaty.
    • But during this time, the government sold Cairn’s almost 5% holding and seized dividends totalling ₹1,140 crore due to it from those shareholdings and set off a ₹1,590-crore tax refund against the demand.

    What was the main argument of Cairn Energy during the arbitration?

    • The claimants, Cairn Energy and Cairn UK Holdings argued that till the amendment was made to tax retrospectively in 2012, there was no tax on indirect transfers.
    • Indirect transfers here meant transfer by a non-resident of shares in non-Indian companies which indirectly held assets in India.
    • The application of the 2012 amendments, they alleged, constituted “manifest breaches” of the U.K.-India bilateral investment treaty.

    What was India’s defence during the arbitration?

    • India’s counter to the main charge of Cairn Energy was that its 2006 transactions were taxable irrespective of the 2012 amendments.
    • It argued that “Indian law has long permitted taxation where a transaction has a strong economic nexus with India”.
    • It said even if it is retrospective, it is “valid and binding applying the longstanding constitutional, legislative and legal framework in which the claimants have invested”.

    What did the arbitration tribunal rule?

    • The tribunal said the tax demand violated the U.K.-India bilateral investment treaty.
    • The tribunal said India “failed to accord Cairn Energy’s investments fair and equitable treatment” under the bilateral protection pact it had with the United Kingdom.
    • It also ordered India to compensate Cairn Energy and its subsidiary for “the total harm suffered” as a result of the breaches of the treaty.

    India’s way ahead

    • It has been reported in the media that India will appeal against the tribunal’s decision.
    • If enforcement proceedings are initiated, India is confident of addressing them and will strongly defend its interests.

    Back2Basics: Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA)

    • It is an intergovernmental organization located in The Hague, Netherlands.
    • It is not a court in the traditional sense but provides services of arbitral tribunal to resolve disputes that arise out of international agreements between member states, international organizations or private parties.
    • The cases span a range of legal issues involving territorial and maritime boundaries, sovereignty, human rights, international investment, and international and regional trade.
    • The PCA is constituted through two separate multilateral conventions with a combined membership of 122 states.
    • The organization is not a United Nations agency, but the PCA is an official United Nations Observer.

  • How scarcity of jobs is fuelling nativism in the States

    The article examines the factors contributing to the States pursuing domicile based employment policies.

    What is driving states to provide reservation to locals in private jobs

    • The Haryana government has recently passed legislation that mandates companies in Haryana to provide jobs to local Haryanvis first.
    • The unemployment rate in Haryana is the highest of all States in India, as per data from the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy, or CMIE.
    • The cabinet of the government of Jharkhand approved similar legislation to reserve jobs for Jharkhand residents.
    • The Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) in Tamil Nadu announced a similar proposal in its manifesto for the upcoming Assembly elections.
    • Such moves have attracted criticism from economists and commentators
    • Creating more jobs, not on reserving the few available ones’ is the popular refrain.
    • Creation of new jobs is not entirely in the control of State governments. It is a complex interplay of multitude of factors.

    Factors playing role in job creation

    • Job creation is obviously an outcome of the performance of the larger economy.
    • Chief Minister of a State in India has limited control over the management of the larger economy and thereby, attract new investors and businesses who can create jobs.
    • Businesses need abundant high quality skilled and unskilled labour, land at affordable prices, uninterrupted supply of electricity, water and other such ‘ease of business’ facilities for its expansion.
    • State governments in India can theoretically compete with each on these parameters.
    • Further, any tax advantages that a particular State can provide vis-à-vis others will increase its attractiveness.
    • But, realistically in India, in very few of these parameters can a poorer State compete against a richer State.

    Issues faced by the States

    • The availability of skilled local labour is a function of many decades of social progress of the State and cannot be retooled immediately.
    • After the introduction of the Goods and Services Tax (GST), State governments in India have lost their fiscal autonomy and have no powers to provide any tax concessions to businesses.
    • Beyond all these, the most critical factor in the choice of a location for a large business is what economists term as the ‘agglomeration effect’
    • Agglomeration effect is the ecosystem of supply chain, talent, good living conditions and so on attracting the other businesses.
    • So, a State with an already well-established network of suppliers, people, schools, etc. are at a greater advantage to attract even more businesses.
    • It is due to this agglomeration effect that the three richest large States (Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka) are three times richer than the three poorest large States (Bihar, Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh), in per-capita income, compared to 1.4 times in 1970.
    • In the absence of a level playing field and with no fiscal autonomy, it is enormously difficult for developing States in India to attract new investments and create new jobs.

    Consider the question “Examine the factors contributing to the nativist tendencies in the employment within the States. Suggest the measures to deal with the issue.”

    Conclusion

    Until the economic playing fields for the various States are levelled and much greater fiscal freedom provided to the States, “don’t protect but create jobs” will only remain a topic of a hollow lecture and moral sermons.

  • Draft E-Commerce Policy

    The Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT) will soon come out with a common acceptable draft e-commerce policy.

    Earlier policy

    • The previous draft in July last year had proposed a regulator, an e-commerce law, periodic audit of companies that store or mirror Indian users’ data overseas.
    • The latest draft calls for streamlining of regulatory processes to ease the burden of compliance for activities related to e-commerce and regulations for data that will provide for sharing mechanism.

    What are the provisions of the new law?

    Data Usage

    • According to a revised draft, the government would lay down principles for the usage of data for industrial development, where such norms do not already exist.
    • They aim to put in place safeguards to prevent misuse and access of data by unauthorized persons.
    • Such safeguards may include regulating the cross-border flow of data pertaining to Indians and transactions taking place in India and the requirement of adequacy audits to be carried out by Indian firms.
    • As per the recent draft policy, violation of safeguards shall be viewed seriously and attract heavy penalties.

    Regulation, exports

    • Conformity assessment procedures will be put in place to verify that goods and services sold on e-commerce platforms meet required standards and technical regulations.
    • The government shall collect information from e-commerce platforms to aid it in making necessary decisions.
    • In order to ensure that e-commerce is not used to defraud customers, registration with an authority identified by the Government shall be mandatory.
    • The policy shall bring e-commerce exports on par with non-e-commerce exports by enabling online grant of drawbacks, advance authorization and GST refund.

    Consumer protection

    • As per the draft, e-commerce operators must ensure to bring out clear and transparent policies on discounts, including the basis of discount rates funded by platforms.
    • Such a move aims to ensure fair and equal treatment.
    • It said consumers have a right to be made aware of all relevant details about the goods and services offered for sale including country of origin, value addition in India etc.
    • In case the seller fails to establish the genuineness of his products within a reasonable time frame, the e-commerce platform shall delist the seller.

  • Govt. reconstitutes panel for studying mythical Sarasvati River

    The Centre has reconstituted an advisory committee to chalk out a plan for studying the mythical Sarasvati River for the next two years after the earlier panel’s term ended in 2019.

    Do you know?

    Rigveda describes India as a land of Sapta Sindhavah.

    There is a verse in Nadistuti sukta of Rigveda , hymn of praise of rivers which mentions the following 10 rivers: Ganga, Yamuna, Sarasvati, Sutudri, Parusni, Asikni, Marudvrdha , Vitasta , Arjikiya , Susoma.

    The Shutudri was Sutlej, Parushni was Ravi, Asikni was Chenab and Vitasta was Jhelum.

    Sarasvati River

    • The Sarasvati River is an extinct river mentioned in the Rig Veda and later Vedic and post-Vedic texts.
    • As a physical river, it is described as a small river ending in “a terminal lake (Samudra).
    • As the goddess Sarasvati, the main referent for the term “Sarasvati” which developed into an independent identity in post-Vedic times, she is described as a powerful river and mighty flood.
    • The Sarasvati is also considered by Hindus to exist in a metaphysical form, in which it formed a confluence with the sacred rivers Ganges and Yamuna, at the Triveni Sangam.

    Vedic reference of the river

    • Rigvedic and later Vedic texts have been used to propose identification with present-day rivers, or ancient riverbeds.
    • The Nadistuti hymn in the Rigveda (10.75) mentions the Sarasvati between the Yamuna in the east and the Sutlej in the west.
    • Later Vedic texts like the Tandya and Jaiminiya Brahmanas, as well as the Mahabharata, mention that the Sarasvati dried up in a desert.

    What led to its extinction?

    • Since the late 19th-century, scholars have proposed to identify the Rig Vedic Saraswati river with the Ghaggar-Hakra river system.
    • This flows through northwestern India and eastern Pakistan, between the Yamuna and the Sutlej.
    • Recent geophysical research suggests that the Ghaggar-Hakra system was glacier-fed until 8,000 years ago, and then became a system of monsoon-fed rivers.
    • ISRO has observed that major Indus Valley Civilization sites at Kalibangan (Rajasthan), Banawali and Rakhigarhi (Haryana), Dholavira and Lothal (Gujarat) lay along this course.
    • The Indus Valley Civilisation may have declined as a result of climatic change when the monsoons that fed the rivers diminished at around the time civilisation diminished some 4,000 years ago.

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