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Subject: International Relations

  • Foreign Policy Watch: India-Myanmar

    India and Myanmar relations: Change in dynamics by democratic triumph

    After decades of struggle, finally democracy triumphed over military junta and Myanmar parliament enters democratic era after 54 years of military rule. It’s time to glance over India-Myanmar relations and how India will be benefited from such stable democratic government.

    India and Myanmar have traditionally had much in common, with cultural, historical, ethnic and religious ties, in addition to sharing a long geographical land border and maritime boundary in the Bay of Bengal. Let’s see it in brief!

    How did India and Myanmar engagement begin ?

    • Myanmar is India’s bridge to east, and an important ally for growing its regional power.
    • India and Myanmar’s relationship officially got underway after the Treaty of Friendship was signed in 1951.
    • For many years, India did not open up to the authoritarian regime, and it was only over a period of time that India started engaging with the military junta of Myanmar.
    • The region’s focus has revolved around the SAARC countries and China, Myanmar is becoming increasingly important for India in both a strategic and economic context.

    What about bilateral trade ties?

    • Bilateral trade has grown from $12.4 million in 1980-81 to $2.18 billion in 2013-14.
    • Agricultural items like beans and pulses and forest based products make up nearly 90 percent of India’s imports.
    • Myanmar is also the beneficiary of a duty-free tariff preference scheme for least developed countries (LDCs).
    • Both countries also signed a border trade agreement in 1994 and have 2 trade points along their 1,643 km border.
    • India has also promoted some trade events such as the India Product Show 2012, which represented 19 Indian companies.

    But, How shared cultural links promote unique relations between both countries?

    • The two countries have shared cultural exchanges through various cultural troupes.
    • One such exchange was in 2009 when Myanmar sent a 13 member student group that attended a SAARC cultural festival in India.
    • This was followed by another major event at which the Indian embassy in Yangon organized the annual Indian Film Festival, which is a major event on the Yangon cultural calendar.

    Does India have historical bond with Myanmar?

    • Yes! Yangon was once a center for India’s independence struggle.
    • The Indian National Army (INA), formed by Indian nationalists during World War II in 1942 with the motto of Ittehad, Itmad aur Qurbani (Unity, Faith and Sacrifice).
    • Comprised over 40,000 soldiers, who fought valiantly against the British imperialist forces.
    • Netaji Subhas Chandra Bose became leader of the INA in 1943 and undertook a groundbreaking march towards Indian territories from Burmese soil with the aim of achieving Indian independence.<This time we can expect question on Netaji and his work, as we know current happenings about Netaji’s files declassified>
    • General Aung San, Burma’s independence hero, was a close friend of Netaji, the supreme commander of the INA.
    • That friendship was reflected in cordial relationship between the soldiers of the INA and their counterparts in the Burmese National Army (BNA).
    • So, it’s good to use this historical bond for building more coherent and strong relations with Myanmar.

    How Myanmar is Strategically significant to India?

    • Myanmar is strategically important to India as it is the only ASEAN country that shares a land border with India.
    • It is also the only country that can act as a link between India and ASEAN.
    • Myanmar is India’s gateway to Southeast Asia and could be the required impetus to realize India’s Look East Policy.
    • India has also decided to upgrade the Kalewa-Yargyi road segment to highway standard.
    • Myanmar would develop the Yargyi-Monywa portion, and this would help to connect Moreh in India to Mae Sot in Thailand via Myanmar.
    • This in turn would improve India’s connectivity and relationship with both Myanmar and Thailand.

    How can India become regional pivot in Asia?

    • If India is to become an assertive regional player in Asia, it has to work toward developing policies that would improve and strengthen it domestically.
    • This will encourage more confidence in its ability to lead the region and be an important global player.
    • Competition with China should also be considered and taken seriously. As China’s growing influence in the region would lead to a more one-sided dynamic in the region.
    • China has asserted itself through its soft power as well as through its trade and economic relations with Myanmar by taking up large infrastructure projects in the country.
    • India on the other hand needs to use its soft power more effectively, and at the same time strengthen itself domestically and regionally.

    What are advantages that India has over China with regard to Myanmar?

    • One is the democratic process, which results in different governments at the center and states through free and fair elections.
    • There is also the respect for institutions that are strong enough to hold the country together.
    • Finally, cooperation in different multilateral forums such as ASEAN and BIMSTEC strengthen the relationship between the 2 countries.
    • Apart from these reasons, India has sent a clear signal that while economic ties are important, it is keen to build a holistic relationship and is prepared to assist in institution building in Myanmar.

    What is the significance of Connectivity in India-Myanmar Relations? 

    <How North-Eastern region can play vital role in this?>

    • Myanmar’s vast oil and natural gas reserves and other resources make it a natural partner for many countries in the world.
    • India, being its next door neighbour, cannot be indifferent to this reality.
    • Besides, geo-political considerations, historical and civilizational links, and the ethnic overlap across their borders, have all come together to make India’s North-East the land bridge between the South and South-East Asia through Myanmar.
    • The 1,640 km-long border between Myanmar and the Indian states of Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur and Mizoram signifies the importance of this eastern neighbour for India.
    • India expects to reap various economic benefits by bolstering bilateral trade and investment, which critically depends upon better connectivity in the region.

    How bilateral cooperation agreement gives impetus to India’s Look-East Policy?

    • The strategic location of Myanmar is pivotal to India in reaching out to the economically vibrant South-East Asian countries.
    • India’s Look-East Policy envisages building infrastructure and expanding the transportation network including railroads, aimed at furthering surface connectivity in the region.
    • It is recognized that in addition to more economic contacts, such connectivity will promote social stability in the region by facilitating people-to-people contact amongst trans-border ethnic groups.
    • It is expected that insurgent outfits would lose their recruitment base once the local resources begin to be exploited and employment is generated leading to overall development. 
    • Concrete economic benefits are expected to come up in the region with establishment of border haats.
    • In addition, internal trade routes have the potential to enhance accessibility to sub-regional markets that connect Bangladesh, Myanmar and Bhutan.

    Way forward

    • The basic foundation for the relationship between India and Myanmar has been laid by previous governments, the onus is on the present Indian administration to demonstrate that it can take the relationship to a higher level.
    • India can become a strong regional player through a more proactive approach, cement India’s place in the region and grow into a powerful, global country.

     

     

    Published with inputs from Arun
  • Foreign Policy Watch: India-Pacific Island Nations

    What are Pacific Island Nations (PINs)?

    • These are 14 island countries in Pacific Ocean – Cook Islands, Fiji, Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, Nauru, Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Tuvalu, and Vanuatu

     

    • These countries range in land area from the largest Papua New Guinea (461,700 sq km) to the smallest Nauru (21 sq km)
    • The size of their population ranges from Papua New Guinea (7.7 million) to Niue (1,500)
    • Development indicators also vary widely with per capita income ranging from USD 27,340 (Cook Islands) to USD 1020 (Papua New Guinea)

    Why study about PINs?

    • On August 21, 2015 India hosted the second edition of Forum for India-Pacific Islands Cooperation (FIPIC) summit in Jaipur
    • All the 14 nations of the group participated in the summit
    • So obviously, this becomes an important topic for exam and you cannot ignore this as an unimportant grouping

    Importance of the Pacific area:

    • Though these countries are relatively small in land area and distant from India, many have large exclusive economic zones (EEZs), and offer promising possibilities for fruitful cooperation
    • The Pacific Ocean is the earth’s largest ocean covering 46% of water surface and 33% of the earth’s total surface, making it larger than the entire earth’s land area
    • It is bounded by 41 sovereign states plus Taiwan, and 22 non-independent territories
    • It is rich in marine resources and accounts for 71% of the world’s ocean fishery catch
    • The Pacific has for long been an area of geostrategic interest for countries such as the US, Japan, China, Russia, Australia, and Indonesia – large economies which lie on its boundary
    • Two developed Pacific Island countries – Australia and New Zealand – have tended to dominate regional cooperation forums such as the Pacific Islands Forum (PIF)

    Issues with PINs:

    • They are dispersed and low populated countries
    • They have logistics problems to develop their economies
    • Less manufacturing activity
    • With climate change and global warming, these countries fear of being drowned or disappeared
    • Their natural resources are being depleted day-by-day – sugar, timber etc.
    • India used to import phosphates from the Nauru Island, which is now being depleted
    • Problems in sugar market due to global vagaries

    External influences:

    #1. Australia: These countries are highly influenced by Australia due to its close proximity – for example, Australia helping the development of natural gas of Papua New Guinea etc.

    #2. China

    • China has significantly expanded its foothold in the region, from increasing business and trade ties to setting up diplomatic missions in each of these countries
    • More than 3,000 Chinese companies are already operating in these Island groups in various businesses.
    • China is now the largest bilateral donor in Fiji and the second largest in the Cook Islands, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, and Tonga
    • Last year, China provided around $2 billion credit to these nations collectively
      6 out of 14 Pacific Islands recognize Taiwan as a legitimate govt of China
    • Taiwan is already holding annual meet with these countries to engage them

    #3. These island groups are forming partnerships with EU and other economic groupings

    Where can India engage?

    #1. UNSC: These 14 nations are supporting India’s attempts to become permanent member of UNSC

    #2. Agriculture:

    • These are agriculture oriented economies
    • Major products- palm oil, sugar, and timber
    • We can do value addition to their products- copra, sugar, timber
    • They are diversifying in oil production and we are short on edible oil so this is a major area to work on
    • India can make use of the mahogany (timber) that is extensively grown in these islands, for getting raw materials for paper industry

    #3. Minerals:

    • These islands have plenty of oil, gas, and minerals in their sea beds
    • For example, the Kiribati islands, they are spread over an area that is bigger than the Indian subcontinent and have rich sources of minerals
    • India can form joint ventures and explore these minerals

    #4. Disaster Management: These islands are frequently affected by natural disasters like typhoons, earthquakes etc. India can help them in disaster management

    #5. Services sector:

    • The other biggest potential area which India can leverage from these islands is the development of services sector – IT, tourism, healthcare and fisheries
    • We can explore tourism options to these isolated beautiful spots
    • Tourism also has an advantage from the fact that there are large number of ethnic Indians in these islands
    • Many of these countries send their nationals to India for education though programmes sponsored by the Indian Council of Cultural Relations

    #6. Energy:

    • India is developing renewable energy and has set a target of 175 GW by 2022. It can help the Pacific Islands in this area and provide energy security
    • We can transplant our experience of A&N islands in establishing isolated energy grids in these countries
    • There has been lot of tree cutting for industrialisation and they are using more diesel for power. We can help them by providing assistance in renewable energy

    #7. Democracy:

    • In the past, these pacific islands have faced a threat to democracy
    • For example- there was a coup in Fiji which overthrew the democratically elected government, there was a civil war in Papua New Guinea
    • In this context, India can serve as a stable and solid partner, as it is one of the largest democracies in the world, so that these islands can have an assured trade and investment relations.

    #8. Ethnicity:

    • Unlike other proximate countries like Australia, India has intimate relations, going beyond exploration of natural resources, with these nations
    • Culturally they are linked to India. For example, Fiji has huge number of Indian ethnic population
    • We should leverage this advantage to engage & establish more intimate relations

    #9. Climate Change: India should fight for their cause in the coming UN Climate Change meetings & should see to it that these islands get enough finances for disaster mitigation

    #10. The Pacific Island groups have enthusiastically welcomed India’s offer in telemedicine, tele-education, space cooperation, fostering democracy and community activities

    #11. These countries are in need of MSME and we have good experience in developing them

    FIPIC:

    • The Forum for India–Pacific Islands Cooperation (FIPIC) was launched during PM’s visit to Fiji in November 2014

     

    • FIPIC includes 14 of the island countries – Cook Islands, Fiji, Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, Nauru, Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Tuvalu, and Vanuatu

    Why FIPIC?

    • Though these countries are relatively small in land area and distant from India, many have large exclusive economic zones (EEZs), and offer promising possibilities for fruitful cooperation.
    • India’s focus has largely been on the Indian Ocean where it has sought to play a major role and protect its strategic and commercial interests
    • The FIPIC initiative marks a serious effort to expand India’s engagement in the Pacific region
    • At this moment, total annual trade of about $300 million between the Indian and Pacific Island countries, where exports are around $200 million and imports are around $100 million
    • This is a part of India’s extended Act East Policy

    Summits:

    #1. Suva, Fiji:

    • One of the key outcome of the first summit in Suva, Fiji was that top leadership of both India and Pacific Islands decided to meet at a regular interval and an annual summit was instituted in this regard
    • Other areas- visa on arrival for their nationals, funds for small business, line of credit for a co-generation power plant for Fiji, and a special adaptation fund for technical assistance and capacity building for countering global warming

    #2. Jaipur, India:

    • India announced to convene international conference on blue economy in New Delhi in 2016 and invited all the experts form the island nations
    • Set up Space Application Center, in partnership with ISRO, in any of the 14 countries and friendly port calls by the Indian Navy
    • Pacific leaders have expressed their concerns over climate change and its effect on their respective counties. India also assured them to voice their concerns and appropriate measures at the 2015 United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP 21) in Paris
    • In return all the 14 visiting head of state/government reiterated their support to India’s bid for a permanent memberships at the reformed United Nations Security Council
    • India offered to help the Pacific Islands with their hydrography and coastal surveillance, by engaging the Indian Navy. It would help them have a better understanding of their maritime zone and strengthen security of their EEZs
    • India also announced FIPIC Trade Office at Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce & Industry (FICCI) to promote Trade & Investment opportunities between India & Pacific Island Countries

    Way ahead:

    • China is already on there and giving large credit, so does it mean India can not build good relations with these nations? No
    • We need to build on our advantages- health tourism, building democratic institutions which they need a lot
    • India’s strong relations with Fiji, which has considerable influence in the region, is a strong point which could help counter the growing Chinese influence
    • Relations with Fiji had improved in India’s favour in the past decade and not only those of Indian origin but also Fijians were friendly towards Indians, which worked to Indian advantage
    • Most of the economies in the region are based on agriculture, fisheries and small-scale industries and India’s capacity in these sectors is even better than Europe and China

    Published with inputs from Swapnil
  • Foreign Policy Watch: India-SCO

    SCO & India

    As of July 2015, India has been accorded full membership of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) along with Pakistan at its Ufa summit held in Russia.

    • SCO is a Eurasian economic, political and military organisation
    • HQ: Beijing, China
    • Established: 2001 in Shanghai by the leaders 6 countries viz. China, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan
    • Since 2005, India was having an Observer status of SCO and had applied for full membership in 2014. India would be finally ratified in the member list by 2016

    Connecting the dots with SCO

    Per Chinese and Russian scholars, creation of SCO helped address the security problems and enhance economic cooperation in the Central Asia region. The Western discourse, however, has tended to see the SCO as a mechanism to counter-balance the influence of the United States in the region. Both are correct!

    SCO is considered and tagged as anti-west. Behind the veils, it is alleged that SCO is going to be a NATO like military alliance in East. You might expect a question on that line and be asked to put India’s context in place.

    However, China exaggeratedly says that the SCO was founded on a principle of non-alignment and functions as an effective stabilizer for regional security and peace. China has always maintained that the focus of SCO is on combating the “three evil forces” – terrorism, separatism, and extremism – and other unconventional security menaces.

    Advantage India?

    There are multiple benefits for India as well as the SCO which is concerned with security and stability in the Eurasian space.

    1. India’s presence will help moderate the anti-West bias of the grouping, which will calm Washington’s nerves to a considerable extent
    2. Greater engagement with India will also aid the organisation’s capability to improve regional economic prosperity and security
    3. Membership will give India an opportunity to play an active role in China’s Silk Road initiative which plans to link a new set of routes from the north and east of the country to an old network of routes in the greater Eurasian region.
    4. Indian interest in International North-South Transport Corridor to connect Mumbai with Abbas port in Iran. This route is shorter than the existing Suez Canal and the Mediterranean Sea
    5. SCO may also serve as guarantor for projects such as the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) and Iran-Pakistan-India (IPI) pipelines, which are held by India due to security concerns.

    India’s entry is also likely to tip the balance of power in favor of peace and stability in Afghanistan.

    Challenges ahead for SCO?

    It is naive to expect that India’s differences with China regarding the border or its ties with Pakistan will magically disappear. The inclusion of Pakistan in the SCO will also make it difficult for India to enjoy a level playing field.

    Pakistan, which is embroiled in a domestic political crisis, may not be so willing to challenge hardliners in its country, and go along with India in promoting peace and stability in the Eurasian space. We have seen how Indo-Pak presence in SAARC makes it difficult to ink key pacts.

    The clash of interests in a post – 2014 Afghanistan makes prospects of cooperation difficult. There is also a possibility that China may collude with Pakistan to suffocate India’s voice in the decision making process.

    Other than that, India will have to balance the geopolitical ambitions of China and Russia to evolve a mutually beneficial framework.


    Further readings:

    SCO becomes a reasonably hot topic post India’s accession to the member status. If you are comfortable with IR, try these articles  –

  • International Org. | Part 7 | Bretton Woods Institutions – World Bank Group

    This post continues from the series on International Relations for IAS Prep. Read the essential posts here –

    If you haven’t read part one of Bretton Woods institution, click here to read that first


     


     

    World Bank is a vital source of financial and technical assistance to developing countries around the world. This is not only a bank in the ordinary sense but a unique partnership to reduce poverty and support development.


    When? 1944

    Headquarter: Washington, D.C.

    Publications- global economic prospects, Ease of doing business index

    There are 2 goals for the world to achieve by 2030 –

    • End extreme poverty by decreasing the percentage of people living on less than $1.90 a day to no more than 3%
    • Promote shared prosperity by fostering the income growth of the bottom 40% for every country

    World Bank Group is not just World bank but comprises of 5 institutions managed by their member countries

    These 5 institutions are as follows –

    1. International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD)- Commonly known as the world bank. It is the single largest provider of development loans
    2. International Development Association (IDA) – assists the poorest countries
    3. International Finance Corporation (IFC) – supports private enterprise in developing countries.
    4. Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) – offers investors insurance against non-commercial risk and help developing country governments attract foreign investment <non commercial risks such as political instability, govt deciding to nationalise a private business etc.>
    5. International Centre for the Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) – encourages the flow of foreign investment to developing countries through arbitration and conciliation facilities

    Except for ICSID, India is member of other four groups<We don’t like external interference such as arbitration in our decision making process, hence not the member of ICSID>

    <India is one of the founder members of IBRD, IDA and IFC>

    So, we will discuss this 3 institutions in detail, as are important for India –

    International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) (world bank)

    IBRD provides loans and other assistance primarily to middle income and poor but credit worthy countries at interest rates slightly lower than that offered by other financial institutions but with long term maturity<countries which have the capacity to repay the loan amount with interest>

    Members: 188

    Origins: IBRD as the name suggest was created in 1944 to help Europe reconstruct/ rebuild after World War II. To be a member of IBRD, a country has t join IMF first.

    Main function:

    • Long-term capital assistance to its member-countries for their reconstruction and development
    • It works closely with the rest of the World Bank Group to help developing countries reduce poverty, promote economic growth, and build prosperity.

    Other functions of IBRD Bank –

    • Supports long-term human and social development that private creditors do not finance
    • Preserves borrowers’ financial strength by providing support in times of crisis, when poor people are most adversely affected
    • Promotes policy and institutional reforms (such as safety net or anti-corruption reforms)
    • Creates a favorable investment climate to catalyze the provision of private capital
    • Facilitates access to financial markets often at more favorable terms than members can achieve on their own
    • Resources of the Bank consist of the capital and borrowings.

    Before granting or guaranteeing a loan, the Bank considers the following matters –

    • merit of the proposal
    • The borrower has reasonable prospect for repayment i.e. credit worthiness
    • The loan is meant for productive purposes and to finance foreign exchange requirements of specific projects of reconstruction and development.

    How is IBRD financed?

    • Simple as other banks are financed; float bonds in world financial markets. In fact, in these markets, IBRD is known simply as the World Bank
    • shareholder are member states with governments paying in about $14 billion in capital in proportion to their IMF quota
    • IBRD has maintained a triple-A rating since 1959. Its high credit rating allows it to borrow at low cost and offer middle-income developing countries access to capital on favorable terms in larger volumes, with longer maturities <What is a credit rating? How is it determined? What is the effect of a good or bad credit rating on the prospects of countries and corporations? Answer in the comments.>
    • IBRD earns income every year from the return on its equity and from the small margin it makes on lending
    • This pays for IBRD’s operating expenses, goes into reserves to strengthen the balance sheet, and provides an annual transfer of funds to IDA, the fund for the poorest countries

    India and the IBRD

    • India is the founder-banker of the Bank
    • Bank has not been merely a lending institution to India but has also served as a worthy counsel whom India has approached for advice in difficulties
    • India has been the single largest borrower of the Bank
    • Main sectors for which IBRD assistance of US$ 3049 million has been provided are roads & highways, energy, urban infrastructure (including water & sanitation), rural credit, disaster management and the financial services sector
    • The Bank has also been instrumental in the establishment of the India Development Forum, a consortium of donor nations to India.
    • The massive financial assistance pledged by the consortium members has been the largest aid commitment and is a landmark in the history of development aid from developed countries to developing countries.

    International Development Association (IDA)

    IDA is the part of the World Bank that helps the world’s poorest countries

    IDAfront


    When? 1960

    Aim: To reduce poverty by providing loans (called “credits”) and grants for programs that boost economic growth, reduce inequalities, and improve people’s living conditions.

    Main Functions of IDA:

    • IDA provides loans which are practically interest-free and for longer periods. Therefore, it is often referred to as the ‘soft loan window’ of the Bank.
    • Only the poorest of the poor member countries (with per capita income below $1215 in 2016) are eligible for assistance.
    • IDA complements the World Bank’s original lending arm, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD)

    IDA1


    Structure of lending and credits by IDA

    • IDA lends money on concessional terms. This means that IDA credits have a zero or very low interest charge and repayments are stretched over 25 to 38 years, including a 5- to 10-year grace period
    • IDA also provides grants to countries at risk of debt distress <grants are donations i.e. not to be rapid>
    • In addition to concessional loans and grants, IDA provides significant levels of debt relief through the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative and the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI)
    • IDA is a multi-issue institution, supporting a range of development activities, such as primary education, basic health services, clean water and sanitation, agriculture, business climate improvements, infrastructure, and institutional reforms
    • These interventions pave the way toward equality, economic growth, job creation, higher incomes, and better living conditions

    Borrowers of IDA

    • 77 countries (plus India) are currently eligible to receive IDA resources
    • Eligibility for IDA support depends first and foremost on a country’s relative poverty, defined as gross national income (GNI) per capita below $1,215 in fiscal year 2016
    • IDA also supports a number of countries, including several small island economies, which are above the operational cutoff but lack the creditworthiness needed to borrow from IBRD
    • Some countries, such as Vietnam and Pakistan, are IDA-eligible based on per capita income levels, but are also creditworthy for some IBRD borrowing. They are referred to as “blend” countries <receive loans from bot IDA and IBRD; India is also one such country>

    Roadmap ahead for IDA

    • Today’s fiscal environment presents challenges for all those involved in development from borrowing countries to donors<funds are simply not available after financial crisis>
    • The new Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) present a critical opportunity to end extreme poverty. That would need strong commitment and financing to meet the goals
    • A number of countries are expected to exceed IDA’s per capita income threshold in the next decade, it is also clear that these countries will continue to be home to millions of poor people who will still need extensive support, particularly during the transition period from concessional to harder lending terms
    • As the main instrument for implementing the global goals in the poorest countries, IDA will need to shift toward increasingly innovative approaches to deliver trans-formative results

    India has exceeded IDA’s per capita income threshold of 1260$ and is thus technically not eligible to tap IDA window but India campaigned to extend the tenure of India’s concessional loans by several more years (till 2022), given the country’s high poverty levels and WB decided to continue it’s IDA concessional lending in view of 300m people living below poverty line.

    International Finance Corporation (IFC)

    Largest global development institution focused exclusively on the private sector in developing countries

    When? 1956

    Members: 184

    Objectives of the IFC

    • To further economic development by encouraging growth of private enterprise in member-countries
    • Invests in private enterprise in member-countries in association with private investors and without Government guarantee, in cases where sufficient private capital is not available on reasonable terms
    • Seeks to bring together investment opportunities, private capital of both foreign and domestic origin, and experienced management
    • Stimulates conditions conducive to the flow of private capital – domestic and foreign – into productive investments in member-countries
    • IFC investment normally does not exceed 40% of the total investment of the enterprise
    • In case of its investment by equity participation, it does not exceed 25% of the share capital

    IFC and India

    • IFC makes strategic investments and advisory interventions to promote inclusive growth, help address climate change impacts, and encourage global and regional integration
    • In India, IFC is sharpening its focus on increasing access to energy, finance and healthcare; providing sustainable infrastructure; and boosting regional linkages

    Focus Areas –

    • Building infrastructure
    • Facilitating renewable energy generation
    • Promoting cleaner production, energy and water efficiency
    • Supporting agriculture for improved food security
    • Creating growth opportunities for small businesses
    • Helping reform investment climate

    Let’s take a look at India-IFC ties

    • Since 1956, IFC has invested in 346 companies in India, providing over $10.3 billion in financing for its own account and $2.9 billion in mobilization from external resources
    • IFC’s committed portfolio in India is nearly $4.7 billion<India has IFC’s largest portfolio exposure>
    • In FY14, IFC committed nearly $1.2 billion across 34 projects in India
    • IFC also has a strong advisory program in India with a total portfolio value of $62 million across 74 projects.
    • In FY14, three quarters of IFC’s advisory program had a footprint in India’s priority states

    IFC also issue India’s first masala bonds to tap in foreign funding in local currency. similar IFC also issued first green masala bonds to raise investments to deal with climate change. Want to know what is masala bond, click here to read more

    Concerns around World Bank lending and reform of World Bank

    • As we learnt in the earlier part on Bretton Woods institution that main concern is around conditionalities and impact of world bank funded infrastructure projects on local population<displacement, loss of jobs etc.>
    • The Bank’s undemocratic governance structure – which is dominated by industrialised countries – and its privileging of the private sector
    • the Bank’s private sector lending arm (IFC) has been criticised for its business model<increasing use of financial intermediaries such as private equity funds and funding of companies associated with tax havens>
    • World bank recently announced that it would not fund coal technologies for climate change reasons, it would make task of investing in clean coal technologies difficult for countries such as India

    Reforms

    • World bank’s governing structure need to be made more democratic
    • Developing countries should be given a chance to shape the agenda
    • There should be more transparency on the issues that come to the table
    • More resources(increase the capital base) need to be put in so that it continue lending to poorer countries

    Let’s revise World Bank in brief

    Name Main Function Comment
    IBRD (WB) Infrastructure loan to poor middle income but credit worthy countries at just below market rates India founder member, largest recipient of loan
    IDA Soft loan at virtually zero rate for poverty eradication to poorest countries India founder largest recipient, has crossed the per capita threshold for funding but will continue to receive IDA funds
    IFC Private sector arm of WB group, supports private enterprises in developing countries India founder, IFC launched India’s offshore masala bond
    MIGA Provide guarantee to investors against non-commercial political risk India not founding member
    ICSID Resolve disputes through arbitration and conciliation India not a member

    UPSC ke Sawal

    #1. Which one of the following groups of items is included in India’s foreign-exchange reserves? (IAS pre 2013)

    1. Foreign-currency assets, Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) and loans from foreign countries
    2. Foreign-currency assets, gold holdings of the RBI and SDRs
    3. Foreign-currency assets, loans from the World Bank and SDRs
    4. Foreign-currency assets, gold holdings of the RBI and loans from the World Bank

    #2. ‘BioCarbon Fund Initiative for Sustain- able Forest Landscapes’ is managed by the (IAS pre 2015)

    (a) Asian Development Bank
    (b) International Monetary Fund
    (c) United Nations Environment Programme
    (d) World Bank

    #3. The price of any currency in international market is decided by the (ias pre 2012)

    1. World Bank
    2. demand for goods/services provided by the country concerned
    3. stability of the government of the concerned country
    4. economic potential of the country in question

    Which of the statements given above are correct?

    • (a) 1, 2, 3 and 4
    • (b) 2 and 3 only
    • (c) 3 and 4 only
    • (d) 1 and 4 only

    #1. The World Bank and the IMF, collectively known as the Bretton Woods Institutions, are the two inter-governmental pillars supporting the structure of the world’s economic and financial order. Superficially, the World Bank and the IMF exhibit many common characteristics, yet their role, functions and mandate are distinctly different. Elucidate. (IAS mains 2013)

    #2. Does India Need the World Bank?

  • International Org. | Part 6 | Bretton Woods Institutions – IMF

    This post continues from the series on International Relations for IAS Prep. Read the essential posts here –

    This was the first example of a fully negotiated monetary order intended to govern monetary relations among independent nation-states.


    Where?

    In Bretton Woods, New Hampshire in 1944 during the United Nations Monetary and Financial Conference at the Mount Washington Hotel <That’s why IMF and World Bank are known as Bretton Woods twins>

    The aim was to help rebuild the shattered post-war economy ( WW2 had just finished in 1945) and to promote international economic cooperation.

    Origins of Bretton Woods

    Political origin lies in 2 key conditions –

    • Shared experiences of 2 World Wars, with the sense that failure to deal with economic problems after the first war had led to the second <Treaty of Versailles demanding massive reparation amount from Germany  being the cause of collapse of German economy and Hitler’s rise to power>
    • The concentration of power in a small number of states (US and Western Europe)

    Members of Bretton Woods Family aka Bretton Woods Twins

    #1. International Monetary Fund(IMF) – To maintain global financial stability through technical assistance, training, and loans to member states to tide over short term balance of payment crisis

    #2. World Bank (WB) Group – Consisting of 5 agencies which provides vital financial and technical assistance to developing countries around the world to reduce global poverty

    Remember that WTO has nothing to so with Bretton Woods. It officially commenced only in 1995 under the Marrakesh agreement and replace General Agreement on Tariff and trade (GATT)

    Propounder of the idea of IMF and WB group:

    Trio of  – US Treasury Secretary Henry Morgenthau, his chief economic advisor Harry Dexter White, and British economist John Maynard Keynes.

    What are some of the concerns and criticism about Bretton Woods twins?

    • Critics of the World Bank and the IMF are concerned about the conditionalities imposed on borrower countries
    • The World Bank and the IMF often attach loan conditionalities based on what is termed the ‘Washington Consensus’, focusing on liberalisation of trade, investment and privatisation of nationalised industries <so if India asked for funds from IMF, it might ask India to allow FDI in multi brand retail, to end system of minimum support prices in agriculture, privatize coal India etc.>
    • Many infrastructure projects financed by the WB Group have social and environmental implications for the populations in the affected areas
    • For example, World Bank-funded construction of hydroelectric dams in various countries has resulted in the displacement of indigenous peoples of the area
    • Criticisms against the governance structures which are dominated by industrialized countries <unwritten rule that president of World Bank will be from USA and Managing Director of IMF from Europe.> Otherwise who is more qualified than Rajan Bhai to become MD of IMF
    • Decisions are made and policies implemented by leading industrialized countries, the G7, because they represent the largest donors without much consultation with poor and developing countriesCountries which would utilize that assistance not even consulted, you see the irony>

    Let’s have a look at Bretton Woods organisations in brief

    #1. International Monetary Fund (IMF)

    Source-IMF

    Fundamental mission is to ensure the stability of the international monetary system.

    It does so in 3 ways:

    • Keeping track of the global economy and the economies of member countries (surveillance role)
    • Lending to countries with balance of payments difficulties (Lending role)
    • Giving practical help to members (technical assistance role)

    When? 1944

    Membership: 188 countries

    Headquarters: Washington, D.C.

    Publication- World Economic outlook, Global Financial Stability Report

    Objectives:

    • Promote international monetary cooperation
    • Facilitate the expansion and balanced growth of international trade;
    • Promote exchange stability
    • Assist in the establishment of a multilateral system of payments
      Make resources available (with adequate safeguards) to members
    • experiencing balance of payments difficulties

    Functioning of IMF comes under 3 Mains types –

    Surveillance –

    This involves the monitoring of economic and financial developments and the provision of policy advice , aimed especially at crisis-prevention.

    <Surveillance is the process of appraisal of the exchange rate policies of member countries. In the absence of surveillance, the financial volatility in the world today can become worse>

    We all know, how good it’s surveillance is. It failed to predict worse it failed to even recognize the stress in the system which led to financial crisis of 2008. It again failed with the prediction of euro-zone crisis.

    Lending –

    The IMF also to countries with balance of payments difficulties, to provide temporary financing and to support policies aimed at correcting the underlying problems, loans to low-income countries are also aimed esp. at poverty reduction <most criticized part, riddled with commonalities we discussed above>

    Technical Assistance –

    The IMF provides countries with technical assistance and training in its areas of expertise, which it calls capacity development


    Obviously IMF would need money to perform all these functions. Money is contributed by member states and each country’s contribution is fixed in terms of it’s quota.

    Let’s learn about Member’s Quota in IMF –

    • Quota represents the subscription by a member country to the capital fund of the IMF i.e it’s contribution to the IMF
    • the quota also forms the basis for determining its drawing rights from the IMF <simple, more you contribute, more you can withdraw at the time of crisis, fair point>
    • But the quota also determines voting power i.e. if 10% quota, your vote will carry 10% weight <this seems very undemocratic, gives all the power to rich countries or is it just fair, private companies mein bhi to same hi hota hai, jitni equity, utna vote>

    But how is quota of each country calculated?

    • Quota is calculated using a quota formula
    • The current Quota formula is a weighted average of GDP (50%), openness (30 %), economic variability (15%), and international reserves (5%)
    • In the GDP category, weight of GDP at market exchange rate is 60% and at purchasing power parity rate (PPP) is 40% <developing countries GDP is more in PPP terms and they want the IMF to change the formula to give greater weightage to GDP at PPP plus frequent revision of quotas as they grow faster>
    • The largest share of 17.5 per cent belongs to the USA, while the smallest share belongs to Palau (0.001 per cent) <now think what can tiny Palau do at IMF>
    • Any change in quotas must be approved by 85% voting power i.e USA with more than 15% quota holds virtual veto over all such decisions <now compare power of US with tiny Palau at IMF>
    • 25% of a country’s quota is to be contributed in the form of SDRs or foreign exchange and 75 per cent in the country’s own currency.

    What is this Special Drawing Rights or SDR?

    Bretton Woods established an international monetary system of fixed exchange rates pegged to dollar which was roughly pegged to gold known as gold exchange standard i.e. for every unit of currency fixed amount of dollars could be bought and with those dollars fixed amount of gold.

    But with high trade growth in world resources did not keep pace with the growth in international trade because there simply wasn’t enough gold. World needed some other asset to supplement shortfall in dollar and gold and IMF brougth in SDR. But in 1971 gold standard and dollar peg collapsed and world moved to flexible exchange rate system. Role of SDR as international reserve asset diminished.

    The value of the SDR is based on a basket of key international currencies (weighted avg value). With the addition of Renminbi, 5 currencies, dollar, yen, euro and pound-sterling form the SDR basket. (Renminbi value will be taken into account from Oct 1, 2016 only)

    Please remember that SDR is not a currency i.e it is not a claim on the IMF. On the other hand, SDR is a claim on the countries whose currency is included in the SDR basket.(claim as is written on your 500 rs note with Rajan’s signature: I promise to pay the bearer the sum of 500 rupees)

    Now, it has primarily become a unit of account i.e. IMF record keeping is done in SDR, Quotas are allocated in SDR.

    • SDRs are entitlements granted to member-countries enabling them to draw from the IMF apart from their quota. It is similar to a bank granting a credit limit to the customer
    • When SDRs are allocated the country’s Special Drawing Account with the IMF is credited with the amount of the allotment
    • Originally, SDRs were to be utilised only for meeting BOP difficulties. But as a consequence of endeavours to make it an international unit of account, the use of SDRs has been liberalised

    Current Position of SDR:

    • Now SDRs can be used directly among the members without the approval of the IMF
    • A country may swap SDRs with another country to acquire a currency it desires. SDRs may be utilised to pay charges to IMF
    • SDR has gained importance both as a reserve asset and as a unit of settlement of international transactions. Some countries have pegged their currencies to SDR.

    Reforming the IMF

    Role of IMF was criticized for following reasons –

    • One size fits all policy under which it gives the same recipe for all ills
    • Conditionalities that go with the loans that it disburses demand that spending on poor be curtailed <privatize your industries, stop subsidies, open up your markets etc.>
    • The private international flows are huge and in comparison, the IMF resource base is small and so is rendered ineffective
    • IMF MD is invariably from a European country, so India and other emerging markets are demanding that it should not be geographically confined and be merit – based
    • India wants that its economic power as it is emerging should be recognised and so is given greater voting rights
    • IMF failed to predict the global recession in 2008-09, let alone prevent it with its surveillance mode

    IMF recently passed long standing reform of changing quota share of member countries after US Senate withdrew its virtual veto. A few points

    1. With this structural shift, more than 6 % of the quota, including both the Fund’s capital and voting rights, have been transferred from developed to emerging economies
    2. India’s voting rights increase to 2.6 per cent from the current 2.3 per cent, and China’s, to 6 per cent from 3.8, as per the new division.
    3. All the directors on IMF board will now be elected and developed countries will not be able to nominate (earlier Europeans and US used to nominate up to 4 members to the board)
    4. Total resource base of IMF has doubled

    To follow the newscards related to IMF as they are pushed, follow this story, IMF and India

    India and the IMF equation –

    • India and IMF have had an amicable relationship, which has beneficial for both. IMF has provided India with loans over the years and this has helped the country in times of Balance Of Payments (BOP) crisis pressure
    • India joined the IMF in 1945, as one of the original founding members
    • IMF credit has been instrumental in helping India respond to emerging BOP problems on 2 occasions
    • In 1981-82, India borrowed SDR 3.9 billion
    • In 1991-93, India borrowed a total 2.2 billion under 2 stand by arrangements, and in 1991 it borrowed SDR 1.4 billion under Compensatory Financing Facility

    As a member of the Fund, India has derived following benefits:

    Foreign Exchange for Meeting BOP Deficits:

    Such drawings of foreign exchange have enabled the country to tide over the acute foreign exchange crisis and to maintain the imports of essentials goods

    Oil Facility from the IMF:

    India resorted to drawals from the IMF under the Oil Facility created in June, 1974 to meet larger outlays for the import of petroleum crude.

    Assistance under SDRs:

    The SDRs provide unconditional liquidity since the participants have access to foreign exchange resources at will.

    • The country has made use of the Fund’s facilities a number of time Aid from the World Bank: The country’s membership of the IMF has entitled it to become a member of the World Bank; as a member of the Bank, India has received large technical and financial assistance for the various development projects
    • Assistance under the Extended Credit Facility: Loan under this facility is contracted at softer terms but there is a serious conditionality clause attached to it
    • Preparation of Valuable Reports: The country has availed the services of the specialists in the Fund for the purpose of assessing the state of the Indian economy and for preparing valuable reports on various aspects of the economy.

    <We will take World Bank group, a part of bretton woods institutions in next article of this series>


    UPSC ke sawaal

    #1. Which one of the following groups of items is included in India’s foreign-exchange reserves? (IAS pre 2013)

    1. Foreign-currency assets, Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) and loans from foreign countries
    2. Foreign-currency assets, gold holdings of the RBI and SDRs
    3. Foreign-currency assets, loans from the World Bank and SDRs
    4. Foreign-currency assets, gold holdings of the RBI and loans from the World Bank

    #2, Regarding the international monetary fund, which one of the following statements is correct ?

    • (a) It can grant to any country.
    • (b) It can grant loans to only developed countries.
    • (c) It grants loans to only member countries.
    • (d) It can grant  loans to the central bank of a country.

    #3.Which of the following organizations brings out the publication known as ‘World Economic Outlook’? (IAS pre 2014)

    (a) The International Monetary Fund
    (b) The United Nations Development Programme
    (c) The World Economic Forum
    (d) The World Bank

    #4. The World Bank and the IMF, collectively known as the Bretton Woods Institutions, are the two inter-governmental pillars supporting the structure of the world’s economic and financial order. Superficially, the World Bank and the IMF exhibit many common characteristics, yet their role, functions and mandate are distinctly different. Elucidate. (Mains 2013)

    Further Readings –

  • International Org. | Part 5 | Indian-Ocean Rim Association (IORA)

    This post continues from the series on International Relations for IAS Prep. Read the essential posts here –

    When was IORA conceived?

    1997 in Ebene Cyber City, Mauritius

    Origins:

    • First established as Indian Ocean Rim Initiative in Mauritius on March 1995 and formally launched in 1997 by the conclusion of a multilateral treaty known as the Charter of the Indian Ocean Rim Association for Regional Cooperation.
    • It is based on the principles of Open Regionalism for strengthening Economic Cooperation particularly on Trade Facilitation and Investment, Promotion as well as Social Development of the region.

    Members:

    20 member states (including India) and 7 dialogue partners, the Indian Ocean Tourism Organisation and the Indian Ocean Research Group has observer status. 20th member was Comoros (latest added in 2012)

     

    Surce-wikipedia
    Locate all these islands and straits in your map.  Source-wikipedia

     


    Objectives:

    • To promote sustainable growth and balanced development of the region and member states
    • To focus on those areas of economic cooperation which provide maximum opportunities for development, shared interest and mutual benefits
    • To promote liberalisation, remove impediments and lower barriers towards a freer and enhanced flow of goods, services, investment, and technology within the Indian Ocean rim
    • In recent years, new and emerging issues for the better management and governance of Indian Ocean resources have begun taking shape.
    • Such issues include blue economy development and sectoral integration

    Six priority areas:

    1. Maritime safety and security
    2. Trade and investment facilitation
    3. Fisheries management
    4. Disaster risk management
    5. Academic science and technology cooperation
    6. Tourism and cultural exchanges

    First IORA Ministerial Blue Economy Conference –

    • In 2015, First IORA Ministerial Blue Economy Conference, titled as, Enhancing Blue Economy Cooperation for Sustainable Development in the IORA Region, was held in Mauritius
    • Blue Economy is a new comprehensive concept, incorporating the Ocean Economy, environment and sustainability to provide basic human needs such as potable water, food, jobs and habitable shelter
    • Conference aims to act as an ideal platform to bring together Member States and Dialogue Partners of the IORA to promote Blue Economy in the Indian Ocean region

    Conference focused on 4 priority areas namely :

    1. Fisheries & Aquaculture
    2. Renewable Ocean Energy
    3. Seaports & Shipping
    4. Seabed Exploration & Minerals

    China’s thrust for IORA membership: Is it push for Go Global policy?

    • China is the second-largest economy after the USA, among the current dialogue partners of the IORA (China, Egypt, Japan, the USA, the UK and France)
    • Recently, China is even reported to have expressed its interest in becoming a full member of the IORA
    • China’s dialogue with the IORA has been propelled by trends of globalisation and the process of regional integration, where she can play a leading role
    • China vigorously implements the ‘go global’ strategy by encouraging well-established Chinese enterprises to invest in and cooperate with countries in the Indian Ocean Rim region
    • While pushing ahead a going global strategy, China urges companies with proper capabilities to go to Indian Ocean Rim countries to invest
    • China would pursue active participation with the IOR-ARC in light of economic globalisation and regional economic integration

    What is the real significance (geostrategic and geoeconomic) of IORA for China?

    • As a connector between Africa, Asia and Oceania, it is the most important transport zone, almost 80% of the global oil and liquid natural gas shipments pass through it
    • Three strategic chokepoints – the Strait of Hormuz, Bal-el-Mandeb and the Strait of Malacca, connect the IOR with the Persian Gulf, the Red Sea and the South China Sea resp.
    • They have 7 adjacent IORA member countries, namely Oman, the UAE, Iran (Strait of Hormuz), Yemen (Bal-el-Mandeb), Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore (Strait of Malacca)
    • Almost 85% of China’s oil and gas supplies and most of its maritime cargo, trade and transport pass through these choke-points

    Do It Yourself (DIY)– Learn more about other major choke points of the world.

    Future Ahead for India

    India along with IORA could transform the region, and focusing on Security and Growth for All in the Region (SAGAR), as envisioned by Prime Minister Modi during his recent visit to Mauritius.

    UPSC ke Sawaal

    #1. With reference to ‘Indian Ocean Rim Association for Regional Cooperation (10R-ARC)’, consider the following statements : (IAS pre 2015)
    I. It was established very recently in response to incidents of piracy and accidents of oil spills.
    2. It is an alliance meant for maritime security only.
    Which of the statements given above is/are correct?
    (a) I only
    (b) 2 only
    (c) Both I and 2
    (d) Neither I nor 2

    #2.   Between India and east Asia, the navi-gation-time  and distance can be greatly reduced by which of the following ? (IAS pre 2010) #importance of map marking

    1. Deepening the Malacca straits between Malaysia and Indonesia.
    2. Opening a new canal across the kra isthmus between the gulf of Siam and Andaman sea.

    Which of the statements given above is/are correct ?

    (a) 1 only. (b)  2 only. (c) Both 1 and 2. (d) Neither 1 nor 2

    #3. Which one of the following can one come across if one travels through the Strait of Malacca? (IAS pre 2011) #importance of map marking

    A. Bali
    B. Brunei
    C. Java
    D. Singapore

  • International Org. | Part 4 | BRICS and India


    Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) are leading emerging economies and political powers at the regional and international level.

    When? 2008. They had their first official meeting in 2009

    Origin:

    • The acronym, BRIC, was coined by Jim O’Neill of Goldman Sachs way back in 2001
    • He predicted that by year 2050, Brazil, Russia, India and China would become bigger than the 6 most industrialized nations in dollar terms and would completely change the power dynamics of the last 300 years
    • It was pointed out that high growth rates, economic potential and demographic development were going to put BRICS further in a lead position

    Why is BRICS suddenly so important?

    The idea of development bank (NDB) and Contingency Reserve Arrangement (CRA) has strengthen BRICS as a grouping

    Both of these concepts were formalised over in 2015 (@BRICS summit at Fortaleza and Brasilia) and this was seen as a strong signal to the challenge of western dominated discourses in some forums (IMF, WB)

    We will get to these details in a short while but since these developments happened in 2015, the IAS aspirants from 2016 onwards are required to sweat blood in order to be on top of this theme (kidding!)

    What prompted the need for emergence of BRICS? 

    Most multilateral institutions were designed in the era when the West dominated the world. The US and Europe are over-represented in the IMF and the World Bank. Together with Japan, they control most regional development banks as well! That’s a big bad bully in making, right?

    The main reason for co-operation to start among the BRICs nation was the financial crises of 2008

    The crises raised scepticism on the dollar dominated monetary system and the need for participation by non-G7 countries became evident. If you don’t know about G7, click this wiki page to know the countries involved

    What reform did BRICS want out of the multilateral institutions?

    Since their inception in 1944, the Bretton Woods institutions (IMF and World Bank) had not reformed their governance structure, to give more voting and voice to emerging economies. Both dominated by USA and developed countries. Both were out of sync with the new dynamics of world economy

    The BRICs called for the “the reform of multilateral institutions in order that they reflect the structural changes in the world economy and the increasingly central role that emerging markets now play

    BRICS managed to push for institutional reform which led to International Monetary Fund (IMF) quota reform in 2010 (although, it met with limited success as United States Congress did not ratify)!

    Three new terms? Bretton Woods, Quota reforms, 2008 financial crisis. We will get to them later.

    So, essentially, BRICS opened up a possibility for countries of the global South to challenge the global North. When the quota reforms were quashed in 2010, BRICS moved towards enlarging their spheres of cooperation. We will talk about the BRICS bank at a later stage.

    Advantage India?

    Now that NAM (Non-alignment) is almost defunct and very little wealth is left in the Commonwealth, BRICS provide a great alternate for India to build its global profile.

    But don’t we have a G 20 group to further India’s interest in the global arena? Yes, that’s another big one (besides UN).

    G 20 is a bloc of developing nations established on 20 August 2003. The G-20 accounts for – 60% of the world’s population, 70% of its farmers and 26% of world’s agricultural exports.

    India has tried to use BRICS as a forum to engage China as the latter has become the largest market for the fast-industrializing countries of East Asia. India wants to resolve the age-old mis trust and complicated relationship between the two countries since the 1962 war between them.

    What are the factors that will bolster co-operation among BRICS members?

    Firstly, the common need among developing countries to construct economic order that reflects current situation will drive the BRICS’ efforts. In this matter, the idea of NDB and CRA are defining and will have a huge geo-economic and geopolitical impact

    Secondly, the BRICS alternative idea in the landscape of global governance will attract support from other countries. There have been suggestions by political analysts that BRICS may expand its member quota

    Thirdly, the expansion of BRICS interaction to other sector will make it more strong partnership

    Lastly, Chinese support to BRICS will make sure that group remains a force to reckon with in the future

    Chinese support – interesting point. Some would say that a lot depends on how China carries its might behind BRICS for the time to come.

    Some concerns regarding the future of BRICS

    1. Competition within themselves – The BRICS countries aspire to be regional powers and hence at some point will compete with each other
    2. Different forms of governance – They have different political systems with Brazil, India and South Africa being democracies while Russia and China having authoritarian characteristics. It would be interesting to see how policy consensus is brought about!
    3. Trade conflicts, maybe? Brazil and Russia are commodity exporting countries and thus benefit from high commodity prices while India and China are commodity importers that benefit from low commodity prices
    4. Territorial Issues – China and India have outstanding territorial issues to resolve and India looks askance to any institution that has Chinese domination. Russia looks suspiciously at China’s interest in its sparsely populated far eastern of Siberia
    5. The big daddy China – China spearheads three other major initiatives in this region – One Belt One Road (OBOR), Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and SCO. You should know that the 7th BRICS summit was held as a joint summit with SCO. BRICS has to find a reckoning space among them to keep china’s interests alive!

    Parting words on BRICS (more mirch masala)

    All that UPSC want from an IAS aspirant is: Analysis, analysis, analysis. These are some of the fodder points that you can use in any answer involving BRICS and world arena.

    Engaging China has been one of the important components of India’s foreign policy in recent years, considering that co-operation and negotiations with China is imperative to clearing the mistrust between the two countries.

    Geostrategically, BRICS are now represented on all continents of the global south. In bilateral and regional agreements, the BRICS emphasize south-south solidarity and horizontal cooperation in contrast to western dominance.

    Yet, in global fora such as G20, UN Security Council or World Climate Conferences, BRICS claim to speak on behalf of the developing world (whether they actually do represent these countries is disputable) and gradually challenge western supremacy in international politics.


     

    Phew. This was a long one! Did we cover everything? Nope. We will cover later

    1. Latest BRICS summit
    2. All about the BRICS Bank (NDB) & Contingency Reserve Arrangement (CRA)
    3. Comparison of BRICS Bank with AIIB (another master stroke by China)

    Want to read more?


     

    UPSC ke sawaal

    #1. With reference to a grouping of countries known as BRICS, consider the following statements: (IAS Prelims 2014)

    1. The First Summit of BRICS was held in Rio de Janeiro in 2009.
    2. South Africa was the last to join the BRICS grouping.

    Which of the statements given above is / are correct?

    (a) 1 only
    (b) 2 only
    (c) Both 1 and 2
    (d) Neither 1 nor 2
    #2. The ‘Fortaleza Declaration’, recently in the news, is related to the affairs of ((IAS Prelims 2015)
    (a) ASEAN
    (b) BRICS
    (c) OECD
    (d) WTO

    #3. With reference to BRIC countries, consider the following statements (IAS Prelims 2010)
    1. At present, China’s GDP is more than the combined GDP of all the three other countries.
    2. China’s population is more than the combined population of any two other countries.
    Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

    A. 1 only
    B. 2 only
    C. Both 1 and 2
    D. Neither 1 nor 2

     

  • International Org. | Part 3 | SCO & India

    This post is a part of an ongoing series to help IAS aspirants prepare for International Relations.

    As of July 2015, India has been accorded full membership of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) along with Pakistan at its Ufa summit held in Russia.

    • SCO is a Eurasian economic, political and military organisation
    • HQ: Beijing, China
    • Established: 2001 in Shanghai by the leaders 6 countries viz. China, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan
    • Since 2005, India was having an Observer status of SCO and had applied for full membership in 2014. India would be finally ratified in the member list by 2016

    Connecting the dots with SCO

    Per Chinese and Russian scholars, creation of SCO helped address the security problems and enhance economic cooperation in the Central Asia region. The Western discourse, however, has tended to see the SCO as a mechanism to counter-balance the influence of the United States in the region. Both are correct!

    SCO is considered and tagged as anti-west. Behind the veils, it is alleged that SCO is going to be a NATO like military alliance in East. You might expect a question on that line and be asked to put India’s context in place.

    However, China exaggeratedly says that the SCO was founded on a principle of non-alignment and functions as an effective stabilizer for regional security and peace. China has always maintained that the focus of SCO is on combating the “three evil forces” – terrorism, separatism, and extremism – and other unconventional security menaces.

    Advantage India?

    There are multiple benefits for India as well as the SCO which is concerned with security and stability in the Eurasian space.

    1. India’s presence will help moderate the anti-West bias of the grouping, which will calm Washington’s nerves to a considerable extent
    2. Greater engagement with India will also aid the organisation’s capability to improve regional economic prosperity and security
    3. Membership will give India an opportunity to play an active role in China’s Silk Road initiative which plans to link a new set of routes from the north and east of the country to an old network of routes in the greater Eurasian region.
    4. Indian interest in International North-South Transport Corridor to connect Mumbai with Abbas port in Iran. This route is shorter than the existing Suez Canal and the Mediterranean Sea
    5. SCO may also serve as guarantor for projects such as the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) and Iran-Pakistan-India (IPI) pipelines, which are held by India due to security concerns.

    India’s entry is also likely to tip the balance of power in favor of peace and stability in Afghanistan.

    Challenges ahead for SCO?

    It is naive to expect that India’s differences with China regarding the border or its ties with Pakistan will magically disappear. The inclusion of Pakistan in the SCO will also make it difficult for India to enjoy a level playing field.

    Pakistan, which is embroiled in a domestic political crisis, may not be so willing to challenge hardliners in its country, and go along with India in promoting peace and stability in the Eurasian space. We have seen how Indo-Pak presence in SAARC makes it difficult to ink key pacts.

    The clash of interests in a post – 2014 Afghanistan makes prospects of cooperation difficult. There is also a possibility that China may collude with Pakistan to suffocate India’s voice in the decision making process.

    Other than that, India will have to balance the geopolitical ambitions of China and Russia to evolve a mutually beneficial framework.


     

    Further readings:

    SCO becomes a reasonably hot topic post India’s accession to the member status. If you are comfortable with IR, try these articles  –

  • International Org. | Part 2 | SAARC (30+ years in existence)

    We discussed MGC and BIMSTEC in the last post here. We covered both of them in one single post and there is a reason for it.

    Rule of thumb for assigning importance to an organisation (for IAS Mains or Pre)

    • Who are the participating countries? Are they heavyweights?
    • Any observers? When an international organisation catches interest, lot of countries line up for an observer status. This is a litmus test for the growing importance and credibility of an organisation because the world is starting to take notice!
    • Was the organisation in news recently? A mild yes? Prelims worthy. If embroiled in some controversies (prolonged dialogues), then Mains worthy!

    As of Feb 2016, MGC has 6 member countries & 0 observers. BIMSTEC has 7 member countries & 0 observers.

    But our next guest – SAARC, has  8 member countries and 9 observers (including China, US, EU, Japan).

    The South Asian Association of Regional Cooperation (SAARC) completed 3 decades of its existence in 2015. While it is impossible to compress its evolution in a single post, we will do well to get you upto speed and be aware of the major controversies surrounding SAARC (analysis, analysis and more analysis).

    When? 1985

    Origins:

    Member countries – Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. Afghanistan joined SAARC as its eighth member state in April 2007.

    Observers – States with observer status include Australia, China, the European Union, Iran, Japan, Mauritius, Myanmar, South Korea and the United States

    After independence, the countries of South Asia, which under British colonial rule, functioned like a composite whole that had both transport linkages and economic inter-dependence, wanted to portray a more independent image.

    They began functioning as autonomous economic units with protective trade regimes for the fear of political, economic autonomy in the region. These countries were often mired in bilateral conflicts (Indo – Pak, Pak – B.Desh) and that took a toll on region’s growth and prosperity. Hence, SAARC charter was build around a common goal of improving the foreign relations within the region.

    As a founding philosophy, SAARC prudently kept bilateral contentious issues out of the scope of the regional cooperation. It was believed that the inclusion of bilateral issues would hamper multilateral initiatives. SAARC was not set up as a bilateral dispute settlement mechanism. Did that really help evolve SAARC into a better organisation? We shall see.

    Why do nations come together to form groupings?

    Short answer – Economics & power struggle!

    Long answer

    1. Nepal – had difficulties with India on various issues. Harnessing Nepal’s river water was one of the key considerations. Nepal wanted to diversify technical cooperation on hydroelectricity with other countries (to avoid complete dependence on India)
    2. Bangladesh – Another country which was suspicious of India and wanted to diversify its foreign relations. At that time Bangladesh had serious problems with India on the issue of the sharing of the Ganga water. Even though bilateral struggles were kept outside the purview of SAARC, Bangladesh had a hope to become a major player in the region
    3. Sri Lanka – was initially reluctant to join SAARC. However, due to its own ethnic crisis it became interested in the association expecting it would help assuage some of its apprehensions regarding India
    4. Pakistan – Only one goal – counter India’s influence
    5. Bhutan & Afghanistan – Let’s leave them for time being!

    Feel good about India’s overarching influence in the region for a moment.

    What were the mandates for SAARC and how far has it come to fulfill them?

    The SAARC Charter clearly lays down that cooperation among member-states will be based on sovereign equality, territorial integrity, political independence and non-interference in internal affairs.

    The Charter further states that such cooperation will not be an obstacle to other bilateral or multilateral cooperation or be inconsistent with them.

    Brings us back to the point that SAARC chose to keep bilateral disputes out of discussion and focus on the multilateral (economic, strategic) issues. This did not always work in its favour. Smaller member countries often found it difficult to overcome their political goals and limited national agendas. This often stalled progress.

    Want to read about one such issue with SAARC?

    How does SAARC carries on with its activities?

    On the administration side, the SAARC Secretariat established in Kathmandu is supported by Regional Centres established in Member States. They are quite a few and not so relevant for your exam prep. Suffice to say that, SAARC members are supposed to meet every year (Annual Summits).

    In the last 30 years, we have witnessed 18 summits. The last one was held at Kathmandu in 2014 and the motto was – ‘Deeper Integration for Peace and Prosperity’.

     The 19th SAARC summit is to be held in Pakistan sometime in 2016.

    How did the 18th Summit (2014) go?

    1. The theme of the summit was “Deeper Integration for peace and prosperity.” But member countries failed to sign two major agreements on rail and road connectivity
    2. The pact on energy was signed though! This will enable greater cooperation in the power sector
    3. Why were the rail and road connectivity agreements not signed? Pakistan held back, saying it still had to complete its “internal processes” regarding these pacts
    4. Any new initiative proposed by India? 
      • India promised to launch a satellite for the region by SAARC Day in 2016
      • Set up a Special Purpose facility in India to finance infrastructure projects in the region
      • Ease business visas by launching a SAARC business traveller card
      • Suggestions for establishing a SAARC regional Supra Reference laboratory to fight common diseases (TB, HIV)

    China’s intrusion into SAARC?

    1. Pakistan called for a more prominent role for observers in the future—mostly China
    2. Nepal and Sri Lanka also support this, and China itself is actively seeking a greater role in SAARC
    3. India responded by saying that economic cooperation between the existing members must be strengthened before expanding membership. Close shave!

    Comparing ASEAN with SAARC

    #1. SAARC is a lost cause – The motivation for launching these two forums – ASEAN (for south east asia) & SAARC (for south asia) were almost similar. Both were guided by a common hope to resolve disputes and a thirst for economic growth.

    Asean members had serious interstate disputes which they decided to forget. On the other hand, Saarc members insisted that disputes be resolved first, before economic cooperation could start. Asean nations were inclined to be trading nations; Saarc nations were inclined to be warlike. Asean moved to conflict-avoidance mechanisms; Saarc refused to discuss bilateral disputes.

    Saarc had to suffer an Indo-Pakistan war at Kargil started by Pakistan in 1999, which prevented three Saarc summits from taking place. India has given Pakistan the most favoured nation status but Pakistan has not reciprocated.

    #2. It’s unfair to compare SAARC with ASEAN – The ASEAN countries did not have contested ideologies, such as the one based on two-nation theory (Indo-Pak). The countries comprising ASEAN came together to defend themselves from the communist threat. Such external threat was absent in the case of SAARC. Rather as you see above, India was considered as a threat by some member countries.

    Fair enough! Let’s move to the economics of SAARC.

    South Asia Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA) and the complexities surrounding it

    New to FTAs/ PTAs/ trade agreements in general? Read about the different types of trade agreements.

    Safta was signed by the South Asian Association of Regional Cooperation (SAARC) countries in January 2004, in Islamabad. The agreement was a migration from SAPTA to SAFTA (Preferential to Free).

    India allows duty-free access to goods from Sri Lanka, Nepal, Bhutan and Bangladesh.We also reduced the ‘sensitive list’ it maintains for these countries to 25 items.

    South Asian countries in general have competitive economies. The trade structure is mostly tilted towards primary goods. The countries of the region in general target their finished goods to foreign markets. Primary products are goods that are available from cultivating raw materials without a manufacturing process.

    SAFTA was expected to bring down illegal trade

    It was expected that SAFTA would bring much of the illegal trade in the region to the official level boosting all-round regional trade figures. Due to the lowering of tariff, many of the high custom duty items that are smuggled would become part of official trade. But that did not happen (to the satisfaction).

    As reality would have it, SAFTA faces an existential dilemma

    1. The volume of trade in actual terms (between SAARC nations) could is very small
    2. Intra-regional trade is still at a dismal 5% — compared to 66% for the EU and about 25% for the ASEAN. Read more – here
    3. The countries of South Asia have long negative lists and their protective trade regimes inhibit free flow of goods. Negative lists = lists of items kept outside the purview of agreement
    4. Such obstacles and restrictions have given rise to smuggling and unofficial trade
    5. The ‘rule of origin’ is a problematic clause since there are no efficient mechanisms to monitor and certify goods originating from the member countries

    What’s the silver lining for SAARC?

    Thankfully, with India pursuing its “Act East policy” with a new vigour, all is not lost. If you have been a regular with the Civilsdaily App’s Newscards, we have been closely following Indo-SAARC updates:

    If you have 20 minutes to spare, watch this RSTV sponsored discourse on 30 years of SAARC


     

    This post is a part of an ongoing series – An IAS Aspirant’s guide to cracking International Relations

  • International Org. | Part 1 | Mekong Ganga Cooperation and BIMSTEC

    This post continues from the series on International Relations for IAS Prep. Read the essential posts here –

    Of late, UPSC has developed a knack of asking factual questions involving India’s membership status/ important reports/ foundation year etc. Here’s a quick mind map to set you up with bare basics of the asia region. We will cover each and every one of them in great detail to help you understand their origins and evolutions (wrt. India).


    #1. Mekong Ganga Cooperation (MGC)

    When? 2000

    Origins: An initiative by 6 countries – India and 5 ASEAN countries, namely, Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar, Thailand and Vietnam

    Relevance and Evolution

    Both the Ganga and the Mekong are civilizational rivers, and the MGC initiative aims to facilitate closer contacts among the people inhabiting these two major river basins. Key areas of cooperation under MGC were tourism, culture, education, and transport & communications.

    Despite ASEAN’s rhetoric and posturing, it remains a weak organisation incapable of handling serious challenges, economic or strategic. There has been a proliferation of trade groups carrying many (confusing!) acronyms.

    With India’s elevated status in ASEAN by 2012, the time is ripe to enter the Mekong Region. Apart from reinforcing India’s security, it will remove economic isolation of the North East Region (NER).

    There is a lack of connectivity between India, Myanmar and beyond and hence a need to build connecting corridors. Unlike the European Union, with nascent Asian economies we have to follow the “hub and spoke” process which impedes in the trade process.

    Latest developments:

    India hosted the 6th MGC Ministerial Meeting on September 4, 2012. New Areas of Cooperation added in the 6th MGC –

    1. Conservation of Rice GermPlasm – A new area of mutually beneficial cooperation in rice production techniques and downstream processing projects
    2. Enhancing cooperation among SME – India circulated a concept paper
    3. Health – Aim is to strengthen the region’s capacity to respond to the menace of drug resistant malaria and other such emerging public health threats
    4. Common Archival Resource Centre (CARC) at Nalanda University

    #2. Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC)

    When? 1997 | HQ: Dhaka, Bangladesh

    Origins: BIMSTEC started off as the Bangladesh, India, Sri Lanka, Thailand Economic Cooperation Group in 1997. Myanmar joined in 1997, while Nepal and Bhutan joined in 2004 when the first summit was held in Bangkok.

    Relevance and Evolution

    BIMSTEC is said to have been encouraged by India’s Look East Policy (LEP) and Thailand’s Look West Policy.

    BIMSTEC was seen as a vital bridge between SAARC and ASEAN. Myanmar and Thailand are already in ASEAN while Japan is Thailand’s second-biggest export destination.

    But in the present context, when the members of BIMSTEC have acquired memberships in various other regional/sub-regional organisations which also promote cooperation at different levels, it might not end up being that fruitful an organisation (that it was intended up to be).

    BIMSTEC identified 14 priority areas where a member country takes lead. India is lead country for – 

    • Transport & Communication
    • Tourism
    • Environment & Disaster Management
    • Counter Terrorism & Transnational Crime

    Advantage India?

    Pakistan and China do not form member countries and this grouping provides India an opportunity to increase its sphere of influence.

    India should be more proactive towards BIMSTEC to make its LEP 3.0 a success. BIMSTEC could help India to further increase its cooperation with countries located around the Bay of Bengal along with two of its adjuncts, namely Malacca Straits and Andaman Sea.

    Transport & Communication being one of the priority focus areas – Better integration with North East region & East Asian economies is a theme to look forward to.

    What has India done for BIMSTEC?

    India and Thailand are the two main (rich) partners of BIMSTEC. With Thailand mostly embroiled in controversies, India is looked upon to take a lead and act as a catalyst. Remember the lead areas with India? Transport, Tourism, Environment  & Terrorism.

    The last meeting (3rd Summit) @Nay Pyi Taw (New Capital of Myanmar) did not see any major outcomes, but a few of worth of mentioning here are –

    1. 2015 was declared as the Year of BIMSTEC Tourism
    2. The framework agreement on the BIMSTEC FTA was signed in 2004, but it is not yet fully operational. Read more here
    3. Ratify conventions related to other areas of responsibilities

    TIP: Whenever you think about the advantage of our associations with our north eastern neighbouring countries, think of two things –

    1. Transportation woes
    2. Fighting crime syndicates (terrorism, smuggling, narcotics and what not)

    Consequently, our associations with them will look to establish new roads, routes and pacts to counter them. Of course, there is a lot in common with culture and agricultural produce etc etc. but you get the bigger picture right?

    One such project is Kaladan Multi-modal Transit Transport Project in Myanmar. It was supposed to be completed by 2015, but sigh.

    Time to Energize BIMSTEC

    How long can SAARC (30+ year old organisation) wait for India and Pakistan to sort out their bilateral issues and push forward for the broader agenda of regional economic cooperation?

    Given the current state of India-Pakistan relations, it is unlikely that Pakistan will agree to even a minimal set of economic cooperation arrangements within the SAARC framework, as was evident in Kathmandu when it refused to sign the multi-modal road and rail transport agreement. (Source – The Diplomat).

    The most important driver is going to be the BIMSTEC Free Trade Area. While a Framework Agreement has been signed, it has yet to come into force. What is FTA? Read this post on trade agreement first. 

    Point being that India needs to reallocate its priority with the new surge @ Act East and get the best out of these regional groupings where it can play a natural leader.


    UPSC ke sawaal

    #1. In the Mekong-Ganga Cooperation, an initiative of six countries, which of the following is/are not a participant/ participants? (Pre 2015)

    1. Bangladesh 
    2. Cambodia 
    3. China 
    4. Myanmar 
    5. Thailand

    Select the correct answer using the code given below.

    (a) 1 only  (b) 2, 3 and 4  (c) 1 and 3  (d) 1, 2 and 5

    #2. “Compared to the South Asian Trade Area (SAFTA), the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multisectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation Free Trade Area (BIMSTEC FTA) seems to be more promising.” Critically evaluate. (Mains 2011)