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Type: Explained

These Newscards correspond to the explained section of various newspapers. They become immensely important for both prelims and mains and special attention needs to be paid to them

  • Pressure on food prices: El Nino effect, geopolitical tensions / Dip in fertiliser sales warning signal

    Pressure on food prices: El Nino effect, geopolitical tensions / Dip in fertiliser sales warning signal

    Why in the News

    The southwest monsoon has finished 14.7 per cent below the long period average (LPA) as on 14 September, with 24 of India’s 36 meteorological subdivisions more than 10 per cent deficient. The shortfall tracks a strengthening El Nino, which weakened the easterly trade winds in August and cut the transport of moisture laden air towards the subcontinent. Kharif sowing has held up at 1,096.5 lakh hectares, only 1.4 per cent below the same point last year. Fertiliser sales and wholesale mandi prices point the other way. The tension is between a sowing figure that reads as normal and the input and price data that point to lower yields, arriving at the same moment as a turn upward in world food prices.

    What is El Nino?

    1. El Nino: It is an abnormal warming of sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean off the coasts of Ecuador and Peru, which shifts global atmospheric circulation for several seasons at a time.
    2. Effect on the Indian monsoon: It weakens the easterly trade winds that carry moisture laden air from east to west towards the subcontinent, so rainfall systems that do form deliver less rain than their number suggests.
    3. Temperature effect: El Nino suppresses rainfall over India and also raises temperatures, which is why its consequences run past the monsoon into the winter crop season.
    4. Low pressure system (LPS): It is the rain bearing system of the monsoon, formed when warm moist air near the ground rises, cools and condenses into cloud.

    How did the monsoon actually behave month by month?

    1. June: Not a single low pressure system formed, against a monthly average of three systems covering about 11 days. All India rainfall was 38 per cent below the LPA for the month.
    2. July: Four systems formed, close to the climatological average, and each persisted longer than usual. Total LPS days reached 24 against an average of 13.56, and rainfall came in 1 per cent above the LPA.
    3. August: Six systems formed against a normal of 5.38, and LPS days reached 26 against a normal of 16.3. Rainfall still recorded a 16.3 per cent deficit, because weakened easterly trade winds cut moisture transport.
    4. Season and spatial spread: Cumulative rainfall to 14 September was 14.7 per cent below the LPA, with 24 of 36 subdivisions over 10 per cent deficient. The southern States, along with Marathwada and Vidarbha in Maharashtra, were worst affected.

    Why does sowing acreage understate the damage?

    1. Kharif acreage: Area sown under kharif crops was 1,096.5 lakh hectares as of 11 September, against 1,112.5 lakh hectares for the same period of 2025, a gap of only 1.4 per cent.
    2. Fertiliser sales: Sales in April to July 2026 fell across di ammonium phosphate (25.6 to 24.4 lakh tonnes), muriate of potash (7 to 5.9 lakh tonnes) and complex fertilisers (50 to 43 lakh tonnes) against the same months of 2025. Only single super phosphate rose, from 20 to 20.2 lakh tonnes.
    3. Urea: Sales fell 6.6 per cent despite policy interventions to secure natural gas for domestic production and to secure imports through the West Asia supply shocks.
    4. Mandi prices: Maize at Chhindwara in Madhya Pradesh is around Rs 2,625 a quintal against Rs 2,165 a year ago. Arhar at Akola is Rs 8,650 against Rs 6,200 and soyabean at Dewas Rs 6,150 against Rs 4,300.
    5. Output forecasts: The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) has forecast India’s rice output falling to 147 million tonnes from an all time high of 154 million tonnes, and maize to 50 million tonnes from 55.1 million tonnes.
    6. The temporal and spatial pattern: Extended dry spells interspersed with heavy downpours, with rain largely confined to Odisha, Chhattisgarh, eastern Madhya Pradesh, Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand and Uttar Pradesh, translates into lower yields rather than into unsown land.

    What does the El Nino outlook mean for the rabi season?

    1. Current state: El Nino is in a strong state, with average sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific roughly 1.8 degrees Celsius above normal.
    2. Projection: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) projects a 90 per cent plus chance of a very strong event, meaning sea surface temperatures more than 2 degrees Celsius above normal, running from September through January.
    3. Decay path: The event is projected to stay strong, above 1.5 degrees Celsius, until March, and weak to moderate, 0.5 to 1.5 degrees Celsius, until May.
    4. Crops at risk: A short and warm winter would hit the rabi crop, from wheat, rapeseed mustard, chana, masoor and matar to potato, onion, garlic, jeera, saunf and dhaniya.

    Why are world food prices turning up now?

    1. The buffer that held: The West Asia conflict produced no dramatic spike in world food prices, unlike Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, because back to back bumper crops in 2024 to 2025 and 2025 to 2026 left ample stocks of wheat, rice, maize, sugar, soyabean, rapeseed and palm oil.
    2. The index: The Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) food price index, a weighted average of world prices of a basket of food commodities against a 2014 to 2016 base value of 100, stood at 133.3 points in August, the highest since November 2022 and below the all time high of 160.2 points in March 2022.
    3. Where the pressure sits: The vegetable oil index was the highest since June 2022 and the cereal index edged to a 27 month high.
    4. Vegetable oils: Landed Mumbai prices of imported crude palm, soyabean and sunflower oil are $1,285, $1,300 and $1,450 per tonne, against September 2025 averages of $1,164, $1,182 and $1,293.
    5. Cereals: Wheat export prices firmed over the past year from $228 to $262 per tonne for Argentina, $226 to $290 for the European Union, $251 to $319 for Australia and $235 to $354 for the United States. Corn from Argentina and Brazil is exported at $219 and $238 against $200 and $210 a year ago.
    6. The direction of travel: A running down of stocks, disrupted trade logistics from escalating tensions in West Asia and Russia Ukraine, and a strengthening El Nino all push world prices the same way.

    Challenges to India’s food price management under El Nino

    1. Import dependence in edible oils: India imports the bulk of its vegetable oil, so a world price move passes into domestic retail prices within weeks regardless of the domestic harvest. Eg. Landed Mumbai prices of crude palm, soyabean and sunflower oil are all above their September 2025 averages.
      The Fix: Tie import duty changes to a stated trigger price rather than announcing them after the retail price has already moved.
    2. Procurement concentrated in two crops: Assured purchase at the support price operates at scale for wheat and rice, so a pulse or oilseed grower carries the full price risk of a bad season. Eg. Pulse and oilseed prices at Akola and Dewas moved sharply this year with no procurement floor doing the work.
      The Fix: Extend physical procurement capacity to pulses and oilseeds in the deficit districts rather than relying on an announced floor alone.
    3. Input withdrawal is invisible in acreage data: A farmer who sows but cuts fertiliser use produces a yield shortfall that no sowing statistic records until harvest. Eg. Kharif area was 1.4 per cent below last year while fertiliser sales fell across every major category except single super phosphate.
      The Fix: Publish district level fertiliser offtake alongside the weekly sowing bulletin so the yield signal arrives before the harvest does.
    4. Irrigation cover decides the rabi outcome: The winter crop depends on stored soil moisture and reservoir levels built during the monsoon, which a deficient season does not deliver. Eg. The southern States, Marathwada and Vidarbha carried deficits above 10 per cent this season.
      The Fix: Sequence reservoir releases for the rabi sowing window in the deficient subdivisions rather than for the standing kharif crop alone.
    5. Buffer stocks cannot absorb a domestic and a world shock together: Releasing stock cools the domestic market only where the commodity is one the state actually holds. Eg. Duty free imports of up to 10 lakh tonnes of raw sugar were allowed until 31 October after inventory fell to multi year lows.
      The Fix: Hold a standing calibrated import window for commodities with no domestic buffer, so the decision is not taken at the festival season peak.

    Conclusion

    Food price pressure this year is not a single monsoon question. A rainfall deficit, a pullback in purchased inputs and a turn in world prices are three separate pressures that have arrived together, and only the first of them ends with the season. The winter crop is where the remaining two will be counted, since the same ocean warming that suppressed the rains is projected to persist into the sowing window. The rabi sowing period is the next decision point, and input availability and reservoir cover in the deficient subdivisions are the markers to watch.

    Matching Previous Year Question

    “[2014, GS1, 10 marks] Most of the unusual climatic happenings are explained as an outcome of the El-Nino effect. Do you agree?”

  • How India should view China’s ‘open’ AI pitch

    How India should view China’s ‘open’ AI pitch

    Why in the News

    China has offered to lead the creation of a BRICS open source artificial intelligence (AI) community, along with a BRICS digital ecosystem cloud platform, support for cooperation on large language models and a programme of AI training. The offer was made by the Chinese President at the BRICS Summit in New Delhi. The New Delhi Declaration issued after the summit mentions neither the community nor the cloud platform, and commits members instead to broader cooperation on improving access to AI resources. The pitch positions Chinese AI technology as an alternative to proprietary systems controlled largely by companies in the United States. For India the question is whether a grouping wide platform led by Beijing widens access to AI for developing countries or routes that access through a single supplier.

    What is the proposed BRICS AI open source community?

    1. China in the lead: China would take the lead in setting up the community.
    2. Model cooperation: It would support cooperation among members on developing and deploying large language models (LLMs), systems trained on very large text collections to generate and interpret language.
    3. Training and seminars: It would run specialised AI seminars and training courses, described as building an open AI ecosystem.
    4. Cloud platform and adjacent areas: A BRICS digital ecosystem cloud platform was proposed alongside it, with expanded cooperation on digital skills, technology exchanges and intelligent manufacturing.

    Why is China making this pitch to developing countries now?

    1. An alternative to proprietary systems: The initiative widens Beijing’s effort to position its AI technology against systems controlled largely by companies in the United States.
    2. Commitments already made: At the World Artificial Intelligence Conference in Shanghai in July, 5,000 AI training and seminar opportunities for developing countries over five years were announced.
    3. Cooperation centres: AI application cooperation centres were proposed with groupings including BRICS, ASEAN and the African Union.
    4. A contest for the Global South: Both India and China aspire to be the leading voice of the Global South, and Beijing holds a clear edge in AI capabilities.

    What is open source artificial intelligence?

    1. Open weights and code: A model released under a licence that lets others run, modify and redistribute it.
    2. Contrast with a proprietary system: A proprietary model’s weights stay with the vendor and are reached only through an interface the vendor controls and prices.
    3. Why it bears on access: A released model can be run on a user’s own hardware, which removes the need to buy access from the developer for every use.
    4. Limits of the label: Openness of weights does not always extend to the training data or to the terms on which the model may be used commercially.

    Why was the proposal not adopted by the grouping?

    1. The declaration is silent: The New Delhi Declaration does not mention the proposed open source community or the cloud platform.
    2. What it commits to instead: Members are committed more broadly to cooperation on improving access to AI resources, with a focus on safety, security, reliability and inclusiveness.
    3. Existing text carried forward: The declaration refers to an earlier BRICS statement on global AI governance and records that members will continue cooperation in the area.
    4. The proposal can return: China takes over the BRICS chairship in 2027 and could place the proposals before the grouping again.

    What is India’s own position on access to AI?

    1. The access demand: At the AI Impact Summit earlier this year India pushed for broader access to compute, datasets, models and other AI infrastructure, particularly for developing countries.
    2. Domestic capacity: The IndiaAI Mission funds subsidised compute infrastructure and supports Indian foundation models and datasets.
    3. The two run alongside each other: Any eventual BRICS programme on models or cloud infrastructure would sit next to India’s own effort to expand access without relying entirely on foreign providers.

    Challenges to a BRICS platform for open source AI

    1. Compute is the binding constraint, not model access: Releasing model weights does not give a developing country the accelerators or the electricity to train or serve them at scale. Eg. Advanced AI accelerators are subject to United States export controls that reach third countries.
      The Fix: Pair any model sharing commitment with pooled access to compute capacity physically located in member countries.
    2. Dependence on one member’s technology stack: A cloud platform built and operated by a single member leaves participants dependent on that member’s chips, software and terms of service. Eg. Huawei’s Ascend accelerators and their accompanying software stack underpin much of China’s domestic AI infrastructure.
      The Fix: Require any BRICS platform to expose hardware neutral interfaces, so a workload can be moved to another member’s infrastructure.
    3. Divergent data governance among members: Members differ on cross border data transfer and on state access to data, which blocks a shared dataset pool. Eg. India’s Digital Personal Data Protection Act, 2023 sets its own regime for transfers outside the country.
      The Fix: Begin with model and training cooperation and leave datasets to bilateral arrangements until a common transfer standard exists.
    4. Language and content coverage: A model released by any one member carries that member’s language priorities, so coverage of other members’ languages stays thin. Eg. Indian language performance in globally released models lags their performance in English.
      The Fix: Make a language corpus contribution from each member a condition of participation in the community.
    5. Safety obligations left unattached to release: An open release removes the developer’s ability to withdraw a model later found unsafe, because copies already exist. Eg. Once weights are downloaded and mirrored, a subsequent restriction cannot reach the copies in circulation.
      The Fix: Attach an evaluation and disclosure requirement at the point of release rather than relying on a recall mechanism afterwards.

    Conclusion

    Access to AI is being contested as a question of who supplies it, not of whether it should be shared. An offer to open the models while owning the platform beneath them widens use without widening capability, and that is the distinction India has to hold on to. What to watch is whether the grouping’s next chair converts the access language already agreed into a commitment on compute, or leaves it as a statement of intent.

    Back2Basics: IndiaAI Mission

    1. A national mission under the Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology, approved in 2024.
    2. Built around seven pillars, including IndiaAI Compute Capacity, the IndiaAI Innovation Centre and the IndiaAI Datasets Platform.
    3. Its compute pillar subsidises access to graphics processing units for startups, researchers and public institutions.
    4. Its remaining pillars cover application development, skilling, startup financing and safe and trusted AI.

    Matching Previous Year Question

    “[2026, GS2, 10 marks] “BRICS acts as a powerful counterweight in global governance, actively amplifying the voice and influence of the Global South.” Explain the role of BRICS in projecting itself as an alternative to other groupings.”

  • India, Vietnam agree to deepen defence ties, co-produce military equipment

    India, Vietnam agree to deepen defence ties, co-produce military equipment

    Why in the News

    India and Vietnam have agreed to deepen defence and security cooperation, including through joint production of Indian defence items. The agreement came out of the 19th India Vietnam Joint Commission Meeting on trade, economic, scientific and technological cooperation, chaired jointly by the two foreign ministers in New Delhi. The Joint Commission met for the first time in three years, and it met after the relationship had been raised to an Enhanced Comprehensive Strategic Partnership during the State Visit from Vietnam in May 2026. India’s defence supply to Vietnam has so far run through gifted platforms and lines of credit. Joint production changes what the relationship is, from the transfer of equipment to a stake in Vietnam’s own defence industry, in a region where China’s assertive behaviour in the Indo Pacific is the shared concern.

    What is the India Vietnam Enhanced Comprehensive Strategic Partnership?

    1. The tier: The highest level at which India holds bilateral ties with Vietnam, reached during the State Visit of Vietnam’s General Secretary and President in May 2026.
    2. A regional first: Vietnam is the first country in the region with which India has bilateral ties at that level.
    3. Defence as a central pillar: Defence and security cooperation sits among the central pillars of the partnership.
    4. The review mechanism: The Joint Commission Meeting on trade, economic, scientific and technological cooperation is where the full spectrum of the partnership is reviewed by the two foreign ministers.

    How has India’s defence supply to Vietnam been built so far?

    1. A gifted platform: India gifted the indigenously built missile corvette INS Kirpan to Vietnam in July 2023.
    2. Credit financed boats: Twelve high speed guard boats built by Larsen & Toubro were handed over in June 2022, under a bilateral line of credit of USD 100 million.
    3. Further lines of credit: Two more lines of credit, of USD 120 million and USD 180 million, were signed between the Exim Bank of India and Vietnam’s Finance Ministry in July 2024 and are being executed now.
    4. Beyond equipment: Engagement has diversified into wider military to military dialogue, capacity building and training across all arms of the forces.

    What did the two sides identify beyond defence?

    1. Trade and supply chains: Expanding trade, investments and mutually beneficial supply chains.
    2. Market access: Access for Indian marine and agricultural products and pharmaceuticals.
    3. Connectivity: Financial, port and air connectivity between the two countries.
    4. New sectors: Opportunities in nuclear energy and the space sector.
    5. Standards and heritage: Cooperation on standards for seafarers, and on heritage conservation.
    6. People to people ties: Capacity building and people to people ties, with the growing popularity of yoga in Vietnam noted. Next year will be observed as the Year of India Vietnam Friendship, marking 55 years of diplomatic ties.

    Where does Vietnam sit in India’s regional frameworks?

    1. Act East Policy: Vietnam is a key pillar of India’s Act East Policy, a relationship rooted in deep civilisational linkages.
    2. Vision MAHASAGAR: Vietnam is a key partner in Vision MAHASAGAR, meaning Mutual and Holistic Advancement for Security and Growth Across Regions, which is India’s stated outlook for the Indo Pacific.
    3. The ASEAN track: Vietnam is an important partner within India’s Comprehensive Strategic Partnership with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).
    4. Maritime cooperation: Vietnam’s engagement under India’s Indo Pacific Oceans Initiative (IPOI) was welcomed at the meeting.
    5. The strategic backdrop: The deepening of defence ties was framed against China’s assertive behaviour in the Indo Pacific region.

    Challenges to India Vietnam defence joint production

    1. A Russian origin inventory: Vietnam’s forces run largely on Russian platforms, which limits what Indian systems can be integrated into without redesign. Eg. Vietnam’s Kilo class submarines and Su 30 combat aircraft are of Russian origin.
      The Fix: Concentrate joint production on segments where Indian industry already services Russian origin fleets, such as spares, sensors and patrol craft.
    2. Vietnam’s balancing with China: Vietnam manages an economic relationship with China that constrains how visible its defence alignment can be. Eg. China remains Vietnam’s largest trading partner.
      The Fix: Keep the programme industrial and commercial in framing, delivered through shipyards and licensed production rather than through basing or joint patrols.
    3. Slow conversion of credit into deliveries: Indian lines of credit take years to become contracted orders, because procurement approvals and yard capacity lag the signing. Eg. The defence line of credit of USD 500 million extended to Vietnam in 2016 took years to translate into orders.
      The Fix: Attach dated milestones and a named executing yard to each tranche of an existing line of credit.
    4. Competition on terms, not goodwill: Vietnam has diversified its arms procurement toward suppliers offering technology transfer, so India bids against others on commercial terms. Eg. Israeli suppliers have provided Vietnam with air defence systems and small arms production lines.
      The Fix: Build transfer of technology and local content commitments into the joint production package instead of offering finished units.

    Conclusion

    The relationship has moved past the stage at which India’s contribution can be counted in platforms handed over. Joint production asks India to be a supplier that stays, through spares, training and yard capacity inside Vietnam. The marker to watch is whether the two sides name a first item and a manufacturer, rather than announcing a further round of credit.

    Back2Basics: Indo Pacific Oceans Initiative

    1. Announced by India at the East Asia Summit in Bangkok in November 2019.
    2. An open, non treaty based arrangement for cooperation on maritime security and the sustainable use of ocean resources.
    3. Organised around seven pillars, including maritime security, maritime ecology, maritime resources, disaster risk reduction and management, and trade connectivity and maritime transport.
    4. Individual pillars are led by partner countries rather than directed by a central secretariat.

    Matching Previous Year Question

    “[2020, GS2, 15 marks] What is the significance of Indo-US defence deals over Indo-Russian defence deals? Discuss with reference to stability in the Indo-Pacific region.”

  • Xi, Modi agreed both nations should be partners: Wang Yi

    Why in the News

    China and India should be partners. China’s Foreign Minister has described that as the most important consensus reached by the Chinese President and the Prime Minister when they met on the sidelines of the 18th BRICS Summit in New Delhi. The meeting closed the Chinese President’s first visit to India in seven years, and it was the third leaders’ meeting since the border agreement of October 2024. The two sides agreed to jointly maintain peace and tranquility in border areas and to support each other as rotating chair of BRICS. What is unsettled is whether a relationship rebuilt through air links, pilgrimage routes and summit language holds while the boundary question itself stays where it is.

    What did the two leaders agree on?

    1. Border areas: The two leaders agreed to jointly maintain peace and tranquility in border areas.
    2. BRICS chairmanships: Each country will support the other as rotating chair of the grouping. China takes over as BRICS chair for 2027.
    3. Multilateral coordination: The two sides agreed to strengthen coordination within the United Nations, the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) and the G20.
    4. A multipolar order: They agreed to advance cooperation across the Global South, promote a more multipolar world order, and act as a stabilising force in a period of global uncertainty.
    5. Mutual development: The Chinese President said the two countries can draw on each other’s strengths, support one another and pursue common development.
    6. Scale of the constituency: The improvement in relations has been welcomed by over 2.8 billion people of both nations, and is cast as an essential pillar of stronger cooperation across the Global South.

    What terms has India set for the reset?

    1. Independent foreign policy: India has an independent foreign policy and will not allow any force to engage in anti China activities on its territory. China’s Foreign Ministry cited that statement approvingly.
    2. The three mutuals: Future ties are to be guided by mutual respect, mutual sensitivity and mutual interest.
    3. Differences and disputes: Differences should not be allowed to become disputes.
    4. A new chapter: The Prime Minister described the talks as the beginning of a new chapter in bilateral relations.

    Where does the boundary question sit in this framing?

    1. Subordinated to the wider relationship: China’s Foreign Minister, who is also a member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China Central Committee, said the border issue should be viewed in proper perspective within the broader context of the bilateral relationship.
    2. India’s stated approach: India has always approached relations with China from a strategic standpoint.
    3. The sequence of meetings: The two leaders met at Kazan in Russia in 2024 and again in September 2025, and the New Delhi meeting was their third since the breakthrough in ties.
    4. What the language covers: The agreed formulation extends to peace and tranquility in border areas, and carries no statement on the boundary itself.

    How is connectivity between the two countries being restored?

    1. Direct flights: China Southern Airlines announced the resumption of passenger services on the Guangzhou to New Delhi route from 21 September, after a six year break.
    2. Why they had stopped: Direct air service was suspended after the Covid pandemic and after tensions following the Doklam and Galwan standoffs.
    3. Pilgrimage route: The Kailash Mansarovar Yatra resumed in 2024, following the border understanding.

    Challenges to the India China normalisation

    1. Trade imbalance: India’s merchandise deficit with China is its largest with any trading partner, and it widens as electronics and machinery imports grow. Eg. Solar modules, electronic components and active pharmaceutical ingredients are sourced overwhelmingly from Chinese suppliers.
      The Fix: Tie any market access concession in the reset to measurable movement on the non tariff barriers facing Indian pharmaceutical and agricultural exports.
    2. Border infrastructure asymmetry: Road, rail and airfield construction on the Chinese side of the Line of Actual Control outpaces India’s build out in the same sectors. Eg. The Sichuan Tibet railway and forward airfield upgrades opposite Ladakh and Arunachal Pradesh.
      The Fix: Hold the Border Roads Organisation’s project list to dated completion milestones reported annually.
    3. Third country military supply: China’s defence supply relationship with Pakistan runs irrespective of the state of its relations with India. Eg. JF 17 combat aircraft and naval frigates supplied to Pakistan.
      The Fix: Raise third country military supply as a standing item in the Special Representatives dialogue rather than leaving it to summit level language.
    4. Dependence on leader level understanding: The reset rests on understandings between two leaders rather than on an institutional mechanism that survives a crisis. Eg. The border agreements of 1993 and 1996 did not prevent the 2020 standoff in eastern Ladakh.
      The Fix: Require the Working Mechanism for Consultation and Coordination on India China Border Affairs to report publicly after each round.

    Conclusion

    The relationship has been restored at the level of contact rather than at the level of the dispute. Flights, pilgrimages and chairmanship courtesies are reversible instruments, and each of them was withdrawn once already. The thing to watch is whether the standing border mechanisms meet and produce a recorded outcome before the next leaders’ meeting, because that is the only part of this reset that cannot be undone by a single incident.

    Back2Basics: The border agreement of October 2024

    1. An understanding between India and China on patrolling arrangements along the Line of Actual Control in eastern Ladakh.
    2. It addressed the friction points at Depsang and Demchok, where patrolling had been blocked since 2020.
    3. It led to disengagement of troops at those points and the resumption of coordinated patrolling.
    4. It reopened the space for leader level meetings and for the phased restoration of pilgrimage and travel links.

    Matching Previous Year Question

    “[2014, GS2, 12.5 marks] With respect to the South China sea, maritime territorial disputes and rising tension affirm the need for safeguarding maritime security to ensure freedom of navigation and over flight throughout the region. In this context, discuss the bilateral issues between India and China.”

  • Experts back warnings for high level of each nutrient — not just fats, sugar, or salt content

    Why in the News

    A front of pack warning should be triggered when a food carries a high level of any single nutrient, and not only when it is high in two nutrients at once. That position has been put to the Food Safety and Standards Authority of India (FSSAI), the country’s food safety regulator, by global nutrition researchers and by the ICMR National Institute of Nutrition (NIN), whose Dietary Guidelines for Indians 2024 supply the thresholds being used. FSSAI has proposed a red hexagonal warning triggered only where a food is high in two of three nutrients in the first phase, moving to each nutrient in the second. The Supreme Court is separately examining a petition to make front of pack labels mandatory on foods high in fats, sugar or salt. What is contested is how far the first phase label can be diluted before it stops doing the work it exists to do.

    What is a front of pack warning label?

    1. Front of pack warning label: A mark placed on the front face of a packaged food declaring that the product carries a high level of a nutrient of concern.
    2. Nutrients covered: The Indian proposal covers fats, sugar and salt.
    3. Threshold basis: A warning appears once the nutrient crosses a defined cut off, and those cut offs are referenced to the Dietary Guidelines for Indians 2024.

    What do the experts want the trigger rule to be?

    1. Single nutrient trigger: The warning should be triggered for each nutrient separately, so a food high in salt and in fat carries a red hexagon stating each.
    2. Multiple labels as a signal: Evidence from Chile shows consumers understand products carrying more warning labels to be less healthy than products with fewer or none.
    3. Evidence of impact: Warning labels are the only type of label with real world evidence of impact. That evidence covers consumer beliefs and behaviour, the nutritional profile of the food supply, and the healthfulness of purchases and dietary intake.

    Why are the colour and background of the label contested?

    1. Visual absorption into packaging: A colour based label placed over packaging of a similar colour becomes less noticeable, and surrounding graphic elements can minimise it further.
    2. Black hexagons: The experts asked for black hexagonal boxes in place of the red one, since black and white designs are harder to visually mask on colourful packaging.
    3. A fixed contrasting background: Mandating a white background behind the warning preserves its purpose, which is rapid identification at a glance.

    What does the ICMR National Institute of Nutrition add on thresholds?

    1. Energy density as the basis: The thresholds for identifying foods high in fats, sugars and salt should be set on the total energy density of the food.
    2. No cut off read in isolation: Added fat and added sugar cut offs should not be considered apart from the accompanying energy and total nutrient content. FSSAI told the court that the warnings would be triggered on the levels of added sugars and added fats.
    3. The failure mode of a two nutrient rule: Products substantially high in one nutrient escape consumer attention while the two nutrient trigger operates.
    4. Higher thresholds, time bound: Where phasing is operationally necessary, a time bound transition at higher thresholds, progressively lowered, avoids indefinite postponement.

    What has the Supreme Court asked the regulator for?

    1. A justified timeline: The Court has asked FSSAI for a scientifically justified and clearly defined timeline for implementing the second phase.
    2. The recorded reason: Without such a timeline, the Court said, implementation may take a backseat or be postponed indefinitely.
    3. Sweetened beverages: The Court also sought clarity on which sweetened beverages will receive the warning in the first phase.

    Challenges to the front of pack warning label

    1. Reach into the unpackaged food trade: A label rule touches only packaged food, and a large share of what is sold in India moves loose or through small manufacturers. Eg. Street sold namkeen and locally packed sweets carry no nutrition panel at all.
      The Fix: Tie labelling compliance to the FSSAI licence and registration number small manufacturers already hold, so enforcement runs through an existing list.
    2. Reformulation to the threshold rather than to health: A manufacturer can cut a flagged nutrient just below the cut off while leaving the product’s overall energy unchanged. Eg. Sugar trimmed slightly and offset by fat keeps a product under the trigger.
      The Fix: Review the cut offs on a fixed cycle against reformulation data collected from the market.
    3. Legibility on small packs: A hexagon on a single serve sachet occupies too little area to be read at a glance, which defeats the design’s purpose. Eg. Single serve sachets dominate rural sales of biscuits, chips and instant noodles.
      The Fix: Set a minimum label size as a share of the front panel rather than as an absolute dimension.
    4. Regulatory delay through consultation: Labelling rules draw sustained industry objection, and each further round of consultation pushes implementation out. Eg. The Indian Nutrition Rating star system, put out in draft in 2022, has still not taken effect.
      The Fix: Notify the second phase thresholds in the same regulation as the first, so the transition needs no fresh rule making.

    Conclusion

    The question is no longer whether India will label packaged food but whether the first version of the label is strong enough to be worth carrying. A trigger that waits for a second nutrient builds a gap into the rule and gives manufacturers a period in which the worst single nutrient products stay unmarked. The regulator now has to answer the Court with a dated transition rather than a stated intention, and that answer is what decides the value of everything already agreed.

    Back2Basics: Food Safety and Standards Authority of India

    1. Statutory body established under the Food Safety and Standards Act, 2006.
    2. Functions under the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare.
    3. Lays down science based standards for food articles and regulates their manufacture, storage, distribution, sale and import.
    4. Issues licences and registrations to food businesses and runs the national food safety surveillance system.

    Matching Previous Year Question

    “[2016] With reference to pre-packaged items in India, it is mandatory to the manufacturer to put which of the following information on the main label, as per the Food Safety and Standards (Packaging and Labelling) Regulations, 2011? 1. List of ingredients including additives 2. Nutrition information 3. Recommendation, if any, made by the medical profession about the possibility of any allergic reactions 4. Vegetarian/non-vegetarian Select the correct answer using the code given below. (a) 1, 2 and 3 (b) 2, 3 and 4 (c) 1, 2 and 4 (d) 1 and 4 only Answer: (c)”

  • Public trust & public approval not same; trust demands fairness: CJI

    Why in the News

    The Chief Justice of India has said that public trust in the judiciary is not the same thing as public approval, because trust is not earned by giving people the outcomes they want but by ensuring fairness of process. The remarks answered concerns raised at the same event by senior counsel about the administrative reforms the judiciary needs in order to deal with challenges such as the appointment of judges. The stated position was that reform must be the rule, and that no institution can survive or take pride in remaining static. The tension is that the same address defended two internal mechanisms, judicial appointments through the Collegium and the handling of complaints against judges, while grounding institutional confidence in a court’s willingness to be examined, questioned and, where necessary, criticised.

    What is the Collegium system?

    1. What it is: The Collegium is the mechanism by which judges of the Supreme Court and the High Courts are selected by judges themselves rather than by the executive.
    2. Where it comes from: It has no textual basis in the Constitution, and was created by judicial interpretation of Articles 124 and 217 across the three judges cases of 1981, 1993 and 1998.
    3. Composition: For a Supreme Court appointment it comprises the Chief Justice of India and the four senior most judges of the Court, whose recommendation then goes to the Union government for the warrant of appointment.
    4. The failed alternative: The National Judicial Appointments Commission, created by the Ninety ninth Constitutional Amendment Act, 2014, was struck down by a five judge Constitution Bench in 2015, which restored the Collegium.

    What does transparency mean for a court?

    1. Not only open doors: Transparency is not simply a matter of open doors and public hearings, though it certainly includes those things.
    2. The reasoning, not the result: It means the reasoning behind a decision, and not merely its result, can be examined by anyone who cares to look, including the very people the decision goes against.
    3. A verdict without reasoning is not transparency: A court that announces its verdicts but keeps its reasoning to itself has not really been transparent, whatever else it may have done.
    4. What the phrase demands: “Seen to be done” means a fair hearing conducted honestly in the open, and a system that remains willing to be examined on whether it has kept its own word.

    How is public trust different from public approval?

    1. The difference matters a great deal: A court does not earn trust by being liked, or by handing out the outcomes people wanted.
    2. The test is the losing party: Trust is earned when the people who lost, who wanted an entirely different result, still walk away believing that the process which decided against them was fair.
    3. Harder and more valuable: That is a far harder thing to earn than approval, and far more valuable than it.
    4. What trust is for: Public trust is not decoration for the judiciary, and is the only currency in which authority is ever paid.

    What was said on judicial appointments?

    1. Reform as the standing rule: No institution can survive or take pride in remaining static, so reform is treated as a welcome step rather than a concession.
    2. Limits of a public answer: Some questions may not be prudent to respond to from a public platform, and the answers to them are legal answers set in the historical background of how the Collegium developed and how successfully it has worked.
    3. The record of appointments: There is hardly any impediment between the appointments by the Union of India and the recommendations of the Collegium, which itself indicates the kind of deliberation that goes into a final recommendation.

    How are complaints against judges handled?

    1. The internal mechanism: The mechanism the Supreme Court and the High Courts have developed for complaints against judges is described as robust, responsive and very timely.
    2. The misuse risk: Given a choice, a judicial officer will invite a complaint at every stage, whether passing an interlocutory order, adjourning a case or passing a final decree.
    3. The open question: Whether every such complaint should be brought onto a public platform or a website, or whether a strong internal mechanism should deal with it with complete objectivity and a dispassionate approach, is treated as a seriously debatable issue.
    4. Not treated as settled: The mechanism is described as well established, and as always subject to reforms and qualitative improvements.

    Why is criticism treated as compatible with institutional confidence?

    1. Exposure keeps institutions clean: Recalling Justice Krishna Iyer, institutions do not stay clean by being shielded from scrutiny, and stay clean by being repeatedly exposed to it and repeatedly surviving that exposure.
    2. The textbook proceedings: Suo motu proceedings concerning a National Council of Educational Research and Training (NCERT) textbook, which carried a chapter on corruption in the judiciary, became an occasion to consider the relationship between legitimate criticism and public confidence in the institution.
    3. What the order said: The order reiterated that the judiciary, as an institution, is not and cannot be averse to criticism.
    4. Why that follows: A court cannot seek the confidence of the public by placing itself beyond scrutiny, and must remain willing to be examined, questioned and, where necessary, criticised.

    Challenges to public trust in the judiciary

    1. Opacity of the appointment process: The Collegium publishes its resolutions but not the material or the comparative assessment behind a name, so the standard of examinable reasoning is weaker for appointments than for judgments. Eg. Reiterated recommendations have been left unacted by the government, with no published reason recorded on either side.
      The Fix: Publish an anonymised assessment memorandum with every recommendation, recording seniority, disposal record and the ground for any supersession.
    2. The internal complaints procedure has no statutory footing: Complaints against judges are handled under a procedure the judiciary framed for itself, so its outcome rests on institutional discipline rather than on law. Eg. Removal remains the only statutory route, under the Judges (Inquiry) Act, 1968, and no Supreme Court judge has ever been removed through it.
      The Fix: Give the internal procedure statutory backing with defined timelines and a published outcome summary that names no complainant.
    3. Pendency erodes trust faster than any single verdict: A litigant who waits years for a hearing experiences the process as unfair regardless of how the case is eventually reasoned. Eg. Cases pending before the district judiciary are counted in crores on the National Judicial Data Grid.
      The Fix: Publish court wise disposal and case ageing data against listed targets, so delay is attributable to a court rather than to the system in general.
    4. Vacancies outrun appointments: A sanctioned strength that is never filled turns an appointment mechanism into a bottleneck whatever its design. Eg. High Court vacancies have run into hundreds of posts for years together.
      The Fix: Fix a time limit for each stage from High Court proposal to warrant of appointment, with any delay recorded against the stage that caused it.

    Conclusion

    The address settles nothing about how judges are appointed or how complaints against them are decided, and it was not meant to. What it does is state the standard the institution asks to be judged by, which is the fairness of the process rather than the popularity of the result. That standard is testable only against the things the judiciary itself controls and publishes. The concrete thing to watch is whether the two mechanisms defended here acquire published reasons and fixed timelines, since a standard of examinable reasoning applied everywhere except to the institution’s own administration is precisely the gap the criticism turns on.

    Matching Previous Year Question

    “[2025, GS2, 15 marks] “Constitutional morality is the fulcrum which acts as an essential check upon the high functionaries and citizens alike…” In view of the above observation of the Supreme Court, explain the concept of constitutional morality and its application to ensure balance between judicial independence and judicial accountability in India.”

  • BJP’s states route to UCC, over one central law

    Why in the News

    The Union Home Minister has said the Uniform Civil Code (UCC) will be introduced in all 21 Bharatiya Janata Party led National Democratic Alliance ruled states before the 2029 Lok Sabha elections. The abolition of triple talaq was cited in the same statement as part of the effort to provide equal rights to Muslim women. The commitment follows a settled preference within the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) since 2023 that states enact their own codes first, with the Centre considering an overarching law later, so what had been a state first strategy now carries a date. The tension is constitutional as much as political: Entry 5 of the Concurrent List lets every state legislate its own code, so a promise of uniformity is being delivered through four statutes that are similar but not identical, and none of which is literally universal.

    What is the Uniform Civil Code?

    1. Constitutional source: The promise stems from Article 44, which says the State shall endeavour to secure for the citizens a uniform civil code throughout the territory of India.
    2. Adoption: The Constituent Assembly adopted the Article on 23 November 1948 after a spirited debate, and had no consensus on what such a code would actually contain.
    3. Enforceability: The Article sits among the Directive Principles of State Policy, and under Article 37 those principles are fundamental to governance but are not enforceable by any court.

    Why is the code being legislated state by state rather than through one central law?

    1. Legislative competence: Marriage, divorce, adoption, wills, intestacy, succession and joint family matters fall under Entry 5 of the Concurrent List, giving both Parliament and state legislatures competence over them.
    2. Variation in personal law: A single national code would have to negotiate enormous variation in personal laws and customary practices, particularly among tribal communities and in the Northeast.
    3. Codification is not like criminal law: The recorded objection in 2023 was that a civil code could not simply be codified the way criminal law was, because a tribal community in Uttarakhand or Himachal Pradesh practises very differently from one in Chhattisgarh or the Northeast.
    4. Political utility of the state route: Legislating state by state allows different models to be tested, local customs to be accommodated and implementation to be demonstrated, without first confronting the full political and constitutional complexity of a nationwide law.
    5. The Sangh’s stated caution: The RSS position in 2023 was that the subject required deeper study and wider consultation because it affected every section of society. The RSS general secretary welcomed the Uttarakhand model in March 2024 and said it should be studied and implemented across the country.

    What do the four enacted state codes actually contain?

    1. Uttarakhand: The only code currently in force, implemented in January 2025, it provides common rules on marriage, divorce, inheritance and succession, prohibits polygamy and mandates marriage registration.
    2. Regulation of live in relationships: Its most distinctive feature requires couples to register the relationship and its termination, while recognising children born of such relationships as legitimate.
    3. Gujarat: The Assembly passed its Bill in March 2026, broadly following the Uttarakhand model on marriage, divorce, succession and live in relationships, and prohibiting bigamy.
    4. Assam: The Bill was passed in May, covering marriage, divorce, succession and live in relationships, prohibiting polygamy and making live in registration compulsory.
    5. Madhya Pradesh: The Bill was passed in July and additionally covers adoption, with provisions relating to triple talaq and nikah halala, alongside live in registration and a bar on polygamy.
    6. Scheduled Tribes are excluded: All four laws exclude Scheduled Tribes, and Uttarakhand also exempts certain communities protected by constitutional customary law provisions.

    What has the Law Commission said?

    1. The 2018 position: The 21st Law Commission, in its Consultation Paper on Reform of Family Law (2018), said a uniform civil code was “neither necessary nor desirable at this stage”.
    2. Equality within over equality between: Its emphasis was on achieving “equality within communities” between men and women rather than “equality between” communities, reforming discriminatory provisions across personal laws while preserving diversity.
    3. Piecemeal change over absolute uniformity: It preferred making piecemeal changes to imposing absolute uniformity, and flagged the constitutional protections enjoyed by tribal and northeastern communities as a complication.
    4. The issue reopened: The 22nd Law Commission reopened the matter in 2023, seeking fresh views from the public and from recognised religious organisations, on the ground that more than three years had elapsed since the 2018 consultation and that developments including court orders warranted fresh examination.

    Where do the Opposition and the NDA allies stand?

    1. The Opposition’s framing: Opposition parties have questioned whether the code is genuinely a gender equality reform or an attempt to alter the personal laws of minorities through a majoritarian framework.
    2. State level opposition: The Congress opposed the Gujarat Bill as directed against Muslims, and in Madhya Pradesh criticised the legislation as an RSS agenda.
    3. Assam’s Opposition: Opposition parties there sought wider consultation and raised concerns over the tribal exemption and the regulation of live in relationships.
    4. Janata Dal (United): The party has consistently said it is not opposed to a uniform code but wants it to emerge through consensus rather than imposition. Its president told the Law Commission that such a code should respect India’s “delicate balance” between different religious and ethnic groups.
    5. Telugu Desam Party: The party has called for discussion and consensus, and in 2024 said it would ensure that Muslim interests were protected.

    Challenges to the Uniform Civil Code

    1. Four codes do not produce one code: Legislating separately in each state produces similar but not identical statutes, so uniformity is not what the project delivers. Eg. Madhya Pradesh’s law covers adoption, triple talaq and nikah halala, while Uttarakhand’s does not.
      The Fix: Anchor state enactments to a model law drafted by the Law Commission, so the substantive rules converge even where the enacting legislature differs.
    2. Exclusion of Scheduled Tribes: A code that exempts Scheduled Tribes leaves the customary law of a large population outside the very uniformity it is named for. Eg. All four enacted codes carry the exclusion, and Uttarakhand exempts further protected communities.
      The Fix: State the constitutional basis of the exemption openly, in the Fifth and Sixth Schedule protections, rather than leaving it as a silent exception.
    3. Directive Principles create no claimable right: Article 44 gives a citizen nothing to enforce, so the pace and the content of the code are settled entirely by political choice. Eg. The Article has stood since the Constitution commenced without any central statute enacted under it.
      The Fix: Route the contested questions through parliamentary scrutiny of a draft bill, so the content is debated before it binds anyone.
    4. Registration of private relationships: Compulsory registration of a live in relationship and of its termination extends the state into conduct that was previously unregulated. Eg. Uttarakhand’s code requires both the registration and the recorded termination of such a relationship.
      The Fix: Limit registration to the consequences the state must settle, namely the legitimacy of children and maintenance, rather than the existence of the relationship itself.
    5. Federal friction on a Concurrent List subject: A later central law can override a state code on the same entry, so the states legislating first face the prospect of their statutes being displaced. Eg. Article 254 gives a central law precedence over a repugnant state law on a Concurrent List subject.
      The Fix: Reserve state codes for Presidential assent under Article 254(2), which protects them until Parliament legislates on the same matter.

    Conclusion

    The commitment now carries a date, and the instrument chosen to meet it remains the state legislature rather than Parliament. That choice buys the ability to work around customary law without arguing a national case, and it also guarantees the codes keep diverging as each state adds subjects of its own. What is unresolved is whether uniformity describes the outcome or only the ambition. The thing to watch is whether an overarching central law is eventually brought, because the moment it is, the enacted state codes become the question rather than the answer.

    Back2Basics

    1. What it is: The Law Commission of India is a non statutory executive body constituted by the Ministry of Law and Justice, and it is not created by any Act of Parliament.
    2. Term and composition: It is constituted afresh for a fixed term, normally three years, and is headed by a chairperson who is usually a retired judge, with full time and part time members.
    3. First Commission: The first Law Commission of independent India was constituted in 1955, chaired by the then Attorney General for India.
    4. Weight of its output: Its reports and consultation papers are recommendatory, so the government is free to act on them, to act against them, or to leave them unacted.

    Matching Previous Year Question

    “[2015, GS2, 12.5 marks] Discuss the possible factors that inhibit India from enacting for its citizens a uniform civil code as provided for in the Directive Principles of State Policy.”

  • Limits to supply, rising demand: Behind Keralam’s electricity crisis

    Why in the News

    The Keralam State Electricity Board (KSEB) has instituted power cuts lasting between 30 minutes and an hour to manage peak hour demand, including cuts at night. Average daily demand in September 2026 reached about 5,000 MW against 3,794 MW in September 2025, and only 4,200 MW has been met. The shortfall arrives at the hour when the state’s largest renewable asset stops producing, because rooftop solar output ends at dusk and the state has no storage in service. The tension is that a state that leads the country in rooftop solar cannot use any of it against the demand peak that is actually breaking its system.

    How does a State draw power from the Central pool?

    1. What a Central Generating Station is: Central Generating Stations (CGS) are large power generating stations owned centrally rather than by a state utility.
    2. How allocation works: The Union Ministry of Power periodically allocates generation capacity to states from its pool of unallocated quota in those stations.
    3. Who has jurisdiction over electricity: Electricity is a subject on the Concurrent List of the Constitution, so both the Centre and the states have jurisdiction over it.

    How large is the shortfall?

    1. Demand has risen sharply in a year: Average daily demand in September 2026 was about 5,000 MW, against 3,794 MW in September 2025.
    2. Supply has not kept pace: The state has met only 4,200 MW, leaving a daily shortage.
    3. Own generation and the Central pool draw: Keralam produces only 1,650 MW and draws 1,500 MW from the Central pool.
    4. The structural position: The state generates only 25 per cent of its actual requirement from all sources including hydel, solar and wind, against 86 per cent for Andhra Pradesh and 50 per cent for Tamil Nadu.

    Why has hydropower been throttled?

    1. The monsoon failed: The southwest monsoon was weak through the June to September period, with Keralam recording a 26 per cent deficit in seasonal rainfall till 11 September.
    2. The El Nino effect: The El Nino effect, meaning the abnormal warming of surface waters in the equatorial Pacific Ocean that can suppress the Indian monsoon, has been witnessed this year.
    3. Reservoir water storage: Water storage across all KSEB reservoirs stood at only 63.75 per cent of the maximum storage level as of 10 September.
    4. The Board is rationing water, not power alone: KSEB has throttled down hydropower generation deliberately, holding storage against the withdrawal of the monsoon and higher temperatures in the weeks ahead.

    Why does rooftop solar not close the night gap?

    1. The state leads on rooftop capacity: Keralam’s solar production hit 2,508 MW by the end of May, with the vast majority of it rooftop panels.
    2. The scheme behind the build: Under PM Surya Ghar, Keralam has 2.96 lakh installations covering 3,03,531 households.
    3. The output arrives at the wrong hour: Solar power does not help meet the nighttime demand, because the state has no options to store it.
    4. The storage is contracted but not running: KSEB has lined up a slew of Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) that are yet to become operational.

    What is a Battery Energy Storage System?

    1. The battery and its grid electronics: A bank of rechargeable cells with power electronics attached to the grid. It charges when generation exceeds demand and discharges when demand exceeds generation, so energy produced in one hour is delivered in another.
    2. Time shifting of solar output: Solar output peaks near midday and ends at dusk, while the demand peak sits in the evening. A battery moves the midday surplus into the evening block, which is the only route by which a daytime resource serves a night peak.
    3. Ramping, not only energy: A battery responds within seconds, so it also covers the sunset ramp, the period when solar falls away faster than thermal or hydro plants can raise their output.
    4. The limits of stored duration: A battery holds a fixed quantity of energy and delivers it for a defined duration, commonly a few hours. It shifts a peak rather than adding generating capacity, and it supplies nothing that was not generated and stored first.

    Why is night demand rising?

    1. The consumer mix loads the evening: Domestic consumers make up 75 per cent of the state’s power connections, so demand rises at night rather than during working hours.
    2. Temperatures are abnormally high: The state disaster management authority has put Keralam on alert for an unusual rise in temperature, with a departure of up to 4 degrees Celsius from normal.
    3. Cooling load runs longer: Rising night temperatures are driving long duration air conditioner usage.
    4. Electric vehicle charging: KSEB has found that nighttime demand is also rising owing to the charging of electric vehicles.

    Challenges to Keralam’s power supply security

    1. Buying from the exchange fails when the scarcity is national: A deficit state can outbid others only when surplus exists somewhere, and this September the shortage is countrywide. Eg. India is witnessing an unusual surge in electricity demand this September, with peak power demand nearing the level recorded during peak summer, driven by a poor monsoon and low coal stock at power plants.
      The Fix: Contract firm capacity ahead of the season under medium term agreements, so the state is not bidding into a national spot market at the moment of scarcity.
    2. The coal fleet has no headroom to absorb the gap: Thermal plants are the swing capacity a deficit state usually leans on, and they are already running close to their limits. Eg. The plant load factor of most imported coal based plants is around 70 per cent or above, leaving no thermal plant that can be asked to raise generation.
      The Fix: Shift a defined share of the evening block onto demand response contracts with large consumers, so the peak is reduced rather than sourced.
    3. Nothing firm replaces solar at the evening ramp: The system loses its entire solar output within an hour of sunset, which is also the hour demand rises, and only fast ramping capacity can bridge that. Eg. Nationally, generation from gas based plants rose 80.3 per cent during 1 to 9 September over the same period last year, with the Centre relying on 4.5 to 5.5 GW of gas based capacity to meet the evening shortfall.
      The Fix: Bring the Board’s contracted battery systems into service against a dated commissioning schedule, since they are the only asset that can move midday solar into the evening block.
    4. Distributed solar weakens the utility that must still serve the peak: A rooftop consumer exports at midday and draws at night, so the utility recovers less revenue while carrying the same obligation to supply at the peak. Eg. Keralam’s rooftop capacity is concentrated in domestic connections, which are the same consumers driving the night peak.
      The Fix: Move rooftop settlement from net metering to net billing with a time of day price, so midday export and evening drawal are valued at what each is actually worth to the system.

    Conclusion

    The immediate crisis will ease when the monsoon withdrawal passes and temperatures fall, and the Board’s rationing is calibrated to hold storage until then. What will not change on its own is the structural position, because a state generating a quarter of its own requirement is buying the rest in a market that tightens in exactly the months it needs power most. The measurable marker is the commissioning of the contracted battery systems, since until they run, every additional megawatt of rooftop solar adds to the state’s daytime surplus and nothing to its evening deficit.

    Back2Basics: PM Surya Ghar Muft Bijli Yojana

    1. PM Surya Ghar: Muft Bijli Yojana: A central scheme under the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy to install rooftop solar systems on residential buildings.
    2. Coverage target: One crore households, with free electricity of up to 300 units a month for the households that install under it.
    3. Household financing route: Central financial assistance is credited directly to the beneficiary’s bank account, alongside access to collateral free low interest loans for the balance cost.
    4. Capacity building component: The scheme carries a capacity building component covering training in installation, operation, maintenance and repair of rooftop systems at the local level.

    Matching Previous Year Question

    “[2025] Consider the following statements about ‘PM Surya Ghar Muft Bijli Yojana’: I. It targets installation of one crore solar rooftop panels in the residential sector. II. The Ministry of New and Renewable Energy aims to impart training on installation, operation, maintenance and repairs of solar rooftop systems at grassroot levels. III. It aims to create more than three lakhs skilled manpower through fresh skilling and up-skilling, under scheme component of capacity building. Which of the statements given above are correct? (a) I and II only (b) I and III only (c) II and III only (d) I, II and III ANSWER: (d)”

  • India’s BRICS balancing act

    Why in the News

    India is hosting the two day BRICS summit in New Delhi on 12 and 13 September 2026, and treats the grouping as a hedge against the Western economic order rather than a replacement for it. The United States and the European Union remain India’s largest export market and its largest source of investment. The same dependence has become a source of exposure. The United States imposed steep tariffs on India last year amid disagreements in trade deal negotiations, and India’s sovereign decision to purchase Russian oil during the Ukraine war turned it into a target. Tariffs are only the most visible instrument. Patent rules blocked a developing country waiver on vaccines at the height of the Covid-19 pandemic, a widening American sanctions regime has repeatedly halted an Indian port project in Iran, and European environment linked trade measures now act as a barrier to Indian exports. India therefore has to reduce reliance on an order it cannot yet do without.

    Why does India treat BRICS as a hedge and not a replacement?

    1. The bloc’s weight has grown: The BRICS share of global gross domestic product (GDP) grew from 17% to 35% between 1995 and 2024, surpassing the G7’s share.
    2. The West still supplies the markets and the capital: The United States and the European Union continue to be India’s largest export market and its largest source of investments.
    3. Western integration built the services sector: Integration with Western economies aided the growth of India’s service sector, which is where most of the new, well paid jobs have been created.
    4. What the hedge could deliver, and when: Expansion of south-south trade, the geographic concentration of critical minerals in the BRICS region and growth in alternative development finance such as the BRICS bank could support India’s growth. None of this is a counter-balance to the Western economic order today, and it could reduce India’s reliance a decade on.
    5. The stated rationale for the hedge: A former Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor argues that India should treat the emerging international financial architecture around BRICS and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) as a “risk mitigant” and a rational response to an ever-expanding sanctions regime.

    What did the TRIPS waiver refusal reveal about patent control?

    1. What was asked for: In October 2020, at the height of the Covid-19 pandemic, India and South Africa sought a waiver of certain provisions of the Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS) Agreement to help developing nations obtain vaccines and other life saving medicines.
    2. What TRIPS is: TRIPS is an international agreement administered by the World Trade Organisation (WTO) that sets minimum standards for protecting intellectual property (IP) in every member country.
    3. Who backed the request: India, South Africa and sixty other developing countries pressed for the waiver.
    4. What happened to it: The developed countries turned the request down.
    5. How the episode is read: A former trade negotiator holds that the failure exposed the danger in an existing patent regime which accords “primacy to patents over patients”.

    How large has the Western sanctions regime become?

    1. The total and the single largest source: A working paper titled ‘Asphyxiation by Sanctions: Harm, Fear and Smog’, written by a former Reserve Bank of India governor, counts 1,325 sanctions imposed globally since 1949, of which 486 were imposed by the United States.
    2. The programmes currently running: The United States currently administers over 30 sanctions programmes, making it responsible for three times as many sanctions as any other country or international body.
    3. When the expansion happened: United States led sanctions jumped in recent decades after the collapse of the Soviet Union.
    4. The second largest sanctioner: The European Union is the second largest sanctioner after the United States.
    5. Trade and financial sanctions grew most: The paper’s decade wise count records financial sanctions rising from 4 in the 1950s to 327 between 2010 and 2022, and trade sanctions from 21 to 209 across the same span.
    6. Travel, military and arms restrictions followed: Travel sanctions rose from 8 to 205 over the same period, military aid sanctions from 1 to 62, and arms sanctions from 7 to 67, so the spectrum has widened from trade measures to military ones.
    7. The reach now includes the messaging layer: Iran and Russia have been removed from the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT), the secure global messaging network financial institutions use to transmit payment instructions.
    8. The label the paper applies: The paper calls the United States the “hegemonic sanctioner”.

    What does Chabahar show about sanctions risk to an Indian project?

    1. When it started: India’s plan to develop Chabahar Port in Iran began in 2003.
    2. The first halt: United States sanctions targeting Iran imposed a “hard break” on progress.
    3. The window that opened: The project was revived between 2015 and 2017 after the United States eased sanctions.
    4. The window that closed again: India signed a ten year agreement with Iran to operate and develop the port in 2024, and shortly afterwards the United States again warned of sanctions.
    5. What the sequence shows: The project’s viability tracked United States policy toward a third country rather than the project’s own economics or India’s own decisions.

    Why do BRICS members reject the European Union’s environment linked trade measures?

    1. The measures at issue: The European Union has implemented a range of environment linked trade regimes which act as a barrier to India’s export growth.
    2. The bloc’s stated position: BRICS nations have “condemned and rejected” the European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and similar trade curbs, on the ground that they undermine their transition to a cleaner economy.
    3. The reading Indian trade experts give it: Indian trade experts hold that a trade and climate linkage through regulations such as CBAM is less about protecting the environment and more about promoting the interests of the developed world.
    4. The contrast with the tariff instrument: The United States has been explicit in using tariffs to cut imports from developing nations. The European measure arrives instead as an environmental regulation.

    Challenges to India’s BRICS hedge

    1. The grouping grants no market access: BRICS is not a free trade area and issues no tariff preference, so membership cannot substitute for the export markets the hedge is meant to make India less dependent on. Eg. India’s tariff reductions have come through bilateral agreements such as the one being concluded with the European Union, not through the bloc.
      The Fix: Negotiate a BRICS tariff preference on a narrow list of goods members already trade heavily in, so the grouping delivers a measurable trade gain rather than a declaration.
    2. Alternative development finance is too small to displace anything yet: The financing available through BRICS institutions is a fraction of what India raises from Western markets and from the older multilateral banks. Eg. India’s annual external commercial borrowing exceeds its entire cumulative borrowing from the BRICS bank.
      The Fix: Set a share target for BRICS sourced project finance inside the public capital expenditure plan, so the alternative is used rather than only cited.
    3. Mineral concentration is not the same as mineral access: The critical minerals sit inside the BRICS region and their processing capacity sits largely with one member, so geography does not convert into supply security for India. Eg. China accounts for the majority of global rare earth separation and processing capacity.
      The Fix: Tie offtake agreements with Brazil, South Africa and the Gulf members to refining capacity built in India, so the supply arrives in a processable form.
    4. A hedge invites the retaliation it is meant to insure against: Visible participation in the bloc has itself drawn tariff threats, so the insurance carries a premium paid in the very relationship being hedged. Eg. Tariff threats were directed at BRICS members over the grouping’s “un-American” policies.
      The Fix: Keep India’s BRICS agenda on development finance, payments efficiency and supply chains, and off currency displacement, so the hedge is defensible as economic policy rather than as alignment.

    Conclusion

    India’s position is not a choice between two economic orders. It is a dependence on one while building an option on the other. That option is not yet large enough to price, so every instrument the hedge rests on remains smaller than the exposure it is meant to offset. The cost of the hedge is already being paid in the relationship it insures against. What to watch is whether the Delhi declaration commits to anything carrying a number and a date, since a hedge that produces only text leaves the exposure where it was.

    Back2Basics: Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism

    1. What it is: CBAM is a European Union measure that charges an importer for the greenhouse gas emissions embedded in certain imported goods, set against the carbon price a European producer of the same good already pays.
    2. The goods it covers: It applies to cement, iron and steel, aluminium, fertilisers, electricity and hydrogen, the emission intensive sectors most exposed to import competition.
    3. How it is phased: A transitional phase requiring importers only to report embedded emissions ran from October 2023, and the definitive phase charging for those emissions began in 2026.
    4. India’s stated objection: India treats it as a unilateral trade barrier inconsistent with the principle of Common But Differentiated Responsibilities, since it charges a developing country producer at a developed country’s carbon price.

    Matching Previous Year Question

    “[2019, GS2, 15 marks] “The long-sustained image of India as a leader of the oppressed and marginalised Nations has disappeared on account of its new found role in the emerging global order”. Elaborate.”

  • What the recent trajectory of India-China ties means for the summit

    Why in the News

    The Chinese President arrives in India for the BRICS leaders’ summit, his third visit since assuming the presidency and the first after a gap of seven years. The summit is the stated reason for the trip, and its bilateral weight comes from what the visit interrupts, the border standoff that began in eastern Ladakh in 2020 and marked the low point of the relationship, now in its seventh year. Years of diplomatic and military-level talks produced a disengagement of troops in 2024, and a sequence of normalisation steps has followed, from direct flights to eased visas. The structural disputes behind the standoff are untouched by those steps, and the trade deficit and market access questions sit exactly where they did. That fault line, alongside a turbulent global environment, will shape what the summit can agree.

    What is the record of India-China border standoffs?

    1. The two early conflicts: The 1962 war was followed by border clashes in Sikkim in 1967.
    2. The Ladakh standoffs of the last decade: Major standoffs occurred at Depsang in Ladakh in 2013 and at Chumar in Ladakh in 2014.
    3. Doklam: A standoff at Doklam followed in 2017, in a sector away from Ladakh.
    4. Eastern Ladakh since 2020: The standoff that began in eastern Ladakh in 2020 is still ongoing, with about 50,000 Indian troops deployed along the Line of Actual Control, meaning the undelineated line separating the two sides’ positions.
    5. The casualties of June 2020: The clashes of June 2020 killed 20 Indian defence personnel, including an officer of Colonel rank, and at least four Chinese defence personnel.

    What has changed since the 2024 disengagement?

    1. The talks produced a withdrawal: Years of diplomatic and military-level talks led to a disengagement of troops in 2024, and incremental steps have since been taken to stabilise the relationship.
    2. Connectivity restored: Direct flights between the two countries resumed and visa restrictions were eased.
    3. Pilgrimage resumed: The Kailash Mansarovar Yatra was restarted.
    4. Investment rules relaxed: Restrictions on Chinese investments in India were relaxed.
    5. The visit itself is the signal: Travel to India after a seven year gap is read as a positive signal, and only to a degree.

    What has not changed?

    1. The trade imbalance: A massive trade deficit remains the defining feature of the economic relationship.
    2. Market access runs one way: The lack of market access for Indian businesses in China is frequently flagged as an issue.
    3. Enforcement action continues: India is acting against Chinese firms for tax evasion.
    4. Trust is the deeper casualty: Strategic and political trust has been diminished by a border standoff now in its seventh year.
    5. The Pakistan factor deepened it: Collusion between China and Pakistan during Operation Sindoor further worsened the crisis of trust and credibility.

    How far have the founding economies diverged since BRIC was named?

    1. The origin of the label: Goldman Sachs analysts described India, China, Brazil and Russia as the world’s emerging economies in 2001, and BRIC was born as a grouping in the immediate aftermath of the 9/11 attacks.
    2. China: It has become the second-largest economy in the world after the United States.
    3. India: It has grown at a modest rate and been outpaced by Beijing.
    4. Russia and Brazil: Russia has faced challenges from wars of its own making, and Brazil has floundered amid frequent regime changes and scandals.
    5. South Africa: A later entrant to the grouping, it has not lived up to expectations.
    6. The 2009 turning point: The first BRICS leaders’ summit was held in the shadow of the global financial crisis, and China emerged from that crisis stronger than many Western nations.

    How does China’s assertiveness show up beyond the border?

    1. Military growth follows economic growth: China has grown militarily, with big-power ambitions to dethrone the United States.
    2. Where the posture is visible: Its increasingly aggressive and assertive stance shows in its neighbourhood, in its actions in the South China Sea, in the Indo-Pacific, and on the borders it shares with India.
    3. India absorbs a disproportionate share: India has faced the brunt of border standoffs frequently, and the belligerence of the Chinese state under the current President has been greater than at any time in the recent past.

    Is BRICS an anti-West grouping or a non-Western one?

    1. The two framings are not the same: China and Russia have attempted to frame BRICS as an “anti-West” grouping, and India sees it as a “non-Western” grouping.
    2. India’s position rules out the first: India has built robust ties with the United States over the last 25 years and is courting Europe, Australia, Canada and other Western nations, so it is decidedly not anti-West.
    3. The dependence is stated plainly: India needs the West for access to capital and technology, and as a destination for its people, more than China or Russia do.
    4. Beijing’s self-placement within the bloc: China has viewed itself as the “first among equals” in the grouping, and long supported enlarging it beyond the original five, which produced the 2023 expansion to the present strength of 11 members.
    5. Western action against members complicates the divide: US tariffs on Brazil and political disagreements with South Africa cut across the distinction the members are arguing over.

    What does the convergence against US tariffs actually buy?

    1. The shared exposure: The US President’s arbitrary tariff moves have cornered countries around the world, including China and India, and the two now find themselves on the same side in attempting to counter the effects.
    2. China’s own position has weakened: After years of high economic growth, China has revised its expectations for the near future.
    3. India’s use of the summit: India is hosting the summit partly to signal to the United States that it has other partners in fields ranging from technology to fuel security.
    4. What those partners supply: The United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia have been investing in the Indian economy, Russia has stepped in as an energy supplier amid the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and Brazil is ready to partner on critical minerals.

    How has the West Asia war split the grouping?

    1. The sovereignty question it raises: The US war on Iran has raised questions about powerful nations violating the territorial integrity and sovereignty of others, and both China and Russia are guilty of the same in their own neighbourhoods.
    2. The economic cost is common: Energy prices and inflation have risen, and BRICS countries, as part of the Global South, are bearing the brunt.
    3. Members sit on opposite sides of the same war: Iran is attacking US military bases in West Asia, and the United Arab Emirates hosts several US military bases and personnel.
    4. Why this needs China: Moving those two members towards cooperation and presenting a more unified flank requires Chinese weight alongside India’s hosting role.
    5. The scale of attendance raises the stakes: Leaders of over 30 countries and groupings are attending, so a failure to reconcile positions is visible well beyond the membership.

    Challenges to stabilising India-China ties

    1. The trade deficit is structural, not tariff driven: India’s imports are concentrated in the intermediate and capital goods its own manufacturing runs on, so restricting imports raises domestic costs rather than closing the gap. Eg. Active pharmaceutical ingredients, the chemical inputs a finished medicine is made from, are sourced largely from China even as India exports the finished formulations.
      The Fix: Tie the production incentive schemes for bulk drugs and electronic components to measured reductions in import dependence, with the baseline published.
    2. Disengagement is not de-escalation: Withdrawal from friction points leaves the roads, airfields and habitat built up behind the line in place, so force can return faster than it left. Eg. Both sides have retained the forward infrastructure constructed after 2020.
      The Fix: Negotiate a verifiable de-induction of forces and a written restoration of patrolling norms, rather than treating troop separation as settlement.
    3. There is no agreed line to defend: The Line of Actual Control is not delineated on a map both sides accept, so the same patrol is routine to one side and an incursion to the other. Eg. Each side maintains its own claim line across the Depsang plains.
      The Fix: Task the Special Representatives mechanism with a sector-by-sector exchange of maps, beginning with the sectors where no standoff has occurred.
    4. A third country sets the floor under India’s threat assessment: The military supply and intelligence relationship between China and Pakistan means a bilateral understanding does not reduce the threat India plans against. Eg. Chinese-origin platforms form the bulk of Pakistan’s recent fighter and naval inductions.
      The Fix: Keep the normalisation track and the security track formally separate and say so publicly, so trade and travel measures are not treated as concessions on security.
    5. Economic opening is being restored without reciprocity: Relaxing investment rules restores Chinese capital’s access to India without restoring Indian firms’ access to the Chinese market. Eg. Press Note 3 of 2020 required government approval for investment from countries sharing a land border with India, and its relaxation is not matched by a Chinese commitment.
      The Fix: Make each relaxation sector specific and conditional on a named market access commitment of comparable value.

    Conclusion

    The visit restores high level contact without touching what caused its absence. India and China now share an exposure to US trade measures, and shared exposure produces a common grievance more readily than a common position, since each retains the option of settling separately with Washington. The unresolved tension is that India needs Chinese weight to hold the grouping together on trade and energy, and needs the grouping not to be read as anti-Western, which is the framing Beijing prefers. What to watch is whether the summit declaration carries a joint position on unilateral trade measures, and whether the normalisation sequence extends from travel and pilgrimage to market access, which is the test of whether anything structural has moved.

    Back2Basics: Operation Sindoor

    1. What it was: Indian military strikes in May 2025 on terrorist infrastructure located in Pakistan and in Pakistan-occupied Jammu and Kashmir.
    2. What prompted it: It followed the April 2025 attack on tourists at Pahalgam in Jammu and Kashmir.
    3. How it ended: Several days of exchanges across the border were followed by an understanding between the two militaries to stop military action.
    4. Why it appears in an India-China item: Chinese support to Pakistan during those exchanges is cited as having deepened India’s trust deficit with China, separately from the border dispute.

    Matching Previous Year Question

    “[2017, GS2, 10 marks] ‘China is using its economic relations and positive trade surplus as tools to develop potential military power status in Asia’, In the light of this statement, discuss its impact on India as her neighbor.”