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Monsoon Updates

​Monsoon woes: On the southwest monsoon and the northeast

Why in the News?

In 2025, the Southwest Monsoon, which plays a vital role in India’s farming economy, brought heavy and destructive rains. Instead of simply starting the farming season, it has caused widespread damage across the northeastern states.

Why is the northeastern region particularly vulnerable to monsoon-related disasters?

  • Geographical Terrain and River Systems: The Northeast has a complex topography of steep hills and fast-flowing rivers like the Brahmaputra and Barak. These rivers often overflow during monsoon, causing floods and erosion. Eg: In Assam, over 10 major rivers flowed above danger level in June 2025, affecting over 3 lakh people across 19 districts.
  • High and Prolonged Rainfall: The region receives one of the highest average monsoon rainfalls in India, making even a “below normal” monsoondestructive. Eg: Despite IMD predicting lower-than-normal rainfall, Assam, Tripura, and Sikkim faced flash floods and landslidesin May–June 2025.
  • Dual Monsoon Exposure and Fragile Ecology: The region experiences both the southwest monsoon (June–September) and a retreating monsoon (October–December), increasing disaster exposure. The fragile ecology, including deforestation and slope instability, worsens risks. Eg: In North Sikkim, landslides in early June 2025 marooned 1,500 tourists and blocked arterial roads due to incessant rain.

What is the Dual Monsoon Pattern? 

Dual Monsoon Pattern refers to the occurrence of two distinct monsoon phases in a year that affect a region, particularly the Northeastern States of India. These are:

  • Southwest Monsoon (June to September):
    This is the primary monsoon season for most of India. The Bay of Bengal branch of the southwest monsoon brings heavy rainfall to the Northeastern States like Assam, Meghalaya, and Arunachal Pradesh.
  • Retreating/Post-Monsoon (October to December):
    This secondary phase brings additional rainfall, especially to Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura (NMMT region). This is often accompanied by cyclonic storms originating from the Bay of Bengal.

How does the dual monsoon pattern affect the disaster preparedness of northeastern States?

  • Extended Vulnerability Period: The presence of both the southwest monsoon (June–September) and the retreating/post-monsoon (October–December) leads to a prolonged rainy season, increasing the duration for which states must stay alert and prepared. Eg: In 2023, flash floods affected parts of Meghalaya in both July and November, stretching disaster response capacities.
  • Recurring Strain on Resources: The back-to-back monsoon cycles put continuous pressure on relief infrastructure, emergency services, and budgetary resources, often without adequate recovery time between events. Eg: In Assam, flood shelters and boats used during June floods had to be reactivated again during October rains, delaying repairs and replenishment.
  • Challenges in Long-term Planning: The dual monsoon system makes it harder to plan and execute infrastructure repair, agricultural recovery, and resettlement efforts, as damage may recur within months. Eg: In Arunachal Pradesh, roads repaired after July landslides were again washed away during October rains in 2022, disrupting connectivity repeatedly.

Why has infrastructure development lagged in the northeastern States compared to the rest of India?

  • Challenging Geographical Terrain: The region is dominated by mountainous landscapes, dense forests, and seismic zones, which make construction of roads, bridges, and railways technically difficult and cost-intensive. Eg: In Sikkim, frequent landslides and narrow mountain roads delay road-widening and highway projects.
  • Security and Strategic Concerns: The presence of international borders with countries like China, Myanmar, and Bangladesh and historical instances of insurgency have led to delays in project execution due to security concerns and administrative restrictions. Eg: The construction of the India-Myanmar-Thailand Trilateral Highway through Manipur has faced repeated delays due to local unrest and law-and-order issues.
  • Low Political and Economic Prioritisation: Compared to other regions, the Northeast has received less investment in infrastructure due to lower population density, limited industrial base, and less political influence at the national level. Eg: States like Nagaland and Mizoram have limited railway connectivity even today, unlike the rapid expansion seen in western and southern India.

What are the steps taken by the Indian government? 

  • Strengthened Disaster Response and Early Warnings: The government has deployed NDRF units across the Northeast and enhanced IMD’s region-specific alerts for floods and landslides in states like Assam, Sikkim, and Arunachal Pradesh.
  • Infrastructure Development in Vulnerable Areas: Schemes like NESIDS support critical infrastructure such as flood protection embankments and all-weather roads in remote regions of Manipur and Mizoram.
  • Integration into National Disaster Management Frameworks: NDMA conducts capacity building, mock drills, and implements region-specific guidelines for urban flooding and landslide risk in cities like Gangtok and Guwahati.

What long-term measures are needed to ensure sustainable disaster management in the Northeast? (Way forward)

  • Region-Specific Infrastructure Planning and Investment: Develop climate-resilient infrastructure suited to the region’s fragile ecology, such as landslide-resistant roads, flood-resistant housing, and robust early warning systems. Eg: The installation of a real-time flood monitoring system in the Brahmaputra basin has improved early evacuation in parts of Assam.
  • Integrated Inter-State and Central Coordination Mechanism: Establish a permanent regional disaster coordination body with participation from all Northeast states and the Centre to plan, share resources, and respond collectively to disasters. Eg: A joint task force involving Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, and Meghalaya could improve flood response across shared river systems like the Barak and Brahmaputra.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2024] Flooding in urban areas is an emerging climate-induced disaster. Discuss the causes of this disaster. Mention the features of two such major floods in the last two decades in India. Describe the policies and frameworks in India that aim at tackling such floods.

Linkage: The Bay of Bengal branch of the monsoon reaches the northeastern States first. These areas usually get a lot of rain during the monsoon, even in years when rainfall is lower than normal. Because of this, the region is naturally more prone to problems like flooding, which often comes with such heavy rain. 

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Capital Markets: Challenges and Developments

Why has net FDI inflow plummeted?

Why in the News?

The RBI Bulletin (May 2025) reports that India received a record-breaking $81 billion in gross FDI inflows in FY 2024-25, but retained only $353 million in net FDI, revealing a dramatic divergence in the investment narrative.

What do gross and net FDI trends indicate about India’s investment climate?

  • Gross FDI inflows are high: India received a record $81 billion in gross FDI in 2024-25, indicating strong headline interest from foreign investors. Eg: Media and government reported this as a sign of a robust investment climate.
  • Net FDI is drastically low: Net FDI dropped to only $353 million, showing that much of the incoming investment is offset by capital outflows, weakening the real impact on the economy. Eg: Rising outward FDI and disinvestment reduced net foreign capital retained in India.
  • Declining FDI-to-GDP ratio: The gross inflow-to-GDP ratio fell from 3.1% (2020-21) to 2.1% (2024-25), and net FDI-to-GDP fell from 1.6% to near zero, reflecting a slowing domestic investment environment despite high gross inflows. Eg: This signals tepid corporate investment and cautious investor sentiment in India.

What is  Private Equity (PE) and Venture Capital (VC)?

  • Private Equity (PE) refers to investment funds that buy existing companies or large stakes in businesses, often to improve their performance and later sell them for profit. PE typically invests in more mature companies.
  • Venture Capital (VC) is a type of financing that supports early-stage startups and small businesses with high growth potential. VC investors take higher risks in exchange for potentially high returns.

Why is the rise in Private Equity (PE)/Venture Capital (VC) driven FDI a concern for long-term investment?

  • PE/VC-driven FDI focuses on brownfield investments: These funds mainly acquire existing firms rather than creating new production capacity, limiting contributions to capital formation and technology acquisition. Eg: Investments by Blackstone in Care Hospitals and ChrysCapital in Lenskart.
  • Short investment horizon: PE/VC funds typically have a 3-5 year exit strategy, often selling holdings during stock market booms, which leads to disinvestment rather than sustained growth. Eg: The spike in disinvestment in FY25 was partly due to PE/VC funds liquidating their positions.
  • Limited impact on long-term industrial growth: Since these funds focus on services like fintech and retail rather than manufacturing or infrastructure, they contribute less to enhancing India’s productive capacity. Eg: The declining share of FDI in greenfield projects shows limited greenfield capital formation.

How does outward FDI suggest India is used for tax arbitrage?

  • High correlation between inward and outward FDI: India shows a strong link between the money flowing in and out, suggesting that funds often enter and exit quickly rather than being invested long-term. Eg: Similar volumes of FDI both coming into and going out of India.
  • Use of tax havens as intermediaries: A significant portion of both inward and outward FDI involves countries like Singapore and Mauritius, known for tax concessions and treaty benefits. Eg: Many Indian companies route investments through these jurisdictions to reduce tax liabilities.
  • ‘Treaty shopping’ for tax benefits: Global investors move capital through India to exploit variations in tax laws, a practice called tax arbitrage, which may not contribute to domestic economic growth. Eg: Research shows India ranked 6th among emerging markets for such correlated FDI flows, indicating use as a conduit for tax optimization.

What are the effects of declining FDI-to-GDP and GFCF ratios?

  • Reduced contribution to economic growth: Declining FDI-to-GDP and FDI-to-GFCF (Gross Fixed Capital Formation) ratios indicate that foreign investments are becoming a smaller part of India’s overall economy and capital investment, potentially slowing down industrial expansion and technology adoption. Eg: Gross FDI inflows peaked at 7.5% of GFCF in FY21 but have declined sharply since then.
  • Weakening investor confidence: The downward trend signals tepid domestic corporate investment and reduced foreign investor interest, which can affect job creation and long-term economic stability. Eg: Net FDI relative to GDP has declined from 1.6% in 2020-21 to nearly zero in 2024-25, showing declining investor enthusiasm.

Why should India reform its foreign capital regulations?

  • To curb tax arbitrage and ‘hot money’ flows: Current regulations allow large volumes of inward and outward FDIthrough tax havens, enabling tax optimization rather than genuine investment, which undermines domestic economic goals. Eg: High FDI flows involving Singapore and Mauritius reflect such practices.
  • To promote long-term, productive investments: Reform is needed to encourage FDI that contributes to capital formation, technology acquisition, and industrial growth rather than short-term PE/VC-driven disinvestment. Eg: The rising share of alternative investment funds in FDI has led to increased disinvestment, affecting sustainable growth.

Way forward: 

  • Strengthen Regulatory Frameworks: Implement stricter rules to curb tax arbitrage and limit quick inflows and outflows via tax havens, ensuring FDI supports genuine, long-term economic growth.
  • Promote Greenfield and Productive Investments: Encourage FDI in new capacity building, manufacturing, and technology sectors over short-term PE/VC deals to boost capital formation, industrial growth, and sustainable development.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2013] Though India allowed Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in what is called multi-brand retail through the joint venture route in September 2012, the FDI, even after a year, has not picked up. Discuss the reasons.

Linkage: The net FDI-to-GDP ratio has steadily fallen from 1.6% in 2020-21 to zero in 2024-25. This ongoing decline is worrying, even though policymakers continue to make optimistic claims.

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Economic Indicators and Various Reports On It- GDP, FD, EODB, WIR etc

Growing pains: On economic performance, Viksit Bharat

Why in the News?

India’s economic data for 2024–25 shows a mixed picture: the economy grew strongly by 7.4% in the last quarter, which was better than expected, but the overall yearly growth dropped to 6.5% — the lowest in four years since the pandemic.

What led to the higher-than-expected GDP growth in Q4 2024-25?

  • Robust Growth in Construction and Agriculture Sectors: The construction sector returned to double-digit growth, and agriculture performed strongly, both of which are key employment generators. Eg: Infrastructure expansion and favourable harvests boosted rural incomes and demand.
  • Strong Performance of Services Sector: The services sector maintained steady and strong growth, contributing significantly to the GDP rise. Eg: IT, finance, and hospitality services saw sustained recovery post-pandemic.
  • Statistical Boost from Higher Net Taxes: A 12.7% increase in net tax collections inflated the GDP figure, even though underlying economic activity was slower. Eg: Higher indirect tax revenues during the quarter pushed headline growth from ~6.8% to 7.4%.

Why is 6.5% annual GDP growth seen as inadequate despite being the highest globally?

  • Below the Required Rate for ‘Viksit Bharat 2047’ Vision: To achieve the developed nation goal by 2047, India needs sustained annual growth of around 8% or more. Eg: The Economic Survey states that consistent 8% growth is essential to meet infrastructure, employment, and welfare needs by 2047.
  • Mismatch with India’s Domestic Demands and Aspirations: India’s population growth and development needs demand faster economic expansion, regardless of how the rest of the world is performing. Eg: Even though India outpaces global peers, a 6.5% rate may not create enough jobs or uplift per capita incomes sufficiently.
  • Limited Acceleration Potential Under Stable Growth Phase: While 6.5% reflects stability, it also signals a plateau, with low inflation but no signs of rapid acceleration in the near future. Eg: Chief Economic Adviser V. Anantha Nageswaran indicated India may not see major growth spurts soon, making it harder to catch up with long-term development targets.

How do net taxes affect the true picture of GDP growth?

  • Artificial Boost to Headline GDP: A significant rise in net taxes (taxes minus subsidies) can inflate GDP figures without a corresponding increase in real economic activity. Eg: In Q4 2024–25, GDP growth was 7.4%, but without the 12.7% surge in net taxes, real growth would have been around 6.8%.
  • Distorts Sector-Wise Contribution Assessment: High net tax contributions may overshadow sluggish performance in core sectors like manufacturing or consumption, giving a misleading impression of overall health. Eg: Despite weak private consumption, GDP looked robust due to the statistical impact of increased tax revenue.

Is stable growth enough for India’s transition?

  • Stability Reduces Risk but Limits Acceleration: While stable growth ensures low inflation and reduced economic volatility, it may not generate the momentum needed to transform India into a developed economy. Eg: As per the Chief Economic Adviser, India has entered a phase of low inflation and stable growth, but such stability might cap faster economic acceleration.
  • Inadequate for Meeting Rising Aspirations: India’s growing population and developmental needs require higher employment, infrastructure, and productivity, which stable but slow growth may not adequately support. Eg: A 6.5% GDP growth may not create enough jobs or income levels to match the goals of schemes like ‘Viksit Bharat 2047’.
  • Missed Opportunity in a Global Slowdown: In a “growth-scarce” global environment, India has the chance to become a key economic engine. Relying on stable growth without pushing for higher gains may lead to missed strategic opportunities. Eg: Despite outperforming other major economies, India’s slow capital investment pace until late FY25 indicates underutilization of its potential.

Way forward: 

  • Accelerate Structural Reforms and Investments: India must boost productivity by investing in infrastructure, manufacturing, skilling, and digitalisation, while simplifying regulations to attract both domestic and foreign investment. Eg: Fast-tracking initiatives like Gati Shakti and PLI schemes can unlock higher economic momentum.
  • Enhance Domestic Demand and Job Creation: Policies should focus on reviving rural consumption, supporting MSMEs, and expanding labour-intensive sectors to ensure inclusive growth. Eg: Increasing public expenditure on health, education, and affordable housing can stimulate demand and generate employment.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2024] Examine the pattern and trend of public expenditure on social services in the post-reforms period in India. To what extent this has been in consonance with achieving the objective of inclusive growth?

Linkage: Inclusive growth is a core objective for a “transitioning economy” like India aiming for goals such as ‘Viksit Bharat’, and challenges in achieving it represent “growing pains”.

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Climate Change Impact on India and World – International Reports, Key Observations, etc.

How the technology industry is trying to meet its climate goals

Why in the News?

A groundbreaking study by Microsoft and WSP Global, published in Nature, shows major progress in making data centres more environmentally friendly.

What are Data centres? 

Data centres are specialized facilities used to store, process, and manage data for organizations. They house large numbers of computer servers, network equipment, storage systems, and cooling systems, and form the backbone of the digital infrastructure that powers the internet, cloud computing, and various IT services.

What are the environmental benefits of using cold plates and immersion cooling in data centres?

  • Lower Greenhouse Gas Emissions: These methods reduce emissions by 15–21% compared to traditional air cooling. Eg: Microsoft’s study showed that using immersion cooling in their data centres significantly reduced carbon emissions during peak operations.
  • Reduced Energy Consumption: They use 15–20% less energy, as liquid coolants transfer heat more efficiently than air. Eg: Alibaba’s deployment of cold plate cooling led to lower power usage effectiveness (PUE), cutting energy bills and environmental impact.
  • Significant Water Conservation: Water usage drops by 31–52%, helping conserve freshwater resources Eg: In water-stressed regions like Arizona, using cold plate cooling helps tech firms operate data centres without heavy reliance on water-based air conditioning systems.

How does life cycle assessment aid in evaluating cooling technologies?

  • Measures Full Environmental Impact (Cradle to Grave): LCA evaluates emissions, energy use, and water consumption across a product’s entire lifecycle — from manufacturing to disposal. Eg: The Microsoft-WSP study assessed cold plates and immersion cooling from production to end-of-life, revealing their overall environmental benefits.
  • Identifies Trade-offs Between Technologies: LCA highlights sustainability trade-offs, helping compare the true impact of different cooling methods. Eg: It showed that while immersion cooling reduces emissions, the type of coolant used may raise separate ecological concerns.
  • Supports Informed Decision-Making for Climate Goals: LCA provides data-driven insights for industry and policymakers to adopt greener technologies that align with emissions targets. Eg: The ICT sector can use LCA results to choose cooling systems that help cut emissions by 42% by 2030, as per global climate goals.

Why is renewable energy essential for sustainable data centre cooling?

  • Drastically Reduces Carbon Emissions: Using renewable energy like solar or wind can cut emissions by 85–90%, regardless of the cooling technology used. Eg: A data centre powered by wind energy in Sweden showed near-zero emissions even with traditional air cooling.
  • Enhances the Impact of Green Cooling Technologies: When combined with cold plates or immersion cooling, renewables amplify environmental benefits by further lowering energy and water use. Eg: The Microsoft-WSP study found that with 100% renewables, water savings could increase up to 50%.
  • Ensures True Sustainability Across the System: Cooling innovations alone aren’t enough if the electricity source is polluting; renewables make the entire system eco-friendly. Eg: A server cooled efficiently but powered by coal-based electricity still carries a high carbon footprint.

In what ways are liquid-cooling methods superior to air cooling?

  • Higher Cooling Efficiency and Performance: Liquid-cooling systems like cold plates and immersion cooling transfer heat more efficiently than air, reducing the risk of overheating and improving hardware performance. Eg: In Microsoft’s data centres, cold plate cooling reduced component temperatures significantly compared to air-cooled setups, boosting system reliability.
  • Lower Energy and Water Consumption: Liquid methods use 15–20% less energy and up to 52% less water, making them more sustainable and cost-effective in the long run. Eg: Alibaba’s immersion-cooled servers showed reduced electricity bills and water usage in high-demand operations.

To what extent can cooling innovations help meet ICT emission targets by 2030?

  • Significant Reduction in Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Advanced cooling technologies like cold plates and immersion cooling can reduce ICT data centre emissions by 15–21%, directly contributing to the 42% emission cut target set for 2030 (from 2015 levels). Eg: Microsoft’s deployment of cold plate systems showed measurable emissions drops in large-scale data operations.
  • Supports Scalable, Energy-Efficient Data Centre Growth: As demand for cloud services increases, liquid cooling enables high-performance computing without a corresponding rise in energy and carbon footprint, helping the sector scale sustainably. Eg: Alibaba’s use of immersion cooling enabled expansion of AI and cloud infrastructure while keeping energy use in check.

Way forward: 

  • Promote Policy Incentives for Green Cooling Technologies: Governments should provide tax breaks, capital subsidies, and faster approvals for data centres that adopt liquid-cooling systems and renewable energy integration. Eg: Extending schemes like India’s PLI (Production-Linked Incentive) to green tech in data centres can fast-track low-emission infrastructure adoption.
  • Mandate Life Cycle Assessments and Emission Reporting: Introduce mandatory Life Cycle Assessments (LCA) and carbon disclosure norms for large-scale data centres to encourage transparent, science-based decisions. Eg: Requiring firms to report environmental impact from cooling systems can guide smarter industry shifts aligned with ICT sector’s 2030 emission targets.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2022] How will India achieve the target of 50% of its installed capacity from renewable energy by 2030? Justify your answer. How will the shift of subsidies from fossil fuels to renewables help achieve the above objective? Explain.

Linkage: Switching to renewable energy is a more effective way for the tech industry to run energy-hungry data centers in a cleaner, more sustainable way. This helps them meet climate goals and support national environmental targets.

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Industrial Sector Updates – Industrial Policy, Ease of Doing Business, etc.

Steep decline: On the Index of Industrial Production

Why in the News?

India’s industrial output grew by only 2.7% in April 2025, the slowest pace in 8 months, showing a clear slowdown at the start of the new financial year (FY26).

What are the key reasons behind the slowdown in India’s factory output and IIP growth in April 2026?

  • Weak Performance of Core Sectors: The eight core industries, which have a 40% weight in the IIP, grew by just 0.5% in April 2026, the lowest in eight months. Eg: Refinery products, steel, and cement showed subdued output, dragging overall industrial growth.
  • Contraction in Mining Activity: Mining output shrank by 0.2%, marking its first contraction since August 2024, adversely affecting raw material availability for other industries. Eg: Reduced coal and mineral extraction hit electricity generation and steel production.
  • Slowdown in Manufacturing and Electricity Generation: Manufacturing grew only by 3.4% (down from 4.2%) and power generation by 1.1% (down from 10.2%). Eg: Weak electricity demand and reduced industrial usage reflected sluggish overall economic activity.
  • Trade and Tariff-Related Uncertainties: Global trade volatility, tariffs, and supply chain disruptions have reduced demand for export-oriented goods. Eg: Decline in orders from U.S. and EU markets affected electronics and textile manufacturing.
  • Persistently Low Rural Demand: Consumer non-durables contracted for the third consecutive month, indicating weak rural consumption despite low inflation. Eg: Low sales of food and hygiene products in rural markets signal demand compression in the FMCG sector.

Why is the contraction in consumer non-durables output a concern for rural consumption trends?

  • Indicates Weak Rural Demand: Consumer non-durables, such as food and hygiene products, form a major part of rural consumption. A contraction suggests low purchasing power and reduced rural spending. Eg: Declining sales of items like cooking oil, soap, and packaged food in rural areas reflect demand stagnation.
  • Signals Broader Economic Distress in Agriculture-Dependent Households: Despite low inflation, rural incomes haven’t risen due to falling crop prices and below-MSP realizations. This affects demand for basic goods. Eg: Farmers selling wheat and pulses below MSP in mandis earn less, reducing their ability to buy essential goods.
  • Affects Industrial and FMCG Sector Recovery: Sustained low rural consumption weakens demand for consumer non-durables, impacting production and profits in the FMCG and small-scale industries. Eg: Companies like Hindustan Unilever or Dabur see lower rural sales, leading to reduced factory output and job cuts.

How can implementing MSPs more systematically help boost rural incomes and demand?

  • Ensures Price Stability and Income Security for Farmers: A guaranteed MSP reduces the risk of distress sales and provides a stable income floor for farmers, encouraging spending. Eg: If paddy is procured at the MSP instead of below-market rates, farmers are assured of fair returns, enabling them to spend on consumption and inputs.
  • Enhances Rural Purchasing Power and Consumption Demand: Higher farm incomes lead to greater spending on goods and services, especially consumer non-durables, which form a bulk of rural consumption. Eg: A farmer earning better returns on wheat is more likely to purchase goods like clothing, packaged food, and household items.
  • Stimulates Local Economies and Industrial Output: With higher rural demand, local businesses and FMCG industries see increased sales, encouraging higher production and employment. Eg: Higher MSP-based procurement leads to better incomes in Punjab, increasing demand for tractors, fertilizers, and daily-use goods, boosting factory output.

Who should drive capital expenditure to revive demand?

  • Private Sector as the Primary Driver: The private sector must lead CapEx to create productive assets, jobs, and income, especially in manufacturing and infrastructure. Eg: Large firms investing in semiconductor plants or logistics hubs generate employment and boost demand for allied sectors.
  • Government as a Catalyst through Public Investment: The government should maintain strong capital spending on infrastructure, rural development, and connectivity to crowd in private investment. Eg: Projects like Bharatmala or PM Gati Shakti improve transport networks, encouraging private factories and warehousing units to set up nearby.
  • Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) to Leverage Resources and Efficiency: PPPs can combine government support with private expertise and funding, especially in sectors like renewable energy, urban transport, and health. Eg: Hybrid Annuity Model (HAM) in road construction allows private players to build highways with shared investment risk, boosting economic activity.

Way forward: 

  • Boost Rural Demand through Targeted MSP Implementation and Welfare Schemes: Ensure systematic MSP procurement and expand rural employment and income support to revive consumption of consumer non-durables and support FMCG growth.
  • Accelerate CapEx through Private Investment and Strategic Public Spending: Encourage private sector-led capital expenditure in manufacturing and infrastructure, complemented by government investments in connectivity and logistics to stimulate industrial output and job creation.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2016] The nature of economic growth in India in recent times is often described as a jobless growth. Do you agree with this view? Give arguments in favour of your answer.

Linkage: The concept of “jobless growth” is highly relevant in a scenario where economic expansion, or lack thereof, is debated in relation to employment generation. A slowdown in industrial output could exacerbate concerns about job creation.

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Global Geological And Climatic Events

600-million-year-old stromatolites in the Himalayas tell the story of an ocean lost and Earth’s first breath

Why in the News?

A huge 600-million-year-old group of stromatolites was found in Chambaghat, Himachal Pradesh, sparking new interest in India’s ancient rocks and the early history of life on Earth.

What are Stromatolites?

Stromatolites are layered, reef-like structures formed by ancient blue-green algae called cyanobacteria. These tiny microbes trapped and bound sediments in shallow seas, creating mineral mounds over millions of years. They are some of the oldest evidence of life on Earth.

How do they contribute to understanding Earth’s early history?

  • Earliest Evidence of Life: Stromatolites, built by cyanobacteria over 3.5 billion years ago, are among the oldest records of life on Earth. Eg: Stromatolites in Australia date back to 3.6 billion years, showing microbial activity long before complex life existed.
  • Oxygen Production and Atmospheric Change: Cyanobacteria in stromatolites performed photosynthesis, releasing oxygen and leading to the Great Oxidation Event(~2.4 billion years ago). Eg: This oxygenation made the atmosphere suitable for the evolution of multicellular organisms.
  • Tectonic and Environmental Insights: Their presence in now-mountainous regions like Chambaghat in Himachal Pradesh, originally shallow seas, reveals tectonic shifts and lost oceans. Eg: The Chambaghat stromatolites formed in the Tethys Sea, later uplifted to the Himalayas by the collision of the Indian and Eurasian plates.

Where was the recent significant stromatolite outcrop discovered? 

A large outcrop was discovered in Chambaghat, Solan district, Himachal Pradesh. It is located in the pine-clad ridges at around 5,000–6,000 feet above sea level. It belongs to the Krol Group, sedimentary rocks formed in the ancient Tethys Sea.

Why is it unique?

  • Large and Well-Preserved Outcrop: The Chambaghat site features an extensive hill covered with stromatolites, not just a few isolated samples. Eg: Unlike other Indian sites where stromatolites are scattered or small, Chambaghat has a whole hill full of these structures, making it exceptional in scale and preservation.
  • Relatively Young Stromatolites in a High-Altitude Location: These stromatolites date back about 600 million years and are found at an altitude of 5,000–6,000 feet above sea level. Eg: Their presence so high in the Himalayas tells a story of tectonic uplift, where ancient shallow marine depositswere pushed up from the Tethys Sea due to India’s collision with Eurasia.
  • Accessible and Visible Geological Heritage: The site is easily accessible and visible to researchers, locals, and tourists, making it a prime candidate for preservationand education. Eg: Many stromatolite sites in India are obscure or hard to reach, but Chambaghat offers a natural exhibit that could help raise public awareness about Earth’s early history.

Why is there scientific disagreement about the importance of the Chambaghat stromatolites?

  • Not True Fossils but Biosedimentary Structures: Some scientists argue that stromatolites are organo-sedimentary structures, formed by trapped sediments and calcium carbonate, rather than preserved fossils of organisms. Eg: fossils are inaccurate because the original organisms are not preserved, only the structures formed by cyanobacteria.
  • Common and Widespread Geological Features: Stromatolites are found all over India and globally, so some experts feel the Chambaghat stromatolites are not a rare or unique discovery. Eg: The oldest stromatolites in India, like those in Dharwad, Karnataka (2,500 million years old), and worldwide (3.6 billion years old in Australia) are much older and more significant.
  • Not the Oldest or Most Unique Evidence of Life: While Chambaghat stromatolites are impressive, they are relatively young compared to other sites and not the earliest proof of life. Eg: Dr Arun Deep Ahluwalia notes that stromatolites in the Krol Belt are the youngest stromatolites, making them less important for studying the very earliest life forms.

What is the significance of preserving stromatolite sites like Chambaghat? 

  • Educational and Scientific Value: Preserving stromatolite sites helps in studying Earth’s early life and geological history, providing valuable insights into how oxygenation of the atmosphere led to complex life. Eg: Chambaghat’s stromatolites can be used as an exhibit for students and researchers to understand the origin of life and ancient marine environments.
  • Cultural and Geoheritage Importance: Protecting these sites promotes public awareness and tourism, fostering a sense of pride and responsibility towards India’s unique geological heritage. Eg: Creating a Geoheritage Park at Chambaghat can engage locals, tourists, and schools, preserving the site while boosting local economy and education.

Way forward: 

  • Formal Protection and Geoheritage Park Development: Declare Chambaghat stromatolite site a protected geological monument and develop it into a Geoheritage Park to ensure conservation, promote scientific research, and boost geo-tourism.
  • Public Awareness and Educational Outreach: Launch educational programs and community engagement initiatives involving schools, researchers, and local stakeholders to increase awareness about the site’s scientific and cultural significance.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2021] What is Cryptocurrency? How does it affect global society? Has it been affecting Indian society also?

Linkage: The growing importance of cryptocurrency, its disruptive potential in global finance, and its implications for India, specifically mentioning India’s significant number of crypto users. This PYQ demonstrates the UPSC’s interest in the fundamental understanding and societal effects of this technology.

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Disasters and Disaster Management – Sendai Framework, Floods, Cyclones, etc.

Danger in the sea: On Kerala and the MSC Elsa 3 sinking

Why in the News?

The container ship MSC Elsa 3 sank off the coast of Kochi on May 24, triggering a major environmental and maritime safety crisis that could turn into one of India’s worst maritime pollution disasters.

What led to the sinking of MSC Elsa 3?

  • Operational Failure at Sea: On May 24, MSC Elsa 3 began tilting off the coast of Kochi due to an unspecified operational problem. Despite attempts by the crew, the ship could not be stabilised.
  • Aging Vessel and Abandonment by Crew: Although structurally considered safe, the ship was nearly 30 years old. The crew abandoned it after unsuccessful efforts to right it, leading to its eventual sinking.
  • Unfavourable Sea Conditions: Monsoon-related rough weather worsened the situation, with containers dislodging and floating, further destabilising the vessel before it sank to a depth of 50 metres.

Why are the sunken containers considered hazardous?

  • Reactive Chemicals: Some containers hold substances that react dangerously with water, posing immediate chemical and fire hazards. Eg: 12 containers had calcium carbide, which reacts with seawater to produce acetylene gas, a highly flammable and explosive compound.
  • Toxic Leakage: Leaked substances from damaged containers can pollute seawater and pose health hazards to marine life and humans. Eg: A container with rubber solution leaked and reacted with seawater, leading to the appearance of plastic pellets along the Kerala coast.
  • Long-Term Environmental Impact: Chemicals from sunken containers can gradually seep out, causing persistent marine pollution and ecological damage. Eg: If not retrieved, chemicals from these containers may enter the food chain, harming marine biodiversity and impacting fisheries.

Who handles oil spill response in India?

The Indian Coast Guard is the nodal agency under the National Oil Spill Disaster Contingency Plan (NOS-DCP).

How does this incident test India’s maritime disaster readiness?

  • Inter-agency Coordination: Effective disaster response requires smooth coordination between multiple agencies such as the Coast Guard, pollution control boards, and port authorities. Eg: In the 2017 Chennai oil spill, response was delayed due to confusion and poor coordination, leading to severe coastal damage.
  • Emergency Response Infrastructure: The ability to quickly deploy salvage teams, pollution control equipment, and monitoring systems is essential. Eg: After MSC Elsa 3 sank, authorities had time to prepare, making it a critical test of India’s readiness to act swiftlybefore oil or chemicals leak.
  • Policy Implementation and Preparedness: Real-time implementation of national plans and compliance with international protocols demonstrate operational strength. Eg: The National Oil Spill Disaster Contingency Plan (NOS-DCP) designates the Coast Guard as the nodal agency, and this incident checks how well the plan is executed.

What are the steps taken by the Indian Government? 

  • Activation of Nodal Agencies: The Indian Coast Guard has been designated as the nodal agency under the National Oil Spill Disaster Contingency Plan (NOS-DCP) to coordinate the response. Eg: In the MSC Elsa 3 case, the Coast Guard is actively engaged in monitoring oil leakage and coordinating salvage efforts.
  • Deployment of Salvage Operations: Salvage teams are being engaged following international insurance protocols to prevent further environmental damage. Eg: Authorities have mobilised professional salvers to safely retrieve containers and prevent hazardous leaks from the sunken ship.
  • Monitoring and Cleanup Measures: Environmental agencies have been tasked with identifying and addressing the pollution caused, including plastic pellets and chemical residues. Eg: The Kerala government is coordinating with central pollution control authorities to manage the shoreline impactand protect marine life.

Way forward: 

  • Strengthen Maritime Hazard Protocols and Container Screening: India must enforce stricter pre-shipment screening of cargo for hazardous materials and mandate real-time tracking of containers carrying reactive or toxic substances.
  • Enhance Rapid Response Infrastructure and Inter-agency Coordination: Develop a unified maritime disaster response framework with clearly defined roles for all agencies — Coast Guard, pollution boards, port authorities, and state governments.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2022] Discuss in detail the photochemical smog emphasizing its formation, effects and mitigation. Explain the 1999 Gothenburg Protocol.

Linkage: The MSC Elsa 3 incident directly involves environmental pollution, specifically marine pollution from hazardous cargo and fuel oil, necessitating mitigation efforts. This question reflects the UPSC’s interest in environmental pollution issues.

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Blockchain Technology: Prospects and Challenges

C Raja Mohan writes: In India, needed, a crypto strategy

Why in the News?

The MoU signed between Pakistan’s newly created Crypto Council and World Liberty Financial Inc. (WLFI)—a company linked to the Trump family—signals a dramatic pivot by Pakistan toward digital assets, despite its economic fragility.

What are the key objectives of the Pakistan-WLFI crypto collaboration?

  • Promote Financial Inclusion: Use blockchain technology to increase access to financial services across Pakistan. Eg: The Pakistan Crypto Council aims to leverage blockchain for wider economic participation despite the country’s economic challenges.
  • Monetise National Assets: Utilize crypto to unlock value from untapped resources like rare earth minerals. Eg: Plans include using blockchain to help Pakistan capitalise on rare earth deposits for economic growth.
  • Establish Pakistan as a Crypto Hub: Position Pakistan as a regional leader in cryptocurrency trade and stablecoin usage for remittances. Eg: The MoU with WLFI includes introducing stablecoins to facilitate trade and remittances, boosting Pakistan’s role in the regional crypto market.

Why is the Trump administration supporting cryptocurrencies in its second term?

  • Reposition US as a Global Leader in Digital Assets: Trump aims to make the US a frontrunner in blockchain innovation and cryptocurrency adoption. Eg: Issued executive orders promoting a national blockchain strategy and reducing regulatory hurdles.
  • Maintain US Dollar Dominance: By supporting dollar-backed stablecoins and banning central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), Trump seeks to preserve the US dollar’s global supremacy. Eg: The creation of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve to hold government-seized crypto assets as national reserves, similar to gold.
  • Encourage Crypto Industry Growth and Innovation: Trump reversed previous skepticism to foster a pro-crypto environment, appointing industry-friendly figures to key roles. Eg: Inclusion of pro-crypto leaders like Elon Musk and David Sacks and pausing enforcement actions against major exchanges like Coinbase.

How might Pakistan’s crypto ambitions affect India’s economic and security interests?

  • Risk of Cross-Border Money Laundering and Terror Funding: Pakistan’s use of decentralized cryptocurrencies may facilitate untraceable financial flows that could fund terrorism and illicit activities affecting India’s security. Eg: Concerns over digital currencies being misused to fund terror networks across borders.
  • Strategic Economic Competition in the Crypto Space: Pakistan’s push to become a regional crypto hub could challenge India’s position in the growing digital asset market and impact economic influence in South Asia. Eg: Pakistan’s plans to monetise national assets and promote crypto adoption with support from WLFI.
  • Leverage of Diaspora and Technology for Geopolitical Influence: Pakistan is engaging its diaspora and tech entrepreneurs to strengthen ties with the US and advance its crypto ambitions, potentially shifting regional power dynamics. Eg: Appointment of a British Pakistani entrepreneur to lead crypto regulation and influence policy, signaling increased geo-economic influence via digital currencies.

When did the Indian Supreme Court raise concerns about the lack of a crypto regulatory framework?

During the hearing of Shailesh Bhatt’s bail petition in early 2025: The Supreme Court highlighted the absence of a clear regulatory framework governing cryptocurrencies in India. The Court remarked on the paradox of taxing crypto assets without proper regulation.

Way forward: 

  • Develop a Comprehensive Crypto Regulatory Framework: India should establish clear, balanced regulations to promote innovation, protect investors, and curb illicit activities in the crypto space.
  • Enhance Cross-Border Collaboration and Monitoring: Strengthen international cooperation to monitor and prevent misuse of cryptocurrencies for money laundering and terrorism financing, while fostering responsible crypto adoption.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2021] What is Cryptocurrency? How does it affect global society? Has it been affecting Indian society also?

Linkage: The growing importance of cryptocurrency, its disruptive potential in global finance, and its implications for India, specifically mentioning India’s significant number of crypto users. This PYQ demonstrates the UPSC’s interest in the fundamental understanding and societal effects of this technology.

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Parliament – Sessions, Procedures, Motions, Committees etc

The importance of the Deputy Speaker

Why in the News?

For the first time in India’s parliamentary history, the Deputy Speaker’s position stayed empty for the whole Lok Sabha term from 2019 to 2024, and now there is a chance it won’t be filled in the 18th Lok Sabha either.

Why is the Deputy Speaker’s vacancy a constitutional concern?

  • Violation of Constitutional Provisions: Articles 93 and 94 require the Deputy Speaker to be elected “as soon as may be” and to hold office until resignation, removal, or disqualification. The prolonged vacancy violates this mandate, creating a constitutional vacuum. Eg: In the 17th Lok Sabha (2019-24), no Deputy Speaker was appointed despite the constitutional requirement.
  • Undermines Parliamentary Democracy and Power Sharing: The Deputy Speaker’s post is traditionally given to an Opposition member to maintain checks and balances. Leaving it vacant concentrates power in the ruling party, weakening democratic resilience and the principle of shared authority. Eg: The refusal of the ruling party to offer the Deputy Speaker position to the Opposition breaks this longstanding convention.
  • Risk of Constitutional Crisis and Legislative Disruption: The Deputy Speaker ensures the continuity of parliamentary proceedings if the Speaker resigns or is incapacitated. Without a Deputy Speaker, a constitutional crisis could arise, disrupting governance and legislative business. Eg: If the Speaker’s chair becomes vacant, the Deputy Speaker normally assumes duties; without one, the functioning of Parliament could be paralyzed.

What is the significance of Deputy speaker in Parliament? 

  • Ensures Continuity of Parliamentary Proceedings: The Deputy Speaker presides over the Lok Sabha when the Speaker is absent, ensuring that legislative businesscontinues smoothly without interruption. Eg: When the Speaker is unavailable due to illness or travel, the Deputy Speaker takes charge of the session.
  • Acts as a Neutral and Impartial Arbiter: The Deputy Speaker plays a crucial role in maintaining fairness during debates and sensitive discussions, acting independently of the ruling party’s influence. Eg: The Deputy Speaker oversees debates on private member bills and ensures that all voices, including the Opposition, are heard.
  • Maintains Democratic Balance and Power Sharing: By convention, the Deputy Speaker is usually from the Opposition, which helps uphold the spirit of power-sharing and checks and balances essential to parliamentary democracy. Eg: Offering the Deputy Speaker post to an Opposition member fosters cooperation and harmony between the ruling party and Opposition.

What are the key duties of the Deputy Speaker?

  • Presides over Lok Sabha sessions in the Speaker’s absence: The Deputy Speaker conducts and manages the proceedings of the House with the same powers as the Speaker during such times. Eg: When the Speaker is unavailable, the Deputy Speaker presides over debates and voting sessions.
  • Oversees important parliamentary committees: The Deputy Speaker chairs key committees like the Private Member’s Bill Committee and the House Budget Committee, facilitating legislative scrutiny. Eg: The Deputy Speaker leads discussions on private members’ bills ensuring smooth consideration and debate.
  • Maintains impartiality and ensures fair conduct: The Deputy Speaker acts as a neutral arbitrator, ensuring orderly debates and protecting the rights of all members, including the Opposition. Eg: During sensitive or contentious discussions, the Deputy Speaker ensures that rules are followed and all sides get a fair hearing.

When should the Deputy Speaker be elected as per Article 93?

  • Article 93 states that the Deputy Speaker must be elected “as soon as may be” after the House of Lok Sabha is constituted.
  • The phrase implies a sense of urgency and necessity, not discretionary or indefinite delay. This means the election should happen immediately or without unreasonable delay following the formation of the new Lok Sabha.
  • The Deputy Speaker continues in office until resignation, removal, or disqualification as per Article 94, ensuring continuity.

Way forward: 

  • Timely Election of Deputy Speaker to Uphold Constitutional Mandate: The government and all parliamentary parties should prioritize the election of the Deputy Speaker “as soon as may be” as mandated by Articles 93 and 94 to avoid constitutional vacuum, ensure smooth functioning of the Lok Sabha, and maintain democratic resilience.
  • Respecting the Convention of Power Sharing with the Opposition: To strengthen parliamentary democracy, the ruling party should adhere to the established convention of offering the Deputy Speaker post to an Opposition member. This would foster bipartisan cooperation, reinforce checks and balances, and promote harmonious functioning of the House.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2024] Discuss the role of Presiding Officers of state legislatures in maintaining order and impartiality in conducting legislative work and in facilitating best democratic practices.

Linkage: The role of presiding officers in legislative bodies (at the state level, analogous to the Deputy Speaker in Lok Sabha). This article emphasizes that the Deputy Speaker oversees debates and serves as a neutral arbiter.

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Economic Indicators and Various Reports On It- GDP, FD, EODB, WIR etc

Why India is the 3rd-largest Economy, NOT 4th or 5th?

Why in the News?

Recently, the CEO of NITI Aayog announced that India has moved ahead of Japan to become the world’s fourth-largest economy.

What is the key difference between nominal GDP and PPP-based GDP?

  • Nominal GDP: Measured using current market exchange rates in US dollars. Eg: If India’s GDP is â‚č270 lakh crore and $1 = â‚č75, then nominal GDP = â‚č270 lakh crore Ă· 75 = $3.6 trillion.
  • PPP-Based GDP: Adjusted for differences in the cost of living and price levels between countries. Eg: If goods and services are cheaper in India, PPP adjusts the GDP upward to reflect greater actual consumption — India’s GDP could be $12 trillion in PPP terms, even though nominal GDP is lower.

When did India become the third-largest economy by PPP estimates?

In 2009, India overtook Japan in PPP-based GDP. This milestone occurred during the tenure of the Manmohan Singh-led UPA government. India has retained the 3rd position ever since, behind only China and the United States. The PPP-based ranking reflects India’s large population and lower cost of living, which boosts its effective domestic consumption.

How do exchange rates affect nominal GDP rankings?

  • Conversion Dependency: Nominal GDP is calculated in US dollars, so a country’s GDP in local currency must be converted using the exchange rate. Eg: If India’s GDP is â‚č300 lakh crore and $1 = â‚č75, its dollar GDP would be $4 trillion; but if $1 = â‚č85, the same GDP becomes $3.5 trillion.
  • Exchange Rate Fluctuations Can Distort Rankings: A country’s global GDP rank can change without any real economic growth or decline, simply due to currency appreciation or depreciation. Eg: If the Japanese yen strengthens against the dollar, Japan’s nominal GDP in dollars rises—even if its actual output hasn’t changed.
  • Unfair Comparison Across Countries: Countries with volatile or weakening currencies may appear smaller in nominal terms than they are in real domestic terms. Eg: India’s GDP may seem lower than the UK’s in nominal terms due to a weaker rupee, even if India produces more goods and services overall.

Why is per capita GDP more reflective of individual prosperity?

  • Accounts for Population Size: Per capita GDP divides total GDP by the population, showing the average income per person, unlike aggregate GDP which may hide disparities. Eg: India’s GDP is higher than the UK’s in total, but because India has over 20 times the population, its per capita GDP is much lower.
  • Better Indicator of Living Standards: It reflects the average economic well-being and purchasing power of citizens, making it more relevant for assessing prosperity. Eg: A country with $50,000 per capita GDP (like the UK) offers far better public services, infrastructure, and living conditions than one with $2,800 (like India), even if total GDPs are comparable.
  • Highlights Income Distribution and Development Needs: Low per capita GDP suggests widespread poverty or unequal wealth distribution, even if overall GDP is growing. Eg: Despite being the world’s 5th largest economy, India’s low per capita GDP shows most individuals have limited incomes and access to economic benefits.

What does India’s per capita GDP reveal compared to the UK’s?

Aspect India UK Example 
Per Capita GDP (2025) 10,020 PPP dollars 58,140 PPP dollars UK’s per capita income is ~6 times higher than India’s.
Living Standards & Services Lower access to quality services Higher standard of living, social welfare Indians have limited access to healthcare, education, and housing
Economic Inequality & Prosperity Aggregate GDP is growing, but benefits are not evenly distributed Prosperity is more widely shared Despite India’s growth, individual prosperity remains low on average.

Way forward: 

  • Invest in Human Capital and Social Infrastructure: India must enhance spending on education, healthcare, and skill development to improve productivity and raise per capita incomes. Improved human capital directly boosts innovation, employability, and long-term economic growth.
  • Focus on Inclusive and Equitable Growth: Policies should ensure that economic gains are widely distributed, especially through rural development, MSME support, and targeted welfare schemes. This will reduce income disparities and lift more people into the formal, productive economy, improving per capita prosperity.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2022]  Is inclusive growth possible under market economy? State the significance of financial inclusion in achieving economic growth in India.

Linkage: India’s high aggregate economic rank alongside low per capita income, raises questions about how India’s economic growth model is translating into shared prosperity, a central theme of inclusive growth. This question explicitly asks about the possibility and mechanisms (like financial inclusion) of achieving “inclusive growth” within a market economy.

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As US pulls back, China is primed to expand its Soft Power

Why in the News?

Under President Trump, the U.S. withdrew from key global commitments like WHO and the Paris Agreement. Meanwhile, China is expanding influence by offering financial aid and increasing global investments.

Why has the U.S. withdrawn from key international bodies like the WHO and the Paris Agreement?

  • Perceived Bias and Mismanagement: The U.S. accused the World Health Organization (WHO) of being biased towards China and mismanaging the COVID-19 pandemic response. Eg: President Trump alleged that the WHO failed to hold China accountable during the early stages of the outbreak.
  • Disproportionate Financial Burden: The U.S. claimed it was contributing significantly more than other countries, creating an unfair financial burden. Eg: The U.S. contributed around 20% of the WHO’s assessed funding, while China contributed much less until recently.
  • Rejection of Global Climate Commitments: The Trump administration viewed international climate agreements like the Paris Agreement as detrimental to American economic interests. Eg: The U.S. withdrew from the Paris Agreement and announced it would cease all financial commitments under the UNFCCC.

What steps has China taken to increase its global influence in response to the U.S.’s retreat?

  • Increased Financial Contributions to Global Institutions: China has significantly raised its funding to international bodies like the WHO to fill the vacuum left by the U.S. Eg: After the U.S. announced its withdrawal from the WHO, China pledged an additional $500 million over five years and increased its assessed contribution from 6.5% (2015–16) to 15% (2024–25).
  • Expansion of Bilateral Lending and Debt Diplomacy: China has extended massive loans to developing countries, becoming a dominant bilateral creditor globally. Eg: China’s share in global bilateral sovereign debt rose from around 1% in 2003 to 26% in 2023, making it the largest lender worldwide.
  • Strategic Soft Power and Infrastructure Investments: China has expanded its Belt and Road Initiative and other overseas investments to enhance influence and dependency. Eg: China’s investments across Asia, Africa, and Latin America have increased, with more than 60% of respondents in a 2024 Pew survey acknowledging China’s economic influence in their countries.

How has China’s financial contribution to the WHO changed after the pandemic?

  • Increased Assessed Contributions: China’s assessed contribution to the WHO rose from 6.5% in 2015–16 to 15% in 2024–25. This increase reflects China’s growing economic stature and its commitment to global health initiatives.
  • Significant Financial Pledges: In response to the U.S. withdrawal from the WHO, China pledged an additional $500 million over five years to support the organization’s activities. This move positions China as a leading state donor and underscores its intent to enhance its influence in global health governance.

Where does China stand in terms of global bilateral debt holdings compared to the U.S.?

  • China as the Leading Bilateral Creditor: As of 2023, China holds approximately 26% of the external bilateral debt of developing countries, making it the largest bilateral creditor globally. Eg: China is the primary bilateral creditor for 53 countries and ranks among the top five creditors in three-quarters of all developing nations.
  • Decline in U.S. Bilateral Lending: The U.S.’s share in global bilateral debts has significantly decreased over the decades. Eg: In 1973, the U.S. held 36% of global bilateral debt, but by 2023, this share had dropped to just 4%.
  • China’s Influence on Debt Repayments: China’s substantial lending has led to a significant portion of debt repayments from developing countries being directed to it. Eg: In 2025, developing countries are projected to allocate over 30% of their bilateral debt service payments to China, surpassing payments to multilateral lenders and private creditors.

What is the status of India in soft power? 

  • Strong Cultural Influence Globally: India’s rich culture, including yoga, Bollywood, and its large diaspora, enhances its global soft power. Eg: The International Day of Yoga is celebrated worldwide, promoting Indian culture and wellness.
  • Growing Economic and Diplomatic Presence: India is increasing its influence through diplomacy, international aid, and participation in global forums. Eg: India’s development projects and humanitarian aid in Africa and neighboring countries strengthen its soft power.
  • Challenges Affecting Soft Power Projection: Internal challenges like social issues and governance impact India’s image abroad. Eg: India’s ranking slipped to 29th in the 2024 Global Soft Power Index, indicating room for improvement.

Way forward: 

  • Strengthen Multilateral Engagements and Global Leadership: India should actively enhance its financial and diplomatic contributions to key international bodies like WHO and climate forums to build credibility and influence, positioning itself as a responsible global leader.
  • Leverage Cultural Diplomacy While Addressing Domestic Challenges: Amplify India’s soft power by promoting cultural exports and diaspora ties, while simultaneously improving governance and addressing social issues to boost its global image and rankings.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2024] The USA is facing an existential threat in the form of a China, that is much more challenging than the erstwhile Soviet Union.’ Explain

Linkage: The depiction of China advancing its position while the U.S. is perceived as pulling back, creating a dynamic of increased competition and challenge between the two powers. This question presents the U.S. perspective on China as a major challenge.

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Renewable Energy – Wind, Tidal, Geothermal, etc.

Energy and efficiency: On India and greater energy efficiency mandates

Why in the News?

Despite rising power deficits amid urbanisation and climate pressures, India’s UJALA scheme showcases energy efficiency’s impact—saving $10B and 9,500 MW—highlighting efficiency over mere capacity expansion.

What challenges does India face in meeting its peak power demand?

  • Rising Peak Demand due to Urbanisation and Climate Change: Rapid urbanisation and increasing use of cooling appliances during hotter summers have significantly increased electricity demand. Eg: In 2023–24, India’s peak power demand reached 250 GW, making it the third-largest power consumer globally.
  • Slow Expansion of Power Generation Capacity: Building new power plants, especially coal-based, is capital- and time-intensive, which cannot keep pace with rising demand. Eg: Despite efforts, power deficit widened from 0.69% in FY20 to about 5% in FY24, reflecting supply constraints.
  • Integration Challenges with Renewable Energy: While renewables are growing, their intermittent nature and grid integration issues limit their effectiveness in meeting peak demand. Eg: Solar and wind power face supply variability, making it difficult to meet peak-hour requirements consistently.

What is UJALA Scheme? 

The UJALA scheme (Unnat Jyoti by Affordable LEDs for All) is a flagship energy efficiency program launched by the Government of India in 2015. It aims to promote energy-saving lighting solutions by distributing LED bulbs, tube lights, and energy-efficient fans at affordable prices

How has the UJALA scheme contributed to energy efficiency and savings?

  • Massive Reduction in Power Consumption: The scheme distributed over 37 crore LED bulbs and enabled the sale of 407 crore more, replacing energy-inefficient lighting. Eg: LED bulbs consume half the power of CFLs and 1/9th the power of incandescent bulbs, leading to major power savings in households.
  • Reduction in Peak Demand and Generation Needs: By improving lighting efficiency nationwide, UJALA helped reduce peak power demand by over 1,500 MW. Eg: It avoided the need to build 9,500 MW of new power capacity—equivalent to 19 new 500 MW coal-fired plants.
  • Lower Costs and Emissions: UJALA reduced the cost of LED bulbs from â‚č500 to â‚č70, making them accessible and cutting emissions. Eg: The scheme has helped India save over $10 billion and significantly reduced CO₂ emissions.

Why is enhancing energy efficiency crucial for India’s energy future?

  • Bridges the Gap Between Demand and Supply: India faces a widening peak power deficit (from 0.69% in FY20 to ~5% in FY24) despite increased generation. Eg: Energy efficiency helps reduce demand quickly—schemes like UJALA lowered peak demand by 1,500 MW, easing pressure on the grid.
  • Delays the Need for New (Often Fossil-Based) Power Plants: Building new fossil-fuel-based power plants is time-consuming and costly. Eg: Efficiency measures like LED lighting under UJALA avoided building 19 new coal plants (9,500 MW)—cutting cost, time, and pollution.
  • Supports Climate Goals and Reduces Emissions: India’s energy mix still depends 70% on coal, worsening climate and pollution. Eg: Energy efficiency improvements between 2000–2018 helped avoid 300 Mt of CO₂ emissions, according to the International Energy Agency.

Where can further energy efficiency mandates be applied in India?

  • Buildings and Construction Sector: Residential and commercial buildings consume significant energy, especially for cooling and lighting. Eg: Mandating energy-efficient designs and green building codes (like ECBC) in urban housing projects can reduce long-term electricity use.
  • Home Appliances: Many households still use inefficient devices that consume more electricity. Eg: Expanding BEE’s star-rating program to cover more appliances like fans, refrigerators, and ACs can push consumers toward efficient options.
  • Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs): MSMEs often use outdated machinery that wastes energy. Eg: Energy audits and subsidized upgrades in sectors like textiles or ceramics can reduce energy costs and improve competitiveness.

Way forward:

  • Invest in Grid Flexibility and Energy Storage: Promote battery storage, pumped hydro, and smart grid systems to manage peak loads and integrate renewable energy reliably.
  • Strengthen Energy Efficiency Mandates: Enforce stricter efficiency norms for buildings, appliances, and MSMEs, backed by incentives, audits, and awareness campaigns.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2016] “Give an account of the current status and the targets to be achieved pertaining to renewable energy sources in the country. Discuss in brief the importance of National Programme on Light Emitting diodes (LEDs).”

Linkage: Despite growth in electricity generation, including recent additions of renewable energy, India has faced peak power demand deficits. While adding new power production capacity takes time, especially for fossil fuels, focusing on energy efficiency is presented as the quickest and least expensive way to address rising power demand and climate change. This question is highly relevant as it specifically asks about renewable energy targets and the importance of the National Programme on LEDs.

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Defence Sector – DPP, Missions, Schemes, Security Forces, etc.

Arms deals: India moves away from Russia; Pakistan from the U.S

Why in the News?

Recently, India’s Operation Sindoor has put the spotlight on the evolving nature of India and Pakistan’s defence procurement strategies.

What is the situation of India’s defence import pattern?

  • Russia’s share in Indian defence imports has decreased from 96.5% in the 1990s to 75% in the 2020s.
  • India now imports over 9% from France, 5.5% from the UK, nearly 5% from Israel, and 3% from the US. Over 55% of India’s air-power weapons in the 2020s have come from France, the UK, and Israel, indicating greater reliance on Western technology in a critical combat domain.

Why is India moving away from Russia?

  • Strategic Diversification: To avoid overdependence on a single supplier, India is diversifying defence partnerships. Eg: India’s growing defence ties with France (e.g., Rafale jets) and the U.S. (e.g., Apache helicopters, Predator drones).
  • Technological Advancement and Reliability: Western nations and Israel offer more advanced, precise, and reliable weapon systems. Eg: Israeli-origin SkyStriker drone used in Operation Sindoor reflects a shift toward high-tech partners.
  • Geopolitical and Logistical Concerns: Sanctions on Russia post-Ukraine war have raised concerns about timely deliveries and spare parts. Eg: India faces delays in Russian S-400 missile system deliveries due to global sanctions and supply chain disruptions.

What types of foreign weapons did India and Pakistan use during Operation Sindoor?

  • India’s Use of Israeli and Russian Weapons: India deployed Israeli-origin weapons like the SkyStriker drone and Russian-made systems such as the Pechoraand OSA-AK missiles. Eg: The SkyStriker was used for precision strikes, while Pechora missiles were used for air defence.
  • Pakistan’s Use of Chinese and Turkish Systems: Pakistan used Chinese-origin PL-15 missiles and Turkish-origin Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs). Eg: PL-15, a long-range air-to-air missile, reflects Pakistan’s military dependence on China.

Why is China now the dominant arms supplier for Pakistan?

  • Strategic Partnership and Regional Alignment: China and Pakistan share a strong geopolitical alliance, rooted in regional rivalry with India. Eg: The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) has strengthened military and economic ties.
  • Decline of U.S. Defence Cooperation: Pakistan’s ties with the United States have weakened, especially due to shifting U.S. strategic priorities and concerns over terrorism. Eg: The U.S. share in Pakistan’s arms imports dropped from 67% in the 2000s to 0.85% in the 2020s.
  • Cost-Effective and Tailored Equipment: China offers affordable, adaptable military technology suited to Pakistan’s needs. Eg: Weapons like the JF-17 fighter jet and HQ-9 air defence systems are co-developed or exported specifically for Pakistan.

Who leads the global arms export market?

  • United States – Global Leader: The United States dominates global arms exports, accounting for over 65% of the world’s exports in the 2020s. Eg: U.S. exports advanced systems like F-35 fighter jets, Patriot missile systems, and drones to allies worldwide.
  • Russia – Declining Influence: Russia’s share has significantly dropped to around 5% due to factors like the Ukraine war, sanctions, and reduced trust. Eg: Former major buyers like India have reduced reliance on Russian defence supplies.
  • China – Minimal Global Share but Focused Exports: China holds less than 2% of global exports but plays a critical regional role, especially with Pakistan. Eg: Nearly 33% of China’s limited arms exports go to Pakistan, highlighting strategic alignment rather than market dominance.

What is the situation of Indian arms exports? 

  • Emerging Exporter with Limited Share: India is still a minor player in the global arms export market, contributing less than 1% of total global arms exports. Eg: India exports light arms and defence equipment to countries like Vietnam, Myanmar, and African nations.
  • Focus on Indigenous Defence Systems: India is boosting domestic production under initiatives like ‘Make in India’ and Defence Export Policy 2020, aiming to become an exporter. Eg: Systems like Akash missile, Pinaka rocket launcher, and BrahMos (jointly developed with Russia) are promoted for export.

Way forward: 

  • Accelerate Indigenous Defence Manufacturing: Expand R&D investment and incentivize private sector participation to develop cutting-edge technologies and reduce reliance on imports. Eg: Fast-tracking indigenous programs like AMCA fighter jet and integrating startups under iDEX (Innovations for Defence Excellence).
  • Forge Strategic Export Alliances: Target defence exports through strategic partnerships and defence diplomacy, focusing on friendly nations in Southeast Asia, Africa, and Latin America. Eg: Boost exports of systems like BrahMos and Akash missiles through government-to-government deals and defence expos.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2020] What is the significance of Indo-US defence deals over Indo-Russian defence deals? Discuss with reference to stability in the Indo-Pacific region.

Linkage:  The article talks about the “India and Pakistan Arms Procurement Trends” explicitly notes that India has been gradually reducing its dependence on Russia and increasingly turning to Western countries such as the U.S., France, and the U.K., as well as Israel, for its arms imports.

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Waste Management – SWM Rules, EWM Rules, etc

GEDA invites tenders for Solar Waste recycling to tackle growing e-waste in Gujarat

Why in the News?

As India nears 500 GW renewable capacity by 2030, solar waste will surge. Gujarat’s GEDA launches a recycling framework to set standards, promoting sustainable waste management alongside solar growth.

What is Gujarat aiming to achieve with this solar waste recycling initiative?

  • Standardised Protocols: GEDA aims to formulate robust, eco-friendly, and enforceable protocols for handling solar and electronic waste.
  • Research-Driven Framework: The tender invites organisations to conduct feasibility studies and material recovery experiments, focusing on valuable materials like silicon, silver, copper, aluminum, and rare metals.
  • Focus on PV Technologies: The initiative spans across multiple technologies—crystalline silicon, CdTe, CIGS, and TOPCon cells—each requiring specialised recycling approaches.
  • Dismantling and Worker Safety: It includes drafting of guidelines for safe dismantling, regulatory compliance, and worker safety.

Why is Gujarat suitable for this initiative?

  • Solar Manufacturing Hub: Gujarat has the highest number of solar module manufacturers in India, creating a large volume of solar waste needing recycling. Eg: Numerous solar factories in Gujarat produce panels, which eventually generate recyclable waste.
  • Large-scale Solar Projects: The state hosts many big solar power plants, leading to significant quantities of end-of-life solar panels. Eg: Gujarat’s extensive solar farms produce damaged or old panels that require eco-friendly disposal methods.
  • Government Support: Gujarat’s proactive policies and agency initiatives foster effective recycling infrastructure and standards. Eg: GEDA’s tender for solar waste recycling research demonstrates the state’s commitment to clean energy sustainability.

How serious is the solar waste crisis in India?

  • Rapid Growth of Waste: From 100 kilotons in FY2023, India’s solar waste is projected to grow to 340 kilotons by 2030, according to CEEW’s 2024 report.
  • Long-Term Projection: The volume is expected to increase 32-fold between 2030 and 2050.
  • Panel Lifespan Ending: Panels installed during India’s solar boom (2010–2020) are now nearing the end of their 20–25 year lifespan.
  • Infrastructure Deficit: India currently lacks a national solar waste policy, making Gujarat’s move even more critical.

What are the challenges for India in recycling of E-waste?

  • Informal Sector Dominance: A large portion of e-waste recycling is handled by informal workers using unsafe methods, leading to health risks and environmental damage. Eg: Informal dismantling often involves burning or acid baths to extract metals, releasing toxic fumes.
  • Lack of Infrastructure: Insufficient formal recycling facilities and technology gaps limit efficient and eco-friendly processing of complex e-waste. Eg: Many regions lack certified recycling plants capable of handling advanced electronics like smartphones and solar panels.
  • Weak Enforcement and Awareness: Poor enforcement of regulations and low public awareness hinder proper e-waste collection and disposal. Eg: Consumers often discard e-waste with regular trash due to lack of knowledge or convenient drop-off options.

What are the steps taken by the Indian government? 

  • Implementation of E-Waste Management Rules: The government has enacted regulations like the E-Waste (Management) Rules to ensure proper collection, recycling, and disposal of electronic waste. Eg: Mandatory Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) requires manufacturers to take back and recycle e-waste from consumers.
  • Promoting Formal Recycling Infrastructure: Encouraging the development of certified recycling units with environmentally sound processes to handle e-waste safely. Eg: Setting up authorized e-waste recycling centers that use safe dismantling and recovery techniques.
  • Awareness and Capacity Building: Conducting campaigns and training programs to educate stakeholders, including consumers and informal sector workers, about e-waste hazards and management practices. Eg: Government and NGOs organizing workshops for informal recyclers to transition into formal, safer e-waste handling roles.

Way forward: 

  • Strengthen Policy Enforcement and Infrastructure: Ensure strict implementation of e-waste and solar waste management regulations while investing in advanced, formal recycling infrastructure to enable safe, efficient, and large-scale recovery of valuable materials.
  • Promote Stakeholder Collaboration and Awareness: Enhance coordination between government agencies, industry, and informal workers through capacity building, incentives, and public awareness campaigns to foster sustainable recycling practices and support circular economy goals.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2013] What are the legal provisions for management and handling of hazardous wastes in India? What are the strategies to pollution control?

Linkage: The GEDA initiative addresses the recycling of both solar waste and electronic waste (e-waste). E-waste often contains hazardous materials, requiring specialized processing. This question directly probes the legal and strategic framework for managing hazardous waste and controlling pollution, which is highly relevant to the challenges posed by growing e-waste and the need for a robust, eco-friendly recycling framework as envisioned by GEDA.

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Foreign Policy Watch: India-Africa

Time for a new India-Africa digital compact

Why in the News?

Africa Day (May 25) marks the anniversary of the founding of the Organisation of African Unity in 1963.In this context, India’s pivot towards digital diplomacy in Africa marks a significant evolution in South-South development cooperation.

What is the goal of Africa’s Digital Strategy?

  • Accelerate socio-economic development by placing digital innovation at the center of growth — e.g., promoting e-governance, digital education, and telemedicine through national digital platforms.
  • Enable inclusive and sustainable development by encouraging governments to adopt digital solutions aligned with continental initiatives — e.g., the Smart Africa Alliance supports digital transformation across sectors like health, education, and finance.

How is India supporting Africa’s digital shift?

  • Sharing Digital Public Infrastructure (DPI): India is sharing scalable and affordable DPI models like Aadhaar (digital ID), UPI (digital payments), and DIKSHA (digital education). Eg: In 2024, the Bank of Namibia partnered with NPCI to develop a UPI-like payment system.
  • Technical Collaboration and Capacity Building: India is collaborating with African countries for technical implementation and skills development. Eg: Togo partnered with IIIT-Bangalore to develop a national digital ID system using India’s open-source technology.
  • Academic and Institutional Support: India is investing in long-term educational infrastructure to build digital talent. Eg: IIT Madras opened its first overseas campus in Zanzibar, offering courses in AI and Data Science.
  • Tele-education and Telemedicine Platforms: Early initiatives like the Pan-African e-Network (2009) provided digital healthcare and education through satellite and fiber-optic systems. Eg: Enabled real-time learning and consultation from Indian institutions across several African nations.
  • Promoting Open-Source and Inclusive Models: India promotes DPI as digital public goods, making them open-source and adaptable, unlike proprietary systems. Eg: Ghana linked its payment system to India’s UPI to facilitate fast and inclusive financial transactions.

Why is India’s digital diplomacy seen as distinct from that of countries like China or the U.S.?

  • Public Good and Open-Source Model: India promotes its digital platforms as Digital Public Goods (DPGs)—open-source, scalable, and designed for inclusive access, unlike the proprietary models of the U.S. or surveillance-heavy systems of China. Eg: India’s open-source Modular Open-Source Identification Platform adopted by Togo shows its focus on affordability and public benefit.
  • Co-development and Capacity Building: India emphasizes partnership over patronage, focusing on skill-building and co-creating solutions rather than just exporting tech or infrastructure. Eg: The IIT Madras campus in Zanzibar trains African students in AI and Data Science, linking digital growth with education and job creation.
  • Respect for Local Priorities: India’s approach is non-impositional, engaging with African countries based on their needs without attaching strategic conditions, unlike U.S. or China’s often interest-driven engagements. Eg: Countries like Ghana and Zambia adopted India’s DPI voluntarily because it suited their national digital goals—not due to debt obligations or geopolitical pressure.

What challenges block Africa’s digital growth?

  • High Cost of Digital Access: Expensive data and devices make it difficult for many people, especially in low-income and rural areas, to access digital services. Eg: In several African countries, mobile data costs over 5% of average monthly income, limiting internet usage.
  • Digital Divide and Inequality: There is a significant rural-urban gap in internet connectivity and a gender gap in digital access and literacy. Eg: Women in sub-Saharan Africa are 37% less likely than men to use mobile internet, widening socio-economic disparities.
  • Weak Energy Infrastructure: Reliable electricity is essential for digital services, but many African regions lack consistent power supply, slowing digital infrastructure deployment. Eg: In countries like Nigeria, frequent power outages disrupt digital services and internet reliability.

Way forward: 

  • Enhance Affordable Access: Invest in low-cost internet infrastructure and subsidize digital devices to bridge the digital divide, especially in rural and underserved communities.
  • Strengthen Energy and Digital Infrastructure: Expand renewable energy solutions and resilient digital networks to ensure reliable connectivity and power for sustained digital growth.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2015]  Increasing interest of India in Africa has its pros and cons. Critically examine.

Linkage: The emergence of a digital partnership and the idea of an India-Africa digital compact are manifestations of this increasing interest. Examining the pros and cons of such engagement would involve considering various aspects, including digital collaboration.

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Trade Sector Updates – Falling Exports, TIES, MEIS, Foreign Trade Policy, etc.

Trade deals will bring opportunities for Indian agriculture. But there will also be challenges

Why in the News?

India achieved record exports of $820.93 billion in FY25, rising 6.5%, but faced growing trade deficits as agriculture lagged, growing only 2.3% yearly despite employing half the workforce.

What was India’s trade performance in FY25?

  • Total exports (goods + services) reached $820.93 billion, marking a 6.5% increase over FY24.
  • Merchandise exports contributed $437.42 billion (53% of total exports), while services exports contributed $383.51 billion (47%).
  • Imports grew by 6.85% to $915.19 billion, with merchandise imports at $720.24 billion (79%) and services imports at $194.95 billion (21%).
  • The trade deficit widened to $94.26 billion from $78.39 billion in FY24.
  • The trade-to-GDP ratio stood at a robust 41.4%, reflecting India’s deeper integration with global markets.

 

 

How will Trade deals bring opportunities for Indian agriculture? 

  • Reduced Dependence on Price-Sensitive Markets: Trade deals open new and stable markets for Indian agricultural exports, reducing over-reliance on traditional destinations and shielding against price volatility. Eg: The India-UK FTA could boost exports of premium products like Basmati rice, tea, spices, and processed foods to the UK, which is a high-value market with established Indian diaspora demand.
  • Boost Processed Agricultural Exports: Trade agreements typically reduce tariffs and non-tariff barriers, enhancing competitiveness of value-added and processed agri-products, which fetch higher margins. Eg: Under the India-UK FTA, processed foods and marine products can gain better access, enhancing India’s earnings from exports of ready-to-eat meals, seafood, and organic food products.

Why did agri-export growth slow down over the last decade?

  • Frequent Export Bans and Restrictions: Domestic policies often imposed export bans or curbs on essential commodities like rice, wheat, sugar, and onions to control inflation, disrupting export momentum. Eg: Restrictions on broken rice exports and duties on Basmati rice led to a 27% fall in rice export volume in FY24.
  • Global Price Fluctuations: Agri-exports are heavily influenced by global price trends — when world prices fall, Indian exports lose competitiveness and earnings. Eg: Rice export values declined despite volume recovering after lifting restrictions, due to price volatility.
  • Declining Productivity and Competitiveness: Lack of investment in research, technology, and resource-efficient farming practices lowered growth compared to earlier periods of rapid expansion. Eg: Average annual agri-export growth dropped from 20% (FY05–14) to just 2.3% (FY15–25).

How did rice export restrictions impact trade and prices?

  • Export Volume Decline: Restrictions like export bans, duties, and minimum export prices caused a sharp drop in rice export volumes. Eg: Rice exports fell by 27% from 22.3 million metric tonnes (MMT) in FY23 to 16.3 MMT in FY24.
  • Global Price Spike: Reduced supply due to restrictions pushed up global rice prices, affecting international markets. Eg: Imposition of export duties and minimum export price (MEP) on Basmati rice led to a spike in global rice prices.
  • Value Impact Less Severe than Volume: Despite the fall in export volume, the value of exports dropped only slightly because of higher prices. Eg: Rice export value fell by only 6% even as volumes dropped 27%, showing price effects cushioned revenue loss.

What are the environmental risks of rice exports?

  • Water Resource Depletion: Rice cultivation requires large amounts of water, which can strain local water supplies. Eg: In regions like Punjab, intensive rice farming has led to groundwater depletion and lowered water tables.
  • Methane Emissions: Flooded rice paddies emit methane, a potent greenhouse gas contributing to climate change. Eg: In Southeast Asia, vast rice fields are significant sources of methane emissions impacting global warming.
  • Soil Degradation and Pollution: Continuous rice farming with chemical fertilizers and pesticides can degrade soil quality and contaminate water bodies. Eg: Excessive use of agrochemicals in rice fields in Vietnam has caused soil salinization and river pollution.

What is the status of edible oil imports? 

  • 2022–23 (November–October): India imported approximately 16.5 million metric tons of edible oils, marking a 17% increase from the previous year. This surge was driven by lower import duties on key oils like palm, soybean, and sunflower oils.
  • 2023–24 (November–October): Imports declined by about 3.1%, totaling 15.96 million metric tons, due to higher domestic oilseed production and reduced demand amid rising global prices.

The recent reduction in edible oil imports is very small. So, we need to take more steps to further cut down these imports.

How can India cut edible oil import dependence?

  • Increase Domestic Oilseed Production: Boost cultivation of oilseeds like groundnut, mustard, sunflower, and soybean through better seeds, irrigation, and farmer support. Eg: The “Oilseeds Production Mission” aims to raise domestic output and reduce imports.
  • Promote Sustainable Farming Practices: Encourage crop diversification and intercropping to improve yields and soil health, reducing reliance on imported oils. Eg: States like Madhya Pradesh have successfully adopted intercropping mustard with wheat to increase oilseed production.
  • Develop Processing Infrastructure: Invest in modern oil extraction and refining units to enhance local processing capacity and reduce post-harvest losses. Eg: Setting up mega oilseed processing clusters in regions like Rajasthan to strengthen the supply chain and self-reliance.

Way forward: 

  • Strengthen Oilseed Ecosystem: Enhance productivity through quality seeds, MSP support, and targeted R&D under national missions like the Oil Palm and Oilseeds Mission.
  • Build Agro-Processing Capacity: Invest in decentralized, modern oilseed processing units to reduce wastage, improve value addition, and boost farmer income.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2023] What are the direct and indirect subsidies provided to farm sector in India? Discuss the issues raised by the World Trade Organization(WTO) in relation to agricultural subsidies.

Linkage: Agricultural subsidies are a key area of contention in international trade negotiations, particularly within the WTO. Trade deals often involve discussions around reducing or reforming subsidies, which presents both a challenge (potential reduction of support for farmers) and an opportunity (creating a more level playing field or accessing new markets if other countries also reduce subsidies) for Indian agriculture.

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Monsoon Updates

A Good Monsoon

Why in the News?

This May has been unusually wet, with India getting 68.4% more rain than normal. Also, there have been no extreme temperatures or major heatwaves across most parts of the country.

What caused the wet and cool May in India?

  • Above-Normal Rainfall: India received 68.4% more rainfall than usual for May, making it one of the wettest months in recent times. Eg: 27 out of 36 meteorological subdivisions saw over 20% surplus rain.
  • Frequent Moisture-Laden Winds: Western disturbances from the Mediterranean and incursions from the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea brought continuous showers. Eg: These weather systems caused intermittent thunderstorms across northern and eastern India.
  • Suppression of Heatwaves: Each thunderstorm cooled temperatures, preventing the buildup of heatwaves. Eg: No major heatwave was reported across central and north India during May.

Why is the formation of heat lows over northwest India important for the monsoon?

  • Creates Suction for Moist Winds: Heat lows act like a vacuum, pulling moisture-laden southwesterly winds from the Indian Ocean into the Indian subcontinent. Eg: Strong heat lows over Rajasthan help trigger early monsoon onset over central India.
  • Drives Monsoon Circulation: These low-pressure areas initiate and sustain the monsoon trough, which is essential for widespread rainfall. Eg: Absence of heat lows can delay or weaken the monsoon across northwest and central India.
  • Influences Rainfall Intensity and Spread: Proper heat low development ensures uniform and timely rainfall, crucial for agriculture. Eg: Weak heat lows in 2015 contributed to a patchy and deficient monsoon season.

How do El Niño and IOD affect the monsoon?

  • El Niño Weakens Monsoon Winds: El Niño leads to warmer Pacific Ocean waters, which suppresses the Indian monsoon by weakening the low-pressure system over the subcontinent. Eg: The 2015 El Niño caused a 14% rainfall deficit in India.
  • Positive IOD Strengthens Monsoon: A positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) brings warmer waters near Africa and cooler waters near Indonesia, enhancing monsoon winds and rainfall over India. Eg: In 2019, a strong positive IOD offset El Niño’s impact, resulting in above-normal rainfall.

What would be the impact of monsoon on food inflation? 

  • Good Monsoon Boosts Crop Yields: Adequate rainfall ensures timely sowing and healthy harvests, leading to better food availability and stable prices. Eg: A normal monsoon in 2022 helped moderate cereal price rise.
  • Reduces Dependency on Imports: Sufficient domestic production of staples like wheat and pulses lowers the need for costly imports, helping control food inflation. Eg: In 2024, surplus wheat stock due to good rainfall reduced price pressure.
  • Stabilises Rural Demand and Supply Chains: A healthy monsoon supports rural incomes, improving supply consistency and reducing volatility in food prices. Eg: Strong kharif output in 2021 led to a drop in vegetable prices.

Way forward: 

  • Strengthen Climate-Responsive Agriculture: Promote drought- and flood-resistant crop varieties and expand irrigation to reduce dependence on erratic monsoons.
  • Enhance Weather Forecasting and Storage Infrastructure: Improve real-time weather alerts and expand warehousing to minimize post-harvest losses and stabilize food prices.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2024] What are the causes of persistent high food inflation in India? Comment on the effectiveness of the monetary policy of the RBI to control this type of inflation.

Linkage: Understanding the dynamics of food inflation, as required by this question, is essential for appreciating the significant positive economic contribution that a favorable monsoon can make by potentially increasing agricultural output and stabilizing food prices.

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North-East India – Security and Developmental Issues

NE to be gateway for trade with Southeast Asia: Modi

Why in the News?

The Prime Minister said on Friday that the eight states of India’s Northeast are now leading in development and growth, and he encouraged investors to explore opportunities there.

What did the Prime Minister describe the Northeast region as, and why?

  • Frontrunner of Growth: PM  described the Northeast as no longer a “frontier region”, but a “frontrunner of growth”. Eg: Hosting of the Rising Northeast Summit to attract investment and highlight regional potential.
  • Gateway to Southeast Asia: This aligns with the idea of Northeast as a growth leader because its strategic location makes it a natural gateway for trade with Southeast Asia. Eg: Projects connecting Northeast with Myanmar, Thailand, Laos, and Vietnam under the Act East Policy.
  • Powerhouse of Energy: It is a frontrunner because it is rich in natural resources, making it a “powerhouse of energy”. Eg: Assam’s tea industry and Arunachal Pradesh’s hydroelectric potential.
  • Cultural and Economic Diversity: The region leads in development because its cultural and economic diversity fosters innovation in tourism, crafts, and trade. Eg: Nagaland’s Hornbill Festival promotes both culture and economic activity.
  • Ashta Lakshmis (Eight Goddesses of Wealth): PM called the eight states “Ashta Lakshmis” because each contributes uniquely to India’s prosperity, reinforcing its status as a growth frontrunner. Eg: Government initiatives like NESIDS aim to unlock each state’s economic strengths.

Why did the Directorate General of Foreign Trade order the closure of land ports with Bangladesh?. 

  • To Provide a Level Playing Field for the Northeast: Goods entering via Bangladesh were bypassing local supply chains, hurting Northeast producers and manufacturers. Eg: Cheaper Bangladeshi products undercutting Assam’s handicrafts and processed food sectors.
  • To Boost Internal Supply Chains and Manufacturing: Closure of land ports encourages the development of local industries and competitive manufacturing within the Northeast. Eg: Promoting local textile and bamboo industries in Tripura and Mizoram to supply regional demands.
  • Strategic Economic Repositioning: Part of a broader effort to reorient the Northeast as a commercial and trade hub within India and toward Southeast Asia. Eg: Integrating Northeast into projects like India-Myanmar-Thailand trilateral highway for long-term trade advantage.

Which sectors are identified as key economic strengths of the Northeast region?

  • Bio-economy and Natural Resources: The region is rich in bamboo, tea, and petroleum resources. Eg: Assam is a major hub for tea production; Arunachal Pradesh is emerging in bamboo-based industries.
  • Tourism and Eco-tourism: Scenic landscapes, cultural diversity, and biodiversity promote sustainable tourism. Eg: Meghalaya’s living root bridges and Sikkim’s eco-tourism model attract both domestic and international tourists.
  • Sports and Youth Potential: High sports participation and talent make it a center for sports development and allied industries. Eg: Manipur and Mizoram produce national-level athletes in football, boxing, and weightlifting.

How is India planning to connect the Northeast with Southeast Asia?

  • Infrastructure Development Projects: India is building roads and highways to enhance cross-border connectivity. Eg: The India-Myanmar-Thailand Trilateral Highway aims to link the Northeast to Southeast Asia by road.
  • Multilateral and Bilateral Linkages: Strategic projects are underway to connect Northeast India with ASEAN countries. Eg: Projects to directly connect Myanmar, Thailand, Vietnam, and Laos to India are in progress.
  • Transforming the Region into a Trade Gateway: The Northeast is being positioned as the “gateway for trade” with Southeast Asia. Eg: Investment in border trade hubs and logistics parks in states like Manipur and Mizoram supports trade facilitation.

Way forward: 

  • Accelerate Infrastructure & Connectivity Projects: Ensure timely completion of highways, rail links, and trade corridors to integrate the Northeast with ASEAN markets and boost regional trade.
  • Promote Local Industries & Skill Development: Strengthen regional supply chains by supporting local entrepreneurship, MSMEs, and skill training aligned with emerging sectors like eco-tourism, agri-business, and clean energy.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2016] Evaluate the economic and strategic dimensions of India’s Look East Policy in the context of the post-Cold War international scenario.

Linkage: The “Look East Policy” was the predecessor to the current “Act East” policy. The Act East Policy, which emphasizes the Northeast as a gateway for trade and connectivity with Southeast Asia, is essentially a more action-oriented evolution of the Look East Policy.

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Forest Conservation Efforts – NFP, Western Ghats, etc.

Why India needs stable urban forests

Why in the News?

 The Kancha Gachibowli forest in Hyderabad, a rare green space in the city, became the centre of a major legal and environmental fight when the Telangana government planned to turn 400 acres of it into an industrial area.

What is the significance of urban forests like Kancha Gachibowli in Indian cities?

  • Improve Air Quality and Public Health: Urban forests absorb pollutants like PM 2.5 and PM 10, helping reduce toxic urban air. Eg: Kancha Gachibowli helps combat air pollution in Hyderabad, which often faces high pollution levels.
  • Mitigate Climate Change and Urban Heat: They reduce the urban heat island effect and help control flooding by managing stormwater runoff. Eg: Kancha Gachibowli acts as a natural cooler and flood controller amid Hyderabad’s expanding concrete areas.
  • Support Biodiversity and Provide Recreation: Urban forests preserve habitats for endangered birds and animals and offer residents nature-sensitive spaces for relaxation. Eg: Kancha Gachibowli provides green space and supports local wildlife in the middle of the city.

Why did the Telangana government face criticism for its decision regarding Kancha Gachibowli?

  • Threat to Urban Forest Land: The government decided to allocate 400 acres of Kancha Gachibowli forest for industrial development, risking the loss of one of Hyderabad’s last urban forests. Eg: This move put 100 acres of trees at risk, which were actually felled before intervention.
  • Allegations of Ignoring Public Concerns: The government claimed ownership over the forest and accused protesting students of being misled by real estate interests, downplaying genuine environmental concerns. Eg: Students and activists protested to protect the forest but were dismissed by the state government.
  • Judicial Reprimand for Environmental Damage: The Supreme Court took notice of the deforestation and reprimanded the Telangana government, highlighting the environmental insensitivity of the decision. Eg: The court ordered action after 100 acres were cut down, signaling the need to protect urban green spaces.

How do urban forests help in improving the environment and public health in cities?

  • Mitigate Pollution and Improve Air Quality: Urban forests sequester carbon and absorb pollutants like PM 2.5 and PM 10, which are major causes of air pollution in cities. Eg: One hectare of trees can remove around one ton of air pollutants annually, helping reduce Delhi’s alarming Air Quality Index (AQI) of 494.
  • Reduce Urban Heat Island Effect: Trees provide shade and cooling, lowering temperatures in concrete-heavy urban areas and combating the urban heat island effect caused by extensive construction and vehicle emissions. Eg: Cities like Bengaluru and Chennai with more green cover experience less extreme heat compared to heavily built-up areas.
  • Control Stormwater and Prevent Flooding: Urban forests help manage stormwater runoff, reduce soil erosion, and prevent flooding, thus protecting urban infrastructure and residents. Eg: Urban green spaces reduce flood risks during heavy rains by absorbing excess water, unlike paved surfaces which increase runoff.

What role have judicial interventions played in protecting urban forests in India?

  • Broadened Legal Protection: The Supreme Court’s Godavarman case (1996) expanded the definition of forests, mandating all States to identify and map forest areas, including urban forests, thereby bringing them under legal protection. Eg: In 2004, the apex court directed States to conduct a comprehensive forest inventory to enhance conservation efforts.
  • Prevented Tree Felling through Stay Orders: Courts have intervened to stop indiscriminate tree felling in urban areas when public protests or petitions were filed, safeguarding ecologically significant areas. Eg: In 2020, the Supreme Court issued a stay on the tree felling in Aarey Forest, Mumbai, after public outcry and legal petitions.
  • Ensured Government Accountability: Judicial interventions have held governments accountable for environmentally insensitive development and upheld the Right to a Healthy Environment under Article 21. Eg: In 2024, the Supreme Court reprimanded the Telangana government for felling trees in Kancha Gachibowli, directing restoration efforts.

What is the goal of the Nagar Van Yojana?

The Nagar Van Yojana, launched by the Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (MoEF&CC) in 2020, aims to:

  • Promote and develop urban forest spaces to enhance green cover and biodiversity in rapidly urbanising areas. Eg: It seeks to create eco-friendly urban ecosystems for better living environments.
  • Create 1,000 urban forests by 2027 across Indian cities, contributing to climate resilience, air purification, and recreation. Eg: As per the India State of Forest Report 2023, the scheme has already added 1445.81 kmÂČ of tree and forest cover.
  • Involve local communities in forest development and maintenance to ensure sustainable urban forestry and public participation. Eg: Civic bodies and citizen groups are encouraged to adopt and care for these green spaces.

Way forward: 

  • Legally Safeguard Urban Forests: Enact clear legal protections for urban forests like Kancha Gachibowli by integrating them into city master plans and forest laws to prevent diversion for non-forest use.
  • Strengthen Community Participation: Empower local communities and civic bodies to co-manage and monitor urban forests through citizen-led initiatives, ensuring long-term conservation and accountability.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2015] “Mumbai, Delhi and Kolkata are the three mega cities of the country but the air pollution is much more serious problem in Delhi as compared to the other two. Why is this so?

Linkage: The Urban forests can serve as a safeguard against toxic urban air by absorbing pollutants. This question focuses on the critical issue of urban air pollution, highlighting the need for mechanisms like urban forests to improve air quality.

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Health Sector – UHC, National Health Policy, Family Planning, Health Insurance, etc.

New drugs arrive on the block, but AMR threats continue

Why in the News?

AMR is rapidly becoming one of the greatest public health threats, contributing to 2.97 lakh deaths in India in 2019 alone, as reported by the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation.

What is Antimicrobial Resistance (AMR)?

  • AMR occurs when microorganisms (like bacteria) evolve to become resistant to antibiotics designed to kill them. This makes infections harder to treat, leading to increased mortality and healthcare complications.
  • Globally, AMR contributed to 1.27 million deaths and in India to 2,97,000 deaths in 2019 (IHME report).

Why is it a growing concern globally?

  • Rising Deaths Due to Resistant Infections: AMR causes infections that are harder to treat, leading to increased mortality. Eg, globally AMR contributed to 1.27 million deaths in 2019, and it is projected that by 2050, up to 10 million people could die annually due to resistant infections if no action is taken.
  • Limited New Antibiotics Development: There has been a major decline in new antibiotic discovery over the past 30 years, leaving fewer effective treatment options. Eg, India’s development of Nafthromycin was the first new antibiotic in three decades, highlighting the global innovation gap.
  • Widespread Misuse and Overuse of Antibiotics: Over-prescription and use of antibiotics in humans, livestock, and agriculture accelerate resistance. Eg, in India, antibiotics are often sold without prescriptions, promoting resistance and reducing drug effectiveness.

What is Nafthromycin? 

  • Nafthromycin, marketed as ‘Miqnaf’, is a new antibiotic developed in India by Wockhardt, with support from BIRAC.
  • It treats Community-Acquired Bacterial Pneumonia (CABP). It is a once-a-day, three-day treatment with a 97% success rate.
  • India’s first indigenously-developed antibiotic in 30 years and the first globally in this class.

What is the role of Nafthromycin in fighting antimicrobial resistance (AMR)?

  • Provides a New Effective Treatment Option: Nafthromycin is India’s first indigenously developed antibiotic in 30 years, offering a powerful new drug to treat infections like Community-Acquired Bacterial Pneumonia (CABP) with a 97% success rate. Eg: This helps overcome resistance to older antibiotics like azithromycin.
  • Supports Antibiotic Stewardship by Reducing Overuse of Existing Drugs: By providing an effective alternative, Nafthromycin can reduce reliance on existing antibiotics that have become less effective due to resistance, helping slow down the spread of AMR.

Why is the misuse and overuse of antibiotics a major cause of AMR in India?

  • Over-the-counter sales without prescription: Antibiotics are often sold without a prescription, leading to improper and unnecessary use. Eg: People buying antibiotics directly from pharmacies for viral infections like common cold, where antibiotics are ineffective.
  • Use of antibiotics in livestock and agriculture: A large portion of antibiotics is used in animals to promote growth or prevent disease, which contributes to resistant bacteria spreading to humans. Eg: Use of colistin in poultry farming, which was recently banned in India to curb resistance.
  • Self-medication and lack of awareness: Many people self-medicate with antibiotics or do not complete prescribed courses, promoting resistance.  

What are the healthcare gaps in the treatment of AMR?

  • Shortage of Trained Medical Personnel in AMR Management: There is limited awareness and training among healthcare providers on rational antibiotic use and infection control practices. Eg: A study by the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) found that in community clinics in tier-2 cities, over 50% of doctors were unaware of the national treatment guidelines for infections.
  • Lack of Diagnostic Infrastructure: Many primary and secondary healthcare centers in India lack adequate microbiology labs to accurately identify bacterial infections and their resistance profiles. Eg: In rural districts of Uttar Pradesh, absence of lab support leads doctors to prescribe broad-spectrum antibiotics blindly, increasing resistance risks.

What are the steps taken by the Indian Government? 

  • National Action Plan on AMR (NAP-AMR): A comprehensive plan aligned with WHO’s Global Action Plan to tackle AMR using a One Health approach (human, animal, and environment sectors). Eg: The plan prioritizes awareness, surveillance, infection prevention, and rational antimicrobial use. States like Kerala and Delhi have developed their own State Action Plans on AMR in alignment with NAP-AMR.
  • Establishment of Surveillance Networks: The Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) set up the Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance & Research Network (AMRSN) to track resistance patterns across hospitals. Eg: AMRSN collects data on AMR trends in pathogens like Klebsiella pneumoniae and E. coli from over 30 hospitals, helping inform national policy.

Way forward: 

  • Strengthen Regulation and Stewardship: Enforce strict controls on antibiotic sales and promote antimicrobial stewardship in hospitals and clinics.
  • Invest in Surveillance and Public Awareness: Expand AMR surveillance networks and run sustained awareness campaigns to educate public and healthcare providers.

Mains PYQ:

[UPSC 2014] How do you explain the factors responsible for the emergence of drug-resistant diseases in India? What are the available mechanisms for monitoring and control? Critically discuss the various issues involved.

Linkage: The core issue of “drug-resistant diseases” which is Antibiotic Resistance (AMR). The article talking about the key factors for AMR, such as misuse and overuse of antibiotics across various sectors, including non-prescription sales in countries like India. It also discusses the need for monitoring and control mechanisms like responsible global stewardship, patient education, public awareness, innovation, regulation, and government leadership in stewardship.

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