💥UPSC 2026, 2027 UAP Mentorship September Batch

WTO and India

India at the Crossroads: Navigating WTO Pressures After China’s SDT Exit

Introduction

The World Trade Organisation (WTO) has long been a battleground where developing nations, including India and China, defended their need for lenient subsidy caps, longer compliance timelines, and tariff protections. China’s self-exit from Special and Differential Treatment (SDT) concessions, despite retaining its developing country tag, signals a dramatic shift in the global trade order. For India, which has depended on SDT since its 1995 WTO accession, this development comes amid escalating US trade pressures, Trump-era tariff wars, and growing criticism of India’s subsidy regimes. The question is not only about trade but about food security, farmer livelihoods, and future economic strategy.

Why is this development significant?

  1. First-time shift: China, the world’s second-largest economy, has for the first time announced it will not seek SDT despite being classified as a developing country.
  2. Sharp contrast: Since 1995, SDT flexibilities have been central to India’s WTO negotiations; China’s withdrawal isolates India’s position.
  3. Big stakes: India subsidises around $50 billion annually to low-income farmers and channels over $40 billion into Minimum Support Price (MSP) schemes, directly impacting 1.4 billion people.
  4. Striking implications: If phased AMS (Aggregate Measurement of Support) cuts are enforced, subsidies may fall by 20–30% per decade, with a 10–15% rural income drop and worsening food insecurity.

How has India historically benefited from SDT?

  1. Tariff flexibility: Allowed India to impose 100%+ tariffs on sensitive goods such as branded medicines, automobiles, and luxury goods.
  2. Agriculture support: Article 6.2 exemptions for low-income farmers and public distribution schemes like MSP ensured food and livelihood security.
  3. Special treatment: Shielded India from disputes, despite often breaching the 10% subsidy cap under AMS rules.
  4. Trade defence: Enabled India to resist developed country pressures, citing its developing nation status.

What challenges does India face now?

  1. Coercive reduction: Phased AMS cuts threaten to undermine National Food Security Act (NFSA) provisions.
  2. Malnutrition risk: With 35% of children under five malnourished, subsidy rollback could worsen hunger and inequality
  3. Export vulnerability: Without SDT, India’s MSMEs and farmers face tougher competition in global markets.
  4. US/EU pushback: Developed nations already accuse India of trade distortion, citing examples like MSP and high farm subsidies.

What options does India have?

  1. Recalibrate subsidies: Shift from price support to income support (direct cash transfers), reducing WTO disputes.
  2. Promote Green Box subsidies: Focus on R&D, extension services, and sustainability programs which are WTO-compliant.
  3. Negotiate transitional safeguards: Demand longer compliance windows to cushion the shift.
  4. Defend digital/data sovereignty: Push for data localisation rights and tiered tariff structures in new trade deals.

What should India’s strategic plan look like?

  1. Phased tariff liberalisation: Gradually reduce non-essential SDT protections while safeguarding food security.
  2. Boost MSME competitiveness: Use the ONDC (Open Network for Digital Commerce) to integrate small businesses into global e-commerce.
  3. Intellectual property balance: Protect generic drug exports while resisting pressure for stronger IP regimes.
  4. Coalition building: Revive alliances like the G33 to collectively defend agricultural and food security concerns.
  5. Domestic reforms: Enhance farm productivity and diversify exports to reduce dependence on SDT shield.

Conclusion

China’s withdrawal from SDT marks a turning point in global trade politics. India now faces mounting pressure to reform its subsidy structure, align with WTO disciplines, and balance food security with competitiveness. The way forward lies not in clinging to outdated protections but in crafting innovative, WTO-compliant support systems that secure farmer welfare while projecting India as a responsible global player. Strategic coalition-building, calibrated reforms, and smart diplomacy will decide whether India emerges weakened or empowered in the new trade order.

PYQ Relevance

[UPSC 2018] What are the key areas of reform if the WTO has to survive in the present context of ‘Trade War’, especially keeping in mind the interest of India?

Linkage: China stepping back from SDT intensifies calls for WTO reforms in subsidy rules, dispute settlement, and fair treatment of developing nations, directly testing India’s ability to safeguard food security and farmer support while pushing for a more equitable trade order.

Value Addition

WTO Agreement on Agriculture (AoA) – Article 6.2 Exemptions

  • Provision: Allows developing countries to provide investment subsidies and input subsidies to low-income or resource-poor farmers without it being counted under the AMS cap.
  • India’s Use: India justifies its fertilizer, electricity, and irrigation subsidies under this clause to protect small farmers who form nearly 85% of the farming community.
  • Relevance: Central to defending India’s MSP and food security programs in global negotiations.

Aggregate Measurement of Support (AMS)

  • Definition: WTO’s metric for calculating trade-distorting farm subsidies (amber box), capped at 10% of the value of production for developing countries.
  • India’s Issue: With large MSP and food procurement under NFSA, India is often accused of breaching this cap. Example – Rice subsidies have repeatedly attracted scrutiny in WTO disputes.
  • Relevance: Reform of AMS rules is India’s key demand in WTO negotiations, arguing current methodology undervalues developing nations’ needs.

Green Box vs Amber Box Subsidies

  • Amber Box: Trade-distorting subsidies (e.g., MSP, procurement at administered prices).
  • Green Box: Non-trade distorting subsidies like agricultural R&D, extension services, crop insurance, and environmental protection.
  • India’s Position: Heavy reliance on amber box through MSP and PDS; however, India is now trying to expand its green box spending on crop diversification, climate-resilient agriculture, and digital extension services.
  • Relevance: Diversifying support to green box can shield India from WTO disputes while modernising agriculture.

G33 Coalition

  • About: A group of 47 developing countries led by India, China, and Indonesia, advocating flexibility in agriculture negotiations.
  • India’s Role: Spearheads demands for a ‘Special Safeguard Mechanism’ (SSM) and permanent solution for public stockholding (PSH) of food grains.
  • Relevance: Strengthens India’s negotiating leverage by projecting its subsidy and food stockholding as a collective developing-world concern, not just a national exception.

National Food Security Act (2013) (NFSA)

  • Provision: Legally entitles 75% of rural and 50% of urban population to subsidised food grains through PDS.
  • Conflict with WTO: Heavy procurement at MSP and distribution under NFSA is seen as trade-distorting. Critics argue this exceeds the 10% AMS cap.
  • Relevance: WTO restrictions on subsidies could directly affect India’s food security safety net covering over 800 million people.

ONDC (Open Network for Digital Commerce)

  • Concept: A government-backed initiative to democratise e-commerce by creating an open-source, interoperable digital network for buyers and sellers.
  • Trade Defence: Seen as India’s strategic response to global e-commerce giants (Amazon, Walmart-Flipkart), ensuring fair competition for MSMEs.
  • Relevance: In WTO’s ongoing e-commerce negotiations, ONDC is a shield for India to resist pressure for blanket liberalisation of digital trade and data flows, while protecting domestic digital sovereignty.

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Foreign Policy Watch: India – EU

India-EU Strategic Agenda

Introduction

The India–European Union (EU) relationship has traditionally been overshadowed by India’s closer ties with the U.S. and Russia. However, the release of the EU’s Strategic Agenda for India, ahead of the 2026 leaders’ summit, is a milestone. It lays out a comprehensive framework across five pillars:

  • Economy & Trade
  • Global Connectivity
  • Emerging Technologies
  • Security & Defence
  • People-to-People Ties

With trade volumes nearing EUR 180 billion (goods + services), EU FDI nearly doubling in five years, and ambitious connectivity projects like the India–Middle East–Europe Corridor, this document represents Europe’s intent to recalibrate its Asia policy with India at the centre.

Why in the News?

This development is significant because it is the first time the EU has released a detailed, forward-looking strategic agenda exclusively for India. Traditionally, India–EU ties have been seen as underwhelming compared to India–US or India–Russia ties. But with EUR 120 billion goods trade in 2024 (a 90% increase over the last decade) and the EU emerging as India’s largest trading partner, the stakes have never been higher. What makes this moment compelling is the convergence: Europe seeks predictability away from U.S. uncertainty, and India seeks diversification in partners. The scale of planned cooperation, from AI and nuclear fusion to migration and maritime security, signals that India–EU ties are set to move from rhetoric to institutionalised, multi-sectoral partnership.

How significant is the economic partnership? (Pillar 1 – Economy & Trade)

  1. Largest trading partner: EU is India’s biggest trade partner; India is EU’s largest in the Global South.
  2. High-value trade: Goods trade at EUR 120 bn in 2024 (+90% in 10 years); services add EUR 60 bn.
  3. FDI surge: EU FDI in India EUR 140 bn in 2023 (doubled in 5 years).
  4. Employment impact: 6,000 European companies directly employ 3 million Indians.
  5. Future goals: Negotiations on FTA, Investment Protection Agreement (IPA), Geographical Indications (GI), and air transport deal.

How are India and the EU shaping global connectivity? (Pillar 2 – Global Connectivity)

  • Global Gateway: EU’s EUR 300 bn infrastructure programme aligned with India’s MAHASAGAR initiative.
  • EU-India Connectivity Partnership (2021): Framework for joint digital, energy, and transport projects.
  • IMEC (India–Middle East–Europe Economic Corridor): Revival of historical trade routes via rail, maritime, clean hydrogen, and digital infrastructure.
  • Digital corridor: Blue Raman cable (11,700 km) connecting EU–Africa–India with secure, high-speed internet.
  • Green shipping: Joint efforts for sustainable maritime corridors to cut carbon dependency.

How will cooperation in emerging technologies unfold? (Pillar 3 – Emerging Technologies)

  • Complementary strengths: EU = regulation, research, green tech; India = startups, datasets, frugal innovation.
  • Innovation hubs: Proposed EU-India platforms on critical tech domains.
  • Startup partnership: Collaboration with European Innovation Council & Start-up India.
  • AI applications: Joint work on large language models, multilingual NLP, climate-focused AI.
  • Nuclear cooperation: Euratom-India pact on nuclear safety, waste, security, and fusion energy.

What are the prospects in security and defence? (Pillar 4 – Security & Defence)

  • Strategic Dialogue (2025): Maritime, cyber, counter-terrorism, and non-proliferation as focus areas.
  • Security of Information Agreement: To enable sharing of classified intelligence.
  • Indo-Pacific role: EU aligning with India as a stabilising force in the region.
  • Naval cooperation: Proposed link between EU Naval Force & Indian Navy in Western Indian Ocean.
  • Defence industry: EU–India Defence Forum under consideration to build resilient supply chains.

Why are people-to-people ties central to this partnership? (Pillar 5 – People-to-People Ties)

  • Migration scale: 825,000 Indians in EU (2023); largest group with EU Blue Cards.
  • Visa access: 1 million Schengen visas issued in 2024 (many multiple-entry).
  • Education mobility: Focus on Erasmus+ expansion, Union of Skills, recognition of qualifications.
  • Talent mobility: Balancing India’s workforce needs with the EU’s labour market.
  • Strategic timing: EU’s education appeal grows as U.S. under Trump curtails research openness.

Issues and Complications in India–EU Relations

  1. Stalled Free Trade Agreement (FTA) in the past: Negotiations began in 2007 but stalled due to disagreements over tariff reductions, intellectual property rights, and services access. This history raises doubts about the 2025 deadline.
  2. Agricultural sensitivities: India’s reluctance to open its farm sector clashes with EU’s push for market access and strict sanitary and phytosanitary standards.
  3. Regulatory frictions: The EU’s strict data protection regime (GDPR), climate-linked trade measures like the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), and sustainability norms could penalise Indian exports.
  4. Human rights and political conditionalities: The EU often raises concerns about human rights, labour laws, and democratic freedoms, which India perceives as interference in internal matters.
  5. Slow EU decision-making: Unlike bilateral partnerships with the US or Russia, negotiations with the EU are often complicated by the need for consensus among 27 member states.
  6. Strategic divergence: The EU still lacks a coherent Indo-Pacific strategy compared to the Quad or NATO, limiting its security role. India, on its part, prioritises strategic autonomy and may be hesitant to align too closely with Western blocs.

Way Forward

  1. Conclude the FTA swiftly: India and the EU must avoid past deadlocks by ensuring flexibility on tariff and regulatory issues, especially in agriculture, services, and data protection.
  2. Deepen strategic convergence: Institutionalise the proposed EU–India Security and Defence Partnership, enhancing naval cooperation in the Indo-Pacific, and expanding counter-terrorism and cyber security frameworks.
  3. Leverage connectivity initiatives: Ensure timely execution of flagship projects like IMEC and the Blue Raman digital corridor, aligning them with India’s own initiatives (MAHASAGAR, Sagarmala) to strengthen regional integration.
  4. Balanced tech cooperation: Create safeguards for responsible AI, nuclear safety, and emerging tech to ensure mutual trust while tapping into EU’s regulatory strengths and India’s innovation ecosystem.
  5. Migration and education synergy: Streamline recognition of Indian qualifications in Europe and negotiate mobility partnerships that align with India’s demographic advantage and EU’s labour market shortages.
  6. Sustain political momentum: Regular high-level summits, parliamentary dialogues, and Track-II diplomacy should be pursued to prevent bureaucratic inertia from stalling this ambitious agenda.

Conclusion

The India–EU strategic agenda signals a qualitative shift in the partnership, moving beyond transactional trade ties to a multi-pillar strategic convergence. With ambitious timelines, such as concluding the FTA by 2025, and big-ticket projects like IMEC and nuclear fusion cooperation, both sides are investing political capital. For India, this means access to technology, markets, and security partnerships that complement ties with the U.S. and Indo-Pacific allies. For the EU, this provides an anchor in Asia’s fastest-growing economy and a reliable partner in turbulent global politics.

PYQ Relevance:

[UPSC 2023] The expansion and strengthening of NATO and a stronger US-Europe strategic partnership works well in India.’ What is your opinion about this statement? Give reasons and examples to support your answer.

Linkage: The India–EU Strategic Agenda complements a stronger US–Europe partnership by giving India parallel, diversified strategic options in trade, technology, and security; together, they reinforce India’s strategic autonomy while balancing China’s rise. NATO’s strengthening secures Europe’s defence, freeing the EU to deepen economic and technological engagement with India, as seen in IMEC, AI cooperation, and FTA talks.

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J&K – The issues around the state

Listen to Ladakh

Introduction

Ladakh has historically been a symbol of loyalty, sacrifice, and national integration. From its soldiers’ valour in wars to its monasteries embodying peace, it has stood by India unfailingly. However, the grant of Union Territory status in 2019 has created unexpected discontent, with Ladakhis now demanding constitutional safeguards, ecological balance, and meaningful empowerment. Delhi’s response to Ladakh is not just a matter of regional governance but also of strategic national importance.

Why in News (Timeline of Demands)

  1. August 2019: Ladakh granted Union Territory (UT) status after abrogation of Article 370. Initially welcomed in Leh but caused discontent in Kargil.
  2. 2020–21: Fears of demographic change, land alienation, and ecological damage surface; demand for inclusion in the Sixth Schedule grows.
  3. 2021: Formation of Leh Apex Body (Buddhist leaders) and Kargil Democratic Alliance (Muslim leaders). Despite historic rivalry, both groups unite demanding constitutional safeguards.
  4. 2022–23: Protests intensify for empowerment of Hill Councils, job reservation, and land protection.
  5. 2024–25: Discontent spills into the streets; Ladakh witnesses unprecedented Buddhist–Muslim solidarity. Calls grow louder for legislative assembly or statehood, beyond Sixth Schedule status.

Ladakh’s legacy of loyalty and sacrifice

  1. Military contributions: From 1947 raids to the 1999 Kargil War, Ladakhis have consistently defended India’s frontiers. Heroes like Colonel Chewang Rinchen and Sonam Wangchuk embody this spirit.
  2. Cultural resilience: Monasteries, mosques, and local traditions reflect Ladakh’s unique identity and trust in India’s unity.

Why discontent has emerged after 2019

  1. Union Territory status: While celebrated initially, it stripped Ladakh of legislative empowerment, leaving governance centralised.
  2. Fear of marginalisation: Locals worry about land, jobs, and ecology in the absence of Sixth Schedule protections.
  3. Geostrategic location: Proximity to Chinese and Pakistani borders heightens the stakes of dissatisfaction.

Community unity and mobilization

  1. Leh Apex Body and Kargil Democratic Alliance: For the first time, Buddhists and Muslims have forged a common platform.
  2. Shared agenda: Demands include strengthened Hill Councils, greater representation, and protection of Ladakh’s unique ecological and cultural heritage.
  3. Grassroots mobilization: Local movements are engaging with Delhi directly, seeking dialogue and recognition.

Delhi’s challenge and way forward

  1. Triangular balance: Policies must reconcile development, ecology, and empowerment.
  2. Prudent engagement: The Centre must avoid delay, ensure quiet consultations, and expand local representation.
  3. Strategic necessity: Addressing Ladakh’s demands is vital to prevent alienation in a sensitive frontier region.

National and strategic significance

  1. Security implications: Every decision has ripple effects across the Line of Actual Control and Pakistan frontiers.
  2. Democratic ethos: Empowering Ladakh demonstrates India’s ability to blend federalism with strategic caution.
  3. Symbolic importance: How Delhi treats Ladakh will echo in other sensitive regions seeking greater autonomy.

Conclusion

Ladakh’s loyalty to India has been unquestionable. Yet its current grievances demand sensitive handling. By combining development with ecological protection and democratic empowerment, Delhi can reaffirm Ladakh’s trust and secure this frontier for future generations. This is a test of India’s governance maturity and strategic foresight.

PYQ Relevance

[UPSC 2022] While the national political parties in India favour centralisation, the regional parties are in favour of State autonomy. Comment

Linkage: Ladakh after its 2019 Union Territory status is a live case of the centralisation vs. autonomy debate. The Centre justified direct control citing security and integration, reflecting the national parties’ bias for centralisation. Yet, Ladakh’s Buddhist and Muslim groups now demand Sixth Schedule safeguards and stronger Hill Councils, echoing the regional push for autonomy to protect land, ecology, and culture. This tension captures the essence of the PYQ — the challenge of balancing national integration with regional aspirations in India’s federal system.

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Citizenship and Related Issues

Citizens, domicile, migrants: Why should we worry about Provincial Citizenship?

Introduction

Indian citizenship was envisioned as singular and uniform, rising above provincial or ethnic divides. Yet, as Ranjan’s recent research (2025) and Sarkar’s reflections suggest, the rise of provincial citizenship has complicated this narrative. Rooted in nativist politics and tied to emotional belonging to one’s State, this phenomenon is altering the politics of domicile, migration, and rights. While the COVID-19 migrant crisis exposed vulnerabilities of inter-state labour, subsequent domicile policies and debates around NRC, SIR, and regional protectionism have re-opened constitutional fault lines. The issue compels us to revisit constitutional provisions, historical warnings, and contemporary challenges to Indian federalism.

Why in the News

The discussion on provincial citizenship has gained traction because it reflects a sharp break from the constitutional promise of uniform Indian citizenship. Jharkhand’s domicile politics, post-2000, demonstrates how regional grievances can weaponize ‘sons of the soil’ sentiment. J&K’s domicile rules post-2019 abrogation illustrate how domicile is used as a tool of inclusion and protection. Assam’s migration-linked exclusions add another layer of contestation. For the first time, an “unofficial citizenship” has become powerful enough to rival the official national framework, forcing judicial interventions and challenging the foundational principle of equality under Article 16(2). This is no longer a marginal issue but a structural problem, shaping electoral politics and democratic legitimacy.

What is meant by Provincial Citizenship?

  1. Concept: Rooted in nativist politics, it emphasizes belonging to a State rather than to India as a whole.
  2. Political use: Gains leverage in regional elections by mobilising ‘locals’ against ‘outsiders’.
  3. Entanglement: Blurs lines between spatial identity, freedom of movement, and constitutional citizenship.

Issues with Provincial Citizenship

  1. Exclusion & Discrimination: Creates second-class citizens among internal migrants, violating the spirit of Articles 15, 16(2), 19.
  2. Fragmentation of National Unity: Undermines the principle of one nation, one citizenship, fostering parochialism and regionalism.
  3. Economic Inefficiency: Restricts labour mobility, hurting industries and services in cities dependent on migrant workers.
  4. Judicial Burden: Conflicts between migrants’ rights and domicile rules often end up in Supreme Court adjudication, showing gaps in political resolution.

Benefits of Provincial Citizenship

  1. Local Identity & Belonging: Strengthens emotional connection of “sons of the soil” to their State.
  2. Protection of Vulnerable Groups: In J&K, domicile rules safeguarded historically excluded groups like Valmikis, Gorkhas, and West Pakistan refugees.
  3. Equitable Resource Allocation: Ensures locals are not overshadowed by migrants in jobs, education, and land rights.
  4. Democratic Mobilisation: Acts as a rallying point in regional politics, giving voice to sub-national concerns.

How has Jharkhand become a case study?

  1. Statehood in 2000: Did not end sub-nationalist demands but transformed them into domicile-based politics.
  2. Domicile politics: Used to articulate majoritarian grievances against minority elites.
  3. Departure: Unlike Sixth Schedule areas, it encompassed the entire State, challenging federal norms and Article 16(2).

What role does Jammu & Kashmir and Assam play?

  1. J&K (Post-2019): Domicile introduced to safeguard minorities like Valmikis, Gorkhas, West Pakistan refugees after abrogation of Article 370.
  2. Assam: NRC and SIR processes highlight anxieties around migration and exclusion.

How does this challenge the idea of One Citizenship?

  1. Undermines Article 15, 16, 19: Domicile restrictions contradict equality and mobility rights.
  2. Supreme Court interventions: Conflicts between migrants and provincial citizenship often need judicial resolution.
  3. Multiple vocabularies: Terms like citizen-outsiders (Roy), differentiated citizenship (Jayal), paused citizens (Sharma), hyphenated nationality (Sarkar) capture fragmented realities.

Is this a new phenomenon or an old concern?

  1. Historical context: Myron Weiner’s Sons of the Soil (1978) already flagged migration-linked conflicts.
  2. SRC Report 1955: Explicitly warned that domicile rules undermine the concept of common Indian citizenship.
  3. Newness: The idea has now moved from reports and theory to an active political reality.

Way Forward

  1. Constitutional Balance: Uphold national citizenship guarantees while allowing limited affirmative safeguards for locals.
  2. Labour Protections: Create a national migrant workers framework to ensure portability of rights and benefits.
  3. Dialogue & Federal Coordination: Encourage Centre–State mechanisms to harmonise domicile policies with constitutional provisions.
  4. Judicial & Policy Oversight: Courts to curb excesses, and Parliament may revisit domicile laws as warned by the States Reorganisation Commission (1955).
  5. Promote Inclusion: Foster constitutional morality and fraternity so regional protections don’t become exclusionary.

Conclusion

The rise of provincial citizenship shows that the unity of Indian citizenship is being tested not by foreign threats but by internal contestations of belonging. Jharkhand’s domicile struggles, Assam’s NRC anxieties, and J&K’s experiments demonstrate that citizenship is increasingly layered, contested, and politicised. Unless reconciled, such provincial claims may fracture the inclusive national vision of Akhanda Bharat and weaken democratic federalism.

PYQ Relevance

[UPSC 2024] Why do large cities tend to attract more migrants than smaller towns? Discuss in the light of conditions in developing countries.

Linkage: This article is best linked with the GS1 PYQ “Why do large cities tend to attract more migrants than smaller towns?” as it directly discusses internal migration, mobility vs sedentarism, and the allure of metropolises for rural workers despite precarity, highlighted starkly during COVID-19. It also adds depth by showing how migrants face exclusion through provincial citizenship and domicile politics, raising constitutional questions under Articles 15, 16(2), and 19 and reflecting federal tensions. For UPSC, it is relevant across GS1 (urbanisation, migration, regionalism), GS2 (citizenship, federalism, rights), GS3 (labour and economic vulnerabilities), and GS4 (constitutional morality vs exclusion), making it a rich theme that connects social realities with polity and governance debates.

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Differentiated Banks – Payment Banks, Small Finance Banks, etc.

Swipe, Tap, Spend: How UPI is a decisive step towards formalization of Indian Economy

Introduction

India’s journey towards a cash-lite economy has been marked by a staggering rise in UPI transactions, reflecting a decisive shift in household and business payment patterns. From groceries to loans, from investments to utility bills, UPI has emerged as the backbone of everyday economic life. This transformation is not merely technological but a structural change towards the formalisation of the economy, reducing cash-dependency while boosting transparency and traceability in transactions.

Why is UPI making news now?

  1. Staggering growth: In April–June 2025, 34.9 billion person-to-merchant transactions occurred through UPI, worth ₹20.4 lakh crore, equal to 40% of private final consumption expenditure, up from 24% two years ago.
  2. Shift from ATMs: Cash withdrawals, once dominant, have halved despite the economy doubling in size—falling from ₹2.6 lakh crore (2018) to ₹2.3 lakh crore (2025).
  3. Wider impact: UPI is now used not only for routine consumption but also for debt repayments, investments, and financial services, signalling a major step in economic formalisation.

How has household spending been transformed?

  1. Digital dominance: Household payments, earlier cash-heavy, are increasingly routed through UPI across income classes.
  2. Food & beverages: In April–June 2025, households spent ₹3.4 lakh crore on food and beverages via UPI—17% of all UPI transactions and 21% of household expenditure.
  3. Non-food items: Payments include utilities, medicines, petrol, taxi rides, and electronics, accounting for two-thirds of person-to-merchant transfers.

What about precautionary savings and cash usage?

  1. Decline in cash holdings: Household currency holdings fell from 12.5% of gross savings (2020–21) to just 3.4% in 2023–24.
  2. Changing behaviour: While cash remains important for land, gold, and election financing, its share in household savings has been on a consistent decline.

How is UPI impacting financial formalisation?

  1. Formalisation of firms and workers: Increased traceable transactions complement reforms like GST registrations and EPFO contributions, enhancing formalisation.
  2. Beyond consumption: UPI in July 2025 facilitated ₹93,857 crore debt repayments and ₹61,080 crore investments into securities—indicating a structural integration of households into formal financial markets.

What are the larger implications for the economy?

  1. Scaling up formal economy: Digital payments extend across small, medium, and big-ticket transactions, shrinking the space for the informal sector.
  2. Global context: Countries like Germany also have high cash usage despite digitisation—India’s transformation is striking in scale.
  3. Policy question: With the public currency-to-GDP ratio falling from 12.9% (2022) to 10.9% (2025), the debate is whether India has reached an inflection point towards becoming a sustained cash-lite economy.

Conclusion

UPI’s ascendancy reflects not just a technological success but a social and economic restructuring of India. By shifting transactions from cash to traceable platforms, it has enhanced formalisation, reduced leakages, and encouraged financial inclusion. The challenge ahead lies in ensuring this transformation is sustainable while safeguarding against risks like digital divides, cybersecurity threats, and over-dependence on electronic infrastructure.

PYQ Relevance:

[UPSC 2023] What is the status of digitalization in the Indian economy? Examine the problems faced in this regard and suggest improvements.

Linkage: This PYQ is important as UPSC often tests themes of digitalisation, financial inclusion, and formalisation of the economy under GS3. The article helps answer it by showing UPI’s role in reducing cash reliance and formalising payments, while also pointing to persisting challenges like cash use in land, gold, and elections.

Value Addition

Benefits of UPI

  • Digitalisation of the Economy: 
    1. UPI has made India the world’s largest real-time digital payments ecosystem (over 50% of global real-time transactions, as per the ACI Worldwide 2023 report).
    2. Strengthens transparency, traceability, and reduces black money circulation.
  • Financial Inclusion:
    1. UPI transactions span urban malls to rural kirana stores, enabling low-cost access for the unbanked.
    2. Integration with Aadhaar, Jan Dhan, and mobile numbers creates a seamless financial ecosystem.
  • Globalisation × Formal & Informal Economy:
    1. Shifts large segments from cash-heavy informal sector to traceable, formal payments.
    2. Helps MSMEs and street vendors gain access to credit as digital history substitutes collateral.
  • Economic Growth and Development:
    1. Boosts consumption visibility, enabling better policy targeting.
    2. Encourages formal lending and investments—e.g., ₹93,857 crore in debt repayments via UPI (article data).

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Right To Privacy

How are courts protecting personality rights?

Introduction

Personality rights, the right to control one’s name, image, likeness, and voice, have become a critical issue in India’s courts. With AI enabling deepfakes, voice cloning, and digital impersonation, Bollywood celebrities like Aishwarya Rai Bachchan, Abhishek Bachchan, Anil Kapoor, and Jackie Shroff have approached courts to restrain unauthorised commercial exploitation of their persona. While these judicial interventions protect individual dignity and brand equity, they also raise complex questions about the balance between Article 21 (privacy and autonomy) and Article 19(1)(a) (freedom of speech and expression).

Why is this in the news?

The Delhi High Court recently issued orders protecting Aishwarya Rai Bachchan and Abhishek Bachchan from AI-generated misuse of their images and voices. This is significant because:

  1. Novel threat: It highlights how AI deepfakes and voice cloning are creating unprecedented risks for identity and privacy.
  2. Judicial trend: Courts are extending personality rights protections to celebrities such as Karan Johar, Amitabh Bachchan, Anil Kapoor, Jackie Shroff, and Arijit Singh.
  3. Big problem: Without regulation, AI-driven impersonation undermines trust, dilutes brand equity, and strips individuals of control over their identity.
  4. Turning point: Courts are now explicitly linking personality rights to Article 21 of the Constitution, signalling a constitutional recognition of digital dignity.

How are personality rights defined in India?

  1. Safeguards: Personality rights protect name, likeness, image, voice, signature, and other unique traits.
  2. Legal foundation: Rooted in common law doctrines of privacy, publicity, and defamation, supported by judicial precedents.

Statutory framework:

  1. Copyright Act, 1957: Sections 38A & 38B grant performers exclusive and moral rights over their performances.
  2. Trade Marks Act, 1999: Allows registration of names/signatures as trademarks (e.g., Shah Rukh Khan, Priyanka Chopra).
  3. Tort of Passing Off: Prevents misrepresentation of a celebrity’s persona as endorsement.

How have courts shaped personality rights?

  1. R. Rajagopal v. State of Tamil Nadu (1994): Supreme Court recognised the right to control one’s identity, grounding it in privacy under Article 21.
  2. Rajinikanth case (2015): Madras HC restrained unauthorised use of the actor’s persona in a film.
  3. Anil Kapoor case (2023): Delhi HC granted wide-ranging protection, clarifying that free speech covers parody/satire but not commercial misuse.
  4. Jackie Shroff case (2024): Court restrained misuse of his persona on e-commerce and AI platforms.
  5. Arijit Singh case (2024): Bombay HC recognised risks of voice cloning through AI.

Do personality rights restrict free expression?

Free speech scope: Article 19(1)(a) allows criticism, parody, satire, and lampooning of public figures.

Judicial caution:

  1. DM Entertainment v. Baby Gift House (2010): Caricatures and parodies do not usually infringe publicity rights.
  2. Digital Collectibles v. Galactus Funware (2023): Material already in the public domain may be used without implying endorsement.
  3. Balancing test: Courts strike a balance between creative freedom and protection of dignity/brand equity.

Why is regulation urgently needed?

  1. Fragmented protections: Enforcement is currently piecemeal, relying on case law.
  2. Digital threats: Generative AI expands risks of impersonation and deepfakes.
  3. Disproportionate impact: Ordinary citizens, especially women targeted through revenge porn, face greater harm.
  4. Policy need: Experts call for a comprehensive legislative framework to clearly define exceptions and ensure free speech is not chilled.

Conclusion

The judiciary is laying down crucial guardrails for personality rights in the digital age, particularly against AI-driven impersonation. However, without a clear legislative framework, judicial interventions remain reactive. The challenge lies in balancing dignity and privacy with freedom of speech, ensuring that protections do not turn into censorship while still safeguarding individuals, from Bollywood celebrities to ordinary citizens, against misuse of their identity.

[UPSC 2024] Right to privacy is intrinsic to life and personal liberty and is inherently protected under Article 21 of the constitution. Explain. In this reference discuss the law relating to D.N.A. testing of child in the womb to establish its paternity.

Linkage: The PYQ on Right to Privacy under Article 21 examines autonomy over personal identity, like in DNA testing. This article is relevant as it shows courts extending privacy into personality rights against AI misuse, with case laws and statutes providing examples to balance privacy and free speech in UPSC answers.

Value Addition

Global Context & Reports

  1. WIPO Intellectual Property Report (2022): Notes rapid rise of personality/IP litigation due to digital commerce.
  2. UNESCO Report on AI & Ethics (2021): Warns against deepfakes undermining democratic discourse and human dignity.
  3. US “Right of Publicity” Laws: Celebrities can sue for unauthorised commercial use of their persona, providing comparative perspective.
  4. EU GDPR (2018): Protects personal data, extending indirectly to digital identity misuse.

 

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The Left we need: The Legacy of Indian Socialism

Introduction

Once a vibrant stream of India’s political life, socialism today survives only on the margins, overshadowed by dominant political narratives. The Samajwadi Ekjutata Sammelan attempted to revive this forgotten legacy by recalling socialist icons, showcasing their contributions, and highlighting the ideological resources they left behind. Unlike European social democracy or Marxism, Indian socialism, particularly articulated by Ram Manohar Lohia, offered a distinct doctrine—integrating caste, gender, and cultural politics with economic equality and Gandhian satyagraha. At a time when the world grapples with inequality, climate change, and rising authoritarianism, revisiting Indian socialism is not just about remembering the past, but about reclaiming tools for the future.

Why in the News?

The 90th anniversary of the socialist movement was commemorated through a large convention in Pune, bringing together activists, veterans of the Emergency resistance, and younger voices. This event is significant because it highlights the amnesia and disjunction surrounding socialism in India today, where even icons like JP, Usha Mehta, and Kamaladevi Chattopadhyay are remembered for roles outside the socialist tradition. The Sammelan underscored a major problem: the ideological vacuum created by the neglect of Indian socialism, just when its core ideas, on inequality, sustainable development, cultural politics, and resistance to authoritarianism, are urgently needed. The striking aspect is not just nostalgia, but the contrast between socialism’s past centrality and its near invisibility in today’s discourse.

The Legacy of Indian Socialism

  1. Founding of Congress Socialist Party (1934): Socialist stream within Congress connected political freedom with social and economic equality.
  2. Quit India Movement: JP, Lohia, Usha Mehta and others led underground resistance, marking socialism’s high point in the freedom struggle.
  3. Post-Independence Role: Departure from Congress to form an independent opposition, mobilising backward castes and the poor, especially in the Hindi belt.
  4. Emergency Resistance: Socialist leaders like Rajkumar Jain, Vijay Pratap, and Anand Kumar stood against authoritarianism, spending months in jail.

Why is Socialism Fading from Public Memory?

  1. Amnesia: Young people today conflate socialists with communists or Maoists, erasing the distinctiveness of the socialist tradition.
  2. Disjunction in Memory: JP Narayan is remembered as Gandhian, Kamaladevi for handicrafts, Usha Mehta as freedom fighter—none as socialists.
  3. Neglect of Ideas: Unlike communists, socialists lacked a robust academic subculture and access to English-speaking opinion-makers.
  4. Absence of Popular Recall: Figures like Yusuf Meherally, Achyut Patwardhan, Madhu Limaye, and S.M. Joshi remain unknown to today’s youth.

Distinctive Ideas of Indian Socialism

  1. Expanded Equality: Beyond economics, it included caste, gender, race, nationality, relevant to debates on women’s reservation, caste census, and subquotas.
  2. Alternative Development Model: Critiqued technocratic-industrial path; emphasised sustainable well-being, now crucial amid climate change.
  3. Satyagraha as Politics: Advocated Gandhian non-violent resistance as an alternative to violence or electoralism.
  4. Cultural Politics: Rooted in Indian languages and traditions, countering hegemonic cultural nationalism with inclusive symbols.

Why Does Indian Socialism Matter Today?

  1. Counter to Inequality: Rising global inequality makes Lohia’s expanded framework urgent.
  2. Democratic Deepening: Socialists played key role in mobilisation of backward castes and poor, essential for inclusive democracy.
  3. Resistance to Authoritarianism: With a consistent history of fighting Emergency and excesses, socialism offers principled tools to resist authoritarian regimes.
  4. Global Relevance: By abjuring Eurocentric roots, Indian socialism contributed a new doctrine to world thought.

Conclusion

The decline of Indian socialism is not just the fading of a political ideology but the loss of a moral and intellectual compass that once challenged inequality and authoritarianism. The Sammelan in Pune reminded us that socialism is more than an electoral project; it is a resource for reimagining democracy and justice in the 21st century. Whether or not the label survives, its ideas remain indispensable. The real challenge lies in recalling, renewing, and repurposing socialism to confront contemporary crises.

PYQ Relevance

[UPSC 2020] Since the decade of the 1920s, the national movement acquired various ideological strands and thereby expanded its social base. Discuss.

Linkage: Since the 1920s, the national movement diversified ideologically with strands like socialism, which linked political freedom with social and economic equality. Socialists such as JP and Lohia expanded the movement’s base by mobilising peasants, backward castes, women, and workers, while also shaping resistance during Quit India and the Emergency. This ideological pluralism deepened democracy and widened the social foundations of Indian politics.

Value Addition

History of Socialism in Pre-Independent India

Early Currents (1920s–1930s)

  1. Global Influence: The Russian Revolution (1917) electrified Indian youth. Marxist ideas about class struggle and collective ownership inspired a generation disillusioned with colonial exploitation.
  2. Indian Context: The non-cooperation movement (1920–22) radicalised many students and workers. Young leaders like S.A. Dange, M.N. Roy, Nalini Gupta, Muzaffar Ahmad started bringing socialist ideas into India.
  3. Labour & Peasant Movements: The formation of AITUC (All India Trade Union Congress, 1920) and Kisan Sabhas gave socialism a practical ground.

Formation of the Congress Socialist Party (1934)

  1. Background: Many young nationalists within the Congress felt that Congress under Gandhi was too focused on political freedom without a social revolution.
  2. Founding: The Congress Socialist Party (CSP) was founded in Patna, 1934 by Jayaprakash Narayan, Acharya Narendra Deva, Ram Manohar Lohia, Yusuf Meherally, and others.

Objectives:

  1. Radicalise the Congress by linking freedom with social & economic equality.
  2. Advocate land reforms, redistribution of wealth, end of caste discrimination.
  3. Maintain distance from the Communists but work inside the Congress unlike them.

Impact: CSP became the ideological left-wing of the Congress, drawing in students, workers, peasants, and socially progressive leaders.

Role in the Quit India Movement (1942)

  • Context: With the launch of Quit India (August 1942), much of the mainstream Congress leadership was arrested.

Socialist Contribution:

  1. Socialists like JP, Lohia, Usha Mehta, Aruna Asaf Ali kept the movement alive underground.
  2. Usha Mehta ran the Secret Congress Radio, broadcasting messages against British rule.
  3. JP and Lohia organised clandestine networks, strikes, and sabotage against colonial infrastructure.

Significance: This gave socialism a heroic image of sacrifice and resistance, showing it could sustain the national struggle when the mainstream was paralysed.

Peasant & Worker Mobilisation

  1. Kisan Sabhas: Led by Swami Sahajanand Saraswati in Bihar and N.G. Ranga in Andhra, peasants were mobilised against landlordism, high rents, and colonial agrarian policies.
  2. Labour Strikes: Socialist leaders engaged with trade unions and AITUC, mobilising railway workers, mill workers, and dockyard labourers.
  3. Linkage with Socialism: These movements translated the abstract ideals of socialism into mass struggles, rooting the ideology in agrarian and working-class realities.

Other Key Developments

  1. Students’ Movement: Socialist ideas found strong resonance in the All India Students’ Federation (AISF) and later the Socialist Youth movements.
  2. Princely States Movements: Socialists often took leadership in agitations in princely states (like Travancore, Hyderabad), linking freedom with social justice.
  3. Intellectual Contribution: Leaders like Acharya Narendra Deva (theorist), JP (activist organiser), Lohia (thinker & mass mobiliser) gave socialism in India both intellectual depth and activist energy.

Summary

  1. By the 1940s, socialism in India was not merely an imported ideology—it had become a home-grown political stream, deeply connected to the freedom struggle. Its distinctiveness lay in:
  2. Rooting Marxist equality in Indian realities of caste, agrarian hierarchy, and colonial exploitation.
  3. Combining Gandhian satyagraha with socialist radicalism.
  4. Mobilising peasants, workers, students, women, and backward castes, thereby expanding the social base of the national movement.

Socialist Principles in the Indian Constitution

Explicit Reference:

  • Preamble (42nd Amendment, 1976): India declared to be a “Socialist, Secular, Democratic Republic.”

Directive Principles of State Policy (DPSP):

  1. Article 38: Promote welfare of people through a just social order.
  2. Article 39: Equitable distribution of resources, prevention of wealth concentration, protection of workers’ rights.
  3. Article 41: Right to work, education, and public assistance.
  4. Article 43: Living wage, decent working conditions, and participation of workers in management.
  5. Article 47: Duty of state to improve public health, nutrition, and prohibition of intoxicants.

Comparative Analysis: Indian vs. Western Socialism

Aspect Western Socialism Indian Socialism
Origins Industrial Revolution (Europe, 19th c.), Marxist critique of capitalism. Freedom struggle (20th c.), influenced by Gandhi + Lohia + JP + Marxism.
Focus Class-based equality (workers vs capitalists). Multi-dimensional equality (caste, class, gender, nationality).
Method Revolution (Marxist), or reform (social democracy). Democratic, non-violent satyagraha + electoral politics.
State Role Welfare state ensuring redistribution, public ownership of key industries. Mixed economy with state-led planning (Nehruvian model) + constitutional guarantees.
Culture & Identity Largely secular, materialistic basis. Rooted in Indian culture, language, symbols (Lohia’s “cultural politics”).
Developmental Model Industrialisation as progress. Critique of technocratic-industrial model, stress on sustainability & decentralisation.

 

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Mother and Child Health – Immunization Program, BPBB, PMJSY, PMMSY, etc.

Lessons from India’s Vaccination Drive

Introduction

Vaccination is among the most effective and cost-efficient public health measures, credited with saving millions of lives globally. India, with its Universal Immunisation Programme (UIP), runs the world’s largest vaccination campaign annually, covering over 2.6 crore infants and 2.9 crore pregnant women. From eliminating polio and maternal/neonatal tetanus to spearheading COVID-19 vaccine development, India has emerged as a global leader in immunisation. Yet, challenges remain in ensuring last-mile delivery, tackling vaccine hesitancy, and integrating disease surveillance with vaccination systems.

Expanding Reach through Mission Indradhanush

  1. Mission Indradhanush (MI): Launched in 2014 to achieve 90% full immunisation coverage, up from 62% in 2014 (NFHS-4).
  2. Intensified Mission Indradhanush (IMI): Began in 2017, targeting low-coverage and missed populations.
  3. Impact: By 2023, 12 phases of MI/IMI had vaccinated 5.46 crore children and 1.32 crore pregnant women.
  4. Integration: Linked with Gram Swaraj Abhiyan and Extended Gram Swaraj Abhiyan for greater outreach.

What Has India Achieved through UIP?

  1. Decline in Mortality: Under-5 mortality dropped from 45 to 31 per 1,000 live births (2014–2021, SRS 2021).
  2. Expanded Vaccination Basket: 6 new vaccines added in the last decade (e.g., Rotavirus, Pneumococcal Conjugate, Measles-Rubella).

Disease Elimination Milestones:

  1. Polio-free since 2011.
  2. Maternal and neonatal tetanus eliminated in 2015.
  3. Yaws eradicated in 2016.
  4. Recognition: Measles and Rubella Champion Award (2024).

What Challenges Continue to Plague India’s Vaccination Efforts?

  1. Remote Populations: Hard-to-reach and migratory groups remain under-covered.
  2. Vaccine Hesitancy: Clusters with low awareness and misinformation hinder uptake.
  3. Pandemic Disruption: COVID-19 disrupted routine services, leading to measles outbreaks (2022–2024).
  4. Immunity Gaps: Outbreaks showed clustering of unimmunised children.

How Has Technology Transformed Vaccine Delivery?

Digital Platforms:

  1. U-WIN: End-to-end vaccination record tracking, modeled on Co-WIN.
  2. eVIN & Cold Chain MIS: Real-time vaccine stock and logistics monitoring.
  3. SAFE-VAC: Vaccine safety reporting.

Pandemic Success:

  1. COVID-19 vaccination began Jan 16, 2021.
  2. By Jan 2023: 220 crore doses, 97% with one dose, 90% with both.
  3. Equity & Outreach: Enabled “anytime-anywhere” access for migratory groups.

What Lessons Has India Shared with the World?

  1. Vaccine Maitri: Supported low- and middle-income countries, reflecting Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam.
  2. Domestic Manufacturing: Self-reliance through Make in India strategy.
  3. Global Leadership: World’s largest vaccine manufacturing hub, shaping global vaccine futures.

Conclusion

India’s vaccination drive demonstrates the transformative power of political will, technological innovation, and community participation. While achievements like polio eradication, COVID-19 vaccine success, and award-winning Measles-Rubella campaigns inspire global emulation, challenges of equity, hesitancy, and surveillance integration demand continued attention. The future lies in adopting a One-Health approach and strengthening linkages between disease surveillance and immunisation to ensure pandemic preparedness and universal vaccine coverage.

PYQ Relevance:

[UPSC 2022] What is the basic principle behind vaccine development? How do vaccines work? What approaches were adopted by the Indian vaccine manufacturers to produce COVID-19 vaccines?

Linkage: This question is important for UPSC as it tests both the scientific principle of vaccine development and India’s capacity to innovate during crises like COVID-19. The article links by showing how vaccines, once developed, were scaled through UIP, Mission Indradhanush, and digital tools like U-WIN, reflecting the bridge between science and governance. It also highlights India’s global role via Vaccine Maitri and WHO recognition, making it a holistic case study for GS 3: Science & Technology and Public Health.

Value Addition

Universal Immunisation Programme (UIP)

  1. Definition: World’s largest immunisation programme, launched in 1985, providing free vaccines against 12 vaccine-preventable diseases.
  2. Coverage: Annually vaccinates 2.6 crore infants and 2.9 crore pregnant women.
  3. Relevance: Illustrates inclusive public health coverage, state capacity, and preventive healthcare.

Mission Indradhanush (MI) / Intensified Mission Indradhanush (IMI)

  1. MI (2014): Launched to increase full immunisation coverage from 62% (NFHS-4, 2015–16) to 90%.
  2. IMI (2017): Focused on low-coverage areas and “left-out” children/women.
  3. Outcome: By 2023, 5.46 crore children and 1.32 crore pregnant women vaccinated under 12 phases.
  4. Relevance: Example of targeted governance and convergence with Gram Swaraj Abhiyan.

Zero-dose Outreach

  1. Definition: Identifying and reaching children who have received no vaccines at all (first contact point for immunisation).
  2. Importance: Critical for equity in healthcare since such children often belong to marginalised, remote, or migratory populations.
  3. Relevance: Reflects SDG-3 (Good Health and Well-being) and commitment to leaving no one behind.

U-WIN / eVIN / SAFE-VAC

  1. U-WIN: Successor to Co-WIN, a digital platform for real-time tracking of vaccination for pregnant women and children up to 16 years; enables portability for migrants.
  2. eVIN (Electronic Vaccine Intelligence Network): Ensures real-time monitoring of vaccine stocks.
  3. SAFE-VAC: Module for adverse events reporting and ensuring vaccine safety.
  4. Relevance: Showcases digital governance in health → transparent, accountable, efficient delivery.

One-Health Approach

  1. Concept: Integrates surveillance of human, animal, and environmental health systems.
  2. Need: 75% of emerging infectious diseases are zoonotic (e.g., COVID-19).
  3. Application: Strengthens pandemic preparedness and ties immunisation with wider health surveillance.
  4. Relevance: A forward-looking framework for epidemic resilience and sustainable public health.

Vaccine Maitri

  1. Definition: India’s global vaccine diplomacy initiative during COVID-19, supplying vaccines to 100+ countries.
  2. Impact: Cemented India’s role as “Pharmacy of the World”; strengthened ties with developing countries.
  3. Relevance: Example of health diplomacy, South-South cooperation, and global public good.

Reports & Data

NFHS-4 (2015–16)

  1. Report Name: National Family Health Survey – Round 4.
  2. Finding: India’s full immunisation coverage was 62% in 2014.
  3. Significance: Provided the baseline for Mission Indradhanush.
  4. Relevance: Evidence-based policymaking; highlights gaps in equity and access.

Sample Registration System (SRS) 2021

  1. Significance: Clear evidence of immunisation’s role in improving child survival.
  2. Relevance: Shows how preventive healthcare directly impacts SDG-3 (Health & Well-being).

Measles-Rubella (MR) Campaign (2017–19)

  1. Coverage: 34.8 crore children aged 9 months–15 years vaccinated.
  2. Significance: Largest catch-up campaign globally.
  3. Relevance: Example of mass public mobilisation and vaccine diplomacy readiness.

Key Concepts:

Zero-dose Outreach

  1. Definition: Identifying and immunising children who have not received a single vaccine.
  2. Importance: They represent the most vulnerable clusters (remote, migratory, socio-economically deprived).
  3. UPSC Link: Equity in health, SDG-3, “Leaving no one behind”.

One-Health Lens

  1. Definition: Integrated surveillance of human, animal, and environmental health.
  2. Why: 75% of emerging infectious diseases are zoonotic (e.g., COVID-19, Nipah).
  3. Application: Prevents epidemics by connecting immunisation with disease surveillance across ecosystems.
  4. UPSC Link: Pandemic preparedness, sustainable health governance.

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Foreign Policy Watch: India-United States

With US withdrawing from multilateralism, India has both risks and opportunities

Introduction

The United Nations (UN) was envisioned in 1945 as the cornerstone of a rules-based global order. Yet, 80 years later, it faces one of its gravest challenges. US President Donald Trump’s second term has unleashed a sweeping retreat from multilateralism, leaving the UN structurally weakened and financially strained. His push for sovereignty-driven unilateralism, withdrawal from critical agreements and institutions, and deep funding cuts have left a vacuum increasingly filled by China. For India, this turbulence is both a threat and an opportunity to shape a new multilateralism.

Trump’s Shift from Multilateralism to Unilateralism

  1. America First Doctrine: Trump has framed sovereignty as the fundamental principle of international relations, rejecting supra-nationalism.
  2. UN Critique: He claims to have done “a better job than the UN Security Council” in maintaining peace, boasting of “ending seven wars” within eight months of his second term.
  3. First-term precedent: Withdrawals from the Paris Agreement, UNESCO, Human Rights Council, Iran Nuclear Deal signalled this trend.
  4. Second-term escalation: Guided by Project 2025 (Heritage Foundation manifesto), Trump has cut >80% of US contributions to UN operations, including peacekeeping and global health.

How is the UN Being Undermined?

  1. Massive Funding Cuts: US contributions slashed from 22% to a fraction, crippling UN’s financial base.
  2. Institutional Withdrawals: Exit from WHO, UNESCO, Human Rights Council and halting support for the Paris Agreement & Climate Loss and Damage Fund.
  3. Policy Rejection: No support for sustainable development or climate mitigation under Trump’s agenda.
  4. Domestic Politics Spillover: Appeals to his populist base that frames liberals as “war party” and paints the UN as an obstruction.

China’s Expanding Role in Global Governance

  1. Strategic Positioning: Beijing systematically places its nationals in influential leadership, technical, and administrative posts.
  2. New Initiatives: Promotes “Global Development, Global Security, Global Civilisation, Global Governance” — aligned with the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).
  3. Funding Power: Contributes around $680 million (~20% of UN budget), second only to the US.
  4. Outcome: While not yet supplanting US dominance, Chinese activism is making Beijing an indispensable player.

Decline of Multilateralism: A Structural Problem

  1. Historical High Point: Around 2000 with WTO launch & Millennium Development Goals.
  2. Erosion Factors: Populist nationalism, US-China rivalry, US-Russia vetoes paralyzing UNSC, and transatlantic divisions.
  3. Current Paralysis: Even humanitarian crises are stalled by veto politics.
  4. Reform Blockage: Calls for UNSC expansion remain frozen, while agencies face financial crisis and inefficiencies.

India’s Opportunities and Responsibilities

  1. Financial Contribution Gap: India contributes $38 million (<1%), far below its stature as the world’s 4th largest economy.
  2. Comparative Figures: US: $820 million (22%), China: $680 million (20%).
  3. Strategic Priorities: Instead of old demands (like UNSC expansion), India should focus on:
    1. AI governance
    2. North-South coalitions
    3. UN reforms for efficiency
  4. Moral Leadership: As a long-standing Global South champion, India must pay more and lead more to shape new rules.

Conclusion

The UN at 80 stands fragile, buffeted by American retreat and Chinese ambition. Trump’s second-term disruption has turned long-standing weaknesses into systemic crises. Yet, neither the US nor China enjoys universal legitimacy. For India, the moment is decisive: it can no longer lament but must shoulder the responsibility of building a multilateralism that works in an age of rivalry and rapid change.

PYQ Relevance

[UPSC 2019] Too little cash, too much politics, leaves UNESCO fighting for life. Discuss the statement in the light of US’ withdrawal and its accusation of the cultural body as being ‘anti-Israel bias’.

Linkage: It highlights how US funding withdrawal and political accusations cripple UN agencies like UNESCO, leaving them under-resourced and delegitimised. Similarly, Trump’s second-term cuts — over 80% reduction in US contributions and exits from WHO, UNESCO, HRC — show how financial muscle and politics erode multilateral institutions.

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LGBT Rights – Transgender Bill, Sec. 377, etc.

Trans People deserve better

Introduction

The struggles of India’s transgender community highlight the deep chasm between constitutional guarantees of equality and the lived reality of marginalisation. Despite progressive measures such as the Transgender Persons (Protection of Rights) Act, 2019, welfare schemes, and quotas in education and employment, access to these rights often remains obstructed by bureaucracy, social prejudice, and tokenism. The issue is not confined to a minority group alone; it reflects a larger national loss of talent, creativity, and human capital. Denial of dignity and opportunities to gender minorities undermines India’s democratic fabric, making it imperative that policies move beyond symbolic gestures towards genuine representation, enforceable protections, and inclusive development. This article is a stark reminder that policy is not paperwork, but life itself.

Legal & Policy Framework for Transgender Rights in India:

Transgender Persons (Protection of Rights) Act, 2019

  1. Comprehensive protections – The Act prohibits discrimination against transgender persons in education, employment, healthcare, housing, and access to public services.
  2. Legal recognition – It affirms the right of individuals to be recognised as transgender and ensures access to identity documents in accordance with their self-perceived gender.
  3. Obligations on institutions – Schools, workplaces, and healthcare institutions are legally bound to create safe, inclusive environments, though implementation remains weak.
  4. Critical limitation – While progressive, the Act has faced criticism for requiring medical boards’ involvement in recognising gender, which many activists argue undermines the principle of self-identification upheld in NALSA v. Union of India (2014).

NITI Aayog’s SDG India Index

  1. Measuring inclusivity – The Index tracks progress towards Sustainable Development Goals, with transgender inclusion mapped to SDG 5 (Gender Equality) and SDG 10 (Reduced Inequalities).
  2. Policy relevance – States are ranked on inclusivity measures, encouraging competitive federalism to adopt progressive policies.
  3. Limitations – Despite formal inclusion in metrics, ground-level impact remains limited, with most States lagging in transgender-specific initiatives.

National Portal for Transgender Persons (2020)

  1. Ease of certification – A digital platform was launched to streamline self-identification and certification of transgender persons without cumbersome physical verification.
  2. Access to welfare schemes – The portal links beneficiaries to scholarships, healthcare support, and livelihood initiatives.
  3. Barrier reduction – Aimed to reduce harassment and delays in government offices, but digital literacy and awareness remain challenges.

Government Schemes and Initiatives:

SMILE Scheme (2022)

  1. Full form: Support for Marginalised Individuals for Livelihood and Enterprise.
  2. Livelihood support – Offers vocational training, financial assistance, and rehabilitation to transgender persons and others in vulnerable conditions (e.g., beggars).
  3. Holistic rehabilitation – Focus on dignity through sustainable income opportunities, not just short-term aid.

Garima Greh (Shelter Homes for Transgender Persons)

  1. Safe housing – Provides temporary shelter to transgender persons in need, particularly those facing family rejection or homelessness.
  2. Rehabilitation support – Along with accommodation, offers skill-building, counselling, and reintegration programmes.
  3. Geographical spread – Shelters are being established in multiple States, though demand far outstrips supply.

National Transgender Welfare Board

  1. Advisory role – Created to guide and monitor welfare schemes, policies, and rights protection for transgender persons.
  2. Policy advocacy – Acts as a bridge between community needs and government initiatives.
  3. Challenge – Effectiveness has been questioned due to limited representation from grassroots transgender voices.

Why do policies remain hollow for transgender persons?

  1. Hollow quotas – Promises on paper, but weak implementation and bureaucratic humiliation in accessing them.
  2. Selective dispersal – Corruption and leakages mean benefits rarely reach genuine beneficiaries.
  3. Urban-rural gap – Schemes concentrated in cities, leaving rural transgender communities excluded.
  4. Insensitive officials – Lack of sensitisation among staff, police, and service providers reinforces stigma.
  5. Economic marginalisation – Limited job opportunities push many into begging or unsafe livelihoods.
  6. Weak accountability – No penalties for institutions failing to ensure inclusivity.
  7. Data deficit – Census undercounts transgender population, weakening policy design.
  8. Fragmented ecosystem – Welfare spread across ministries with poor coordination and monitoring.

Why is access to basic needs still a challenge?

  1. Considerable Population– Over 4.87 lakh individuals identified as transgender, under the ‘Other’ gender category as per the 2011 census.
  2. Housing discrimination – Landlords refuse to rent, neighbours ostracise, and societies erect silent barricades, denying stability.
  3. Public ridicule – Buses, markets, and streets are unsafe; everyday survival requires courage against humiliation.
  4. Hunger and survival – With families abandoning them, many trans persons face destitution, leaving them vulnerable to unsafe livelihoods.

How does exclusion repeat historical injustices?

  1. Historical parallels – Denial of rights to African-Americans and women earlier hollowed democracies; similarly, denying rights to trans persons repeats history’s mistakes.
  2. Loss of talent – Every trans child forced out of school means a lost scientist; every denied home displaces an artist; every humiliation silences a leader.

Why is representation in politics critical?

  1. Beyond symbolism – Representation is structural, not tokenistic. Without trans voices in legislatures, policies reproduce privilege and blind spots.
  2. Absence in institutions – No trans person has been appointed to media boards despite censor boards clearing derogatory content against them.

What are the urgent priorities for reform?

  1. Education – Scholarships, inclusive curricula, and anti-bullying measures are essential to prevent dropouts.
  2. Healthcare – Affordable, state-supported gender transition and mental health care; transition is survival, not cosmetic.
  3. Employment & housing – Anti-discrimination laws must be enforced with penalties, ensuring workplace inclusion and rental protections.

Way Forward

  1. Enforceable protections – Move from symbolic promises to penalties for violations in housing, jobs, and education.
  2. Political representation – Reserved seats or political pathways must ensure gender minorities are participants in policymaking.
  3. Educational reform – Gender-sensitive curricula and anti-bullying frameworks to prevent dropouts.
  4. Cultural shift – Mainstream media, schools, and workplaces must promote respect and positive representation, not ridicule.
  5. Holistic inclusion – From healthcare to public spaces, dignity must be guaranteed as a right, not charity.

Conclusion

The resilience of transgender persons cannot substitute for rights. A nation that sidelines its gender minorities sidelines its own conscience and potential. Policy must no longer be about trans persons but must be shaped with them. The denial of dignity is not a transgender issue—it is a national issue of justice, equality, and democratic maturity. India’s claim to global leadership will remain hollow until all its citizens, regardless of gender identity, can live with dignity.

PYQ Relevance

[UPSC 2019] Development and welfare schemes for the vulnerable, by its nature, are discriminatory in approach.” Do you agree? Give reasons for your answer.

Linkage: This article’s critique of hollow quotas and tokenistic welfare for transgender persons directly links to the PYQ by showing how schemes meant for the vulnerable, instead of empowering, often reinforce exclusion and discrimination.

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The Crisis In The Middle East

U.K, Australia and Canada recognise Palestine state in seismic shift

Introduction

On September 22, 2025, Britain, Australia, and Canada formally recognised Palestine as a sovereign state, a step that Portugal and potentially France are expected to follow at the UN General Assembly. This unprecedented shift, especially by G-7 members like the U.K. and Canada, alters decades of Western foreign policy and signals mounting pressure on Israel after nearly two years of the Gaza war that began with Hamas’s October 7, 2023 attack. While hailed as historic by Palestinians, Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu condemned the move as an “absurd reward for terrorism.”

Why is this development historic?

  1. First G-7 recognition: U.K. and Canada became the first G-7 nations to officially recognise Palestine, breaking with the long-standing Western alignment with Israel.
  2. Sharp contrast with past policy: For decades, Western countries had deferred recognition pending a negotiated two-state solution; this marks a direct policy shift.
  3. Conflict backdrop: The recognition comes amid international outrage over prolonged violence in Gaza since 2023, highlighting the urgency for peace.
  4. Special burden: The U.K.’s Deputy PM admitted Britain carries a “special responsibility” due to the 1917 Balfour Declaration, which paved the way for Israel’s creation.

Why did the U.K., Australia, and Canada take this step?

  1. Reviving peace hopes: Leaders like Keir Starmer emphasised the recognition as a way to keep the two-state solution alive.
  2. International pressure: Growing calls for humanitarian accountability in Gaza pushed these governments to act.
  3. Alignment with Europe: Portugal announced recognition the same day, and France is expected to follow, indicating a coordinated Western European push.

What has been Israel’s reaction?

  1. Harsh opposition: PM Netanyahu warned that calls for Palestinian statehood “endanger Israel’s existence.”
  2. Terrorism narrative: Israel frames recognition as a “reward for terrorism” in reference to Hamas’s October 7, 2023 attack.
  3. UN strategy: Netanyahu vowed to fight this recognition diplomatically at the ongoing UN General Assembly.

What role does history play in this debate?

  1. Balfour Declaration, 1917: U.K.’s role in facilitating Israel’s creation still casts a shadow over West Asia’s conflict.
  2. Decades of stalemate: Palestinian statehood has been promised but deferred since the Oslo Accords of the 1990s.
  3. Burden of colonial legacy: Britain’s recognition is seen as part-redressal for its historical role.

How does this reshape global geopolitics?

  1. U.S.–Western divide: Recognition creates divergence between U.S. policy (still opposed) and its closest allies like the U.K. and Canada, weakening the coherence of the Western bloc.
  2. Global South solidarity: Developing nations, many of whom already recognise Palestine, view this as overdue Western alignment, strengthening South–North convergence on justice and decolonisation.
  3. UN spotlight: With the General Assembly opening, Palestine’s legitimacy is expected to dominate the global agenda, elevating the conflict as a test case for multilateralism.
  4. Regional fault lines: Arab states may gain renewed diplomatic leverage, while Israel risks isolation beyond its traditional U.S. support base, potentially altering Middle East power balances.
  5. Strategic recalibration for India and Asia: Asian powers like India and China will have to navigate between historical solidarity with Palestine and strong bilateral partnerships with Israel, testing their strategic autonomy.
  6. Narrative of international law and legitimacy: Recognition by major Western democracies strengthens the normative argument for Palestinian statehood, challenging Israel’s framing of the issue as a security-only concern.

Conclusion

The recognition of Palestine by the U.K., Australia, and Canada is more than symbolic; it could catalyse a chain reaction of Western nations acknowledging Palestinian sovereignty. While it reignites hope for a two-state solution, it also risks deepening fault lines with Israel and the U.S.

PYQ Relevance

[UPSC 2018] India’s relations with Israel have, of late, acquired a depth and diversity, which cannot be rolled back.” Discuss

Linkage: The recognition of Palestine by U.K., Australia, and Canada highlights how global powers are recalibrating their West Asia policies, creating new pressures on countries like India. While India recognised Palestine in 1988, it has simultaneously built deep and diverse ties with Israel in defence, agriculture, and technology. This mirrors the PYQ’s core theme—India’s Israel relationship is now structurally entrenched, even as balancing Palestine’s cause remains a diplomatic necessity.

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Economic Indicators and Various Reports On It- GDP, FD, EODB, WIR etc

Why low inflation is the problem

Introduction

Inflation in India has sharply declined in recent months, with CPI inflation at 2.27% (Aug 2024) and WPI inflation at just 0.52%. While households welcome subdued prices, this development has unsettled the government’s fiscal math. Nominal GDP growth, which forms the base for budget projections, has weakened. As a result, targets for revenue, deficit, and debt are under stress. This shift highlights the complex relationship between inflation, nominal GDP, and fiscal sustainability.

The Problem with Low Inflation

Why is low inflation in the news?

India is currently witnessing one of the weakest inflation trajectories in recent years, with both CPI and WPI at historic lows. This is striking because inflation had been consistently higher earlier, often troubling households and RBI alike. Now, for the first time in years, inflation is falling so low that it is below the government’s own expectations, threatening fiscal stability. While consumers benefit from cheaper goods, the government risks losing lakhs of crores in projected revenue.

Breaking Down the Fiscal Arithmetic

What is the link between inflation and government finances?

  1. GDP measure: Nominal GDP = monetary value of goods/services at current prices, before adjusting for inflation.
  2. Government’s reliance: Budget estimates are framed on nominal GDP, not real GDP.
  3. Importance: Nominal GDP forms the denominator for deficit and debt ratios, making it central to fiscal health.

How is low inflation disrupting budget math?

  1. Union Budget FY25-26 assumption: Nominal GDP growth at 10.5%, implying GDP of ₹357 lakh crore.
  2. Reality: Q1 nominal GDP growth just 8%, well below target.
  3. Revenue impact: FY26 central govt. net tax revenue projected at ₹33.1 lakh crore; lower inflation could cut receipts by ₹57,314 crore.

Why is nominal GDP growth so crucial?

  1. Fiscal deficit & debt ratio: Targets (fiscal deficit 4.4%, debt-GDP ratio 56.1%) are achievable only if nominal GDP grows as expected.
  2. Current scenario: With weak inflation, nominal GDP falls, making deficit/debt appear larger relative to GDP.
  3. Result: Fiscal stress and need for adjustments in spending or borrowing.

Is low inflation always bad?

  1. Positive side: Consumers enjoy stable prices, reduced cost of living, relief from food price spikes.
  2. Negative side: Weak inflation = lower nominal GDP = poor revenue realization for the government.
  3. RBI view: Deputy Governor (May 2024) warned that while lower prices help consumers, oversupply and weak pricing power can dampen private investment and industrial margins.

What are the long-term risks?

  1. Corporate health: Lower pricing power can affect profits, discouraging capex.
  2. Employment: Weak demand growth can limit job creation.
  3. Cycle of slowdown: Weak inflation → lower nominal GDP → fiscal squeeze → reduced spending → slower growth.

Conclusion

Low inflation, though a blessing for households, poses structural challenges for India’s fiscal health. When inflation falls below government assumptions, it erodes revenue potential and distorts deficit ratios, threatening fiscal sustainability. Policymakers thus face the paradox of balancing consumer welfare with fiscal prudence. For India, the task ahead is not merely curbing inflation but maintaining it at an optimal, stable level to sustain growth, revenue, and investment.

PYQ Relevance

[UPSC 2019] Do you agree with the view that steady GDP growth and low inflation have left the Indian economy in good shape? Give reasons in support of your arguments.

Linkage: The question assumes that low inflation alongside steady GDP growth indicates economic strength. However, as the article shows, low inflation with weak nominal GDP growth can actually strain fiscal math, reduce revenues, and slow investment. Thus, while consumers benefit, the economy may not necessarily be in “good shape” if fiscal sustainability and growth momentum are undermined.

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Health Sector – UHC, National Health Policy, Family Planning, Health Insurance, etc.

A climate-health vision with lessons from India

Introduction

At the Global Conference on Climate and Health (July 2025, Brazil), 90 countries shaped the Belém Health Action Plan, which will guide the climate-health agenda at COP30 (Nov 2025). Ironically, India, despite having some of the most instructive welfare experiences linking climate and health, was not officially represented, a missed opportunity to emerge as a global exemplar.

India’s non-health interventions like the Pradhan Mantri Poshan Shakti Nirman (PM POSHAN), Swachh Bharat Abhiyan, Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MNREGA), and Pradhan Mantri Ujjwala Yojana (PMUY) offer rich lessons for operationalising an integrated climate-health framework. They reveal that intentional, intersectoral action can yield multiple dividends: improved nutrition, reduced pollution, restored ecosystems, and healthier communities.

Why is this news significant?

India’s absence at Belém stands out because for the first time a global platform is drafting a climate-health action plan. While India has often been viewed through the prism of its energy transition challenges, this moment presented a chance to highlight its homegrown welfare successes with global resonance. The paradox is striking: even without designing policies as “climate policies,” India has reaped climate-health co-benefits, unlike many countries still struggling to integrate the two. Yet, persistent failures like high LPG refill costs in PMUY and siloed governance highlight the scale of unfinished work.

What is the Belém Health Action Plan (BHAP)?

  • The BHAP is a strategic framework being finalized ahead of COP30 (Nov 2025, Belém, Brazil) intended to integrate health into climate change adaptation.
  • It emphasizes health equity, climate justice, and social participation alongside strengthening health systems to be resilient in face of climate change.

Key Features / Action Lines

Some of its priority action lines include:

  • Surveillance & Monitoring:
    • Linking climate/environmental data with health surveillance, early warning systems (for heatwaves, epidemics, etc.).
    • Real-time data, local / community-level monitoring.
  • Evidence-Based Policy Strategy & Capacity Building:
    • Training health workforce, integrating mental health & psychosocial support measures.
    • Gender-responsive, inclusive policies, recognizing most vulnerable groups (women, Indigenous people, persons with disabilities).
  • Innovation & Production:
    • Resilient infrastructure and services (e.g. climate-adapted health facilities), sustainable supply chains.
    • Focus on blended financing and mobilizing investments to make health systems adaptive and equitable.
  • Cross-cutting priorities:
    • Health equity & climate justice: ensuring that adaptation efforts do not further marginalize vulnerable groups.
    • Leadership & governance: accountability, social participation from civil society, clear institutional roles.

What lessons do India’s welfare programmes offer for climate-health synergy?

  1. PM POSHAN: Covers 11 crore children in 11 lakh schools, linking nutrition, agriculture, and education. Promotion of millets strengthens climate-resilient food systems.
  2. Swachh Bharat Abhiyan: Improved sanitation, public health, and environmental sustainability, while embedding dignity and cultural symbolism via Gandhi’s vision.
  3. MNREGA: Enhanced livelihood security while simultaneously restoring degraded ecosystems through water conservation and afforestation.
  4. PM Ujjwala Yojana (PMUY): Transition to clean cooking fuel cut household air pollution — a leading cause of respiratory illness — while reducing carbon emissions.

How has leadership and community engagement shaped outcomes?

  1. Political leadership: Direct involvement of the Prime Minister gave Swachh Bharat and PMUY inter-ministerial traction and public legitimacy.
  2. Community engagement: PM POSHAN leveraged parent-teacher committees, Swachh Bharat invoked cultural pride in cleanliness, ensuring local ownership.
  3. Cultural anchoring: Climate action framed as health protection resonates more deeply than carbon metrics.

What structural challenges persist in implementation?

  1. Administrative silos: Divergent sectoral mandates limit integrated outcomes.
  2. High refill costs in PMUY: Oil marketing interests often outweigh beneficiary affordability.
  3. Social barriers: Gender norms and cultural practices limit uptake of clean fuel and sanitation.
  4. Output vs. outcome gap: Programmes measure immediate coverage but not long-term health-climate impact.

What framework does India’s experience suggest for climate-health governance?

  1. Strategic prioritisation: Frame climate action as immediate health security, not distant environmental risk.
  2. Procedural integration: Embed health impact assessments into energy, transport, and urban policies.
  3. Participatory implementation: Leverage ASHA workers, SHGs, Panchayats as health-climate advocates.

Why is this vision critical for the future?

  1. High stakes: Delinking climate and health crises leads to fragmented solutions with escalating costs.
  2. Transformative potential: An intersectoral, whole-of-society approach could position India as a global leader in climate-health governance.
  3. Clear choice: Continue piecemeal efforts or pioneer a bold model aligning welfare with planetary health.

Conclusion

India’s welfare architecture has shown that policies designed for social welfare can unintentionally become climate-health interventions. The challenge now is to make this synergy intentional and institutionalised, with robust political framing, procedural integration, and community mobilisation. At a time when the world is drafting a global climate-health action plan, India’s absence from the table is a wake-up call: to convert scattered lessons into a coherent model of governance that others can emulate.

Value Addition

Key Concepts

  1. Climate-Health Nexus: Environmental policies often have unintended health impacts; health policies also influence climate outcomes.
  2. Co-Benefits Approach: One intervention (e.g., PMUY for clean cooking fuel) yields multiple dividends (better health, women’s empowerment, reduced emissions).
  3. Whole-of-Society Approach: Intersectoral coordination between ministries, communities, and local bodies ensures impact.
  4. Output vs Outcome Gap: Many Indian schemes achieve outputs (LPG connections, toilets built) but outcomes (sustained use, cleaner air, health equity) remain weak.

Important Data / Reports

  1. WHO Report (2021): Air pollution causes 7 million premature deaths annually worldwide.
  2. Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change (2022): South Asia faces one of the highest global burdens of climate-related health risks.
  3. India’s National Family Health Survey (NFHS-5, 2021): Despite welfare schemes, 35.5% of children under 5 are stunted and 32.1% are underweight, showing links between nutrition, climate resilience, and health.
  4. UNDP (2023): Every $1 invested in resilience and adaptation yields $4 in avoided losses.
  5. Global Conference on Climate & Health (Belém Plan, 2025): First global blueprint on climate-health integration.

PYQ Linkage:

[UPSC 2017] ‘Climate Change’ is a global problem. How India will be affected by climate change? How Himalayan and coastal states of India will be affected by climate change?

Linkage: India’s welfare schemes like PM POSHAN, PMUY, Swachh Bharat and MNREGA demonstrate that non-health interventions can mitigate climate impacts while improving public health. The Himalayan and coastal states, most vulnerable to warming, floods, and sea-level rise, can benefit from such intersectoral, resilience-building models. Thus, India’s climate-health vision provides practical pathways to address both regional vulnerabilities and national climate commitments.

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Foreign Policy Watch: India-Nepal

Turmoil, tragedy, and tenacity in Nepal

Introduction

In early September 2025, Nepal was rocked by its most intense youth uprising since the end of monarchy in 2008. Peaceful demonstrations against corruption and inequality, largely organised online, escalated into violent clashes, leaving 73 dead and vital government institutions in flames. The resignation of Oli and the appointment of Sushila Karki as interim Prime Minister has opened a critical transition. The protests underscore the growing role of Gen Z digital activism in reshaping political landscapes.

Timeline of the protests

  1. 4 Sept 2025: Government orders registration/ban of 26 social media platforms (trigger).
  2. Early Sept (pre-8): Weeks of online organising; #NepoBabies and related trends circulate.
  3. 8 Sept 2025 (Day 1): Large peaceful gatherings at Maitighar Mandala; clashes erupt; official reports of first deaths (≈19 reported that night).
  4. 9 Sept 2025 (Day 2): Violence spreads; Parliament, Supreme Court, Singha Durbar attacked and some set on fire; casualty and injury figures climb.
  5. 10–12 Sept 2025: Army deployed to secure cities; Home Minister and Oli resign; negotiations with youth representatives begin.
  6. 12–14 Sept 2025: Sushila Karki sworn in as interim prime minister; Parliament dissolved; elections scheduled for March (caretaker mandate announced).

How did legal restraints on digital space ignite a national revolt?

  1. Trigger — Social Media Ban: On 4 September 2025, the government ordered the blocking/registration of 26 social media platforms, including X, Facebook, and Instagram.
  2. Impact: This cut off Gen-Z’s primary space for organisation, expression, and economic activity, seen as a direct assault on civic freedom.
  3. Outcome: Scattered anger was transformed into coordinated protests.
  4. Example: Youth groups used Discord and TikTok to plan assemblies at Maitighar Mandala and coordinate marches towards Parliament.

What were the structural grievances behind the uprising?

  1. Corruption & Elitism: Perceptions of elite capture, misuse of resources, and impunity fuelled resentment.
  2. Symbol of Rage: The #NepoKids / #NepoBabies campaign exposed politicians’ children flaunting luxury while ordinary youth faced precarity.
  3. Example: Viral clips contrasting lavish lifestyles with student unemployment intensified outrage.
  4. Data: Transparency International (2025): Nepal ranked 107/180 on the Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI score: 34).

Why did peaceful protests become deadly and destructive?

  1. Escalation: Initially peaceful gatherings on 8 September were dispersed using tear gas and reportedly live ammunition.
  2. Violence: Retaliatory riots followed; demonstrators targeted symbols of state power.
  3. Example: On 9 September, Parliament, Supreme Court, and Singha Durbar were set ablaze; crucial judicial records were damaged.
  4. Data: 72–73 deaths reported, with hundreds injured, mostly between ages 19–24.

What immediate political fallout followed the unrest?

  1. Leadership Change: Home Minister resigned on 8 Sept; PM K.P. Sharma Oli stepped down on 9 Sept.
  2. Caretaker Transition: The Army mediated negotiations; Parliament was dissolved.
  3. Interim PM: Sushila Karki, former Chief Justice, sworn in on 12 Sept 2025, mandated to hold elections within six months.
    • Karki visited hospitals, assured investigations, and pledged accountability and timely polls.

How did digital tools shape both mobilisation and misinformation?

  1. Mobilisation: Platforms like Discord, TikTok, and hashtags enabled rapid outreach, meme-culture, and youth identity in protests.
  2. Creativity: Anime/manga flags and viral videos energised Gen-Z demonstrations.
  3. Misinformation: False reports and AI-generated images (e.g., Pashupati Temple “burning”) created panic and confusion.
  4. Example: Fake claims about a senior politician’s family being killed circulated widely before being disproved.

What are the main challenges facing Nepal’s interim rulers?

  1. Legitimacy Concerns: Traditional political parties, deposed MPs, and royalist factions question the constitutional mandate of the interim set-up.
  2. Balancing Act: The government must address youth expectations of anti-corruption and inclusivity while ensuring political buy-in from entrenched elites.
  3. Stability: Conducting free and fair elections by March 2026 without undermining the democratic spirit of Gen-Z protests remains the foremost task.
  4. Example: Political parties and royalists have already raised doubts over Karki’s legitimacy despite broad youth support.

Implications for Nepal (domestic)

  • Political Legitimacy and Party Renewal
    • The protests revealed a deep erosion of trust in established parties.
    • Unless political parties reform and integrate youth aspirations into institutional politics, cycles of protest could continue.
    • Revamping youth wings and embracing inclusivity may be crucial for long-term stability.
    • (Echoes analysts’ calls for parties to redefine themselves in light of 1990 and 2006 lessons.)
  • Rule of Law and Accountability
    • Strong demands exist for independent investigations into the use of excessive force and arson during protests.
    • The credibility of Nepal’s democracy depends on whether security forces and political elites are held accountable.
    • Sushila Karki’s pledge to investigate abuses and compensate victims sets both a legal and moral benchmark.
  • Economic and Social Policy Pressure
    • With youth unemployment at 20%, migration pressures, and widening inequality, socio-economic grievances remain central.
    • The interim government faces urgent pressure to deliver short-term relief (jobs, anti-corruption crackdowns) while laying the groundwork for structural reforms in education, employment, and inclusivity.
    • Failure to deliver may reignite unrest and deepen distrust in democratic institutions.

Implications for South Asia (regional)

  • Contagion Risk and Inspiration:
    • The Nepali uprising reflects a wider Gen-Z dissent pattern in Asia.
    • Similar youth-led movements in Sri Lanka (2022), Bangladesh, Indonesia, Philippines have challenged entrenched elites.
    • Nepal’s protests may inspire emulation across borders, intensifying regional instability.
  • Cross-Border Diplomacy & Stability:
    • Political turbulence in Kathmandu could strain bilateral relations with neighbours.
    • Instability may disrupt migration flows, remittances, and border trade.
    • Governments in South Asia may reassess youth policy, unemployment measures, and digital freedoms to preempt unrest.
  • Policy Lessons on Digital Platforms:
    • Nepal’s ban highlights the risks of hard regulation of social media.
    • Neighbouring states will closely observe whether bans quell dissent or provoke backlash.
    • The episode may shape future regional digital governance frameworks balancing free expression with misinformation control.

Conclusion

Nepal’s Gen Z uprising is both tragic and transformative. It highlights the power of digital natives to hold governments accountable, but also the dangers of violence and misinformation. The coming months will test whether Nepal can channel this energy into transparent, inclusive governance or relapse into instability.

PYQ Linkage:

[UPSC 2012] Discuss the contentious issues that have caused the prolonged

constitutional logjam in Nepal.

Linkage: The 2025 Gen Z protests in Nepal show that unresolved constitutional questions of inclusiveness, accountability, and representation remain central even after the 2015 Constitution. The uprising exposed youth anger at elite capture and exclusion of caste, ethnic, and gender groups — echoing the very fault lines that prolonged Nepal’s constitutional logjam post-2008 monarchy abolition. Thus, the recent turmoil is a continuation of the older struggle for a truly inclusive and accountable Nepali state.

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Artificial Intelligence (AI) Breakthrough

How the DeepSeek-R1 AI model was taught to teach itself to reason

Introduction

Reasoning, the ability to reflect, verify, self-correct, and adapt, has historically been considered uniquely human. From mathematics to moral decision-making, reasoning shapes every facet of human civilisation. Large language models (LLMs) like GPT-4 have shown glimpses of reasoning, but these were achieved with human-provided examples, introducing cost, bias, and limits. In September 2024, researchers at DeepSeek unveiled their model R1, which demonstrated reasoning through reinforcement learning (trial and error with rewards), without supervised fine-tuning. This represents a paradigm shift in how machines may learn, reason, and potentially evolve intelligence.

Why is DeepSeek-R1 in the News?

For the first time, an AI model has taught itself to reason without human-crafted examples. The results were dramatic: DeepSeek-R1 improved from 15.6% to 86.7% accuracy in solving American Invitational Mathematics Examination (AIME) problems, even surpassing the average performance of top human students. It also demonstrated reflection (“wait… let’s try again”) and verification—human-like traits of reasoning. The scale and quality of progress mark this as a milestone in AI research, contrasting sharply with traditional methods that heavily relied on human-labelled data.

What is Reinforcement Learning in AI?

  1. Definition: Reinforcement learning (RL) is a trial-and-error method where a system receives rewards for correct answers and penalties for wrong ones.
  2. DeepSeek’s Application: Instead of providing reasoning steps, the model was only rewarded for correct final answers.
  3. Outcome: Over time, R1 developed reflective chains of reasoning, dynamically adjusting “thinking time” based on task complexity.

How Did DeepSeek-R1 Achieve Self-Reasoning?

  1. R1-Zero Phase: Started with solving maths/coding problems, producing reasoning inside <think> tags and answers in <answer> tags.
  2. Trial-and-Error Learning: Wrong reasoning paths were discouraged, correct ones reinforced.
  3. Emergence of Reflection: Model started using “wait” or “let’s try again,” indicating self-correction.

What Were the Major Successes?

  1. Mathematical Benchmarks: R1-Zero improved from 15.6% to 77.9%, and with fine-tuning, to 86.7% on AIME.
  2. General Knowledge & Instruction Following: 25% improvement on AlpacaEval 2.0 and 17% on Arena-Hard.
  3. Efficiency: Adaptive thinking chains—shorter for easy tasks, longer for difficult ones—conserving computational resources.
  4. Alignment: Improved readability, language consistency, and safety.

What Are the Limitations and Risks

  1. High Energy Costs: Reinforcement learning is computationally expensive.
  2. Human Role Not Fully Eliminated: Open-ended tasks (e.g., writing) still require human-labelled data for reward models.
  3. Ethical Concerns: Ability to “reflect” raises risks of generating manipulative or unsafe content.
  4. Need for Stronger Safeguards: As AI reasoning grows, so does the risk of misuse.

Why Does this Matter for the Future of AI?

  1. Reduces Dependence on Human Labour: Cuts costs and addresses exploitative conditions in data annotation.
  2. Potential for Creativity: If reasoning can emerge from incentives, could creativity and understanding follow?
  3. Shift in AI Training Paradigm: From “learning by example” to “learning by exploration.”
  4. Global Implications: Impacts education, coding, mathematics, governance, and ethics of AI.

Conclusion

DeepSeek-R1 marks a turning point in AI evolution. By demonstrating reasoning through reinforcement learning alone, it challenges the notion that human-labelled data is indispensable. Yet, this very capability opens new debates—about creativity, autonomy, and control. For policymakers and citizens alike, the task is to harness AI’s promise while ensuring safety, fairness, and ethical integrity.

PYQ Relevance:

[UPSC 2023] Introduce the concept of Artificial Intelligence (AI). How does Al help clinical diagnosis? Do you perceive any threat to privacy of the individual in the use of Al in healthcare?

Linkage: The breakthrough of DeepSeek-R1 shows how AI can now reason through reinforcement learning without human-labelled data, making it more efficient and adaptive. Such reasoning ability can enhance clinical diagnosis by enabling AI to self-correct and refine decision-making in complex medical cases. However, as with healthcare AI generally, the privacy threat persists if sensitive patient data is fed into models without strong safeguards.

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Foreign Policy Watch: India-China

Should India overlook boundary issues while normalizing ties with China?

Introduction

The India-China relationship has historically oscillated between cautious cooperation and sharp confrontation. The latest Modi–Xi meeting on the sidelines of the SCO Summit reopened bilateral trade, air connectivity, and emphasised peace at the border. Yet, the memory of the 2020 Galwan clashes looms large. At stake is the central question: Can India afford to set aside the boundary dispute for the sake of wider cooperation, or would that compromise its strategic autonomy and long-term security?

Why is this debate in the news?

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s China visit marks the first high-level attempt in five years to restore normalcy after Galwan. The move is significant as it reflects India’s willingness to restart engagement despite recent military tensions and China’s continued strategic partnership with Pakistan. The revival of trade and connectivity signals pragmatism, but it raises the question of whether unresolved boundary tensions can remain compartmentalised. This sharp contrast with the hostility of recent years makes the issue both urgent and unprecedented.

Can India normalise ties without resolving the boundary issue?

  1. Historical Precedent (1988, 1990s): Rajiv Gandhi’s visit to Beijing in 1988 initiated the idea of cooperation in other domains while border talks continued separately. Both sides agreed to maintain peace and tranquility along the LAC despite unresolved sovereignty disputes.
  2. Galwan Disruption (2020): The deadly clash exposed the fragility of this arrangement and highlighted China’s aggressive posture, a setback far greater than earlier skirmishes.
  3. Current Diplomatic Push: Since 2020, both countries have restored disengagement through buffer zones, with the 2024 Border Patrol Agreement marking an important breakthrough, including restoration of patrol rights in Demchok and Depsang.

What explains China’s actions and insecurities?

  1. Article 370 Effect: Chinese analysts linked Galwan to India’s constitutional move in Jammu & Kashmir, which Beijing opposed.
  2. Economic Competition: During the U.S.-China trade war, Beijing feared India aligning with Washington to grab supply-chain opportunities.
  3. India’s Growth Factor: China increasingly perceives India’s demographic dividend and economic rise as a potential threat, at a time when its own population is shrinking.
  4. Manufacturing Prowess: Despite insecurities, China’s dominance is overwhelming—accounting for 45% of global manufacturing output, highlighted by India’s Economic Survey 2024-25.

How fragile is the current normalisation?

  1. Possibility of Galwan-2: Any fresh military clash could derail progress entirely, as mistrust remains deep-rooted.
  2. Chinese Perception of India: Beijing no longer treats India as a peer but as a regional player to be managed, often subordinated to its ties with Pakistan.
  3. Infrastructure Build-up: China continues rapid military expansion on the Tibetan plateau, forcing India to invest heavily in its own LAC infrastructure.
  4. Diplomatic Asymmetry: Even as dialogue continues, China shows little real interest in a final border settlement.

Can India-China cooperation coexist with China’s South Asia strategy?

  1. China’s Trilateral Mechanisms: Beijing is building frameworks like Pakistan-China-Afghanistan and Pakistan-China-Bangladesh, which aim to sideline India.
  2. Strategic Rivalry: China views India as a long-term competitor; India counters with its own diplomatic cards.
  3. Interdependence Factor: Despite rivalry, both economies remain connected—India dependent on China’s manufacturing, and China wary of India’s market potential.

Conclusion

India cannot afford to overlook the boundary issue entirely, as sovereignty and security form the bedrock of foreign policy. Yet, pragmatic engagement, through trade, connectivity, and multilateral platforms, remains equally important. A calibrated approach that safeguards territorial integrity while leveraging cooperation where possible may be the most realistic path forward.

PYQ Relevance:

[UPSC 2014] With respect to the South China Sea, maritime territorial disputes and rising tension affirm the need for safeguarding maritime security to ensure freedom of navigation and ever flight throughout the region. In this context, discuss the bilateral issues between India and China.

Linkage: The South China Sea tensions highlight China’s assertive behaviour in territorial disputes, which parallels its aggressive stance on the India-China boundary issue, especially after Galwan. Just as freedom of navigation is contested in the maritime domain, peace and tranquility along the LAC is fragile despite agreements like the 2024 Border Patrol pact. Thus, bilateral issues centre on sovereignty, security dilemmas, and China’s attempts to limit India’s strategic space in both continental and regional contexts.

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Health Sector – UHC, National Health Policy, Family Planning, Health Insurance, etc.

The Hard Truth About Out-of-Pocket Health Expenditure

Introduction

In India, healthcare financing is still heavily dependent on households directly paying for medical services. This out-of-pocket expenditure (OOPE) often pushes families into a vicious cycle of poverty and ill-health. The National Health Accounts (NHA) claims that OOPE as a share of total health expenditure has sharply declined, from 64% in 2013-14 to 39% in 2021-22. On the surface, this appears to be a major policy success. However, a closer look suggests that these numbers may be misleading, as they rely heavily on a single survey base (NSS 75th round, 2017-18) and ignore the lived realities of health shocks, especially during COVID-19.

Is OOPE in India Really Declining?

  1. NHA estimates: Show a steep decline in OOPE—from 64% in 2013-14 to 49% in 2017-18, and further to 39% in 2021-22.
  2. Basis of estimation: The 2017-18 NSS (75th round) forms the primary source, with later estimates extrapolated only for inflation.
  3. Question of accuracy: The decline may be linked to lower ailment reporting and reduced hospitalisation, not to falling medical costs.

How Do Other Data Sources Contradict NHA?

  1. Consumer Expenditure Survey (CES) 2022-23: OOPE as share of household consumption rose—from 5.5% to 5.9% in rural areas and 6.9% to 7.1% in urban areas (2011-12 to 2022-23).
  2. Longitudinal Ageing Study in India (LASI): Shows higher hospitalisation rates among the elderly, contrary to NSS-based decline.
  3. CPHS-CMIE Data: Reveals a V-shaped trend—steep fall in OOPE during COVID-19 due to under-utilisation, followed by a sharp rise. The NHA completely misses this fluctuation.
  4. National Income Accounts (NIA): Estimates show a steady rise in household health spending as a share of GDP, contradicting the NHA’s declining trend.

Why Are NHA Estimates Considered Flawed?

  1. Single-source dependency: NHA depends mainly on the NSS morbidity survey, which underreports ailments.
  2. Exclusion of COVID-19 impact: No NSS data during the pandemic, leading to an unrealistic secular decline in NHA series.
  3. Ignoring insurance and premiums: Even after including premiums, NHA still shows a steep, unexplained fall in OOPE.
  4. Political convenience: Numbers risk being used for policy propaganda without reflecting ground-level hardship.

What Are the Real Consequences of High OOPE?

  1. Poverty trap: Families borrow, sell assets, or cut consumption, leading to intergenerational poverty.
  2. Social impacts: Children drop out of school, women work longer hours, households skip meals.
  3. Rising health costs: Medicine prices and private care charges continue to rise, eroding household savings.
  4. COVID-19 experience: Families suffered catastrophic costs, which remain invisible in official accounts.

What Is the Way Forward?

  1. Diversified data sources: Use CES, LASI, CMIE, NFHS, and private medical sales databases alongside NSS.
  2. Regular, timely surveys: Health rounds of NSS must be more frequent to capture shocks like pandemics.
  3. Integration with NIA: Align NHA estimates with National Income Accounts for consistency.
  4. Transparent policymaking: Avoid over-reliance on selective data that paints a rosy picture.

Conclusion

The debate over out-of-pocket health expenditure in India highlights the gulf between official statistics and lived realities. While the National Health Accounts show a sharp decline in OOPE, independent surveys and household-level data point towards rising medical costs and deepening financial distress. Over-reliance on a single survey base not only distorts the picture but also risks misleading health policy. For a country aspiring to achieve Universal Health Coverage, credible, diversified, and transparent data must form the backbone of decision-making. Without this, India risks celebrating statistical success while millions continue to be pushed into poverty and ill-health by catastrophic healthcare expenses.

PYQ Relevance

[UPSC 2021] Besides being a moral imperative of a Welfare State, primary health structure is a necessary precondition for sustainable development. Analyse.

Linkage: The persistence of high out-of-pocket health expenditure (OOPE) despite claims of decline shows the weakness of India’s primary health structure, as families still bear catastrophic costs. A robust primary health system would reduce dependence on expensive hospitalisation and prevent poverty traps. Thus, strengthening primary health care is not just a welfare obligation, but essential for achieving sustainable and inclusive development.

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Iran’s Nuclear Program & Western Sanctions

Let Griger counters, not guesses, shape Iran Actions

Introduction

The nuclear question has once again moved to the forefront of global geopolitics. Following the U.S. strikes on Iran’s underground nuclear site at Fordow in June 2025, the E3 (Britain, France, Germany) invoked the “snapback” clause of the 2015 nuclear deal, citing Iranian violations. If diplomacy falters, UN sanctions on enrichment, arms transfers, finance, and shipping will return, escalating global risks. The crisis is magnified by the absence of verified facts after the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) staff withdrew from Iran. In this environment of speculation and heightened risks, verification, not guesswork, must anchor diplomacy.

Why is this news significant?

The crisis is not just another Middle Eastern standoff; it is unprecedented in multiple ways. For the first time since 2015, the snapback clause has been triggered, threatening the revival of stringent UN sanctions. The crisis has exposed the vacuum of verified facts, as IAEA inspectors have been expelled, leaving the world to act on rumors. The stakes are global from oil markets and shipping insurance to regional stability and nuclear proliferation. For India, the challenge is sharper: ensuring uninterrupted oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, stability in its extended neighborhood, and the safety of 8 million Indian citizens in West Asia.

Why does the absence of IAEA verification matter?

  1. Verification as the hinge of diplomacy: IAEA access substitutes speculation with facts and provides baselines for negotiations.
  2. Market stability: Comparable IAEA presence in Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia plant calmed global markets; similar oversight in Iran could reduce volatility.
  3. Iran’s sovereignty concerns: Iran argues that inspectors compromise sovereignty and risk enabling strikes — past Israeli and U.S. strikes followed IAEA disclosures.
  4. Parliamentary resistance: Such episodes have hardened Iranian domestic opposition to IAEA cooperation.

What are the risks if Iran withdraws from the NPT?

  1. Legal vacuum: Withdrawal strips the IAEA of legal authority to inspect Iranian sites.
  2. Escalation to uncharted territory: Harder sanctions, further isolation, and the military option returning to the table.
  3. Global instability: From oil prices to nuclear proliferation, the fallout would be worldwide.

How is India placed in this unfolding crisis?

  1. Bridge-builder role: As a long-standing IAEA Board member with ties across divides, India is well-positioned to facilitate consensus.
  2. SCO and BRICS engagement: India joined others in condemning U.S.-Israel strikes, supporting a multilateral call for technical IAEA access.
  3. Technical contribution: India’s IAEA-certified Tarapur facility could analyze samples under safeguards, providing credible support.
  4. Energy and diaspora stakes: Protecting oil supplies and ensuring the safety of Indians abroad makes stability in West Asia non-negotiable for New Delhi.

What are the choices before the global community?

  1. Diplomatic opening: Iran’s recent agreement with the IAEA in Cairo (Sept 9, 2025) and allowing inspectors at Bushehr offer small openings.
  2. Snapback pause: If Iran extends verification to bombed sites, E3 may pause the snapback, shifting momentum back to diplomacy.
  3. Alternative — escalation: Failure of diplomacy risks sanctions, military standoffs, and cycles of strike and counterstrike.

Conclusion

The Iran nuclear standoff represents a defining moment for global non-proliferation and regional stability. What the world requires today is not speculation, but credible verification, structured dialogue, and sustained diplomacy. For India, the stakes go beyond principles of international order to immediate concerns of energy security, diaspora protection, and regional peace. By using its credibility in multilateral forums and offering technical expertise, India can position itself as a constructive stakeholder. Ultimately, the crisis will test whether global powers can rise above unilateralism and competing interests to uphold collective security and prevent a slide into escalation.

PYQ Relevance

[UPSC 2018] In what ways would the ongoing US-Iran Nuclear Pact Controversy affect the national interest of India? How should India respond to this situation?

Linkage: The ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear pact controversy directly impacts India’s energy security, diaspora safety in West Asia, and regional stability. Escalation could disrupt oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz and complicate India’s strategic balance between the U.S., Iran, and Gulf states. India must respond with measured diplomacy, supporting verification through the IAEA while safeguarding its vital national interests.

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Artificial Intelligence (AI) Breakthrough

Unseen labour, exploitation: the hidden human cost of Artificial Intelligence

Introduction

The promise of AI as an automated, error-free technology often masks the unseen human labour that makes it possible. From labelling raw data to moderating harmful content, “ghost workers” form the backbone of AI ecosystems. Yet, their contributions remain invisible, underpaid, and unprotected. The debate on AI is incomplete without recognising the human cost of automation, a matter of global ethics, labour rights, and governance.

The Hidden Human Cost of AI

Why is AI’s invisible labour in the news?

AI companies, especially in Silicon Valley, outsource essential annotation and moderation work to low-paid workers in developing countries. Recent revelations of exploitative conditions, such as Kenyan workers earning less than $2 an hour for traumatic tasks like filtering violent content, have exposed the dark underbelly of AI. This has amplified global concerns about modern-day slavery, violation of labour rights, and the absence of legal safeguards in AI supply chains.

Areas of Human Involvement in AI

  1. Data Annotation: Machines cannot interpret meaning; humans label text, audio, video, and images to train AI models.
  2. Training LLMs: Models like ChatGPT and Gemini depend on supervised learning and reinforcement learning, requiring annotators to correct errors, jailbreaks, and refine responses.
  3. Subject Expertise Gap: Workers without domain knowledge label complex data, e.g., Kenyan annotators labelling medical scans, leading to inaccurate AI outputs.

Are Automated Features Truly Automated?

  1. Content Moderation: Social media “filters” rely on humans reviewing sensitive content (pornography, beheadings, bestiality). This causes severe mental health risks like PTSD, anxiety, and depression.
  2. AI-Generated Media: Voice actors, children, and performers record human sounds and actions for training datasets.
  3. Case Study (2024): Kenyan workers wrote to U.S. President Biden describing their labour as “modern-day slavery.”

What Challenges Do Workers Face?

  1. Poor Wages: Less than $2/hour compared to global standards.
  2. Harsh Conditions: Tight deadlines of a few seconds/minutes per task; strict surveillance; risk of instant termination.
  3. Union Busting: Workers raising concerns are dismissed, with collective bargaining actively suppressed.
  4. Fragmented Supply Chains: Work outsourced via intermediary digital platforms; lack of transparency about the actual employer.

Why Is This a Global Governance Issue:

  1. Exploitation in Developing Countries: Kenya, India, Pakistan, Philippines, and China host the bulk of annotators, highlighting global North-South labour inequities.
  2. Digital Labour Standards: Current international labour frameworks inadequately cover digital gig work.
  3. Ethical Responsibility: Big Tech profits from AI breakthroughs while invisibilising the labour behind them.
  4. Need for Regulation: Stricter global and national laws must ensure fair pay, transparency, and dignity at work.

Way Forward

  1. Transparency Mandates: Disclosure of supply chains by tech companies.
  2. Fair Labour Standards: Minimum wages, occupational safety norms, and psychological health safeguards.
  3. Recognition of Workers: From “ghost workers” to “digital labour force.”
  4. Global Collaboration: Similar to climate treaties, AI labour governance requires multilateral regulation.

Conclusion

Artificial Intelligence is not fully autonomous—it rests on millions of invisible workers whose exploitation challenges the ethics of the digital age. For India and the world, the future of AI must balance innovation with human dignity, equity, and justice. Without recognising and regulating this labour, the AI revolution risks deepening global inequalities.

Value Addition

Global Frameworks and Conventions

  1. ILO Convention 190 (2019): Addresses workplace violence and harassment — highly relevant to content moderators exposed to graphic/traumatic data.
  2. ILO Recommendation 204: Transition from informal to formal economy — ghost workers are currently informal, with no rights.
  3. UN Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights (2011): Corporate duty to respect human rights across supply chains, including digital gig platforms.
  4. EU Artificial Intelligence Act (2025): First comprehensive law regulating AI systems; includes risk categories and human oversight.
  5. Santa Clara Principles (2018): Framework for transparency, accountability, and due process in online content moderation.

Conceptual Tools and Keywords

  1. Digital Colonialism: Global North exploits cheap digital labour in Global South for AI systems.
  2. Surveillance Capitalism (Shoshana Zuboff): Big Tech monetises personal data and labour while eroding privacy and dignity.
  3. Platform Precarity: Gig workers face algorithmic control, constant surveillance, and lack of social protection.
  4. Ghost Work (Mary Gray & Siddharth Suri, 2019): Term for invisible human labour powering AI systems.
  5. Cognitive Labour: Work that relies on human judgment, emotional resilience, and meaning-making (beyond physical labour).
  6. Algorithmic Management: Use of algorithms to allocate, monitor, and discipline workers—stripping them of agency.
  7. Ethics of Invisibility: Recognition gap when workers’ contributions are hidden, making justice claims difficult.

Reports and Studies

  1. Oxford Internet Institute (2019, “Ghost Work”): Estimated millions of hidden workers behind AI, mainly in developing countries.
  2. WEF Future of Jobs Report (2023): Warned of AI-induced job displacements alongside new digital gig work.
  3. ILO Report on Digital Labour Platforms (2021): Documented widespread exploitation, lack of contracts, and cross-border regulatory challenges.

Indian Context

  1. Code on Social Security, 2020: Recognises gig and platform workers, but still weak on implementation.
  2. NITI Aayog Report on “India’s Booming Gig and Platform Economy” (2022): Predicts 23.5 million gig workers by 2030.
  3. Personal Data Protection Act, 2023: Regulates data, but silent on labour rights of those who process AI data.
  4. India’s AI Mission (National Strategy for AI, NITI Aayog): Envisions “AI for All” but doesn’t sufficiently cover labour dimensions.

PYQ Relevance

[UPSC 2023] Introduce the concept of Artificial Intelligence (AI). How does Al help clinical diagnosis? Do you perceive any threat to privacy of the individual in the use of Al in healthcare?

Linkage: AI aids clinical diagnosis by analysing medical scans and predicting outcomes with high accuracy, but it relies on human annotators to label sensitive data. The article shows how even untrained workers in Kenya were tasked with labelling medical scans, raising concerns of reliability. Such outsourcing also heightens the risk of privacy violations in handling patient data across insecure global supply chains.

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Climate Change Impact on India and World – International Reports, Key Observations, etc.

Topography, climate change: Behind heavy rains in Himalayas

Introduction

Extreme rainfall in Uttarakhand over the past week has triggered multiple landslides, swelling rivers and leading to the loss of at least 15 lives. While such events have always occurred in the Himalayan belt during the monsoon, the frequency, intensity, and unpredictability of these disasters have sharply increased in recent years. This phenomenon is closely linked to climate change, altered monsoon dynamics, and the fragile geology of the region.

Why in the News?

Uttarakhand and parts of Himachal Pradesh have witnessed back-to-back extreme rainfall events over the last month, leading to landslides, mudslides, flash floods, and large-scale disruption. The striking fact is not just the death toll, but the scale of surplus rainfall, 34% above normal in August and 67% above normal in early September. Such heavy rainfall, while common in coastal states like Kerala or Meghalaya, is catastrophic in the Himalayas where steep slopes, loose soil, and fragile ecosystems amplify the risks.

Why is rainfall unusually high in Uttarakhand this season?

  1. Active monsoon systems: Consecutive low-pressure systems from the Bay of Bengal have travelled farther north than usual, dumping large amounts of rain in the Himalayan belt.
  2. Surplus rainfall data: Northwestern India received 34% surplus rainfall in August and over 67% surplus rainfall in early September.
  3. Record-breaking events: Udhampur (J&K) recorded 630 mm in 24 hours, equivalent to a year’s rainfall in Rajkot, Gujarat; Leh recorded 59 mm in 48 hours, highest since 1973.

Why are hilly regions more vulnerable to disasters?

  1. Fragile geology: Extreme rainfall triggers landslides, mudslides, and flash floods as rainwater drags soil, rocks, and debris downhill.
  2. River choke-points: When streams are blocked, water gushes into settlements, destroying roads and bridges.
  3. Comparative impact: While 300 mm of rain in Goa or Kerala drains into the sea, the same amount in Uttarakhand leads to catastrophic slope failure.
  4. Recent examples: Landslides across Mandi, Kullu, Dharali, Tharali, and Jammu in the past two weeks illustrate cascading effects.

How is climate change altering monsoon dynamics?

  1. Southward shift of western disturbances: Once dominant in winters, these systems are increasingly interacting with the summer monsoon, intensifying rainfall events in the Himalayas.
  2. Global warming: Rising temperatures are linked to changing wind patterns and higher atmospheric moisture.
  3. Arctic connection: Melting Arctic sea ice may be influencing jet streams, further complicating rainfall behaviour.
  4. Future risks: Longer dry spells interspersed with intense rainfall events are likely to define Himalayan monsoons.

What does this mean for Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh?

  1. Human cost: Frequent deaths, loss of livelihoods, and displacement.
  2. Economic disruption: Road blockages, tourism losses, and damage to hydro projects.
  3. Policy challenge: Need for climate-resilient infrastructure, stricter land-use regulations, and predictive weather modelling.

Conclusion

The Uttarakhand landslides are a grim reminder that the Himalayas, often called the “third pole”, are at the frontline of climate change. Extreme rainfall patterns, when coupled with unregulated urbanization and fragile geology, amplify disaster risks. Building climate-resilient infrastructure, enhancing early warning systems, and ensuring ecological sensitivity in planning are essential for safeguarding lives and livelihoods in these vulnerable mountain states.

PYQ Relevance:

[UPSC 2017] ‘Climate Change’ is a global problem. How India will be affected by climate change? How Himalayan and coastal states of India will be affected by climate change?

Linkage: The Uttarakhand landslides highlight how Himalayan states are increasingly vulnerable to climate change–induced extreme rainfall, cloudbursts, and landslides due to fragile geology. Similarly, coastal states face rising sea levels, cyclones, and saline intrusion, threatening lives and livelihoods. Thus, climate change amplifies both mountain hazards and coastal vulnerabilities, making India’s geography uniquely exposed.

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