“Phase one” of the trade deal between the U.S. and China notwithstanding, the ongoing dispute between the U.S. and China and other changing scenarios could turn out opportunities in various forms for India.
Oil prices windfall
Slack demand and increased production by the U.S., had lowered oil prices which was good news for India.
It could also help India address its current account deficit.
But oil prices have surged more than 4% following the killing of Iranian general by the U.S.
An outbreak of hostilities could send the oil prices soaring.
India’s energy import from the U.S. is likely to touch $10 bn by 2019-20.
While China is increasing its stake in Saudi Aramco- one of the largest oil production company in the world.
China is also increasing its ties with the other oil producers which gives China the opportunity to increase its naval presence in the Indian Ocean increasing the Strait of Hormuz.
On trade front
According to the State Bank of India report-Ecowrap, India has scarcely benefited from the trade war.
Of the $35bn decline in China’s export to the U.S. $21bn was diverted to the other countries and the rest $14bn was made good by the U.S. producers.
India contributed only $755-million of this diversion.
The U.S. tariff made some other players-Mexico, Taiwan, Vietnam even more competitive.
China is facing pork shortage but India exports pork indirectly through Vietnam, increasing its cost and reducing market share.
China’s thrust on the AI, robotics, autonomous vehicles, and space technology has raised the U.S. suspicion, raising the prospects of high-tech war.
The big three Chines high-tech companies, Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent together invested $5bn in India.
India could use this opportunity to insist China open its market for the IT sector and other tech exports.
India has allowed all the players including Huawei to participate in the 5G trials but the outcomes are far from over.
With all that said, the U.S.-China tensions drive supply chains out of China, with the right policies as Vietnam has done, India could emerge as an alternative destination.
Restriction by the U.S. on China could lead to difficulties in reducing emissions and mitigate climate change in China.
Restrictions on technology export often lead to an increase in domestic research.
So, China could succeed in developing all the technologies that are denied to it by the U.S. under the restrictions.
With the protests in Hong Kong showing no signs of abating, India may have to cater to refugees of Indian origin if things turn uglier.
Key regional issues
The situation in the South China Sea is in favour of China as it already has occupied several of them.
Though India is a member of “Quad” dialogue on border issues, it has no role in negotiating the “Code of Conduct” with the ASEAN.
On the connectivity issues, the U.S. position is helpful for India. Recently the U.S. criticised China-Pakistan Economic Corridor.
India is not a member of the Indo-Pacific Business Forum created by the U.S., Japan, and Australia.
India is also not a member of Blue Dot network created by the U.S., Japan, and Australia.
In future India might have to reconcile its regional connectivity issues with BRI projects that have mushroomed in the region.
On the ideological fronts, China is so emboldened by its economic success that it seeks to challenge the liberal democratic model and offers an alternative based on its own system.
India might have to contend with the greater Chinese presence in the Asia-Pacific theatre.
Conclusion
India’s relations with the U.S. and Chinas growing influence in economic as well as all the other sphere represents multiple challenges for India and are likely to grow in the future.
The recent targeted killing of Commander of Quds Forces of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) by the US raised the tension in the region to a new high level. The imminent blowback from Iran could have several consequences for the rest of the world including India.
Different from past killings
Though the U.S. has carried out many such targeted killings in the past but this case bears two important differences to the past killings.
Unlike Osama bin Laden or Abu Bakr, Gen. Soleimani was a state actor.
Unlike the above mentioned two, he was not past his prime.
Roles played by Gen. Soleimani
He was the founder-commander of Iran’s Quds Force-formed for extra-territorial operations.
He enhanced Iran’s influence in the Arab countries by leveraging the disarray in the region.
Arab countries with a significant Shia population such as Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Yemen came under Iranian influence.
What could be the fallouts
Tit-for-tat between Iran and the U.S. could easily go out of hand and precipitate into a major confrontation.
Both countries have domestic compulsions- there are elections due in both countries.
These compulsions limit options for both countries to low-intensity skirmishes.
The fact that the killing was carried on the Iraqi soil also assumes significance.
The incident could increase the problems in Iraq which is rocked by three months of youth protests against undue foreign interference by both Iran and the U.S.
The event is also likely to re-polarise the Iraqi society along sectarian lines.
In the worst-case scenario Iraq could turn into the new Syria.
Potential fallout for India
Global oil prices have already seen a 4% rise in within hours of the incident.
India has already faced difficulty in maintaining relations with both countries because of the U.S.-Iran cold war.
While we want to be on the right side of the U.S., our ties with Iran apart from being civilisational have their own geostrategic logic.
With conflict turning hot, its adverse impact on India could magnify.
High oil prices will definitely increase our import bill and increase difficulties in supplies.
Safety of an estimated 8 million expatriates in the Gulf may be affected.
Iran could influence the U.S.-Taliban peace process in Afghanistan which in turn increases India’s woes.
After Iran, India has a large number of Shia population and some of them could be radicalised due to the event.
Conclusion
The event, if turn into a wider conflict between the two countries, could have many consequences for India from soaring oil prices and maintaining the balance between the two countries to the safety of expatriates in the Gulf.
Pakistan has recently shared a list of its nuclear installations with India under the said bilateral agreement.
Exchange of list of nuclear installations
The list was handed over to an Indian High Commission in accordance with Article-II of the Agreement on Prohibition of Attacks against Nuclear Installations and Facilities between Pakistan and India.
It was signed on December 31, 1988.
The agreement contains the provision that both countries inform each other of their nuclear installations and facilities on 1st of January every year.
What is Non-Nuclear Aggression Agreement?
The Non-nuclear aggression agreement is a bilateral and nuclear weapons control treaty between India and Pakistan, on the reduction (or limitation) of nuclear arms.
Both pledged not to attack or assist foreign powers to attack on each’s nuclear installations and facilities.
The treaty was drafted in 1988, and signed by the PM Rajiv Gandhi and his counterpart Benazir Bhutto on 21 December 1988; it entered into force on January 1991.
The treaty barred its signatories to carry out a surprise attack (or to assist foreign power to attack) on each other’s nuclear installations and facilities.
Starting in January 1992, India and Pakistan have annually exchanged lists of their respective military and civilian nuclear-related facilities.
India’s recent actions at home like the decision to amend Article 370, or the CAA 2019, may take a toll on its international relations.
Effects on the relation with the U.S. and Europe:
In the U.S. bipartisan support for India had been the norm for at least two decades.
The dwindling of Democrat support was evident early on during the “Howdy Modi” event in September 2019.
In that event, only three out of the two dozen lawmakers at the event were from the Democratic Party.
In the weeks that followed the event, the State Department and several bipartisan committees have issued statements of concern over continued detentions in Kashmir and the CAA.
They also held hearings in the U.S. Congress, and even referred to Kashmir in the annual Foreign Appropriations Act for 2020.
The same issue found a voice in the U.K. parliament.
In the European Parliament, there was also discussion on Kashmir.
Kashmir became a campaign talking point between Labour and Conservative candidates in the U.K. elections.
Deterioration in relations with Bangladesh and the neighbourhood
In the neighbourhood, Pakistan is predictably angry.
While Afghanistan is more muted.
The real damage has been done to ties with Bangladesh.
In the last decade, Dhaka and New Delhi had worked hard on building connectivity, opening energy routes, trade and developing travel links.
Bangladesh is upset for being clubbed together with Afghanistan and Pakistan on the issue of treatment of minorities.
At the same time, Bangladesh’s repeated requests for help on the Rohingya refugee issue were unheeded.
The OIC plans for a special meet on Kashmir and the CAA in April 2020.
If Bangladesh which defends India at the OIC feels that India’s actions are discriminatory, Arab countries could also become more vocal.
Possible fallouts
The U.S. Commission for International Religious Freedom (USCIRF) has already recommended sanctions be considered against Home Minister.
In the U.S. Congress lawmakers can effectively block defence sales to India, or pursue sanctions on the S-400 missile system purchase from Russia.
On the international stage, the United Nations and its affiliated bodies could provide a platform for India to be targeted.
At FATF, India hopes to blacklist Pakistan for terror financing.
Break in ties with Turkey and Malaysia for their comment at UN on Kashmir could also lead them to veto India’s position at the FATF.
Unrest in the country could lead to a lower number of foreign visitors and visit cancellation/postponement by leaders.
All this also takes a toll on its diplomatic resources that have been diverted for much of the year in firefighting negative international opinion.
Conclusion
The government must consider the impact of its domestic actions on India’s diplomatic capital.
This capital is a complex combination of the goodwill the country has banked on over decades as a democratic, secular, stable power, bilateral transactions it can conduct in the present, and the potential it holds for future ties, particularly in terms of its economic and geopolitical strengths.
Some of the most pressing issues and developmental challenges facing nations in contemporary times have a scientific and technological dimension. Science and Technology (S&T)-led innovation offers an opportunity to address these multifaceted challenges, which are now global in nature.
Role of S&T in national and international obligations:
S&T today has a national obligation.
For a diverse country such as India, S&T is expected to empower the common citizen, making his/her life easier and also being inclusive, which is a national obligation.
It has to also meet the international obligation of a responsible country.
Importance of S&T innovation in achieving the 2030 Agenda for UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)- points towards new opportunities for cross border collaboration.
Science diplomacy, thus, is a crucial policy dimension.
India has launched several global initiatives.
Global Innovation and Technology Alliance (GITA):
It was launched by India a few years ago.
GITA has provided an enabling platform for frontline techno-economic alliances.
It is an industry-led collaboration, with the government as an equal partner.
It is aimed at supporting the last phase of technology-based high-end, affordable product development — which can connect to both global and domestic markets.
Under GITA, enterprises from India are tying up with their counterparts from partner countries.
Partnering countries include Canada, Finland, Italy, Sweden, Spain, and the UK.
International Solar Alliance (ISA):
It has more than 79 sunshine countries as signatories and nearly 121 prospective countries as partners.
The vision and mission of the ISA are to provide a dedicated platform for cooperation among solar resource-rich countries.
ISA can make a contribution to increasing the use of solar energy in meeting the energy needs of member countries in a safe, affordable, equitable and sustainable manner.
Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure (CDRI):
It was recently announced at the UN Climate Action Summit in New York.
CDRI is an international partnership piloted by India in consultation with 35 countries.
CDRI will support developed and developing nations in their efforts to build climate and disaster-resilient infrastructure.
It will provide member countries with technical support and capacity development, research and knowledge management, and advocacy and partnerships.
It is aimed at risk identification and assessment, urban risk and planning, and disaster risk management.
In the next two-three years, the coalition aims to have three types of impact.
First-impact on country’s policy framework, second-on infrastructure investments, third-reduction in economic losses from climate-related events and natural disasters.
Through this coalition, we can mitigate the fallouts of earthquakes, tsunami, floods.
Conclusion:
No nation alone has the capacity, infrastructure, and human resources to address the massive challenges that the earth and mankind face, threatening our very existence. It is inevitable, therefore, that science, technology, and innovation should increasingly become an intrinsic diplomatic tool for India.
The United States no longer thinks Israeli settlements in the West Bank violate international law.
This recognition of the Jewish settlements is yet another indication that the two-state solution is dead.
What are the West Bank settlements?
The West Bank, a patch of land about one and a half times the size of Goa, was captured by Jordan after the 1948 Arab-Israeli War.
Israel snatched it back during the Six-Day War of 1967, and has occupied it ever since.
It has built some 130 formal settlements in the West Bank, and a similar number of smaller, informal settlements have mushroomed over the last 20-25 years.
Over 4 lakh Israeli settlers many of them religious Zionists who claim a Biblical birthright over this land — now live here, along with some 26 lakh Palestinians.
Are these Israeli settlements illegal?
To the vast majority of the world’s nations, yes.
The UN General Assembly, the UNSC, and the International Court of Justice have said that the West Bank settlements are violative of the Fourth Geneva Convention.
Under the Oslo Accords of the 1990s, both Israel and the Palestinians agreed that the status of settlements would be decided by negotiations. But the negotiations process has been all but dead for several years now.
Israel walked into East Jerusalem in 1967, and subsequently annexed it. For Israel, Jerusalem is non-negotiable.
The Palestinians want East Jerusalem as the capital of their future state. Most of the world’s nations look at it as occupied territory.
What is Fourth Geneva Convention?
Under the Fourth Geneva Convention (1949), an occupying power “shall not deport or transfer parts of its own civilian population into the territory it occupies”.
Under the Rome Statute that set up the International Criminal Court in 1998, such transfers constitute war crimes, as does the “extensive destruction and appropriation of property, not justified by military necessity and carried out unlawfully and wantonly”.
American stand on Palestine
In 1978, when Jimmy Carter was President, the State Department concluded that the Israeli settlements were “inconsistent with international law”.
Soon after taking office in 1981, President Ronald Reagan said he did not agree — even though the establishment of new Israeli communities in Palestinian territory was indeed “unnecessarily provocative”.
Thereafter, the United States took the line that the settlements were “illegitimate”, not “illegal”, and repeatedly blocked UN resolutions condemning Israel for them.
In 2016, President Barack Obama broke with this policy — and the US did not veto a resolution that called for an end to Israeli settlements.
The establishment of Israeli civilian settlements in the West Bank is not per se inconsistent with international law.
US’s present stand on Palestine
Indeed, Trump’s recognition of the settlements means little compared to allowing Israel to build those settlements over a 52-year period.
Likewise, the U.S. has continued to provide aid to Israel to the tune of more than $3 billion annually, as well as unflinching military and diplomatic support — including from official sanctions over the settlements at the U.N.
The U.S. has also allowed its private citizens to give tax-free donations to charities and organizations that support the settlements.
So, while the Trump administration has gone a step further, it is not as drastic a departure from past administrations as it would seem.
Impacts of the development
Those who support the right of Israelis to settle in the West Bank are likely to see the decision as an endorsement.
It will boost PM Benjamin Netanyahu, who has promised sweeping annexations in the West Bank.
However, Pompeo did not come out as directly backing the settlers.
The hard truth is there will never be a judicial resolution to the conflict, and arguments about who is right and wrong as a matter of international law will not bring peace.
This is a complex political problem that can only be solved by negotiations.
Implications for Palestinians
What does change in a significant way, however, is what the recognition of settlements means for the status of the territory and of the government that administers it.
While the new U.S. policy does not alter the legal status of the Palestinian territories, Israel’s PM welcomed the change and said that it “reflects an historical truth — that the Jewish people are not foreign colonialists” in the West Bank.
If it is not military occupation, which undoubtedly prohibits the type of settlement that Israel has engaged in, then it is something else that Israel must clarify its position and intentions over the territory.
This puts the onus for fulfilling the political rights of the Palestinians back on Israel.
India’s stance on Palestine
Sticking to its historic stance towards the Palestinian cause India was among 166 nations that endorsed Palestinian “right to self-determination”.
According to the MEA website, India’s support for the Palestinian cause is an integral part of the nation’s foreign policy.
In 1974, India became the first non-Arab country to recognise Palestine Liberation Organisation (PLO) as the sole and legitimate representative of the Palestinian people.
In 1988, India became one of the first countries to recognise the Palestinian State. While, in 1996, India opened its representative office in Gaza, which was later shifted to Ramallah in 2003.
India also co-sponsored the draft resolution on “the right of Palestinians to self-determination” during the 53rd session of the UNGA and voted in favour of it.
It also voted in favour of UNGA Resolution in October 2003 against construction of the separation wall by Israel.
In 2011, India voted for Palestine becoming a full member of the UNESCO.
At the Asian African Commemorative Conference in April 2015, India supported the Bandung Declaration on Palestine. It also backed the installation of the Palestinian flag at UN’s premises in September 2015.
PM Modi visited the West Bank in February 2018, which was the first visit by an Indian Prime Minister to the Palestinian territories.
Why does India support Palestinian cause?
India has a considerable number of Muslim Population has been always sympathetic to the Muslim population in Palestine.
India did not want to jeopardize the interest of its citizens (more than 7 million) working in Arab countries which are a good source of forex reserves.
India is dependent on the Arab nations for its larger oil imports.
India’s co-operation with the Soviet Union during cold war era and our desire to counter Pakistan with the support of Arab nations was another reason for our pro-Palestine policy.
However, with an increased focus on closer ties with Israel, there is little doubt that India has diluted its support to Palestine.
Limitations of Cooperation
India has so far been successful in building up its level of cooperation with Israel without endangering its relations with others.
Nevertheless, limits to the cooperation are visible, especially in the field of security cooperation, as this remains a somewhat sensitive issue for some Arab states. However, despite its perceived fondness of Israel, India has been cautious.
In addition, ties with Israel are an area of potential disagreement between India and the Islamic Republic of Iran.
This often manifests in Iranian leaders’ flagging of the issue in Kashmir, a Muslim-majority state claimed by both India and Pakistan.
Conclusion
Mutual interests run deeper than mere superficial, short-term cooperation.
There is a growing marginalization of the Palestinian issue. And that has immensely benefited Indo-Israeli relations.
The interest-based development of bilateral ties between Israel and India is likely to prevail and result in future cooperation, even if the Palestinian issue regains prominence.
[2022] ‘India is an age-old friend of Sri Lanka.’ Discuss India’s role in the recent crisis in Sri Lanka in light of the preceding statement.
[2013] In respect of India — Sri Lanka relations, discuss how domestic factors influence foreign policy.
Note4Students:
Prelims: NA
Mains: Disruptions in Sri Lanka’s development trajectory post the Civil War
Mentor Comment: A decade and a half after Sri Lanka’s civil war, deep wounds persist, with tens of thousands dead and widespread destruction. Truth, accountability, and justice remain unresolved, and political polarisation hinders progress. Economic reconstruction lags, further stunted by crises. The Tamil middle class aspires to emigrate, while the working class remains destitute.
Let’s learn
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Why in the News?
The future of the Tamil people relies on creating a renewed vision for themselves and the whole nation, founded on the ideals of equality and freedom.
Back2Basics: Sri Lankan Civil War It was a protracted armed conflict that lasted for nearly three decades, from 1983 to 2009, between the government of Sri Lanka and the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE).
LTTE was a separatist militant organisation seeking an independent Tamil state in the northern and eastern regions of the island nation. The conflict was characterised by violence, human rights abuses, and widespread displacement of civilians.
The LTTE, known for its guerrilla tactics and suicide bombings, controlled significant territory in the north and east of Sri Lanka and waged a violent insurgency against the government.
Key Hindrances to Sri Lanka’s Progress
Limited Progress: While infrastructure like trains, banks, supermarkets, and hotels returned to the north, rural areas continue to struggle with unstable livelihoods.
Setback from Terror Attack: The Easter bombings in April 2019, followed by the COVID-19 pandemic and an ongoing economic crisis since 2022, have exacerbated economic hardships, marking the worst crisis since Independence.
Economic Crisis: Economic misery is pervasive, with outmigration and hunger becoming the norm, particularly impacting the deprived and landless in war-torn areas.
Challenges in Reconstruction Efforts
Economic Challenges
Failed Investments: Expectations of substantial investments from the Tamil diaspora have not materialised, failing to stimulate local economic revival.
International Donor Projects: Projects focused on infrastructure have not effectively revitalised the local economy, while NGO aid has sometimes led to dependency and microfinance debt traps.
Political Polarisation and Neglect
Political Neglect: Tamil political leadership has often prioritised international accountability over addressing local livelihoods, perpetuating dependency on diaspora remittances.
Parallel Nationalisms: Tamil nationalist politics mirrors Sinhala nationalism, focusing on rights and international intervention, rather than fostering local reconciliation.
Reconciliation Challenges: Efforts towards political reconciliation and power-sharing have faltered due to political expediency, exacerbating tensions and marginalising minorities.
Communal polarization: Relations between Tamil and Muslim communities remain strained, with unresolved issues from historical displacements and marginalization.
Future Prospects for Tamil People
V. Karalasingham’s Reflections (1963): Highlighted the paradox of Tamil leadership and the continued suffering and humiliation of Tamil-speaking people.
Aragalaya Movement (2022): Sri Lankans united to oust a President promoting Sinhala-Buddhist nationalism, showing potential for collective action.
Path to Change: Embracing inclusive politics, moving away from isolationist strategies, and advocating for economic and social justice can pave the way for a democratic future based on equality and freedom.
India’s Economic Assistance to Sri Lanka:
1.Bailout Package: During Sri Lanka’s economic crisis in 2022, India was quick to extend financial support, amounting to over USD 4 billion. This surpassed even the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) bailout package over 48 months.
2.Facilitating IMF Engagement: India’s role was instrumental in the early stages of Sri Lanka’s negotiations with the IMF. India’s Finance Minister, Mrs Sitharaman, played a significant part in these discussions, showcasing India’s commitment to its neighbour’s recovery.
3.Private Investment: The expansion of the Colombo port’s west container terminal in 2023 by India’s Adani Group was a key development project.
4. Cricket Diplomacy: Cricket surprisingly became a focal point, with international matches hosted in Sri Lanka, including a notable India-Pakistan game during the World Cup.
Way Forward
Political Reconciliation: Advocate for genuine political reconciliation, including devolution of power and addressing historical grievances.
Community Integration: Foster solidarity and mutual understanding between ethnic and religious communities to promote social integration.
Local Empowerment: Support local initiatives and reduce dependency on external aid, empowering communities to drive their development.
Unified Movements: Promote movements that unite diverse groups towards common goals of justice, equality, and inclusive governance.
Five Central Asian states have significant disagreements among themselves, and development trajectories have increasingly diverged since the end of the Soviet Union. Kazakhstan is a stable, relatively open middle-income country, whereas Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan are impoverished, chaotic, and poised on the verge of state failure.
Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan—with significant human and industrial capital (Uzbekistan) and hydrocarbon resources (Turkmenistan) but leadership wary of engaging with the outside world— are somewhere in between.
Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, and Kyrgyzstan are also affected by their proximity to Afghanistan and the potential for Afghanistan’s instability to spread across the border. Kazakhstan, which does not share a border with Afghanistan, sees it as less of a threat.
Many participants noted that the Central Asian governments are particularly concerned about the consequences of a precipitous U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan. Some worried that Afghanistan’s ills—including radicalism, violence, and drugs—could take hold within Central Asia itself if more is not done to stabilize the country before the United States and its allies withdraw, whereas others questioned how relevant the Afghan example is for the largely secular, non-Pashtun Central Asian states.
Recent bouts of instability in Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan have focused minds in the region on the dangers of negative spillover from Afghanistan. Conversely, a secure Afghanistan would represent a potential resource for Central Asia. It sits along the principal transit route between Central and South Asia and occupies part of the shortest route to the sea for landlocked Central
Asian states. For this reason Central Asian governments are playing an active role in promoting economic development in Afghanistan—a role that reinforces the U.S. coalition effort.
Backgrounder
Relations between India and Central Asia are ancient and civilisational.
India has been connected closely with Central Asia through the Silk Route from circa 3rd century BC till 15th century AD when the sea route from Europe to India was discovered. This made the land journey unviable because it was more risky, longer in duration, more expensive and volumes of cargo that could be carried by sea-faring vessels were much larger than by caravans over the land route.
The Silk Route connected India with Central Asia not only for transportation of goods and wares like silk, textiles, spices etc but was an effective channel of exchange of thoughts, ideas, religion and philosophy. Budhism travelled over this route from India to Central Asia and from there to West China in contemporary Xinjiang region.
In medieval times, Babar came from Fergana Valley after losing his kingdom to try his fortune in foreign lands.
During the Soviet period culture, music, dance, movies and literature bound the Soviet Republics closely with India. Political contacts grew and expanded with frequent exchange of visits. Visit by Pundit Jawaharlal Nehru, the first Prime Minister of India accompanied by his daughter Indira Gandhi to Almaty, Tashkent and Ashgabat in 1955 brought the region closer to India. Popularity of iconic Bollywood stars like Raj Kapoor, Nargis, Mithun Chakraborty and others brought India into the homes and hearts of common people of this region.
Bilateral relations however suffered considerable neglect in the 25 years after emergence of these countries as independent States in 1991.
Salient features:
None of the five Central Asian States had to fight for its independence from the Soviet Union. Freedom was granted to these countries as a gift. They were not confident about their financial and economic viability, and survival as independent states. Hence they were the last to declare their independence, eg. Kazakhstan on December 16, 1991, Uzbekistan on September 1, 1991 while Russia had announced its freedom in June, 1990.
All these countries are landlocked. Some of them are doubly landlocked. It is generally assumed that unless countries have access to warm-water seas, they will not be able to develop fruitful economic relations with the outside world. These countries hence felt that it will be difficult for them to prosper as they do not have access to seas.
Most Central Asian States particularly Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have converted the perceived disadvantage of being landlocked into an asset by constructing a web and network of roads, railways, highways, oil and gas pipelines cris-crossing from East to West and North to South to connect industrial and production hubs with consumer markets. Last few years have seen highways and railroads traversing from the East in China through Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan to Europe, Russia, Iran and the Middle East. Similarly oil from Caspian Sea offshore facilities in Kazakhstan and gas from Turkmenistan is being shipped by pipelines to the western region of China.
Rich in Resources:
All Central Asian States are rich and well endowed potentially with mineral and hydroelectric resources.
Kazakhstan has the world’s second largest reserves and is the world’s largest producer — 23,000 tons of uranium in 2014.
It has almost all minerals on Mendeleev’s table including iron-ore, coal, oil, gas, gold, lead, zinc, molybdenum etc. in commercially viable quantities.
Uzbekistan has large reserves of gas, uranium and gold.
Turkmenistan is endowed with world’s fourth largest reserves of natural gas.
Tajikistan is blessed with huge hydroelectric potential. Kyrgyzstan is rich in gold and hydroelectric power.
Central Asian States have used the 25 years since independence in nation building and consolidation of their statehood.
Socio-economic development
Track record of these countries on socio-economic development is mixed.
Kazakhstan with its vast mineral resources has done better than others.
Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan lag behind. Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan remain closed and controlled societies.
Uzbekistan is a potential leader in Central Asia, but has difficult relations with its neighbours, namely Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan on water issues, and Kazakhstan to become the pre-eminent power in the region. Religious extremism, fundamentalism and terrorism pose challenges to these societies and to regional stability. Issues like water security, borders, environmental degradation and migration have become acute.
Central Asian republics face serious threat from illegal drug trade emanating from Afghanistan.
Traditionally, Central Asia has been an arena of ‘’great game’’.
The modern version is being played out even today. Russia, China, US, Turkey, Iran, Europe, EU, Japan, Pakistan, India, Afghanistan have substantial security and economic stakes in the region.
Importance of central Asia
Energy security
The countries of Central Asia are endowed with significant hydrocarbon and mineral resources and are close to India geographically.
Kazakhstan is the largest producer of uranium and has huge gas and oil reserves as well.
Uzbekistan is also rich is gas, and is an important regional producer of gold along with Kyrgyzstan.
Tajikistan has vast hydropower potential besides oil, deposits, and Turkmenistan has the fourth largest gas reserves of the world.
Strategic Location
Geographically, the strategic location of these countries makes them a bridge between different regions of Asia and between Europe and Asia.
Trade and Investment potential
The economic development of Central Asia, especially in Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, has sparked a construction boom and development of sectors like IT, pharmaceuticals and tourism.
India has expertise in these sectors and deeper cooperation will give a fresh impetus to trade relations with these countries.
There is a great demand for Indian pharmaceutical products in the region.
Security:
To tackle the challenge of terrorism, narcotics trafficking and arms smuggling.
To counter terrorism and radicalization:
Keeping a check on the rise of radical Islamist groups that may pose a threat to India’s security.
Religious extremism, fundamentalism and terrorism continue to pose challenges to Central Asian societies as well as regional stability.
The Fergana Valley remains a hot spot of fundamentalism. Central Asian republics face serious threat from illegal drug trade emanating from Afghanistan. Instability in Central Asia can spill over into India .
Stabilization of Afghanistan:
Central Asian nations and India can play effectively role in bringing normalcy in Afghanistan.
Two of these countries — Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan — are in the Caspian littoral, thereby promising to open the door to other energy-rich Caspian states.
Regional cooperation: Four central Asian Nations are part of SCO.
Challenges
Land locked region: Central Asian region is land locked. It has hampered India’s relation with central Asia.
Poor connectivity has also contributed to the below-par trade between India and Central Asia.
The key constraint India faces is the lack of direct access to Central Asia.
The unstable situation in Afghanistan and a highly problematic India-Pakistan relation have deprived India from the benefit of relations with Central Asia.
Chinese presence: central Asia is part of Silk Road Economic Belt (SREB) initiative.
Relations with India
India has not been able to take advantage of its civilisational and historical ties with the region as adequate attention was not accorded to the relations.
Another significant reason for the listless state of bilateral ties is that India does not share physical borders with any of the Central Asian states. This is a huge bottleneck in promoting and expanding economic, commercial, energy, tourist links etc. with them.
No direct route from India to these countries is available as Pakistan does not permit goods, cargo or people to move through its territory to Afghanistan, let alone to Central Asia beyond it.
Trade hence has been conducted with Central Asia through China. This is both time consuming and expensive.
Alternatively cargo has to be sent to by sea to Northern Europe from where it is transported by rail and road through Russia and other adjacent countries. India has registered significant progress in concluding a trilateral agreement for renovation of Chabahar port, development of the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) and becoming a member of Ashgabat Agreement.
India’s membership of Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) as also of the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) should go a considerable way in bridging this gap.
India uses the instrumentality of soft power and its ready acceptability in Central Asia to strengthen bilateral ties.
There is immense interest in Indian classical dance, music, Bollywood films, yoga, literature etc. in these countries.
India regularly and frequently arranges cultural events in these countries and also provides scholarships for study in India of these disciplines by young men and women of these countries.
The Indian Technical and Economic Cooperation (ITEC) Programme is an effective instrument under which young professionals of these countries undergo training and human capacity development in areas ranging from banking, remote sensing and English speaking to agriculture, rural development and information technology in the premier institutions in India. This initiative exposes the youth of these countries to India’s economic progress as well as its civilisation and heritage. ITEC has significantly contributed to economic and social growth and development of beneficiary countries.
More energy and vigour needs to be imparted to the area of commercial and economic ties. One important reason for the uninspiring level of bilateral commercial ties is lack of authentic and up-to-date information on potential and possibilities available in this area.
Chambers of Commerce as well as official government agencies need to be more active to bridge the ‘’information deficit’’ between India and the region.
Private sector needs to look at these countries s with greater seriousness and focus. Our companies need to participate in trade fairs and organise single country trade fairs in major commercial and industrial centres of these countries.
The Indian Trade Promotion Organization (ITPO) needs to pay more attention to this region. Several private agencies also organize sale-cum-exhibition shows with 100-200 private companies in different cities. These shows provide greater exposure for Indian companies and products amongst business and consumers of these countries.
Significant opportunities exist for Indian companies to undertake projects for building infrastructure related to rail network, roads, highways, power stations, transmission lines, renewable energy, nuclear power etc in these countries.
Many projects are funded by international agencies and multilateral banks like ADB, EBRD, IBRD, IDB and others. It is expected that AIIB and NDB will also enter this market shortly. Indian companies with wide experience can make a significant contribution to development of this region.
Several areas present excellent opportunities for enhancing bilateral trade and economic cooperation. In addition to oil and gas, information technology, pharmaceuticals and textiles, areas like higher education, space, civil nuclear energy, small and medium business, power generation, food processing and agriculture present rich potential for deeper engagement
Central Asia and China
China enjoys a bilateral trade of USD 50 billion with Central Asia in comparison to India’s trade of USD 2 billion.
Moreover China imports about 20 million tons of oil from Kazakhstan and 40 bcm of gas from Turkmenistan in addition to large quantities of uranium and other minerals from these countries. On the contrary, India has imported just around 3000 tons of uranium from Kazakhstan and its first acquisition of Satpayev oil block off the Caspian sea shore in Kazakhstan commenced drilling operations.
China shares a border of more than 1500 kms with Kazakhstan, more than 850 kms with Kyrgyzstan and over 400 kms with Tajikistan. Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan are also easily accessible through the land route. This provides it with a huge advantage over India.
China conducts its relations both bilaterally and through the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO).
China’s primary thrust has been to make use of Central Asia’s vast mineral resources for its economic development — to supply the much needed consumer goods to Central Asia and to protect itself against the threat of “separatism, extremism and terrorism” from its Uyghur minority from Central Asian territories.
China has sought to build connectivity through networks of rail, road, oil and gas pipelines with and through the Central Asian countries.
Recent developments
Several significant developments have taken place in last few years.
The first:
most momentous is the bold and decisive move by PM Modi to visit all five Central Asian States in July, 2015, combining his travel with his tour to Ufa, Russia for the BRICS (and SCO) Summit.
His visit to these countries sent out a loud and clear message to the region and the world that India is determined to make up for lost time and expand its ties with these countries.
The second
significant development is decision at SCO Summit in Russia in July, 2015 to induct India (and Pakistan) as new members of the organisation.
India is expected to assume full membership of the organization at the forthcoming summit on June 23 and 24, 2016 in Tashkent, Uzbekistan. This will provide an opportunity to India’s Prime Minister to meet and interact with all his counterparts from Central Asia every year.
An important reason for India’s failure to fully realize potential of our partnership with this region is the infrequent contacts between leaders of these countries.
Annual SCO summits will provide a forum to leaders of these countries to meet and discuss issues of bilateral and regional interest.
An added advantage is that Russian leadership will also be present at these conclaves. Because of the historical association of Central Asia and India with Soviet Union/Russia, several possibilities exist to promote cooperation in security, defence, energy and economy with Central Asian region in conjunction with Russia.
The third
significant development, although confined to relations with only one Central Asian State and not the region as a whole, is commencement of construction of the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) gas pipeline on Dec 13, 2015.
The 1800 km long pipeline is expected to be completed by end 2019. India is expected to receive about 13 bcm per annum once the pipeline is completed.
India’s Full membership of SCO
As of July 2015, India has been accorded full membership of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) along with Pakistan at its Ufa summit held in Russia.
SCO is a Eurasian economic, political and military organisation
HQ: Beijing, China
Established: 2001 in Shanghai by the leaders 6 countries viz. China, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan
Since 2005, India was having an Observer status of SCO and had applied for full membership in 2014. India would be finally ratified in the member list by 2016
Connecting the dots with SCO
Per Chinese and Russian scholars, creation of SCO helped address the security problems and enhance economic cooperation in the Central Asia region. The Western discourse, however, has tended to see the SCO as a mechanism to counter-balance the influence of the United States in the region. Both are correct!
SCO is considered and tagged as anti-west. Behind the veils, it is alleged that SCO is going to be a NATO like military alliance in East. You might expect a question on that line and be asked to put India’s context in place.
However, China exaggeratedly says that the SCO was founded on a principle of non-alignment and functions as an effective stabilizer for regional security and peace. China has always maintained that the focus of SCO is on combating the “three evil forces” – terrorism, separatism, and extremism – and other unconventional security menaces.
Advantage India?
There are multiple benefits for India as well as the SCO which is concerned with security and stability in the Eurasian space.
India’s presence will help moderate the anti-West bias of the grouping, which will calm Washington’s nerves to a considerable extent
Greater engagement with India will also aid the organisation’s capability to improve regional economic prosperity and security
Membership will give India an opportunity to play an active role in China’s Silk Road initiative which plans to link a new set of routes from the north and east of the country to an old network of routes in the greater Eurasian region.
Indian interest in International North-South Transport Corridor to connect Mumbai with Abbas port in Iran. This route is shorter than the existing Suez Canal and the Mediterranean Sea
SCO may also serve as guarantor for projects such as the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) and Iran-Pakistan-India (IPI) pipelines, which are held by India due to security concerns.
India’s entry is also likely to tip the balance of power in favor of peace and stability in Afghanistan.
Challenges ahead for SCO?
It is naive to expect that India’s differences with China regarding the border or its ties with Pakistan will magically disappear. The inclusion of Pakistan in the SCO will also make it difficult for India to enjoy a level playing field.
Pakistan, which is embroiled in a domestic political crisis, may not be so willing to challenge hardliners in its country, and go along with India in promoting peace and stability in the Eurasian space. We have seen how Indo-Pak presence in SAARC makes it difficult to ink key pacts.
The clash of interests in a post – 2014 Afghanistan makes prospects of cooperation difficult. There is also a possibility that China may collude with Pakistan to suffocate India’s voice in the decision making process.
Other than that, India will have to balance the geopolitical ambitions of China and Russia to evolve a mutually beneficial framework.
PRIME MINISTER’S CENTRAL ASIA VISIT
PM visited the 5 Central Asian States — Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan.
India and Kyrgyzstan
India and Kyrgyzstan signed four agreements including one to boost defence cooperation and hold annual joint military exercises.
A joint exercise between India and Kyrgyzstan Khanjar 2015 has just been completed.
List of agreement signed during the Prime minister visit
1. Agreement on Defence Cooperation
2. Memorandum of Mutual Understanding and Cooperation in the field of Elections
3. MoU between Ministry of Economy of Kyrgyzstan and Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS) on cooperation in the sphere of Standards.
4. Agreement on Cooperation in Culture
India and Uzbekistan
On his first visit to Central Asian countries, Prime Minister held talks with Uzbekistan President Islam Karimov on key bilateral and regional issues including the situation in Afghanistan as the two countries inked three pacts to boost cooperation between their foreign offices and in the field of culture and tourism.
The two leaders also discussed ways to implement the contract for supply of uranium from mineral-rich
Uzbekistan signed in 2014 .The pact was signed for supply of 2,000 metric tonnes of the yellow cake.
List of agreement signed during the Prime minister visit:
Intergovernmental Agreement on cooperation in the field of tourism.Protocol on Cooperation between the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Republic of Uzbekistan, and Ministry of External Affairs, Republic of India.
Intergovernmental Programme of Cultural Cooperation for 2015-17
India and Kazakhstan
India and Kazakhstan focused on boosting trade, energy, defence and security cooperation as Prime Minister held talks with Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev in Astana.
Kazakhstan, a leading uranium producer globally, will supply 5,000 tonnes of uranium to India during 2015-19.
Both leaders welcomed the establishment of a Joint Study Group between India and the Eurasian Economic Union on the feasibility of a Free Trade Agreement (FTA), which would boost trade.
List of agreement signed during the Prime minister visit:
Agreement on Transfer of Sentenced Persons
Agreement on Defence and Military – Technical Cooperation between Republic of India and Republic of Kazakhstan.
Memorandum of Understanding between Ministry of Youth Affairs and Sports of Republic of India and
Ministry of Culture and Sports of Republic of Kazakhstan on Cooperation on Physical Cultural and Sports.
Memorandum of Understanding between Ministry of Railways of Republic of India and the Kazakhstan Temir Zholy of Republic of Kazakhstan on Technical Cooperation in the field of Railways
Long term contract between Department of Atomic Energy of Republic of India and JSC National atomic company “KazAtomProm’ for sale and purchase of natural uranium concentrates.
India and Turkmenistan
Prime Minister pitched for early implementation of the $ 10 billion TAPI gas pipeline project during his talks with Turkmenistan President Gurbanguly Berdymukhammedov as both countries inked seven pacts to ramp up engagement in key areas, including defence.
List of agreement signed during the Prime minister visit:
Memorandum of Understanding on supply of Chemical Products between the Indian Public Sector
Undertaking ‘Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Limited’ and the Turkmen State concern ‘Turkmenhimiya.’
Memorandum of Understanding between the Foreign Service Institute of the Ministry of External Affairs of the Republic of India and the Institute of International Relations of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Turkmenistan.
Agreement between the Ministry of Youth Affairs and sports of the Republic Of India and the State
Committee for sport of Turkmenistan on Cooperation in the field Of sports.
Programme of Cooperation in Science and Technology between the Government of the Republic of India and the Government of Turkmenistan for the Period of 2015-2017.
Memorandum of Understanding between the Government of the Republic of India and the Government of Turkmenistan on Cooperation in Yoga and Traditional Medicine.
Memorandum of Understanding between the Government of the Republic of India and the Government of Turkmenistan on Cooperation in the field of Tourism.
Agreement between the Government of the Republic of India and the Government of the Republic of
Turkmenistan on Cooperation in the field of Defence.
India and Tajikistan
India and Tajikistan pledged to intensify cooperation against terrorism, with Prime Minister noting that the two countries are located in the “proximity of the main source” of the menace, an apparent reference to Pakistan and Afghanistan.
List of agreement signed during the Prime minister visit:
Programme of Cooperation (POC) between Ministries of Culture of India and Tajikistan in the field of Culture for the years 2016-18.
Exchange of Note Verbale (NV) on setting up of Computer Labs in 37 Schools in Tajikistan.
Connect Central Asia Policy
India’s ‘Connect Central Asia’ Policy is a broad-based approach, including political, security, economic and cultural connections. on 12 June 2012 India’s Minister Of State for External Affairs Shri E. Ahamed gave a Keynote address at First India-Central Asia Dialogue.
He outlined some of the elements of India’s ‘Connect Central Asia’ policy as follows:
1. India will continue to build on our strong political relations through the exchange of high level visits. Its leaders will continue to interact closely both in bilateral and multilateral fora.
2. India will strengthen its strategic and security cooperation. India already has strategic partnerships in place with some Central Asian countries. In focus will be military training, joint research, counter-terrorism coordination and close consultations on Afghanistan.
3. India will step up multilateral engagement with Central Asian partners using the synergy of joint efforts through existing fora like the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, Eurasian Economic Community (EEC) and the Custom Union. India has already proposed a Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement to integrate its markets with the unifying Eurasian space.
4. India looks to Central Asia as a long term partner in energy, and natural resources. Central Asia possesses large cultivable tracts of land and it sees potential for India to cooperate in production of profitable crops with value addition.
5. The medical field is another area that offers huge potential for cooperation. India is ready to extend cooperation by setting up civil hospitals/clinics in Central Asia.
6. India’s higher education system delivers at a fraction of the fees charged by Western universities. Keeping this in mind, India would like to assist in the setting up of a Central Asian University in Bishkek that could come up as a centre of excellence to impart world class education in areas like Information Technology, management, philosophy and languages.
7. India is working on setting up a Central Asian e-network with its hub in India, to deliver, tele-education and tele-medicine connectivity, linking all the five Central Asian States.
8. Indian companies can showcase its capability in the construction sector and build world class structures at competitive rates. Central Asian countries, especially Kazakhstan, have almost limitless reserves of iron ore and coal, as well as abundant cheap electricity. India can help set up several medium size steel rolling mills, producing its requirement of specific products.
9. As for land connectivity, India has reactivated the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC). India & Central Asian nations need to join our efforts to discuss ways to bridge the missing links in the Corridor at the earliest and also work on other connecting spurs along the route.
10. Absence of a viable banking infrastructure in the region is a major barrier to trade and investment. Indian banks can expand their presence if they see a favourable policy environment.
11. India will jointly work to improve air connectivity between our countries. India is one of the biggest markets for outbound travelers estimated at USD 21 billion in 2011. Many countries have opened tourist offices in India to woo Indian tourists. Central Asian countries could emerge as attractive holiday destinations for tourists and even for the Indian film industry which likes to depict exotic foreign locales in its films.
12. Connections between our peoples are the most vital linkages to sustain our deep engagement. I would particularly like to emphasize exchanges between youth and the future leaders of India and Central Asia. India already has a robust exchange of students. India will encourage regular exchanges of scholars, academics, civil society and youth delegations to gain deeper insights into each other’s cultures.
Conclusion
Strengthening of relations between India and Central Asia is to mutual benefit of all countries involved. It is not directed at countering China’s presence in the region.
India is interested in expanding its ties with the region as it will promote security, stability, economic growth and development of all countries.
Good relations with India will provide an assured market to these countries for their energy, raw materials, oil and gas, uranium, minerals, hydro electric power etc. India is the fastest growing economy in the world today and can be a stable, assured, expanding market for these countries.
The current political, strategic and economic scenario, both regionally and internationally, presents immense challenges but also potential for India and Central Asia to qualitatively enhance their engagement.
Both India and Central Asia are factors of peace, stability, growth and development, in the region and the world.
Stronger relations between them will contribute to increased security and prosperity of these countries and the world.
In terms of a buffer, the purpose of Central Asia is in Indian eyes three-fold:
To prevent the creation of an ‘Islamic belt’ allied to Pakistan,
To forestall encirclement by either China or the USA, and finally.
To insulate India from the narco-terrorism that now plagues its northern borders.
This security dimension has driven Indian investment in Afghanistan and military cooperation with Tajikistan.
As a bridge
Central Asia provides a ‘near abroad’ market for India’s emerging export industries.
It also promises overland routes to the rich resources of Russia and the Middle East.
Perhaps most importantly for India’s short-term growth, the region possesses significant energy supplies at relatively short distance from Indian markets.
This is likely to become a defining factor as competition for resources with China intensifies. Significantly for India’s great power ambitions, some Central Asian governments support New Delhi for its candidacy for a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, and help foster a direct link with Russia, on whom India increasingly relies as counterweight to Chinese and US encroachments. This relationship is also important in terms of India’s historical relationship with the Soviet Union in the period of non-alignment.
The Central Asian states face a number of other common challenges:
Encouraging economic development without political instability;
Regional economic challenges;
Water management and the related water–energy nexus;
A ‘‘youth bulge’’ combined with limited economic opportunities (outside of Kazakhstan);
Cross-border migration;
Serious and worsening corruption;
Potentially restive minority populations (such as the ethnic Uzbeks in Kyrgyzstan at the center of the summer’s violence);
Drug trafficking;
Nuclear proliferation; and
Managing succession in autocratic states without strong government or party institutions.
SCO
Context
The SCO annual meeting was recently held in Tashkent, Uzbekistan. This was a very important meeting from the Indian perspective, because for the first time, India participated in the meeting as a full Member.
SCO emerged from Shanghai Five (China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan) which was founded in 1996 after demarcation of China’s borders with the four newly independent States that appeared after the collapse of Soviet Union in 1991. Shanghai Five was established to continue the momentum of friendship in the post-settlement phase. This was transformed into SCO with induction of Uzbekistan at Dushanbe in 2000.
It was created with an aim to strengthen mutual confidence and good-neighbourly relations among the member countries.
The Heads of State Council (HSC) is the highest decision-making body in the SCO.
It meets annually to take decisions and give instructions on all important issues of SCO activity. SCO has two permanent bodies – the Secretariat in Beijing and the Regional Counter-Terrorism Structure in Tashkent. SCO Secretary-General and RCTS Executive Committee Director are appointed by the HSC for a period of three years.
The official working languages of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization are Chinese and Russian. The SCO member states occupy a territory of around 30 million 189 thousand square kilometers, which makes up three fifths of the Eurasian continent. Member nations have a population of 1.5 billion, which makes up a quarter of the planet’s population.
Since its establishment, SCO has concluded several wide-ranging agreements on security, trade and investment, connectivity, energy club, SCO Bank, culture etc. Their implementation, however, remains uninspiring. This is partly because SCO lacks coherence. Having been created at China’s behest with Russian support, SCO is still grappling to evolve as a well-knit entity. Nevertheless, the significance of SCO cannot be underestimated because of the presence of large territorial and economic powers like Russia and China as also due to its geopolitical space.
Why India Matters To SCO?
Membership of India will add further heft and muscle to the Organization particularly in the backdrop of continuing weak international economy. India today is the fastest expanding global economy with annual GDP growth of 7.5%. It represents the third largest economy (USD 8 trillion) in PPP terms and seventh largest (USD 2.3 trillion) in nominal dollar terms.
It inspires confidence on other indicators like FDI, inward remittances, savings rate, the pace of economic reforms etc.
Its large market, favourable demographics and technological prowess augur well for economies of the world as well as of the grouping. Its growing energy demand will provide an assured market to resource-rich Central Asia and Russia.
SCO & INDIA
India had become Observer to the Organization at its 5th Summit in Astana, Kazakhstan in 2005.Since then India had subtly indicated its interest in playing a more substantive role in the development of the Organization.
SCO decided in 2009 to focus on its vertical consolidation before embarking on a horizontal expansion. Moratorium on expansion was lifted two years ago after which India formally applied to join the Organization. In 2015 the SCO was expanded and India and Pakistan became full members of the SCO.
What’s In It For India?
Geo-political and strategic cooperation
Economic agenda of SCO adopted in 2005 has not delivered impressive results. This will also receive an impetus. Terrorism and radicalism are the most formidable challenges confronting international community today. India has been a victim of terrorist attacks for the last 30 years in which it has lost several thousand innocent children, women and men.
Battling with terrorism has provided invaluable experience to Indian security establishment in intelligence gathering, training, foiling terrorist operations etc which it can share with SCO partners. The threat of terrorism to the region is particularly grave on account of continuing violence in Afghanistan which can embolden regional groups like Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan, Hizb-ut-Tahrir etc to destabilise governments in Central Asia.
Scourge of radicalism also looms large over the region with expansion of influence by Islamic State (IS) and reported desertion of several cadres of Taliban, Al Qaeda etc to join the jihadi IS ranks.
Several hundred young men and women have fled their homes in Central Asia to bolster ISIS forces that are spreading their tentacles to Central Asia, Pakistan and Afghanistan. India has an enviable track record in handling these twin scourges. It can share its experience and best practices with SCO members to mutual benefit and advantage.
In future SCO will need to step up to the plate and assume responsibility to provide security in Afghanistan in the aftermath of the withdrawal of US and Nato ISAF forces. By Joining SCO India will get an opportunity to play its due role in stabilising the situation in Afghanistan which is assuming disturbing proportions on account of expanding the power of Taliban.
Economic & Trade COOPERATION
Central Asia is part of India’s extended neighbourhood. Its relations with these countries have however failed to realise the enormous potential in enhancing ties in security, political, economy, trade, investment, energy, connectivity, capacity development etc because India does not share common land borders with the region and also because of infrequent visits at the highest level between India and Central Asian States.
India’s membership will provide a welcome opportunity to Indian Prime Ministers to meet with Presidents from Central Asia regularly and frequently. India’s potential participation in the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) will be an added advantage to make this partnership more fruitful.
Central Asia represents the ‘’near-abroad’’ for Russia. Both India and Russia can collaborate to reciprocal benefit in all above areas. India’s development experience particularly in promoting agriculture, SMEs, pharmaceuticals, IT etc can be of immense benefit to these countries.
What did India say in the Recently held Tashkent summit of SCO
India highlighted India’s historical linkages with the region to drive home the point that the country’s membership to the SCO would stretch the region’s boundaries from the Pacific to Europe; and from the Arctic to the Indian Ocean.
India also vowed to adopt zero tolerance and a comprehensive approach in fighting terrorism at all levels. Pointing to Afghanistan, PM Modi said a stable, independent and peaceful Afghanistan is necessary for greater security and stability in SCO region.
The PM commented that India’s membership of SCO would contribute to region’s prosperity. It would also strengthen its security. Our partnership will protect our societies from the threats of radical ideologies of hate, violence and terror.”
PM remarked that India’s membership of the SCO will help drive the region’s economic growth.
Note: Please comment your responses to questions in the comment section. It will help you in assessing yourself.
Q.1) Recently, the Environment Ministry has unveiled National Forest Policy(NFP) 2018. It suggests setting up of which of the following national level bodies? 1. National Community Forest Management Mission 2. National Board of Forestry 3. National Forest Foundation Select the correct answer using the codes given below.
a) 2 and 3 only
b) 1, 2 and 3
c) 1 and 2 only
d) 1 and 3 only Inspired by: Government unveils draft national forest policy
Q.2) With reference to the RFID devices, consider the following statements: 1. They use electromagnetic fields for their working. 2. They have range of several kilometres. Which of the statements given above is/are correct?
a) 1 only
b) Both 1 and 2
c) Neither 1 nor 2
d) 2 only Inspired by: India to take criminal action against errant solar power developers
Q.3) With reference to the Scorpène class submarines which of the following statements is/are correct? 1. These are nuclear powered submarines. 2. INS Kalvari was the first Scorpene class submarine inducted in the Indian Navy. Select the correct answer using the codes given below.
a) 1 only
b) Both 1 and 2
c) 2 only
d) Neither 1 nor 2 Inspired by: Indigenous module for submarines undergoing trials
Q.4) The balance of payments of a country is a systematic record of
a) all import and transactions of a during a given period normally a year
b) goods exported from a country during a year
c) economic transaction between the government of one country to another
d) capital movements from one country to another
Q.5) The Global Liveability Ranking is published by which of the following organisation?
a) The World Bank
b) The International Monetary Fund
c) International Development Association
d) The Economist Intelligence Unit Inspired by: Measurable development: When cities compete
Q.6) The 1929 Session of Indian, National Congress is of significance in the history of the Freedom Movement because the
a) attainmentof SelfGovernment was declared as the objective of the Congress
b) attainment of Poorna Swaraj Was adopted as the goal of the Congress
c) NonCooperation Movement was launched
d) decision to participate in the Round Table Conference in London was taken
Q.7) With reference to the famous Sattriya dance, consider the following statements : 1. Sattriya is a combination of music, dance and drama. 2. It is a centuriesold living tradition of Vaishnavites of Assam. 3. It is based on classical Ragas and Talas of devotional songs composed by Tulsidas, Kabir and Mirabai. Which of the statements given above is /are correct?
a) 1 only
b) 1 and 2 only
c) 2 and 3 only
d) 1, 2 and 3
Q.8) Chaitra 1 of the national calendar based on the Saka Era corresponds to which one of the following dates of the Gregorian calendar in a normal year of 365 days?
a) 22 March (or 21st March)
b) 15th May (or 16th May)
c) 31st March (or 30th March)
d) 21st April (or 20th April
IMPORTANT STUFF:
1. Daily newscards have been enriched with back2basics and note2students – Make notes daily
Note: Please comment your responses to questions in the comment section. It will help you in assessing yourself.
Q.1) With reference to the Central Drugs Standard Control Organization (CDSCO), consider the following statements: 1. Ministry of Science and Technology is its parent department. 2. The Drug Controller General of India (DCGI) comes under the CDSCO. Which of the statements given above is/are correct?
a) 2 only
b) Both 1 and 2
c) Neither 1 nor 2
d) 1 only Inspired by: Imaging equipment such as CT scanners may be brought under drugs Act
Q.2) Recently, India has successfully test-fired Nag Missile. It is a
a) Air-to-air missile
b) Anti-Tank missile
c) Submarine-launched cruise missile
d) Wire-guided missile Inspired by: Click2read
Q.3) Consider the following statements regarding ‘Tuberculosis’: 1. It can affect different parts of the body, other than lungs. 2. The main cause of TB is Mycobacterium. Which of the following statements given above is/are correct?
a) Both 1 and 2
b) 2 only
c) 1 only
d) Neither 1 nor 2
Q.4) Which of the following strategies can be used to reduce Current Account Deficit (CAD)? 1. Devaluation of currency 2. Decrease demand for imports 3. Increase exports 4. Deflation 5. Protectionism Select the correct answer using the codes given below:
a) 2 and 3 only
b) 1, 2 and 3 only
c) 1, 2, 3 and 4 only
d) 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5
Q.5) Which of the following organisations participate in the Kabul Conference (The Kabul Process for Peace & Security Cooperation)? 1. European Union 2. United Nations 3. North Atlantic Treaty Organization Select the correct answer using the codes given below.
a) 1, 2 and 3
b) 2 and 3 only
c) 1 and 2 only
d) 1 and 3 only Inspired by: India backs Kabul’s peace offer
Q.6) Other than resistance to pests, what are the prospects for which genetically engineered plants have been created?
a) To enable them to withstand drought
b) To increase the nutritive value of the produce
c) To enable them to grow and do photosynthesis in spaceships and space stations
d) To increase their shelf life
Q.7) The most effective contribution made by Dadabhai Naoroji to the cause of Indian National Movement was that he 1. Exposed the economic exploitation of India by the British 2. Interpreted the ancient Indian texts stored 3. Stressed the need for eradication of all the social evils before anything else. Which of the statements given above is/ are correct?
a) 1 only
b) 2 and 3 only
c) 1 and 3 only
d) 1, 2 and 3
Q.8) With reference to Dhrupad, one of the major traditions of India that has been kept alive for centuries, which of the following statements are correct? 1. Dhrupad originated and developed in the Rajput kingdoms during the Mughal Period) 2. Dhrupad is primarily a devotional and spiritual music) 3. Dhrupad Alap users Sanskrit syllables from Mantras. Select the correct answer using the codes given below.
a) 1 and 2 only
b) 2 and 3 only
c) 1, 2 and 3 only
d) 1, 2 and 3
IMPORTANT STUFF:
1. Daily newscards have been enriched with back2basics and note2students – Make notes daily
