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  • Why is rupee weakening against dollar?

    Why in the News?

    In the last week of December 2024, the rupee dropped below 85 against the U.S. dollar, hitting a new low of 85.81. The rupee fell by about 3% in 2024, continuing its long-term decline against the dollar.

    What has caused the currency to depreciate? 

    • Exit of Foreign Investors: A significant driver of the rupee’s depreciation has been the exit of foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) from Indian markets. In 2024, FPIs pulled out substantial amounts from equities, leading to increased selling pressure on the rupee.
    • Widening Trade Deficit: India’s trade deficit has widened due to high imports, particularly of crude oil and gold, compared to its exports. This increased demand for foreign currencies (like the U.S. dollar) to pay for these imports has contributed to the rupee’s weakening.
    • Monetary Policy Differences: The Reserve Bank of India’s relatively looser monetary policy compared to the U.S. Federal Reserve has resulted in higher inflation rates in India. This inflation differential makes Indian assets less attractive to foreign investors, further reducing demand for the rupee.
    • Global Economic Factors: Geopolitical tensions, such as the Russia-Ukraine war and rising global crude oil prices, have created volatility in the markets, leading to capital outflows from emerging markets like India.
      • The other reason is that the strengthening U.S. dollar amid higher U.S. bond yields has made investments in the U.S. more attractive compared to India.

    What could be the impact of Rupee depreciation?

    • Increased Import Costs: A weaker rupee raises the cost of imports, particularly for essential goods such as crude oil, fertilizers, and edible oils. This increase in import bills can lead to a higher overall trade deficit, which reached an all-time high of $37.8 billion in November 2024, exacerbating economic vulnerabilities.
    • Inflationary Pressures: The rising costs of imported goods contribute to inflation, making everyday goods more expensive for consumers. This can lead to higher living costs and reduced purchasing power, as seen with the increased prices of food and fuel due to higher import expenses.
    • Impact on Economic Growth: The combination of rising inflation and increased costs can dampen economic growth. Higher import bills can create upward pressure on interest rates, making borrowing more expensive and potentially slowing down investment and consumption.

    Why made the central bank to intervene?

    • Stabilizing Currency Value: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) intervened in the forex market to stabilize the rupee and prevent excessive volatility that could disrupt economic stability. By selling dollars from its reserves, the RBI aimed to support the rupee’s value against the dollar.
    • Preventing Inflationary Pressures: A depreciating rupee increases the cost of imports, particularly essential commodities like crude oil, which can exacerbate inflation domestically. The RBI’s intervention seeks to mitigate these inflationary pressures by maintaining a more stable exchange rate.
    • Maintaining Investor Confidence: By actively managing the currency’s value, the RBI aims to instill confidence among investors regarding India’s economic stability and attractiveness as an investment destination. This is crucial for sustaining foreign investment inflows and supporting economic growth.

    Way forward: 

    • Diversify Export Markets and Reduce Dependence on Imports: India should focus on enhancing its exports to non-traditional markets while exploring alternatives to reduce dependence on high-cost imports, especially crude oil and gold.
    • Monetary Policy Coordination and Strengthening Fundamentals: The RBI should work towards aligning its monetary policy with global trends while ensuring domestic inflation remains under control.

    Mains PYQ:

    Q How would the recent phenomena of protectionism and currency manipulations in world trade affect macroeconomic stability of India?  (UPSC IAS/2018)

  • India needs to prioritise preventive care

    Why in the News?

    Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) like heart disease, stroke, diabetes, and cancer are rising sharply in India which causing a heavy financial burden. In 2022, NCDs accounted for 65% of all deaths.

    Why should India shift its focus from curative to preventive healthcare?

    • Improved Health Outcomes: Preventive healthcare allows for early detection and management of health issues, which can lead to better overall health, a higher quality of life, and potentially increased lifespan.
    • Early diagnosis helps mitigate serious complications associated with chronic diseases like diabetes, heart disease, and cancer.
    • Cost Savings: Investing in preventive care can significantly reduce healthcare costs. By preventing illnesses or catching them early, individuals can avoid expensive treatments and hospitalizations.
    • Reduced Burden on Healthcare Systems: With a proactive approach to health, the pressure on India’s already strained healthcare infrastructure can be alleviated. Preventive care can help manage the rising incidence of non-communicable diseases (NCDs), which accounted for about 65% of deaths in 2022.
    • Economic Productivity: A healthier population contributes to increased productivity. Chronic illnesses often lead to absenteeism and reduced work capacity, which can negatively impact economic growth.
    • Addressing Rising Disease Burden: The growing prevalence of NCDs in India necessitates a shift toward preventive measures. With many individuals facing disease burdens earlier in life, focusing on prevention can help manage these conditions more effectively and sustainably.

    How can India effectively shift its focus from curative to preventive healthcare?

    • Strengthening Early Intervention: Enhancing the capabilities of Ayushman Health and Wellness Centres to facilitate targeted screenings and early interventions is crucial. This can involve using data analytics to identify high-risk populations and provide tailored preventive care services.
    • Encouraging Regular Screenings: Promoting regular health screenings, especially for individuals aged 40-60, can help identify conditions early. Collaborating with private health providers and insurers to offer subsidized screening programs can make preventive care more accessible.
    • Policy Incentives: Revising tax deductions for preventive health checks can incentivize individuals to prioritize their health. Increasing the limit from ₹5,000 to ₹15,000 under Section 80D of the Income Tax Act can encourage more people to undergo comprehensive health assessments.

    What role do technology and innovation play in enhancing preventive healthcare accessibility?

    • AI and Digital Health Solutions: The integration of AI-enabled imaging modalities and telemedicine can enhance the accessibility of preventive healthcare services. These technologies can facilitate lower-cost screenings and improve diagnostic accuracy, especially in underserved areas.
    • Health Data Management: The National Digital Health Mission (NDHM) can play a pivotal role in managing health data effectively, enabling better tracking of health trends and facilitating targeted interventions based on population health analytics.
    • Wearable Health Devices: The use of wearable devices for monitoring vital signs and health metrics can empower individuals to take proactive steps in managing their health, leading to earlier detection of potential health issues.

    What are the expected economic and health outcomes of prioritizing preventive care?

    • Reduced Healthcare Costs: By prioritizing preventive care, India could significantly lower the overall financial burden on individuals and the healthcare system.
      • Early diagnosis and intervention can prevent the escalation of diseases that require expensive treatments.
    • Improved Health Outcomes: A focus on preventive healthcare is likely to lead to better health outcomes, including reduced morbidity and mortality rates associated with non-communicable diseases (NCDs). This shift can enhance the quality of life for many individuals.
    • Economic Resilience: Investing in preventive healthcare can contribute to economic stability by reducing productivity losses associated with chronic diseases. A healthier population is more productive, which can drive economic growth and reduce the financial strain on households.

    Way forward: 

    • Expand Preventive Care Infrastructure: Strengthen health centers with early screening capabilities, utilize data analytics to identify high-risk groups, and collaborate with private providers to offer affordable preventive services.
    • Incentivize Preventive Health Practices: Revise tax benefits for health check-ups and promote the use of technology, such as wearable devices and telemedicine, to increase accessibility and awareness of preventive healthcare.

    Mains PYQ:

    Q The increase in life expectancy in the country has led to newer health challenges in the community. What are those challenges and what steps need to be taken to meet them?  (UPSC IAS/2022)

  • [6th January 2024] The Hindu Op-ed: The outlook for India in the year ahead

    PYQ Relevance:

    Q) South China Sea has assumed great geopolitical significance in the present context. Comment. (UPSC CSE 2016) 
    Q) Clean energy is the order of the day.’ Describe briefly India’s changing policy towards climate change in various international fora in the context of geopolitics. (UPSC CSE 2022) 

    Mentor’s Comment: UPSC Mains has always focused on Regional Geopolitical Issues (2024) and India’s Development and Growth on the International stage (2018, 2022, & 2023).

    Global Economists predict that India’s GDP growth will average around 6.5% to 7% in 2025, despite a slowdown observed in late 2024. As India steps into 2025, the economic landscape presents a mix of optimism and challenges. 

    Today’s editorial outlines the key aspects shaping India’s outlook for the coming year, focusing on growth projections, inflation management, and geopolitical influences. This comprehensive content can be used in your Mains answer writing while discussing the Global uncertainties and changing geopolitics, where India’s Growth trajectory is affected.

    _

    Let’s learn!

    Why in the News?

    The year 2024 was characterized as a “global elections supercycle,” with over 70 countries, including major economies, scheduled to hold elections. 

    • This political climate is expected to generate significant regulatory and policy uncertainty in 2025, impacting international relations and economic strategies across the globe.
    What is the projected Outlook for India’s economy in 2025?

    • Various economists project India’s GDP growth to range between 6.3% and 7.2% for 2025, with a consensus around 6.5% to 6.9%, despite a slowdown observed in late 2024. 
    • The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) anticipates real GDP growth to recover in the latter half of the fiscal year, with estimates of 6.6% to 6.9% for FY25, supported by public consumption and investment.
    • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has upgraded its forecast for India’s growth to 7% for FY25, citing strong domestic demand and a rising working-age population.

    What are the new Economic and Political uncertainties in the World?

    • Economic Landscape: India is recognized as one of the leading nations in terms of economic growth and political stability, that demands an atmosphere of peace amidst global turmoil.
      • Inflation Issues: Inflation remains a crucial concern, impacting consumption and overall economic stability. Policymakers must navigate these pressures while encouraging investment.
      • Migration and Unemployment Issues: Addressing structural challenges such as job creation is critical, especially given the need to generate millions of jobs annually until 2030.
    • Political Landscape: The year 2024 witnessed significant political uncertainty worldwide, with ongoing conflicts in regions like Europe and West Asia, notably the Gaza crisis and the Ukraine conflict.
      • Global Major Powers: India’s democratic and globalized trajectory will be influenced by the changing political stability, with increase in right-wing policies and frameworks in western world from the new US administration to the European Union.
      • Geopolitical Tensions with China: Recent border negotiations with China have led to some disengagement at the Line of Actual Control, but the underlying border dispute remains unresolved. 
      • In September 2024, China and African nations jointly agreed to progress the China-sponsored Global Security Initiative (GSI) and deepen cooperation in areas. (steps to outmaneuver India in international forums)
      • China also managed to steal a march over India during the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Summit held in Pakistan in October. 
    How will South and West Asia make a major eclipse in regional Geopolitics for India?

    Current Situation in South Asia: India faces increasing isolation in South Asia, particularly after the ousting of Sheikh Hasina in Bangladesh, leading to questions about India’s neighborhood policy.
    • Nepal and Sri Lanka are perceived as “fair weather friends,” while relations with the Maldives remain uncertain. Pakistan continues to be antagonistic, and Afghanistan is not a priority for India.
    • Bhutan appears to be balancing its relations with India and China under its current leadership.

    Challenges in West Asia:
    • Impact of Syrian Developments: The ouster of the Assad regime in Syria is expected to have significant repercussions for the region, including implications for India.
    • Rise of Sunni Groups: The takeover by the Sunni group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) may shift regional dynamics, especially as it aligns with the Sunni majority in Syria.

    Regional Implications
    • Dismantling of Alliances: The changing power dynamics could weaken the so-called “axis of resistance,” affecting Iran’s influence and potentially diminishing support for groups like Hezbollah.• Israel’s Position: Israel may emerge stronger amid these changes, while the pro-Palestine movement could face setbacks.

    What are the further strands on Technological challenges?

    • The digital threat landscape is expected to escalate significantly in 2025, necessitating urgent attention and warnings about potential dangers.
    • In late 2024, India experienced a notable increase in cyber attacks, including denial of service and ransomware incidents targeting major companies and government institutions.
    • This trend is projected to grow exponentially, posing unprecedented risks to national infrastructure due to the convergence of various technologies.

    Conclusion: India must navigate this complex geopolitical landscape carefully, as both Political as well as Technological issues undergo significant transformations that could affect its regional influence and security.

    https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/the-outlook-for-india-in-the-year-ahead/article69065160.ece

  • Indus Valley Script

    Why in the News?

    In a landmark announcement, Tamil Nadu CM M.K. Stalin offered a $1 million prize to anyone who successfully deciphers the ancient Indus Valley Script.

    Recent Efforts and Theories

    • Bahata Ansumali Mukhopadhyay’s Theory:
      • Suggests the script served commercial purposes, such as trade permits and tax stamps.
      • Highlights its practical use rather than religious or literary functions.
    • Asko Parpola’s Dravidian Hypothesis:
      • Proposes a logo-syllabic system, where pictograms represent words or phonetic rebuses.
      • Links the script to Dravidian languages, challenging Sanskrit-based interpretations.
      • Tamil Nadu’s Keezhadi excavations also draw parallels to IVC practices.

    About the Indus Valley Civilization (IVC)

    • The Harappan Civilization, also known as the Indus Valley Civilization, flourished between 2600 BCE and 1900 BCE, with earlier settlements dating back to 3200 BCE.
    • The origins of this civilisation are traced back to Mehrgarh in Balochistan, which dates to 7000 BCE.
    • It is considered one of the three earliest civilizations, alongside Egypt and Mesopotamia.
    • The civilization covered over 1.5 million sq. km, stretching across modern-day India, Pakistan, and Afghanistan.
    • Remains of the civilization include:
      • Well-planned cities with a grid layout, intersecting streets, and fortified structures.
      • Advanced drainage systems with underground sewers and covered drains, showing a strong emphasis on hygiene.
      • Granaries, warehouses, and dockyards, indicating the presence of structured trade and food storage mechanisms.
      • The discovery of seals made of steatite, often engraved with animals and an un-deciphered script, suggesting a sophisticated administrative system.
      • Craftsmanship in pottery, bead-making, terracotta figurines, metal artefacts, and weaving.
      • Water management systems such as reservoirs, wells, and baths, indicating an advanced understanding of hydraulic engineering.
    • Two ASI archaeologists were credited with the discovery:
      • Daya Ram Sahni excavated Harappa in 1921-22, discovering seals, pottery, and beads.
      • Rakhal Das Banerji began excavating Mohenjo-daro in 1922, finding similar items such as seals and copper objects.
    • John Marshall noticed the similarity between the objects found at Harappa and Mohenjo-daro, despite the sites being 640 km apart.

    What were the Artifacts and Sculptures found at the site?

    • The IVC is renowned for its remarkable artifacts and sculptures, reflecting its advanced culture and daily life.
    • Key finds include seals with animal motifs and inscriptions, terracotta figurines of animals and mother goddesses, and intricately crafted beads and ornaments made of gold, silver, and semi-precious stones.
    • Iconic sculptures like the bronze “Dancing Girl” and steatite “Priest-King” highlight artistic sophistication.
    • Practical items like pottery, toys, and tools demonstrate technological advancement and societal organization.
    • These discoveries shed light on the civilization’s trade, religious beliefs, and aesthetic achievements.

    PYQ:

    [2013] Which of the following characterizes/characterize the people of Indus Valley Civilization?

    1. They possessed great palaces and temples.

    2. They worshipped both male and female deities.

    3. They employed horse-drawn chariots in warfare.

    Select the correct statement/statements using the codes given below.

    (a) 1 and 2 only

    (b) 2 only

    (c) 1, 2 and 3

    (d) None of the statements given above is correct

  • Migratory Bats ‘surf’ storm front winds to save energy

    Migratory Bats ‘surf’ storm front winds to save energy

    Why in the News?

    The Common Noctule Bats are surf over the storm winds when they migrate thousands of miles across continents, reveals new research.

    About the Common Noctule Bats (Nyctalus noctula)

    • The common noctule bat (Nyctalus noctula) is one of the largest bat species in Europe.
    • It has a body length of 7–9 cm, a wingspan of 32–40 cm, and weighs between 18–40 grams.
    • Its fur is reddish-brown to golden-brown, darker on the back and lighter underneath, while its wings are long and narrow, designed for fast and sustained flight.
    • Features: 
      • Common noctules are known for their swift and high-altitude flight, reaching heights of up to 3,000 meters.
      • They are primarily insectivorous, feeding on moths, beetles, and other flying insects.
      • Their echolocation abilities allow them to detect and hunt prey with precision, even in complete darkness.
      • Although classified as Least Concern by the IUCN, common noctule bats face several threats, including habitat loss due to deforestation and urbanization.
    • Habitat:
      • The common noctule bat is widely distributed across Europe, North Africa, and Asia, extending into Siberia and parts of China.
      • It is migratory, especially in central and eastern Europe, traveling long distances between summer breeding sites and winter hibernation sites.
      • It inhabits forests and woodlands, where it uses hollow trees for roosting, as well as urban areas, where it often roosts in buildings, attics, and bat boxes.
      • These bats also thrive in wetlands and grasslands, hunting over water bodies and open fields where insect populations are abundant.

    PYQ:

    [2012] Consider the following kinds of organisms:

    1. Bat

    2. Bee

    3. Bird

    Which of the above is/are pollinating agent/agents?

    (a) 1 and 2 only

    (b) 2 only

    (c) 1 and 3 only

    (d) 1, 2 and 3

  • How are Zebrafishes able to repair damaged hearts?

    Why in the News?

    A recent research revealed that the Zebrafish (a popular aquarium fish) can regenerate damaged heart muscle within 60 days, a capability absent in humans. The Hmga1 protein plays a key role in this process, offering potential insights for heart repair in mammals.

    Discovery of Hmga1’s Role in Zebrafish Heart Regeneration:

    • In zebrafish, the Hmga1 protein plays a pivotal role in activating dormant genes necessary for regeneration.
    • It removes molecular “roadblocks” on chromatin (DNA-packaging structures), shifting genes from an inactive state to active regeneration mode.
    • The Hmga1 gene, active during embryonic development in mice and humans, becomes inactive after birth.
    • In zebrafish, however, the gene remains active during heart regeneration, enabling the repair process.

    About Zebrafish

    • Zebrafish are small freshwater fish measuring 2-3 cm in length.
    • It is named for the horizontal blue stripes running along their bodies.
    • It is native to South Asia’s Indo-Gangetic plains and is commonly found in paddy fields, stagnant water, and streams.
    • It is classified as Least Concern by the IUCN.

    Features of Zebrafish

    • Zebrafishes are known for their ability to regenerate almost all major organs, including the heart, brain, eyes, and spinal cord.
    • This unique trait makes them an important model in developmental biology and disease research.
    • They share approximately 70% of their genes with humans.
    • Over 80% of human disease-related genes have counterparts in zebrafish, making them valuable for studying genetic disorders.
    • They produce hundreds of embryos in a single clutch, enabling large-scale studies.
    • They are now preferred over rodent (guinea pigs) models for certain vertebrate development studies.
    • Widely used for regenerative biology and drug discovery due to their cost-effectiveness and rapid breeding.

  • Chhattisgarh first state to link Forest Ecosystem with Green GDP

    Why in the News?

    For the first time in India, Chhattisgarh has introduced an innovative framework that integrates the ecosystem services of its forests into the calculation of Green Gross Domestic Product (Green GDP). This initiative highlights the critical role forests play in supporting both environmental sustainability and economic growth.

    Highlights of the Chhattisgarh’s Plan

    • Forest contributions like carbon absorption, climate regulation, and biodiversity preservation will now be formally quantified and included in the state’s economic planning.
    • The initiative ensures forests are valued not just for their resources but for their broader ecological services.
      • With 44% of its land under forest cover, Chhattisgarh’s natural resources are vital for the livelihoods of millions and play a significant role in mitigating climate change.
    • The initiative aligns with ‘Developed India 2047’ vision, focusing on long-term ecological and economic sustainability.

    About Green GDP

    • Green GDP is an alternative metric for assessing economic growth that includes the environmental costs of economic activities.
    • It subtracts the value of natural resource depletion and environmental degradation from traditional GDP to provide a more accurate picture of economic well-being.
    • Introduced in the 1993 United Nations Handbook of National Accounting: Integrated Environmental and Economic Accounting under the System of Environmental-Economic Accounting (SEEA) framework.
    • Key Features:
      • Aims to measure the sustainability of economic growth.
      • Focuses on valuing ecosystem services like carbon sequestration, soil conservation, and water resources.
      • Provides insights into the trade-offs between economic growth and environmental conservation.
    • Calculation:
      • Green GDP = Traditional GDP – Costs of Environmental Degradation – Costs of Resource Depletion.
    • Challenges: Incomplete environmental data, reliance on subjective assumptions, difficulty in valuing ecosystem services, and the absence of a universal calculation framework, often oversimplifying nature’s intrinsic worth.

    Government Initiatives for Green GDP Accounting

    • Green National Account Framework: It integrates environmental considerations into national accounting systems. It captures the value of natural resources, costs of pollution, and benefits of ecosystem services like clean air and water.
    • System of Environmental-Economic Accounting, 2012 (SEEA): It was adopted by India under UN guidelines to create databases for natural capital accounting and informed policymaking.
    • RBI Estimates: Green GDP for 2019 was ₹167 trillion, reflecting a 10% adjustment from traditional GDP. It is supported by organizations like TERI and Indian Statistical Institute to refine valuation methodologies.

  • Genetic Engineering Appraisal Committee (GEAC)

    Why in the News?

    The Union Ministry of Environment, Forest, and Climate Change has introduced amendments to the rules governing the selection of experts in the Genetic Engineering Appraisal Committee (GEAC).

    Key Highlights of the Revised GEAC Rules:

    • Conflict of Interest Disclosure: Expert members must disclose any direct or indirect interests that may conflict with their duties. Conflicted members must recuse themselves from decision-making unless specifically requested by the committee.
    • Transparency Measures: All members are required to submit a detailed record of their professional affiliations from the past 10 years to ensure accountability and unbiased evaluations.
    • Participation Restrictions: Experts with conflicts of interest must report them before meetings and take steps to ensure that their affiliations do not affect GEAC decisions.
    • Enhanced Governance: The revised rules aim to strengthen the regulatory process for genetically modified organisms (GMOs), ensuring fair and impartial decision-making.
    • Supreme Court Compliance: The amendments align with the Supreme Court’s directive (2023) to address concerns of conflict of interest in GM crop approval processes, boosting public trust in GEAC’s role.
    • Improved Operational Integrity: These changes emphasize transparency, ensuring that scientific appraisals and policy decisions remain free from external influence.

    What is Genetic Engineering Appraisal Committee (GEAC)?

    • The GEAC is the apex regulatory body overseeing activities related to genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in India, particularly their release into the environment.
    • It is established under the Rules for the Manufacture, Use/Import/Export, and Storage of Hazardous Microorganisms/Genetically Engineered Organisms or Cells (Rules, 1989) framed under the Environment (Protection) Act, 1986.

    Structural Mandate:

    • Operates under the Ministry of Environment, Forest, and Climate Change (MoEF&CC).
    • Composition:
      • Chairperson: Special Secretary/Additional Secretary of MoEF&CC.
      • Co-Chairperson: Representative from the Department of Biotechnology (DBT).
      • Includes 24 members, representing key institutions like the Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR), Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), and Centre for Cellular and Molecular Biology (CCMB).
      • Meets monthly for appraisals and discussions.

    Powers and Functions of GEAC:

    • Powers:
      • Approves or denies proposals for environmental release of genetically engineered organisms (including GM crops).
      • Exercises the power to take punitive actions under the Environment Protection Act, 1986 for violations.
      • Monitors large-scale use of hazardous microorganisms and recombinants in research and industrial production.
    • Functions:
      • Evaluates activities involving the environmental release of GMOs and their products, including experimental field trials.
      • Ensures compliance with safety protocols to minimize environmental risks.
      • Reviews applications for the import, export, manufacture, and storage of GM organisms and cells.
      • Makes recommendations based on a comprehensive assessment of environmental and health impacts.
      • Addresses concerns related to conflicts of interest and ensures impartiality in decision-making.
      • Engages with stakeholders, including farmers and environmentalists, to maintain transparency and address public concerns.

    PYQ:

    [2015] The Genetic Engineering Appraisal Committee is constituted under the:

    (a) Food Safety and Standards Act, 2006

    (b) Geographical Indications of Goods (Registration and Protection) Act, 1999

    (c) Environment (Protection) Act, 1986

    (d) Wildlife (Protection) Act, 1972

  • [4th January 2025] The Hindu Op-ed: The looming threat to federalism and democratic tenets

    PYQ Relevance:

    Q) ‘Simultaneous election to the Lok Sabha and the State Assemblies will limit the amount of time and money spent in electioneering but it will reduce the government’s accountability to the people’ Discuss. (UPSC CSE 2024)

    Mentor’s Comment: UPSC mains have always focused on topics like ‘Election Commission of India’ (2022) and ‘Simultaneous Elections’ (2024).

    The current political landscape in India faces significant challenges that threaten the foundational principles of federalism and democracy. Issues such as financial centralization, proposed electoral reforms, and the misuse of Constitutional provisions are central to this discourse

    Today’s Editorial focuses on Electoral Reforms and the recent initiatives taken by the government. This content can be used for presenting the main answer while talking on ‘Centralization issues’ and ‘Federal challenges faced by Democratic Elections’.

    _

    Let’s learn!

    Why in the News?

    The proposal for ‘One Nation and One Election’ have cited several administrative and fiscal efficiencies in the recent Parliamentary debates.

    Key Takeaways from the Constitution (129th Amendment) Bill and the Union Territories Laws (Amendment) Bill. 

    • Scope of Simultaneous Polls: It applies only to Parliament and state Assemblies, excluding municipal corporations. Municipal elections are excluded to avoid the need for ratification by at least half of the state legislatures, a more complex process.
      • The simultaneous polls may begin with the 2034 election cycle, assuming the 18th and 19th Lok Sabhas complete full five-year terms.
      • The Bills include provisions for situations where mid-term elections might be required at the state or central level.
    • The Bill proposes changes to three existing articles through Constitution (129th Amendment) Bill, 2024.
      • It amends Articles 83 (duration of Houses of Parliament), 172 (duration of state legislatures), and 327 (power of Parliament to make provisions with respect to elections to Legislatures).
      • A new provision (Article 82A, clauses 1-6) is introduced to enable simultaneous elections. This article pertains to delimitation and provisions are as follows:
      • Article 82A (1) the President can notify the appointed date for the changes after the first sitting of the Lok Sabha following a general election.
      • Article 82A (2): Assemblies elected after the appointed date but before the Lok Sabha’s term ends will have their terms curtailed to align with the Lok Sabha’s full five-year term.
      • Article 82A (3): The ECI is tasked with conducting general elections for the Lok Sabha and all Legislative Assemblies simultaneously.
      • Article 82A (4): Simultaneous elections are defined as “general elections held for constituting the House of the People and all the Legislative Assemblies together.”
      • Article 82A (5): The ECI may recommend postponing a particular Assembly election if it determines simultaneous elections are not feasible. The President can then issue an order for those elections to be conducted separately.
      • Article 82A (6): If an Assembly election is deferred, the term of that Assembly will still end with the full term of the Lok Sabha elected in the general election.
    • Proposed Amendments to Lok Sabha’s Term and Dissolution: Changes to Article 83 are supposed to be made wrt Lok Sabha’s term adjustment that prescribes a fixed five-year term for Lok Sabha unless dissolved earlier. If Lok Sabha is dissolved before completing its full term, the next Lok Sabha will only serve the unexpired period of the original term.
      • For Example, if Lok Sabha is dissolved after 3 years and 2 months, the subsequent Lok Sabha will serve the remaining 22 months.
      • Amendments to Article 327: Article 327 gives Parliament the authority to legislate on matters related to elections, including electoral rolls and delimitation of constituencies. The amendment proposes adding “conduct of simultaneous elections” to this list. This ensures Parliament can make provisions to align elections for both Houses of Parliament and State Legislatures.
    • Proposed Amendments for State Assemblies changes to Article 172: Similar to Lok Sabha, state Assemblies’ terms will also align with the “unexpired term” provision. If a state Assembly is dissolved before its full term, elections will be conducted for the remaining term of the dissolved Assembly.
    • The Union Territories Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2024: The Union Territories are governed under a separate constitutional scheme that is different from states.
      • The purpose of the Bill  is to align Union Territories with the framework for simultaneous elections and amend the Government of Union Territories Act, 1963 that adjusts to enable synchronized elections in Union Territories.
      • It also proposes to amend the Government of the National Capital Territory of Delhi Act, 1991 and Jammu and Kashmir Reorganisation Act, 2019 to include them within the simultaneous election framework.

    What is the historical context of Simultaneous Elections in India?

    Simultaneous elections in India have historical roots, having faced disruptions due to political and constitutional developments.

    • First Elections (1951-52): The ECI held simultaneous elections for the Lok Sabha and State Assemblies. This practice persisted through three subsequent general elections in 1957, 1962, and 1967.
    • Disruption of the Cycle: The imposition of President’s Rule under Article 356 marked a significant shift in Union-State relations, undermining state autonomy. This was first applied in Kerala in 1959.
      • Initially Article 356 was deemed as a “dead letter” by Dr. B.R. Ambedkar, eventually, became a tool for political expediency, leading to the dismissal of elected state governments from 1950 to 1994.
      • It has been invoked over 130 times since Independence, distorting its intended purpose and contributing to political instability.
    • Judicial Intervention: The S.R. Bommai case aimed to restore federal rights and limit arbitrary actions by Governors, yet misuse persists. This is where the proposition put forward by the ONOE to align State election cycles with that of the Lok Sabha gets deeply problematic.
      • In fact, the proposal goes all the way to make amendments in the Constitution, particularly in Articles 83 and 172, which guarantee a five-year term for Parliament and State Assemblies. 

    What needs to be addressed?

    • Address the Misuse of Power and Federal Character: There is a need to tackle the misuse of Article 356 provision, which has implications for State autonomy. A unified electoral cycle could undermine State autonomy and dilute democratic governance.
    • Strengthening Anti-Defection Laws: Reforms are necessary to ensure political stability within State governments. The Constitution recognizes the diversity and plurality of India, making federalism essential. Ensuring that State governments remain stable is vital for effective governance.
    • Risks of Hasty Implementation: Implementing ONOE without necessary systemic reforms could threaten the Constitution’s basic structure and exacerbate existing vulnerabilities rather than resolve them.
      • For Example, historical instances, such as the malfunctioning fax machine incident in Jammu and Kashmir, highlight the fragility of institutional processes in India.

    Way Forward: To achieve true democratic governance, it is imperative to commit to the principles of federalism and strengthen State governments as equal partners in India’s federal polity. ONOE should not be seen as a mere procedural change but as part of a broader commitment to reform and accountability within the constitutional framework.

    https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/the-looming-threat-to-federalism-and-democratic-tenets/article69058650.ece

  • India’s emissions inventory & efforts at mitigation

    Why in the News?

    India recently shared a report about its efforts to fight climate change. The report includes details about how much greenhouse gases (GHG) the country produces and the steps it has taken to reduce these emissions as part of its global climate promises.

    What is the Biennial Update Report (BUR)?

    • The Biennial Update Report (BUR) is a detailed report that developing countries, including India, submit to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). This report outlines their efforts toward climate action, as mandated under the Paris Agreement.
    • BURs include an overview of national circumstances related to climate, socio-economic factors, and forestry, along with a comprehensive inventory of national greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and their sources. They also detail national action plans for emission mitigation and the support received for climate-related initiatives.

    What are the BUR-4’s highlights and submissions on emissions inventory?

    • Total GHG Emissions: In 2020, India’s total GHG emissions were reported at 2,959 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent. After accounting for land use, land-use change, and forestry (LULUCF), net emissions were 2,437 million tonnes, reflecting a 7.93% decrease from 2019 levels.
    • Reduction in Emissions Intensity: The report indicates that from 2005 to 2020, India’s emissions intensity of GDP decreased by 36%. This metric measures GHG emissions per unit of economic output, highlighting improved energy efficiency and a shift towards renewable energy sources.
    • Sectoral Contributions: The energy sector was the largest contributor to emissions, accounting for 75.66%, with electricity production alone responsible for 39% of total emissions. Agriculture contributed 13.72%, while industrial processes and waste management accounted for 8.06% and 2.56%, respectively.

    What does BUR-4 say about the status of India’s climate commitments?

    • The BUR-4 outlines India’s commitment to its Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement, aiming for a 45% reduction in GDP emission intensity by 2030 compared to 2005 levels.
    • The report notes that between 2005 and 2021, India created an additional carbon sink of approximately 2.29 billion tonnes of CO2 equivalent through enhanced forest and tree cover, contributing significantly to its climate goals.

    What has the report said about India’s tech needs for climate-conscious growth? (Way forward)

    • Advanced Technologies for Low-Carbon Growth: The report emphasizes the necessity for adopting cutting-edge technologies across various sectors, including solar energy, wind energy, bioenergy, electric vehicles, and carbon capture and storage.
    • Capacity Building: Strengthening institutional frameworks and workforce capabilities is essential for effective implementation of climate policies and programs. This involves training personnel and developing skills necessary to manage and operate advanced technologies.
    • Financial and Technological Support: The BUR-4 identifies a significant gap in technology transfer from developed countries, which hampers India’s ability to implement necessary climate solutions. India calls for increased international cooperation to facilitate technology transfer, eliminate intellectual property barriers, and provide financial assistance to support its climate initiatives.
    • Integration of Technology in Key Sectors: The report highlights the importance of integrating advanced technologies into critical sectors that contribute to emissions, such as agriculture and energy.

    Mains PYQ:

    Q ‘Clean energy is the order of the day.’ Describe briefly India’s changing policy towards climate change in various international fora in the context of geopolitics. (UPSC IAS/2022)